Dear Prime Minister, I am afraid there is no money – politicalbetting.com
Comments
-
Politicalwire posts the following Morning Consult poll
Should Biden stand down? Yes - 60%
Who will you vote for? - Biden 45%, Trump 44%
If that poll is followed by others similar then Biden is going nowhere. I remember Chirac v LePen (senior) when the narrative was, 'I'll vote for the crook to beat the nazi.' In his case how many will decide even a doddery Biden is the less dangerous option?
BTW I think Biden should stand down.0 -
Lovely up here. Sunny with enough cloud not to be nasty. Have been down to the pond to inspect the amphibian exodus but obviously a bit too warm in the drying breeze to suit the little froglets and toadlets much.IanB2 said:
Same here.Anabobazina said:
It’s lovely down hereBartholomewRoberts said:
I want to cut the grass but it's too wet obviously so checked the weather forecast. Rain and highs of 16 consistently for the next seven days.SandyRentool said:People were expecting an autumn election.
Looking outside, it appears that we have one.
Joy.
Contrarians must get contrarian weather.0 -
Why Apple Music is highly profitable as is Amazon Music. And a triopoly is better than a Duopoly so no Government would allow the merger...BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I still think Amazon or Apple will end up buying Spotify at some point.FrancisUrquhart said:The 27 different streaming services won't last. They will consolidate.
Maybe I was being a bit OTT with the all writing ever. I mean more it becomes a central go to hub for a lot of different areas. The Readly site appears to be more we have done a deal with the couple of big magazine publishers to show their content digitally. Which yes is what Spotify does, but it also does more.0 -
Spotify have a big problem. The record companies have now decided that streaming is the only game in town, and willing to licence their catalogues to any service who can pay. So there is no exclusivity, no massive individual reason to choose Spotify over Apple Music.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I still think Amazon or Apple will end up buying Spotify at some point.FrancisUrquhart said:The 27 different streaming services won't last. They will consolidate.
Maybe I was being a bit OTT with the all writing ever. I mean more it becomes a central go to hub for a lot of different areas. The Readly site appears to be more we have done a deal with the couple of big magazine publishers to show their content digitally. Which yes is what Spotify does, but it also does more.
That is why they went for the exclusive podcast route, but it seems to have failed.
As a result all the music streaming services are basically the same price, same catalogue. The problem for Spotify is an Apple or Amazon can wait them out. Spotify had first mover advantage, but Apple can slow draw customers away with their bundled offers and they don't need to make money on music streaming anytime soon.1 -
I can fully accept the BBC wanting to televise the event so that music fans can watch.Andy_JS said:
And paying thousands of pound in order to do so.SandyRentool said:Just turned on the TV for the news.
BBC, Glastonbury.
Sky, Glastonbury.
Why do they get into such a wankfest over this every year?
The average viewer of a 24 hour news channel couldn't give a feck about a bunch of twats living in squalor for a week, and listening to bands they have never heard of.
But it is not news.
The news channels are not Smash Hits magazine.0 -
Yes. Look at that man with wild delusions, paranoia, and total loss of memory, plus insane hallucinations! He’s the ideal person to have control over America’s nukes!rottenborough said:
"if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours."Eabhal said:
I've been corrected - if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours.Nigelb said:
That's an interesting theory.Eabhal said:
Parkinson's (but with no tremor), but they aren't giving him the full whack of medication because the side effects would be too obvious. Would explain the on/off days.Dura_Ace said:
So what is it?Eabhal said:
But Biden has not shown any of those symptoms.Leon said:A big debate on Twitter - often amongst Democrats - about Biden’s alleged dementia. As they are discussing it - and using the D word - surely we can
Lots of them are desperate for him to step aside. One argument they are making is that dementia is not just about mumbling and slowing, which can indeed be handled by good advisors taking over most tasks. Some dementias turn you paranoid, angry, aggressive - they can make you hallucinate
Someone in that state simply cannot be POTUS. Not anywhere near it. Logically, Biden either has to prove he’s not got dementia or he has to go. If he doesn’t do either of these he is absolutely going to lose as Americans absorb this logic
Trump however...
(No doubt something is wrong with Biden but there are plenty of other options. My partner reckons she knows what it is, and she works in old age psych)
It raises the equation of how they spin the next off day that he has. 'A cold' doesn't really work.
So that would mean many more "off" hours during the election campaign. It does all feel a bit desperate tbh. Time for an Address to the Nation. We could even provide a diplomatic carrot and offer a holiday at Balmoral if he goes soon.
It varies from person to person to be honest.
But if he does have PD and the Dems are hiding this and this is later found out during the campaign then Trump can start loading his removal van with the gold golf clubs or whatever and head straight to the WH.
Later stages of PD can often include hallucinations, wild delusions and major memory issues.0 -
Do we know Apple Music is profitable? They don't release the numbers - but they unlike Spotify can be subsidised by selling hardware like most of Apple's services.eek said:
Why Apple Music is highly profitable as is Amazon Music. And a triopoly is better than a Duopoly so no Government would allow the merger...BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I still think Amazon or Apple will end up buying Spotify at some point.FrancisUrquhart said:The 27 different streaming services won't last. They will consolidate.
Maybe I was being a bit OTT with the all writing ever. I mean more it becomes a central go to hub for a lot of different areas. The Readly site appears to be more we have done a deal with the couple of big magazine publishers to show their content digitally. Which yes is what Spotify does, but it also does more.
For customers mainly.
Amazon Music has sod all customers unless you include Prime which is more "by accident" although very clever.0 -
3 postal votes in our household. Applied ages ago because all of us travel regularly for work.
As of this morning -
- no postal votes have arrived even though the letters informing us we would get them said they'd be sent out on the 19th.
- The council is only contactable on Monday.
- So need to ask for a replacement and hope that they arrive in time for us to post them back and that the post will deliver them back in time.
- One of us will likely be unable to use it anyway because work commitments make them unlikely to be able to return in time to fill it in (which would not have happened if they'd arrived on time).
- If the post does not work, all 3 of us lose the vote.
- Despite having the vote, we can't vote in person even if we're here on the 4th and our postal votes have not arrived.
- Our constituency is a marginal one. Not that any of the creeps vying for our vote have bothered canvassing.
We want to vote because services are crap and we'd like that to change but precisely because one vital service was flogged off to spivs and the other is incompetent there is a significant risk we won't be able to.
2 -
When I did my coastal walk, another guy was doing it in the other direction. He was Tom Isaacs, and he had early-onset Parkinsons, diagnosed at the age of 26. He had to take a cocktail of drugs every morning, and some days they did not work. He described having a scheduled meeting with one local worthy one morning (Tom's walk was raising money for Parkinsons research), but the drugs had not yet kicked in. A supporter had to help him walk to the meeting, and apparently the worthy thought it was all a con: if he could not walk to the meeting, how could he be walking the coast?rottenborough said:
"if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours."Eabhal said:
I've been corrected - if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours.Nigelb said:
That's an interesting theory.Eabhal said:
Parkinson's (but with no tremor), but they aren't giving him the full whack of medication because the side effects would be too obvious. Would explain the on/off days.Dura_Ace said:
So what is it?Eabhal said:
But Biden has not shown any of those symptoms.Leon said:A big debate on Twitter - often amongst Democrats - about Biden’s alleged dementia. As they are discussing it - and using the D word - surely we can
Lots of them are desperate for him to step aside. One argument they are making is that dementia is not just about mumbling and slowing, which can indeed be handled by good advisors taking over most tasks. Some dementias turn you paranoid, angry, aggressive - they can make you hallucinate
Someone in that state simply cannot be POTUS. Not anywhere near it. Logically, Biden either has to prove he’s not got dementia or he has to go. If he doesn’t do either of these he is absolutely going to lose as Americans absorb this logic
Trump however...
(No doubt something is wrong with Biden but there are plenty of other options. My partner reckons she knows what it is, and she works in old age psych)
It raises the equation of how they spin the next off day that he has. 'A cold' doesn't really work.
So that would mean many more "off" hours during the election campaign. It does all feel a bit desperate tbh. Time for an Address to the Nation. We could even provide a diplomatic carrot and offer a holiday at Balmoral if he goes soon.
It varies from person to person to be honest.
But if he does have PD and the Dems are hiding this and this is later found out during the campaign then Trump can start loading his removal van with the gold golf clubs or whatever and head straight to the WH.
Later stages of PD can often include hallucinations, wild delusions and major memory issues.
Tom was an amazing chap. I was in awe.
Parkinsons is a nasty little bugger. Early onset Parkinsons is tragic.
Edit: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_Isaacs_(fundraiser)4 -
It's a major part of most Apple One accounts..BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Do we know Apple Music is profitable? They don't release the numbers - but they unlike Spotify can be subsidised by selling hardware like most of Apple's services.eek said:
Why Apple Music is highly profitable as is Amazon Music. And a triopoly is better than a Duopoly so no Government would allow the merger...BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I still think Amazon or Apple will end up buying Spotify at some point.FrancisUrquhart said:The 27 different streaming services won't last. They will consolidate.
Maybe I was being a bit OTT with the all writing ever. I mean more it becomes a central go to hub for a lot of different areas. The Readly site appears to be more we have done a deal with the couple of big magazine publishers to show their content digitally. Which yes is what Spotify does, but it also does more.0 -
Well, speaking as one who voted Blair in 1997, voted Cameron in 2010, didn't vote Miliband in 2015, and am OK with Starmer (though not voting for him), the reason is that the Conservatives are not the party of 2010. They show no signs at all of going back to One Nation, socially liberal, Internationalist and environmentalist values. They look like they are going to sink further into reactionary, nativist autarky. So why on earth would I return to voting for them?biggles said:
Lost them for good? Why do you think they are different to the people who voted the Tories out in 1997 but voted Cameron in? Why are they different from the people who kicked out Brown, didn’t like how Milliband ate his sarnies, were terrified of Labour under Corbyn, but are ok with Starmer?BatteryCorrectHorse said:That focus group compared to the one in 2019 is really interesting.
I'm not sure I'd even go as far as saying "no enthusiasm" for SKS, actually to me it came across more like "he's dull but I want dull" and in the contrast to "loveable buffoon" they got in 2019, that's an asset SKS has. Polling of SKS's own ratings supports this.
I do think SKS was the best leader Labour could have chosen. He is underrated as a politician, he's got something and it appealed in some way to all of the voters they spoke to - or didn't repel anyone. I do wonder if for this reason the Tories will struggle against him if they go even more extreme.
This focus group has underlined my confidence that the Tories may well be out for a decade. They've lost these voters for good.1 -
I had a friend who worked at Spotify during the podcasting bit. It was an absolute disaster, they lost millions and millions and millions on it.FrancisUrquhart said:
Spotify have a big problem. The record companies have now decided that streaming is the only game in town, and willing to licence their catalogues to any service who can pay. So there is no exclusivity, no massive individual reason to choose Spotify over Apple Music.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I still think Amazon or Apple will end up buying Spotify at some point.FrancisUrquhart said:The 27 different streaming services won't last. They will consolidate.
Maybe I was being a bit OTT with the all writing ever. I mean more it becomes a central go to hub for a lot of different areas. The Readly site appears to be more we have done a deal with the couple of big magazine publishers to show their content digitally. Which yes is what Spotify does, but it also does more.
That is why they went for the exclusive podcast route, but it seems to have failed.
As a result all the music streaming services are basically the same price, same catalogue. The problem for Spotify is an Apple or Amazon can wait them out. Spotify had first mover advantage, but Apple can slow draw customers away with their bundled offers and they don't need to make money on music streaming anytime soon.
Spotify is still better cross-platform and has Connect which is still un-copied (I understood that it's some patent issue) but Apple has a captive platform with the iPhone. They do have an Android app but that's not pre-installed.
Spotify were going to charge extra for Lossless and then Apple pugged the rug from underneath them - Spotify's version is still unreleased so they were clearly caught off-guard.
Spotify like Google is one of the few things I know people actively download on an iPhone so I think they will have an advantage for some time. But I do agree Apple can wait.
