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Not Another One?! – politicalbetting.com

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  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,301
    Leon said:

    Because he has no evidence of owning a plan, or even an idea - see social care now shunted off to 2028 - and indeed the Times has just revealed he came into office and was horrified to discover “there was no plan”

    In the absence of this we have had six months of dithering and grift and then a catastrophic budget. What makes you think it’s going to change?
    I'd have been far less concerned if he had said 2027, as it is a big problem to resolve and has been ignored for years. But given we can near definitely expect delays a plan for 2028 would surely be late 2028 at best, if not 2029, and I just don't buy any government in this era would make a major decision like that within 6-12 months of an election.

    So the fear it is just being punted into the long grass is natural, even if Streeting is correct and that is not the case.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022

    Seriously, this is where you draw the line?
    Look I'm sure he says the wrong thing all the time. I don't actually follow him. But he clearly got purchase from his highlighting of the grooming gangs. Calling for Farage to be removed as leader of Reform is just daft.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,301
    DavidL said:

    As Adam Smith pointed out there is a lot of ruin in a nation but Russia has been on a very negative path for the best part of 3 years now. My own belief, supported by the falls in the Ruble, the collapse of the housing market, the insane level of interest rates and the damage being inflicted deep in Russia by Ukraine, is that Putin has only months left and it is not clear what will happen after that other than it will be chaotic and dangerous.
    My only firm prediction is that little good will happen for Russia or Ukraine (given anything short of total Russia capitulation is still not great for the latter), but why break the habit of a century I suppose?
  • eekeek Posts: 29,535
    kle4 said:

    I'd have been far less concerned if he had said 2027, as it is a big problem to resolve and has been ignored for years. But given we can near definitely expect delays a plan for 2028 would surely be late 2028 at best, if not 2029, and I just don't buy any government in this era would make a major decision like that within 6-12 months of an election.

    So the fear it is just being punted into the long grass is natural, even if Streeting is correct and that is not the case.
    The thing is the future of both Local Government finance and the NHS hangs off that review. Which means if you aren't making decisions over social care until 2028 nothing is going to improve and everything is going to get worse...
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,882
    I reckon Musk just has a Magic 8-Ball and uses that to decide who he's got it in for on X on any given day.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,394

    Has Musk turned on Farage now? Very odd

    Musk simply has no clue when it comes to UK politics.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,171
    Leon said:

    Indeed. See also the H1B visa fall-out in the USA, within the Trumpite right. Tho that seems to have calmed down

    Right wing populists also tend to have big egos - maybe all populists do - and therefore find it hard to team up. Too many lead singers in one band

    I've seen some video recently of Musk and Trump together, and you can see on Trump's face the slgiht feeling of "how long do I have to put up with this weirdo"

    Musk is socially awkward, volatile and needy. He's a fantastic leader of engineering projects that require drive, genius, ambition, and absolute loyalty to his vision. As a political player his personality is surely worse than Starmer's
    Question is what happens next? Trump and Farage are almost certainly better off without Elon's support, but it's hard to see him leaving the stage quietly. Especially when he owns a significant stage and has enough cash to swamp any election he wants to.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,313

    Musk simply has no clue when it comes to UK politics.
    Worse, he thinks he has a clue.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,301
    Leon said:

    Indeed. See also the H1B visa fall-out in the USA, within the Trumpite right. Tho that seems to have calmed down

    Right wing populists also tend to have big egos - maybe all populists do - and therefore find it hard to team up. Too many lead singers in one band

    I've seen some video recently of Musk and Trump together, and you can see on Trump's face the slgiht feeling of "how long do I have to put up with this weirdo"

    Musk is socially awkward, volatile and needy. He's a fantastic leader of engineering projects that require drive, genius, ambition, and absolute loyalty to his vision. As a political player his personality is surely worse than Starmer's
    He'd never make it as a politician, that's for sure. They rightly get a lot of stick but there are political skills which people need to get things done in the democratic arena effectively.

    Trump lacks a lot of those skills too but a combination of luck, bluster, and, yes, some core skills (especially in securing a loyal base of support that terrifies any GOP opposition), see him through.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,295
    edited January 5
    kle4 said:

    I'd have been far less concerned if he had said 2027, as it is a big problem to resolve and has been ignored for years. But given we can near definitely expect delays a plan for 2028 would surely be late 2028 at best, if not 2029, and I just don't buy any government in this era would make a major decision like that within 6-12 months of an election.

