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edited April 2015 in General

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  • Sturgeon by a mile
  • MarqueeMark
    MarqueeMark Posts: 55,458
    Sturgeon.

    But Cameron has an easy message to sell - steady as she goes....
  • My wife kept asking 'why is Caroline Lucas not there' and she knows little about politics
  • bunnco
    bunnco Posts: 169
    As said on last thread, Cameron DID look like a PM. Miliband was just another one amongst the others and will suffer in Wales and Scotland as a result increasing chance of Tories being largest party.
  • Fenster
    Fenster Posts: 2,115
    Sturgeon. Class act.
  • Saltire
    Saltire Posts: 525
    Sturgeon gets 28% on the Yougov poll. Leading Farage by 8%
  • Grandiose
    Grandiose Posts: 2,323
    Who won and who will shift more votes will prove to have different answers. Farage proved himself the marmie politician, the man for whom the NHS is about healthcare tourists, housing is about immigrants, living standards about immigration depressing wages, etc.
  • Farage - Sturgeon - Miliband - in that order.

    Plaid leader was the surprise - not very polished but had some good moments.
  • Fenster
    Fenster Posts: 2,115
    Agree on Sturgeon's accent too. Gravitas.
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    Sturgeon "won".

    But the biggest winners were Farage and Clegg.
  • Woo hoo first
  • EPG
    EPG Posts: 6,739
    Lab 270 seats
    SNP 55 seats
    Baroness Sturgeon to Lords as PM
  • You gov has tories on 37pct tonight
  • MP_SE
    MP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Suprised Sturgeon polled so high. An excellent result for Nige and a poor result for the metropolitan elite.
  • Interesting Clegg ended up so poorly rated, I thought he'd have a best of the rest after the minor parties
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    Who won: The SNP, but they were going to win almost all seats in scotland anyway.
    In non-scotland land: Farage.
  • Eastwinger
    Eastwinger Posts: 356

    Sturgeon by a mile

    Yes, the kiddies love it when teacher says its time to hand out the sweeties

  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    edited April 2015
    ICM
    Milliband wins.
  • saddened
    saddened Posts: 2,245
    Who won doesn't really matter, as very few people will have watched it. What will really matter is how the news outlets edit the sound bites that is what most people will see.
  • Grandiose
    Grandiose Posts: 2,323

    Sturgeon by a mile

    Yes, the kiddies love it when teacher says its time to hand out the sweeties


    Bennett was there to make Sturgeon look like the milk snatcher by comparison.
  • Sean_F
    Sean_F Posts: 39,132
    Farage will be very happy with 20%,
  • felix
    felix Posts: 15,180
    Good YG for Conservatives and on the debate Cam is ahead of Miliband. Job done.
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251
    22.06, and I've received an email from Labour about the debate. The problem is that it contains nothing specific about the debate, and is obviously pre-written.

    Pathetic.

    (And I'll say the same for the other parties if they do it).
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    Speedy said:

    ICM
    Milliband wins.

    Quite a big difference in the placings and percentages too.
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    BBC - SNP have biggest smiles on their faces.
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,076
    I agree with Nicola!
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    MP_SE said:

    Suprised Sturgeon polled so high. An excellent result for Nige and a poor result for the metropolitan elite.

    If you take the SNP out of this (only 10% of the population are in Scotland) then the winner was Farage (50% more than UKIP's vote share), with a second place for Clegg (twice the LibDem's vote share).
  • MaxPB
    MaxPB Posts: 40,327
    Sturgeon absolutely won. Of the PM candidates I think Dave will have won comfortably.
  • JackW
    JackW Posts: 14,787
    Debate pollsters all over the shop.
  • Sean_F
    Sean_F Posts: 39,132

    You gov has tories on 37pct tonight

    Where's that from?

  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    ICM

    Milliband 25
    Cameron 24
    Farage 19
    Sturgeon 17
    Clegg 9
  • Carnyx
    Carnyx Posts: 44,654
    FPT
    rcs1000 said:

    Sturgeon's accent her greatest asset.