I use Apple Music and find it objectively superior to Spotify.0 -
I’m not sure how Spotify’s thinking went, when they decided to let Rogan go back everywhere and try to monetise it, rather than keeping him as an exclusive on their platform.FrancisUrquhart said:
Spotify have a big problem. The record companies have now decided that streaming is the only game in town, and willing to licence their catalogues to any service who can pay. So there is no exclusivity, no massive individual reason to choose Spotify over Apple Music.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I still think Amazon or Apple will end up buying Spotify at some point.FrancisUrquhart said:The 27 different streaming services won't last. They will consolidate.
Maybe I was being a bit OTT with the all writing ever. I mean more it becomes a central go to hub for a lot of different areas. The Readly site appears to be more we have done a deal with the couple of big magazine publishers to show their content digitally. Which yes is what Spotify does, but it also does more.
That is why they went for the exclusive podcast route, but it seems to have failed.
As a result all the music streaming services are basically the same price, same catalogue. The problem for Spotify is an Apple or Amazon can wait them out. Spotify had first mover advantage, but Apple can slow draw customers away with their bundled offers and they don't need to make money on music streaming anytime soon.
I can only guess that they thought he was unlikey to draw a lot more additional subscribers, and so his value was more marginal than when he first signed, but they had to keep paying him otherwise he’d have gone for another exclusive somewhere else.
Pretty much every other exclusive podcast they signed went nowhere, and cost them a fortune.0 -
I know they say people drift rightward as they get older but...... ;-)Andy_JS said:New Statesman is currently predicting that Nick Palmer, Reform candidate in Hornchurch & Upminster, will be elected.
https://sotn.newstatesman.com/2024/05/britainpredicts
https://election.pressassociation.com/general-election/general-election-2024/4 -
And examining the neighbours' gardens and looking into the windows of the Wendy Houses to look for immigrant barracks.Northern_Al said:
Binocular owners and buyers are a key demographic for Reform, obviously. Only with binoculars can you fully enjoy standing on the cliffs of Dover watching those small boats in the distance.Foxy said:
I have been getting Reform ones while shopping for some new binoculars* online and keeping up with football gossip in the Leicester Mercury. It's about the only political advertising that I have seen.IanB2 said:
I've only been getting Green and Labour ones on FB.logical_song said:
Are they targeted at people like you?Casino_Royale said:On topic, I've had more Reform ads on Facebook than from the Conservatives.
And they don't come for free.
I've not seen any.
*I am toying with some image stabilised ones for birdwatching, the Canon 12x36 is perhaps, or something similar. Anyone on PB with any thoughts?0 -
Thanks. I thinkNigelb said:
You should give it a go.Leon said:
I have an American friend with a substack. I thought he was making beer money but we recently had a proper chat about it and he revealed he is making six figures. Incredible!FrancisUrquhart said:
Yes, some of those people are making far more than they ever would as a journalist with a mainstream publication.Sandpit said:
There’s also a lot of independents making serious bank from Substack.FrancisUrquhart said:
Its because the Guardian still struggling to make it all work in the modern landscape. Apparently they get a good chunk of their readership from online via US audience. For whatever reason they don't want to or aren't confident to go the full pay wall route, so they have gone the begging letter approach instead. If I was them, I would bite the bullet and go pay wall. Its works for Times, the NYT, the Athletic. People are willing to pay £5-10 a month for really good content.Roger said:
In all seriousness It had quite a good film critic which worked for me and those who subscribed found something they wanted. The subscription was also cheap and easy to cancel and was sent online so the mechanics plus the price worked. Oddly enough I find the Guardian the most irritating. I just send an arbitrary amount of money at different times as requested but it still manages to behave like a market trader and do a big selling job before I can read anythingFrancisUrquhart said:
I thought it was stuffed and has definitely gone downhill, but when we have discussed this previously have on here, have been reliably informed their move to paywall has gone surprisingly well and making money. 100 year olds don't generally know how to use ipads, so i think they have attracted those over who a tad younger than than that are capable of ipad usage.Roger said:
The raverage age of the readership of the Telegraph must be close to 100. Its rumoured Sheikh Mansour wants to turn it into a City fanzineFrancisUrquhart said:
Telegraph and Mail are profitable for starters, successfully moving to subscription model. Times is profitable as well.Roger said:FPT.
Roger said:
Interesting that those Tory Papers so openly admit their current irrelevance. Be interesting to see which of them are no longer around in their current form when the next election happensboulay said:The Mail’s editorial comment is saying what many of us thought it would. Don’t allow a “Starmageddon”, seriously don't vote reform, the Tories have actually done well under the circumstances. Labour will win but vote Tory to ensure a proper opposition to stop the worst of Starmer is a summary.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-13581819/Tories-say-right-angry-partys-errors-dont-let-anger-blind-perils-Starmerism.html
The Sun will likely say exactly the same and I’m guessing the Times, Telegraph and Express too. “Its lost but you need to still vote Tory to rein in Labour”.
I would say the biggest liability is Reach group i.e. Mirror. Mirror is irrelevant, and they bought all those regional newspapers that are failing.
I presume at some point we will get a Netflix / Spotify service for written content.
I think the landscape is if you have expert knowledge and you can provide it in a format that is interesting and entertaining, people will pay. You aren't trying to target a market of millions like a old school newspaper, you are trying to target the 1,000s or 10,000s that are really interested in whatever niche it is you know about.
He’s only got about 2000 subscribers but they are willing to pay $5-10 a month
I’m very tempted to have a go. It would mean I quit PB. I can hear the moans of despair already
I'm pretty sure you'd find at least that many punters.
I am generous enough to forego the pleasure of your gratis musings. Though not without a small pang.
I’ve actually been considering it for a while but sheer laziness and inertia have restrained me
But this guy making $150,000 a year doing three-four articles a month. wtf. He’s good at his job and he has a niche but I’ve got a feeling I could do as well as that - if I ever get off my fat butt
I’ve another friend doing the same in the UK. He’s more coy about his income but he will say “I’m making way more than I ever did as a normal journalist”
0 -
Surely it was just trying to recoup any money they'd lost.Sandpit said:
I’m not sure how Spotify’s thinking went, when they decided to let Rogan go back everywhere and try to monetise it, rather than keeping him as an exclusive on their platform.FrancisUrquhart said:
Spotify have a big problem. The record companies have now decided that streaming is the only game in town, and willing to licence their catalogues to any service who can pay. So there is no exclusivity, no massive individual reason to choose Spotify over Apple Music.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I still think Amazon or Apple will end up buying Spotify at some point.FrancisUrquhart said:The 27 different streaming services won't last. They will consolidate.
Maybe I was being a bit OTT with the all writing ever. I mean more it becomes a central go to hub for a lot of different areas. The Readly site appears to be more we have done a deal with the couple of big magazine publishers to show their content digitally. Which yes is what Spotify does, but it also does more.
That is why they went for the exclusive podcast route, but it seems to have failed.
As a result all the music streaming services are basically the same price, same catalogue. The problem for Spotify is an Apple or Amazon can wait them out. Spotify had first mover advantage, but Apple can slow draw customers away with their bundled offers and they don't need to make money on music streaming anytime soon.
I can only guess that they thought he was unlikey to draw a lot more additional subscribers, and so his value was more marginal than when he first signed, but they had to keep paying him otherwise he’d have gone for another exclusive somewhere else.
Pretty much every other exclusive podcast they signed went nowhere, and cost them a fortune.0 -
Yes, I have no probs with them providing streaming and commentary on iPlayer and Radio 1/radio 6. It’s the multiple cross promotional and back-scratching efforts that grate.SandyRentool said:
I can fully accept the BBC wanting to televise the event so that music fans can watch.Andy_JS said:
And paying thousands of pound in order to do so.SandyRentool said:Just turned on the TV for the news.
BBC, Glastonbury.
Sky, Glastonbury.
Why do they get into such a wankfest over this every year?
The average viewer of a 24 hour news channel couldn't give a feck about a bunch of twats living in squalor for a week, and listening to bands they have never heard of.
But it is not news.
The news channels are not Smash Hits magazine.
If you were a rival festival you would understandably be a bit miffed that Glastonbury gets wall to wall coverage and publicity and attention from the national broadcaster and that a multitude of the BBC’s on air staff and honchos go and stay there and will be talking on their shows or tweeting about it to everyone.
0 -
I hope all 18 pollsters will let us know which is to be their final definitive poll. PB needs a new GOLD STANDARD since Comm Res was taken over by Sevantawooliedyed said:
5 of the 18 pollsters most recent poll has them under 40 with the range 36 to 42 currentlySean_F said:Re Yougov, several polls have placed Labour under 40%, recently.
0 -
Other than housing etc (and all sorts of other things if you turn up on a boat illegally)eek said:
5 and 6 have already been sorted by Brexit. Now when you come to the UK regardless of whether you bring your wife and chidren you aren't getting benefits for a long time..MisterBedfordshire said:
Sort out 5 and 6 and the problem goes away.eek said:
5 and 6 should have been done in 2005 before the Eastern European countries were given access to freedom of movement.MisterBedfordshire said:
No I want them to get a toehold of a few MPs so that when Labour run into the sand and end up as unpopular as the Tories are now we will have an actually conservative party (which is far broader than Reform), shorn of libdem fifth columnists calling themselves centrists, willing to make the necessary reforms that Brexit now empowers Parliament to do.DougSeal said:Supporters of Reform on here. Assuming you want your “party” to control the executive and legislature does not the simple statement in the below link worry you about the democratic credentials of your man?
https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/11694875/persons-with-significant-control
If a man controls a “party” (in this case a limited company of said man who owns 8 out of its 13 shares) which has a majority in the Commons I would imagine that the principle of pleasing the leader is becomes the imperative.
1) Repeal ECHR membership.
2) Repeal Climate Change Act.
3) Repeal Equality Act and replace with bill of Rights (which will include measures to stop discrimination for whatever reason through measures similar to the common carrier legislation on Railways that stopped them refusing customers and stopped them charging different customers different amounts. (the common carrier legislation was the worlds first anti discrimination legislation)).
4) Abolish hate crime legislation and instead increase sentences on (non hate aggravated) offences to the levels of aggravated offences under hate crime legislation, with judges able to reduce them if mitigation applies.
5) Replace welfare system with contributory based welfare system. Min 5 years full NI contribtutions to get cover (unless child of contributor turning 18 in which case cover through parents for first five years). Transition period applies to avoid existing over 18 residents losing cover in first five years.
6) No NHS cover until 5 years full NI contributions unless cover through parents having such cover. Transition period as above.
7) All restrictions on migration dropped, however no enitlement to any state aid whatsoever for first five years.
If they do too well and get dozens of MPs it will be a disaster as all sorts of unsuitable people will get elected. This is a long game.
But stage 1 is a toehold and the Tories going the way of the Liberals in the 1920s.
But I would love to see how you could get any party to agree to point 7....0 -
They went crazy on signing podcaster to exclusive deals at massive valuations. But THE biggest of all of them, they ditch the exclusivity on, it doesn't make any sense.Sandpit said:
I’m not sure how Spotify’s thinking went, when they decided to let Rogan go back everywhere and try to monetise it, rather than keeping him as an exclusive on their platform.FrancisUrquhart said:
Spotify have a big problem. The record companies have now decided that streaming is the only game in town, and willing to licence their catalogues to any service who can pay. So there is no exclusivity, no massive individual reason to choose Spotify over Apple Music.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I still think Amazon or Apple will end up buying Spotify at some point.FrancisUrquhart said:The 27 different streaming services won't last. They will consolidate.
Maybe I was being a bit OTT with the all writing ever. I mean more it becomes a central go to hub for a lot of different areas. The Readly site appears to be more we have done a deal with the couple of big magazine publishers to show their content digitally. Which yes is what Spotify does, but it also does more.
That is why they went for the exclusive podcast route, but it seems to have failed.
As a result all the music streaming services are basically the same price, same catalogue. The problem for Spotify is an Apple or Amazon can wait them out. Spotify had first mover advantage, but Apple can slow draw customers away with their bundled offers and they don't need to make money on music streaming anytime soon.
I can only guess that they thought he was unlikey to draw a lot more additional subscribers, and so his value was more marginal than when he first signed, but they had to keep paying him otherwise he’d have gone for another exclusive somewhere else.
Pretty much every other exclusive podcast they signed went nowhere, and cost them a fortune.
They are claiming now podcasts now make them money,
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-688845011 -
I think it's fair enough to cover it in the same way the football gets covered.SandyRentool said:
I can fully accept the BBC wanting to televise the event so that music fans can watch.Andy_JS said:
And paying thousands of pound in order to do so.SandyRentool said:Just turned on the TV for the news.