    So the fear it is just being punted into the long grass is natural, even if Streeting is correct and that is not the case.
    It is abject. They literally have no idea what to do about anything. I mean, I voted for this shit (more fool me). But I thought at the very least "they'll be tediously competent in a twiddling kind of way, and they'll have a good plan for the NHS, if nothing else, after all they've been in Opposition 14 years"

    Yet not. Gawd 'elp us
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,914
    edited January 5

    Quite right too. I'm spending mine on a drinks package to keep me warm on my Norwegian Fjord cruise.
    Drinks packages are £55 a day so for a couple you would get less than 2 days but the whole argument is a nonsense ss the amount involved has little effect on the cost of a holiday for a couple
  • eekeek Posts: 29,535

    There are a great many Labour backbenchers (and junior ministers) feeling they deserve promotion. This might become an issue for Starmer's successor, depending when he retires.
    I've pointed out before there are 100 more Labour MPs than available promotions - so eventually a lot of them are going to discover they have wasted the next 3 years of their life and won't even get long term access to Parliament from it...
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,484
    Eabhal said:

    a

    USB-C for MacBook Air, QHD, 27", mainly office work, photo editing and bit of gaming. Gigabyte M27Q is the closest I've got to so far.
    Have you considered these?

    https://www.dell.com/en-uk/shop/dell-27-usb-c-monitor-s2722dc/apd/210-bbrr/monitors-monitor-accessories

    https://www.dell.com/en-uk/shop/dell-27-4k-uhd-usb-c-monitor-s2722qc/apd/210-bbrq/monitors-monitor-accessories
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,934

    Seems like Farage has been hoist by his own retard.

    That's going way over the heads of pro-Musk PBers.

    Very good nonetheless.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,766
    Leon said:

    It is abject. They literally have no idea what to do about anything. I mean, I voted for this shit (more fool me). But I thoutht at the very least "they'll be tediously competent in a twiddling kind of way, and they'll have a good plan for the NHS, if nothing else, after all they've been in Opposition 14 years"

    Yet not. Gawd 'elp us
    Fraid so.

    I could see Farage being a very effective campaigner but he would struggle as a PM.

  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,295

    I reckon Musk just has a Magic 8-Ball and uses that to decide who he's got it in for on X on any given day.

    If you note the timing of his tweets, they are often very late at night in Austin, TX (where he mainly lives, IIRC) or indeed anywhere in the USA

    The rumour is that he spends half the night getting *pepped up*, hence the insane number of angry tweets he sometimes emits, at these odd hours - and often aimed at the EU/UK, because we are already awake, so he can see an immediate response

    Just a rumour, mind
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,955

    Indeed.
    Unfortunately. Privatise the NHS, sell data to Palantir, sell the Royal Mail to the Czechs, take winter fuel payments from pensioners, give Ed Miliband 22bn to extract magic gas from the air. The problem is not the selling of the story, it's the story itself
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 9,973

    Fraid so.

    I could see Farage being a very effective campaigner but he would struggle as a PM.

    lol, two seconds after Musk suggests Farage isn't up to it and PBers have already turned on him.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,301

    Musk trying to pick the leader of Reform UK and yet again interfere in our democracy is a disgrace. What business does he have chiming in.

    I don't have an issue with anyone, from anywhere, chiming in on the domestic politics of another country.

    The issue with Musk is every utterance is breathlessly reported, he doesn't know as much about politics as he thinks he does, and he's addicted to mouthing off on twitter. Throw potential money into the mix and it just gets messy.

    Trying to mess with Farage's leadership is an odd move though - like him or loathe him Reform wouldn't be a significant thing without Farage, and even if the premise were true he has taken them as far as he can, other options don't come with Farage's strengths.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,597
    algarkirk said:

    I agree with Cyclefree. But there are two big dimensions to this. One is human nature, which changes only very slowly and can't be legislated for. The other is about the exercise of authority and power. In our centralised society this belongs to parliament, government and voters.

    What do they do?
    You are of course right that human nature does not easily change.

    But - at the risk of trying to summarise what my book is about - that is why you need to understand human nature a lot better than we do when designing our laws and procedures etc and managing our organisations. You cannot force people to be good but you can make it a lot harder to be bad and catch it early.

    At the heart of most of the failures have seen has been human failings and a blindness to why the systems and processes didn't work because they did not take into account how humans behave. It is what good management should be about but so often isn't.

