politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If this YouGov polling is correct stopping the SNP in Scotl

Big_G_NorthWales said:

welshowl said:

I have no idea what the parties are doing. It's unearthly weird.

What the Tories are doing with this 3 day volunteering thing is beyond me, as is the resitting of SATs tests as a policy deemed releasable to the news cycle. The Fallon quote was a cock up let's be honest, and detracted from the Trident message ( which was actually only "we'll buy one extra boat"). The six year old passed out next to Cameron was on to something.

Labour's non Dom thing prob played well with its target audience but they made an utter Horlicks launching it. Now Ed is in Scotland, implausibly channeling his inner Bundesbank, lecturing the SNP on the virtues of fiscal rectitude and nobody will believe a word he's saying. Oh and he's frozen/capped/constrained ( perm any two from three just like gas or rents ) train fares.

I can literally remember nothing about the Lib's campaign other than Nick Clegg walking through a wooded area with Ed Davey.

UKIP are making the Tories look like a Mandelsoneque campaign in comparison. it's just vapid and shows that sans Nigel there's sod all ( where is Carswell??).

The SNP are doing a lap of honour and in fairness I think they could announce the slaughter of the first born and it won't make any difference in 2015, landslide doesn't cover it I think.

Plaid/Greens Respect - well I'm bored now anyway who the hell cares? ( Though Plaid's Ceredigion candidate must be starring in a reality show for a bet - surely)

Basically I'm not impressed though at least Labour appear arsed about it in fairness. Innumerate, but arsed.

This is the election where what's NOT in the manifesto is the bit to look for, because they are all giving me the impression of tippy toeing around the big big issues because they are all scared we'll get the heeeby jeebies if we are told something approaching the truth. Come on Tories: where are the £12bn welfare cuts coming from then? Labour stop trying to con us you can get mansions, and non doms, and bankers to raise the taxes you want to - 'cos they can't and we know it.

Feel better having got that lit off my chest!

Very good summary except the train fare freeze is David Camerons

Fair enough ( I thought Ed had done it too). Another Earth shattering direction setting policy from Tory HQ then. ( I'm sure Ed wants to limit them really too. I doubt he'll be happy till he's personally going round Asdas with a sticker gun regulating the prices!)

ScotsTory said:

Long time lurker here but finally registered so I can post.

Welcome!

We are desperately short of Scottish Tories on the site...

SNP or Labour for a Conservative voter in a SNP-LAB marginal - the vote makes next to no difference for who is PM anyway.

Vote Conservative - Stick to your beliefs
Vote Labour - Give PM Ed an easy ride for 5 years
Vote SNP - Make Ed's premiership an absolute misery.

MikeL said:

FTSE closes at all time record high - 7089.

Yes and on Monday I will convert to cash a large part of my portfolio,fill up my cash isa, and Mrs Jayfdee cash ISA, use up all my capital gains allowance including realising some losses, maybe buy some euros to keep under the bed, and then hunker down until it is all over.
Any other suggestions to make myself Milliproof welcome.

https://twitter.com/MrJohnNicolson/status/585162213670944768

Milngavie is in East Dunbartonshire for those who don't know the geography. It's also one of the poshest suburbs of Glasgow full of £1m+ properties.

"Police were told a burglar alarm had gone off at the scene of the Hatton Garden safety deposit raid - but decided it did not require a response."

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-32253724


"All monitored intruder alarm systems are assigned a Level 1 status when they are first installed - i.e. the police respond immediately when the ARC has confirmed an activation, as outlined above.
In the Original ACPO Policy if the police are called to respond to 2 false alarms within any 12 month period, the police response would fall to Level 2. Since the introduction of the ACPO 2004 Policy, this Level 2 response is no longer employed by nearly all police constabularies. Instead, if the police are called to respond to 3 false alarms within any 12 month period, the police response will fall to Level 3 and police response would be withdrawn."

http://www.ciaalarms.co.uk/intruder-alarms/monitoring/police-response

jayfdee said:

MikeL said:

FTSE closes at all time record high - 7089.

