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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As George Osborne prepares make his statement ComRes issue a budget poll
As Osborne prepares to give budget speech ComRes/Mail poll on likely measures just published pic.twitter.com/pMCexzsjPk
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This has all the feelings of the Omnishambles budget0
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England cricket = Ed Miliband0
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I'm on the sofa, cat on lap...0
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Remember Lynton's words of wisdom on this kind of polling...0
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I'll have a go:
1) Support
2) Support
3) Whichever raises the most revenue. (Don't know I guess)
4) Support.0 -
Sky had a nice one re polling earlier - most wanted benefits cut, but then changed their mind when it came to tax credits...FrancisUrquhart said:
Remember Lynton's words of wisdom on this kind of polling...
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A lot of media hysteria about some sensible changes before the Tories are re-elected with an increase in seats a few years later? Sign me up for that.TheScreamingEagles said:This has all the feelings of the Omnishambles budget
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@tnewtondunn: Budget: Govt insiders suggest nobody will be talking about Osborne easing austerity in an hour's time. Expect significant brutality.0
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Yeah, but an Omnishambles II might bugger up George Osborne's chances of succeeding Dave.Philip_Thompson said:
A lot of media hysteria about some sensible changes before the Tories are re-elected with an increase in seats a few years later? Sign me up for that.TheScreamingEagles said:This has all the feelings of the Omnishambles budget
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I've actually traded out the draw. The pitch is quite pathetic - if England play properly there should be no issues.TheScreamingEagles said:England cricket = Ed Miliband
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So the UK voters think that the Greeks should accept austerity and not be so profligate, but are rather less sure that we should follow the same advice.... They also think that the Greeks should increase taxes and reduce tax reliefs, but for some strange reason don't think we should follow the same prescription.0
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The whole pasty tax nonsense, what the public and media seemed to totally miss in all the outcry over VAT on pasties is what a total shambles the VAT system is.Philip_Thompson said:
A lot of media hysteria about some sensible changes before the Tories are re-elected with an increase in seats a few years later? Sign me up for that.TheScreamingEagles said:This has all the feelings of the Omnishambles budget
Anybody who spends any time for business or personal use in a place like CostCo where prices are displayed with and without VAT see clear as day just how ludicrous it can be e.g. Jar of nuts, no VAT, jar of nuts, with a handful of M&M's, add 20%, so it is cheaper to buy the nuts and a packet of M&M's separately.0 -
FPT:
Badly, at least if the Investors' Chronicle is to be believed.rcs1000 said:
14 yearsRichard_Nabavi said:
Yes, precisely.DavidL said:What I object to in the BTL market is the extent to which rental income is being supported and maintained by HB. If anyone wants to attack BTL for social reasons or otherwise that is surely the point of attack, not debt interest.
I came across an interesting pair of statistics recently. I'd be interested in people's guesses as to the correct answers to these two questions (no Googling!):
1. How often does the average house change hands (i.e. number of years)?
2. What proportion of housing transactions are new-build?
15-20%
How did I do?
"In the 1980s, the average house was changing hands every 10 years, but this has since climbed to 21 years. ...the sale of existing properties as a proportion of all housing transactions has halved to 35 per cent [i.e. new build is 65%]."
I must say I was gobsmacked by these figures.
http://www.investorschronicle.co.uk/2015/06/11/comment/property-matters/property-matters-housing-what-s-back-to-normal-eVz484bAZc6RktNl7iudAJ/article.html
The whole article is very interesting.0 -
I am wondering whether the SNP have plans to disrupt Osborne’s Budget speech next week.They did this to Lawson back in the late 80s when we ended up having several divisions in the middle of his speech following interruptions which led to the MPs concerned being ‘named’ by the Deputy Speaker. The SNP MPs refused to leave and this led to Votes being called to uphold the Deputy Speaker’s ruling. It caused quite a bit of mayhem at a time when they only had 3 MPs – with 56 the potential is much greater0
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I reckon income tax raised to 22p.0
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I've actually traded out the draw. The pitch is quite pathetic - if England play properly there should be no issues.