    The indifference to human suffering is harder to deal with. Again I think that we have to remember who we are all doing this stuff for. When you have lived through a scandal or tragedy or two and seen the very real impact on other human beings, it becomes easier to understand why they matter. And it is one reason why I made it my business at work to tell the human stories behind the financial cock-ups I was having to sort out. At least based on the reaction I got, people appreciated that and I hope it made a difference to how they understood the rules they were being asked to follow.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,914
    Eabhal said:

    Would you vote Reform to beat Labour?
    I don't know at this far out but having suffered Labour in Wales for 25 years anybody but Labour could also.include Plaid
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,697
    Leon said:

    It is abject. They literally have no idea what to do about anything. I mean, I voted for this shit (more fool me). But I thoutht at the very least "they'll be tediously competent in a twiddling kind of way, and they'll have a good plan for the NHS, if nothing else, after all they've been in Opposition 14 years"

    Yet not. Gawd 'elp us
    It's not only abject, it's baffling. They seem entirely surprised that the responsibility for coming up with any sort of plan has fallen into their lap. It's as if they think the civil service actually has loads of great Labour-ish plans that the Tories have been evilly frustrating and all they have to do is step in and not be the Tories and the happy wheels of centrist government will turn again once more.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,198
    Can’t see how this harms Farage given Musk still seems to think Robinson is a political prisoner.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,295

    That's going way over the heads of pro-Musk PBers.

    Very good nonetheless.
    As a Musk fanboi (the engineering, not the politics) I have to confess that I am indeed aware of the saying "hoist by his own petard", meaning "blown upwards by his own bomblet"

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Petard

  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,017

    Look I'm sure he says the wrong thing all the time. I don't actually follow him. But he clearly got purchase from his highlighting of the grooming gangs. Calling for Farage to be removed as leader of Reform is just daft.
    I am not at all sure the shareholders of Reform will go for replacing Nigel......
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,766
    Taz said:

    Can’t see how this harms Farage given Musk still seems to think Robinson is a political prisoner.

    Likewise it gives him a "not in the yanks' pocket" defence
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,301
    eek said:

    I've pointed out before there are 100 more Labour MPs than available promotions - so eventually a lot of them are going to discover they have wasted the next 3 years of their life and won't even get long term access to Parliament from it...
    Used to be you had to wait about 10 years to get close to a front bench position, but now if you are not at least getting close to a Cabinet position by the end of the 1st term you are probably not going to be a high flyer and you'll never make it. You need those junior ministerial posts within the next 3 years or so.

    People like Sunak, Truss, and Starmer, were getting into the Cabinet after 4 years or less (Starmer was an extreme case getting a senior shadow cabinet position essentially immediately).
  • eekeek Posts: 29,535

    Have you considered these?

    https://www.dell.com/en-uk/shop/dell-27-usb-c-monitor-s2722dc/apd/210-bbrr/monitors-monitor-accessories

    https://www.dell.com/en-uk/shop/dell-27-4k-uhd-usb-c-monitor-s2722qc/apd/210-bbrq/monitors-monitor-accessories
    I would refer @Eabhal to https://www.dell.com/community/en/conversations/monitors/faq-dell-monitor-and-apple/647f9fc4f4ccf8a8de4ad5fd from Dell - you can tell support is an issue when Dell have an FAQ about what monitors work on a mac and which are problematic...
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,934
    ...
    Leon said:

    As a Musk fanboi (the engineering, not the politics) I have to confess that I am indeed aware of the saying "hoist by his own petard", meaning "blown upwards by his own bomblet"

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Petard

    So you have felt the need to explain @Gardenwalker 's joke to your fellow Muskovites.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,113
    I really hope no-one's expecting me to say: "Oh, Musk has done a good thing; I suddenly like him now." ;)

    The Afrikaner should just concentrate on abusing stewardesses.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,295
    Cookie said:

    It's not only abject, it's baffling. They seem entirely surprised that the responsibility for coming up with any sort of plan has fallen into their lap. It's as if they think the civil service actually has loads of great Labour-ish plans that the Tories have been evilly frustrating and all they have to do is step in and not be the Tories and the happy wheels of centrist government will turn again once more.
    Yes. I was trying to think of a good analogy

    It's like a soccer fan watching an England game and thinking "that Gareth Southgate, he has an easy job, flying around the world first class, hanging out with sports stars, £1m a year, I could do that, in fact it looks great"

    Then they get the job and arrive at FA HQ and they ask the receptionist for all the new tactics for the squad, and they ask the chuaffeur for the next team selection, and seem surprised when they are met with total surprise, then horror
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,301
    Leon said:

    If you note the timing of his tweets, they are often very late at night in Austin, TX (where he mainly lives, IIRC) or indeed anywhere in the USA

    The rumour is that he spends half the night getting *pepped up*, hence the insane number of angry tweets he sometimes emits, at these odd hours - and often aimed at the EU/UK, because we are already awake, so he can see an immediate response

    Just a rumour, mind
    It's pretty believable. It definitely doesn't seem like some kind of grand strategy.
  • As far as I understand it, the last project at Tesla Musk got his fingers into what was the Cybertruck.