Yes and on Monday I will convert to cash a large part of my portfolio,fill up my cash isa, and Mrs Jayfdee cash ISA, use up all my capital gains allowance including realising some losses, maybe buy some euros to keep under the bed, and then hunker down until it is all over.
Any other suggestions to make myself Milliproof welcome.

Move your money into shares that are overseas earners, in particular those such as GSK that earn in Dollars. They will do well if Sterling slides.

jayfdee said:

MikeL said:

FTSE closes at all time record high - 7089.

Yes and on Monday I will convert to cash a large part of my portfolio,fill up my cash isa, and Mrs Jayfdee cash ISA, use up all my capital gains allowance including realising some losses, maybe buy some euros to keep under the bed, and then hunker down until it is all over.
Any other suggestions to make myself Milliproof welcome.

Ive decided not to realise gains for 2015/16 pre GE.

Lab have said they will put up top rate to 50% for 2015/16 - I think they could also easily cut the CGT allowance for 2015/16 - even though we are already into the year.

Remember the LDs proposed cutting it to £1,500 or £2,000 (from £11,100!).

foxinsoxuk said:

jayfdee said:

MikeL said:

FTSE closes at all time record high - 7089.

Yes and on Monday I will convert to cash a large part of my portfolio,fill up my cash isa, and Mrs Jayfdee cash ISA, use up all my capital gains allowance including realising some losses, maybe buy some euros to keep under the bed, and then hunker down until it is all over.
Any other suggestions to make myself Milliproof welcome.

Move your money into shares that are overseas earners, in particular those such as GSK that earn in Dollars. They will do well if Sterling slides.

People should really review all their personal finances around the chaos this election will hopefully bring.

If any Tories are around could they say whether this second coming of 'The Big Society' has been researched? I cannot for the life of me imagine it winning a single vote.

So what am I missing?

Scott_P said:

JPJ2 said:

Also today's campaign, referred to as Labour's attack on the SNP "black hole" as the BBC neutrally portray it, seems to ignore the agreed terms of the Smith Commission

That's because the Smith Commission does not apply.

The SNP want FFA, which is not what the Smith Commission recommends. If you get FFA, you don't get Smith.

And with FFA, the numbers are £7.6bn short

So says a turnip head expert

glw said:

RobD said:

Pull your finger out and give us something worthwhile. I plan to vote for you in the Forest of Dean but this is a poor poor campaign so far.

They must be saving all the good stuff for the manifesto. Right?

I'm pretty sure I didn't say that.

ScotsTory What would be useful would be a voteswap website, so say Tories vote Labour in SNP v Labour seats in return for Labour voters voting Tory in rural SNP v Tory seats.

Certainly next year at Holyrood though where the UK government will not be at issue I would expect far more tactical voting, with Tories voting Labour on the constituency vote and Tory on the regional list

MikeL said:

jayfdee said:

MikeL said:

FTSE closes at all time record high - 7089.

Yes and on Monday I will convert to cash a large part of my portfolio,fill up my cash isa, and Mrs Jayfdee cash ISA, use up all my capital gains allowance including realising some losses, maybe buy some euros to keep under the bed, and then hunker down until it is all over.
Any other suggestions to make myself Milliproof welcome.

Ive decided not to realise gains for 2015/16 pre GE.

Lab have said they will put up top rate to 50% for 2015/16 - I think they could also easily cut the CGT allowance for 2015/16 - even though we are already into the year.

Remember the LDs proposed cutting it to £1,500 or £2,000 (from £11,100!).

Could Labour reduce the CGT allowance for the year and apply it retrospectively to gains already realised in the year?

slade said:

I drove through Bradford today. The east ring road - Killinghall Rd and Harrogate Rd - is lined with David Ward posters, No sign of anyone else.

That's been my "surprise libdem hold" bet for some time

Dair said:

https://twitter.com/MrJohnNicolson/status/585162213670944768

Milngavie is in East Dunbartonshire for those who don't know the geography. It's also one of the poshest suburbs of Glasgow full of £1m+ properties.

And, as any fule kno, pronounced Milguy, which may be why some PBers don't know the geography.

