politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After the Romney attack on Trump the latest GOP Nominee TV

Only a few hours after the anti Trump speech by 2012 nominee Mitt Romney the four remaining contenders were back on the stage together for the latest GOP debate. This was the summing up by Taegan Goddard of Political Wire
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
This is the game we play after every Republican debate: the mainstream press corps finds some tortured explanation for why Marco Rubio or Ted Cruz won, and then days later Donald Trump rises in the polls. In a night where CNN ran a headline reading “Donald Trump defends size of his penis,” the man has probably won yet again.
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/mar/04/donald-trump-republican-debate-performance-detroit
https://twitter.com/itvnews/status/705642401868546048
We were saying a year or so ago then after several months of the Parties calling each other liars, cheats and incompetent charlatans it's hardly a great surprise if the public agrees with both of them. But in the US system you get the added spectacle of the great and the good of each party throwing mud at each other for months first, so by the time you get to the head to head everyone already has believed all the dirt that has been thrown at both candidates by their own people!
It would be like having seen several months of Cameron, May, Osborne and Hague plus some also rans tearing chunks out of each other on some nights. On others we would have watched Miliband and half his shadow cabinet having at each other with hammers and tongs. Then later in the year the winner of each side go head to head and start the kicking all over again, but with the benefit of all the idiocies that were shown in the primary stage with which to beat each other over the head.
Then they wonder why the public is not impressed with any of the candidates!
What occurred to me is that if you replace the word Trump with the word Corbyn so much of it holds true: a man who has never been elected to or held office (other than MP of course) being put forward as PM. A man who in some ways broadens the tent bringing in new supporters who the old team don't like very much, a man who seized a moment of anti politics when the establishment figures were discredited and inept and a man who will drive away key elements of the coalition that made his party electable.
Just an example:
"He is a divider of the Republican Party and yet an enlarger of the tent. His candidacy is contributing to record turnouts in primary after primary, and surely bringing in Democrats and independents. But it should concern his supporters that his brain appears to be a grab bag of impulses, and although he has many views and opinions he doesn’t seem to know anything about public policy or the way the White House or the government actually works."
The similarities are startling.
The other credibility problem, something that greatly damaged Romney the last time, is that they have to pretend to be much more right or left wing than they really are (except Cruz of course, I have no doubt he means it) to win one constituency and then moderate their positions to win a different one in November. It would be remarkable if anyone believed anything they say after that operation.
They're both white males of a similar age, they have nothing else in common.
If you work your way up the party system, gaining experience and learning how the jobs are done and the extent of your power, you become part of the system. In order to succeed your face has to fit, you have to have the sort of views that most people in your party won't be offended by, and you have to be flexible enough in those views to keep your job, and keep moving up as the people above you change.
On top of this people that move up the greasy pole will inevitably become soiled by the compromises that requires, the favours promised and owed, the quid-pro-quo power broking, and dirty little compromises and deals that seemed like a good idea at the time. By the time you are ready to make your play for the top job you are almost by definition going to be a consummate insider, with very middle of the road views and almost completely unexciting to anyone outside the party mainstream.
Look at the current holders of the great offices: Cameron, Osborne, May, Hamilton all grey unexciting worthy middle of the road Tories, not a single one of them is going to set the pulse racing of someone flirting with joining the party, or changing their vote.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/law-and-order/12182738/MEPs-allowed-to-claim-120000-in-expenses-without-proof-of-how-money-is-spent.html
Look, I'm not saying I like the bloke I just can't get the comparison with Corbyn.
http://www.conservativehome.com/parliament/2016/03/the-majority-of-ethnic-minority-conservative-mps-are-backing-leave.html
(LAUGHTER)
TRUMP: And he referred to my hands, if they are small, something else must be small. I guarantee you there is no problem. I guarantee.
BAIER: OK. Moving on.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/03/03/the-fox-news-gop-debate-transcript-annotated/
http://katm.co.uk/index.php/terror-as-coach-of-british-schoolchildren-attacked-by-calais-refugees/
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-highlands-islands-35280108
11 January.....
He was:
Shadow Secretary of State for Energy (23 November 1988 – 2 November 1989)
Shadow Secretary of State for Employment (2 November 1989 – 24 July 1992)
Shadow Home Secretary (24 July 1992 – 24 October 1994)
and he had been Leader of Her Majesty's Opposition for 3 years which includes being on the Privy Council.
When any government has been in power for 3 terms like the Tories had is is inevitable that almost all the new government are going to have no experience in government, but they are far from inexperienced or uninformed about administration or policy, and Blair will have been briefed by civil servants as part of his job for years.
As PB.com's self-appointed "expert" on American politics (who cost me over £100 with similar hysterics on the South Carolina exit polls just two weeks ago) this latest bout of melodrama has now confirmed him as someone I will definitely ignore on US politics going forwards.
Rod Crosby, Pulpstar, HYUFD and rcs1000 are the posters I pay attention to.
A friend of mine who is a respected economist told me that Trump would probably have been about twice as wealthy had he put his father's money into Treasury bonds and left it there. My friend is admittedly left wing, but it seems plausible given how many failed companies Trump has tried to run.
Have some perspective, man.
Oh take a look at THIS:
US Muslim Voters support in the primaries:
Clinton 45%
Sanders 25
Trump 11%
Rubio 4%
Cruz 2%
Kasich 1%
notto believe that somebody with experience of effective collegiate government from the inside would have let Brown behave as he did without rapidly moving or even firing him. The inexperience appears to have meant Blair did not know how to do it safely, even though it wouldn't have been that hard in 1998. Or been so cavalier about foreign policy with so little regard for party or public opinion.Edited because of a grammar error.