    Shocking that it's been a failure.
  • I really hope no-one's expecting me to say: "Oh, Musk has done a good thing; I suddenly like him now." ;)

    The Afrikaner should just concentrate on abusing stewardesses.

    I think people are REALLY disappointed that some people just don't like people interfering in our democracy, doesn't matter who they are interfering for/against.

    It's called having principles. Elon should try it.
  • BurgessianBurgessian Posts: 2,951
    Taz said:

    Can’t see how this harms Farage given Musk still seems to think Robinson is a political prisoner.

    LOL. Part of the Farage shtick is hanging out with the big boyz. It's what, at least in part, giving him the big mo. Plus the prospect of a few dollars more.

    It's obvs not terminal. But a big slap nonetheless. Kemi will be having a laugh.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,934

    I don't know at this far out but having suffered Labour in Wales for 25 years anybody but Labour could also.include Plaid
    I'll mark you down as a yes then.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,840
    Foss said:

    I’d suggest the barrier to entry for that kind of thing is going to drop moderately quickly. SpaceX are already 3d printing large parts of their engines - which suggests a reasonable technical university will have that ability in a decade and it’ll be entering the artisanal fabrication space within a decade of that.
    3D printing is, by itself, a red herring. You can buy huge machines that will print parts in nearly any metal - let alone plastic. The process is slow and only makes sense for parts with very convoluted designs.

    It’s also quite expensive.

    Multi axis CNC is faster and better, if it can be used. 3D printed parts usual require multiple post printing steps to make them usable. Modern CNC can actually polish to final finish, complete with controlled surface hardening.

    But again, this is a red herring.

    These technologies are already commoditised.

    Drones aren’t the panacea that some make out, either. And they are an old concept as well.

    It how you employ existing things. And institutional inertia.

    When Tory Bruno saw the Raptor 3 engine, he thought it was incomplete. Because rocket engines aren’t built like that. That’s not how people do things.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,825
    Cookie said:

    It's not only abject, it's baffling. They seem entirely surprised that the responsibility for coming up with any sort of plan has fallen into their lap. It's as if they think the civil service actually has loads of great Labour-ish plans that the Tories have been evilly frustrating and all they have to do is step in and not be the Tories and the happy wheels of centrist government will turn again once more.
    It gets worse. I would vote Labour again tomorrow (LDs no chance in my seat) as the other option for government doesn't come close to being as decent as the Labour or Lab/LD one. This is not cheering. Labour have much to prove, but the Tories have massively more.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,766

    As far as I understand it, the last project at Tesla Musk got his fingers into what was the Cybertruck.

    Shocking that it's been a failure.

    And what ? You seem to think there's no such thing as failure in business. Yet Musk continues to get richer every year.

    Edison had lots of failures, is that how you thibk of him ?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,295

    LOL. Part of the Farage shtick is hanging out with the big boyz. It's what, at least in part, giving him the big mo. Plus the prospect of a few dollars more.

    It's obvs not terminal. But a big slap nonetheless. Kemi will be having a laugh.
    I wonder if Musk will get behind a Tory. Kemi, or Jenrick

    However as we have seen, having Musk's support is like being defended by a someone with the loosest of loose cannons, as likely to blow your head off as shoot the enemy

    What they all want, however, is his money. Trump included
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,597
    Cookie said:

    I quite enjoy it. Gives the house a feeling of minimality and spaciousness. Makes me think of the denoument of the Julia Donaldson book "a squash and a squeeze."
    Better than usual this year because for the first time in ten years or so we had a real tree, giving me the chance to wield a saw and vaguely imagine myself as some frontiersman with actual skills.
    Tsk - you don't dismantle it until after Epiphany, which is tomorrow.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,295
    Fucksake, dark at 3pm
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,301
    I feel this way about billionaires - what happened to our faceless, voiceless oligarchs controlling things behind the scenes?

    I just saw a duke do a tweet. Dukes should exist aloof as monuments to antiquity. A duke who publicly acknowledges the existence of wireless telegraphy should lose his dukedom.
    https://nitter.poast.org/yuanyi_z/status/1875682405425803734#m
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,914

    I'll mark you down as a yes then.
    Do whatever you want if it contributes to your well being

    You've already had to apologise to me this week after making a wholly false and wrong accusation, so another one incoming when I vote Plaid which is a very real prospect
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,113
    Watching the events in Kursk on Twix is both interesting and grimly funny. Some Russian sources saying the attack has been eliminated, whilst others say the Ukrainians are going for the Kursk nuclear power plant (yeah, right). Ukrainian sources fairly silent, as ever. The same drone footage showing, according to the captions, either a Ukrainian column being eliminated, or a Russian one.

