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  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,579
    edited April 24

    FTP

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    Nigelb said:

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    There's no connection between the two things.
    The market for oil and gas is global; our renewables policies affect no one very much apart from us.

    The largest effect from discouraging UK oil and gas production is to our balance of payments and exchequer.

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    Solar power is completely independent of oil - we have never generated significant electricity from oil.

    Solar has soared in installation, because it is cheaper than gas and getting cheaper each year. North Sea production doesn’t really affect the world market for gas, so the price is pretty much independent of that.

    So solar would be smashing it in either case.
    Thanks both.

    Agreed on the oil; I was lazily assuming this was a discussion mainly about gas given we are currently quite reliant on it for electricity but looking back at the comment Richard replied to I see oil and gas were conflated. I entirely agree that oil and renewables are not really related.

    On the gas point, I agree with you both in a perfect market. But I wonder about the practical implications in the market as it is. If gas becomes relatively costlier/harder to extract in the UK, to what extent are companies who would like to extract it choosing to reduce their presence in the UK electricity market overall, and to what extent are they transferring investment decisions into renewables? And what would this trend look like in the longer term?

    I genuinely don't know, but interested if others have figures on this.
    The companies selling it, sell it on the world market, at the world market price.

    They have no generating capacity themselves.

    The generating companies buy gas at the world market price.

    The U.K. production, in any event, is not big enough to shift world prices (the U.K. benefit is taxes and jobs)

    So U.K. production of gas would have next to no effect on the decision of the generating companies to buy more solar.
    I'm with you on all of that.

    What about investment in future generation though?

    I can accept that the practical.answer may be that they just invest elsewhere in the world. But I am interested in whether we have figures to say that this is actually happening, rather than that the generating companies are switching investments towards renewable capacity in the UK.

    I take the point also about solar being so cheap, but then prima facie does that not making switching investments rather than removing them from UK more attractive?

    Apologies if I'm being dense!
    The oil and gas producing companies are investing in oil and gas elsewhere. Norway for example. Or in shutting down the North Sea - lots of work in that. For a while.

    Solar, in the U.K., is limited by planning. There is more money chasing projects that can happen.

    Perhaps the bit you are missing is that oil (in particular) is required to make a lot of things. This is the long tail of net zero.
    One of the most ghastly things about it (against stiff competition) is that the Norwegians are just sticking their own straw down there, sucking up what we're leaving, and selling it back to us. It's being perpetrated by people who hate this country, and supported by people who are mentally ill.
    Norway hates the UK? I mean they sent a bit of a crappy Christmas tree that time..
    The Norwegians love us.

    "We are best in the world! We have beaten England! England, birthplace of giants..

    ..Lord Nelson, Lord Beaverbrook, Sir Winston Churchill, Sir Anthony Eden, Clement Attlee, Henry Cooper, Lady Diana, vi har slått dem alle sammen, vi har slått dem alle sammen! [we have beaten them all, we have beaten them all!]. Maggie Thatcher, can you hear me? Maggie Thatcher ... your boys took a hell of a beating! Your boys took a hell of a beating!"
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 23,194
    Eabhal said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    I am on a train. The bloke opposite me is talking to the bloke next to him that he has tiny eustachian tubes. The bloke next to him said he thinks he has the mindset to cope. TBOM says he woke up and still thought he was asleep. TBNTH says his wife has ear candles

    I want them both dead.

    I'm gibbering at this point. It's like two AIs talking to each other. It's all stream of consciousness. There's no mediation between thought and speech, no summaries, it's just event, event, event, event, he said this I said that he said that. If either of them use the phrase "I was loving" instead of "I love" I will not be responsible for my actions. I have my eyes closed and a clenched fist rammed into my lips. Now I know why telepaths go mad.

    We need to go back to the 1940s, when men smoked pipes, read newspapers, and only talked on trains when it advanced the plot.
    I’m in a pub and there are 5 wasted men in their 70s violently arguing about the best German Chancellor. On the other side there are two people in their 50s on a date and… the flame doesn’t die.
    If the answer isn’t Hitler then they are all wrong. I mean he made a few mistakes, but you should have seen his early years…
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 19,657

    FTP

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    Nigelb said:

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    There's no connection between the two things.
    The market for oil and gas is global; our renewables policies affect no one very much apart from us.

    The largest effect from discouraging UK oil and gas production is to our balance of payments and exchequer.

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    Solar power is completely independent of oil - we have never generated significant electricity from oil.

    Solar has soared in installation, because it is cheaper than gas and getting cheaper each year. North Sea production doesn’t really affect the world market for gas, so the price is pretty much independent of that.

    So solar would be smashing it in either case.
    Thanks both.

    Agreed on the oil; I was lazily assuming this was a discussion mainly about gas given we are currently quite reliant on it for electricity but looking back at the comment Richard replied to I see oil and gas were conflated. I entirely agree that oil and renewables are not really related.

    On the gas point, I agree with you both in a perfect market. But I wonder about the practical implications in the market as it is. If gas becomes relatively costlier/harder to extract in the UK, to what extent are companies who would like to extract it choosing to reduce their presence in the UK electricity market overall, and to what extent are they transferring investment decisions into renewables? And what would this trend look like in the longer term?

    I genuinely don't know, but interested if others have figures on this.
    The companies selling it, sell it on the world market, at the world market price.

    They have no generating capacity themselves.

    The generating companies buy gas at the world market price.

    The U.K. production, in any event, is not big enough to shift world prices (the U.K. benefit is taxes and jobs)

    So U.K. production of gas would have next to no effect on the decision of the generating companies to buy more solar.
    I'm with you on all of that.

    What about investment in future generation though?

    I can accept that the practical.answer may be that they just invest elsewhere in the world. But I am interested in whether we have figures to say that this is actually happening, rather than that the generating companies are switching investments towards renewable capacity in the UK.

    I take the point also about solar being so cheap, but then prima facie does that not making switching investments rather than removing them from UK more attractive?

    Apologies if I'm being dense!
    The oil and gas producing companies are investing in oil and gas elsewhere. Norway for example. Or in shutting down the North Sea - lots of work in that. For a while.

    Solar, in the U.K., is limited by planning. There is more money chasing projects that can happen.

    Perhaps the bit you are missing is that oil (in particular) is required to make a lot of things. This is the long tail of net zero.
    One of the most ghastly things about it (against stiff competition) is that the Norwegians are just sticking their own straw down there, sucking up what we're leaving, and selling it back to us. It's being perpetrated by people who hate this country, and supported by people who are mentally ill.
    Blame Thatcher for the Norwegians selling us oil and gas now (Blair too but Thatcher's more resonant). Was she mentally ill and did she hate this country?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 56,857
    edited April 24

    At least Burnham has so far chosen to not call one of the few popular bits of the current government to go.

    Shabana Mahmood is doing a good job.

    Not much point in changing leader and not changing policy direction, and all the polling finds Labour unpopular.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490
    FF43 said:

    FTP

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    Nigelb said:

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    There's no connection between the two things.
    The market for oil and gas is global; our renewables policies affect no one very much apart from us.

    The largest effect from discouraging UK oil and gas production is to our balance of payments and exchequer.

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    Solar power is completely independent of oil - we have never generated significant electricity from oil.

    Solar has soared in installation, because it is cheaper than gas and getting cheaper each year. North Sea production doesn’t really affect the world market for gas, so the price is pretty much independent of that.

    So solar would be smashing it in either case.
    Thanks both.

    Agreed on the oil; I was lazily assuming this was a discussion mainly about gas given we are currently quite reliant on it for electricity but looking back at the comment Richard replied to I see oil and gas were conflated. I entirely agree that oil and renewables are not really related.

    On the gas point, I agree with you both in a perfect market. But I wonder about the practical implications in the market as it is. If gas becomes relatively costlier/harder to extract in the UK, to what extent are companies who would like to extract it choosing to reduce their presence in the UK electricity market overall, and to what extent are they transferring investment decisions into renewables? And what would this trend look like in the longer term?

    I genuinely don't know, but interested if others have figures on this.
    The companies selling it, sell it on the world market, at the world market price.

    They have no generating capacity themselves.

    The generating companies buy gas at the world market price.

    The U.K. production, in any event, is not big enough to shift world prices (the U.K. benefit is taxes and jobs)

    So U.K. production of gas would have next to no effect on the decision of the generating companies to buy more solar.
    I'm with you on all of that.

    What about investment in future generation though?

    I can accept that the practical.answer may be that they just invest elsewhere in the world. But I am interested in whether we have figures to say that this is actually happening, rather than that the generating companies are switching investments towards renewable capacity in the UK.

    I take the point also about solar being so cheap, but then prima facie does that not making switching investments rather than removing them from UK more attractive?

    Apologies if I'm being dense!
    The oil and gas producing companies are investing in oil and gas elsewhere. Norway for example. Or in shutting down the North Sea - lots of work in that. For a while.

    Solar, in the U.K., is limited by planning. There is more money chasing projects that can happen.

    Perhaps the bit you are missing is that oil (in particular) is required to make a lot of things. This is the long tail of net zero.
    One of the most ghastly things about it (against stiff competition) is that the Norwegians are just sticking their own straw down there, sucking up what we're leaving, and selling it back to us. It's being perpetrated by people who hate this country, and supported by people who are mentally ill.
    Blame Thatcher for the Norwegians selling us oil and gas now (Blair too but Thatcher's more resonant). Was she mentally ill and did she hate this country?
    I think, based on the sample of a currently mentally ill world leader who hates his country, if she had been either of those she would have done considerably more damage much more quickly.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 20,953

    FTP

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    Nigelb said:

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    There's no connection between the two things.
    The market for oil and gas is global; our renewables policies affect no one very much apart from us.

    The largest effect from discouraging UK oil and gas production is to our balance of payments and exchequer.

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    Solar power is completely independent of oil - we have never generated significant electricity from oil.

    Solar has soared in installation, because it is cheaper than gas and getting cheaper each year. North Sea production doesn’t really affect the world market for gas, so the price is pretty much independent of that.

    So solar would be smashing it in either case.
    Thanks both.

    Agreed on the oil; I was lazily assuming this was a discussion mainly about gas given we are currently quite reliant on it for electricity but looking back at the comment Richard replied to I see oil and gas were conflated. I entirely agree that oil and renewables are not really related.

    On the gas point, I agree with you both in a perfect market. But I wonder about the practical implications in the market as it is. If gas becomes relatively costlier/harder to extract in the UK, to what extent are companies who would like to extract it choosing to reduce their presence in the UK electricity market overall, and to what extent are they transferring investment decisions into renewables? And what would this trend look like in the longer term?

    I genuinely don't know, but interested if others have figures on this.
    The companies selling it, sell it on the world market, at the world market price.

    They have no generating capacity themselves.

    The generating companies buy gas at the world market price.

    The U.K. production, in any event, is not big enough to shift world prices (the U.K. benefit is taxes and jobs)

    So U.K. production of gas would have next to no effect on the decision of the generating companies to buy more solar.
    I'm with you on all of that.

    What about investment in future generation though?

    I can accept that the practical.answer may be that they just invest elsewhere in the world. But I am interested in whether we have figures to say that this is actually happening, rather than that the generating companies are switching investments towards renewable capacity in the UK.

    I take the point also about solar being so cheap, but then prima facie does that not making switching investments rather than removing them from UK more attractive?

    Apologies if I'm being dense!
    The oil and gas producing companies are investing in oil and gas elsewhere. Norway for example. Or in shutting down the North Sea - lots of work in that. For a while.

    Solar, in the U.K., is limited by planning. There is more money chasing projects that can happen.

    Perhaps the bit you are missing is that oil (in particular) is required to make a lot of things. This is the long tail of net zero.
    One of the most ghastly things about it (against stiff competition) is that the Norwegians are just sticking their own straw down there, sucking up what we're leaving, and selling it back to us. It's being perpetrated by people who hate this country, and supported by people who are mentally ill.
    Norway hates the UK? I mean they sent a bit of a crappy Christmas tree that time..
    The Norwegian King is about 90th in line to the British throne. Some judicious accidents and we could unite the two countries under one monarch.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 8,878
    Foxy said:

    At least Burnham has so far chosen to not call one of the few popular bits of the current government to go.

    Shabana Mahmood is doing a good job.

    Not much point in changing leader and not changing policy direction, and all the polling finds Labour unpopular.
    Isn’t this part of the problem with politics - nothing gets done because there are constant changes to policies because of changes of parties or factions. No fan of Labour but if Mahmoud has a plan that she is implementing and it might work it would be good to allow it to have time to work. Instead it might get killed in infancy because another faction think it’s “un-British”.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,865
    Polanski risks getting high on his own supply.

    https://x.com/ZackPolanski/status/2047749191003185503

    Wes Streeting's main problem here is that people can't stand Wes Streeting.
  • Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,809

    Polanski risks getting high on his own supply.

    https://x.com/ZackPolanski/status/2047749191003185503

    Wes Streeting's main problem here is that people can't stand Wes Streeting.

    A stopped clock is correct twice daily.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 60,397

    FTP

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    Nigelb said:

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    There's no connection between the two things.
    The market for oil and gas is global; our renewables policies affect no one very much apart from us.

    The largest effect from discouraging UK oil and gas production is to our balance of payments and exchequer.

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    Solar power is completely independent of oil - we have never generated significant electricity from oil.

    Solar has soared in installation, because it is cheaper than gas and getting cheaper each year. North Sea production doesn’t really affect the world market for gas, so the price is pretty much independent of that.

    So solar would be smashing it in either case.
    Thanks both.

    Agreed on the oil; I was lazily assuming this was a discussion mainly about gas given we are currently quite reliant on it for electricity but looking back at the comment Richard replied to I see oil and gas were conflated. I entirely agree that oil and renewables are not really related.

    On the gas point, I agree with you both in a perfect market. But I wonder about the practical implications in the market as it is. If gas becomes relatively costlier/harder to extract in the UK, to what extent are companies who would like to extract it choosing to reduce their presence in the UK electricity market overall, and to what extent are they transferring investment decisions into renewables? And what would this trend look like in the longer term?