Dair said:

TheWatcher said:

Alistair said:

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/apr/10/what-would-happen-if-the-snp-fielded-candidates-across-britain

Who were they polling, 'Wings' in Bath?

It takes a special kind of a dimwit in an English constituency to vote for a candidate who wants to pick their pockets and send cash over the border to Northern Britain.

The SNP platform at this election is to transition to Full Fiscal Autonomy. Regardless of which direction you believe subsidies are heading, they would end.

I would think you would be very much in favour of this.

The dumpling just has rabid hatred of all things Scottish and can only whine like the dullard he is.

welshowl said:

Big_G_NorthWales said:

welshowl said:

I have no idea what the parties are doing. It's unearthly weird.

What the Tories are doing with this 3 day volunteering thing is beyond me, as is the resitting of SATs tests as a policy deemed releasable to the news cycle. The Fallon quote was a cock up let's be honest, and detracted from the Trident message ( which was actually only "we'll buy one extra boat"). The six year old passed out next to Cameron was on to something.

Labour's non Dom thing prob played well with its target audience but they made an utter Horlicks launching it. Now Ed is in Scotland, implausibly channeling his inner Bundesbank, lecturing the SNP on the virtues of fiscal rectitude and nobody will believe a word he's saying. Oh and he's frozen/capped/constrained ( perm any two from three just like gas or rents ) train fares.

I can literally remember nothing about the Lib's campaign other than Nick Clegg walking through a wooded area with Ed Davey.

UKIP are making the Tories look like a Mandelsoneque campaign in comparison. it's just vapid and shows that sans Nigel there's sod all ( where is Carswell??).

The SNP are doing a lap of honour and in fairness I think they could announce the slaughter of the first born and it won't make any difference in 2015, landslide doesn't cover it I think.

Plaid/Greens Respect - well I'm bored now anyway who the hell cares? ( Though Plaid's Ceredigion candidate must be starring in a reality show for a bet - surely)

Basically I'm not impressed though at least Labour appear arsed about it in fairness. Innumerate, but arsed.

This is the election where what's NOT in the manifesto is the bit to look for, because they are all giving me the impression of tippy toeing around the big big issues because they are all scared we'll get the heeeby jeebies if we are told something approaching the truth. Come on Tories: where are the £12bn welfare cuts coming from then? Labour stop trying to con us you can get mansions, and non doms, and bankers to raise the taxes you want to - 'cos they can't and we know it.

Feel better having got that lit off my chest!

Very good summary except the train fare freeze is David Camerons

Fair enough ( I thought Ed had done it too). Another Earth shattering direction setting policy from Tory HQ then. ( I'm sure Ed wants to limit them really too. I doubt he'll be happy till he's personally going round Asdas with a sticker gun regulating the prices!)

It is quite a good policy as the fare increases will be restricted to RPI throughout the five years of the Parliament. However their hasn't been a game changer by anyone and if there is nothing significant in the manifestos then the Country, sadly, is drifting into utter chaos

This really made me laugh. Eggs and Bacon.

https://twitter.com/alanferrier/status/586522939182469121

Scott_P said:

ScotsTory said:

Long time lurker here but finally registered so I can post.

Welcome!

We are desperately short of Scottish Tories on the site...

Ha Ha Ha ......... Scotland is very short of Tories

Election watch

Labour leaflet today.. No pic of Ed

Just that and Ukip so far

HYUFD said:

ScotsTory What would be useful would be a voteswap website, so say Tories vote Labour in SNP v Labour seats in return for Labour voters voting Tory in rural SNP v Tory seats.

Certainly next year at Holyrood though where the UK government will not be at issue I would expect far more tactical voting, with Tories voting Labour on the constituency vote and Tory on the regional list

Regardless of them fiddling , both will be rarer than rocking horse merde, extinction beckons for the London sockpuppet parties

Richard_Nabavi said:

jayfdee said:

Could Labour reduce the CGT allowance for the year and apply it retrospectively to gains already realised in the year?

Unlikely, I think. Even Ed Miliband wouldn't be that irresponsible.

