BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
Someone’s probably convinced him can charge a toll payable to the Trump Fund for Relief of Members of the US Military (including the Commander in Chief)
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
Only because you’re rich, have a private driveway, and good credit to buy an expensive new car.
If you’re poor, live in an apartment, and have crap credit, that isn’t an option.
EVs are one of the most significant wealth transfers from poor to rich in decades.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
And sit in some non descript service station being ripped off whilst waiting an hr for a charge or worse till queuing.... I think not.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
I have some spare "this machine fights the IRGC" stickers left over.
Because staff won't have enough petrol to get into work and secondly if you're not in the early part of a three year deal as a business your energy costs are going to go through the roof from the summer onwards so it is cheaper to close to the office.
And the wider benefits of reducing demand for those who really need it - emergency services, goods deliveries etc etc
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
Only because you’re rich, have a private driveway, and good credit to buy an expensive new car.
If you’re poor, live in an apartment, and have crap credit, that isn’t an option.
EVs are one of the most significant wealth transfers from poor to rich in decades.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
What's the betting it will last more than a week?
It says weeks-long, not week-long
They might have omitted an apostrophe.
No, the expression is standard English and can only mean the plural.
Because staff won't have enough petrol to get into work and secondly if you're not in the early part of a three year deal as a business your energy costs are going to go through the roof from the summer onwards so it is cheaper to close to the office.
And the wider benefits of reducing demand for those who really need it - emergency services, goods deliveries etc etc
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
Only because you’re rich, have a private driveway, and good credit to buy an expensive new car.
If you’re poor, live in an apartment, and have crap credit, that isn’t an option.
These are fair points but the market is about to be flooded with cheap ex-fleet EVs. The infrastucture is a challenge, but a silver lining of our urban sprawl is the vast majority of houses are fairly easy to adapt for an EV (only 20% of us live in flats). We've spent hardly any public cash on it yet which is deeply stupid.
What's mad is two energy crises in four years still isn't enough to convince some people.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
Only because you’re rich, have a private driveway, and good credit to buy an expensive new car.
If you’re poor, live in an apartment, and have crap credit, that isn’t an option.
EVs are one of the most significant wealth transfers from poor to rich in decades.
I get taxed at over 50%, it is okay if some wealth is transferred back to me.
Plus flats and those without driveways can also get EV chargers.
AI is much better than any holiday website to help me plan my trips. With a fair bit of guidance from me, Google AI is telling me what I should eat and drink everywhere on the route, and what historical sites and views that I should see. It hasn’t tried to sell me anything
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
What's the betting it will last more than a week?
It says weeks-long, not week-long
They might have omitted an apostrophe.
No, the expression is standard English and can only mean the plural.
Or they typed "weeks-long" when they meant "week-long".
Greetings, P.B. I will surely miss that special brew of urine, exhaust fumes , soap, and underground musti-ness as one walked to one"s car through their stairwells.
Because staff won't have enough petrol to get into work and secondly if you're not in the early part of a three year deal as a business your energy costs are going to go through the roof from the summer onwards so it is cheaper to close to the office.
And the wider benefits of reducing demand for those who really need it - emergency services, goods deliveries etc etc
We're going to have a de facto lockdown.
Don't be alarmist.
This was the scenario my bank (with a little input from myself) on the 3rd of March.
Planes no longer flying in that area/getting shot down. ME countries might not have the weapons to stop the missiles/drones.
Think the Ever Given on speed.
Very little oil leaving the area so the West seizes up.
A limited US invasion of Iran to open the Straits of Hormuz.
Increase in fuel prices destroys demands and savings defaults increase.
Because staff won't have enough petrol to get into work and secondly if you're not in the early part of a three year deal as a business your energy costs are going to go through the roof from the summer onwards so it is cheaper to close to the office.
And the wider benefits of reducing demand for those who really need it - emergency services, goods deliveries etc etc
We're going to have a de facto lockdown.
Definitely not.
It is a possibility, no matter how much you don't want it to happen.
New Zealand for example has just over a month of oil left.
Our esteemed multi-personality poster isn’t here right now but I was very amused by something relating to one of his iterations I saw in an email from school this morning.
There are some LGBT societies for the old schools who get together regularly and they have fun names related to things that those there understand.
They are the Winchester Cornflowers (maybe harking back to when we beat Harrow 12-10 at flower arranging, seriously it’s the school flower of course), The Eton Dragonflies, the Radley Wildebloods and beautifully, the Harrow Byronics.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
And sit in some non descript service station being ripped off whilst waiting an hr for a charge or worse till queuing.... I think not.
I charge at home mostly.
Last time i didn't was last summer on a trip to London.
Because staff won't have enough petrol to get into work and secondly if you're not in the early part of a three year deal as a business your energy costs are going to go through the roof from the summer onwards so it is cheaper to close to the office.
And the wider benefits of reducing demand for those who really need it - emergency services, goods deliveries etc etc
We're going to have a de facto lockdown.
Don't be alarmist.
This was the scenario my bank (with a little input for myself) on the 3rd of March.
Planes no longer flying in that area/getting shot down. ME countries might not have the weapons to stop the missiles/drones.
Think the Ever Given on speed.
Very little oil leaving the area so the West seizes up.
A limited US invasion of Iran to open the Straits of Hormuz.
Increase in fuel prices destroys demands and savings defaults increase.
