Skip to content

Why a change of leader might not help Labour – politicalbetting.com

13»

Comments

  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,586
    The government really does hate people like me.

    Rachel Reeves considering rent freeze to limit Iran war fallout

    Exclusive: Sources say chancellor is examining exceptional measures to protect household budgets


    Rachel Reeves is considering imposing a one-year rent freeze on private sector homes amid growing alarm in government about the impact of the Iran war on voters’ budgets.

    Landlords in England would be banned from raising rents for a limited period of time under the proposals, which are being debated within government as part of a major cost of living package to be launched in the coming weeks.

    The measure would be a significant reversal from the chancellor, who has resisted including rent controls in the government’s renters’ rights reforms, which come into force on Friday.

    But sources informed of the government discussions say ministers are now sufficiently worried about what the conflict in Iran will mean for mortgages and household budgets that they are willing to consider exceptional measures.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/apr/27/rachel-reeves-considering-rent-freeze-to-limit-iran-war-fallout?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,586

    HYUFD said:

    Hampshire County council voting intention:

    ➡️ Ref: 29% (+29)
    🟠 Lib: 27% (-)
    🔵 Con: 21% (-30)
    🟢 Grn: 13% (+9)
    🔴 Lab: 8% (-5)

    Via
    @YouGov
    , 27 March-21 April
    ---
    (+/- vs 2021)

    https://x.com/LeftieStats/status/2048803646062678242?s=20

    Kemi fans, please explain?
    Finishing third behind the Lib Dems in Hampshire should trigger a vote of no confidence.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 22,035
    Could both Keir and Kemi lose their seats in the next GE?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,586
    Anyhoo I will give you all a PB exclusive.

    A reliable source tells me Kemi is safe from a vote of no confidence if the locals are worse than feared, if there is one, she'll lose, but there's no appetite for one.

    What will trigger a VONC is if she tries and spins bad results as an excellent performance.
  • kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    So it appears that the appointment of Lord Mandelson wasn’t the worst job given out by Starmer.

    The appointment of Lord Hermer is considerably worse.

    Most of us are only realising today, that Hermer, Starmer, and Phil Shiner, were the three biggest advocates of lawsuits against British soldiers, on evidence that was at best obtained through coercion, and at worst was simply fabricated.

    Yes. Hermer and maybe Starmer will be lucky to avoid prosecution if a proper right wing government comes to power. And if they are convicted they need to do very serious time
    You sound like 'Lucky' and Aspers' and the gang chuntering about Harold Wilson over their mediocre claret and lamb chops in a 70s Mayfair gaming club.
    That’s the nicest thing you’ve ever said to me. Bless
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 3,146
    nico67 said:

    https://x.com/Steven_Swinford/status/2048844812452036847

    When you read the evidence from Ian Collard, the head of security at the foreign office, it begs an overwhelming question - why did Keir Starmer sack Sir Olly Robbins?

    Starmer said he sacked him for failing to inform him of the fact that Mandelson had failed to pass UK Security Vetting

    But Robbins told MPs he didn’t know this. He says he was told it was a borderline case and decided to grant Mandelson developed vetting with appropriate mitigations in place

    Specifically never saw the box ticked by UKSV explicitly warning against appointing Mandelson.

    His argument was twofold: 1) He couldn’t tell the PM something he didn’t know and 2) that the PM had misunderstood the vetting process. The role of UKSV was advisory, and the decision rested with him and the foreign office security team

    Ian Collard, the former head of the foreign office security team, has tonight corroborated his entire account. He said he told him that it was a borderline case. That he didn’t see the ticked box recommending against Mandelson’s appointment either. And that he also felt under pressure

    We expect Sir Philip Barton, Robbins’s predecessor, to corroborate his account re pressure tomorrow

    So again, why did Starmer sack Robbins? He couldn’t tell him something he didn’t not know and had not seen

    How can the head of foreign office security not see the ticked red box as he should have access to all the info ?

    It seems that everyone seems to be avoiding seeing anything . His department are the ones that made the borderline decision .
    Yep, effectively he was sacked for not reading the UKSV summary before granting vetting.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,586

    Could both Keir and Kemi lose their seats in the next GE?

    Yes.

    It's something I am writing a piece on for this weekend whilst I am on my break.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,824

    Could both Keir and Kemi lose their seats in the next GE?

    I very much doubt Starmer will be standing. He will already have been a backbencher for a couple of years.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,586

    But who are the soulless minions?

    Well done for spotting my subtle DS9 reference.
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,804

    HYUFD said:

    Hampshire County council voting intention:

    ➡️ Ref: 29% (+29)
    🟠 Lib: 27% (-)
    🔵 Con: 21% (-30)
    🟢 Grn: 13% (+9)
    🔴 Lab: 8% (-5)

    Via
    @YouGov
    , 27 March-21 April
    ---
    (+/- vs 2021)

    https://x.com/LeftieStats/status/2048803646062678242?s=20

    Kemi fans, please explain?
    Why vote for a pale imitation when you can have the real thing.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 18,482

    https://x.com/jackelsom/status/2048827222472159628

    NEW: Head of UK vetting Ian Collard says No10 DID apply pressure over Lord Mandelson's clearance - but he says this did not affect the outcome.

    So my controversial take on this is that "applying pressure" is kind of the prime minister's job.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 23,200
    Is it wrong to favour Judd Trump because (a) Trump wins headlines make me laugh or (b) because he seems to be the only player not overweight.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 22,035

    Is it wrong to favour Judd Trump because (a) Trump wins headlines make me laugh or (b) because he seems to be the only player not overweight.