BBC, Glastonbury.
Sky, Glastonbury.
Why do they get into such a wankfest over this every year?
The average viewer of a 24 hour news channel couldn't give a feck about a bunch of twats living in squalor for a week, and listening to bands they have never heard of.
But it is not news.
The news channels are not Smash Hits magazine.2 -
I think the problem with Glastonbury is the same problem the Hay Festival has for books suffers from. It is so big, so important, that it attracts the media in such a way that it dwarfs everything else in their attention. Music festivals don't interest me, but there are lots of book festivals around, and Hay seems to swallow up all the PR. It's about saying you've 'done' Glasto or Hay, rather than getting anything out of the festival. Everything else gets ignored.
I'd rather go to a smaller festival than Hay and actually get to talk to people.1 -
And we're sticking with the (EU) withdrawal method.SandyRentool said:
I'm going for a haircut on polling day.Tweedledee said:I have briskly voted. Won't know what to do with myself on Thursday
"Something for the weekend sir?"
"Yes please - a Labour government!"0 -
Yes the polls are crucialClutch_Brompton said:Politicalwire posts the following Morning Consult poll
Should Biden stand down? Yes - 60%
Who will you vote for? - Biden 45%, Trump 44%
If that poll is followed by others similar then Biden is going nowhere. I remember Chirac v LePen (senior) when the narrative was, 'I'll vote for the crook to beat the nazi.' In his case how many will decide even a doddery Biden is the less dangerous option?
BTW I think Biden should stand down.
There was one last night, however, which was much much worse for Biden. Showed a 10 point post debate swing to Trump IIRC
Which to believe?
And what if Biden gets much worse still in the coming months? It seems quite likely. He’s certainly not going to get BETTER
0 -
The whole situation is a highly dangerous mess. Neither is fit to be president.Leon said:
Yes. Look at that man with wild delusions, paranoia, and total loss of memory, plus insane hallucinations! He’s the ideal person to have control over America’s nukes!rottenborough said:
"if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours."Eabhal said:
I've been corrected - if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours.Nigelb said:
That's an interesting theory.Eabhal said:
Parkinson's (but with no tremor), but they aren't giving him the full whack of medication because the side effects would be too obvious. Would explain the on/off days.Dura_Ace said:
So what is it?Eabhal said:
But Biden has not shown any of those symptoms.Leon said:A big debate on Twitter - often amongst Democrats - about Biden’s alleged dementia. As they are discussing it - and using the D word - surely we can
Lots of them are desperate for him to step aside. One argument they are making is that dementia is not just about mumbling and slowing, which can indeed be handled by good advisors taking over most tasks. Some dementias turn you paranoid, angry, aggressive - they can make you hallucinate
Someone in that state simply cannot be POTUS. Not anywhere near it. Logically, Biden either has to prove he’s not got dementia or he has to go. If he doesn’t do either of these he is absolutely going to lose as Americans absorb this logic
Trump however...
(No doubt something is wrong with Biden but there are plenty of other options. My partner reckons she knows what it is, and she works in old age psych)
It raises the equation of how they spin the next off day that he has. 'A cold' doesn't really work.
So that would mean many more "off" hours during the election campaign. It does all feel a bit desperate tbh. Time for an Address to the Nation. We could even provide a diplomatic carrot and offer a holiday at Balmoral if he goes soon.
It varies from person to person to be honest.
But if he does have PD and the Dems are hiding this and this is later found out during the campaign then Trump can start loading his removal van with the gold golf clubs or whatever and head straight to the WH.
Later stages of PD can often include hallucinations, wild delusions and major memory issues.0 -
I shall proclaim on Wednesday, all else is noiseRoger said:
I hope all 18 pollsters will let us know which is to be their final definitive poll. PB needs a new GOLD STANDARD since Comm Res was taken over by Sevantawooliedyed said:
5 of the 18 pollsters most recent poll has them under 40 with the range 36 to 42 currentlySean_F said:Re Yougov, several polls have placed Labour under 40%, recently.
1 -
The BBC gets weird fixations on certain things (Glasto, Dr Who the two most egregious) whereby they think that 90% of the country shares their enthusiasm, rather than the more likely 2-5% of middle class white males. I'm not sure if it is because they think it will bring a vibrant young audience to the channel and make it "relevant", or whether it's because the aged old white blokes in charge of the Beeb are reliving their youth.boulay said:
It’s not in the top ten of biggest music festivals and not even the biggest in UK.Anabobazina said:
Another PBer who gets weirdly triggered by Glastonbury. It is the world’s biggest music festival. It is newsworthy.SandyRentool said:Just turned on the TV for the news.
BBC, Glastonbury.
Sky, Glastonbury.
Why do they get into such a wankfest over this every year?
The average viewer of a 24 hour news channel couldn't give a feck about a bunch of twats living in squalor for a week, and listening to bands they have never heard of.
https://metro.co.uk/2024/06/27/glastonbury-biggest-music-festival-world-21113741/#:~:text=That would be Creamfields, which,arts festival in the world.2 -
Anyone interested in Glastonbury will be watching the coverage on another channel. Not watching the news channel in the hope of a snippet from a reporter in a field.Anabobazina said:
Indeed. Covering major live events is something the BBC should do more of, not less. Its thin sports output is anBenpointer said:
And a big success story for the UK, surely?Anabobazina said:
Another PBer who gets weirdly triggered by Glastonbury. It is the world’s biggest music festival. It is newsworthy.SandyRentool said:Just turned on the TV for the news.
BBC, Glastonbury.
Sky, Glastonbury.
Why do they get into such a wankfest over this every year?
The average viewer of a 24 hour news channel couldn't give a feck about a bunch of twats living in squalor for a week, and listening to bands they have never heard of.
embarrassment these days, its political coverage increasingly poor. It does well at Glastonbury - a rare gem!0 -
Readly does have a few newspapers - but it's pretty limited. Press Reader has most newspapers, but is nearly £30.FrancisUrquhart said:nova said:
All music is big, but all writing is a lot bigger.FrancisUrquhart said:
I actually hadn't heard of Readly. But they are all the traditional magazines. I was thinking something bigger. Spotify is now basically an open platform for artists to upload their music to. At the moment we have numerous different bits and pieces, substack, newspapers, traditional magazines, new expert written content like an Athletic.nova said:
I assume with the Guardian, being owned by a Trust, that readership, and open access, is prized more highly than at a newspaper with an owner. So long as they're not going bust, and have the money to spend on journalism, they would want as many people to be able to read as possible, and for people who can't afford to pay, to still access the site.FrancisUrquhart said:
Its because the Guardian still struggling to make it all work in the modern landscape. Apparently they get a good chunk of their readership from online via US audience. For whatever reason they don't want to or aren't confident to go the full pay wall route, so they have gone the begging letter approach instead. If I was them, I would bite the bullet and go pay wall. Its works for Times, the NYT, the Athletic. People are willing to pay £5-10 a month for really good content.Roger said:
In all seriousness It had quite a good film critic which worked for me and those who subscribed found something they wanted. The subscription was also cheap and easy to cancel and was sent online so the mechanics plus the price worked. Oddly enough I find the Guardian the most irritating. I just send an arbitrary amount of money at different times as requested but it still manages to behave like a market trader and do a big selling job before I can read anythingFrancisUrquhart said:
I thought it was stuffed and has definitely gone downhill, but when we have discussed this previously have on here, have been reliably informed their move to paywall has gone surprisingly well and making money. 100 year olds don't generally know how to use ipads, so i think they have attracted those over who a tad younger than than that are capable of ipad usage.Roger said:
The raverage age of the readership of the Telegraph must be close to 100. Its rumoured Sheikh Mansour wants to turn it into a City fanzineFrancisUrquhart said:
Telegraph and Mail are profitable for starters, successfully moving to subscription model. Times is profitable as well.Roger said:FPT.
Roger said:
Interesting that those Tory Papers so openly admit their current irrelevance. Be interesting to see which of them are no longer around in their current form when the next election happensboulay said:The Mail’s editorial comment is saying what many of us thought it would. Don’t allow a “Starmageddon”, seriously don't vote reform, the Tories have actually done well under the circumstances. Labour will win but vote Tory to ensure a proper opposition to stop the worst of Starmer is a summary.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-13581819/Tories-say-right-angry-partys-errors-dont-let-anger-blind-perils-Starmerism.html
The Sun will likely say exactly the same and I’m guessing the Times, Telegraph and Express too. “Its lost but you need to still vote Tory to rein in Labour”.
I would say the biggest liability is Reach group i.e. Mirror. Mirror is irrelevant, and they bought all those regional newspapers that are failing.
I presume at some point we will get a Netflix / Spotify service for written content.
They do also have paid access, which avoids the begging letter route.
As for Netflix/Spotify, wouldn't Readly and PressReader be those services?
The reason everybody has Spotify or the couple of other services is it is now basically all music ever all in one place.
All TV and film would have been nice too, but I now have half a dozen services, which added together don't give me anything like the access to films that the old dvd by post system had.
The 27 different streaming services won't last. They will consolidate.
Maybe I was being a bit OTT with the all writing ever. I mean more it becomes a central go to hub for a lot of different areas. The Readly site appears to be more we have done a deal with the couple of big magazine publishers to show their content digitally. Which yes is what Spotify does, but it also does more. And as I say, this "expert" or "niche" thing is big. I think it is why some traditional magazines are still able to stand on their own, because they are seen as the expert, where as others are struggling / dying. I guess a good example is tech magazines or games, they are all struggling, because the magazines are basically trash. But people are more interested than ever and you get the mega YouTube sites for tech or games.
I would quite like to have a one payment for most content, but where it's already digital it's a bit trickier - If you can already paywall your content and have a readership, then putting it into a consolidated package is likely to lose you money.
A lot of the smaller/medium sized artists that weren't making much through Spotify, have now moved on to sites like Patreon.0 -
You missed the chance to be author turned withering critic of overly woke tv / movies...that Critical Drinker guy have managed to go from middling author of action novels found in airport bookshops to making masses ripping the shit out of how crap most modern tv and movies are.Leon said:
Thanks. I thinkNigelb said:
You should give it a go.Leon said:
I have an American friend with a substack. I thought he was making beer money but we recently had a proper chat about it and he revealed he is making six figures. Incredible!FrancisUrquhart said:
Yes, some of those people are making far more than they ever would as a journalist with a mainstream publication.Sandpit said:
There’s also a lot of independents making serious bank from Substack.FrancisUrquhart said:
Its because the Guardian still struggling to make it all work in the modern landscape. Apparently they get a good chunk of their readership from online via US audience. For whatever reason they don't want to or aren't confident to go the full pay wall route, so they have gone the begging letter approach instead. If I was them, I would bite the bullet and go pay wall. Its works for Times, the NYT, the Athletic. People are willing to pay £5-10 a month for really good content.Roger said:
In all seriousness It had quite a good film critic which worked for me and those who subscribed found something they wanted. The subscription was also cheap and easy to cancel and was sent online so the mechanics plus the price worked. Oddly enough I find the Guardian the most irritating. I just send an arbitrary amount of money at different times as requested but it still manages to behave like a market trader and do a big selling job before I can read anythingFrancisUrquhart said:
I thought it was stuffed and has definitely gone downhill, but when we have discussed this previously have on here, have been reliably informed their move to paywall has gone surprisingly well and making money. 100 year olds don't generally know how to use ipads, so i think they have attracted those over who a tad younger than than that are capable of ipad usage.Roger said:
The raverage age of the readership of the Telegraph must be close to 100. Its rumoured Sheikh Mansour wants to turn it into a City fanzineFrancisUrquhart said:
Telegraph and Mail are profitable for starters, successfully moving to subscription model. Times is profitable as well.Roger said:FPT.
Roger said:
Interesting that those Tory Papers so openly admit their current irrelevance. Be interesting to see which of them are no longer around in their current form when the next election happensboulay said:The Mail’s editorial comment is saying what many of us thought it would. Don’t allow a “Starmageddon”, seriously don't vote reform, the Tories have actually done well under the circumstances. Labour will win but vote Tory to ensure a proper opposition to stop the worst of Starmer is a summary.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-13581819/Tories-say-right-angry-partys-errors-dont-let-anger-blind-perils-Starmerism.html
The Sun will likely say exactly the same and I’m guessing the Times, Telegraph and Express too. “Its lost but you need to still vote Tory to rein in Labour”.