Because staff won't have enough petrol to get into work and secondly if you're not in the early part of a three year deal as a business your energy costs are going to go through the roof from the summer onwards so it is cheaper to close to the office.
And the wider benefits of reducing demand for those who really need it - emergency services, goods deliveries etc etc
We're going to have a de facto lockdown.
Don't be alarmist.
This was the scenario my bank (with a little input for myself) on the 3rd of March.
Planes no longer flying in that area/getting shot down. ME countries might not have the weapons to stop the missiles/drones.
Think the Ever Given on speed.
Very little oil leaving the area so the West seizes up.
A limited US invasion of Iran to open the Straits of Hormuz.
Increase in fuel prices destroys demands and savings defaults increase.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
Only because you’re rich, have a private driveway, and good credit to buy an expensive new car.
If you’re poor, live in an apartment, and have crap credit, that isn’t an option.
EVs are one of the most significant wealth transfers from poor to rich in decades.
If the poorer citizens of the democratic world were to use the power of their numbers to vote in measures to actually bring about a significantly more equal distribution of wealth I bet you'd be horrified and finding a way to argue vehemently against every single one.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
Only because you’re rich, have a private driveway, and good credit to buy an expensive new car.
If you’re poor, live in an apartment, and have crap credit, that isn’t an option.
These are fair points but the market is about to be flooded with cheap ex-fleet EVs. The infrastucture is a challenge, but a silver lining of our urban sprawl is the vast majority of houses are fairly easy to adapt for an EV (only 20% of us live in flats). We've spent hardly any public cash on it yet which is deeply stupid.
What's mad is two energy crises in four years still isn't enough to convince some people.
Second hand EVs are now excellent. A 5 year old Kia eniro like mine can be had at £12000 or so, and the battery has the same range as new. Not that I am selling as it drives as well as new.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
While my local petrol station offers to charge EVs at 75p per kWh.
We need a solution for those who don't have private driveways, not an "I'm alrite Jack" attitude.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
While my local petrol station offers to charge EVs at 75p per kWh.
We need a solution for those who don't have private driveways, not an "I'm alrite Jack" attitude.
Trump: “Robert Mueller just died. Good, I’m glad he’s dead. He can no longer hurt innocent people! President DONALD J. TRUMP”
If anyone ever had any doubt about Trump's guilt that nails it. Mueller did a reasonable job within the ridiculous constraints, and Barr then put a spin on his summary, and the Congress completely flunked holding Trump to account, but dozens of other people were successfully prosecuted.
I was at a funeral this week of my first boss and mentor. I sent his daughter a story for her eulogy for him about how this chap, very wealthy, all powerful, very influential, would always make tea for the trading floor at 4pm every day. The tea was awful but he had made it when he was a busy man and could have asked many assistants or juniors to make it but his view was very much “nobody is too important to make tea”.
As I said to his daughter “that was the measure of the man”.
Trump’s comments equally and simply show the measure of the man.
That's good of your first boss and mentor, but, if he was going to do it every day, could he not have learned to do it well?
Reform UK leads the vote share on 27% (-3), maintaining a clear advantage despite slipping three points. Labour remains on 21% (no change), followed by the Conservatives on 17% (+2). The Greens hold steady on 15%, while the Liberal Democrats rise to 12% (+2).
Trump: “Robert Mueller just died. Good, I’m glad he’s dead. He can no longer hurt innocent people! President DONALD J. TRUMP”
If anyone ever had any doubt about Trump's guilt that nails it. Mueller did a reasonable job within the ridiculous constraints, and Barr then put a spin on his summary, and the Congress completely flunked holding Trump to account, but dozens of other people were successfully prosecuted.
I was at a funeral this week of my first boss and mentor. I sent his daughter a story for her eulogy for him about how this chap, very wealthy, all powerful, very influential, would always make tea for the trading floor at 4pm every day. The tea was awful but he had made it when he was a busy man and could have asked many assistants or juniors to make it but his view was very much “nobody is too important to make tea”.
As I said to his daughter “that was the measure of the man”.
Trump’s comments equally and simply show the measure of the man.
That's good of your first boss and mentor, but, if he was going to do it every day, could he not have learned to do it well?
Few people make tea well sadly. Luckily for him he did market timing very well and ordered great wine so got the important things right.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
And sit in some non descript service station being ripped off whilst waiting an hr for a charge or worse till queuing.... I think not.
I charge at home mostly.
Last time i didn't was last summer on a trip to London.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
Only because you’re rich, have a private driveway, and good credit to buy an expensive new car.
If you’re poor, live in an apartment, and have crap credit, that isn’t an option.
These are fair points but the market is about to be flooded with cheap ex-fleet EVs. The infrastucture is a challenge, but a silver lining of our urban sprawl is the vast majority of houses are fairly easy to adapt for an EV (only 20% of us live in flats). We've spent hardly any public cash on it yet which is deeply stupid.
What's mad is two energy crises in four years still isn't enough to convince some people.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
Only because you’re rich, have a private driveway, and good credit to buy an expensive new car.
If you’re poor, live in an apartment, and have crap credit, that isn’t an option.
EVs are one of the most significant wealth transfers from poor to rich in decades.
If the poorer citizens of the democratic world were to use the power of their numbers to vote in measures to actually bring about a significantly more equal distribution of wealth I bet you'd be horrified and finding a way to argue vehemently against every single one.