    I genuinely don't know, but interested if others have figures on this.
    The companies selling it, sell it on the world market, at the world market price.

    They have no generating capacity themselves.

    The generating companies buy gas at the world market price.

    The U.K. production, in any event, is not big enough to shift world prices (the U.K. benefit is taxes and jobs)

    So U.K. production of gas would have next to no effect on the decision of the generating companies to buy more solar.
    I'm with you on all of that.

    What about investment in future generation though?

    I can accept that the practical.answer may be that they just invest elsewhere in the world. But I am interested in whether we have figures to say that this is actually happening, rather than that the generating companies are switching investments towards renewable capacity in the UK.

    I take the point also about solar being so cheap, but then prima facie does that not making switching investments rather than removing them from UK more attractive?

    Apologies if I'm being dense!
    The oil and gas producing companies are investing in oil and gas elsewhere. Norway for example. Or in shutting down the North Sea - lots of work in that. For a while.

    Solar, in the U.K., is limited by planning. There is more money chasing projects that can happen.

    Perhaps the bit you are missing is that oil (in particular) is required to make a lot of things. This is the long tail of net zero.
    One of the most ghastly things about it (against stiff competition) is that the Norwegians are just sticking their own straw down there, sucking up what we're leaving, and selling it back to us. It's being perpetrated by people who hate this country, and supported by people who are mentally ill.
    Norway hates the UK? I mean they sent a bit of a crappy Christmas tree that time..
    The Norwegian King is about 90th in line to the British throne. Some judicious accidents and we could unite the two countries under one monarch.
    "Judicius accidents"? He'd probably have to be ruling over a nuked wasteland for that outcome to arise.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 8,878
    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    Why are you watching it? Sounds like a pile of wank without having to even view.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 4,847

    FTP

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    Nigelb said:

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    There's no connection between the two things.
    The market for oil and gas is global; our renewables policies affect no one very much apart from us.

    The largest effect from discouraging UK oil and gas production is to our balance of payments and exchequer.

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    Solar power is completely independent of oil - we have never generated significant electricity from oil.

    Solar has soared in installation, because it is cheaper than gas and getting cheaper each year. North Sea production doesn’t really affect the world market for gas, so the price is pretty much independent of that.

    So solar would be smashing it in either case.
    Thanks both.

    Agreed on the oil; I was lazily assuming this was a discussion mainly about gas given we are currently quite reliant on it for electricity but looking back at the comment Richard replied to I see oil and gas were conflated. I entirely agree that oil and renewables are not really related.

    On the gas point, I agree with you both in a perfect market. But I wonder about the practical implications in the market as it is. If gas becomes relatively costlier/harder to extract in the UK, to what extent are companies who would like to extract it choosing to reduce their presence in the UK electricity market overall, and to what extent are they transferring investment decisions into renewables? And what would this trend look like in the longer term?

    I genuinely don't know, but interested if others have figures on this.
    The companies selling it, sell it on the world market, at the world market price.

    They have no generating capacity themselves.

    The generating companies buy gas at the world market price.

    The U.K. production, in any event, is not big enough to shift world prices (the U.K. benefit is taxes and jobs)

    So U.K. production of gas would have next to no effect on the decision of the generating companies to buy more solar.
    I'm with you on all of that.

    What about investment in future generation though?

    I can accept that the practical.answer may be that they just invest elsewhere in the world. But I am interested in whether we have figures to say that this is actually happening, rather than that the generating companies are switching investments towards renewable capacity in the UK.

    I take the point also about solar being so cheap, but then prima facie does that not making switching investments rather than removing them from UK more attractive?

    Apologies if I'm being dense!
    The oil and gas producing companies are investing in oil and gas elsewhere. Norway for example. Or in shutting down the North Sea - lots of work in that. For a while.

    Solar, in the U.K., is limited by planning. There is more money chasing projects that can happen.

    Perhaps the bit you are missing is that oil (in particular) is required to make a lot of things. This is the long tail of net zero.
    One of the most ghastly things about it (against stiff competition) is that the Norwegians are just sticking their own straw down there, sucking up what we're leaving, and selling it back to us. It's being perpetrated by people who hate this country, and supported by people who are mentally ill.
    Norway hates the UK? I mean they sent a bit of a crappy Christmas tree that time..
    The Norwegian King is about 90th in line to the British throne. Some judicious accidents and we could unite the two countries under one monarch.
    89 unrelated accidents. Plausible.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 24,209

    Polanski risks getting high on his own supply.

    https://x.com/ZackPolanski/status/2047749191003185503

    Wes Streeting's main problem here is that people can't stand Wes Streeting.

    A stopped clock is correct twice daily.
    Not if it has a twenty-four hour clockface.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,809
    edited April 24
    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    Do you need to sit down? Can I call your carer?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490

    FTP

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    Nigelb said:

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    There's no connection between the two things.
    The market for oil and gas is global; our renewables policies affect no one very much apart from us.

    The largest effect from discouraging UK oil and gas production is to our balance of payments and exchequer.

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    Solar power is completely independent of oil - we have never generated significant electricity from oil.

    Solar has soared in installation, because it is cheaper than gas and getting cheaper each year. North Sea production doesn’t really affect the world market for gas, so the price is pretty much independent of that.

    So solar would be smashing it in either case.
    Thanks both.

    Agreed on the oil; I was lazily assuming this was a discussion mainly about gas given we are currently quite reliant on it for electricity but looking back at the comment Richard replied to I see oil and gas were conflated. I entirely agree that oil and renewables are not really related.

    On the gas point, I agree with you both in a perfect market. But I wonder about the practical implications in the market as it is. If gas becomes relatively costlier/harder to extract in the UK, to what extent are companies who would like to extract it choosing to reduce their presence in the UK electricity market overall, and to what extent are they transferring investment decisions into renewables? And what would this trend look like in the longer term?

    I genuinely don't know, but interested if others have figures on this.
    The companies selling it, sell it on the world market, at the world market price.

    They have no generating capacity themselves.

    The generating companies buy gas at the world market price.

    The U.K. production, in any event, is not big enough to shift world prices (the U.K. benefit is taxes and jobs)

    So U.K. production of gas would have next to no effect on the decision of the generating companies to buy more solar.
    I'm with you on all of that.

    What about investment in future generation though?

    I can accept that the practical.answer may be that they just invest elsewhere in the world. But I am interested in whether we have figures to say that this is actually happening, rather than that the generating companies are switching investments towards renewable capacity in the UK.

    I take the point also about solar being so cheap, but then prima facie does that not making switching investments rather than removing them from UK more attractive?

    Apologies if I'm being dense!
    The oil and gas producing companies are investing in oil and gas elsewhere. Norway for example. Or in shutting down the North Sea - lots of work in that. For a while.

    Solar, in the U.K., is limited by planning. There is more money chasing projects that can happen.

    Perhaps the bit you are missing is that oil (in particular) is required to make a lot of things. This is the long tail of net zero.
    One of the most ghastly things about it (against stiff competition) is that the Norwegians are just sticking their own straw down there, sucking up what we're leaving, and selling it back to us. It's being perpetrated by people who hate this country, and supported by people who are mentally ill.
    Norway hates the UK? I mean they sent a bit of a crappy Christmas tree that time..
    The Norwegian King is about 90th in line to the British throne. Some judicious accidents and we could unite the two countries under one monarch.
    89 unrelated accidents. Plausible.
    Worked in Terry Pratchett's Nation.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 8,878

    FTP

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    Nigelb said:

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    There's no connection between the two things.
    The market for oil and gas is global; our renewables policies affect no one very much apart from us.

    The largest effect from discouraging UK oil and gas production is to our balance of payments and exchequer.

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    Solar power is completely independent of oil - we have never generated significant electricity from oil.

    Solar has soared in installation, because it is cheaper than gas and getting cheaper each year. North Sea production doesn’t really affect the world market for gas, so the price is pretty much independent of that.

    So solar would be smashing it in either case.
    Thanks both.

    Agreed on the oil; I was lazily assuming this was a discussion mainly about gas given we are currently quite reliant on it for electricity but looking back at the comment Richard replied to I see oil and gas were conflated. I entirely agree that oil and renewables are not really related.

    On the gas point, I agree with you both in a perfect market. But I wonder about the practical implications in the market as it is. If gas becomes relatively costlier/harder to extract in the UK, to what extent are companies who would like to extract it choosing to reduce their presence in the UK electricity market overall, and to what extent are they transferring investment decisions into renewables? And what would this trend look like in the longer term?

    I genuinely don't know, but interested if others have figures on this.
    The companies selling it, sell it on the world market, at the world market price.

    They have no generating capacity themselves.

    The generating companies buy gas at the world market price.

    The U.K. production, in any event, is not big enough to shift world prices (the U.K. benefit is taxes and jobs)

    So U.K. production of gas would have next to no effect on the decision of the generating companies to buy more solar.
    I'm with you on all of that.

    What about investment in future generation though?

    I can accept that the practical.answer may be that they just invest elsewhere in the world. But I am interested in whether we have figures to say that this is actually happening, rather than that the generating companies are switching investments towards renewable capacity in the UK.

    I take the point also about solar being so cheap, but then prima facie does that not making switching investments rather than removing them from UK more attractive?

    Apologies if I'm being dense!
    The oil and gas producing companies are investing in oil and gas elsewhere. Norway for example. Or in shutting down the North Sea - lots of work in that. For a while.

    Solar, in the U.K., is limited by planning. There is more money chasing projects that can happen.

    Perhaps the bit you are missing is that oil (in particular) is required to make a lot of things. This is the long tail of net zero.
    One of the most ghastly things about it (against stiff competition) is that the Norwegians are just sticking their own straw down there, sucking up what we're leaving, and selling it back to us. It's being perpetrated by people who hate this country, and supported by people who are mentally ill.
    Norway hates the UK? I mean they sent a bit of a crappy Christmas tree that time..
    The Norwegian King is about 90th in line to the British throne. Some judicious accidents and we could unite the two countries under one monarch.
    89 unrelated accidents. Plausible.
    If you have watched King Ralph you will know it’s perfectly plausible.
  • Foxy said:

    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/angela-rayner-shabana-mahmood-sacking-jklrd96b0

    Angela Rayner’s allies have told Keir Starmer that he must sack Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood for her to return to Cabinet

    Rayner recently branded Mahmood's immigration reforms "un-British" and a "breach of trust"

    Well she wants to lose then.
    Might well win her the Leadership though.
    She can't win her constituency without the Muslim vote. Hence Ange's "principled" opposition to Mahmood's reforms

    It matters not. We are heading for civil unrest, and, likely, deportations
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 59,781

    FTP

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    Nigelb said:

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    There's no connection between the two things.
    The market for oil and gas is global; our renewables policies affect no one very much apart from us.

    The largest effect from discouraging UK oil and gas production is to our balance of payments and exchequer.

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    Solar power is completely independent of oil - we have never generated significant electricity from oil.

    Solar has soared in installation, because it is cheaper than gas and getting cheaper each year. North Sea production doesn’t really affect the world market for gas, so the price is pretty much independent of that.

    So solar would be smashing it in either case.
    Thanks both.

    Agreed on the oil; I was lazily assuming this was a discussion mainly about gas given we are currently quite reliant on it for electricity but looking back at the comment Richard replied to I see oil and gas were conflated. I entirely agree that oil and renewables are not really related.

    On the gas point, I agree with you both in a perfect market. But I wonder about the practical implications in the market as it is. If gas becomes relatively costlier/harder to extract in the UK, to what extent are companies who would like to extract it choosing to reduce their presence in the UK electricity market overall, and to what extent are they transferring investment decisions into renewables? And what would this trend look like in the longer term?

    I genuinely don't know, but interested if others have figures on this.
    The companies selling it, sell it on the world market, at the world market price.

    They have no generating capacity themselves.

    The generating companies buy gas at the world market price.

    The U.K. production, in any event, is not big enough to shift world prices (the U.K. benefit is taxes and jobs)

    So U.K. production of gas would have next to no effect on the decision of the generating companies to buy more solar.
    I'm with you on all of that.

    What about investment in future generation though?

    I can accept that the practical.answer may be that they just invest elsewhere in the world. But I am interested in whether we have figures to say that this is actually happening, rather than that the generating companies are switching investments towards renewable capacity in the UK.

    I take the point also about solar being so cheap, but then prima facie does that not making switching investments rather than removing them from UK more attractive?

    Apologies if I'm being dense!
    The oil and gas producing companies are investing in oil and gas elsewhere. Norway for example. Or in shutting down the North Sea - lots of work in that. For a while.

    Solar, in the U.K., is limited by planning. There is more money chasing projects that can happen.

    Perhaps the bit you are missing is that oil (in particular) is required to make a lot of things. This is the long tail of net zero.
    One of the most ghastly things about it (against stiff competition) is that the Norwegians are just sticking their own straw down there, sucking up what we're leaving, and selling it back to us. It's being perpetrated by people who hate this country, and supported by people who are mentally ill.
    Norway hates the UK? I mean they sent a bit of a crappy Christmas tree that time..
    The Norwegian King is about 90th in line to the British throne. Some judicious accidents and we could unite the two countries under one monarch.
    89 unrelated accidents. Plausible.
    "People have accidents all the time. What makes you think it's mur-der?"
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490

    FTP

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    Nigelb said:

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    There's no connection between the two things.
    The market for oil and gas is global; our renewables policies affect no one very much apart from us.

    The largest effect from discouraging UK oil and gas production is to our balance of payments and exchequer.

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    Solar power is completely independent of oil - we have never generated significant electricity from oil.

    Solar has soared in installation, because it is cheaper than gas and getting cheaper each year. North Sea production doesn’t really affect the world market for gas, so the price is pretty much independent of that.

    So solar would be smashing it in either case.
    Thanks both.

    Agreed on the oil; I was lazily assuming this was a discussion mainly about gas given we are currently quite reliant on it for electricity but looking back at the comment Richard replied to I see oil and gas were conflated. I entirely agree that oil and renewables are not really related.