I would say the biggest liability is Reach group i.e. Mirror. Mirror is irrelevant, and they bought all those regional newspapers that are failing.
I presume at some point we will get a Netflix / Spotify service for written content.
I think the landscape is if you have expert knowledge and you can provide it in a format that is interesting and entertaining, people will pay. You aren't trying to target a market of millions like a old school newspaper, you are trying to target the 1,000s or 10,000s that are really interested in whatever niche it is you know about.
He’s only got about 2000 subscribers but they are willing to pay $5-10 a month
I’m very tempted to have a go. It would mean I quit PB. I can hear the moans of despair already
I'm pretty sure you'd find at least that many punters.
I am generous enough to forego the pleasure of your gratis musings. Though not without a small pang.
I’ve actually been considering it for a while but sheer laziness and inertia have restrained me
But this guy making $150,000 a year doing three-four articles a month. wtf. He’s good at his job and he has a niche but I’ve got a feeling I could do as well as that - if I ever get off my fat butt
I’ve another friend doing the same in the UK. He’s more coy about his income but he will say “I’m making way more than I ever did as a normal journalist”0 -
You've changed the goal posts there - none of your original items mentioned housing or illegal migrants..MisterBedfordshire said:
Other than housing etc (and all sorts of other things if you turn up on a boat illegally)eek said:
5 and 6 have already been sorted by Brexit. Now when you come to the UK regardless of whether you bring your wife and chidren you aren't getting benefits for a long time..MisterBedfordshire said:
Sort out 5 and 6 and the problem goes away.eek said:
5 and 6 should have been done in 2005 before the Eastern European countries were given access to freedom of movement.MisterBedfordshire said:
No I want them to get a toehold of a few MPs so that when Labour run into the sand and end up as unpopular as the Tories are now we will have an actually conservative party (which is far broader than Reform), shorn of libdem fifth columnists calling themselves centrists, willing to make the necessary reforms that Brexit now empowers Parliament to do.DougSeal said:Supporters of Reform on here. Assuming you want your “party” to control the executive and legislature does not the simple statement in the below link worry you about the democratic credentials of your man?
https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/11694875/persons-with-significant-control
If a man controls a “party” (in this case a limited company of said man who owns 8 out of its 13 shares) which has a majority in the Commons I would imagine that the principle of pleasing the leader is becomes the imperative.
1) Repeal ECHR membership.
2) Repeal Climate Change Act.
3) Repeal Equality Act and replace with bill of Rights (which will include measures to stop discrimination for whatever reason through measures similar to the common carrier legislation on Railways that stopped them refusing customers and stopped them charging different customers different amounts. (the common carrier legislation was the worlds first anti discrimination legislation)).
4) Abolish hate crime legislation and instead increase sentences on (non hate aggravated) offences to the levels of aggravated offences under hate crime legislation, with judges able to reduce them if mitigation applies.
5) Replace welfare system with contributory based welfare system. Min 5 years full NI contribtutions to get cover (unless child of contributor turning 18 in which case cover through parents for first five years). Transition period applies to avoid existing over 18 residents losing cover in first five years.
6) No NHS cover until 5 years full NI contributions unless cover through parents having such cover. Transition period as above.
7) All restrictions on migration dropped, however no enitlement to any state aid whatsoever for first five years.
If they do too well and get dozens of MPs it will be a disaster as all sorts of unsuitable people will get elected. This is a long game.
But stage 1 is a toehold and the Tories going the way of the Liberals in the 1920s.
But I would love to see how you could get any party to agree to point 7....0 -
Especially as Labour plan to tax condoms.Theuniondivvie said:
And we're sticking with the (EU) withdrawal method.SandyRentool said:
I'm going for a haircut on polling day.Tweedledee said:I have briskly voted. Won't know what to do with myself on Thursday
"Something for the weekend sir?"
"Yes please - a Labour government!"
Oh, wait... that's non-doms, my mistake.
https://x.com/JAHeale/status/18062387485369223860 -
And five years of Labour will barely move the dial on those issues.dixiedean said:MisterBedfordshire said:
No I want them to get a toehold of a few MPs so that when Labour run into the sand and end up as unpopular as the Tories are now we will have an actually conservative party (which is far broader than Reform), shorn of libdem fifth columnists calling themselves centrists, willing to make the necessary reforms that Brexit now empowers Parliament to do.DougSeal said:Supporters of Reform on here. Assuming you want your “party” to control the executive and legislature does not the simple statement in the below link worry you about the democratic credentials of your man?
https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/11694875/persons-with-significant-control
If a man controls a “party” (in this case a limited company of said man who owns 8 out of its 13 shares) which has a majority in the Commons I would imagine that the principle of pleasing the leader is becomes the imperative.
1) Repeal ECHR membership.
2) Repeal Climate Change Act.
3) Repeal Equality Act and replace with bill of Rights (which will include measures to stop discrimination for whatever reason through measures similar to the common carrier legislation on Railways that stopped them refusing customers and stopped them charging different customers different amounts. (the common carrier legislation was the worlds first anti discrimination legislation)).
4) Abolish hate crime legislation and instead increase sentences on (non hate aggravated) offences to the levels of aggravated offences under hate crime legislation, with judges able to reduce them if mitigation applies.
5) Replace welfare system with contributory based welfare system. Min 5 years full NI contribtutions to get cover (unless child of contributor turning 18 in which case cover through parents for first five years). Transition period applies to avoid existing over 18 residents losing cover in first five years.
6) No NHS cover until 5 years full NI contributions unless cover through parents having such cover. Transition period as above.
7) All restrictions on migration dropped, however no enitlement to any state aid whatsoever for first five years.
If they do too well and get dozens of MPs it will be a disaster as all sorts of unsuitable people will get elected. This is a long game.
But stage 1 is a toehold and the Tories going the way of the Liberals in the 1920s.
But folk are concerned that full time work doesn't pay their bills. And that they can't get a doctor's appointment. Or a dentist at all.MisterBedfordshire said:
No I want them to get a toehold of a few MPs so that when Labour run into the sand and end up as unpopular as the Tories are now we will have an actually conservative party (which is far broader than Reform), shorn of libdem fifth columnists calling themselves centrists, willing to make the necessary reforms that Brexit now empowers Parliament to do.DougSeal said:Supporters of Reform on here. Assuming you want your “party” to control the executive and legislature does not the simple statement in the below link worry you about the democratic credentials of your man?
https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/11694875/persons-with-significant-control
If a man controls a “party” (in this case a limited company of said man who owns 8 out of its 13 shares) which has a majority in the Commons I would imagine that the principle of pleasing the leader is becomes the imperative.
1) Repeal ECHR membership.
2) Repeal Climate Change Act.
3) Repeal Equality Act and replace with bill of Rights (which will include measures to stop discrimination for whatever reason through measures similar to the common carrier legislation on Railways that stopped them refusing customers and stopped them charging different customers different amounts. (the common carrier legislation was the worlds first anti discrimination legislation)).
4) Abolish hate crime legislation and instead increase sentences on (non hate aggravated) offences to the levels of aggravated offences under hate crime legislation, with judges able to reduce them if mitigation applies.
5) Replace welfare system with contributory based welfare system. Min 5 years full NI contribtutions to get cover (unless child of contributor turning 18 in which case cover through parents for first five years). Transition period applies to avoid existing over 18 residents losing cover in first five years.
6) No NHS cover until 5 years full NI contributions unless cover through parents having such cover. Transition period as above.
7) All restrictions on migration dropped, however no enitlement to any state aid whatsoever for first five years.
If they do too well and get dozens of MPs it will be a disaster as all sorts of unsuitable people will get elected. This is a long game.
But stage 1 is a toehold and the Tories going the way of the Liberals in the 1920s.
This explains the coming election result.
Not that Reform will consequently prosper. They are "none of the above" led by a dodgy Putin-enamoured racist gobshite, skin stretched tight over ego but little else. Their fate is to become part of "above".2 -
And then you will have the presenters like Mishal Husain having to find some nervous enthusiasm when the Glastonbury segment comes up on “Today” where she sort of knows she supposed to be really into it and enthusiastic but isn’t really sure why as she’s not going to be watching it at all and will be having a nice day with the family and dinner with friends, maybe a bit of Goldfrapp on in the background.TOPPING said:
The BBC gets weird fixations on certain things (Glasto, Dr Who the two most egregious) whereby they think that 90% of the country shares their enthusiasm, rather than the more likely 2-5% of middle class white males. I'm not sure if it is because they think it will bring a vibrant young audience to the channel and make it "relevant", or whether it's because the aged old white blokes in charge of the Beeb are reliving their youth.boulay said:
It’s not in the top ten of biggest music festivals and not even the biggest in UK.Anabobazina said:
Another PBer who gets weirdly triggered by Glastonbury. It is the world’s biggest music festival. It is newsworthy.SandyRentool said:Just turned on the TV for the news.
BBC, Glastonbury.
Sky, Glastonbury.
Why do they get into such a wankfest over this every year?
The average viewer of a 24 hour news channel couldn't give a feck about a bunch of twats living in squalor for a week, and listening to bands they have never heard of.
https://metro.co.uk/2024/06/27/glastonbury-biggest-music-festival-world-21113741/#:~:text=That would be Creamfields, which,arts festival in the world.
0 -
Whilst it’s not always the case, a good thing to look for when they go nuts about an event or programme is whether the BBC have the rights to the coverage or make the programme.TOPPING said:
The BBC gets weird fixations on certain things (Glasto, Dr Who the two most egregious) whereby they think that 90% of the country shares their enthusiasm, rather than the more likely 2-5% of middle class white males. I'm not sure if it is because they think it will bring a vibrant young audience to the channel and make it "relevant", or whether it's because the aged old white blokes in charge of the Beeb are reliving their youth.boulay said:
It’s not in the top ten of biggest music festivals and not even the biggest in UK.Anabobazina said:
Another PBer who gets weirdly triggered by Glastonbury. It is the world’s biggest music festival. It is newsworthy.SandyRentool said:Just turned on the TV for the news.
BBC, Glastonbury.
Sky, Glastonbury.
Why do they get into such a wankfest over this every year?
The average viewer of a 24 hour news channel couldn't give a feck about a bunch of twats living in squalor for a week, and listening to bands they have never heard of.
https://metro.co.uk/2024/06/27/glastonbury-biggest-music-festival-world-21113741/#:~:text=That would be Creamfields, which,arts festival in the world.
They are shameless cross promoters and love setting the agenda around their own programming.0 -
Sheds with beds. You see plenty of them on final approach into Heathrow.Carnyx said:
And examining the neighbours' gardens and looking into the windows of the Wendy Houses to look for immigrant barracks.Northern_Al said:
Binocular owners and buyers are a key demographic for Reform, obviously. Only with binoculars can you fully enjoy standing on the cliffs of Dover watching those small boats in the distance.Foxy said:
I have been getting Reform ones while shopping for some new binoculars* online and keeping up with football gossip in the Leicester Mercury. It's about the only political advertising that I have seen.IanB2 said:
I've only been getting Green and Labour ones on FB.logical_song said:
Are they targeted at people like you?Casino_Royale said:On topic, I've had more Reform ads on Facebook than from the Conservatives.
And they don't come for free.
I've not seen any.
*I am toying with some image stabilised ones for birdwatching, the Canon 12x36 is perhaps, or something similar. Anyone on PB with any thoughts?0 -
That variability is a fairly normal experience for disabled people.JosiasJessop said:
When I did my coastal walk, another guy was doing it in the other direction. He was Tom Isaacs, and he had early-onset Parkinsons, diagnosed at the age of 26. He had to take a cocktail of drugs every morning, and some days they did not work. He described having a scheduled meeting with one local worthy one morning (Tom's walk was raising money for Parkinsons research), but the drugs had not yet kicked in. A supporter had to help him walk to the meeting, and apparently the worthy thought it was all a con: if he could not walk to the meeting, how could he be walking the coast?rottenborough said:
"if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours."Eabhal said:
I've been corrected - if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours.Nigelb said:
That's an interesting theory.Eabhal said:
Parkinson's (but with no tremor), but they aren't giving him the full whack of medication because the side effects would be too obvious. Would explain the on/off days.Dura_Ace said:
So what is it?Eabhal said:
But Biden has not shown any of those symptoms.Leon said:A big debate on Twitter - often amongst Democrats - about Biden’s alleged dementia. As they are discussing it - and using the D word - surely we can
Lots of them are desperate for him to step aside. One argument they are making is that dementia is not just about mumbling and slowing, which can indeed be handled by good advisors taking over most tasks. Some dementias turn you paranoid, angry, aggressive - they can make you hallucinate
Someone in that state simply cannot be POTUS. Not anywhere near it. Logically, Biden either has to prove he’s not got dementia or he has to go. If he doesn’t do either of these he is absolutely going to lose as Americans absorb this logic
Trump however...
