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Jenrick continues his surge in the betting markets – politicalbetting.com

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  • The thing with these studies is it doesn't take into consideration longer term adaption. A few months is nowhere near long enough to test this. Look at candy bars have gotten a lot smaller, but they added "Duo" and now a huge range of slabs of chocolate....I wonder why that might be....its because the public keep buying the much larger bars which are bigger than the standard bar before shrinkflation.

    I bet longer term people will increasingly buy bottle of wine rather than the smaller "large" glass, just like they buy the Duo or slab of chocolate rather than the single Mars / Snickers etc bar.

    The physiology trick might work in short term, but anybody who has been abroad where they often serve smaller glasses of beer and see British tourists, they don't just have one.
    What is a 'candy bar'?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,498
    edited September 2024

    There are specific systems for sending out a mass page - that is, sending a page (or pages) to a whole list of pagers.

    I wrote one for AT&T long ago, when the world was young.

    Think - hospital calls all staff in a specified group to come to the hospital.
    Think the UK Govt emergency alert system.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UK_Emergency_Alert_System

    I'm quite amused by the technical illiteracy at the BBC - "something called an alphanumeric text message."

    Give UK media a horse and cart, and they would wonder what this strange new fangled invention was they had been shown.

    A former British Army munitions expert, who asked not to be named, told the BBC the devices could have been packed with between 10 to 20 grams each of military-grade high explosive, hidden inside a fake electronic component.

    This, said the expert, would have been armed by a signal, something called an alphanumeric text message.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz04m913m49o

    Does anyone have any friends at the BBC? Can you send them a normal text message saying BANGSKI .
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398
    edited September 2024
    Sandpit said:

    The problem is that plenty of those tribunals have gone the other way in recent years, leaving many large companies and especially public sector orgs scared witless of activist staff pushing an extreme ‘woke’ agenda.

    It does appear that tribunals and courts are starting to see sense on some of the more outrageous ideas pushed, but management are still having to tread on eggshells when it comes to social issues in the workplace.
    Yes it is difficult. But I have found that most people are not interested in this stuff, even in the most 'woke' organisations, and they also have a tendency to apply a 'common sense' definition of terms like 'equality' and 'diversity'; not the definition which is set out by the state and reflected in intersectional ideology. You can also go in to these discussions and try and direct them towards different purposes - one example was get the organisation to engage more effectively with people who go to work and don't have time to attend public meetings, rather than focussing attention exclusively on those with 'protected characteristics', and using equality and diversity as a justification for this. Another thing was encouraging the organisation to pay professional fees for all employees. When dealing with activists, they are often unable to debate, and struggle to come up with counter arguments - instead appealing to victimhood in increasingly dramatic and emotional terms, which ultimately isolates them.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,480

    Leave aside that these pagers are used by doctors and nurses. If Hezbollah blew up the phones or pagers of IDF soldiers, whether or not on duty, inevitably killing and maiming children and bystanders - he'd denounce this as an obscene terrorist attack.

    https://x.com/owenjonesjourno/status/1836100612133433715

    Leaving aside these are special pagers not used by doctors and nurses, I didn't realise how much Owen Jones is doing a very good impression of Jezza these days with sympathetic tweets about terrorists. He really has gone off the reservation.

    You can be anti-bibi, you can be concerned about some of Israels actions in Gaza, you can want a two state solution and an end to the war, but he is now equivocating action against members of an recognised army with actions against members of a terrorist group.

    Israel doesn't use terrorism now as they are the overwhelmingly superior military so don't need to. But when they were insurgents, they used it readily enough, against the recognised British Army and the Palestinians in the British Mandate.

    The two sides in the Middle East are as ruthless as each other when they have to be, the tragedy is the innocents on both sides that get caught in the crossfire.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,498
    edited September 2024
    Cookie said:

    Absolutely astonishing moonrise over the Pennines tonight. Heading west on the A555 into a pinkening sky, chatting to my daughter, I caught it in the rear view and uttered an involuntary "Whoah..."
    "What is it? Are you ok?"
    "You have to see this..."
    I came off at the next junction, turned around, and headed east - rounded a bend , and there it was, inching up over Kinder,
    implausibly bright and huge. Just huge.
    "Wow. Thanks for showing me that."

    She gamely tried to photograph it, but photographing the moon without a special lens never worksvery well. So I'm recording it here.

    Isn't that a slight exaggeration? :smile: Can't you just switch your cheap manual SLR to spot metering or derate by about 2 stops of exposure.

    Even the digital cameras I have had let me set the exposure directly, or tweak it.

    I think I have most of that in my new Pixel (7) phone, too, including RAW exposure (down, @Leon ), which means I should be able to recover a couple of stops via software, but I'm still focused on finding message history and getting the ads out of the Youtube app as far as possible.
  • ///$! liionctrl --exclude=edmundintokyo --comment-match="woke,keith,drumpf" explode 9
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    ///$! liionctrl --exclude=edmundintokyo --comment-match="woke,keith,drumpf" explode 9

    woke,keith,drumpf.