Or invested in the sort of transport lower income people depend on, like buses (electric), walking and cycling. Something like (electric) car clubs would also be very helpful in areas with lots of flats.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
And sit in some non descript service station being ripped off whilst waiting an hr for a charge or worse till queuing.... I think not.
I charge at home mostly.
Last time i didn't was last summer on a trip to London.
The charging mostly comes at night.
Mostly.
I also have a battery which I charge between midnight and 6am when I have my off peak hours, so I need to, I can charge my car during the day at effectively 6p per kWh.
Because staff won't have enough petrol to get into work and secondly if you're not in the early part of a three year deal as a business your energy costs are going to go through the roof from the summer onwards so it is cheaper to close to the office.
And the wider benefits of reducing demand for those who really need it - emergency services, goods deliveries etc etc
We're going to have a de facto lockdown.
Don't be alarmist.
This was the scenario my bank (with a little input from myself) on the 3rd of March.
Planes no longer flying in that area/getting shot down. ME countries might not have the weapons to stop the missiles/drones.
Think the Ever Given on speed.
Very little oil leaving the area so the West seizes up.
A limited US invasion of Iran to open the Straits of Hormuz.
Increase in fuel prices destroys demands and savings defaults increase.
Greetings, P.B. I will surely miss that special brew of urine, exhaust fumes , soap, and underground musti-ness as one walked to one"s car through their stairwells.
Oh what a bliss it was in that dawn, etc.
Oh dear! Where am I going to piss and shoot up next time I’m in town?
Analyst Nasser Torabi on Iranian TV: “We have entered a new stage. Iran will be recognized as a global superpower. We must act to build or acquire a nuclear weapon.”
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
Only because you’re rich, have a private driveway, and good credit to buy an expensive new car.
If you’re poor, live in an apartment, and have crap credit, that isn’t an option.
These are fair points but the market is about to be flooded with cheap ex-fleet EVs. The infrastucture is a challenge, but a silver lining of our urban sprawl is the vast majority of houses are fairly easy to adapt for an EV (only 20% of us live in flats). We've spent hardly any public cash on it yet which is deeply stupid.
What's mad is two energy crises in four years still isn't enough to convince some people.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
Only because you’re rich, have a private driveway, and good credit to buy an expensive new car.
If you’re poor, live in an apartment, and have crap credit, that isn’t an option.
EVs are one of the most significant wealth transfers from poor to rich in decades.
If the poorer citizens of the democratic world were to use the power of their numbers to vote in measures to actually bring about a significantly more equal distribution of wealth I bet you'd be horrified and finding a way to argue vehemently against every single one.
I’m actually not as far right on this as you might think I am.
I’m all in favour of a high minimum wage, on the basis that it’s better for companies to be paying for work done than government subsidising unproductive work with tax credits.
But the key is housing. There needs to be absolutely sh!tloads of new housing, and it needs to be mostly family homes with driveways.
We’ll differ on the means to get there, I’ll say that planning regulations and building codes are out of control, and a 3-bed family home for £100k should be easy to make at scale in a factory.
What will never work is an ideological attack on ‘wealth’, which to most of those with massive amounts of it means nothing more than shares in the companies they founded. If you have £1bn in shares you can relocate your business to the US or Dubai or Singapore tomorrow. If you have £1bn in cash you probably did it yesterday.
Greetings, P.B. I will surely miss that special brew of urine, exhaust fumes , soap, and underground musti-ness as one walked to one"s car through their stairwells.
Oh what a bliss it was in that dawn, etc.
Oh dear! Where am I going to piss and shoot up next time I’m in town?
Glasgow railway station, I think the smell of piss will improve the odour.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
While my local petrol station offers to charge EVs at 75p per kWh.
We need a solution for those who don't have private driveways, not an "I'm alrite Jack" attitude.
@TSE - how are you getting electricity at 6p/ kwh? I'm on the Octopus flexible tarriff which since the Iran war seldom goes uch below 20, even at night. It used to go down to practically 0 overnight, but alas no more.
Because staff won't have enough petrol to get into work and secondly if you're not in the early part of a three year deal as a business your energy costs are going to go through the roof from the summer onwards so it is cheaper to close to the office.
And the wider benefits of reducing demand for those who really need it - emergency services, goods deliveries etc etc
We're going to have a de facto lockdown.
Don't be alarmist.
This was the scenario my bank (with a little input from myself) on the 3rd of March.
Planes no longer flying in that area/getting shot down. ME countries might not have the weapons to stop the missiles/drones.
Think the Ever Given on speed.
Very little oil leaving the area so the West seizes up.
A limited US invasion of Iran to open the Straits of Hormuz.
Increase in fuel prices destroys demands and savings defaults increase.
I've been thinking Trump is probably capable of nuking Iran if he got desperate enough but the fall out would effect neighboring allies wouldn't it? That would mean Trump selling his allies down the river and of course, he wouldn't do that....
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
And sit in some non descript service station being ripped off whilst waiting an hr for a charge or worse till queuing.... I think not.
I charge at home mostly.
Last time i didn't was last summer on a trip to London.
The charging mostly comes at night.
Mostly.
I also have a battery which I charge between midnight and 6am when I have my off peak hours, so I need to, I can charge my car during the day at effectively 6p per kWh.
Greetings, P.B. I will surely miss that special brew of urine, exhaust fumes , soap, and underground musti-ness as one walked to one"s car through their stairwells.