    In short, it's as clear as mud.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,825
    Leon said:

    Yes. I was trying to think of a good analogy

    It's like a soccer fan watching an England game and thinking "that Gareth Southgate, he has an easy job, flying around the world first class, hanging out with sports stars, £1m a year, I could do that, in fact it looks great"

    Then they get the job and arrive at FA HQ and they ask the receptionist for all the new tactics for the squad, and they ask the chuaffeur for the next team selection, and seem surprised when they are met with total surprise, then horror
    There is a significant number of very senior Labour figures we might assume they have been getting back room advice from for many years. Blair, Campbell, Brown, George Robertson, Straw, Balls and lots of others who are all, of course, flawed but not idiots. Odd.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,840
    DavidL said:

    /2
    This also explains the apparently irrational, dishonest and inept decisions of both the Post Office Management and indeed the Ministers who were supposedly overlooking them. Their duty, as I think they saw it, was to protect the institution that they were being paid to look after. The consequences of an early admission of fault would have been awful for a body that was once again struggling to survive. The inevitable response was to prevaricate, lie, deceive and to put off the day when the thistle had to be grasped, even as it grew. This is, of course, reprehensible, but all too understandable when put in that context. I very much doubt we will see much of that context in the Inquiry report.

    For these reasons I would be cautious about emphasising the importance of implementing the recommendations of all inquiries. Their viewpoints are distorted by both their reference and their context (a disaster). Whilst the points can and should be made and some things learned those in charge of the operation are not given the resources to implement them nor will there be much public good if their implementation simply means neglect somewhere else. I think, with some hesitation, that we should pause before we climb on yet another outrage bus and try to think through the implications.

    Which is a nice summation of “we can’t change stuff”

    Which is how we will get Reform as a government.

    This gives us

    1) the problem is complex and the answers difficult.
    2) so nothing can be done
    3) since nothing can be done, it’s unfair to make those legally responsible pay a penalty for their actions.

    The savage anger this engenders can just be ignored, of course.

    Worth noting that Parliament used primary legislation to declare the SPO innocent. Because the System continued to fight.

    I can easily see a future populist government using such a mechanism to go after those they judge guilty. The ghost of Strafford…..
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,825
    Cyclefree said:

    Tsk - you don't dismantle it until after Epiphany, which is tomorrow.
    The best bit of Christmas is the 'long Christmas' going up to Candlemas on 2nd February. Junk dry January and quietly enjoy stuff in whatever good company you can find withouit the frenetic commercial junk.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,955
    edited January 5

    What I find most trying, is that people are not prepared to look at the case for why Starmer might end up being successful (I put this at 50/50), instead they just bleat "he is crap".

    He reformed the Labour party in five years, no other leader has ever done that and been as successful as him. I wish people would question why, as opposed to just shouting.

    Fair enough. It's because he has no plan nor underlying theory, other than a set of metropolitan elite cliches. Let me explain

    NO PLAN
    He wants to use hydrogen, which is colossally stupid. He wants to extract carbon dioxide/monoxide(?) from the air and burn it underground, which is colossally stupid. He wants to privatise the NHS, or less emotionally integrate private medicine into it, which is colossally stupid in the medium term (see "Late Soviet Britain" for an explanation). He neglects the big picture stuff (a noncompetent defence, a mobile emigrating workforce, the aging population, the lack of a National Care Service, a state reliant on massive inward migration, the level of debt, the inability to collect tax, the rise of transnational politics) in favour of salon politics

    NO ABILITY
    He keeps thinking he has power, but he hasn't built up the political capital (a feeling that the government is on the right path). Instead of addressing this he gads about the world pointlessly, making promises he shouldn't (money to compensate for slavery!) whilst Streeting is on maneuvers for his job because Streeting knows which side the bread is buttered.

    I am tearing my hair out over this. You guys should be left wing, for pity's sake. But you don't know how to fly the plane.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 9,973
    Ouch, the BBC have just pushed a notification out via their app on Elon dumping Nigel.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,534

    Odds Labour introduces PR in 2028, have we thought about this?

    Currently a Tory and Reform government is more likely under PR than FPTP while Labour would almost certainly lose its majority under PR on current polls whereas with FPTP has a 50% chance of retaining its majority, albeit reduced, on current polls.

    So no chance
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,198

    I really hope no-one's expecting me to say: "Oh, Musk has done a good thing; I suddenly like him now." ;)

    The Afrikaner should just concentrate on abusing stewardesses.