(No doubt something is wrong with Biden but there are plenty of other options. My partner reckons she knows what it is, and she works in old age psych)
It raises the equation of how they spin the next off day that he has. 'A cold' doesn't really work.
So that would mean many more "off" hours during the election campaign. It does all feel a bit desperate tbh. Time for an Address to the Nation. We could even provide a diplomatic carrot and offer a holiday at Balmoral if he goes soon.
It varies from person to person to be honest.
But if he does have PD and the Dems are hiding this and this is later found out during the campaign then Trump can start loading his removal van with the gold golf clubs or whatever and head straight to the WH.
Later stages of PD can often include hallucinations, wild delusions and major memory issues.
Tom was an amazing chap. I was in awe.
Parkinsons is a nasty little bugger. Early onset Parkinsons is tragic.
Edit: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_Isaacs_(fundraiser)
An example I think I quoted here was someone with Fibromyalgia looking for a recent Sunday half day cycling route of 35 miles, who is unable to lift her cycle up 2 steps without a lot of pain, or often walk far at all.
And it all varies day by day. One problem she may get will be with the lack of expertise in the Benefit processes. The poorly skilled assessor will go something like "but you can ride a bike so you must be fine right cross, so you have no entitlement". That happens repeatedly with people known to me, so a lot of them keep quiet quiet as they know they may be punished for it.
That kind of subtlety is beyond (whether actually or conveniently) the comprehension of the likes of Reform and the current senior generation of Loboto-Tories.
I'll get a similar variable ability next time my Hairy Cell Leukemia kicks off, but that will be years away and will knock me over completely (ie in bed most of the day due to no energy due to inability of blood to carry it) for a couple of months until re-treated.3 -
Really they are only doing what most media will do e.g. ITV don't miss an opportunity to plug Britain Got Talent or I'm a Celeb or Sky with any big sporting event they have the righrs to.numbertwelve said:
Whilst it’s not always the case, a good thing to look for when they go nuts about an event or programme is whether the BBC have the rights to the coverage or make the programme.TOPPING said:
The BBC gets weird fixations on certain things (Glasto, Dr Who the two most egregious) whereby they think that 90% of the country shares their enthusiasm, rather than the more likely 2-5% of middle class white males. I'm not sure if it is because they think it will bring a vibrant young audience to the channel and make it "relevant", or whether it's because the aged old white blokes in charge of the Beeb are reliving their youth.boulay said:
It’s not in the top ten of biggest music festivals and not even the biggest in UK.Anabobazina said:
Another PBer who gets weirdly triggered by Glastonbury. It is the world’s biggest music festival. It is newsworthy.SandyRentool said:Just turned on the TV for the news.
BBC, Glastonbury.
Sky, Glastonbury.
Why do they get into such a wankfest over this every year?
The average viewer of a 24 hour news channel couldn't give a feck about a bunch of twats living in squalor for a week, and listening to bands they have never heard of.
https://metro.co.uk/2024/06/27/glastonbury-biggest-music-festival-world-21113741/#:~:text=That would be Creamfields, which,arts festival in the world.
They are shameless cross promoters and love setting the agenda around their own programming.0 -
Where does this idea Nigel Farage answers questions come from? He's just as slippery as Johnson.0
-
She risks making herself look like the villain instead of his staunchest supporter. The fact that she looks very good for her age makes the contast with Joe here even more stark:rottenborough said:Jill Biden says she's all in for keeping Joe in the race.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/28/us/politics/jill-biden-says-she-reassured-the-president-in-the-moments-after-a-dismal-debate.html
FFS. This is bloody madness.
https://x.com/rncresearch/status/18067377700706266400 -
But you’re making exactly my point. In the end they, or their centre right successors, will find a popular platform.Foxy said:
Well, speaking as one who voted Blair in 1997, voted Cameron in 2010, didn't vote Miliband in 2015, and am OK with Starmer (though not voting for him), the reason is that the Conservatives are not the party of 2010. They show no signs at all of going back to One Nation, socially liberal, Internationalist and environmentalist values. They look like they are going to sink further into reactionary, nativist autarky. So why on earth would I return to voting for them?biggles said:
Lost them for good? Why do you think they are different to the people who voted the Tories out in 1997 but voted Cameron in? Why are they different from the people who kicked out Brown, didn’t like how Milliband ate his sarnies, were terrified of Labour under Corbyn, but are ok with Starmer?BatteryCorrectHorse said:That focus group compared to the one in 2019 is really interesting.
I'm not sure I'd even go as far as saying "no enthusiasm" for SKS, actually to me it came across more like "he's dull but I want dull" and in the contrast to "loveable buffoon" they got in 2019, that's an asset SKS has. Polling of SKS's own ratings supports this.
I do think SKS was the best leader Labour could have chosen. He is underrated as a politician, he's got something and it appealed in some way to all of the voters they spoke to - or didn't repel anyone. I do wonder if for this reason the Tories will struggle against him if they go even more extreme.
This focus group has underlined my confidence that the Tories may well be out for a decade. They've lost these voters for good.
It’s a bit easier for them now as well because Europe is a non-debate. It will soon become apparent that rejoining, or entering the single market, are non-starters and a consensus will emerge. No need to bang on about it.
0 -
Can you request a proxy vote for any that cannot vote in person themselves?DeclanF said:3 postal votes in our household. Applied ages ago because all of us travel regularly for work.
As of this morning -
- no postal votes have arrived even though the letters informing us we would get them said they'd be sent out on the 19th.
- The council is only contactable on Monday.
- So need to ask for a replacement and hope that they arrive in time for us to post them back and that the post will deliver them back in time.
- One of us will likely be unable to use it anyway because work commitments make them unlikely to be able to return in time to fill it in (which would not have happened if they'd arrived on time).
- If the post does not work, all 3 of us lose the vote.
- Despite having the vote, we can't vote in person even if we're here on the 4th and our postal votes have not arrived.
- Our constituency is a marginal one. Not that any of the creeps vying for our vote have bothered canvassing.
We want to vote because services are crap and we'd like that to change but precisely because one vital service was flogged off to spivs and the other is incompetent there is a significant risk we won't be able to.
0 -
Just imagining how Mr T would do with the Youtube prissiness-censor if he tried therenova said:
Readly does have a few newspapers - but it's pretty limited. Press Reader has most newspapers, but is nearly £30.FrancisUrquhart said:nova said:
All music is big, but all writing is a lot bigger.FrancisUrquhart said:
I actually hadn't heard of Readly. But they are all the traditional magazines. I was thinking something bigger. Spotify is now basically an open platform for artists to upload their music to. At the moment we have numerous different bits and pieces, substack, newspapers, traditional magazines, new expert written content like an Athletic.nova said:
I assume with the Guardian, being owned by a Trust, that readership, and open access, is prized more highly than at a newspaper with an owner. So long as they're not going bust, and have the money to spend on journalism, they would want as many people to be able to read as possible, and for people who can't afford to pay, to still access the site.FrancisUrquhart said:
Its because the Guardian still struggling to make it all work in the modern landscape. Apparently they get a good chunk of their readership from online via US audience. For whatever reason they don't want to or aren't confident to go the full pay wall route, so they have gone the begging letter approach instead. If I was them, I would bite the bullet and go pay wall. Its works for Times, the NYT, the Athletic. People are willing to pay £5-10 a month for really good content.Roger said:
In all seriousness It had quite a good film critic which worked for me and those who subscribed found something they wanted. The subscription was also cheap and easy to cancel and was sent online so the mechanics plus the price worked. Oddly enough I find the Guardian the most irritating. I just send an arbitrary amount of money at different times as requested but it still manages to behave like a market trader and do a big selling job before I can read anythingFrancisUrquhart said:
I thought it was stuffed and has definitely gone downhill, but when we have discussed this previously have on here, have been reliably informed their move to paywall has gone surprisingly well and making money. 100 year olds don't generally know how to use ipads, so i think they have attracted those over who a tad younger than than that are capable of ipad usage.Roger said:
The raverage age of the readership of the Telegraph must be close to 100. Its rumoured Sheikh Mansour wants to turn it into a City fanzineFrancisUrquhart said:
Telegraph and Mail are profitable for starters, successfully moving to subscription model. Times is profitable as well.Roger said:FPT.
Roger said:
Interesting that those Tory Papers so openly admit their current irrelevance. Be interesting to see which of them are no longer around in their current form when the next election happensboulay said:The Mail’s editorial comment is saying what many of us thought it would. Don’t allow a “Starmageddon”, seriously don't vote reform, the Tories have actually done well under the circumstances. Labour will win but vote Tory to ensure a proper opposition to stop the worst of Starmer is a summary.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-13581819/Tories-say-right-angry-partys-errors-dont-let-anger-blind-perils-Starmerism.html
The Sun will likely say exactly the same and I’m guessing the Times, Telegraph and Express too. “Its lost but you need to still vote Tory to rein in Labour”.
I would say the biggest liability is Reach group i.e. Mirror. Mirror is irrelevant, and they bought all those regional newspapers that are failing.
I presume at some point we will get a Netflix / Spotify service for written content.
They do also have paid access, which avoids the begging letter route.
As for Netflix/Spotify, wouldn't Readly and PressReader be those services?
The reason everybody has Spotify or the couple of other services is it is now basically all music ever all in one place.
All TV and film would have been nice too, but I now have half a dozen services, which added together don't give me anything like the access to films that the old dvd by post system had.
The 27 different streaming services won't last. They will consolidate.
Maybe I was being a bit OTT with the all writing ever. I mean more it becomes a central go to hub for a lot of different areas. The Readly site appears to be more we have done a deal with the couple of big magazine publishers to show their content digitally. Which yes is what Spotify does, but it also does more. And as I say, this "expert" or "niche" thing is big. I think it is why some traditional magazines are still able to stand on their own, because they are seen as the expert, where as others are struggling / dying. I guess a good example is tech magazines or games, they are all struggling, because the magazines are basically trash. But people are more interested than ever and you get the mega YouTube sites for tech or games.
I would quite like to have a one payment for most content, but where it's already digital it's a bit trickier - If you can already paywall your content and have a readership, then putting it into a consolidated package is likely to lose you money.
A lot of the smaller/medium sized artists that weren't making much through Spotify, have now moved on to sites like Patreon..
0 -
True. I think it is more noticeable at the Beeb largely because their news output tended to refrain from this a little, historically, whereas now they’ve gone all-in.FrancisUrquhart said:
Really they are only doing what most media will do e.g. ITV don't miss an opportunity to plug Britain Got Talent or I'm a Celeb or Sky with any big sporting event they have the righrs to.numbertwelve said:
Whilst it’s not always the case, a good thing to look for when they go nuts about an event or programme is whether the BBC have the rights to the coverage or make the programme.TOPPING said:
The BBC gets weird fixations on certain things (Glasto, Dr Who the two most egregious) whereby they think that 90% of the country shares their enthusiasm, rather than the more likely 2-5% of middle class white males. I'm not sure if it is because they think it will bring a vibrant young audience to the channel and make it "relevant", or whether it's because the aged old white blokes in charge of the Beeb are reliving their youth.boulay said:
It’s not in the top ten of biggest music festivals and not even the biggest in UK.Anabobazina said:
Another PBer who gets weirdly triggered by Glastonbury. It is the world’s biggest music festival. It is newsworthy.SandyRentool said:Just turned on the TV for the news.
BBC, Glastonbury.
Sky, Glastonbury.
Why do they get into such a wankfest over this every year?
The average viewer of a 24 hour news channel couldn't give a feck about a bunch of twats living in squalor for a week, and listening to bands they have never heard of.
https://metro.co.uk/2024/06/27/glastonbury-biggest-music-festival-world-21113741/#:~:text=That would be Creamfields, which,arts festival in the world.