Even as a Welshman I think its a disgrace Cardiff got given a test, with nothing in Manchester or Leeds.
Shameful0 -
The mini rex rabbits in my profile are for sale btw - they are 8 weeks now.
@Thescreamingeagles You should invest £20 in one
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You are a brave man if you think it will be a draw. Pitch might be pathetic, but England are looking very very nervy and should be 4 down already.taffys said:I've actually traded out the draw. The pitch is quite pathetic - if England play properly there should be no issues.
Even as a Welshman I think its a disgrace Cardiff got given a test, with nothing in Manchester or Leeds.
Shameful0 -
O/T - Raheem Sterling is a complete [moderated] and I'd rather say nice things about Mark Reckless than about Raheem Sterling0
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Brand your dog food as *working dog* food and there's no VAT either.FrancisUrquhart said:
The whole pasty tax nonsense, what the public and media seemed to totally miss in all the outcry over VAT on pasties is what a total shambles the VAT system is.Philip_Thompson said:
A lot of media hysteria about some sensible changes before the Tories are re-elected with an increase in seats a few years later? Sign me up for that.TheScreamingEagles said:This has all the feelings of the Omnishambles budget
Anybody who spends any time for business or personal use in a place like CostCo where prices are displayed with and without VAT see clear as day just how ludicrous it can be e.g. Jar of nuts, no VAT, jar of nuts, with a handful of M&M's, add 20%, so it is cheaper to buy the nuts and a packet of M&M's separately.0 -
He was commenting on me... I don't think it'll be a draw but I can see Root/Ballance steadying the ship now and bringing the price in... *he hopes*FrancisUrquhart said:
You are a brave man if you think it will be a draw. Pitch might be pathetic, but England are looking very very nervy and should be 4 down already.taffys said:I've actually traded out the draw. The pitch is quite pathetic - if England play properly there should be no issues.
Even as a Welshman I think its a disgrace Cardiff got given a test, with nothing in Manchester or Leeds.
Shameful0 -
Do you still work on a stud? Hope I'm not confusing you with another poster!Pulpstar said:
The mini rex rabbits in my profile are for sale btw - they are 8 weeks now.
@Thescreamingeagles You should invest £20 in one0 -
Theresa May looks totally knackered...probably not helped by Chillaxing Dave to her right.0
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Here goes! Is no-one doing bingo?0
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No chance. Explicitly ruled out in the manifesto.tlg86 said:I reckon income tax raised to 22p.
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Bags under her bags. Being Home Sec must be a killer task master and always teetering on the edge of some crisis.FrancisUrquhart said:
Theresa May looks totally knackered.
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Long Term Economic Plan....head...desk...head..desk...0
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This is Ozzie's 7th Budget - how many Chancellors have done more?0
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Senior pols always seem to age faster than the rest of us. I imagine it's somewhat more stressful than most of us could imagine.Plato said:Bags under her bags. Being Home Sec must be a killer task master and always teetering on the edge of some crisis.
FrancisUrquhart said:Theresa May looks totally knackered.
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Sell the goal-shy cry-baby for £50mil I say...TheScreamingEagles said:O/T - Raheem Sterling is a complete [moderated] and I'd rather say nice things about Mark Reckless than about Raheem Sterling
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Long Term Economic Plan....head...desk...head..desk...0
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I agreeDaemonBarber said:
Sell the goal-shy cry-baby for £50mil I say...TheScreamingEagles said:O/T - Raheem Sterling is a complete [moderated] and I'd rather say nice things about Mark Reckless than about Raheem Sterling
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Simple slogan that created a majority!FrancisUrquhart said:Long Term Economic Plan....head...desk...head..desk...
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Brown for one. Longevity is no measure of success.Plato said:This is Ozzie's 7th Budget - how many Chancellors have done more?