    On the gas point, I agree with you both in a perfect market. But I wonder about the practical implications in the market as it is. If gas becomes relatively costlier/harder to extract in the UK, to what extent are companies who would like to extract it choosing to reduce their presence in the UK electricity market overall, and to what extent are they transferring investment decisions into renewables? And what would this trend look like in the longer term?

    I genuinely don't know, but interested if others have figures on this.
    The companies selling it, sell it on the world market, at the world market price.

    They have no generating capacity themselves.

    The generating companies buy gas at the world market price.

    The U.K. production, in any event, is not big enough to shift world prices (the U.K. benefit is taxes and jobs)

    So U.K. production of gas would have next to no effect on the decision of the generating companies to buy more solar.
    I'm with you on all of that.

    What about investment in future generation though?

    I can accept that the practical.answer may be that they just invest elsewhere in the world. But I am interested in whether we have figures to say that this is actually happening, rather than that the generating companies are switching investments towards renewable capacity in the UK.

    I take the point also about solar being so cheap, but then prima facie does that not making switching investments rather than removing them from UK more attractive?

    Apologies if I'm being dense!
    The oil and gas producing companies are investing in oil and gas elsewhere. Norway for example. Or in shutting down the North Sea - lots of work in that. For a while.

    Solar, in the U.K., is limited by planning. There is more money chasing projects that can happen.

    Perhaps the bit you are missing is that oil (in particular) is required to make a lot of things. This is the long tail of net zero.
    One of the most ghastly things about it (against stiff competition) is that the Norwegians are just sticking their own straw down there, sucking up what we're leaving, and selling it back to us. It's being perpetrated by people who hate this country, and supported by people who are mentally ill.
    Norway hates the UK? I mean they sent a bit of a crappy Christmas tree that time..
    The Norwegian King is about 90th in line to the British throne. Some judicious accidents and we could unite the two countries under one monarch.
    89 unrelated accidents. Plausible.
    "People have accidents all the time. What makes you think it's mur-der?"
    On the subject of monarchy, the more ardent republicans on this board are revolutionaries.

    They go round and round in endless circles.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 50,708

    Polanski risks getting high on his own supply.

    https://x.com/ZackPolanski/status/2047749191003185503

    Wes Streeting's main problem here is that people can't stand Wes Streeting.

    A stopped clock is correct twice daily.
    Not if it has a twenty-four hour clockface.
    Which quite a few do.
  • isamisam Posts: 44,230

    isam said:

    tlg86 said:

    tlg86 said:

    I am sure we have done this. It is a particular favourite of ours to call racist rapists out.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cpqxrzr29pxo

    Absolutely appalling. I would note that:

    At the time of the rape he was homeless, having been discharged from psychiatric care three days earlier without a support package after it was decided he was no longer psychotic.

    If he weren't white, I am certain the mental health card would have been played.
    I find your final sentence incredibly disconcerting. A rapist bastard is a rapist bastard whatever their colour. No excuses and no pulling the "he got it tougher because he was white" please.
    No, I couldn't give a toss about the fate of the junkie. But you only have to look at Nottingham to see how we treat perpetrators who are not white.
    I don't believe I have defended AR or the **** in Nottingham because they are not white.

    I am fascinated that over the last few days some posters have been keen to post stories about disgusting immigrant criminality and getting substantial likes for doing so, but this one? Not so much.
    Unless you are a complete moron, I find it hard to see the fascination. Rape is a disgusting crime that should be severely punished no matter the perpetrator. But if the perpetrator(s) are people who have entered the country illegally on a small boat, that makes it more the establishment's fault than when the rapist is someone who was born here. When people, including me obviously, post these stories of illegal immigrants raping women, it isn't because we think it is bad when they do it but ok when others do, it is to illustrate that letting these people in and putting them up in little villages is madness, and the government should be doing more to stop it. It is the establishment that is being criticised, that rape is an horrific crime goes without saying

    People, including myself, also post when a man pretending to be a woman sexually assaults a real woman in prison. We don't post when men sexually assault other men in men's prisons, nor when women sexually assault women in women's prisons. That is not to say those assaults aren't bad, although the man pretending to be a woman's assault on woman is worse as well as being the establishment's fault
    That's pure sophistry.
    No it isn’t. You just make excuses for the small boat people and refuse to acknowledge any harm that comes from them being here
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,809
    Just watching a Brian Tyler-Cohen piece about Barron's maternity from an earlier Steven Colbert bombshell, oh and paternity.

    Blimey and wow!
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490
    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/angela-rayner-shabana-mahmood-sacking-jklrd96b0

    Angela Rayner’s allies have told Keir Starmer that he must sack Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood for her to return to Cabinet

    Rayner recently branded Mahmood's immigration reforms "un-British" and a "breach of trust"

    Well she wants to lose then.
    Might well win her the Leadership though.
    She can't win her constituency without the Muslim vote. Hence Ange's "principled" opposition to Mahmood's reforms

    It matters not. We are heading for civil unrest, and, likely, deportations
    Not if we've got no jet fuel we aren't.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 20,953
    isam said:

    isam said:

    tlg86 said:

    tlg86 said:

    I am sure we have done this. It is a particular favourite of ours to call racist rapists out.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cpqxrzr29pxo

    Absolutely appalling. I would note that:

    At the time of the rape he was homeless, having been discharged from psychiatric care three days earlier without a support package after it was decided he was no longer psychotic.

    If he weren't white, I am certain the mental health card would have been played.
    I find your final sentence incredibly disconcerting. A rapist bastard is a rapist bastard whatever their colour. No excuses and no pulling the "he got it tougher because he was white" please.
    No, I couldn't give a toss about the fate of the junkie. But you only have to look at Nottingham to see how we treat perpetrators who are not white.
    I don't believe I have defended AR or the **** in Nottingham because they are not white.

    I am fascinated that over the last few days some posters have been keen to post stories about disgusting immigrant criminality and getting substantial likes for doing so, but this one? Not so much.
    Unless you are a complete moron, I find it hard to see the fascination. Rape is a disgusting crime that should be severely punished no matter the perpetrator. But if the perpetrator(s) are people who have entered the country illegally on a small boat, that makes it more the establishment's fault than when the rapist is someone who was born here. When people, including me obviously, post these stories of illegal immigrants raping women, it isn't because we think it is bad when they do it but ok when others do, it is to illustrate that letting these people in and putting them up in little villages is madness, and the government should be doing more to stop it. It is the establishment that is being criticised, that rape is an horrific crime goes without saying

    People, including myself, also post when a man pretending to be a woman sexually assaults a real woman in prison. We don't post when men sexually assault other men in men's prisons, nor when women sexually assault women in women's prisons. That is not to say those assaults aren't bad, although the man pretending to be a woman's assault on woman is worse as well as being the establishment's fault
    The rapists in Brighton that were widely posted about on here this week are disgusting individuals for their crimes. I don't believe them being immigrants or Muslims has anything to do their criminality. Likewise the guy who raped the Sikh girl because he thought she was Muslim did not do it because he was white but because he's a nasty bastard.
    You have completely missed the point

    The rape in Brighton would not have happened if the small boats hadn't arrived. The rape of the Sikh woman would have. That is the reason people mention the former and not the latter. Thousands of crimes a year happen that we don't feel the need to mention on here, because there isn't a government policy angle. When men who arrive on small boats assault women, it is pointed out because we don't want men arriving here on small boats and being put up at the taxpayers expense in places where the locals don't want them, not because they are doing things that we otherwise think ok but decide are bad when they do them
    Your argument implies that there is absolutely nothing government could have done that would have led to the latter rape not occurring. Do you really believe that there is no action government can take to reduce rapes by the non-immigrant population?

    That’s clearly nonsense. You’re cynically using rape as a reason to oppose immigration. If you cared about rape, there are dozens of policies that government could enact to reduce rapes and/or to find and prosecute those who commit rape that would be far more effective than banning immigration.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 72,378

    Polanski risks getting high on his own supply.

    https://x.com/ZackPolanski/status/2047749191003185503

    Wes Streeting's main problem here is that people can't stand Wes Streeting.

    A stopped clock is correct twice daily.

    Darren Johnson
    @DarrenJohnson66
    ·
    53m
    I fucking love Wes Streeting compared to you.

    https://x.com/DarrenJohnson66/status/2047770992521441315
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 72,378
    Foxy said:

    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/angela-rayner-shabana-mahmood-sacking-jklrd96b0

    Angela Rayner’s allies have told Keir Starmer that he must sack Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood for her to return to Cabinet

    Rayner recently branded Mahmood's immigration reforms "un-British" and a "breach of trust"

    Well she wants to lose then.
    Might well win her the Leadership though.
    Pitch perfect I would say for that.

    Blue Lab haven't a chance in this forthcoming contest.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 37,017

    Just watching a Brian Tyler-Cohen piece about Barron's maternity from an earlier Steven Colbert bombshell, oh and paternity.

    Blimey and wow!

    What on earth are you talking about?
  • isamisam Posts: 44,230
    edited April 24

    isam said:

    isam said:

    tlg86 said:

    tlg86 said:

    I am sure we have done this. It is a particular favourite of ours to call racist rapists out.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cpqxrzr29pxo

    Absolutely appalling. I would note that:

    At the time of the rape he was homeless, having been discharged from psychiatric care three days earlier without a support package after it was decided he was no longer psychotic.

    If he weren't white, I am certain the mental health card would have been played.
    I find your final sentence incredibly disconcerting. A rapist bastard is a rapist bastard whatever their colour. No excuses and no pulling the "he got it tougher because he was white" please.
    No, I couldn't give a toss about the fate of the junkie. But you only have to look at Nottingham to see how we treat perpetrators who are not white.
    I don't believe I have defended AR or the **** in Nottingham because they are not white.

    I am fascinated that over the last few days some posters have been keen to post stories about disgusting immigrant criminality and getting substantial likes for doing so, but this one? Not so much.
    Unless you are a complete moron, I find it hard to see the fascination. Rape is a disgusting crime that should be severely punished no matter the perpetrator. But if the perpetrator(s) are people who have entered the country illegally on a small boat, that makes it more the establishment's fault than when the rapist is someone who was born here. When people, including me obviously, post these stories of illegal immigrants raping women, it isn't because we think it is bad when they do it but ok when others do, it is to illustrate that letting these people in and putting them up in little villages is madness, and the government should be doing more to stop it. It is the establishment that is being criticised, that rape is an horrific crime goes without saying

    People, including myself, also post when a man pretending to be a woman sexually assaults a real woman in prison. We don't post when men sexually assault other men in men's prisons, nor when women sexually assault women in women's prisons. That is not to say those assaults aren't bad, although the man pretending to be a woman's assault on woman is worse as well as being the establishment's fault
    The rapists in Brighton that were widely posted about on here this week are disgusting individuals for their crimes. I don't believe them being immigrants or Muslims has anything to do their criminality. Likewise the guy who raped the Sikh girl because he thought she was Muslim did not do it because he was white but because he's a nasty bastard.
    You have completely missed the point

    The rape in Brighton would not have happened if the small boats hadn't arrived. The rape of the Sikh woman would have. That is the reason people mention the former and not the latter. Thousands of crimes a year happen that we don't feel the need to mention on here, because there isn't a government policy angle. When men who arrive on small boats assault women, it is pointed out because we don't want men arriving here on small boats and being put up at the taxpayers expense in places where the locals don't want them, not because they are doing things that we otherwise think ok but decide are bad when they do them
    Your argument implies that there is absolutely nothing government could have done that would have led to the latter rape not occurring. Do you really believe that there is no action government can take to reduce rapes by the non-immigrant population?

    That’s clearly nonsense. You’re cynically using rape as a reason to oppose immigration. If you cared about rape, there are dozens of policies that government could enact to reduce rapes and/or to find and prosecute those who commit rape that would be far more effective than banning immigration.
    Absolute rubbish. You just defend anything illegal immigrants do out of a false sense of morality
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 59,781
    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/angela-rayner-shabana-mahmood-sacking-jklrd96b0

    Angela Rayner’s allies have told Keir Starmer that he must sack Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood for her to return to Cabinet

    Rayner recently branded Mahmood's immigration reforms "un-British" and a "breach of trust"

    Well she wants to lose then.
    Might well win her the Leadership though.
    She can't win her constituency without the Muslim vote. Hence Ange's "principled" opposition to Mahmood's reforms

    It matters not. We are heading for civil unrest, and, likely, deportations
    Not if we've got no jet fuel we aren't.
    People used to be "transported" to far flung shores by boat...
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490
    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You mean, unlike people who illegally ran away to Penarth and spent all their time whingeing about how terrified they were of catching a killer disease?
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 20,953
    .

    FTP

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    Nigelb said:

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    There's no connection between the two things.
    The market for oil and gas is global; our renewables policies affect no one very much apart from us.

    The largest effect from discouraging UK oil and gas production is to our balance of payments and exchequer.

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    Solar power is completely independent of oil - we have never generated significant electricity from oil.

    Solar has soared in installation, because it is cheaper than gas and getting cheaper each year. North Sea production doesn’t really affect the world market for gas, so the price is pretty much independent of that.

    So solar would be smashing it in either case.
    Thanks both.

    Agreed on the oil; I was lazily assuming this was a discussion mainly about gas given we are currently quite reliant on it for electricity but looking back at the comment Richard replied to I see oil and gas were conflated. I entirely agree that oil and renewables are not really related.

    On the gas point, I agree with you both in a perfect market. But I wonder about the practical implications in the market as it is. If gas becomes relatively costlier/harder to extract in the UK, to what extent are companies who would like to extract it choosing to reduce their presence in the UK electricity market overall, and to what extent are they transferring investment decisions into renewables? And what would this trend look like in the longer term?

    I genuinely don't know, but interested if others have figures on this.
    The companies selling it, sell it on the world market, at the world market price.

    They have no generating capacity themselves.

    The generating companies buy gas at the world market price.

    The U.K. production, in any event, is not big enough to shift world prices (the U.K. benefit is taxes and jobs)

    So U.K. production of gas would have next to no effect on the decision of the generating companies to buy more solar.
    I'm with you on all of that.