    He should concentrate, as I hade said before, on his businesses.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,301

    Watching the events in Kursk on Twix is both interesting and grimly funny. Some Russian sources saying the attack has been eliminated, whilst others say the Ukrainians are going for the Kursk nuclear power plant (yeah, right). Ukrainian sources fairly silent, as ever. The same drone footage showing, according to the captions, either a Ukrainian column being eliminated, or a Russian one.

    In short, it's as clear as mud.

    And if we've learned anything from this war it is that Ukrainian mud is particularly extreme.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rasputitsa
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,534

    To be honest, I still think the farming and winter fuel changes were right.

    The former's impact on Labour's electoral chances I think is limited, the latter I am not sure was worth burning the political capital on.

    But you can't say Labour takes the easy way out of anything. Stupid way out, quite possibly.

    In rural seats Labour won last July the former was devastating to them
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,477
    Musk has apparently Tweeted against Nigel Farage.

    An interesting development - not wholly a disaster for NF.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,692

    I really hope no-one's expecting me to say: "Oh, Musk has done a good thing; I suddenly like him now." ;)

    The Afrikaner should just concentrate on abusing stewardesses.

    It’s interesting that Musk is completing a sort of trinity of political influence at the highest levels by non-American media moguls from the former British colonies. Men who become more American than the Americans as they age. The Australian Murdoch being the archetype, alongside the Canadian Conrad Black.

    Now we have a Saffer. We need a Kiwi to complete the set.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,914

    Musk has apparently Tweeted against Nigel Farage.

    An interesting development - not wholly a disaster for NF.

    Very embarrassing though
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,825
    Eabhal said:

    Ouch, the BBC have just pushed a notification out via their app on Elon dumping Nigel.

    Maybe Farage is a lucky general? I wonder if 'peak Musk' was a little time ago? Martian colony may start sounding a good idea for his next move.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,692
    Taz said:


    He should concentrate, as I hade said before, on his businesses.
    Sadly, his “business” now includes Twitter.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,697
    Cyclefree said:

    Tsk - you don't dismantle it until after Epiphany, which is tomorrow.
    That's not how I understand it! I thought you had to dismantle it before epiphany.
    I'm aware that they did things differently in the olden days and that once upon a time advent was a period of abstemiousness and your decs went up on Christmas Eve and the 12 days of Christmas were a period of excess followed by another period of relative excess lasting until 2nd Feb (Michaelmas). But nowadays I thought it was considered bad luck not to have them down before 12th night.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,825
    Eabhal said:

    Ouch, the BBC have just pushed a notification out via their app on Elon dumping Nigel.

    Guardian leading on it.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    TimS said:

    It’s interesting that Musk is completing a sort of trinity of political influence at the highest levels by non-American media moguls from the former British colonies. Men who become more American than the Americans as they age. The Australian Murdoch being the archetype, alongside the Canadian Conrad Black.

    Now we have a Saffer. We need a Kiwi to complete the set.
    Hang on, there were lots more colonies than that. Even discounting the ones that have gone. Anguilla, Falklands, Gib ...
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,975
    Leon said:

    As a Musk fanboi (the engineering, not the politics) I have to confess that I am indeed aware of the saying "hoist by his own petard", meaning "blown upwards by his own bomblet"

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Petard

    I actually knew somebody blown up by his own petard. In mid-50s France on a school exchange. Making the most of absence of restrictions and ordering Pschitts and Noilly Prats in cafes and smoking Gauloises, there were also tabac kiosks which had a line in handy fire crackers, "pétards". You struck them on a matchbox and threw them wherever for a satisfying bang. One lad had his jacket pocket filled with them only to discover that they could spontaneously combust. Literally hoist by his own petard. Fortunately not badly injured but his school blazer was in ruins.

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,301
    Carnyx said:

    Hang on, there were lots more colonies than that. Even discounting the ones that have gone. Anguilla, Falklands, Gib ...
    Dominions or nothing!
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    algarkirk said:

    Guardian leading on it.
    Indeed, am just reading it.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/jan/05/farage-refuses-to-condemn-free-speech-hero-musks-remarks-on-jess-phillips
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,534

    It just shows you what musk is like. I wonder how long it will take for Trump and him to fall out as well.

    Not long, as I said before Musk is Trump's Cummings
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 29,846
    kle4 said:

    I feel this way about billionaires - what happened to our faceless, voiceless oligarchs controlling things behind the scenes?

