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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As George Osborne prepares make his statement ComRes issue

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  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Moving pensions onto an ISA-style tax model (from EET to TEE, to use the jargon) would do the following:

    1) effectively remove the tax advantages of the tax free lump sum for pensions

    2) take higher rate tax relief away from all higher rate taxpayers but only give tax relief at that rate to those of them whose pensions would also be taxed at the higher rate

    I'm sure none of this has entered the Chancellor's head.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,064
    Some kind of real terms rise in the defence budget.

    2% target met for the next 10 years. Big one there.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    dr_spyn said:

    Arbeit macht frei.

    Absolutely! I would love a Labour MP to get up and say that there.
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    MaxPB said:

    £11k tax free allowance.

    When? Is he just pre-announcing next March's budget rise?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,984
    IDS over the moon
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    NMW £9ph by 2020 Living Wage - Low Pay Commission to agree new rises. £7.20 next year.

    WOW.
  • DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626
    Living wage wheeze
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    £9 living wage for over 25s..

    :D
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    National Living Wage
  • DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626
    wtf just happened?
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    More bullshit on national living wages - scrap the tax credits and the government interference. Smoke and mirrors stuff from Osborne.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,064
    Holy shit.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,064
    Labour's raison d'etre?
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    Incoming zinger from George,
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,142

    Mortimer said:

    TGOHF said:

    Mortimer said:

    Dividend taxation sounds much more complex, despite being sold as a simplefication...

    It's much simpler for those that earn less than 5k pa from divis.
    Sounds like the aim is to stop the tax dodge where people form companies and pay out as dividends rather than salary. Have to do my sums to see how it affects my own finances.
    I guess he has to do that because Britain has this ludicrously huge difference between the tax you pay on salary and the tax you pay on dividends, and he's making it even ludicrouslier huger.
    As I've argued ad nauseum, the difference between tax on salary and tax on dividends is because if you're receiving dividends you are:

    a) risking capital (which will already have been taxed at some point)
    b) not receiving the same employment benefits as the employed

    c) are paying Corporation Tax.

    That is being reduced, you need to look at it as a whole package of reforms.
    And changes to thresholds too.
    My accountant is going to earn his fee the next couple of years/

    It is going to be infinitely more complex for those receiving >5k in dividend income each year.

    Details needed, because, IIRC, he didn't mention doing anything with the notional 10% tax credit that comes with dividends.


  • Patrick said:

    He seems to have forgotten to screw the Jocks.

    Bear in mind if he is reducing overall spending then that will have Barnett consequentials so Holyrood will lose money
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417
    NMW will be NLW £9/hr in 2020 ?!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    Osborne really is Gordon Brown MK II.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,984
    On the day of the foxhunting announcement,Osborne just shot Labour's fox on low wages.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Isn't £7.20 below the current minimum wage ?
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    OBR says 'only a fractional difference in employment' re NLW.

    Small firms Emp NI cut. 4 employees tax free.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,064
    Speechless.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,969
    Bingo! National Living wage!!!!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    WTF, didn't he also combine NI/IC.
  • DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626
    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    TGOHF said:

    Mortimer said:

    Dividend taxation sounds much more complex, despite being sold as a simplefication...

    It's much simpler for those that earn less than 5k pa from divis.
    Sounds like the aim is to stop the tax dodge where people form companies and pay out as dividends rather than salary. Have to do my sums to see how it affects my own finances.
    I guess he has to do that because Britain has this ludicrously huge difference between the tax you pay on salary and the tax you pay on dividends, and he's making it even ludicrouslier huger.
    As I've argued ad nauseum, the difference between tax on salary and tax on dividends is because if you're receiving dividends you are:

    a) risking capital (which will already have been taxed at some point)
    b) not receiving the same employment benefits as the employed

    c) are paying Corporation Tax.

    That is being reduced, you need to look at it as a whole package of reforms.
    And changes to thresholds too.
    My accountant is going to earn his fee the next couple of years/

    It is going to be infinitely more complex for those receiving >5k in dividend income each year.

    Details needed, because, IIRC, he didn't mention doing anything with the notional 10% tax credit that comes with dividends.


    My accountant issues a budget update doc/guide... I think it may take a bit longer to publish than usual
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Chukka must be glad he is sitting this one out ..
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    edited July 2015
    What's Hattie tot to say about the budget.. just a load of old tried and failed opposition policies.
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474

    Mortimer said:

    TGOHF said:

    Mortimer said:

    Dividend taxation sounds much more complex, despite being sold as a simplefication...