    What about investment in future generation though?

    I can accept that the practical.answer may be that they just invest elsewhere in the world. But I am interested in whether we have figures to say that this is actually happening, rather than that the generating companies are switching investments towards renewable capacity in the UK.

    I take the point also about solar being so cheap, but then prima facie does that not making switching investments rather than removing them from UK more attractive?

    Apologies if I'm being dense!
    The oil and gas producing companies are investing in oil and gas elsewhere. Norway for example. Or in shutting down the North Sea - lots of work in that. For a while.

    Solar, in the U.K., is limited by planning. There is more money chasing projects that can happen.

    Perhaps the bit you are missing is that oil (in particular) is required to make a lot of things. This is the long tail of net zero.
    One of the most ghastly things about it (against stiff competition) is that the Norwegians are just sticking their own straw down there, sucking up what we're leaving, and selling it back to us. It's being perpetrated by people who hate this country, and supported by people who are mentally ill.
    Norway hates the UK? I mean they sent a bit of a crappy Christmas tree that time..
    The Norwegian King is about 90th in line to the British throne. Some judicious accidents and we could unite the two countries under one monarch.
    89 unrelated accidents. Plausible.
    Or, for the more squeamish here, you just need to persuade about 89 people to convert to Catholicism.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490

    .

    FTP

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    Nigelb said:

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    There's no connection between the two things.
    The market for oil and gas is global; our renewables policies affect no one very much apart from us.

    The largest effect from discouraging UK oil and gas production is to our balance of payments and exchequer.

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    Solar power is completely independent of oil - we have never generated significant electricity from oil.

    Solar has soared in installation, because it is cheaper than gas and getting cheaper each year. North Sea production doesn’t really affect the world market for gas, so the price is pretty much independent of that.

    So solar would be smashing it in either case.
    Thanks both.

    Agreed on the oil; I was lazily assuming this was a discussion mainly about gas given we are currently quite reliant on it for electricity but looking back at the comment Richard replied to I see oil and gas were conflated. I entirely agree that oil and renewables are not really related.

    On the gas point, I agree with you both in a perfect market. But I wonder about the practical implications in the market as it is. If gas becomes relatively costlier/harder to extract in the UK, to what extent are companies who would like to extract it choosing to reduce their presence in the UK electricity market overall, and to what extent are they transferring investment decisions into renewables? And what would this trend look like in the longer term?

    I genuinely don't know, but interested if others have figures on this.
    The companies selling it, sell it on the world market, at the world market price.

    They have no generating capacity themselves.

    The generating companies buy gas at the world market price.

    The U.K. production, in any event, is not big enough to shift world prices (the U.K. benefit is taxes and jobs)

    So U.K. production of gas would have next to no effect on the decision of the generating companies to buy more solar.
    I'm with you on all of that.

    What about investment in future generation though?

    I can accept that the practical.answer may be that they just invest elsewhere in the world. But I am interested in whether we have figures to say that this is actually happening, rather than that the generating companies are switching investments towards renewable capacity in the UK.

    I take the point also about solar being so cheap, but then prima facie does that not making switching investments rather than removing them from UK more attractive?

    Apologies if I'm being dense!
    The oil and gas producing companies are investing in oil and gas elsewhere. Norway for example. Or in shutting down the North Sea - lots of work in that. For a while.

    Solar, in the U.K., is limited by planning. There is more money chasing projects that can happen.

    Perhaps the bit you are missing is that oil (in particular) is required to make a lot of things. This is the long tail of net zero.
    One of the most ghastly things about it (against stiff competition) is that the Norwegians are just sticking their own straw down there, sucking up what we're leaving, and selling it back to us. It's being perpetrated by people who hate this country, and supported by people who are mentally ill.
    Norway hates the UK? I mean they sent a bit of a crappy Christmas tree that time..
    The Norwegian King is about 90th in line to the British throne. Some judicious accidents and we could unite the two countries under one monarch.
    89 unrelated accidents. Plausible.
    Or, for the more squeamish here, you just need to persuade about 89 people to convert to Catholicism.
    The optimistic nature of such a task is popeable.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,809
    edited April 24

    Just watching a Brian Tyler-Cohen piece about Barron's maternity from an earlier Steven Colbert bombshell, oh and paternity.

    Blimey and wow!

    What on earth are you talking about?
    The question being asked is who mothered Barron, and who fathered Barron?

    According to the reports, neither the mother nor the father was likely to be Melania.

    I wouldn't be confident to name names, but fascinating, and if true, morally and legally disgusting nonetheless.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 20,953

    Just watching a Brian Tyler-Cohen piece about Barron's maternity from an earlier Steven Colbert bombshell, oh and paternity.

    Blimey and wow!

    What on earth are you talking about?
    The question being asked is who mothered Barron, and who fathered Barron?

    According to the reports, neither the mother nor the father was likely to be Melania.
    Are these reports from social media? Or are they from actual journalists with editorial policies, like fact-checking?
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 32,342
    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 14,287

    Just watching a Brian Tyler-Cohen piece about Barron's maternity from an earlier Steven Colbert bombshell, oh and paternity.

    Blimey and wow!

    What on earth are you talking about?
    The question being asked is who mothered Barron, and who fathered Barron?

    According to the reports, neither the mother nor the father was likely to be Melania.

    I wouldn't be confident to name names, but fascinating, and if true, morally and legally disgusting nonetheless.
    Hehehehe
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,875
    On topic: It depends on which plural rhymes best in the poem you are writing. (Some of you are talented enough to give us examples -- others talented enough to search for examples, already written.)

    Years ago, I asked a marine biologist why octopuses/octopi were so smart, since other smart animals were long lived and social, while octopuses/octopi were neither. He told me that they weren't all that smart, about as smart as rats. Which struck me as evasive, after I thought about it.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    It is his mind that is shut...

    More seriously, if people wanted to thank teachers that kept schools open as long as possible - and arguably longer than was possible - under impossible conditions and constant ineptitude from the centre, a public crucifixion of every civil servant who went to those boozy parties would be a much better start.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,809

    Just watching a Brian Tyler-Cohen piece about Barron's maternity from an earlier Steven Colbert bombshell, oh and paternity.

    Blimey and wow!

    What on earth are you talking about?
    The question being asked is who mothered Barron, and who fathered Barron?

    According to the reports, neither the mother nor the father was likely to be Melania.
    Are these reports from social media? Or are they from actual journalists with editorial policies, like fact-checking?
    Mainstream anti- Trump. It has been doing the rounds for months. No one has sued yet. The current linkage I think relates to Ghislaine's alleged proposed pardon.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 23,704
    The govt rejects the petition signed by 114,216 people to hold a public enquiry into pro-Israel influence in Britain.

    In unrelated news, half the Cabinet has been funded by the pro-Israel lobby.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,809

    The govt rejects the petition signed by 114,216 people to hold a public enquiry into pro-Israel influence in Britain.

    In unrelated news, half the Cabinet has been funded by the pro-Israel lobby.

    Thankyou Jeremy.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 27,859

    isam said:

    isam said:

    tlg86 said:

    tlg86 said:

    I am sure we have done this. It is a particular favourite of ours to call racist rapists out.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cpqxrzr29pxo

    Absolutely appalling. I would note that:

    At the time of the rape he was homeless, having been discharged from psychiatric care three days earlier without a support package after it was decided he was no longer psychotic.

    If he weren't white, I am certain the mental health card would have been played.
    I find your final sentence incredibly disconcerting. A rapist bastard is a rapist bastard whatever their colour. No excuses and no pulling the "he got it tougher because he was white" please.
    No, I couldn't give a toss about the fate of the junkie. But you only have to look at Nottingham to see how we treat perpetrators who are not white.
    I don't believe I have defended AR or the **** in Nottingham because they are not white.

    I am fascinated that over the last few days some posters have been keen to post stories about disgusting immigrant criminality and getting substantial likes for doing so, but this one? Not so much.
    Unless you are a complete moron, I find it hard to see the fascination. Rape is a disgusting crime that should be severely punished no matter the perpetrator. But if the perpetrator(s) are people who have entered the country illegally on a small boat, that makes it more the establishment's fault than when the rapist is someone who was born here. When people, including me obviously, post these stories of illegal immigrants raping women, it isn't because we think it is bad when they do it but ok when others do, it is to illustrate that letting these people in and putting them up in little villages is madness, and the government should be doing more to stop it. It is the establishment that is being criticised, that rape is an horrific crime goes without saying

    People, including myself, also post when a man pretending to be a woman sexually assaults a real woman in prison. We don't post when men sexually assault other men in men's prisons, nor when women sexually assault women in women's prisons. That is not to say those assaults aren't bad, although the man pretending to be a woman's assault on woman is worse as well as being the establishment's fault
    The rapists in Brighton that were widely posted about on here this week are disgusting individuals for their crimes. I don't believe them being immigrants or Muslims has anything to do their criminality. Likewise the guy who raped the Sikh girl because he thought she was Muslim did not do it because he was white but because he's a nasty bastard.
    You have completely missed the point

    The rape in Brighton would not have happened if the small boats hadn't arrived. The rape of the Sikh woman would have. That is the reason people mention the former and not the latter. Thousands of crimes a year happen that we don't feel the need to mention on here, because there isn't a government policy angle. When men who arrive on small boats assault women, it is pointed out because we don't want men arriving here on small boats and being put up at the taxpayers expense in places where the locals don't want them, not because they are doing things that we otherwise think ok but decide are bad when they do them
    Your argument implies that there is absolutely nothing government could have done that would have led to the latter rape not occurring. Do you really believe that there is no action government can take to reduce rapes by the non-immigrant population?

    That’s clearly nonsense. You’re cynically using rape as a reason to oppose immigration. If you cared about rape, there are dozens of policies that government could enact to reduce rapes and/or to find and prosecute those who commit rape that would be far more effective than banning immigration.
    In the case of the rape in Walsall, we could start by not letting out people who are a clear and obvious danger to the rest of us.

    By far and away the worst thing Mrs Thatcher did was care in the community.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490
    One of Higgins or O'Sullivan will be in the quarterfinals.

    It is not looking likely Mark Williams will be joining whichever it is.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 37,017

    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    Foxy said:

    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/angela-rayner-shabana-mahmood-sacking-jklrd96b0

    Angela Rayner’s allies have told Keir Starmer that he must sack Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood for her to return to Cabinet

    Rayner recently branded Mahmood's immigration reforms "un-British" and a "breach of trust"

    Well she wants to lose then.
    Might well win her the Leadership though.
    She can't win her constituency without the Muslim vote. Hence Ange's "principled" opposition to Mahmood's reforms

    It matters not. We are heading for civil unrest, and, likely, deportations
    Not if we've got no jet fuel we aren't.
    People used to be "transported" to far flung shores by boat...
    How are the supplies of heavy fuel oil looking?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,809
    ydoethur said:

    One of Higgins or O'Sullivan will be in the quarterfinals.

    It is not looking likely Mark Williams will be joining whichever it is.

    Thank God for that! I didn't want to see him running naked along the M4 anyway.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490

    The govt rejects the petition signed by 114,216 people to hold a public enquiry into pro-Israel influence in Britain.

    In unrelated news, half the Cabinet has been funded by the pro-Israel lobby.

    Since you spent aaaaaages telling us Starmer is a raving antisemite, that's a very surprising statistic.

    Unless, of course, at some point you have talking what we call in polite society shucking fullbit .
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 34,523
    eek said:

    Thoroughly disgusted that the unelected house has been able to filibuster the assisted dying bill that the elected house had passed.

    I hope next month a supporter of the bill gets drawn high up the private members ballot and reproposes the bill and the elected house passes it again.

    Then the Parliament Act should be used and the unelected house removed from the equation.

    It's not passing the House in its current form.
    That is up to MPs.

    They voted for it last year. They should again.
    You seem to forget quite a few MPs only supported the bill/didn't vote against it because they wanted to see what the final bill would look like.

    Sadly the supporters of the bill have made the safeguards look laughable.
    MPs voted how they voted, you may wish they had done otherwise but they did what they did at third reading. They could and should vote the same way yet again.

    The safeguards are laughably onerous, agreed. Far too many that should not be there and should be stripped out.

    But better to accept it as it is than liberalise it further, don't let the perfect be the enemy of the good enough for now.
    I would just say it had a 23 vote majority in the house so no guarantee it would pass if reintroduced
    There is never any guarantees in life, agreed.

    But MPs should do the right thing and pass it, unamended, then override the unelected Lords.

    The Lords could have chosen to pass reasonable amendments to send to the elected chamber to continue. Instead they have chosen to dick about, so the Commons should pass it unamended and have the Lords forfeit the right to suggest amendments.
    Nope. I am in favour of assisted dying - very strongly. But this bill was, please excuse the term, an abortion.

    If you listen to some of the Lords ex[plaining their objections you realise just how bad this bill was as it was presented to the Lords.

    For a start, being a Private Members Bill, it had none of the usual research and support work done in advance - green and white papers, proper consultations etc. It was brought to the Commons as a half arsed emotionally based attempt to get ssisted dying rather than a proper formulated plan for end of life care indcluiding an option for assisted dying.

    Then after it passed its second reading in the Commons it was changed with key protections being removed. This is not the same bill the Commons voted on, even before the Lords had had a chance to look at it.

    It stands as the largest and most complex private members bill ever put before the Lords and it needed proper scrutiny. All he more so because all the work which would normally be done in advance of a Government bill was missing.

    What we need is for a Government to do the right thing and introduce a proper bill which has been properly planned and reseached. Not some half arsed bit of legislation that relies on emotional blackmail to get it through.

    I think what we need is the Government to use this bill to kick off the green and white papers with consultations.

    And then in 3 years time when all that's been done an MP can introduce the bill again as a private member..
    I want the Government to govern. Have the courage of its convictions and actually put forward a properly considered bill with official backing.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 64,491
    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    Once, again, as with the navy, describing our forces as a shoe string is seriously overstating it.

    Fortunately for us, Argentina has seen an even more serious decline in military capability. Their navy and air force are so run down there's basically zero chance of being able to stage a successful invasion against anything more than token opposition.