Oh what a bliss it was in that dawn, etc.
Oh dear! Where am I going to piss and shoot up next time I’m in town?
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
While my local petrol station offers to charge EVs at 75p per kWh.
We need a solution for those who don't have private driveways, not an "I'm alrite Jack" attitude.
@TSE - how are you getting electricity at 6p/ kwh? I'm on the Octopus flexible tarriff which since the Iran war seldom goes uch below 20, even at night. It used to go down to practically 0 overnight, but alas no more.
I am on a 12 month fixed EV tariff that started in January.
Opinium joins the crowd and continues the Reform drift. Reform are not going to win in 2029. Not even if they change their name to Relaunch. The oddity is that their steady downward curve is exactly mirrored by Green's upward one. So little joy for the Tories either who ought to be the gainers. 'Left Of Centre consolidates and discovers tactical voting' could well be the big story of GE 2029.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
While my local petrol station offers to charge EVs at 75p per kWh.
We need a solution for those who don't have private driveways, not an "I'm alrite Jack" attitude.
@TSE - how are you getting electricity at 6p/ kwh? I'm on the Octopus flexible tarriff which since the Iran war seldom goes uch below 20, even at night. It used to go down to practically 0 overnight, but alas no more.
I am on a 12 month fixed EV tariff that started in January.
Because staff won't have enough petrol to get into work and secondly if you're not in the early part of a three year deal as a business your energy costs are going to go through the roof from the summer onwards so it is cheaper to close to the office.
And the wider benefits of reducing demand for those who really need it - emergency services, goods deliveries etc etc
We're going to have a de facto lockdown.
Don't be alarmist.
This was the scenario my bank (with a little input from myself) on the 3rd of March.
Planes no longer flying in that area/getting shot down. ME countries might not have the weapons to stop the missiles/drones.
Think the Ever Given on speed.
Very little oil leaving the area so the West seizes up.
A limited US invasion of Iran to open the Straits of Hormuz.
Increase in fuel prices destroys demands and savings defaults increase.
I've been thinking Trump is probably capable of nuking Iran if he got desperate enough but the fall out would effect neighboring allies wouldn't it? That would mean Trump selling his allies down the river and of course, he wouldn't do that....
I think Trump has the personality who would deploy nukes to deal with a personal sleight or if he has been humiliated.
Analyst Nasser Torabi on Iranian TV: “We have entered a new stage. Iran will be recognized as a global superpower. We must act to build or acquire a nuclear weapon.”
I'm fairly sure Iran was capable of hyberbolic propaganda long before Trump was a factor.
Because staff won't have enough petrol to get into work and secondly if you're not in the early part of a three year deal as a business your energy costs are going to go through the roof from the summer onwards so it is cheaper to close to the office.
And the wider benefits of reducing demand for those who really need it - emergency services, goods deliveries etc etc
We're going to have a de facto lockdown.
Don't be alarmist.
This was the scenario my bank (with a little input from myself) on the 3rd of March.
Planes no longer flying in that area/getting shot down. ME countries might not have the weapons to stop the missiles/drones.
Think the Ever Given on speed.
Very little oil leaving the area so the West seizes up.
A limited US invasion of Iran to open the Straits of Hormuz.
Increase in fuel prices destroys demands and savings defaults increase.
I've been thinking Trump is probably capable of nuking Iran if he got desperate enough but the fall out would effect neighboring allies wouldn't it? That would mean Trump selling his allies down the river and of course, he wouldn't do that....
Sadly I agree. An interesting question is whether those who know how to launch them would do so. people have consciences and have to live with themselves.
But Trump is the incarnation of David Hume's moral monster: "Tis not unreasonable for me to prefer the destruction of the whole world to the scratching of my finger.”
Because staff won't have enough petrol to get into work and secondly if you're not in the early part of a three year deal as a business your energy costs are going to go through the roof from the summer onwards so it is cheaper to close to the office.
And the wider benefits of reducing demand for those who really need it - emergency services, goods deliveries etc etc
We're going to have a de facto lockdown.
Don't be alarmist.
This was the scenario my bank (with a little input from myself) on the 3rd of March.
Planes no longer flying in that area/getting shot down. ME countries might not have the weapons to stop the missiles/drones.
Think the Ever Given on speed.
Very little oil leaving the area so the West seizes up.
A limited US invasion of Iran to open the Straits of Hormuz.
Increase in fuel prices destroys demands and savings defaults increase.
I've been thinking Trump is probably capable of nuking Iran if he got desperate enough but the fall out would effect neighboring allies wouldn't it? That would mean Trump selling his allies down the river and of course, he wouldn't do that....
I think Trump has the personality who would deploy nukes to deal with a personal sleight or if he has been humiliated.
Hopefully they’ve got Fisher Price to mock up a nuclear football.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
While my local petrol station offers to charge EVs at 75p per kWh.
We need a solution for those who don't have private driveways, not an "I'm alrite Jack" attitude.
@TSE - how are you getting electricity at 6p/ kwh? I'm on the Octopus flexible tarriff which since the Iran war seldom goes uch below 20, even at night. It used to go down to practically 0 overnight, but alas no more.
I am on a 12 month fixed EV tariff that started in January.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
While my local petrol station offers to charge EVs at 75p per kWh.
We need a solution for those who don't have private driveways, not an "I'm alrite Jack" attitude.