    Why do you say that? Just intrigued ...

  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    Agreed.

    Sturgeon did well and I wouldn't want to be a Labour MP.

    I thought Clegg was polished but bland apart from thumping EdM once. He can't do the I'm A Nice Guy thing again - so Ms Greenies did it instead.

    Nigel is just too one-trick for me = I found his endless face pulling and laughing inappropriate for a leaders' debate.
    bunnco said:

    As said on last thread, Cameron DID look like a PM. Miliband was just another one amongst the others and will suffer in Wales and Scotland as a result increasing chance of Tories being largest party.

  • Jonathan
    Jonathan Posts: 22,107
    Pollsters lose the debate.
  • MP_SE
    MP_SE Posts: 3,642
    rcs1000 said:

    MP_SE said:

    Suprised Sturgeon polled so high. An excellent result for Nige and a poor result for the metropolitan elite.

    If you take the SNP out of this (only 10% of the population are in Scotland) then the winner was Farage (50% more than UKIP's vote share), with a second place for Clegg (twice the LibDem's vote share).
    A pleasant suprise that Nicola won it as I thought people would have voted according to which party they would vote for at the GE.
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    Nick Eardley ‏@nickeardley 3m3 minutes ago
    ComRes snap poll result:

    21% Cam
    21% Mili
    9% Clegg
    21% Farage
    5% Bennett
    20% Sturgeon
    2% Wood
  • MarkHopkins
    MarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    So it's a Sturgasm this time.

    That will make Cameron happy.

  • RodCrosby
    RodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    edited April 2015
    ComRes three-way tie

    Cam/Mil/Farage on 21%
  • Eastwinger
    Eastwinger Posts: 356

    You gov has tories on 37pct tonight

    anybody said "broken sleazy Ed on the slide", yet?
  • Tykejohnno
    Tykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    MikeL said:

    BBC - SNP have biggest smiles on their faces.

    labour in Scotland should be worried,more now.
  • Roger
    Roger Posts: 20,744
    Did Nicola win? I put £50 at 7/1.

    The milky bars are on me!!
  • did Ed sum up well or badly?

    His worm looks like it needs some V!agra.
  • Carnyx
    Carnyx Posts: 44,654
    rcs1000 said:

    MP_SE said:

    Suprised Sturgeon polled so high. An excellent result for Nige and a poor result for the metropolitan elite.

    If you take the SNP out of this (only 10% of the population are in Scotland) then the winner was Farage (50% more than UKIP's vote share), with a second place for Clegg (twice the LibDem's vote share).
    But if she has teed off potential Labour and LD voters in England, ad deters them from voting Labour or LD, then that helps too. You need to remember we're all in the union together.

  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    With a 4 day Easter break there is nothing here big enough to create follow through.
  • Freggles
    Freggles Posts: 3,487
    Gold standard.

    Ok in seriousness this highlights the risk of relying on polls too much, lots of variation
  • MaxPB
    MaxPB Posts: 40,327

    did Ed sum up well or badly?

    His worm looks like it needs some V!agra.

    He looked like a smug arse. His face was awful.
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    3 polls so far:
    ICM Milliband by 1
    ComRes: 3 way tie M/F/C.
    Yougov: Sturgeon by 8.

  • Stereotomy
    Stereotomy Posts: 4,092


    So it's a Sturgasm this time.

    That will make Cameron happy.

    Will it? The impact will be much greater south of the border where there's no SNP candidates to vote and Labour are the next best thing
  • MP_SE
    MP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Roger said:

    Did Nicola win? I put £50 at 7/1.

    The milky bars are on me!!

    Congrats. Very nice.
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    BBC worm (MORI) - per MORI spokesman: Miliband didn't get as good a reaction as Cameron.