    BOOM!
  • boulayboulay Posts: 6,083

    And to keep it all secret.
    It could have all gone wrong if one of the pager owners had gone through an airport with serious security and the pager had set of alarms so I guess the Israelis had to balance finding an optimum time with the risk of discovery.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,304
    boulay said:

    It could have all gone wrong if one of the pager owners had gone through an airport with serious security and the pager had set of alarms so I guess the Israelis had to balance finding an optimum time with the risk of discovery.
    How many Hizbollah fighters would pass the background checks to try passing through an airport with 'serious security?'
  • boulayboulay Posts: 6,083
    ydoethur said:

    How many Hizbollah fighters would pass the background checks to try passing through an airport with 'serious security?'
    Considering the Iranian Ambassador seems to have had one, god knows how many non “fighters” such as the money men also had them who would travel around.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    ydoethur said:

    How many Hizbollah fighters would pass the background checks to try passing through an airport with 'serious security?'
    Can’t imagine them getting within a mile of Ben Gurion International!
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Apparently Mr Diddy has been remanded into the same prison as a Mr Epstein was a few years ago.

    Wonder what might happen to him there…?
  • Fishing said:

    Starmer and his wife are giving them plenty of targets and then ensuring the scandals continue by never explaining and never apologising.

    He's the most out of touch and politically incompetent Prime Minister since ... uh ... the last one.
    He seems to be at that stepping on garden forks stage. Did you read his comments about accepting hospitality at football matches? Car crash. These things do get noticed, and I wouldn't be surprised if it starts affecting Labour VI.
  • When will those Russians stop smoking?

    "The ammunition warehouse in Toropets, Tver region, in Russia has been turned into volcanic region. It is still exploding. Absolutely spectacular view and possibly the biggest single event of that kind in this war."

    https://x.com/Tendar/status/1836264666592383070
  • Allegedly, that Russian base was used to store missiles, and one of the explosions registered as at 2.8 on the Richter scale in the Baltics.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,498
    edited September 2024
    Hmmm.

    The home site seems to have the new comments at the top again.

    Perhaps I am just late to notice, or have temporarily had a life.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,579
    edited September 2024
    A deep dive into the UFO conspiracy theorists/grifters who created all the fuss in recent years and convinced some gullible people, including US politicians, that there was something going on: https://www.reddit.com/r/skeptic/s/p82r0FsKqf

    Or a shorter article: https://www.military.com/daily-news/2022/03/07/how-believers-paranormal-birthed-pentagons-new-hunt-ufos.html
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,100
    MattW said:

    Hmmm.

    The home site seems to have the new comments at the top again.

    Yes, well done RCS!
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    That Toropets explosion is so big you can see it from space!

    https://x.com/osinttechnical/status/1836277502030799017

    Looks like hundreds of millions of dollars of ordnance that’s gone up in flames.
  • A deep dive into the UFO conspiracy theorists/grifters who created all the fuss in recent years and convinced some gullible people, including US politicians, that there was something going on: https://www.reddit.com/r/skeptic/s/p82r0FsKqf

    I seem to remember a certain illustrious poster occasionally harping on about how new, spectacular evidence was about to come out.

    Only for the 'evidence' to be rather... underwhelming.
  • NEW THREAD

  • The pagers, which Hezbollah had ordered from Gold Apollo in Taiwan, had been tampered with before they reached Lebanon, according to some of the officials. Most were the company’s AP924 model, though three other Gold Apollo models were also included in the shipment.

    The explosive material, as little as one to two ounces, was implanted next to the battery in each pager, two of the officials said. A switch was also embedded that could be triggered remotely to detonate the explosives.

    At 3:30 p.m. in Lebanon, the pagers received a message that appeared as though it was coming from Hezbollah’s leadership, two of the officials said. Instead, the message activated the explosives. Lebanon’s health minister told state media at least nine people were killed and more than 2,800 injured.

    The devices were programmed to beep for several seconds before exploding, according to three of the officials.

    Over 3,000 pagers were ordered from the Gold Apollo company in Taiwan, said several of the officials. Hezbollah distributed the pagers to their members throughout Lebanon, with some reaching Hezbollah allies in Iran and Syria. Israel’s attack affected the pagers that were switched on and receiving messages.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/17/world/middleeast/israel-hezbollah-pagers-explosives.html

    Iran’s ambassador to Lebanon was among 2,800 other people who were wounded by the simultaneous blasts in Beirut and several other regions.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cd7xnelvpepo

    Seems Hezbollah operatives are very good
    at keeping their beepers charged up, unlike most teenagers with their cellphones.

    So why does the Iranian ambassador have a communications device provided by a prescribed terrorist organisation?
  • So why does the Iranian ambassador have a communications device provided by a prescribed terrorist organisation?
    We know why...
  • Sandpit said:

    This is one of the most astonishing attacks in living memory.

    Doing it with a few dozen pagers would have been pretty damn impressive, but intercepting a shipment and modifying three thousand of them requires an unfathomable level of sophistication in both planning and execution.

    If it takes 10 minutes to modify each pager, that’s 500 man-hours just for the modifications themselves. Before that,
    someone must have needed to work out exactly what the device was, how it was to be modified, arranging materials, and training the execution team.
    My guess is that it was done at source, before it left the factory in Taiwan. But they don’t want to say that.
  • Nunu5Nunu5 Posts: 981
    Andy_JS said:

    It's a good idea to stagger school holidays, but I can't see Labour doing anything to annoy teachers.
    I think its a bad idea as some parents will have children at different schools. I think they would prefer holidays together. Better to cap airline prices.
This discussion has been closed.