    And they certainly have no way of stopping a pair of QE class carriers loaded with F-35s when they inevitably turn up and politely ask for the islands back.
    You think we can get both our carriers seaworthy and manned at the same time? I admire your optimism. God, we are getting so little bang for our bucks.
    You think we can get a single carrier with escort vessels seaworthy and manned at the same time? I admire your optimism.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490
    rcs1000 said:

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    Once, again, as with the navy, describing our forces as a shoe string is seriously overstating it.

    Fortunately for us, Argentina has seen an even more serious decline in military capability. Their navy and air force are so run down there's basically zero chance of being able to stage a successful invasion against anything more than token opposition.

    And they certainly have no way of stopping a pair of QE class carriers loaded with F-35s when they inevitably turn up and politely ask for the islands back.
    You think we can get both our carriers seaworthy and manned at the same time? I admire your optimism. God, we are getting so little bang for our bucks.
    You think we can get a single carrier with escort vessels seaworthy and manned at the same time? I admire your optimism.
    Even if we could, do we have aircraft for it?
  • CookieCookie Posts: 17,563

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    Hm. Not entirely. There was one period where schools were closed for, what, three months in summer 2020, and anotger period in winter 2021 for which they were closed for about two, two and a half months. Sone teachera did heroically but the unions were being incredibly difficult.

    It was, without doubt, the most miserable period of my life.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490

    ydoethur said:

    One of Higgins or O'Sullivan will be in the quarterfinals.

    It is not looking likely Mark Williams will be joining whichever it is.

    Thank God for that! I didn't want to see him running naked along the M4 anyway.
    At least unlike Gary Lineker he kept his other promise.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 35,231
    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    It is his mind that is shut...

    More seriously, if people wanted to thank teachers that kept schools open as long as possible - and arguably longer than was possible - under impossible conditions and constant ineptitude from the centre, a public crucifixion of every civil servant who went to those boozy parties would be a much better start.
    They didn't keep them open for as long as possible. As long as possible would be keeping them open.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 50,708
    ydoethur said:

    One of Higgins or O'Sullivan will be in the quarterfinals.

    It is not looking likely Mark Williams will be joining whichever it is.

    I was at the Crucible on Wednesday. Great experience. Might make it an annual.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 34,523
    edited April 24
    rcs1000 said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    The home grown supply of oil and gas is finite. It can be used just once. The only question is whether we take it all out of the ground as fast as possible, or at a much more measured pace while switching away to lean more on renewable and nuclear sources. If the latter, there will be more oil and gas left for future generations, at a point when you and I are pushing up the daisies and the planet might actually be able to cope with the more measured rate of use.

    And as those finite oil and gas supplies run out worldwide, such that the cost of extraction increases and prices are pushed up further due to limits on supply, the fact that fields such as Rosebank are available to bring onstream in 50 years time will make them far more valuable as a national resource then than they are now.
    Once we abandon fields they will never be re-opened. It is simply not practical. I know. I am responsible for abandoning them and take it from me we are making sure they are really well abandoned because that is the legal requirement.
    What’s your view on the Iranian blockade?

    The US narrative is that Kharg island fills up by next weekend, leaving Iran nowhere to store the stuff, so they have to start shutting down production in a way that could be permanent.
    Nah. Trump is talking out of his behind. You can keep wells shut in for years. If those wells are onshore then you can keep them shut in for decades. You lose nothing except a bit of cost from having someone monitor them every few months to make sure they are not leaking.

    It only becomes an issue when you want to permanently abandon them and they are 300 ft below the surface of the North Sea * Then you have to do a proper abandonment based on the highest possible recharge pressures over several thousand years. That means pulling casings, setting cement plugs and eventually cutting off wellheads and removing any infrastructure above the seabed. That is when it becomes irreversable.

    Nothing Trump is doing will reduce Iranian oil reserves or cost them anything beyond the immediate issue of being unable to sell their oil.

    *other seas and other depths are available.
    While I hate to disagree with you, it's not quite true re onshore production.

    Reservoirs can -and do- become damaged by being shut in. For example, if it's a clay formation and they are using water injection to maintain pressures (as I'm pretty sure most Iranian wells will be) then if you stop producing, then the water in the well will end up being absorbed by clays, swelling it and causing the pores to close.

    Conventional fractured clay reservoirs are so impossibly rare as to be insignificant. The Iranian reservoirs are either sand of limestone. Moreover, if you are doing water injection properly (and whatever else they are the Iranians are very good reservoir engineers) then you carry out water injection to form a front driving the oil ahead of it, rather than coning which massively reduces production. Unless they are utterly incompetent (and again they are not) then there is no reason that shutting in wells should have any impact on reserves or production. Everyone regulalry shuts in wells for months or sometimes years as a normal part of reservoir management both in the North Sea and around the rest of the world. In some of the wells I am currently abandoning there can be several decades between the first and last sidetrack drilled off a well.
  • Leon_VotedForStarmerLeon_VotedForStarmer Posts: 69,000
    edited April 24

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    No they fucking weren't you stupid YouTubing fat freak. I know this BECAUSE MY OLDER DAUGHTER WAS SENT HOME AND STAYED HOME
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 64,491

    FTP

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    Nigelb said:

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    There's no connection between the two things.
    The market for oil and gas is global; our renewables policies affect no one very much apart from us.

    The largest effect from discouraging UK oil and gas production is to our balance of payments and exchequer.

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    Solar power is completely independent of oil - we have never generated significant electricity from oil.

    Solar has soared in installation, because it is cheaper than gas and getting cheaper each year. North Sea production doesn’t really affect the world market for gas, so the price is pretty much independent of that.

    So solar would be smashing it in either case.
    Thanks both.

    Agreed on the oil; I was lazily assuming this was a discussion mainly about gas given we are currently quite reliant on it for electricity but looking back at the comment Richard replied to I see oil and gas were conflated. I entirely agree that oil and renewables are not really related.

    On the gas point, I agree with you both in a perfect market. But I wonder about the practical implications in the market as it is. If gas becomes relatively costlier/harder to extract in the UK, to what extent are companies who would like to extract it choosing to reduce their presence in the UK electricity market overall, and to what extent are they transferring investment decisions into renewables? And what would this trend look like in the longer term?

    I genuinely don't know, but interested if others have figures on this.
    The companies selling it, sell it on the world market, at the world market price.

    They have no generating capacity themselves.

    The generating companies buy gas at the world market price.

    The U.K. production, in any event, is not big enough to shift world prices (the U.K. benefit is taxes and jobs)

    So U.K. production of gas would have next to no effect on the decision of the generating companies to buy more solar.
    I'm with you on all of that.

    What about investment in future generation though?

    I can accept that the practical.answer may be that they just invest elsewhere in the world. But I am interested in whether we have figures to say that this is actually happening, rather than that the generating companies are switching investments towards renewable capacity in the UK.

    I take the point also about solar being so cheap, but then prima facie does that not making switching investments rather than removing them from UK more attractive?

    Apologies if I'm being dense!
    The oil and gas producing companies are investing in oil and gas elsewhere. Norway for example. Or in shutting down the North Sea - lots of work in that. For a while.

    Solar, in the U.K., is limited by planning. There is more money chasing projects that can happen.

    Perhaps the bit you are missing is that oil (in particular) is required to make a lot of things. This is the long tail of net zero.
    One of the most ghastly things about it (against stiff competition) is that the Norwegians are just sticking their own straw down there, sucking up what we're leaving, and selling it back to us. It's being perpetrated by people who hate this country, and supported by people who are mentally ill.
    I would be surprised if any of the reservoirs are actually connected, and the maximum distance that oil usually travels -horizontally to the wellbore- is no more than 3-700 meters. For North Sea development, operators will drill many, many well, typically with spacing of 6-800 meters.
  • BurgessianBurgessian Posts: 3,814
    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    What annoyed me, is that in part due to union influence, the teachers in my area didn't deliver online classes and stay in touch. I can, kinda, understand a reluctance to teach in person, especially for those with health conditions. But refusing to post up a lesson and engage in online chats seemed like a dereliction of duty. The kids should have come first.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 23,194
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    No they fucking weren't you stupid YouTubing fat freak. I know this BECAUSE MY OLDER DAUGHTER WAS SENT HOME AND STAYED HOME
    Schools stayed open for the kids of key workers. I don’t think flint knappers cowering in SEWales counted as a key worker.
  • Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    What annoyed me, is that in part due to union influence, the teachers in my area didn't deliver online classes and stay in touch. I can, kinda, understand a reluctance to teach in person, especially for those with health conditions. But refusing to post up a lesson and engage in online chats seemed like a dereliction of duty. The kids should have come first.
    I despise teachers, Sack them all. Along with the lawyers
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 72,378
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    No they fucking weren't you stupid YouTubing fat freak. I know this BECAUSE MY OLDER DAUGHTER WAS SENT HOME AND STAYED HOME
    My memory is the schools were open BUT ONLY for the kids of essential workers.

    So most teachers were at home.

    But can we just all agree it was a bloody nightmare and it should not be done again.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490
    edited April 24

    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    It is his mind that is shut...

    More seriously, if people wanted to thank teachers that kept schools open as long as possible - and arguably longer than was possible - under impossible conditions and constant ineptitude from the centre, a public crucifixion of every civil servant who went to those boozy parties would be a much better start.
    They didn't keep them open for as long as possible. As long as possible would be keeping them open.
    Sigh.

    I know a lot of misinformation is out there about this, mostly from lunatics who keep saying 'this, or this, could be done.' Cummings, for example, who is a liar, a bully, a failure, a forger, a fantasist and an idiot who kept blaming 'the unions' or 'the teachers' or 'the blob' for his own stupidity and ineptitude in this.

    It couldn't.

    I've been into this in lots of times and I'm not going to go over the details again. But suffice to say, if you wanted people isolated to stop the spread of the disease, we couldn't keep schools open. We just didn't have the staff. If we did more than half the time we didn't have the children.

    We were told to test. The tests weren't provided. When they were provided, the staff to do them weren't. So we couldn't do them. We were ordered to do them, and reopen. We couldn't therefore reopen. We were told exams would go ahead. It was obvious that due to the numbers off with illness we couldn't. We were then, when they were finally cancelled, to do our own assessments. Bizarrely, the Covid year of 2022 had up to five times as many exams as their peers normally would.

    We were told to keep children in 'bubbles.' Nobody could tell us what that meant. We had to make it up as we went along because any time we tried to get clarification from the centre they snapped 'it's plain what we mean' (which was a lie, but most DfE civil servants are sadly liars).

    We were ordered to keep most children at home in March 2020. We had no say in it. We weren't allowed to reopen before the summer even if we wanted to. That is however to ignore the fact that they *were* still open for some children. All the way through. And we were still teaching. All the way through. Online, under very difficult conditions, because the government refused to spend money on decent technology, although they spent it on foreign holidays and restaurant meals.

    If you want my candid opinion the second lockdown could and should have been avoided. But that was entirely due (a) to the utter fucking stupidity of Johnson and Cumstain in allowing their demented 'airbridge' for holidays which reseeded the virus everywhere and (b) the even greater stupidity of not moving to properly blended learning where children had two weeks in and one online to try and spread resources more effectively. The lockdown became needed because of the truly shocking mismanagement of schools in the autumn term of 2020.

    Continue to spout the lies and propaganda of neo-Nazis like that loathsome creep Contrarian if you like. But please be aware that is all they are.

    Oh and another thing - I don't think Covid caused problems in schools, so much as demonstrating with brutal clarity just how big a shambles and a lash-up the whole system is.
  • Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    No they fucking weren't you stupid YouTubing fat freak. I know this BECAUSE MY OLDER DAUGHTER WAS SENT HOME AND STAYED HOME
    Schools stayed open for the kids of key workers. I don’t think flint knappers cowering in SEWales counted as a key worker.
    My daughter's school didn't even do that. Totally shut. Grotesque cowardice
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 32,342
    edited April 24
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    No they fucking weren't you stupid YouTubing fat freak. I know this BECAUSE MY OLDER DAUGHTER WAS SENT HOME AND STAYED HOME
    Luv. My kids stayed at home as well. My wife? Went to work as normal at her primary school. Which remained open for all the kids deemed essential.

    You may not like it. I may not like it. My kids certainly didn’t like it. But *the schools* remained open.

    Fat? Yes. Freak? Ooh get her…
  • Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    Hm. Not entirely. There was one period where schools were closed for, what, three months in summer 2020, and anotger period in winter 2021 for which they were closed for about two, two and a half months. Sone teachera did heroically but the unions were being incredibly difficult.

    It was, without doubt, the most miserable period of my life.
    My son's school stayed open for essential workers kids throughout the pandemic. As far as I can tell that was the norm. Teachers taught from their classrooms either with a handful of kids or direct to streaming to students at home. My son did not miss a single day's school throughout the whole of lockdown.
    Well, yet again YOU had a really lovely lockdown and everything was perfect as you keep telling us. Others, not so much
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    No they fucking weren't you stupid YouTubing fat freak. I know this BECAUSE MY OLDER DAUGHTER WAS SENT HOME AND STAYED HOME
    Schools stayed open for the kids of key workers. I don’t think flint knappers cowering in SEWales counted as a key worker.
    My daughter's school didn't even do that. Totally shut. Grotesque cowardice
    Which school was that? It is possible that if it was a private school in London there were no children that met the criteria for coming in. But equally, they found online teaching much easier than state schools with smaller class sizes and better access to equipment.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490
    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    Hm. Not entirely. There was one period where schools were closed for, what, three months in summer 2020, and anotger period in winter 2021 for which they were closed for about two, two and a half months. Sone teachera did heroically but the unions were being incredibly difficult.