    After the initial headline this BBC1 10 pm report is pretty solid for Cameron.
  • Roger
    Roger Posts: 20,744
    Comm Res results completely different. Ladbrokes going with YouGov I believe
  • Artist
    Artist Posts: 1,893
    ITV are only reporting the ComRes poll, I thought YouGov had the official verdict.
  • felix
    felix Posts: 15,180
    Any boost for the SNP does most damage to Labour and LDs - I'd be surprised if it affected tory voters up there.
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    Fenster said:

    Agree on Sturgeon's accent too. Gravitas.

    Well established that people in the UK prefer Scottish accents over any other.
  • EPG
    EPG Posts: 6,739
    If this set of polls reflects the state of polling for the 7th of May, God help us all.
  • Freggles
    Freggles Posts: 3,487
    Poor old Clegg what a shame
  • MaxPB
    MaxPB Posts: 40,327
    BBC's worm looked good for Farage on the HIV stuff.
  • Pong
    Pong Posts: 4,693
    Speedy said:

    3 polls so far:
    ICM Milliband by 1
    ComRes: 3 way tie M/F/C.
    Yougov: Sturgeon by 8.

    lol.

    Surprised Clegg didn't get anywhere close - I thought he was impressive personally.

    I need to check my bias. It ain't helpful for betting purposes....
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    "Winners grin, Losers spin"

    Osborne looks like the Cheshire Cat, Baldwin is apparently frenetic
  • Tykejohnno
    Tykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Speedy said:

    3 polls so far:
    ICM Milliband by 1
    ComRes: 3 way tie M/F/C.
    Yougov: Sturgeon by 8.

    Cameron beating miliband on YouGov.

  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Artist said:

    ITV are only reporting the ComRes poll, I thought YouGov had the official verdict.

    Betfair using YouGov.

    ITV can do what they want.

    What are the precise ITV ComRes numbers?
  • Nemtynakht
    Nemtynakht Posts: 2,329
    Cameron won by splitting the left wing vote. Labour will have significant resources tied up in Scotland and Wales. Academic / do-gooder types can vote liberal or green. Working class can vote for Ukip. Only Farage would have attracted any of the Tory right.
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    EPG said:

    Lab 270 seats
    SNP 55 seats
    Baroness Sturgeon to Lords as PM

    Constitutionally that would work. But it would mean Nicola being ejected from the SNP - accepting a Lordship = expulsion.
  • JackW said:

    Debate pollsters all over the shop.

    so no clear winner then.

    interestingly Dave's worm finished very high Ed's very low-any clear reason why??
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    edited April 2015
    Cameron got what he wished:

    - Miliband swamped among the other five, almost forgotten about at times.

    - His main opponent's main oppenents in Scotland doing well....

    - No one stand-out that might cause a surge anywhere.

    I'm calling it for Cam.
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Sturgeon doing well obviously good news for Cameron.
  • Stereotomy
    Stereotomy Posts: 4,092
    Will be interesting to see if Farage's relatively sound performance leads to UKIP peeling off some of those votes they've been leaking. And if they can keep them
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,724
    edited April 2015
    Last weeks winner was Paxman, this week, Crosby....

    I bet Ed is looking for to the opposition debate, while Dave and Nick sit at home and play Candy Crush.
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Con Most seats 1.50.

    Pre debate was 1.51.
  • Ishmael_X
    Ishmael_X Posts: 3,664
    I thought that was cracking political theatre (whatever one's politics).

    Cameron must be very pleased with the way it has all played out.
  • Carnyx
    Carnyx Posts: 44,654
    Dair said:

    Fenster said:

    Agree on Sturgeon's accent too. Gravitas.

    Well established that people in the UK prefer Scottish accents over any other.
    Ah. Curious though, one wonders if Weegie and Doric rate the same as Edinbugger - and Inverness, Zetland ...

    Which one do you make hers? I've a tin ear for such things.