They are shameless cross promoters and love setting the agenda around their own programming.0 -
Look at his face there. He’s almost crying. He wants to go home and sit down and maybe have a cookiewilliamglenn said:
She risks making herself look like the villain instead of his staunchest supporter. The fact that she looks very good for her age makes the contast with Joe here even more stark:rottenborough said:Jill Biden says she's all in for keeping Joe in the race.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/28/us/politics/jill-biden-says-she-reassured-the-president-in-the-moments-after-a-dismal-debate.html
FFS. This is bloody madness.
https://x.com/rncresearch/status/18067377700706266400 -
There is provision for emergency proxy voting on the back of the polling card.Benpointer said:
Can you request a proxy vote for any that cannot vote in person themselves?DeclanF said:3 postal votes in our household. Applied ages ago because all of us travel regularly for work.
As of this morning -
- no postal votes have arrived even though the letters informing us we would get them said they'd be sent out on the 19th.
- The council is only contactable on Monday.
- So need to ask for a replacement and hope that they arrive in time for us to post them back and that the post will deliver them back in time.
- One of us will likely be unable to use it anyway because work commitments make them unlikely to be able to return in time to fill it in (which would not have happened if they'd arrived on time).
- If the post does not work, all 3 of us lose the vote.
- Despite having the vote, we can't vote in person even if we're here on the 4th and our postal votes have not arrived.
- Our constituency is a marginal one. Not that any of the creeps vying for our vote have bothered canvassing.
We want to vote because services are crap and we'd like that to change but precisely because one vital service was flogged off to spivs and the other is incompetent there is a significant risk we won't be able to.0 -
An absolute killer for Biden campaign, social media is absolutely awash with memes all using Biden looking totally confused / lost. I bet it is having big cut through like Ed's Bacon Sandwich or Sunak not having Sky.0
-
I imagine that's quite common. Partly sighted people might do disproportionately badly in poor lighting or when tired; deaf people's lipreading likewise, or in a noisy/large group. JUst being able to deal with one assessor on the other side of the desk doesn't give a full assessment.MattW said:
That variability is a fairly normal experience for disabled people.JosiasJessop said:
When I did my coastal walk, another guy was doing it in the other direction. He was Tom Isaacs, and he had early-onset Parkinsons, diagnosed at the age of 26. He had to take a cocktail of drugs every morning, and some days they did not work. He described having a scheduled meeting with one local worthy one morning (Tom's walk was raising money for Parkinsons research), but the drugs had not yet kicked in. A supporter had to help him walk to the meeting, and apparently the worthy thought it was all a con: if he could not walk to the meeting, how could he be walking the coast?rottenborough said:
"if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours."Eabhal said:
I've been corrected - if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours.Nigelb said:
That's an interesting theory.Eabhal said:
Parkinson's (but with no tremor), but they aren't giving him the full whack of medication because the side effects would be too obvious. Would explain the on/off days.Dura_Ace said:
So what is it?Eabhal said:
But Biden has not shown any of those symptoms.Leon said:A big debate on Twitter - often amongst Democrats - about Biden’s alleged dementia. As they are discussing it - and using the D word - surely we can
Lots of them are desperate for him to step aside. One argument they are making is that dementia is not just about mumbling and slowing, which can indeed be handled by good advisors taking over most tasks. Some dementias turn you paranoid, angry, aggressive - they can make you hallucinate
Someone in that state simply cannot be POTUS. Not anywhere near it. Logically, Biden either has to prove he’s not got dementia or he has to go. If he doesn’t do either of these he is absolutely going to lose as Americans absorb this logic
Trump however...
(No doubt something is wrong with Biden but there are plenty of other options. My partner reckons she knows what it is, and she works in old age psych)
It raises the equation of how they spin the next off day that he has. 'A cold' doesn't really work.
So that would mean many more "off" hours during the election campaign. It does all feel a bit desperate tbh. Time for an Address to the Nation. We could even provide a diplomatic carrot and offer a holiday at Balmoral if he goes soon.
It varies from person to person to be honest.
But if he does have PD and the Dems are hiding this and this is later found out during the campaign then Trump can start loading his removal van with the gold golf clubs or whatever and head straight to the WH.
Later stages of PD can often include hallucinations, wild delusions and major memory issues.
Tom was an amazing chap. I was in awe.
Parkinsons is a nasty little bugger. Early onset Parkinsons is tragic.
Edit: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_Isaacs_(fundraiser)
An example I think I quoted here was someone with Fibromyalgia looking for a recent Sunday half day cycling route of 35 miles, who is unable to lift her cycle up 2 steps without a lot of pain, or often walk far at all.
And it all varies day by day. One problem she may get will be with the lack of expertise in the Benefit processes. The poorly skilled assessor will go something like "but you can ride a bike so you must be fine right cross, so you have no entitlement". That happens repeatedly with people known to me, so a lot of them keep quiet quiet as they know they may be punished for it.
That kind of subtlety is beyond (whether actually or conveniently) the comprehension of the likes of Reform and the current senior generation of Loboto-Tories.
I'll get a similar variable ability next time my Hairy Cell Leukemia kicks off, but that will be years away and will knock me over completely (ie in bed most of the day due to no energy due to inability of blood to carry it) for a couple of months until re-treated.1 -
They’re making money because they’ve dropped most of the silly exclusives they signed, for new development podcasts by people with little relevant experience. Who thought that Michelle Obama, or Mrs Sussex, would attract a large audience from nowhere? Rogan was worth the massive paycheck because he bought a massive audience with him.FrancisUrquhart said:
They went crazy on signing podcaster to exclusive deals at massive valuations. But THE biggest of all of them, they ditch the exclusivity on, it doesn't make any sense.Sandpit said:
I’m not sure how Spotify’s thinking went, when they decided to let Rogan go back everywhere and try to monetise it, rather than keeping him as an exclusive on their platform.FrancisUrquhart said:
Spotify have a big problem. The record companies have now decided that streaming is the only game in town, and willing to licence their catalogues to any service who can pay. So there is no exclusivity, no massive individual reason to choose Spotify over Apple Music.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I still think Amazon or Apple will end up buying Spotify at some point.FrancisUrquhart said:The 27 different streaming services won't last. They will consolidate.
Maybe I was being a bit OTT with the all writing ever. I mean more it becomes a central go to hub for a lot of different areas. The Readly site appears to be more we have done a deal with the couple of big magazine publishers to show their content digitally. Which yes is what Spotify does, but it also does more.
That is why they went for the exclusive podcast route, but it seems to have failed.
As a result all the music streaming services are basically the same price, same catalogue. The problem for Spotify is an Apple or Amazon can wait them out. Spotify had first mover advantage, but Apple can slow draw customers away with their bundled offers and they don't need to make money on music streaming anytime soon.
I can only guess that they thought he was unlikey to draw a lot more additional subscribers, and so his value was more marginal than when he first signed, but they had to keep paying him otherwise he’d have gone for another exclusive somewhere else.
Pretty much every other exclusive podcast they signed went nowhere, and cost them a fortune.
They are claiming now podcasts now make them money,
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-688845010 -
Eeek! I deny all association...FrancisUrquhart said:
I know they say people drift rightward as they get older but...... ;-)Andy_JS said:New Statesman is currently predicting that Nick Palmer, Reform candidate in Hornchurch & Upminster, will be elected.
https://sotn.newstatesman.com/2024/05/britainpredicts
https://election.pressassociation.com/general-election/general-election-2024/3 -
Agreed. It's bizarre the Republicans have put him forward again.Leon said:
Yes. Look at that man with wild delusions, paranoia, and total loss of memory, plus insane hallucinations! He’s the ideal person to have control over America’s nukes!rottenborough said:
"if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours."Eabhal said:
I've been corrected - if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours.Nigelb said:
That's an interesting theory.Eabhal said:
Parkinson's (but with no tremor), but they aren't giving him the full whack of medication because the side effects would be too obvious. Would explain the on/off days.Dura_Ace said:
So what is it?Eabhal said:
But Biden has not shown any of those symptoms.Leon said:A big debate on Twitter - often amongst Democrats - about Biden’s alleged dementia. As they are discussing it - and using the D word - surely we can
Lots of them are desperate for him to step aside. One argument they are making is that dementia is not just about mumbling and slowing, which can indeed be handled by good advisors taking over most tasks. Some dementias turn you paranoid, angry, aggressive - they can make you hallucinate
Someone in that state simply cannot be POTUS. Not anywhere near it. Logically, Biden either has to prove he’s not got dementia or he has to go. If he doesn’t do either of these he is absolutely going to lose as Americans absorb this logic
Trump however...
(No doubt something is wrong with Biden but there are plenty of other options. My partner reckons she knows what it is, and she works in old age psych)
It raises the equation of how they spin the next off day that he has. 'A cold' doesn't really work.
So that would mean many more "off" hours during the election campaign. It does all feel a bit desperate tbh. Time for an Address to the Nation. We could even provide a diplomatic carrot and offer a holiday at Balmoral if he goes soon.
It varies from person to person to be honest.
But if he does have PD and the Dems are hiding this and this is later found out during the campaign then Trump can start loading his removal van with the gold golf clubs or whatever and head straight to the WH.
Later stages of PD can often include hallucinations, wild delusions and major memory issues.
Oh, sorry, you didn't mean Trump?0 -
Also what would the answers be for:Clutch_Brompton said:Politicalwire posts the following Morning Consult poll
Should Biden stand down? Yes - 60%
Who will you vote for? - Biden 45%, Trump 44%
If that poll is followed by others similar then Biden is going nowhere. I remember Chirac v LePen (senior) when the narrative was, 'I'll vote for the crook to beat the nazi.' In his case how many will decide even a doddery Biden is the less dangerous option?
BTW I think Biden should stand down.
Stand down and be replaced by Kamala Harris?
Stand down and be replaced by Gavin Newsom?
I suspect that 60 will drop below 50 once you put in any specific name, bar the one person who absolutely does not want to do the job, and her husband who is ineligible.0 -
3
-
Quite some claim....
Massive amounts of recently acquired advanced Chinese military equipment and weapons technology were foundin Gaza by the Israel Defense Forces, according to Guermantes Lailari, a Scholar at National Chengchi University in Taiwan and retired U.S. Air Force Officer. Chinese tunnel warfare specialists helped design and build the Hamas tunnels. Lailari also told me that two tunnel engineers from China's People's Liberation Army were discovered by the IDF, meaning that China helped Hamas significantly in its construction of the massive tunnel networks under the Gaza Strip. (The engineers were returned to China after pressure on Israel.)
https://www.newsweek.com/china-waging-proxy-war-israel-opinion-19101560 -
The very very dangerous problem america and the world faces in a nutshell.ydoethur said:
Agreed. It's bizarre the Republicans have put him forward again.Leon said:
Yes. Look at that man with wild delusions, paranoia, and total loss of memory, plus insane hallucinations! He’s the ideal person to have control over America’s nukes!rottenborough said:
"if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours."Eabhal said:
I've been corrected - if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours.Nigelb said:
That's an interesting theory.Eabhal said:
Parkinson's (but with no tremor), but they aren't giving him the full whack of medication because the side effects would be too obvious. Would explain the on/off days.Dura_Ace said:
So what is it?Eabhal said:
But Biden has not shown any of those symptoms.Leon said:A big debate on Twitter - often amongst Democrats - about Biden’s alleged dementia. As they are discussing it - and using the D word - surely we can
Lots of them are desperate for him to step aside. One argument they are making is that dementia is not just about mumbling and slowing, which can indeed be handled by good advisors taking over most tasks. Some dementias turn you paranoid, angry, aggressive - they can make you hallucinate
Someone in that state simply cannot be POTUS. Not anywhere near it. Logically, Biden either has to prove he’s not got dementia or he has to go. If he doesn’t do either of these he is absolutely going to lose as Americans absorb this logic
Trump however...
(No doubt something is wrong with Biden but there are plenty of other options. My partner reckons she knows what it is, and she works in old age psych)
It raises the equation of how they spin the next off day that he has. 'A cold' doesn't really work.
So that would mean many more "off" hours during the election campaign. It does all feel a bit desperate tbh. Time for an Address to the Nation. We could even provide a diplomatic carrot and offer a holiday at Balmoral if he goes soon.