    It was, without doubt, the most miserable period of my life.
    My son's school stayed open for essential workers kids throughout the pandemic. As far as I can tell that was the norm. Teachers taught from their classrooms either with a handful of kids or direct to streaming to students at home. My son did not miss a single day's school throughout the whole of lockdown.
    Well, yet again YOU had a really lovely lockdown and everything was perfect as you keep telling us. Others, not so much
    Well, you were the one who decided to go to Penarth even though you hate Wales.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 64,491

    rcs1000 said:

    Sandpit said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    The home grown supply of oil and gas is finite. It can be used just once. The only question is whether we take it all out of the ground as fast as possible, or at a much more measured pace while switching away to lean more on renewable and nuclear sources. If the latter, there will be more oil and gas left for future generations, at a point when you and I are pushing up the daisies and the planet might actually be able to cope with the more measured rate of use.

    And as those finite oil and gas supplies run out worldwide, such that the cost of extraction increases and prices are pushed up further due to limits on supply, the fact that fields such as Rosebank are available to bring onstream in 50 years time will make them far more valuable as a national resource then than they are now.
    Once we abandon fields they will never be re-opened. It is simply not practical. I know. I am responsible for abandoning them and take it from me we are making sure they are really well abandoned because that is the legal requirement.
    What’s your view on the Iranian blockade?

    The US narrative is that Kharg island fills up by next weekend, leaving Iran nowhere to store the stuff, so they have to start shutting down production in a way that could be permanent.
    Nah. Trump is talking out of his behind. You can keep wells shut in for years. If those wells are onshore then you can keep them shut in for decades. You lose nothing except a bit of cost from having someone monitor them every few months to make sure they are not leaking.

    It only becomes an issue when you want to permanently abandon them and they are 300 ft below the surface of the North Sea * Then you have to do a proper abandonment based on the highest possible recharge pressures over several thousand years. That means pulling casings, setting cement plugs and eventually cutting off wellheads and removing any infrastructure above the seabed. That is when it becomes irreversable.

    Nothing Trump is doing will reduce Iranian oil reserves or cost them anything beyond the immediate issue of being unable to sell their oil.

    *other seas and other depths are available.
    While I hate to disagree with you, it's not quite true re onshore production.

    Reservoirs can -and do- become damaged by being shut in. For example, if it's a clay formation and they are using water injection to maintain pressures (as I'm pretty sure most Iranian wells will be) then if you stop producing, then the water in the well will end up being absorbed by clays, swelling it and causing the pores to close.

    Conventional fractured clay reservoirs are so impossibly rare as to be insignificant. The Iranian reservoirs are either sand of limestone. Moreover, if you are doing water injection properly (and whatever else they are the Iranians are very good reservoir engineers) then you carry out water injection to form a front driving the oil ahead of it, rather than coning which massively reduces production. Unless they are utterly incompetent (and again they are not) then there is no reason that shutting in wells should have any impact on reserves or production. Everyone regulalry shuts in wells for months or sometimes years as a normal part of reservoir management both in the North Sea and around the rest of the world. In some of the wells I am currently abandoning there can be several decades between the first and last sidetrack drilled off a well.
    Short shut ins are rarely a problem, but the longer you shut a field down, the lower production is likely to be at restart.

    See this TGS piece: https://www.tgs.com/well-and-subsurface-intel/how-do-shut-ins-impact-well-performance
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490
    edited April 24

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    What annoyed me, is that in part due to union influence, the teachers in my area didn't deliver online classes and stay in touch. I can, kinda, understand a reluctance to teach in person, especially for those with health conditions. But refusing to post up a lesson and engage in online chats seemed like a dereliction of duty. The kids should have come first.
    I'm not aware of any union that opposed online teaching. And I was a union rep at the time so I would have expected to know about it. Who gave you that information?

    They wanted safeguards and raised concerns about venues. That's a different problem. Maybe the school in question simply messed up its policies?
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 32,342
    Do have to laugh at “fat freak”.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 34,523
    rcs1000 said:

    FTP

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    Nigelb said:

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    There's no connection between the two things.
    The market for oil and gas is global; our renewables policies affect no one very much apart from us.

    The largest effect from discouraging UK oil and gas production is to our balance of payments and exchequer.

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    Solar power is completely independent of oil - we have never generated significant electricity from oil.

    Solar has soared in installation, because it is cheaper than gas and getting cheaper each year. North Sea production doesn’t really affect the world market for gas, so the price is pretty much independent of that.

    So solar would be smashing it in either case.
    Thanks both.

    Agreed on the oil; I was lazily assuming this was a discussion mainly about gas given we are currently quite reliant on it for electricity but looking back at the comment Richard replied to I see oil and gas were conflated. I entirely agree that oil and renewables are not really related.

    On the gas point, I agree with you both in a perfect market. But I wonder about the practical implications in the market as it is. If gas becomes relatively costlier/harder to extract in the UK, to what extent are companies who would like to extract it choosing to reduce their presence in the UK electricity market overall, and to what extent are they transferring investment decisions into renewables? And what would this trend look like in the longer term?

    I genuinely don't know, but interested if others have figures on this.
    The companies selling it, sell it on the world market, at the world market price.

    They have no generating capacity themselves.

    The generating companies buy gas at the world market price.

    The U.K. production, in any event, is not big enough to shift world prices (the U.K. benefit is taxes and jobs)

    So U.K. production of gas would have next to no effect on the decision of the generating companies to buy more solar.
    I'm with you on all of that.

    What about investment in future generation though?

    I can accept that the practical.answer may be that they just invest elsewhere in the world. But I am interested in whether we have figures to say that this is actually happening, rather than that the generating companies are switching investments towards renewable capacity in the UK.

    I take the point also about solar being so cheap, but then prima facie does that not making switching investments rather than removing them from UK more attractive?

    Apologies if I'm being dense!
    The oil and gas producing companies are investing in oil and gas elsewhere. Norway for example. Or in shutting down the North Sea - lots of work in that. For a while.

    Solar, in the U.K., is limited by planning. There is more money chasing projects that can happen.

    Perhaps the bit you are missing is that oil (in particular) is required to make a lot of things. This is the long tail of net zero.
    One of the most ghastly things about it (against stiff competition) is that the Norwegians are just sticking their own straw down there, sucking up what we're leaving, and selling it back to us. It's being perpetrated by people who hate this country, and supported by people who are mentally ill.
    I would be surprised if any of the reservoirs are actually connected, and the maximum distance that oil usually travels -horizontally to the wellbore- is no more than 3-700 meters. For North Sea development, operators will drill many, many well, typically with spacing of 6-800 meters.
    Whilst you are right in most cases, there are several fields running down the border that are either shared or which are connected. Equinor alone owns at least half a dozen fields on the Norwegian side which are also producing on the UK side - incuding Statfjord.

    And connectivity varies massively. I am dealing with one of the first field developments in the UK which we are now abandoning and where we are having to take into account the abandonment plans of adjacent fields because they can and will affect the recharge pressures of our field.

    Indeed there have been some significant cock ups over the years with operators misinterpreting reservoir pressures because of connectivity to adjacent fields.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490

    rcs1000 said:

    FTP

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    Nigelb said:

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    There's no connection between the two things.
    The market for oil and gas is global; our renewables policies affect no one very much apart from us.

    The largest effect from discouraging UK oil and gas production is to our balance of payments and exchequer.

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    Solar power is completely independent of oil - we have never generated significant electricity from oil.

    Solar has soared in installation, because it is cheaper than gas and getting cheaper each year. North Sea production doesn’t really affect the world market for gas, so the price is pretty much independent of that.

    So solar would be smashing it in either case.
    Thanks both.

    Agreed on the oil; I was lazily assuming this was a discussion mainly about gas given we are currently quite reliant on it for electricity but looking back at the comment Richard replied to I see oil and gas were conflated. I entirely agree that oil and renewables are not really related.

    On the gas point, I agree with you both in a perfect market. But I wonder about the practical implications in the market as it is. If gas becomes relatively costlier/harder to extract in the UK, to what extent are companies who would like to extract it choosing to reduce their presence in the UK electricity market overall, and to what extent are they transferring investment decisions into renewables? And what would this trend look like in the longer term?

    I genuinely don't know, but interested if others have figures on this.
    The companies selling it, sell it on the world market, at the world market price.

    They have no generating capacity themselves.

    The generating companies buy gas at the world market price.

    The U.K. production, in any event, is not big enough to shift world prices (the U.K. benefit is taxes and jobs)

    So U.K. production of gas would have next to no effect on the decision of the generating companies to buy more solar.
    I'm with you on all of that.

    What about investment in future generation though?

    I can accept that the practical.answer may be that they just invest elsewhere in the world. But I am interested in whether we have figures to say that this is actually happening, rather than that the generating companies are switching investments towards renewable capacity in the UK.

    I take the point also about solar being so cheap, but then prima facie does that not making switching investments rather than removing them from UK more attractive?

    Apologies if I'm being dense!
    The oil and gas producing companies are investing in oil and gas elsewhere. Norway for example. Or in shutting down the North Sea - lots of work in that. For a while.

    Solar, in the U.K., is limited by planning. There is more money chasing projects that can happen.

    Perhaps the bit you are missing is that oil (in particular) is required to make a lot of things. This is the long tail of net zero.
    One of the most ghastly things about it (against stiff competition) is that the Norwegians are just sticking their own straw down there, sucking up what we're leaving, and selling it back to us. It's being perpetrated by people who hate this country, and supported by people who are mentally ill.
    I would be surprised if any of the reservoirs are actually connected, and the maximum distance that oil usually travels -horizontally to the wellbore- is no more than 3-700 meters. For North Sea development, operators will drill many, many well, typically with spacing of 6-800 meters.
    Whilst you are right in most cases, there are several fields running down the border that are either shared or which are connected. Equinor alone owns at least half a dozen fields on the Norwegian side which are also producing on the UK side - incuding Statfjord.

    And connectivity varies massively. I am dealing with one of the first field developments in the UK which we are now abandoning and where we are having to take into account the abandonment plans of adjacent fields because they can and will affect the recharge pressures of our field.

    Indeed there have been some significant cock ups over the years with operators misinterpreting reservoir pressures because of connectivity to adjacent fields.
    Can I just say I'm finding this a really interesting discussion between two actual experts? I don't know the first thing about it, but it seems that it's very complicated and the only thing we can agree on is that Trump is talking rubbish.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 9,233
    edited April 24

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    No they fucking weren't you stupid YouTubing fat freak. I know this BECAUSE MY OLDER DAUGHTER WAS SENT HOME AND STAYED HOME
    Luv. My kids stayed at home as well. My wife? Went to work as normal at her primary school. Which remained open for all the kids deemed essential.

    You may not like it. I may not like it. My kids certainly didn’t like it. But *the schools* remained open.

    Fat? Yes. Freak? Ooh get her…
    Is this the new, inverted, "asylum hotels aren't four star because there's no room service"?

    If most of the children aren't there, it's not really a school....
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 34,523
    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    Hm. Not entirely. There was one period where schools were closed for, what, three months in summer 2020, and anotger period in winter 2021 for which they were closed for about two, two and a half months. Sone teachera did heroically but the unions were being incredibly difficult.

    It was, without doubt, the most miserable period of my life.
    My son's school stayed open for essential workers kids throughout the pandemic. As far as I can tell that was the norm. Teachers taught from their classrooms either with a handful of kids or direct to streaming to students at home. My son did not miss a single day's school throughout the whole of lockdown.
    Well, yet again YOU had a really lovely lockdown and everything was perfect as you keep telling us. Others, not so much
    One of the most enjoyable things was watching you go to pieces on a daily basis thinking the end of the world was coming. You are in no position to criticise anyone now given your level of scaremongering during the pandemic.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 64,491

    rcs1000 said:

    FTP

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    Nigelb said:

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    There's no connection between the two things.
    The market for oil and gas is global; our renewables policies affect no one very much apart from us.

    The largest effect from discouraging UK oil and gas production is to our balance of payments and exchequer.

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    Solar power is completely independent of oil - we have never generated significant electricity from oil.

    Solar has soared in installation, because it is cheaper than gas and getting cheaper each year. North Sea production doesn’t really affect the world market for gas, so the price is pretty much independent of that.

    So solar would be smashing it in either case.
    Thanks both.

    Agreed on the oil; I was lazily assuming this was a discussion mainly about gas given we are currently quite reliant on it for electricity but looking back at the comment Richard replied to I see oil and gas were conflated. I entirely agree that oil and renewables are not really related.

    On the gas point, I agree with you both in a perfect market. But I wonder about the practical implications in the market as it is. If gas becomes relatively costlier/harder to extract in the UK, to what extent are companies who would like to extract it choosing to reduce their presence in the UK electricity market overall, and to what extent are they transferring investment decisions into renewables? And what would this trend look like in the longer term?

    I genuinely don't know, but interested if others have figures on this.
    The companies selling it, sell it on the world market, at the world market price.

    They have no generating capacity themselves.

    The generating companies buy gas at the world market price.

    The U.K. production, in any event, is not big enough to shift world prices (the U.K. benefit is taxes and jobs)

    So U.K. production of gas would have next to no effect on the decision of the generating companies to buy more solar.
    I'm with you on all of that.

    What about investment in future generation though?

    I can accept that the practical.answer may be that they just invest elsewhere in the world. But I am interested in whether we have figures to say that this is actually happening, rather than that the generating companies are switching investments towards renewable capacity in the UK.

    I take the point also about solar being so cheap, but then prima facie does that not making switching investments rather than removing them from UK more attractive?

    Apologies if I'm being dense!
    The oil and gas producing companies are investing in oil and gas elsewhere. Norway for example. Or in shutting down the North Sea - lots of work in that. For a while.

    Solar, in the U.K., is limited by planning. There is more money chasing projects that can happen.

    Perhaps the bit you are missing is that oil (in particular) is required to make a lot of things. This is the long tail of net zero.
    One of the most ghastly things about it (against stiff competition) is that the Norwegians are just sticking their own straw down there, sucking up what we're leaving, and selling it back to us. It's being perpetrated by people who hate this country, and supported by people who are mentally ill.
    I would be surprised if any of the reservoirs are actually connected, and the maximum distance that oil usually travels -horizontally to the wellbore- is no more than 3-700 meters. For North Sea development, operators will drill many, many well, typically with spacing of 6-800 meters.
    Whilst you are right in most cases, there are several fields running down the border that are either shared or which are connected. Equinor alone owns at least half a dozen fields on the Norwegian side which are also producing on the UK side - incuding Statfjord.