  • Alistair
    Alistair Posts: 23,670
    I would like to apologise to any one I put off of betting on Sturgeon with my bold pronouncements that she had no chance.
  • Casino_Royale
    Casino_Royale Posts: 63,687
    Roger said:

    Did Nicola win? I put £50 at 7/1.

    The milky bars are on me!!

    Roger said:

    Did Nicola win? I put £50 at 7/1.

    The milky bars are on me!!

    Well done.
  • IOS
    IOS Posts: 1,450
    Wasn't Ed meant to lose these debates. INSTEAD HE IS WINNING THEM!
  • MP_SE
    MP_SE Posts: 3,642
    Lots of former BNP votes for UKIP to hoover up.
  • Casino_Royale
    Casino_Royale Posts: 63,687
    RodCrosby said:

    ComRes three-way tie

    Cam/Mil/Farage on 21%

    Argh. Why wasn't Betfair settling on that market? I'd have been quids in!
  • Alistair
    Alistair Posts: 23,670
    Still we are all winners because we all backed the ties right?
  • Freggles
    Freggles Posts: 3,487
    So everyone can pick their preferred result. Unless you're a Lib Dem
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @PickardJE: KILLER POLL

    ComRes asked who's "most capable of leading the country" - judging by debate - Cameron 40%, Miliband 28%, Farage 10%, Clegg 4%
  • Jonathan
    Jonathan Posts: 22,107
    There really is something for everyone in these polls...

    ... apart from Nick Clegg.
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    MikeL said:

    Sturgeon doing well obviously good news for Cameron.

    Instead of Labour winning 4 seats in scotland now they will win what?
  • RodCrosby
    RodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Dougie Alexander looks like a man who knows he's a gonner...
  • MonikerDiCanio
    MonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    Something fishy about the YouGov Sturgeon numbers.
  • Pong
    Pong Posts: 4,693
    Alistair said:

    Still we are all winners because we all backed the ties right?

    Yup :)
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    BBC not reporting any debate poll yet.

    Programme wrap-up still to come.
  • IOS
    IOS Posts: 1,450
    poor old Scottp can never ever offer his own thoughts, No wonder his wife walked out.
  • Freggles
    Freggles Posts: 3,487
    Scott_P said:

    @PickardJE: KILLER POLL

    ComRes asked who's "most capable of leading the country" - judging by debate - Cameron 40%, Miliband 28%, Farage 10%, Clegg 4%

    And the cherry picking begins
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950

    Something fishy about the YouGov Sturgeon numbers.

    I agree - seems odd.
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    It really reminded me of the huge GOP primary debate last time around.
    Ishmael_X said:

    I thought that was cracking political theatre (whatever one's politics).

    Cameron must be very pleased with the way it has all played out.

  • SMukesh
    SMukesh Posts: 1,759
    Mili wins.becoming very familiar face to the people of this country.
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    Sturgeon may appear to have won, but she appears to equate growth with incresed welfare spending, and higher taxes. She is a fiscal illiterate, and suffers from economic incontinence. Scotland's economy would not thrive with her in charge.

    Miliband will lose seats in Wales and Scotland, but as for The Greens, they have picked a charmless charisma free dud.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    So a clear winner then? Miliband, Cameron, Sturgeon and Farage
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    Carnyx said:

    Dair said:

    Fenster said:

    Agree on Sturgeon's accent too. Gravitas.

    Well established that people in the UK prefer Scottish accents over any other.
    Ah. Curious though, one wonders if Weegie and Doric rate the same as Edinbugger - and Inverness, Zetland ...

    Which one do you make hers? I've a tin ear for such things.

    She's from Ayrshire and sounds it but there's not much between West Central accents.
  • Casino_Royale
    Casino_Royale Posts: 63,687
    The pollsters being over the place sort of vindicates Cameron's strategy for these debates: put in so many leaders, that no conclusive narrative can be formed any which way.

    But I do find it astonishing how many of our political leaders seem to struggle with basic debating skills. Sturgeon is one of the few who bothered to learn her trade.
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