    I just saw a duke do a tweet. Dukes should exist aloof as monuments to antiquity. A duke who publicly acknowledges the existence of wireless telegraphy should lose his dukedom.
    https://nitter.poast.org/yuanyi_z/status/1875682405425803734#m

    Have you hit on something there? Did Musk fall out of love with Farage when he met him alongside fellow-billionaire Nick Candy?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,520
    Leon said:

    No he doesn’t. In the tweet we are discussing he says

    “The foreign nationals responsible must be deported”

    That’s as far as he gets to your absurd caricature. Maybe he has said more outrageous things elsewhere? If so, citation required
    Read the whole thing. The message is pretty clear. Of course he's built in some deniability with how he's crafted it. Dog whistling is a key skill for any politician of that ilk.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,198
    Leon said:

    Fucksake, dark at 3pm

    Days are getting longer now. Starting to notice it. Still here.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,090

    An international light is being shone on the UK in a way that it hasn't previously and a lot of people are astonished by what it has revealed.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/law-and-order/11871975/Child-molester-given-longer-sentence-as-victims-are-Asian.html

    A child molester who abused two Asian girls was rightly given a longer sentence than if his victims had been white because Asian sex crime victims suffer more, a leading judge has ruled.

    Mr Justice Walker said it was proper for paedophile Jamal Muhammed Raheem Ul Nasir to have been given a tougher than normal sentence because his victims were Asian.

    The judge who jailed him, Sally Cahill QC, specifically said that the fact the victims were Asian had been factored in as an "aggravating feature" when passing sentence.

    She stated that the victims and their families had suffered particular "shame" in their communities because of what had happened to them.

    Additionally, there were cultural concerns that the girls' future prospects of being regarded as a "good catch" for arranged marriages might be damaged.
    Jesus.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 9,973
    algarkirk said:

    Maybe Farage is a lucky general? I wonder if 'peak Musk' was a little time ago? Martian colony may start sounding a good idea for his next move.
    It's great news for the Tories tbh. This is like all the Momentum drama Labour went through, but this time they are going to purge themselves rather than require a Starmer figure to do it.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,484
    Eabhal said:

    Ouch, the BBC have just pushed a notification out via their app on Elon dumping Nigel.

    So the patriotic thing to do is vote Farage to stick it to the foreign billionaire.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,090
    algarkirk said:

    ....heart of stone.....
    Actually, good on Farage.

    Provided he doesn't now row back.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,825

    Jesus.
    Strange time to bring up a 2015 case.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,697
    algarkirk said:

    It gets worse. I would vote Labour again tomorrow (LDs no chance in my seat) as the other option for government doesn't come close to being as decent as the Labour or Lab/LD one. This is not cheering. Labour have much to prove, but the Tories have massively more.
    In my view the current lot are just as rubbish as the Sunak government at governing - but have also come with added "pay £800m a year to give away the Chagos Islands" and added "trash private education" and added "trash state education".

    The 22-24 Tories were a low bar but Labour are limboing effortlessly under them.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,597

    Looking forward to your book Cyclefree.

    I need to get a publisher first. 😀
  • Shecorns88Shecorns88 Posts: 374
    algarkirk said:

    Maybe Farage is a lucky general? I wonder if 'peak Musk' was a little time ago? Martian colony may start sounding a good idea for his next move.
    Oh dear the fanbois in full on pathetic excuse mode..
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,090
    Leon said:

    Fucksake, dark at 3pm

    It's like the sun never rose today down south.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,392
    Cyclefree said:

    I need to get a publisher first. 😀
    I'm not sure I could read it. It might make me very angry and depressed.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,459
    edited January 5
    geoffw said:

    I actually knew somebody blown up by his own petard. In mid-50s France on a school exchange. Making the most of absence of restrictions and ordering Pschitts and Noilly Prats in cafes and smoking Gauloises, there were also tabac kiosks which had a line in handy fire crackers, "pétards". You struck them on a matchbox and threw them wherever for a satisfying bang. One lad had his jacket pocket filled with them only to discover that they could spontaneously combust. Literally hoist by his own petard. Fortunately not badly injured but his school blazer was in ruins.

    Elf'n'safety communism has ruined so much ...
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,660

    https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1875904634419859928

    The Reform Party needs a new leader. Farage doesn’t have what it takes.
    As I suggested earlier, he's going to promote "Tommy Robinson" as the last hope for the UK. And in doing so make himself an irrelevant laughing stock
  • Shecorns88Shecorns88 Posts: 374

    Very embarrassing though
    Not wholly a disaster... Pmsl... Musk and those photos with Farage and Trump and Farage and Candy and Musk with Epstein will hang around Farage neck like a Political semtex necklace until Farage last days.