I think that kind of retrospection is pretty improbably. What is plausible is a reduction in the allowance applying to any incremental gains during the year after the allowance change. So if you've already used your allowance, you're fine but if not then you can forget about it. Moderately complicated to implement but a picnic compared to the child benefit higher earners' charge.

(My "expert" advice is perhaps best treated with caution here. About this time in 2010 I stood up in front of an audience of about 200 financial advisers to give a pre-election tax advice update to aid client discussions and told them that I didn't see the CGT rate being changed after the election because it didn't fit with the current direction of fiscal policy pursued by either of the major parties. I haven't been invited back this year.)

MikeL said:

jayfdee said:

MikeL said:

jayfdee said:

MikeL said:

FTSE closes at all time record high - 7089.

Yes and on Monday I will convert to cash a large part of my portfolio,fill up my cash isa, and Mrs Jayfdee cash ISA, use up all my capital gains allowance including realising some losses, maybe buy some euros to keep under the bed, and then hunker down until it is all over.
Any other suggestions to make myself Milliproof welcome.

Ive decided not to realise gains for 2015/16 pre GE.

Lab have said they will put up top rate to 50% for 2015/16 - I think they could also easily cut the CGT allowance for 2015/16 - even though we are already into the year.

Remember the LDs proposed cutting it to £1,500 or £2,000 (from £11,100!).

Could Labour reduce the CGT allowance for the year and apply it retrospectively to gains already realised in the year?

Yes, I think they could.

They have already said they will change the 45p rate to 50p for the whole year - ie from 6th April. If they can do that then they can change the CGT allowance as well.

Not saying they will - who knows!!!

OK plan B gift a large portion to my children,they will get it sooner or later anyway,they can nibble away at it with whatever personal CGT allowance remains.

Carnyx said:

Dair said:

https://twitter.com/MrJohnNicolson/status/585162213670944768

Milngavie is in East Dunbartonshire for those who don't know the geography. It's also one of the poshest suburbs of Glasgow full of £1m+ properties.

And, as any fule kno, pronounced Milguy, which may be why some PBers don't know the geography.

More importantly, it's also the southern end of the West Highland Way. Which is a very nice trail (especially at the northern end), but rather too busy to be a classic.

MikeL said:

ScotsTory said:

DanSmith said:

SNP winning a seat instead of the Conservatives helps Labour.

SNP winning a seat instead of Labour helps the Conservatives.

I just don't see tactical voting happening on any great scale.

Long time lurker here but finally registered so I can post. The tactical voting point is something I'm struggling with. My constituency is a straight SNP/SLAB fight. I would love to say I'm the bigger man and would vote for the Unionst candidate (I.e. SLAB) but with my UK hat on it is in our interests for the SNP to take the seat. I was discussing this with a colleague of mine today (he is not a Tory) and we felt that a SNP vote is a safe vote this time - next year at Holyrood elections it will be different! On reflection I'm going to stick with my instincts and vote Tory (albeit probably wasted in terms of outcome) and think many others will do the same

Please do not vote Lab under any circumstances.

Con 290
Lab 270
LD 30
SNP 40

Cameron will be PM

Con 290
Lab 290
LD 30
SNP 20

Miliband will be PM

Approx numbers but you get the point. LD will not go with Lab if SNP also needed. LD will go with Lab if SNP not needed.

The LDs would extract a very heavy penalty from the Conservatives to form a government on those numbers, which would also require DUP acquiescence to S&C. Personally, I'm not sure Cameron could carry such a deal past his party. He might have no choice but to resign.

If they didn't get it, they might well go with Labour for a minority coalition. There's Plaid, Green, SDLP as well, which gives an extra 7-8 seats, to 307-308 seats. That'd comfortably outvote Tory+DUP+UKIP. Such a minority Lab-LD coalition could only really be threatened when the Tories and SNP joined forces against a measure they both didn't like.

I agree there's a grey zone between 285-295 seats where the Conservatives continuing in government is *possible*, but it's also rather unlikely.

Casino_Royale said:

Pulpstar said:

foxinsoxuk said:

jayfdee said:

MikeL said:

FTSE closes at all time record high - 7089.