    It's much simpler for those that earn less than 5k pa from divis.
    Sounds like the aim is to stop the tax dodge where people form companies and pay out as dividends rather than salary. Have to do my sums to see how it affects my own finances.
    I guess he has to do that because Britain has this ludicrously huge difference between the tax you pay on salary and the tax you pay on dividends, and he's making it even ludicrouslier huger.
    As I've argued ad nauseum, the difference between tax on salary and tax on dividends is because if you're receiving dividends you are:

    a) risking capital (which will already have been taxed at some point)
    b) not receiving the same employment benefits as the employed

    c) are paying Corporation Tax.

    That is being reduced, you need to look at it as a whole package of reforms.
    Fag packet calc - the increase in Div tax is a multiple of any benefit from the reduction of Corp tax for the average small business.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Labour's hen house is full of Tory foxes with shotguns :smiley:
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    edited July 2015
    Something to remember, £9/hr by 2020 isn't that much over an inflation rise in minimum wage every year.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    This is an enormously important budget. Most of the next five years' politics are set out in it.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,064
    TGOHF said:

    Isn't £7.20 below the current minimum wage ?

    No? NMW is £6.50ph.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Sounded rather like Hitler - thought he had said something like Ein Reich, Ein Fuhrer, Ein Volk at the end.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,142
    Well he may have pulled the rabbit out of hat there for small businesses. Details on employer NI reform needed.
  • So a quiet and inconsequential budget then!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,984
    I always worry about Budgets that get loudly cheered on the day.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Hattie getting deja vu from her stint after the exit poll was announced.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    As Gaby Hinsliff tweets: God knows how labour is going to respond to this.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,690
    watford30 said:

    Mortimer said:

    TGOHF said:

    Mortimer said:

    Dividend taxation sounds much more complex, despite being sold as a simplefication...

    It's much simpler for those that earn less than 5k pa from divis.
    Sounds like the aim is to stop the tax dodge where people form companies and pay out as dividends rather than salary. Have to do my sums to see how it affects my own finances.
    I guess he has to do that because Britain has this ludicrously huge difference between the tax you pay on salary and the tax you pay on dividends, and he's making it even ludicrouslier huger.
    As I've argued ad nauseum, the difference between tax on salary and tax on dividends is because if you're receiving dividends you are:

    a) risking capital (which will already have been taxed at some point)
    b) not receiving the same employment benefits as the employed

    c) are paying Corporation Tax.

    That is being reduced, you need to look at it as a whole package of reforms.
    Fag packet calc - the increase in Div tax is a multiple of any benefit from the reduction of Corp tax for the average small business.
    Hi Watford, what does that mean? (Serious question not being funny)
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,142
    watford30 said:

    Mortimer said:

    TGOHF said:

    Mortimer said:

    Dividend taxation sounds much more complex, despite being sold as a simplefication...

    It's much simpler for those that earn less than 5k pa from divis.
    Sounds like the aim is to stop the tax dodge where people form companies and pay out as dividends rather than salary. Have to do my sums to see how it affects my own finances.
    I guess he has to do that because Britain has this ludicrously huge difference between the tax you pay on salary and the tax you pay on dividends, and he's making it even ludicrouslier huger.
    As I've argued ad nauseum, the difference between tax on salary and tax on dividends is because if you're receiving dividends you are:

    a) risking capital (which will already have been taxed at some point)
    b) not receiving the same employment benefits as the employed

    c) are paying Corporation Tax.

    That is being reduced, you need to look at it as a whole package of reforms.
    Fag packet calc - the increase in Div tax is a multiple of any benefit from the reduction of Corp tax for the average small business.
    That was my initial gut and first spreadsheet reactions show too...

  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,389
    Boy George!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    antifrank said:

    This is an enormously important budget. Most of the next five years' politics are set out in it.

    Heir to Brown!
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    TGOHF said:

    Isn't £7.20 below the current minimum wage ?

    No its £6.50
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Borrowing revised down from ££76bn to £69.5bn

    8% surcharge on bank profits from 2017.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    Hattie got the wrong script.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,309
    Telling that Harman had Yvette Cooper next to her to brief her during the budget.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417

    Something to remember, £9/hr by 2020 isn't that much over an inflation rise in minimum wage every year.