    Is he next in line for the throne when Donald dies?
  • rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    So it appears that the appointment of Lord Mandelson wasn’t the worst job given out by Starmer.

    The appointment of Lord Hermer is considerably worse.

    Most of us are only realising today, that Hermer, Starmer, and Phil Shiner, were the three biggest advocates of lawsuits against British soldiers, on evidence that was at best obtained through coercion, and at worst was simply fabricated.

    Yes. Hermer and maybe Starmer will be lucky to avoid prosecution if a proper right wing government comes to power. And if they are convicted they need to do very serious time
    You have this bizarre obsession with prosecuting people for "crimes", without actually specifying what the crime you think they've committed is.

    Are you OK with Farage being prosecuted by a left wing government if things don't go swimmingly when Reform is in charge?
    Treason
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,586

    NEW THREAD

  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 89,685

    The government really does hate people like me.

    Rachel Reeves considering rent freeze to limit Iran war fallout

    Exclusive: Sources say chancellor is examining exceptional measures to protect household budgets


    Rachel Reeves is considering imposing a one-year rent freeze on private sector homes amid growing alarm in government about the impact of the Iran war on voters’ budgets.

    Landlords in England would be banned from raising rents for a limited period of time under the proposals, which are being debated within government as part of a major cost of living package to be launched in the coming weeks.

    The measure would be a significant reversal from the chancellor, who has resisted including rent controls in the government’s renters’ rights reforms, which come into force on Friday.

    But sources informed of the government discussions say ministers are now sufficiently worried about what the conflict in Iran will mean for mortgages and household budgets that they are willing to consider exceptional measures.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/apr/27/rachel-reeves-considering-rent-freeze-to-limit-iran-war-fallout?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

    That's a really poor idea.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 89,685
    She seems nice..

    This is Trump's newly hired immigration judge Melissa Isaak, who:

    — Claimed there are two types of women: "real women" who support their husbands and a "warm wet hole"
    — Attacked women in the military
    — Defended disgraced Senate candidate Roy Moore from pedophilia allegations
    — Defended three January 6 insurrectionists
    — Falsely argued that men suffer from domestic abuse more than women

    https://x.com/factpostnews/status/2048818506066543094
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 25,472

    Could both Keir and Kemi lose their seats in the next GE?

    Keir won't be a candidate.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 6,305
    edited April 27
    One aspect I think could come to pass is full Labour wipeouts where they get no seats in councils they are defending. The prediction sites suggest Labour aren't leading anywhere in the all ups in Barnsley, Gateshead, South Tyneside, St Helens and Sunderland (which has already been mentioned in this context).

    I think it's hard since one can imagine at least one Labour candidate in most of these places sneaking a second or third place, but the prospect is there and there are a selection of chances for this to happen.

    It's not clear they will always hold even where they are slated for a couple of seats, so there is also a non negligible chance wipe outs could come from elsewhere.

    A full wipeout looks unlikely anywhere where they are defending in London, although to footnote that there are places like Richmond already without any Labour representation.

    There could also be wipeouts where Labour fail to defend any seats in by thirds elections and those could also be quite seismic, places such as Wigan and Tameside. Due to defections and the seats they are defending, Labour start the elections six short of a majority in Tameside, with 15 seats being defended, but I'm not sure where any of their wins are likely to come from. I'm pretty certain Tameside formally goes NOC this year.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 28,785

    This all has shades of the Sir Beer Korma episode, which I seem to remember was going to be his demise. Called it wrong again, Kemi.

    God no, I nearly died of cellular ennui during that period.
    That's to assume that that era is over, which feels optimistic.
    Theory - we all died of cellular ennui during that period.

    This is hell.
    The horror file "The House That Jack Built" is a film about Jack, a grotesque serial killer who dies at the end and is delivered by Virgil to the deepest circle of hell, the pit of fire. Virgil gives him a choice: go back up to a lesser hell, or try to clamber around the pit and escape, even though nobody has ever done so, Jack elects to try to escape and inevitably fails, falling into the fire as he does so.
  • BattlebusBattlebus Posts: 3,266

    The government really does hate people like me.

    Rachel Reeves considering rent freeze to limit Iran war fallout

    Exclusive: Sources say chancellor is examining exceptional measures to protect household budgets


    Rachel Reeves is considering imposing a one-year rent freeze on private sector homes amid growing alarm in government about the impact of the Iran war on voters’ budgets.

    Landlords in England would be banned from raising rents for a limited period of time under the proposals, which are being debated within government as part of a major cost of living package to be launched in the coming weeks.

    The measure would be a significant reversal from the chancellor, who has resisted including rent controls in the government’s renters’ rights reforms, which come into force on Friday.

    But sources informed of the government discussions say ministers are now sufficiently worried about what the conflict in Iran will mean for mortgages and household budgets that they are willing to consider exceptional measures.


    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/apr/27/rachel-reeves-considering-rent-freeze-to-limit-iran-war-fallout?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

    Interesting that the alarm bells over Hormuz are beginning to go off. Do Burham, Farage or Badenoch actually want the job at the moment?

    To quote another poster - Brace .....
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 55,435

    Get Burnham into Parliament.

    Burnham in Bootle; PB’ers favourite seat.
This discussion has been closed.