Yes and on Monday I will convert to cash a large part of my portfolio,fill up my cash isa, and Mrs Jayfdee cash ISA, use up all my capital gains allowance including realising some losses, maybe buy some euros to keep under the bed, and then hunker down until it is all over.
Any other suggestions to make myself Milliproof welcome.

Move your money into shares that are overseas earners, in particular those such as GSK that earn in Dollars. They will do well if Sterling slides.

People should really review all their personal finances around the chaos this election will hopefully bring.

What would you suggest?

Most of my money is tied up in equity in my house. I rely on my monthly salary (like most people) for everything else, although I do have a few k (and it is a few) of savings.

As I am very squarely in the crosshairs of those who Labour target for a tax squeeze (those earning between £35k-£75k in the private sector) I expect to feel a very real financial penalty.

I don't think there's very much I can do about it.

I know there's a tendency on PB to characterise Ed's Labour party as the British Syriza, but I really can't see there being any substantive difference in the taxation levels implemented plans by either main party - certainly not for people such as you in the middle-income range. In short, I really don't think you need worry.

More hyping of anti-SNP tactical voting from the unionist Laura Kueensberg of the BBC:

"Something else is brewing, however. It is hard ever to be definitive about tactical voting and its effects. But a group of activists who worked together to oppose independence have reunited to try to stop, or at least hold back, the SNP surge.

The campaign, United Against Separation (UAS), claims to have around 600 activists signed up in Scotland, from Labour, Tory, Lib Dems and those who aren't in any parties. They have pledged to help the SNP's closest rival in every single seat in Scotland, no matter who it is.

The group says it is already delivering campaign materials and knocking on doors to try to switch votes. Andrew Skinner from the campaign told me in one Labour-held seat this week, Inverclyde, that activists from UAS persuaded dozens of voters in a Tory area of the seat to vote Labour, to help block the SNP.

Mr Skinner said: "People won't say publicly, but be it a Labour or a Tory area they are happy to vote the other way to keep the SNP out."

No campaign posters during the independence referendum campaign

Will tactical voting from former "No" campaigners play a role in May's election?

It's hard to verify their claims but Dundee-based Lib Dem activist Fraser McPherson says there is "absolutely no doubt" they are seeing tactical voting right across north-east Scotland.

One voter tells me: "I'm interested in a tactical vote... there are a lot of people like me who don't want to make a big noise about it."

Even once the polls are closed, the results are in, and we know how big the SNP success story is, we'll never be able fully to quantify the impact of voters making tactical choices. But Mr Skinner believes it's "on people's lips" and could take some of the shine off the SNP's likely victories.

The SNP is, though, the dominant force. There is no question they are on course to take significant numbers of seats in Scotland. But with four weeks to go we can't know just how big their influence will turn out to be.

I remember the confidence displayed by many Yes campaigners in the week before the independence referendum and their crashing disappointment afterwards. The polls of course are this time, completely different and it's a totally different vote.

However, in an election as unpredictable as this one, runaway assumptions could well turn out to be wrong."

Last sentence is her own obvious wishful thinking.

SouthamObserver said:

MP_SE said:

isam said:

Telegraph Politics (@TelePolitics)
10/04/2015 16:55
Labour candidate: People who fly England flags are 'simpletons and casual racists' tgr.ph/1CzH8YC

Beat me to it.

I think Nige's comment says it all about Labour. IF Labour win the election, UKIP will be in a very very strong position to hoover up an awful lot of working class northern votes when they realise that Labour despises everything they believe in.

https://twitter.com/GuidoFawkes/status/586553362100973568

Interesting. What does this single entity known as the white working class believe in? Many white working class people believe in the public sector. Labour does not despise that. UKIP's Thatcherite leadership does. Many more believe in strong trade unions. Labour does not despise that. UKIP's Thatcherite leadership does.There are a fair few who believe in an expanded state. Labour does not despise that. UKIP's Thatcherite leadership does.

If you are the kind of person who seriously believes the white working class drives around in white vans and likes nothing more than waving England flags you really do not know much about the white working class, which - in reality - comes in all shapes and sizes and is home to a wide variety of views.