@TSE - how are you getting electricity at 6p/ kwh? I'm on the Octopus flexible tarriff which since the Iran war seldom goes uch below 20, even at night. It used to go down to practically 0 overnight, but alas no more.
I am on a 12 month fixed EV tariff that started in January.
With which supplier?
Eon
Currently is 8p per kWh but thankfully I fixed it for 6p.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
While my local petrol station offers to charge EVs at 75p per kWh.
We need a solution for those who don't have private driveways, not an "I'm alrite Jack" attitude.
@TSE - how are you getting electricity at 6p/ kwh? I'm on the Octopus flexible tarriff which since the Iran war seldom goes uch below 20, even at night. It used to go down to practically 0 overnight, but alas no more.
I am on a 12 month fixed EV tariff that started in January.
With which supplier?
Eon
Currently is 8p per kWh but thankfully I fixed it for 6p.
Presumably about to (temporarily) go down, as the measures from the Budget kick in. We're got the Octopus EV tariff, and that falls to 3.5p/kWh from April.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
Only because you’re rich, have a private driveway, and good credit to buy an expensive new car.
If you’re poor, live in an apartment, and have crap credit, that isn’t an option.
EVs are one of the most significant wealth transfers from poor to rich in decades.
Why don’t the poor just make more money?
It's quite a technical job and it's against the law.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
While my local petrol station offers to charge EVs at 75p per kWh.
We need a solution for those who don't have private driveways, not an "I'm alrite Jack" attitude.
@TSE - how are you getting electricity at 6p/ kwh? I'm on the Octopus flexible tarriff which since the Iran war seldom goes uch below 20, even at night. It used to go down to practically 0 overnight, but alas no more.
I am on a 12 month fixed EV tariff that started in January.
With which supplier?
Eon
Currently is 8p per kWh but thankfully I fixed it for 6p.
Presumably about to (temporarily) go down, as the measures from the Budget kick in. We're got the Octopus EV tariff, and that falls to 3.5p/kWh from April.
I know it's a stupid question with a bajillion moving parts, but where is the likely tipping point between Reform narrowly winning everywhere to them narrowly losing everywhere?
I know it's a stupid question with a bajillion moving parts, but where is the likely tipping point between Reform narrowly winning everywhere to them narrowly losing everywhere?
I think that kills their momentum completely if they start just missing out as it suggests that they are not a realistic alternative.
Window for Badenoch here I think. And for Labour to be only six points behind? Feels like their extinction is somewhat exaggerated.
I know it's a stupid question with a bajillion moving parts, but where is the likely tipping point between Reform narrowly winning everywhere to them narrowly losing everywhere?
Fag packet says somewhere 25%ish if no-one else breaks out
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
While my local petrol station offers to charge EVs at 75p per kWh.
We need a solution for those who don't have private driveways, not an "I'm alrite Jack" attitude.
@TSE - how are you getting electricity at 6p/ kwh? I'm on the Octopus flexible tarriff which since the Iran war seldom goes uch below 20, even at night. It used to go down to practically 0 overnight, but alas no more.
I am on a 12 month fixed EV tariff that started in January.
With which supplier?
Eon
Currently is 8p per kWh but thankfully I fixed it for 6p.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
While my local petrol station offers to charge EVs at 75p per kWh.
We need a solution for those who don't have private driveways, not an "I'm alrite Jack" attitude.
There are plenty of Tesla stations which allow CCS charging on f non Tesla's for about 40 to 50p. Even less if you get a subscription.
I know it's a stupid question with a bajillion moving parts, but where is the likely tipping point between Reform narrowly winning everywhere to them narrowly losing everywhere?
I hope to cover this soon but my rough and ready calculation says it isn't about the vote share but the range between the parties, at is roughly 4% between the top 3.
It is entirely possible that the party that wins the popular vote at the next general elections finishes fourth in seats.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
While my local petrol station offers to charge EVs at 75p per kWh.
We need a solution for those who don't have private driveways, not an "I'm alrite Jack" attitude.
@TSE - how are you getting electricity at 6p/ kwh? I'm on the Octopus flexible tarriff which since the Iran war seldom goes uch below 20, even at night. It used to go down to practically 0 overnight, but alas no more.
I am on a 12 month fixed EV tariff that started in January.
With which supplier?
Eon
Currently is 8p per kWh but thankfully I fixed it for 6p.
Thanks. I reckon I'm about 4 months off getting an EV so starting to consider that sort of detail.
We've been on an EV tariff for years, what you'll find is that you'll shift your non EV usage to the off peak period thanks to smart appliances and smart plugs.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
The recession? Yeah I get that.
WFH? Because...?
Lots of people aren't going to be able to move anywhere. If there's no petrol, there's no petrol, and it doesn't matter how much you offer to pay.
Culturally, emotionally, we're not used to scenarios like that. I wasn't in the UK during the 2000 petrol crisis; my impression from the World Service was that someone blinked in that case. This time, there isn't anyone to blink- not in the UK, anyway.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
Christ, don't tell Ed Miliband that.
That was in January, not the whole year. Against two thousand electric. Bloody impressive. Add in 98 diesels though and done hybrids Still impressive. But only a few thousand cars in a month.
I know it's a stupid question with a bajillion moving parts, but where is the likely tipping point between Reform narrowly winning everywhere to them narrowly losing everywhere?
I hope to cover this soon but my rough and ready calculation says it isn't about the vote share but the range between the parties, at is roughly 4% between the top 3.