It varies from person to person to be honest.
But if he does have PD and the Dems are hiding this and this is later found out during the campaign then Trump can start loading his removal van with the gold golf clubs or whatever and head straight to the WH.
Later stages of PD can often include hallucinations, wild delusions and major memory issues.
Oh, sorry, you didn't mean Trump?0 -
I was just wondering: do you believe the racist campaigner in Clacton was a genuine Reform member? Because I don't, he was too much of a caricature.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Where does this idea Nigel Farage answers questions come from? He's just as slippery as Johnson.
0 -
He did remember to stay until the end of D Day ceremonies though.FrancisUrquhart said:An absolute killer for Biden campaign, social media is absolutely awash with memes all using Biden looking totally confused / lost. I bet it is having big cut through like Ed's Bacon Sandwich or Sunak not having Sky.
1 -
https://x.com/alexwickham/status/1806960870058004550
Tories admit Libdems will wins dozens of seats from them, on the door step they go hours at a time without meeting a Tory voter.
GOTV is matching the polls.0 -
It's an f-ing disaster. Wake up Dems!!!!!!Leon said:
Look at his face there. He’s almost crying. He wants to go home and sit down and maybe have a cookiewilliamglenn said:
She risks making herself look like the villain instead of his staunchest supporter. The fact that she looks very good for her age makes the contast with Joe here even more stark:rottenborough said:Jill Biden says she's all in for keeping Joe in the race.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/28/us/politics/jill-biden-says-she-reassured-the-president-in-the-moments-after-a-dismal-debate.html
FFS. This is bloody madness.
https://x.com/rncresearch/status/18067377700706266400 -
From talking to normies, it was the memes about Sky was the thing people kept talking about / sharing.rottenborough said:
He did remember to stay until the end of D Day ceremonies though.FrancisUrquhart said:An absolute killer for Biden campaign, social media is absolutely awash with memes all using Biden looking totally confused / lost. I bet it is having big cut through like Ed's Bacon Sandwich or Sunak not having Sky.
0 -
The Tories are really excelling in their geographical micro targeting during this campaign.
I just got a leaflet through the letter box. The second one. Here in Lewisham North (notional Lab maj 32k).
It warns me about a host of things Starmer will do. The usual mixture of grains of truth and outright lies (“banning flexible work entirely”), with the direst warning being this:
They will introduce a nationwide ULEZ scheme and pay-per-mile road charging, “Just like in Labour London”.
Heaven forbid that we, here in Lewisham North, in the London borough of Lewisham, ULEZ zone since 2019, might be faced with a ULEZ!0 -
They are thousands like him. Stereotypes ring true for a reason.Andy_JS said:
I was just wondering: do you believe the racist campaigner in Clacton was a genuine Reform member? Because I don't, he was too much of a caricature.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Where does this idea Nigel Farage answers questions come from? He's just as slippery as Johnson.
0 -
I've just read an article saying that cassette tapes are making a comeback.FrancisUrquhart said:
Spotify have a big problem. The record companies have now decided that streaming is the only game in town, and willing to licence their catalogues to any service who can pay. So there is no exclusivity, no massive individual reason to choose Spotify over Apple Music.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I still think Amazon or Apple will end up buying Spotify at some point.FrancisUrquhart said:The 27 different streaming services won't last. They will consolidate.
Maybe I was being a bit OTT with the all writing ever. I mean more it becomes a central go to hub for a lot of different areas. The Readly site appears to be more we have done a deal with the couple of big magazine publishers to show their content digitally. Which yes is what Spotify does, but it also does more.
That is why they went for the exclusive podcast route, but it seems to have failed.
As a result all the music streaming services are basically the same price, same catalogue. The problem for Spotify is an Apple or Amazon can wait them out. Spotify had first mover advantage, but Apple can slow draw customers away with their bundled offers and they don't need to make money on music streaming anytime soon.0 -
My son has started collecting retro CDs!Andy_JS said:
I've just read an article saying that cassette tapes are making a comeback.FrancisUrquhart said:
Spotify have a big problem. The record companies have now decided that streaming is the only game in town, and willing to licence their catalogues to any service who can pay. So there is no exclusivity, no massive individual reason to choose Spotify over Apple Music.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I still think Amazon or Apple will end up buying Spotify at some point.FrancisUrquhart said:The 27 different streaming services won't last. They will consolidate.
Maybe I was being a bit OTT with the all writing ever. I mean more it becomes a central go to hub for a lot of different areas. The Readly site appears to be more we have done a deal with the couple of big magazine publishers to show their content digitally. Which yes is what Spotify does, but it also does more.
That is why they went for the exclusive podcast route, but it seems to have failed.
As a result all the music streaming services are basically the same price, same catalogue. The problem for Spotify is an Apple or Amazon can wait them out. Spotify had first mover advantage, but Apple can slow draw customers away with their bundled offers and they don't need to make money on music streaming anytime soon.0 -
I listened to that, and I think it benefited from them being the smaller parties.Roger said:Interesting watching Fiona Bruce with Farage and the leader of the Greens last night....... An excellent audience. As good as I've seen. Extremely well informed and articulate It was quite life affirming to see how much they loathed farage and how little they tolerated his confected bullshit
Though the audience will have been selected to represent different views I doubt they tried to balance their ages so Farages older cohort in all likelihood wouldn't have been able to make it. Not a single clap for him in half an hour
Good questions, though there was a bit of a tendency to make crude points against Farage rather than him getting disembowelled with a scalpel. Fiona Bruce did well by making him address these case of racist etc comments from three of his named candidates who were still in good standing.
The opportunity to skewer Farage for his "put up job" narrative not matching his closest and most trusted advisers demonstrating on the C4 report that they are bigots was missed.
The Green Leader (Ramsey?) treated it a bit too much like a political speech at a political rally rather than an intimate Q&A with a small audience, and was a bit boilerplate rather than addressing the questioner. But generally OK.
Natalie Bennett in the spin room was excellent.
I also enjoyed the Nick Robinson Ed Davey half hour last night. Quite civilised / inquisitorial and Ed Davey came across very well. Not at all like R4 Today.0 -
Tape backups for data are still absolutely huge market.Andy_JS said:
I've just read an article saying that cassette tapes are making a comeback.FrancisUrquhart said:
Spotify have a big problem. The record companies have now decided that streaming is the only game in town, and willing to licence their catalogues to any service who can pay. So there is no exclusivity, no massive individual reason to choose Spotify over Apple Music.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I still think Amazon or Apple will end up buying Spotify at some point.FrancisUrquhart said:The 27 different streaming services won't last. They will consolidate.
Maybe I was being a bit OTT with the all writing ever. I mean more it becomes a central go to hub for a lot of different areas. The Readly site appears to be more we have done a deal with the couple of big magazine publishers to show their content digitally. Which yes is what Spotify does, but it also does more.
That is why they went for the exclusive podcast route, but it seems to have failed.
As a result all the music streaming services are basically the same price, same catalogue. The problem for Spotify is an Apple or Amazon can wait them out. Spotify had first mover advantage, but Apple can slow draw customers away with their bundled offers and they don't need to make money on music streaming anytime soon.1 -
That’s somewhat, err, concerning.FrancisUrquhart said:Quite some claim....
Massive amounts of recently acquired advanced Chinese military equipment and weapons technology were foundin Gaza by the Israel Defense Forces, according to Guermantes Lailari, a Scholar at National Chengchi University in Taiwan and retired U.S. Air Force Officer. Chinese tunnel warfare specialists helped design and build the Hamas tunnels. Lailari also told me that two tunnel engineers from China's People's Liberation Army were discovered by the IDF, meaning that China helped Hamas significantly in its construction of the massive tunnel networks under the Gaza Strip. (The engineers were returned to China after pressure on Israel.)
https://www.newsweek.com/china-waging-proxy-war-israel-opinion-1910156
It’s still surprising, to me anyway, that nothing Chinese has yet been captured in Ukraine.0 -
Both are plausible. My best guess is 80% chance his own actions, 20% a set up. The problem is if it was a setup some chance we find out, if it wasn't that can't be proved conclusively.Andy_JS said:
I was just wondering: do you believe the racist campaigner in Clacton was a genuine Reform member? Because I don't, he was too much of a caricature.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Where does this idea Nigel Farage answers questions come from? He's just as slippery as Johnson.
0 -
Do a shit everywhere, somewhere will be porcelainTimS said:The Tories are really excelling in their geographical micro targeting during this campaign.
I just got a leaflet through the letter box. The second one. Here in Lewisham North (notional Lab maj 32k).
It warns me about a host of things Starmer will do. The usual mixture of grains of truth and outright lies (“banning flexible work entirely”), with the direct warming being this:
They will introduce a nationwide ULEZ scheme and pay-per-mile road charging, “Just like in Labour London”.
Heaven forbid that we, here in Lewisham North, in the London borough of Lewisham, ULEZ zone since 2019, might be faced with a ULEZ!0 -
Has he got one of the free mailout CDs with 1000 free hours internet access of which many thousands were returned to AOL?TimS said:
My son has started collecting retro CDs!Andy_JS said:
I've just read an article saying that cassette tapes are making a comeback.FrancisUrquhart said:
Spotify have a big problem. The record companies have now decided that streaming is the only game in town, and willing to licence their catalogues to any service who can pay. So there is no exclusivity, no massive individual reason to choose Spotify over Apple Music.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I still think Amazon or Apple will end up buying Spotify at some point.FrancisUrquhart said:The 27 different streaming services won't last. They will consolidate.
Maybe I was being a bit OTT with the all writing ever. I mean more it becomes a central go to hub for a lot of different areas. The Readly site appears to be more we have done a deal with the couple of big magazine publishers to show their content digitally. Which yes is what Spotify does, but it also does more.
That is why they went for the exclusive podcast route, but it seems to have failed.
As a result all the music streaming services are basically the same price, same catalogue. The problem for Spotify is an Apple or Amazon can wait them out. Spotify had first mover advantage, but Apple can slow draw customers away with their bundled offers and they don't need to make money on music streaming anytime soon.
https://edition.cnn.com/2002/TECH/internet/10/17/aol.discs/index.html0 -
I’m crossing my fingers tight. Revenge is a dish best served cold.Nunu5 said:https://x.com/alexwickham/status/1806960870058004550
Tories admit Libdems will wins dozens of seats from them, on the door step they go hours at a time without meeting a Tory voter.
GOTV is matching the polls.
I’m in Carshalton tomorrow with the youngest doing some leafleting.1 -
Nurse Ratched and Senile Joe.williamglenn said:
She risks making herself look like the villain instead of his staunchest supporter. The fact that she looks very good for her age makes the contast with Joe here even more stark:rottenborough said:Jill Biden says she's all in for keeping Joe in the race.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/28/us/politics/jill-biden-says-she-reassured-the-president-in-the-moments-after-a-dismal-debate.html
FFS. This is bloody madness.
https://x.com/rncresearch/status/18067377700706266400 -
But the bizarre thing is the other side has pictures of the Lewisham North Tory candidate. So it’s not a generic national mailing, it’s been adapted for the local area!wooliedyed said:
Do a shit everywhere, somewhere will be porcelainTimS said:The Tories are really excelling in their geographical micro targeting during this campaign.
I just got a leaflet through the letter box. The second one. Here in Lewisham North (notional Lab maj 32k).
It warns me about a host of things Starmer will do. The usual mixture of grains of truth and outright lies (“banning flexible work entirely”), with the direct warming being this:
They will introduce a nationwide ULEZ scheme and pay-per-mile road charging, “Just like in Labour London”.
Heaven forbid that we, here in Lewisham North, in the London borough of Lewisham, ULEZ zone since 2019, might be faced with a ULEZ!0 -
Contrast Biden to Harold Wilson who decided to stand down in 1976 when he realised he was feeling too old for the job.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/wilson-may-have-had-alzheimer-s-when-he-resigned-1009829.html1 -
I do wonder if East Hants is worth a punt on the Lib Dems.Nunu5 said:https://x.com/alexwickham/status/1806960870058004550
Tories admit Libdems will wins dozens of seats from them, on the door step they go hours at a time without meeting a Tory voter.
GOTV is matching the polls.