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Osborne - Almost 1m more jobs will be created in next 5yrs.0
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What does "cutting deficit as same rate as last parliament" mean? Does that mean slower than outlined 3 months ago?0
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Gordon Brown and Lloyd George, I reckonPlato said:This is Ozzie's 7th Budget - how many Chancellors have done more?
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Do you think his speaking notes have hashtags?FrancisUrquhart said:Long Term Economic Plan....head...desk...head..desk...
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nothing of substance yet...0
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What a racket from the hecklers - WTF is the speaker up to ?0
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Yes, I was right...he is kicking things even further down the road. Going to be 1 year later before we get surplus, and in reality we know it won't be.0
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The Conservatives are putting back the first year of a surplus yet again. This repeats what has been done in nearly every one of Osborne's previous budgets. Expect it to continue in this Parliament.0
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isn't he just lowering the bar so he can beat it as the next election approaches ?Life_ina_market_town said:The Conservatives are putting back the first year of a surplus yet again. This repeats what has been done in nearly every one of Osborne's previous budgets. Expect it to continue in this Parliament.
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First trap set for the new Labour leader by Ozzy0
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@Alison_McGovern: Will Chancellor Osborne *ever* preside over a surplus? Only If he's still in the job in 2020, according to him. #SummerBudget0
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That 'fiscal charter' principal GO just outlined is how local government manage their finances over the medium term.0
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Pace is slower - but the end point is crystal clear. Not sure if Labour can match it. The deficit is going to be eliminated. Good.0
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1% growth threshold set for the new surplus requirement. Sensible threshold.0
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1% public sector pay rises until 2019/20. Unions are going to be spitting blood.0
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"7 day NHS" - won't someone think of the workers ?
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1% payrises for public sector workers over next 4yrs. That's one way to get more into the private sector.0
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Poor Andy Burnham. I'm sure HYUFD will be along to tell us why this is a vote winner for Andy BurnhamTGOHF said:"7 day NHS" - won't someone think of the workers ?
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Last season's recommendation on the match bet between Falcao and Welbeck was an amusingly poor profitable dead heat race.TheScreamingEagles said:
I agreeDaemonBarber said:
Sell the goal-shy cry-baby for £50mil I say...TheScreamingEagles said:O/T - Raheem Sterling is a complete [moderated] and I'd rather say nice things about Mark Reckless than about Raheem Sterling
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End to permanent non-doms - if you're resident for 15 of last 20yrs - that's it.0
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Penalties for being taxed by the Revenue (rather than Parliament) under the outrageous GAAR provisions. Insane.0
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Hit the non doms hard.0
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I wonder if the big surprise has something to do with Scotland.0
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Making foreign companies subject to inheritance tax. That again looks legally incoherent and constitutionally dodgy.0
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Interesting idea on bank taxes. Bank levy on its way out, HSBC will be happy. Might just be enough to keep them around.0
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Why if they own British properties? This brings us into line with many other nations.Life_ina_market_town said:Making foreign companies subject to inheritance tax. That again looks legally incoherent and constitutionally dodgy.
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Is he going to up the house threshold to a million though ?Life_ina_market_town said:Making foreign companies subject to inheritance tax. That again looks legally incoherent and constitutionally dodgy.
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Quite annoyed I didn't back Ed Balls in the Buzzword bingo0
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Fabulous BOJO Heathrow dig!0
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I also backed Rickie Lambert as top Premiership goal scorer last season.Pulpstar said:
Last season's recommendation on the match bet between Falcao and Welbeck was an amusingly poor profitable dead heat race.TheScreamingEagles said:
I agreeDaemonBarber said:
Sell the goal-shy cry-baby for £50mil I say...TheScreamingEagles said:O/T - Raheem Sterling is a complete [moderated] and I'd rather say nice things about Mark Reckless than about Raheem Sterling
What was I smoking when I placed that bet?0 -
Come on Rooty bring the draw back in to 2-1
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Countries I would assume with different legal traditions and constitutional settlements ?Philip_Thompson said:
Why if they own British properties? This brings us into line with many other nations.Life_ina_market_town said:Making foreign companies subject to inheritance tax. That again looks legally incoherent and constitutionally dodgy.