It is entirely possible that the party that wins the popular vote at the next general elections finishes fourth in seats.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
The recession? Yeah I get that.
WFH? Because...?
Lots of people aren't going to be able to move anywhere. If there's no petrol, there's no petrol, and it doesn't matter how much you offer to pay.
Culturally, emotionally, we're not used to scenarios like that. I wasn't in the UK during the 2000 petrol crisis; my impression from the World Service was that someone blinked in that case. This time, there isn't anyone to blink- not in the UK, anyway.
The unions under Bill Morris cut a deal with drivers and the police to go through the blockades under escort (at the very urgent begging of Tony Blair). At that point, the strikes broke up as there was no value in continuing them.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
While my local petrol station offers to charge EVs at 75p per kWh.
We need a solution for those who don't have private driveways, not an "I'm alrite Jack" attitude.
@TSE - how are you getting electricity at 6p/ kwh? I'm on the Octopus flexible tarriff which since the Iran war seldom goes uch below 20, even at night. It used to go down to practically 0 overnight, but alas no more.
I am on a 12 month fixed EV tariff that started in January.
With which supplier?
Eon
Currently is 8p per kWh but thankfully I fixed it for 6p.
Thanks. I reckon I'm about 4 months off getting an EV so starting to consider that sort of detail.
We've been on an EV tariff for years, what you'll find is that you'll shift your non EV usage to the off peak period thanks to smart appliances and smart plugs.
Doesn't working from home (or being retired in my case) mean that you still use a significant amount of daytime electricity? And even with an EV, if you don't do a lot of miles it probably isn't worth getting an EV tariff
I know it's a stupid question with a bajillion moving parts, but where is the likely tipping point between Reform narrowly winning everywhere to them narrowly losing everywhere?
If you factor in efficient tactical voting, every couple of points they lose will rob Reform of dozens of seats.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
While my local petrol station offers to charge EVs at 75p per kWh.
We need a solution for those who don't have private driveways, not an "I'm alrite Jack" attitude.
@TSE - how are you getting electricity at 6p/ kwh? I'm on the Octopus flexible tarriff which since the Iran war seldom goes uch below 20, even at night. It used to go down to practically 0 overnight, but alas no more.
I am on a 12 month fixed EV tariff that started in January.
With which supplier?
Eon
Currently is 8p per kWh but thankfully I fixed it for 6p.
Thanks. I reckon I'm about 4 months off getting an EV so starting to consider that sort of detail.
We've been on an EV tariff for years, what you'll find is that you'll shift your non EV usage to the off peak period thanks to smart appliances and smart plugs.
Doesn't working from home (or being retired in my case) mean that you still use a significant amount of daytime electricity? And even with an EV, if you don't do a lot of miles it probably isn't worth getting an EV tariff
I mentioned above we have a battery too which charges during the off peak period which we use during the peak hours instead of the grid.
If Trump choked on a cheeseburger I wonder whether Starmer or any other European leader would be able to keep a straight face as they sent condolences to the American people !
And what would the priest say ?
The media have sanewashed him and the public seem to have become desensitised . He’s an abomination, true evil.
TL:DR F*** off Iran and allow free passage of vessels.
Yes, but what are they going to do about it?
"…to contribute to appropriate efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait."
Now that the incoming drones and missiles have reduced significantly in recent days, expect the GCC nations to move towards a more offensive phase of their operation. They have navies specifically built towards this problem, and if the US can keep the Apaches and Warthogs flying over the Hormuz area it shouldn’t be massively difficult.
More important is the insurance issue for civil vessels, AIUI Scott Bessent is working on this at the moment, with presumably Lloyd’s of London also involved.
I presume the GCC nations would rather the US and Israel just fucked off now and a peace deal was done?
A peace deal with who exactly?
Because it definitely won’t be anyone to do with the Iranian regime that’s been bombing them for the past 22 days.
US and Israel are saving the GCC countries a lot of ammo at the moment.
They only need that ammo because the US and Israel started bombing Iran!
I’m sure the GCC are happy to see Iran being taken down a notch, but the war isn’t exactly unfolding to their advantage. A quick end to the war, Iran damaged, the straits of Hormuz open again, that seems like a good result for them. Ongoing war with no clear war aims, is that what they want?
They’re been waiting and preparing for this month for the past 47 years. A little disruption is worth it to see Iran finally defeated once and for all.
US and Israel are very much the good guys, and Iran is very much the bad guy.
Then, if I may ask, why aren't they attacking Iran more?
Because they’re happy to save their ammo while others are attacking Iran, preferring at this stage to use their military for defensive activities.
If they want to see Iran defeated once and for all, there's no point waiting on the Americans, who seem to lack any sensible war aims. They need to seriously commit to defeating Iran.
BREAKING: The US and Israel are preparing for a significant expansion of the war with Iran as Trump intends to take control of the Strait of Hormuz in a weeks-long operation, according to Israeli sources - Kann
If this happens my forecast of a modest recession is going to need to be upgraded.
I think we're about four weeks away from a depression.
At work we've already made contingencies for a full scale WFH within weeks, like March 2020.
Fill your tanks lads and lasses. Present prices are extortionate but they may well get a hell of a lot worse.
You say that, but...
Part of the reason we are so vulnerable to this crisis is that our incentives for the switch to EVs have been so distorted. Norway registered seven petrol cars last year. Seven.