Would you be able to point out specifically where in my post I mentioned white?

Whether you like it or not the working class/white working class are for the most part patriotic. Sneering at England flags and insulting those who choose to display them is not patriotic. I know that may be hard for you to believe as the liberal elite which flock to Labour are ashamed of England's past.

If what you said is correct why did Emily Thornberry get the boot? Obviously Ed doesn't agree with you.

Don't crash the switchboards in the rush fellow PB'ers.
But auntie Beeb needs you!

"Ultimate election geek

Are you election-mad? BBC News is searching for the ' biggest amateur general election nerd '. Can you help?"

ThomasNashe said:

Casino_Royale said:

Pulpstar said:

foxinsoxuk said:

jayfdee said:

MikeL said:

FTSE closes at all time record high - 7089.

Yes and on Monday I will convert to cash a large part of my portfolio,fill up my cash isa, and Mrs Jayfdee cash ISA, use up all my capital gains allowance including realising some losses, maybe buy some euros to keep under the bed, and then hunker down until it is all over.
Any other suggestions to make myself Milliproof welcome.

Move your money into shares that are overseas earners, in particular those such as GSK that earn in Dollars. They will do well if Sterling slides.

People should really review all their personal finances around the chaos this election will hopefully bring.

What would you suggest?

Most of my money is tied up in equity in my house. I rely on my monthly salary (like most people) for everything else, although I do have a few k (and it is a few) of savings.

As I am very squarely in the crosshairs of those who Labour target for a tax squeeze (those earning between £35k-£75k in the private sector) I expect to feel a very real financial penalty.

I don't think there's very much I can do about it.

I know there's a tendency on PB to characterise Ed's Labour party as the British Syriza, but I really can't see there being any substantive difference in the taxation levels implemented plans by either main party - certainly not for people such as you in the middle-income range. In short, I really don't think you need worry.

Thanks, I wish I could share your optimism, but I disagree.

We rehearsed Labour tax moves on here the other day; their stated policy is to shift toward increasing tax rather than cutting spending to solve the deficit. Although, personally, I think they'll probably borrow as much as they can get away with.

I think the 40p band would be frozen. There would probably be no further real uplifts in the basic IT threshold. My pension savings limits would be cut (again) and fuel duty increased. And nothing on inheritance tax, although the Tories probably won't do much on that either.

More seriously, due to their macro-economic management of the country (including mansion taxes, 50p top rate, increases in corporation tax and increases in Employer NI) I wouldn't be surprised to see the economy suffer and my salary growth stagnate over time.

I'd expect to be several thousand pounds worse off over five years. Possibly a lot more.

Dair said:

This really made me laugh. Eggs and Bacon.

That's the second genuinely funny Nat thing posted today (after the Murphy history show). In other words, a record

MalcG Tactical voting will be more a factor at Holyrood next year, but may save a handful of seats next year

Casino_Royale said:

ThomasNashe said:

Casino_Royale said:

Pulpstar said:

foxinsoxuk said:

jayfdee said:

MikeL said:

FTSE closes at all time record high - 7089.

Yes and on Monday I will convert to cash a large part of my portfolio,fill up my cash isa, and Mrs Jayfdee cash ISA, use up all my capital gains allowance including realising some losses, maybe buy some euros to keep under the bed, and then hunker down until it is all over.
Any other suggestions to make myself Milliproof welcome.

Move your money into shares that are overseas earners, in particular those such as GSK that earn in Dollars. They will do well if Sterling slides.

People should really review all their personal finances around the chaos this election will hopefully bring.

What would you suggest?

Most of my money is tied up in equity in my house. I rely on my monthly salary (like most people) for everything else, although I do have a few k (and it is a few) of savings.

As I am very squarely in the crosshairs of those who Labour target for a tax squeeze (those earning between £35k-£75k in the private sector) I expect to feel a very real financial penalty.

I don't think there's very much I can do about it.

I know there's a tendency on PB to characterise Ed's Labour party as the British Syriza, but I really can't see there being any substantive difference in the taxation levels implemented plans by either main party - certainly not for people such as you in the middle-income range. In short, I really don't think you need worry.