I'll wait for the Channel 4 FactCheck.
http://hollywoodlife.com/2016/03/03/donald-trump-penis-size-hand-gop-debate-marco-rubio-fight/
The Megyn Kelly section on Trump University was very damaging. She is extremely bright and a proper journalist who does her research. In fact my experience of Fox is that by far the cleverest of their presenters are the ones who look most like bimbos. He had insulted her before and she retaliated, big time.
Will it be enough? Not sure, he still has substantial momentum and the alternatives are not particularly attractive, but the idea of a Teflon Trump died last night. He was hurt.
Oklahoma on the GOP side and South Carolina individually on the Democrat side were big misses.
http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-09-03/should-donald-trump-have-indexed-
Actually Trump almost single handedly revitalised Manhattan and saw the potential at a time the city was on its knees. That took real vision.
http://nypost.com/2016/02/07/how-donald-trump-helped-save-new-york-city/
Bloody hell, Rubio's hands are freakishly big.
That is not the same as a politician, not by a long shot.
https://twitter.com/PeterBeinart/status/705597526162935808
So we can now formally confirm Rubio is done for now.
The personal abuse merely makes you look childish. Which is rather sad.
Do you think it is acceptable behavior?
And thanks again to Speedy for his entertaining summaries. I'm not convinced that one debate will finish Trump at all, but they make great reading.
http://howmuch.net/articles/world-economy-as-a-living-organism
Didn't think the Trump hotel or clothing made any real dent, nor the bit about negotiations to save money.
Trump university was awful, I winced and it went on and on. His bragging just looked very empty and blustering. Flop sweat time.
Regarding Trump changing his position, well it'll have disappointed some - but I don't see that as fatal either.
I'd expect a slow in his momentum for a few days, then the caravan will move on.
Kaisch is far too chairman of the board, he doesn't make me think President. Rubio is spoilt brat, Cruz was best on the night but that's not saying much either.
We should probably also note in passing that IDS became leader of his party without having held government office.
Rubio seems to be friendless there.
F1: last day of the final test. Drivers sound very unimpressed with the new qualifying and the failure to even nail the format down.
David Cameron has applied to register the Tories as the “Conservative and Unionist party” across Britain.
The move comes as the Prime Minister flies into Scotland to address the Scottish Conservative conference.
There he will hammer home the message that his is the sole political party willing to stick up for the Union in Scotland.
http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/14320263.Tories_apply_to_become____Conservative_and_Unionist_party____across_Britain/
youtu.be/WCiJ0JSCnko?t=3m20s
maybe they should go by SUP in Scotland, Scottish unionist party just to de-emphasise the conservative bit too though.
Fortunately wiser Scottish heads prevailed in SINDYREF, and in 2015 the Scottish electorate, FPTP and the SNP solved the 'Scottish Labour MPs' problem.....possibly for quite some time.....
He's just so easy to dislike. All Ivy league style smugness and bratty. Whatever his parents did as a job, he gives off the most entitled vibe.
Significant appointment. Interesting comments.
Rubio 2.39
Trump 3.21
Cruz 2.58
Kasich 2.84
Frankly it doesn't really matter.. They are all as bad as each other, its just that Labour are unelectable
People in their twenties and thirties are being urged to phone their grandparents to persuade them to vote to stay in the European Union.
Sam Gyimah, the impressive education minister who turns 40 this year, is to front the early effort to woo what he calls the "easyJet generation" which he says "have more of their life ahead of them".
As I report in today's Times, the "grab a granny" strategy is based on the success of the campaign in favour of gay marriage in the Irish referendum, when young people's lobbying of relatives is credited by some with helping to secure a 62 per cent vote in favour.
grab a granny night
social event frequented by more mature women milfs, supposedly on the lookout for casual sex
don't go to the club on a Thursday, it is grab a granny night
http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=grab+a+granny+night&defid=1921067
Fools and their money.
They paid thousands to listen to little more than an infomercial, and the chance to have their picture taken with a cardboard cutout of Trump at the end of the day, in the belief they would become real estate gurus and 'get rich'...
Many, including the idiot heading the current lawsuit, were taped at the event expressing their delight and satisfaction.
http://www.98percentapproval.com/VIDEOS.html
Lawyers were of the opinion the complainants have a weak case, and it is being brought by an ambitious Democratic Party DA, with no real chance of going to trial.
The DA apparently offered Trump the chance to settle the "$40 million lawsuit" for just "$5 million", but he has refused.
It shows how weak his position in his own party is and for he has Jeremy Corbyn to thank. With even a half decent opposition IDS would be out on his ear after calling his own leader 'dishonest'
Depends if they go with 'why are you so racist grandad!'
That said, I do know someone who says their grandfather wanted to vote UKIP at the ge but changed his mind as he apparently felt with a mixed race grandchild it would not be right.
It's a whiny argument, though. Not about voting for the EU because it's a good thing, but trying to persuade the true believers to badger the agnostic into voting their way.
http://www.gripesofrathe.com/blog/2016/2/28/in-the-thick-of-it
The same was true of last night. The very reason why conventional wisdom regularly delivers the death knell to Trump's candidacy is the same reason he appeals to his supporters and continues to outflank his opponents. In that contest the risible comments by @Speedy were an object lesson. He completely misreads Trumpophilia.
Two points I'd highlight from the debate. Firstly according to CNN research Trump dominated the airtime in the debate by a margin of 2:1 over any other candidate and secondly the killer moment for me was when the other candidates were forced to endorse a Trump candidacy if he were the nominee. The grin on Trump's face said it all - his small hands had them all by the goolies regardless of the size of their todger.
Real whiff of desperation there
This week we published 2 policy papers ahead of the #EUreferendum on 23 June. Catch up here: https://t.co/RIyrpmAFGO https://t.co/aXBa1VXesp