    2014 NMW: £6.50/hr

    6 years at say 3% inflation (High side estimate) = £7.76

    A fair bit over actually.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,142
    Damn, it looks like the dividend credit is going.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,984
    I reckon this will be the image/video of the day

    https://twitter.com/AmberSkyNews/status/618762139428388864
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,780
    Cor dear hattie struggling a bit
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Hattie goes for man not ball.
  • DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626
    Telling response from Harriet.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    She's got no idea and wibbling - I feel quite sorry for her.

    No one is listening either.

    Hattie got the wrong script.

  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,309

    I reckon this will be the image/video of the day

    The quiet man is here to bray.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    I struggling to think of a budget with as much major new stuff in it. Astonishing given that this same Chancellor has already presented a budget this year.

    The dividend tax changes need some analysis - for people paying themselves by dividends from a small or service company, there is presumably a benefit from the £5K tax-free allowance offset by a loss on the higher rate thereafter. So I think that whether you are a gainer or loser will depend on the amount you take out.
  • Anyone catch what was announced re alcoholic liquor duties?
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,389
    edited July 2015
    "Living wage" timed just nicely for 2020... Wonder what will be happening that year?????? :smiley:
  • DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626
    Mortimer said:

    Damn, it looks like the dividend credit is going.

    A shift in the salary versus dividend balance then.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,003
    edited July 2015
    So largely as expected, cuts to inheritance tax, fuel duty frozen, income tax for middle and low earners and corporation tax. Also welfare capped to £20,000 and working age benefits frozen for 4 years, tax credits reduced and capped to 2 children, housing benefit cut and ended for under 21s and social housing charged at market rent for wealthy, 1% cap on public pay increases for next 4 years. BBC to pay cost of free TV licenses themselves. A commitment to defence spending too.
    Icing on the cake the increase in the living wage, but with scrapping of some NI payments for small business care needs to be taken to ensure state pension and contributory JSA entitlements are maintained
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Pulpstar said:

    Something to remember, £9/hr by 2020 isn't that much over an inflation rise in minimum wage every year.

    2014 NMW: £6.50/hr

    6 years at say 3% inflation (High side estimate) = £7.76

    A fair bit over actually.
    £9/hr only for over 25s though.

  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,672
    Delighted that everyone now believes the Living Wage is a good idea. How swiftly views change, eh? If the Tories implement Labour policies that's not a problem for me.
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    I wonder how many rich socialists are now going to have to pay economic rent.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    Pulpstar said:

    Something to remember, £9/hr by 2020 isn't that much over an inflation rise in minimum wage every year.

    2014 NMW: £6.50/hr

    6 years at say 3% inflation (High side estimate) = £7.76

    A fair bit over actually.
    "Government sources have suggested that the rate would probably rise to £8 by the end of the next Parliament if it continued on current trends."

    £1 more per hour...so ~£1800 per year. Depends how much is being taken away from all the other things.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417
    TGOHF said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Something to remember, £9/hr by 2020 isn't that much over an inflation rise in minimum wage every year.

    2014 NMW: £6.50/hr

    6 years at say 3% inflation (High side estimate) = £7.76

    A fair bit over actually.
    £9/hr only for over 25s though.

    18-24s don't bother to vote though :P
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    I reckon this will be the image/video of the day

    The quiet man is here to bray.
    Conservatives cheering the poor getting a pay rise - detoxification complete.

  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    Cor dear hattie struggling a bit

    to be fair, most budget responses are like this.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,984

    Delighted that everyone now believes the Living Wage is a good idea. How swiftly views change, eh? If the Tories implement Labour policies that's not a problem for me.

    I reckon there's two major Ed Miliband policies George appropriated today, the living wage and non doms.

    Labour should bring back Ed.
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    edited July 2015

    Delighted that everyone now believes the Living Wage is a good idea. How swiftly views change, eh? If the Tories implement Labour policies that's not a problem for me.

    No, but its a problem for Labour..
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,142
    Personal complications aside and the attack on smaller and esp. family owned businesses aside, am very supportive of the efforts to make individuals less reliant on the state.


    (:-) Just wish the state was a little less reliant on me as a result, but can't have it all ways!)
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,417

    Delighted that everyone now believes the Living Wage is a good idea. How swiftly views change, eh? If the Tories implement Labour policies that's not a problem for me.

    I reckon there's two major Ed Miliband policies George appropriated today, the living wage and non doms.

    Labour should bring back Ed.
    Quite a few Labour policies were actually reasonably popular - the country just didn't trust Ed, Ed and Alex at the tiller.

    This is smart politics by George.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    TGOHF said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Something to remember, £9/hr by 2020 isn't that much over an inflation rise in minimum wage every year.