That chart is quite compatible with fuel prices being extortionate.
Our price is mostly tax, which does not go on the roads. It is extortionate.
There's a simple choice, get an EV.
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
While my local petrol station offers to charge EVs at 75p per kWh.
We need a solution for those who don't have private driveways, not an "I'm alrite Jack" attitude.
@TSE - how are you getting electricity at 6p/ kwh? I'm on the Octopus flexible tarriff which since the Iran war seldom goes uch below 20, even at night. It used to go down to practically 0 overnight, but alas no more.
I am on a 12 month fixed EV tariff that started in January.
With which supplier?
Eon
Currently is 8p per kWh but thankfully I fixed it for 6p.
Thanks. I reckon I'm about 4 months off getting an EV so starting to consider that sort of detail.
We've been on an EV tariff for years, what you'll find is that you'll shift your non EV usage to the off peak period thanks to smart appliances and smart plugs.
Doesn't working from home (or being retired in my case) mean that you still use a significant amount of daytime electricity? And even with an EV, if you don't do a lot of miles it probably isn't worth getting an EV tariff
Buy a battery, charge it overnight. Even without solar or an EV they are starting to look like a decent investment. If we had nodal pricing every house in Scotland would have one.
If Trump choked on a cheeseburger I wonder whether Starmer or any other European leader would be able to keep a straight face as they sent condolences to the American people !
And what would the priest say ?
The media have sanewashed him and the public seem to have become desensitised . He’s an abomination, true evil.
If Trump was choking on a cheeseburger would his wife even step in to help him?
Because staff won't have enough petrol to get into work and secondly if you're not in the early part of a three year deal as a business your energy costs are going to go through the roof from the summer onwards so it is cheaper to close to the office.
And the wider benefits of reducing demand for those who really need it - emergency services, goods deliveries etc etc
We're going to have a de facto lockdown.
Don't be alarmist.
This was the scenario my bank (with a little input from myself) on the 3rd of March.
Planes no longer flying in that area/getting shot down. ME countries might not have the weapons to stop the missiles/drones.
Think the Ever Given on speed.
Very little oil leaving the area so the West seizes up.
A limited US invasion of Iran to open the Straits of Hormuz.
Increase in fuel prices destroys demands and savings defaults increase.
I've been thinking Trump is probably capable of nuking Iran if he got desperate enough but the fall out would effect neighboring allies wouldn't it? That would mean Trump selling his allies down the river and of course, he wouldn't do that....
I think Trump has the personality who would deploy nukes to deal with a personal sleight or if he has been humiliated.
When I described him as Caligula the other day I think I was unfair on the Roman emperor.
If Trump choked on a cheeseburger I wonder whether Starmer or any other European leader would be able to keep a straight face as they sent condolences to the American people !
Opinium joins the crowd and continues the Reform drift. Reform are not going to win in 2029. Not even if they change their name to Relaunch. The oddity is that their steady downward curve is exactly mirrored by Green's upward one. So little joy for the Tories either who ought to be the gainers. 'Left Of Centre consolidates and discovers tactical voting' could well be the big story of GE 2029.
Sorry I don't understand. Why does Reform's poll rating in March 2926 have any bearing on whether they will win a general election in 2029?
As Green are on an upwards curve I presume you think they'll win.
There are positives from this war, even if we do see energy prices go gaga.
We could be pretty self-sufficient as a nation. And have made huge strides forward in recent years. Reform fuckheads smashed the Milliband / Cameron / May / Boris / Sunak consensus on renewables. But "lets get rid of wind and solar and use more oil and gas" looks not just really stupid but practically traitorous.
Whilst I wholly agree with the voices saying lets drill more oil / gas, those same voices also lean towards "instead of renewables". It should be "in addition to renewables"
If Trump choked on a cheeseburger I wonder whether Starmer or any other European leader would be able to keep a straight face as they sent condolences to the American people !
And what would the priest say ?
The media have sanewashed him and the public seem to have become desensitised . He’s an abomination, true evil.
There are positives from this war, even if we do see energy prices go gaga.
We could be pretty self-sufficient as a nation. And have made huge strides forward in recent years. Reform fuckheads smashed the Milliband / Cameron / May / Boris / Sunak consensus on renewables. But "lets get rid of wind and solar and use more oil and gas" looks not just really stupid but practically traitorous.
Whilst I wholly agree with the voices saying lets drill more oil / gas, those same voices also lean towards "instead of renewables". It should be "in addition to renewables"
There are positives from this war, even if we do see energy prices go gaga.
We could be pretty self-sufficient as a nation. And have made huge strides forward in recent years. Reform fuckheads smashed the Milliband / Cameron / May / Boris / Sunak consensus on renewables. But "lets get rid of wind and solar and use more oil and gas" looks not just really stupid but practically traitorous.
Whilst I wholly agree with the voices saying lets drill more oil / gas, those same voices also lean towards "instead of renewables". It should be "in addition to renewables"
Yes.
I’d be more willing to listen if the people saying drill didn’t also recently say climate change isn’t real.
Comments
I charge our EVs at 6p per kWh.
If you’re poor, live in an apartment, and have crap credit, that isn’t an option.
EVs are one of the most significant wealth transfers from poor to rich in decades.
https://www.news24.com/world/switzerland-blocks-weapons-exports-to-us-over-iran-war-20260320-1138
What's mad is two energy crises in four years still isn't enough to convince some people.