Thanks, I wish I could share your optimism, but I disagree.

We rehearsed Labour tax moves on here the other day; their stated policy is to shift toward increasing tax rather than cutting spending to solve the deficit. Although, personally, I think they'll probably borrow as much as they can get away with.

I think the 40p band would be frozen. There would probably be no further real uplifts in the basic IT threshold. My pension savings limits would be cut (again) and fuel duty increased. And nothing on inheritance tax, although the Tories probably won't do much on that either.

More seriously, due to their macro-economic management of the country (including mansion taxes, 50p top rate, increases in corporation tax and increases in Employer NI) I wouldn't be surprised to see the economy suffer and my salary growth stagnate over time.

I'd expect to be several thousand pounds worse off over five years. Possibly a lot more.

I fear sticky fingers will be stuck into pensions ( yes we remember Gordon), which really pisses me off as it's tax on the virtuous activity of saving for your old age. I may be wrong, I hope I am but I doubt it.

Apparently the SNP have opened a second election shop in East Dunbartonshire.

Second Lib Dem PEB.

And it's another one based around driving a car around.

WTF.

For the cricket fans on here, here's a ridiculous catch from the IPL:
https://vine.co/v/eBVx1IIUg6A

I have hard Ed is bringing in a PB Tory tax if he wins!

bigjohnowls said:

I have hard Ed is bringing in a PB Tory tax if he wins!

And you think this is in jest !!!!!

PeterfromP At Holyrood next year though when the UK government is not at stake far more Tories will vote Labour on the constituency level and Tory on the regional list to try and deny the SNP another majority

bigjohnowls said:

I have hard Ed is bringing in a PB Tory tax if he wins!

I know you're a staunch supporter, but Ed really shouldn't have than affect on you.

Writing during the 2006 football World Cup, Mr Thomas said: "I agree it is totally sickening the number of English flags to be seen around Wales. It really shows the level our society has been infiltrated by immigrants who aren't ready to integrate."

Replace that with say Pakistani flags seen in England and Farage (or a random UKIP'er for that matter), it would be headline news rather than buried away under "Candidate suggested cars be damaged". Strange how the headline writers for the BBC never manage to fit the word Labour in either.

I was in Scotland for two weeks in the run up to the referendum, and found people very reticent to express opinions in public. The polls were quite inaccurate, as it turned out. No doubt the SNP are on the up, but may again not do as well as the polls are suggesting.

"BBC News is looking for the biggest amateur general election nerd. " o_O

HYUFD said:

Pulpstar Calum Well even in Stirling if Labour got 25% and 2/3 of Tories tactically voted Labour, that would give Labour 42.5% and the seat

Unless Labour is on 25% and the Tories on 20%, in which case your scenario only yields a losing vote of 38-39%

FrancisUrquhart said:

Writing during the 2006 football World Cup, Mr Thomas said: "I agree it is totally sickening the number of English flags to be seen around Wales. It really shows the level our society has been infiltrated by immigrants who aren't ready to integrate."

Replace that with say Pakistani flags seen in England and Farage (or a random UKIP'er for that matter), it would be headline news rather than buried away under "Candidate suggested cars be damaged". Strange how the headline writers for the BBC never manage to fit the word Labour in either.

Edit on the final point...looks like they have changed it partially. Appears as two different headlines, neither of which actually note the real issue with what he said.

TimT I was giving the Tories 25% at the upper end of Calum's scale

No Labour incumbent in Stirling.

Open goal for SNP.

Pulpstar said:

"BBC News is looking for the biggest amateur general election nerd. " o_O

Pulpstar said:

"BBC News is looking for the biggest amateur general election nerd. " o_O

malcolmg said:

Scott_P said:

ScotsTory said:

Long time lurker here but finally registered so I can post.

Welcome!

We are desperately short of Scottish Tories on the site...

Ha Ha Ha ......... Scotland is very short of Tories

18% -only 7 points behind Labour. And may I remind you the Tories kept a SNP minority Government in power.