    And connectivity varies massively. I am dealing with one of the first field developments in the UK which we are now abandoning and where we are having to take into account the abandonment plans of adjacent fields because they can and will affect the recharge pressures of our field.

    Indeed there have been some significant cock ups over the years with operators misinterpreting reservoir pressures because of connectivity to adjacent fields.
    Thank you for that. My North Sea knowledge is not as good as my US unconventionals knowledge.

    Thinking more about this, gas fields are much more likely to be connected, as gas travels much more easily. Because it's a gas.

    South Pars (Iran) and North Field (Qatar) are basically the same geological structure, and that stuff will really travel.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 9,233
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    Hm. Not entirely. There was one period where schools were closed for, what, three months in summer 2020, and anotger period in winter 2021 for which they were closed for about two, two and a half months. Sone teachera did heroically but the unions were being incredibly difficult.

    It was, without doubt, the most miserable period of my life.
    My son's school stayed open for essential workers kids throughout the pandemic. As far as I can tell that was the norm. Teachers taught from their classrooms either with a handful of kids or direct to streaming to students at home. My son did not miss a single day's school throughout the whole of lockdown.
    Well, yet again YOU had a really lovely lockdown and everything was perfect as you keep telling us. Others, not so much
    One of the most enjoyable things was watching you go to pieces on a daily basis thinking the end of the world was coming. You are in no position to criticise anyone now given your level of scaremongering during the pandemic.
    I've often wondered what would happen if @Leon 2026 met @Leon 2020. I think they'd get into serious fisticuffs.
    The Ayahuasca apparently has a half-life.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 72,378
    ++ betting post ++



    Luke Tryl
    @LukeTryl
    ·
    11m
    There is no doubt Rayner was able to reach lots of people other Labour pols struggle to reach, the problem now is you get lots of versions of “I thought she was different but turned out to be the same” and given low public trust not sure a hmrc outcome changes that immediately.


    Luke Tryl
    @LukeTryl
    Still think lots of the analysis in Westminster has failed to factor in how much the tax stuff has changed (fairly or not) public opinion of Rayner, even more so because she started from a higher base.

    https://x.com/LukeTryl/status/2047793090451153042
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 32,342
    I’ve looked it up. On 19th May 2020 - when Leon insists the schools were closed - I got a phone call. My wife had been injured on playground duty at Layfield school in Yarm. Had ruptured muscles in her foot. I drove over and was escorted through the building into the rear yard.

    I did my best to carry her through from the yard through the classrooms to the car. Past the kids who looked shocked. And get her into the car. And off to A&E. Where she got a boot on her foot.

    Though, according to Leon, not of that happened. Because the schools were closed and she wasn’t working. Presumably the limp she still has is also a figment of my freak imagination.
  • Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    Hm. Not entirely. There was one period where schools were closed for, what, three months in summer 2020, and anotger period in winter 2021 for which they were closed for about two, two and a half months. Sone teachera did heroically but the unions were being incredibly difficult.

    It was, without doubt, the most miserable period of my life.
    My son's school stayed open for essential workers kids throughout the pandemic. As far as I can tell that was the norm. Teachers taught from their classrooms either with a handful of kids or direct to streaming to students at home. My son did not miss a single day's school throughout the whole of lockdown.
    Well, yet again YOU had a really lovely lockdown and everything was perfect as you keep telling us. Others, not so much
    One of the most enjoyable things was watching you go to pieces on a daily basis thinking the end of the world was coming. You are in no position to criticise anyone now given your level of scaremongering during the pandemic.
    I apologise for having way more foresight and 10 times the ability to extrapolate, than anyone else on this forum

    Incidentally, talking about foresight, has anyone else noticed the weird DRYNESS? Apparently London is experiencing its driest April possibly ever, it's certainly in the top five and the forecast says it might win gold

    Weird

    My EXTRAPOLATIVE ABILITY which is UNEXAMPLED ON THIS FORUM says this is..... weird
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 64,491

    I’ve looked it up. On 19th May 2020 - when Leon insists the schools were closed - I got a phone call. My wife had been injured on playground duty at Layfield school in Yarm. Had ruptured muscles in her foot. I drove over and was escorted through the building into the rear yard.

    I did my best to carry her through from the yard through the classrooms to the car. Past the kids who looked shocked. And get her into the car. And off to A&E. Where she got a boot on her foot.

    Though, according to Leon, not of that happened. Because the schools were closed and she wasn’t working. Presumably the limp she still has is also a figment of my freak imagination.

    I think that is the most likely explanation, yes.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    Hm. Not entirely. There was one period where schools were closed for, what, three months in summer 2020, and anotger period in winter 2021 for which they were closed for about two, two and a half months. Sone teachera did heroically but the unions were being incredibly difficult.

    It was, without doubt, the most miserable period of my life.
    My son's school stayed open for essential workers kids throughout the pandemic. As far as I can tell that was the norm. Teachers taught from their classrooms either with a handful of kids or direct to streaming to students at home. My son did not miss a single day's school throughout the whole of lockdown.
    Well, yet again YOU had a really lovely lockdown and everything was perfect as you keep telling us. Others, not so much
    One of the most enjoyable things was watching you go to pieces on a daily basis thinking the end of the world was coming. You are in no position to criticise anyone now given your level of scaremongering during the pandemic.
    I apologise for having way more foresight and 10 times the ability to extrapolate, than anyone else on this forum

    Incidentally, talking about foresight, has anyone else noticed the weird DRYNESS? Apparently London is experiencing its driest April possibly ever, it's certainly in the top five and the forecast says it might win gold

    Weird

    My EXTRAPOLATIVE ABILITY which is UNEXAMPLED ON THIS FORUM says this is..... weird
    Are you seeking to become dominant in these stakes and rain over us?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 72,378
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    What annoyed me, is that in part due to union influence, the teachers in my area didn't deliver online classes and stay in touch. I can, kinda, understand a reluctance to teach in person, especially for those with health conditions. But refusing to post up a lesson and engage in online chats seemed like a dereliction of duty. The kids should have come first.
    I despise teachers, Sack them all. Along with the lawyers
    My mother and grandmother and aunt were teachers and my memory is they were members of smaller teachers union that did not agree with strikes and so on and is now long gone.

    National union of school masters and mistresses is in my head.

    @ydoethur - is my memory correct?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    What annoyed me, is that in part due to union influence, the teachers in my area didn't deliver online classes and stay in touch. I can, kinda, understand a reluctance to teach in person, especially for those with health conditions. But refusing to post up a lesson and engage in online chats seemed like a dereliction of duty. The kids should have come first.
    I despise teachers, Sack them all. Along with the lawyers
    My mother and grandmother and aunt were teachers and my memory is they were members of smaller teachers union that did not agree with strikes and so on and is now long gone.

    National union of school masters and mistresses is in my head.

    @ydoethur - is my memory correct?
    The National Union of School Masters and the Union of Women Teachers merged into NASUWT.

    You might be thinking of The Voice, which still exists, and has said it will not strike under any circumstances.

    Or the ATL, which was my old union, which said it would never strike except as a last resort and in fact never did strike until the Morgan years and the pensions changes. That has now gone, taken over by the NUT as a power grab based on possibly the most dishonest prospectus I have ever seen, not forgotten Farage on Brexit or Salmond on Sindy.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 34,523
    edited April 24
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    FTP

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    Nigelb said:

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    There's no connection between the two things.
    The market for oil and gas is global; our renewables policies affect no one very much apart from us.

    The largest effect from discouraging UK oil and gas production is to our balance of payments and exchequer.

    maxh said:

    Dopermean said:

    FF43 said:

    murali_s said:

    Why are we still discussing Brexit? Brexit was sub optimal for the country. That much was obvious then and it is of course obvious now.

    It’s done. Let’s move on (all the poorer). Until a party or leader brings up rejoining the EU, what is the point discussing this?

    I don't think we discuss it enough (!) Given we are not going back in any time soon, and most people think it was a mistake, we should be discussing how to make the best of a bad job and what compromises we can accept to make it sort of work.

    Having said that, right now we really really should be discussing the oil -, gas -, plastics -, fertiliser - and in some cases food - free cliff we will be falling over in a few weeks time.

    There's a strange silence
    Partly people don't believe it will happen (wrongly I believe) and partly they really still don't get the impact. They have had years of being told that oil and gas are the ultimate evil and are having serious problems coming round to the idea that so much of modern life relies upon them. When your own Government persists in trying to limit or end the home grown supply of oil and gas, it is no susprise that peple find it difficult to understand just how important it is.
    Ed Miliband is Crap is Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.
    If the UK wasn't putting in increasing renewable generation then we'd be more reliant on oil and gas and even more in the shit.

    Jackdaw and Rosebank were halted by a Scottish Judge not Miliband, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3e1pw7npklo
    As EM said when interviewed, they have to get their EIA right to satisfy the court, otherwise they'll be stopped in court again.

    Even the most accurate on what a disaster Trump2 would be, didn't have his Iran fiasco on their dance card.
    UK having more renewables, EVs and less requirement for fossil fuel means we can use oil and gas for other purposes.

    You can criticise some specifics, CCS, floating wind, but the direction is correct.
    (Snip)

    Banning UK drilling and trying to drive out the oil companies has not meant increased UK investment in renewables. One is not dependent on the other.

    (Snip)
    Is this assertion based on knowledge of the figures Richard? The figures I have heard is that solar power has increased 30% over the past year. (Source: https://energyadvicehub.org/uk-solar-generation-smashes-annual-records-as-capacity-and-sunshine-soar/)

    I don't know how you'd test the counterfactual, nor refute it as you are doing. But happy to stand corrected as I'm sure you know more.

    Solar power is completely independent of oil - we have never generated significant electricity from oil.

    Solar has soared in installation, because it is cheaper than gas and getting cheaper each year. North Sea production doesn’t really affect the world market for gas, so the price is pretty much independent of that.

    So solar would be smashing it in either case.
    Thanks both.

    Agreed on the oil; I was lazily assuming this was a discussion mainly about gas given we are currently quite reliant on it for electricity but looking back at the comment Richard replied to I see oil and gas were conflated. I entirely agree that oil and renewables are not really related.

    On the gas point, I agree with you both in a perfect market. But I wonder about the practical implications in the market as it is. If gas becomes relatively costlier/harder to extract in the UK, to what extent are companies who would like to extract it choosing to reduce their presence in the UK electricity market overall, and to what extent are they transferring investment decisions into renewables? And what would this trend look like in the longer term?

    I genuinely don't know, but interested if others have figures on this.
    The companies selling it, sell it on the world market, at the world market price.

    They have no generating capacity themselves.

    The generating companies buy gas at the world market price.

    The U.K. production, in any event, is not big enough to shift world prices (the U.K. benefit is taxes and jobs)

    So U.K. production of gas would have next to no effect on the decision of the generating companies to buy more solar.
    I'm with you on all of that.

    What about investment in future generation though?

    I can accept that the practical.answer may be that they just invest elsewhere in the world. But I am interested in whether we have figures to say that this is actually happening, rather than that the generating companies are switching investments towards renewable capacity in the UK.

    I take the point also about solar being so cheap, but then prima facie does that not making switching investments rather than removing them from UK more attractive?

    Apologies if I'm being dense!
    The oil and gas producing companies are investing in oil and gas elsewhere. Norway for example. Or in shutting down the North Sea - lots of work in that. For a while.

    Solar, in the U.K., is limited by planning. There is more money chasing projects that can happen.

    Perhaps the bit you are missing is that oil (in particular) is required to make a lot of things. This is the long tail of net zero.
    One of the most ghastly things about it (against stiff competition) is that the Norwegians are just sticking their own straw down there, sucking up what we're leaving, and selling it back to us. It's being perpetrated by people who hate this country, and supported by people who are mentally ill.
    I would be surprised if any of the reservoirs are actually connected, and the maximum distance that oil usually travels -horizontally to the wellbore- is no more than 3-700 meters. For North Sea development, operators will drill many, many well, typically with spacing of 6-800 meters.
    Whilst you are right in most cases, there are several fields running down the border that are either shared or which are connected. Equinor alone owns at least half a dozen fields on the Norwegian side which are also producing on the UK side - incuding Statfjord.

    And connectivity varies massively. I am dealing with one of the first field developments in the UK which we are now abandoning and where we are having to take into account the abandonment plans of adjacent fields because they can and will affect the recharge pressures of our field.

    Indeed there have been some significant cock ups over the years with operators misinterpreting reservoir pressures because of connectivity to adjacent fields.
    Thank you for that. My North Sea knowledge is not as good as my US unconventionals knowledge.

    Thinking more about this, gas fields are much more likely to be connected, as gas travels much more easily. Because it's a gas.

    South Pars (Iran) and North Field (Qatar) are basically the same geological structure, and that stuff will really travel.
    I am interested in the difference between what you are seeing in the US and what we see in the North Sea in terms of the effect of shut ins. Shut ins are a standard operating procedure on North Sea Fields, done many times as a normal part of reservoir management and because of completion failures. The biggest issue seen, both from personal experience and looking through the literature, is corrosion effects on equipment. The observed and expected impact on reservoir productivity is insignificant.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 23,194
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    Hm. Not entirely. There was one period where schools were closed for, what, three months in summer 2020, and anotger period in winter 2021 for which they were closed for about two, two and a half months. Sone teachera did heroically but the unions were being incredibly difficult.