    No Legal attempt to block them will hide them.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,520

    I haven't seen Jenrick's latest remarks though I doubt that is what he actually said. But again all your are doing is ignoring the actual issue and instead insinuating motives for the opposition. That ain't good enough.
    I'm not ignoring the issue. I'm highlighting it. The concerted attempt to use the grooming gangs scandal to promote far right politics in this country.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,090
    Leon said:

    I wonder if Musk will get behind a Tory. Kemi, or Jenrick

    However as we have seen, having Musk's support is like being defended by a someone with the loosest of loose cannons, as likely to blow your head off as shoot the enemy

    What they all want, however, is his money. Trump included
    If Farage is junked, or junks himself, that's great news for the Tories.

    No-one else has anything like his cut through, and neithee Lee Anderson or Richard Tice could do anything more than the Paul Nuttall 2.0
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,198
    Eabhal said:

    It's great news for the Tories tbh. This is like all the Momentum drama Labour went through, but this time they are going to purge themselves rather than require a Starmer figure to do it.
    Potentially, the story certainly has national prominence and has made the main news bulletins.

    It’s a little more than a westminster bubble thing.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,934
    How can anyone not love test match cricket? Pakistan 194 all out first innings forced to follow on. Now 194/0, Totally unpredictable and surprising, especially when the men in Green are on the field.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,520

    You must have had pretty low expectations for Starmer and his government then.

    Expected the sleaze, expected the failure to plan, expected the cowardice, expected the inability to chose the right battles.
    Realistic expectations, I'd say. And I'm certainly not in a lather of funk about them after all of 6 months.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,602
    kle4 said:

    I'd have been far less concerned if he had said 2027, as it is a big problem to resolve and has been ignored for years. But given we can near definitely expect delays a plan for 2028 would surely be late 2028 at best, if not 2029, and I just don't buy any government in this era would make a major decision like that within 6-12 months of an election.

    So the fear it is just being punted into the long grass is natural, even if Streeting is correct and that is not the case.
    The inquiry won’t learn anything new. We know what the solution is. But the Treasury won’t fund it as Osborne’s branding of Dilnott as a “death tax” and labours response to mays proposals as a “dementia tax” have made a specific tax very challenging
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,198
    Cyclefree said:

    I need to get a publisher first. 😀
    Self publish ?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,301
    DavidL said:

    How can anyone not love test match cricket? Pakistan 194 all out first innings forced to follow on. Now 194/0, Totally unpredictable and surprising, especially when the men in Green are on the field.

    The ability to turn things around, however unlikely, that is what Test Cricket offers which other forms do not.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,306
    Farage's good judgement strikes again.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,602

    Seems like Farage has been hoist by his own retard.

    Details?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,520

    I reckon Musk just has a Magic 8-Ball and uses that to decide who he's got it in for on X on any given day.

    Perhaps Farage isn't racist enough for him?
  • BurgessianBurgessian Posts: 2,951
    The death of Jimmy Carter just days before Trump's inauguration does seem extraordinarily timed. Could imagine Don DeLillo using it in a novel.

    It's as if part of America just died. Something that was authentic, good-natured, honest and well-disposed, displaced by the tawdry, contrived, dishonest and malign.

    Don't get me wrong. Carter was a bit of a duffer and the presidency overwhelmed him. Reagan deserved to win. That was an inflection point in itself.

    But the gulf between the well-meaning Carter and 45/47, well, that's summat else.

  • TazTaz Posts: 17,198
    Al Murray with an interesting point

    https://x.com/almurray/status/1875916561405682017?s=61
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,825
    Cookie said:

    That's not how I understand it! I thought you had to dismantle it before epiphany.
    I'm aware that they did things differently in the olden days and that once upon a time advent was a period of abstemiousness and your decs went up on Christmas Eve and the 12 days of Christmas were a period of excess followed by another period of relative excess lasting until 2nd Feb (Michaelmas). But nowadays I thought it was considered bad luck not to have them down before 12th night.
    The correct view (2 Feb) is here, from English Heritage:

    https://www.english-heritage.org.uk/christmas/leaving-up-christmas-decorations/

    2 Feb is Candlemas not Michaelmas (29th September)
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,520
    Cyclefree said:

    I need to get a publisher first. 😀
    27 headers?
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,914
    algarkirk said:

    Guardian leading on it.
    My discounted Guardian subscription proving very timely
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,198

    If Farage is junked, or junks himself, that's great news for the Tories.

    No-one else has anything like his cut through, and neithee Lee Anderson or Richard Tice could do anything more than the Paul Nuttall 2.0
    Farage wont be junked. The worst that can happen is he gets no cash from Musk

    Farage made it clear on LK today he is looking at really developing Reform into a proper political party putting in place a structure to support it.

    I suspect he thinks his,party can replace the Tories.
This discussion has been closed.