    2014 NMW: £6.50/hr

    6 years at say 3% inflation (High side estimate) = £7.76

    A fair bit over actually.
    £9/hr only for over 25s though.

    So basically it is just another band to the minimum wage. I would prefer to see it based upon time worked. Seems highly unfair that somebody joins the workforce at 16, works hard, gets trained and 3 years later an employer can still pay them £6.50.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,064

    Delighted that everyone now believes the Living Wage is a good idea. How swiftly views change, eh? If the Tories implement Labour policies that's not a problem for me.

    I think you will find there are those of us on the right who have been calling for a much higher minimum wage for over two years now.

    Glad to see the Chancellor take up the cause as well.
  • I wonder how many rich socialists are now going to have to pay economic rent.

    Len McCluskey for one!
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,672

    Delighted that everyone now believes the Living Wage is a good idea. How swiftly views change, eh? If the Tories implement Labour policies that's not a problem for me.

    I reckon there's two major Ed Miliband policies George appropriated today, the living wage and non doms.

    Labour should bring back Ed.

    Yep, non-doms too.

    It's not really credible to say the LDs held the Tories back on either, so this is clearly something the Tories feel they have to do.

  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,969

    Delighted that everyone now believes the Living Wage is a good idea. How swiftly views change, eh? If the Tories implement Labour policies that's not a problem for me.

    Except only the Tories have the strong economy that makes it viable.
  • Does anyone seriously believe we are going to be in surplus in 2019-2020? As always with Osborne, this was politics over economics. One of the most captivating and game-changing budgets for many years, however.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    TGOHF said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Something to remember, £9/hr by 2020 isn't that much over an inflation rise in minimum wage every year.

    2014 NMW: £6.50/hr

    6 years at say 3% inflation (High side estimate) = £7.76

    A fair bit over actually.
    £9/hr only for over 25s though.

    So basically it is just another band to the minimum wage. I would prefer to see it based upon time worked. Seems highly unfair that somebody joins the workforce at 16, works hard, gets trained and 3 years later an employer can still pay them £6.50.

    Those are minimum wages, not targets or the amounts expected for trained workers.

  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Delighted that everyone now believes the Living Wage is a good idea. How swiftly views change, eh? If the Tories implement Labour policies that's not a problem for me.

    Companies will be happy to pay higher wages if taxes are cut which is the balance Osborne strikes.

    Expecting companies to pay higher wages while increasing their taxes (as Ed proposed) was bonkers.

    Big difference. Lower taxes = higher wages.
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    Patrick said:

    I wonder how many rich socialists are now going to have to pay economic rent.

    Len McCluskey for one!
    The Daily Mail needs to comprise a list ;)
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,672

    Delighted that everyone now believes the Living Wage is a good idea. How swiftly views change, eh? If the Tories implement Labour policies that's not a problem for me.

    No, but its a problem for Labour..

    Possibly. We'll have to see how those cuts fall.

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    edited July 2015

    TGOHF said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Something to remember, £9/hr by 2020 isn't that much over an inflation rise in minimum wage every year.

    2014 NMW: £6.50/hr

    6 years at say 3% inflation (High side estimate) = £7.76

    A fair bit over actually.
    £9/hr only for over 25s though.

    So basically it is just another band to the minimum wage. I would prefer to see it based upon time worked. Seems highly unfair that somebody joins the workforce at 16, works hard, gets trained and 3 years later an employer can still pay them £6.50.

    Those are minimum wages, not targets or the amounts expected for trained workers.

    I know, but we know what has happened and does happened with any of these things. It becomes the level of the ceiling give or take a bit.

    Out of interest, I took a look last week at random jobs in the local paper across a wide variety of sector just out on interest and they all had something in common, £6.50/hr.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Does anyone seriously believe we are going to be in surplus in 2019-2020? As always with Osborne, this was politics over economics. One of the most captivating and game-changing budgets for many years, however.

    Yes absolutely I do (so long as we're not in recession).
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    Delighted that everyone now believes the Living Wage is a good idea. How swiftly views change, eh? If the Tories implement Labour policies that's not a problem for me.

    George's campaign to smoke out the cheerleaders and astroturfers.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,064

    Delighted that everyone now believes the Living Wage is a good idea. How swiftly views change, eh? If the Tories implement Labour policies that's not a problem for me.

    I reckon there's two major Ed Miliband policies George appropriated today, the living wage and non doms.

    Labour should bring back Ed.

    Yep, non-doms too.