    It was, without doubt, the most miserable period of my life.
    My son's school stayed open for essential workers kids throughout the pandemic. As far as I can tell that was the norm. Teachers taught from their classrooms either with a handful of kids or direct to streaming to students at home. My son did not miss a single day's school throughout the whole of lockdown.
    Well, yet again YOU had a really lovely lockdown and everything was perfect as you keep telling us. Others, not so much
    One of the most enjoyable things was watching you go to pieces on a daily basis thinking the end of the world was coming. You are in no position to criticise anyone now given your level of scaremongering during the pandemic.
    I apologise for having way more foresight and 10 times the ability to extrapolate, than anyone else on this forum

    Incidentally, talking about foresight, has anyone else noticed the weird DRYNESS? Apparently London is experiencing its driest April possibly ever, it's certainly in the top five and the forecast says it might win gold

    Weird

    My EXTRAPOLATIVE ABILITY which is UNEXAMPLED ON THIS FORUM says this is..... weird
    I think you might have discovered weather. Kudos.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 32,342
    carnforth said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    No they fucking weren't you stupid YouTubing fat freak. I know this BECAUSE MY OLDER DAUGHTER WAS SENT HOME AND STAYED HOME
    Luv. My kids stayed at home as well. My wife? Went to work as normal at her primary school. Which remained open for all the kids deemed essential.

    You may not like it. I may not like it. My kids certainly didn’t like it. But *the schools* remained open.

    Fat? Yes. Freak? Ooh get her…
    Is this the new, inverted, "asylum hotels aren't four star because there's no room service"?

    If most of the children aren't there, it's not really a school....
    My kids also stayed at home. But wifey as a specialist teaching assistant went to work as normal because the school remained open.

    I can think of plenty of places which are open which I am now allowed to go to. They are open whether I am allowed to attend or not…
  • carnforth said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    Hm. Not entirely. There was one period where schools were closed for, what, three months in summer 2020, and anotger period in winter 2021 for which they were closed for about two, two and a half months. Sone teachera did heroically but the unions were being incredibly difficult.

    It was, without doubt, the most miserable period of my life.
    My son's school stayed open for essential workers kids throughout the pandemic. As far as I can tell that was the norm. Teachers taught from their classrooms either with a handful of kids or direct to streaming to students at home. My son did not miss a single day's school throughout the whole of lockdown.
    Well, yet again YOU had a really lovely lockdown and everything was perfect as you keep telling us. Others, not so much
    One of the most enjoyable things was watching you go to pieces on a daily basis thinking the end of the world was coming. You are in no position to criticise anyone now given your level of scaremongering during the pandemic.
    I've often wondered what would happen if @Leon 2026 met @Leon 2020. I think they'd get into serious fisticuffs.
    The Ayahuasca apparently has a half-life.
    Actually it doesn't. No, seriously. The first dose I took in March 2022 (IIRC) changed my life hugely for the better - it jolted me out of the last suicidal, post divorce, post Covid shit - and the second dose I took in Colombia in 2024 has made me much more religious, and this seems to be permanent. As in, I was already quite religious, but now it verges on fervent, I no longer have much doubt that the universe, as I know it, is governed by some overriding emotional principle and in its mysterious ways it "tells a story". Actuality has a narrative. Weird but true

    Of course you can dismiss this as delusional bollocks, and fair enough, but I got this from doing ayahuasca and it has definitely not worn off. If anything, it has strengthened. I recommend a dose to all PBers
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    Hm. Not entirely. There was one period where schools were closed for, what, three months in summer 2020, and anotger period in winter 2021 for which they were closed for about two, two and a half months. Sone teachera did heroically but the unions were being incredibly difficult.

    It was, without doubt, the most miserable period of my life.
    My son's school stayed open for essential workers kids throughout the pandemic. As far as I can tell that was the norm. Teachers taught from their classrooms either with a handful of kids or direct to streaming to students at home. My son did not miss a single day's school throughout the whole of lockdown.
    Well, yet again YOU had a really lovely lockdown and everything was perfect as you keep telling us. Others, not so much
    One of the most enjoyable things was watching you go to pieces on a daily basis thinking the end of the world was coming. You are in no position to criticise anyone now given your level of scaremongering during the pandemic.
    I apologise for having way more foresight and 10 times the ability to extrapolate, than anyone else on this forum

    Incidentally, talking about foresight, has anyone else noticed the weird DRYNESS? Apparently London is experiencing its driest April possibly ever, it's certainly in the top five and the forecast says it might win gold

    Weird

    My EXTRAPOLATIVE ABILITY which is UNEXAMPLED ON THIS FORUM says this is..... weird
    I think you might have discovered weather. Kudos.
    All hail weather?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,865
    Now Milei is sabre rattling over the Falklands.

    https://x.com/jmilei_english/status/2047781683999514681

    THE MALVINAS WERE, ARE, AND WILL ALWAYS BE ARGENTINE.
    LONG LIVE FREEDOM, DAMN IT!
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490

    Now Milei is sabre rattling over the Falklands.

    https://x.com/jmilei_english/status/2047781683999514681

    THE MALVINAS WERE, ARE, AND WILL ALWAYS BE ARGENTINE.
    LONG LIVE FREEDOM, DAMN IT!

    Inflation up again due to the Peroxide P**** and his SMO?
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 9,233
    Leon said:

    carnforth said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    Hm. Not entirely. There was one period where schools were closed for, what, three months in summer 2020, and anotger period in winter 2021 for which they were closed for about two, two and a half months. Sone teachera did heroically but the unions were being incredibly difficult.

    It was, without doubt, the most miserable period of my life.
    My son's school stayed open for essential workers kids throughout the pandemic. As far as I can tell that was the norm. Teachers taught from their classrooms either with a handful of kids or direct to streaming to students at home. My son did not miss a single day's school throughout the whole of lockdown.
    Well, yet again YOU had a really lovely lockdown and everything was perfect as you keep telling us. Others, not so much
    One of the most enjoyable things was watching you go to pieces on a daily basis thinking the end of the world was coming. You are in no position to criticise anyone now given your level of scaremongering during the pandemic.
    I've often wondered what would happen if @Leon 2026 met @Leon 2020. I think they'd get into serious fisticuffs.
    The Ayahuasca apparently has a half-life.
    Actually it doesn't. No, seriously. The first dose I took in March 2022 (IIRC) changed my life hugely for the better - it jolted me out of the last suicidal, post divorce, post Covid shit - and the second dose I took in Colombia in 2024 has made me much more religious, and this seems to be permanent. As in, I was already quite religious, but now it verges on fervent, I no longer have much doubt that the universe, as I know it, is governed by some overriding emotional principle and in its mysterious ways it "tells a story". Actuality has a narrative. Weird but true

    Of course you can dismiss this as delusional bollocks, and fair enough, but I got this from doing ayahuasca and it has definitely not worn off. If anything, it has strengthened. I recommend a dose to all PBers
    Thanks. But the thing is that it being irriversible is exactly what would stop me from trying it.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 103,809

    Now Milei is sabre rattling over the Falklands.

    https://x.com/jmilei_english/status/2047781683999514681

    THE MALVINAS WERE, ARE, AND WILL ALWAYS BE ARGENTINE.
    LONG LIVE FREEDOM, DAMN IT!

    The thing I like about the Falklands/Malvinas dispute is that Argentina's claim is a lot more technical and legalistic than they pretend it is. Lazy people like to make these things moral issues (see also Chagos) when the actual details behind various positions are far from that.
  • Leon_VotedForStarmerLeon_VotedForStarmer Posts: 69,000
    edited April 24
    carnforth said:

    Leon said:

    carnforth said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    Hm. Not entirely. There was one period where schools were closed for, what, three months in summer 2020, and anotger period in winter 2021 for which they were closed for about two, two and a half months. Sone teachera did heroically but the unions were being incredibly difficult.

    It was, without doubt, the most miserable period of my life.
    My son's school stayed open for essential workers kids throughout the pandemic. As far as I can tell that was the norm. Teachers taught from their classrooms either with a handful of kids or direct to streaming to students at home. My son did not miss a single day's school throughout the whole of lockdown.
    Well, yet again YOU had a really lovely lockdown and everything was perfect as you keep telling us. Others, not so much
    One of the most enjoyable things was watching you go to pieces on a daily basis thinking the end of the world was coming. You are in no position to criticise anyone now given your level of scaremongering during the pandemic.
    I've often wondered what would happen if @Leon 2026 met @Leon 2020. I think they'd get into serious fisticuffs.
    The Ayahuasca apparently has a half-life.
    Actually it doesn't. No, seriously. The first dose I took in March 2022 (IIRC) changed my life hugely for the better - it jolted me out of the last suicidal, post divorce, post Covid shit - and the second dose I took in Colombia in 2024 has made me much more religious, and this seems to be permanent. As in, I was already quite religious, but now it verges on fervent, I no longer have much doubt that the universe, as I know it, is governed by some overriding emotional principle and in its mysterious ways it "tells a story". Actuality has a narrative. Weird but true

    Of course you can dismiss this as delusional bollocks, and fair enough, but I got this from doing ayahuasca and it has definitely not worn off. If anything, it has strengthened. I recommend a dose to all PBers
    Thanks. But the thing is that it being irriversible is exactly what would stop me from trying it.
    A somewhat confused and confusing response

    I do seriously believe that all intelligent people - IQ over 120, say - should try ayahuasca, at least once. I am not sure stupider people will benefit. But if you have a bright and open mind.... wow. It really is potentially life changing

    That said, there are risks, and it is not to be taken lightly. It is certainly not a pint of cider. if any PBers want to try it then DM me and I will happily put them in touch with people who will provide, for a price, a safe-as-it-gets introduction. DYOR
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 29,511
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    Hm. Not entirely. There was one period where schools were closed for, what, three months in summer 2020, and anotger period in winter 2021 for which they were closed for about two, two and a half months. Sone teachera did heroically but the unions were being incredibly difficult.

    It was, without doubt, the most miserable period of my life.
    My son's school stayed open for essential workers kids throughout the pandemic. As far as I can tell that was the norm. Teachers taught from their classrooms either with a handful of kids or direct to streaming to students at home. My son did not miss a single day's school throughout the whole of lockdown.
    Well, yet again YOU had a really lovely lockdown and everything was perfect as you keep telling us. Others, not so much
    One of the most enjoyable things was watching you go to pieces on a daily basis thinking the end of the world was coming. You are in no position to criticise anyone now given your level of scaremongering during the pandemic.
    I apologise for having way more foresight and 10 times the ability to extrapolate, than anyone else on this forum

    Incidentally, talking about foresight, has anyone else noticed the weird DRYNESS? Apparently London is experiencing its driest April possibly ever, it's certainly in the top five and the forecast says it might win gold

    Weird

    My EXTRAPOLATIVE ABILITY which is UNEXAMPLED ON THIS FORUM says this is..... weird
    I remember reading a couple of years ago that our weather was going to replicate Alaska's and become continually wet.
  • Wow. Serioiusly, wow

    Here is the hard data. Make of it what you will, especially the PB atheists

    "The 2019 "God encounter" survey (Griffiths, et al) sampled 3,476 psychedelic users - including a 435-person ayahuasca subgroup - alongside 809 non-drug controls. Across the psychedelic group, identification as atheist dropped from 21% before the experience to 8% after. Across thousands surveyed about personal encounters with "God" or "ultimate reality," more than two-thirds of self-identified atheists shed that label after the encounter. The ayahuasca subgroup, notably, tended to have the highest rates of endorsing positive features and enduring consequences of the experience (Johns Hopkins University) among the four psychedelic groups compared."
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 72,378
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    Just watching Jamie Oliver's "Together" made in 2022 where he cooks up a dinner for "all the lovely teachers that really went through it during the lockdown"

    Yeah, thanks for STAYING AT HOME and FUCKING UP OUR KIDS you WORKSHY TWATS. Here's a damn canape. Try not to choke. Wankers

    You dormant fuck. The schools were open.
    Hm. Not entirely. There was one period where schools were closed for, what, three months in summer 2020, and anotger period in winter 2021 for which they were closed for about two, two and a half months. Sone teachera did heroically but the unions were being incredibly difficult.

    It was, without doubt, the most miserable period of my life.
    My son's school stayed open for essential workers kids throughout the pandemic. As far as I can tell that was the norm. Teachers taught from their classrooms either with a handful of kids or direct to streaming to students at home. My son did not miss a single day's school throughout the whole of lockdown.
    Well, yet again YOU had a really lovely lockdown and everything was perfect as you keep telling us. Others, not so much
    One of the most enjoyable things was watching you go to pieces on a daily basis thinking the end of the world was coming. You are in no position to criticise anyone now given your level of scaremongering during the pandemic.
    I apologise for having way more foresight and 10 times the ability to extrapolate, than anyone else on this forum

    Incidentally, talking about foresight, has anyone else noticed the weird DRYNESS? Apparently London is experiencing its driest April possibly ever, it's certainly in the top five and the forecast says it might win gold

    Weird

    My EXTRAPOLATIVE ABILITY which is UNEXAMPLED ON THIS FORUM says this is..... weird
    We have a small pond in the garden and it is uncannily low of water for April.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 22,035
    Leon said:

    Wow. Serioiusly, wow

    Here is the hard data. Make of it what you will, especially the PB atheists

    "The 2019 "God encounter" survey (Griffiths, et al) sampled 3,476 psychedelic users - including a 435-person ayahuasca subgroup - alongside 809 non-drug controls. Across the psychedelic group, identification as atheist dropped from 21% before the experience to 8% after. Across thousands surveyed about personal encounters with "God" or "ultimate reality," more than two-thirds of self-identified atheists shed that label after the encounter. The ayahuasca subgroup, notably, tended to have the highest rates of endorsing positive features and enduring consequences of the experience (Johns Hopkins University) among the four psychedelic groups compared."

    God this craic is lifting
  • Leon said:

    Wow. Serioiusly, wow

    Here is the hard data. Make of it what you will, especially the PB atheists

    "The 2019 "God encounter" survey (Griffiths, et al) sampled 3,476 psychedelic users - including a 435-person ayahuasca subgroup - alongside 809 non-drug controls. Across the psychedelic group, identification as atheist dropped from 21% before the experience to 8% after. Across thousands surveyed about personal encounters with "God" or "ultimate reality," more than two-thirds of self-identified atheists shed that label after the encounter. The ayahuasca subgroup, notably, tended to have the highest rates of endorsing positive features and enduring consequences of the experience (Johns Hopkins University) among the four psychedelic groups compared."

    God this craic is lifting
    Try it, it's the best craic out there
This discussion has been closed.