Plus flats and those without driveways can also get EV chargers.
https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/electriccars/article-11854365/Is-Kerbo-answer-charging-EV-without-street-parking.html
I will surely miss that special brew of urine, exhaust fumes , soap, and underground musti-ness as one walked to one"s car through their stairwells.
Oh what a bliss it was in that dawn, etc.
Planes no longer flying in that area/getting shot down. ME countries might not have the weapons to stop the missiles/drones.
Think the Ever Given on speed.
Very little oil leaving the area so the West seizes up.
A limited US invasion of Iran to open the Straits of Hormuz.
Increase in fuel prices destroys demands and savings defaults increase.
A nuke/dirty bomb being deployed by either side.
Not quite Threads.
MERS 2.
So the world economy seizes up.
https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/5473921#Comment_5473921
New Zealand for example has just over a month of oil left.
There are some LGBT societies for the old schools who get together regularly and they have fun names related to things that those there understand.
They are the Winchester Cornflowers (maybe harking back to when we beat Harrow 12-10 at flower arranging, seriously it’s the school flower of course), The Eton Dragonflies, the Radley Wildebloods and beautifully, the Harrow Byronics.
Last time i didn't was last summer on a trip to London.
In a 4-hour race his team used seven sets of tyres, when only six are permitted.
We need a solution for those who don't have private driveways, not an "I'm alrite Jack" attitude.
@BillKristol
Robert Swan Mueller III, 1944-2026.
Patriot.
“For how can you compete,
Being honor bred, with one
Who were it proved he lies
Were neither shamed in his own
Nor in his neighbors' eyes?”
— Yeats
https://x.com/BillKristol/status/2035410095064908064
https://www.opinium.com/resource-center/voting-intention-18th-march-2026/
📈 Starmer’s ratings improve, now at -38 (+4 on a fortnight ago), his best in over 220 days.
Recent weeks has shown his first meaningful uptick in months amid the Middle East crisis.
Mostly.
https://solarteameindhoven.nl/article?presenting-our-newest-solar-vehicle-stella-vita
Ref 27 (-2)
Lab 21 (=)
Con 17 (+1)
Grn 15 (+1)
LD 12 (+2)
Starmer best rating for 6 months at -38
He is very good indeed. Far to acomplished to be President but surely his for the taking if he wants it.....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=inRjLXgtuac
I can expect it will really drag out, but not the end of days.
This is a direct result of what Trump has done:
Analyst Nasser Torabi on Iranian TV: “We have entered a new stage. Iran will be recognized as a global superpower. We must act to build or acquire a nuclear weapon.”
I’m all in favour of a high minimum wage, on the basis that it’s better for companies to be paying for work done than government subsidising unproductive work with tax credits.
But the key is housing. There needs to be absolutely sh!tloads of new housing, and it needs to be mostly family homes with driveways.
We’ll differ on the means to get there, I’ll say that planning regulations and building codes are out of control, and a 3-bed family home for £100k should be easy to make at scale in a factory.
What will never work is an ideological attack on ‘wealth’, which to most of those with massive amounts of it means nothing more than shares in the companies they founded. If you have £1bn in shares you can relocate your business to the US or Dubai or Singapore tomorrow. If you have £1bn in cash you probably did it yesterday.
The oddity is that their steady downward curve is exactly mirrored by Green's upward one. So little joy for the Tories either who ought to be the gainers. 'Left Of Centre consolidates and discovers tactical voting' could well be the big story of GE 2029.
But Trump is the incarnation of David Hume's moral monster: "Tis not unreasonable for me to prefer the destruction of the whole world to the scratching of my finger.”
Currently is 8p per kWh but thankfully I fixed it for 6p.
https://www.eonnext.com/tariffs/next-drive/smart
To be clear that is still horrendous but Farage and Badenoch are I predict heading the same way.
Window for Badenoch here I think. And for Labour to be only six points behind? Feels like their extinction is somewhat exaggerated.
WFH? Because...?
It is entirely possible that the party that wins the popular vote at the next general elections finishes fourth in seats.
Just remembered it wasn’t an F1 race.
Culturally, emotionally, we're not used to scenarios like that. I wasn't in the UK during the 2000 petrol crisis; my impression from the World Service was that someone blinked in that case. This time, there isn't anyone to blink- not in the UK, anyway.
If asked about it, Trump will repeat the sentiment
Add in 98 diesels though and done hybrids
Still impressive.
But only a few thousand cars in a month.
And what would the priest say ?
The media have sanewashed him and the public seem to have become desensitised . He’s an abomination, true evil.
Except I think, actually, they're trying to minimise disruption and would rather the war came to an end, e.g. as per this article, https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-gulf-states-debate-us-bases-military-alliance/a-76414229
As Green are on an upwards curve I presume you think they'll win.
We could be pretty self-sufficient as a nation. And have made huge strides forward in recent years. Reform fuckheads smashed the Milliband / Cameron / May / Boris / Sunak consensus on renewables. But "lets get rid of wind and solar and use more oil and gas" looks not just really stupid but practically traitorous.
Whilst I wholly agree with the voices saying lets drill more oil / gas, those same voices also lean towards "instead of renewables". It should be "in addition to renewables"
Now we have Vance a heartbeat away, not so sure.
I’d be more willing to listen if the people saying drill didn’t also recently say climate change isn’t real.