    It's not really credible to say the LDs held the Tories back on either, so this is clearly something the Tories feel they have to do.

    Three areas where the Tories are weak have been addressed today:

    Rich mates - hit the non-doms
    On the side of landlords - hit their offsets
    Hate the poor - introduce a living wage

    All in all, it was a good budget, just need to delve into the detail.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,045
    Did Hattie actually listen to the Chancellor, or is she just reading the script she wrote after reading the papers this morning?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,969
    Harriet's response is like someone who has just witnessed Pearl Harbour - and chooses to focus on the noise pollution on a Sunday morning.....
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,003

    WTF, didn't he also combine NI/IC.

    Only for some small businesses, though needs to ensure still entitlement to state pensions, contributory JSA based on IC contributions
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    GO's living wage of £9 higher than the SNP manifesto pledge of just £8.70.

    Perhaps they should have the powers devolved to block this ?

    :D
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,984

    Harriet's response is like someone who has just witnessed Pearl Harbour - and chooses to focus on the noise pollution on a Sunday morning.....

    More a case, she's watched Pearl Harbour, whilst everyone else watched Tora! Tora! Tora!
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    TGOHF said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Something to remember, £9/hr by 2020 isn't that much over an inflation rise in minimum wage every year.

    2014 NMW: £6.50/hr

    6 years at say 3% inflation (High side estimate) = £7.76

    A fair bit over actually.
    £9/hr only for over 25s though.

    So basically it is just another band to the minimum wage. I would prefer to see it based upon time worked. Seems highly unfair that somebody joins the workforce at 16, works hard, gets trained and 3 years later an employer can still pay them £6.50.

    Those are minimum wages, not targets or the amounts expected for trained workers.

    I know, but we know what has happened and does happened with any of these things. It becomes the level of the ceiling give or take a bit.

    Out of interest, I took a look last week at random jobs in the local paper across a wide variety of sector just out on interest and they all had something in common, £6.50/hr.

    A lot of jobs put in the local paper are unskilled/starter jobs though.

  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Hattie is claiming Ozzie is making working people worse off.

    Umm...
  • This is a HUGE budget. It does two things:
    1. The centre ground has moved significantly towards 'sound money' macro-economics; and
    2. The individual benefits as the state retreats, shifting expectations of what you get vs what you give.

    There'll be acres of wailing and gnashing from Polly. But by 2020 the facts on the ground will be well established. The UK will be a freer, more competitive, more self reliant place.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Yvette looks like she'd like to commit hari-kari.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822

    Yep, non-doms too.

    No, Ed Miliband had the bonkers idea of abolishing non-dom status altogether, which would have been counter-productive. This is a tightening up of the criteria to avoid abuse - not the same at all.

    On the 'living wage', what Osborne has actually done is announced a significant increase in the Minimum Wage with some re-branding. The most important thing about it is that he has, thank goodness, avoided the disastrous effect that this would have had on employment for the young if it had applied to under-25s.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    So what did you know in advance?! Did it appear?

    Harriet's response is like someone who has just witnessed Pearl Harbour - and chooses to focus on the noise pollution on a Sunday morning.....

  • DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626
    It's a fairly standard response from LotO. It's a toughgig to respond to the budget. This one perhaps more so given some of the tanks placed on Labour's lawn.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    edited July 2015

    TGOHF said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Something to remember, £9/hr by 2020 isn't that much over an inflation rise in minimum wage every year.

    2014 NMW: £6.50/hr

    6 years at say 3% inflation (High side estimate) = £7.76

    A fair bit over actually.
    £9/hr only for over 25s though.

    So basically it is just another band to the minimum wage. I would prefer to see it based upon time worked. Seems highly unfair that somebody joins the workforce at 16, works hard, gets trained and 3 years later an employer can still pay them £6.50.

    Those are minimum wages, not targets or the amounts expected for trained workers.

    I know, but we know what has happened and does happened with any of these things. It becomes the level of the ceiling give or take a bit.

    Out of interest, I took a look last week at random jobs in the local paper across a wide variety of sector just out on interest and they all had something in common, £6.50/hr.

    A lot of jobs put in the local paper are unskilled/starter jobs though.

    Yes, sure, but we know there has been a real affect that minimum wage has anchored the top end of pay for unskilled and semi-skilled jobs. I am just saying that employers if they want can take on 16 years old and never pay them any more until 25.

    It might also have a perverse affect that 25 year olds become less attractive to employ.
  • The budget documents have now been published online here.
This discussion has been closed.