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Abolishing excise duty?!?0
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Because the whole basis of company law is that property is owned absolutely by the company, which is a separate legal person from its members or shareholders.Philip_Thompson said:Why if they own British properties? This brings us into line with many other nations.
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Motorists going to get bashed.0
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New VED bands from 2017 - £140 for 95% of cars. No raises for older cars. Tax going to Roads Fund = hypotheticated!
MOTs now 4yrs.0 -
He is going to have another go at personal service companies, after fiascos by previous governments trying to do the same, good luck with that.0
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Our constitutional settlement is that Parliament sets the rules. How does this differ from that?Indigo said:
Countries I would assume with different legal traditions and constitutional settlements ?Philip_Thompson said:
Why if they own British properties? This brings us into line with many other nations.Life_ina_market_town said:Making foreign companies subject to inheritance tax. That again looks legally incoherent and constitutionally dodgy.
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Roads fund from VED...0
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Hypothecation of VED!?!
Big move.0 -
I pay £30 on my car VED...
Am I about to be richer or poorer :P ?0 -
No mention of the Balance of Payments. I wonder why? 'Britain is not paying its way in the world'0
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If parliament could just do what it wants the Supreme Court wouldn't be required to judicially review laws and procedures...Philip_Thompson said:
Our constitutional settlement is that Parliament sets the rules. How does this differ from that?Indigo said:
Countries I would assume with different legal traditions and constitutional settlements ?Philip_Thompson said:
Why if they own British properties? This brings us into line with many other nations.Life_ina_market_town said:Making foreign companies subject to inheritance tax. That again looks legally incoherent and constitutionally dodgy.
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Ooh. The Road Fund licence returns!0
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Companies still have to pay tax.Life_ina_market_town said:
Because the whole basis of company law is that property is owned absolutely by the company, which is a separate legal person from its members or shareholders.Philip_Thompson said:Why if they own British properties? This brings us into line with many other nations.
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Apprenticeship levy, don't like the sound of that.0
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I need to see the details on that one - could be great or awful.FrancisUrquhart said:
Apprenticeship levy, don't like the sound of that.
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Bad move to totally get rid of student grants and replace them with loans..they were unsustainable, but genuinely poor students should get some help.0
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Yes, but inheritance tax is a charge on estates. A company, by definition, can never enter into anything equivalent to the affairs of a deceased testator.Philip_Thompson said:Companies still have to pay tax.
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I think thats probably right, plus gives him a bit of leeway in the event of the 'regulators' having to kick in. Our big problem seems to me to be that we are not collecting the taxes that you would expect our economy to generate.TGOHF said:
isn't he just lowering the bar so he can beat it as the next election approaches ?Life_ina_market_town said:The Conservatives are putting back the first year of a surplus yet again. This repeats what has been done in nearly every one of Osborne's previous budgets. Expect it to continue in this Parliament.
The fact is that many commentators have been saying the previous timetable was still needlessly strict. The important factor is that the programme of spending cuts is continuing. It should be a warning to us all that once you start spending - especially on the scale of Brown - it is incredibly difficult to turn the taps off.0 -
Fuel Duty remains frozen0
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Lovely bit of well deserved Nat bashing.0
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10 councils in Gt Manchester to take over more powers in return for directly elected mayor. Sheffield, Leeds, North Yorks to get similar offers if agreement reached.0
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But they don't have to be paid back unless earnings are high - poor students who don't earn big bucks are unaffected.FrancisUrquhart said:Bad move to totally get rid of student grants and replace them with loans..they were unsustainable, but genuinely poor students should get some help.
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Given that student loans are in no sense "loans" within the ordinary meaning of the term, this is utterly unobjectionable.FrancisUrquhart said:Bad move to totally get rid of student grants and replace them with loans..they were unsustainable, but genuinely poor students should get some help.
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