Also, this was all obvious in 2019 but Corbyn masked it. Much the same as it was clear Labour were going down in 2017 but May masked that.0 -
Hadn't Wilson been diagnosed with dementia.Andy_JS said:Contrast Biden to Harold Wilson who decided to stand down in 1976 when he realised he was feeling too old for the job.
0 -
Are they still doing ULEZ? They've lost the argument.TimS said:The Tories are really excelling in their geographical micro targeting during this campaign.
I just got a leaflet through the letter box. The second one. Here in Lewisham North (notional Lab maj 32k).
It warns me about a host of things Starmer will do. The usual mixture of grains of truth and outright lies (“banning flexible work entirely”), with the direst warning being this:
They will introduce a nationwide ULEZ scheme and pay-per-mile road charging, “Just like in Labour London”.
Heaven forbid that we, here in Lewisham North, in the London borough of Lewisham, ULEZ zone since 2019, might be faced with a ULEZ!0 -
Only took his party 21 years to win afterwards.Andy_JS said:Contrast Biden to Harold Wilson who decided to stand down in 1976 when he realised he was feeling too old for the job.
1 -
Lol, they are special peopleTimS said:
But the bizarre thing is the other side has pictures of the Lewisham North Tory candidate. So it’s not a generic national mailing, it’s been adapted for the local area!wooliedyed said:
Do a shit everywhere, somewhere will be porcelainTimS said:The Tories are really excelling in their geographical micro targeting during this campaign.
I just got a leaflet through the letter box. The second one. Here in Lewisham North (notional Lab maj 32k).
It warns me about a host of things Starmer will do. The usual mixture of grains of truth and outright lies (“banning flexible work entirely”), with the direct warming being this:
They will introduce a nationwide ULEZ scheme and pay-per-mile road charging, “Just like in Labour London”.
Heaven forbid that we, here in Lewisham North, in the London borough of Lewisham, ULEZ zone since 2019, might be faced with a ULEZ!0 -
Got at by the Russians if you believe your conspiraciesBatteryCorrectHorse said:
Hadn't Wilson been diagnosed with dementia.Andy_JS said:Contrast Biden to Harold Wilson who decided to stand down in 1976 when he realised he was feeling too old for the job.
0 -
RCP has Trump’s average lead back up at 2%.FrancisUrquhart said:An absolute killer for Biden campaign, social media is absolutely awash with memes all using Biden looking totally confused / lost. I bet it is having big cut through like Ed's Bacon Sandwich or Sunak not having Sky.
0 -
I presume they were tourists just looking for Great Omari Mosque, the Gazan equivalent of Salisbury Cathedral.Sandpit said:
That’s somewhat, err, concerning.FrancisUrquhart said:Quite some claim....
Massive amounts of recently acquired advanced Chinese military equipment and weapons technology were foundin Gaza by the Israel Defense Forces, according to Guermantes Lailari, a Scholar at National Chengchi University in Taiwan and retired U.S. Air Force Officer. Chinese tunnel warfare specialists helped design and build the Hamas tunnels. Lailari also told me that two tunnel engineers from China's People's Liberation Army were discovered by the IDF, meaning that China helped Hamas significantly in its construction of the massive tunnel networks under the Gaza Strip. (The engineers were returned to China after pressure on Israel.)
https://www.newsweek.com/china-waging-proxy-war-israel-opinion-19101561 -
First mail shot delivery: Green, Cons & Reform all nicely contained within the Commie half fold leaflet. Nothing from Lab which is mystifying as this seat must be a prime target for them. Complacency?
Still not seen a single window display for any party.0 -
It is the worst campaign that has been waged by a major party in the history of British democracy.wooliedyed said:
Lol, they are special peopleTimS said:
But the bizarre thing is the other side has pictures of the Lewisham North Tory candidate. So it’s not a generic national mailing, it’s been adapted for the local area!wooliedyed said:
Do a shit everywhere, somewhere will be porcelainTimS said:The Tories are really excelling in their geographical micro targeting during this campaign.
I just got a leaflet through the letter box. The second one. Here in Lewisham North (notional Lab maj 32k).
It warns me about a host of things Starmer will do. The usual mixture of grains of truth and outright lies (“banning flexible work entirely”), with the direct warming being this:
They will introduce a nationwide ULEZ scheme and pay-per-mile road charging, “Just like in Labour London”.
Heaven forbid that we, here in Lewisham North, in the London borough of Lewisham, ULEZ zone since 2019, might be faced with a ULEZ!0 -
On the other hand, as I walked out of Peckham Rye station yesterday, campaigners were handing out anti-Reform leaflets. I thought - this is a waste of time, no-one around here is going to vote for them anyway. You need to be leafleting elsewhere.TimS said:The Tories are really excelling in their geographical micro targeting during this campaign.
I just got a leaflet through the letter box. The second one. Here in Lewisham North (notional Lab maj 32k).
It warns me about a host of things Starmer will do. The usual mixture of grains of truth and outright lies (“banning flexible work entirely”), with the direst warning being this:
They will introduce a nationwide ULEZ scheme and pay-per-mile road charging, “Just like in Labour London”.
Heaven forbid that we, here in Lewisham North, in the London borough of Lewisham, ULEZ zone since 2019, might be faced with a ULEZ!0 -
Going to be fascinating watching the tory party split over whether to let Farage join them or not.MattW said:
I listened to that, and I think it benefited from them being the smaller parties.Roger said:Interesting watching Fiona Bruce with Farage and the leader of the Greens last night....... An excellent audience. As good as I've seen. Extremely well informed and articulate It was quite life affirming to see how much they loathed farage and how little they tolerated his confected bullshit
Though the audience will have been selected to represent different views I doubt they tried to balance their ages so Farages older cohort in all likelihood wouldn't have been able to make it. Not a single clap for him in half an hour
Good questions, though there was a bit of a tendency to make crude points against Farage rather than him getting disembowelled with a scalpel. Fiona Bruce did well by making him address these case of racist etc comments from three of his named candidates who were still in good standing.
The opportunity to skewer Farage for his "put up job" narrative not matching his closest and most trusted advisers demonstrating on the C4 report that they are bigots was missed.
The Green Leader (Ramsey?) treated it a bit too much like a political speech at a political rally rather than an intimate Q&A with a small audience, and was a bit boilerplate rather than addressing the questioner. But generally OK.
Natalie Bennett in the spin room was excellent.
I also enjoyed the Nick Robinson Ed Davey half hour last night. Quite civilised / inquisitorial and Ed Davey came across very well. Not at all like R4 Today.
Presumably him coming on board will mean policies like using the navy to drag small boats back onto french beaches will have to become tory policy?0 -
It's not been goodSean_F said:
It is the worst campaign that has been waged by a major party in the history of British democracy.wooliedyed said:
Lol, they are special peopleTimS said:
But the bizarre thing is the other side has pictures of the Lewisham North Tory candidate. So it’s not a generic national mailing, it’s been adapted for the local area!wooliedyed said:
Do a shit everywhere, somewhere will be porcelainTimS said:The Tories are really excelling in their geographical micro targeting during this campaign.
I just got a leaflet through the letter box. The second one. Here in Lewisham North (notional Lab maj 32k).
It warns me about a host of things Starmer will do. The usual mixture of grains of truth and outright lies (“banning flexible work entirely”), with the direct warming being this:
They will introduce a nationwide ULEZ scheme and pay-per-mile road charging, “Just like in Labour London”.
Heaven forbid that we, here in Lewisham North, in the London borough of Lewisham, ULEZ zone since 2019, might be faced with a ULEZ!0 -
I'm in Aberdeenshire North and Moray East today. Is there any campaigning I can do while I'm here?0
-
In one way I have no issue if the Conservative Party does go down this route. But I am telling you that if you do you will never hold power in this country. Your time in the wilderness will be as long as you headbang these nutty ideas. They are stark raving bonkers.MisterBedfordshire said:
No I want them to get a toehold of a few MPs so that when Labour run into the sand and end up as unpopular as the Tories are now we will have an actually conservative party (which is far broader than Reform), shorn of libdem fifth columnists calling themselves centrists, willing to make the necessary reforms that Brexit now empowers Parliament to do.DougSeal said:Supporters of Reform on here. Assuming you want your “party” to control the executive and legislature does not the simple statement in the below link worry you about the democratic credentials of your man?
https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/11694875/persons-with-significant-control
If a man controls a “party” (in this case a limited company of said man who owns 8 out of its 13 shares) which has a majority in the Commons I would imagine that the principle of pleasing the leader is becomes the imperative.
1) Repeal ECHR membership.
2) Repeal Climate Change Act.
3) Repeal Equality Act and replace with bill of Rights (which will include measures to stop discrimination for whatever reason through measures similar to the common carrier legislation on Railways that stopped them refusing customers and stopped them charging different customers different amounts. (the common carrier legislation was the worlds first anti discrimination legislation)).
4) Abolish hate crime legislation and instead increase sentences on (non hate aggravated) offences to the levels of aggravated offences under hate crime legislation, with judges able to reduce them if mitigation applies.
5) Replace welfare system with contributory based welfare system. Min 5 years full NI contribtutions to get cover (unless child of contributor turning 18 in which case cover through parents for first five years). Transition period applies to avoid existing over 18 residents losing cover in first five years.
6) No NHS cover until 5 years full NI contributions unless cover through parents having such cover. Transition period as above.
7) All restrictions on migration dropped, however no enitlement to any state aid whatsoever for first five years.
If they do too well and get dozens of MPs it will be a disaster as all sorts of unsuitable people will get elected. This is a long game.
But stage 1 is a toehold and the Tories going the way of the Liberals in the 1920s.
I partly expect the Party do do just this.
But I’m calling on all moderate, sensible, Conservatives on here not to let your Party do this. You need to be back vying for power once again and that means listening to moderates not these headbangers.
Come back.
@TSE @MarqueeMark @BartholomewRoberts
0 -
You mean Trump?Leon said:
Yes. Look at that man with wild delusions, paranoia, and total loss of memory, plus insane hallucinations! He’s the ideal person to have control over America’s nukes!rottenborough said:
"if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours."Eabhal said:
I've been corrected - if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours.Nigelb said:
That's an interesting theory.Eabhal said:
Parkinson's (but with no tremor), but they aren't giving him the full whack of medication because the side effects would be too obvious. Would explain the on/off days.Dura_Ace said:
So what is it?Eabhal said:
But Biden has not shown any of those symptoms.Leon said:A big debate on Twitter - often amongst Democrats - about Biden’s alleged dementia. As they are discussing it - and using the D word - surely we can
Lots of them are desperate for him to step aside. One argument they are making is that dementia is not just about mumbling and slowing, which can indeed be handled by good advisors taking over most tasks. Some dementias turn you paranoid, angry, aggressive - they can make you hallucinate
Someone in that state simply cannot be POTUS. Not anywhere near it. Logically, Biden either has to prove he’s not got dementia or he has to go. If he doesn’t do either of these he is absolutely going to lose as Americans absorb this logic
Trump however...
(No doubt something is wrong with Biden but there are plenty of other options. My partner reckons she knows what it is, and she works in old age psych)
It raises the equation of how they spin the next off day that he has. 'A cold' doesn't really work.
So that would mean many more "off" hours during the election campaign. It does all feel a bit desperate tbh. Time for an Address to the Nation. We could even provide a diplomatic carrot and offer a holiday at Balmoral if he goes soon.
It varies from person to person to be honest.
But if he does have PD and the Dems are hiding this and this is later found out during the campaign then Trump can start loading his removal van with the gold golf clubs or whatever and head straight to the WH.
Later stages of PD can often include hallucinations, wild delusions and major memory issues.
People are speculating that Biden may have wild delusions and insane hallucinations etc when we know for a fact that Donald Inject Bleach Trump does!0 -
Yes, that's a good summary of part of the case against Trump.Leon said:
Yes. Look at that man with wild delusions, paranoia, and total loss of memory, plus insane hallucinations! He’s the ideal person to have control over America’s nukes!rottenborough said:
"if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours."Eabhal said:
I've been corrected - if Parkinson's, the medication gives you on/off hours.Nigelb said:
That's an interesting theory.Eabhal said:
Parkinson's (but with no tremor), but they aren't giving him the full whack of medication because the side effects would be too obvious. Would explain the on/off days.Dura_Ace said:
So what is it?Eabhal said:
But Biden has not shown any of those symptoms.Leon said:A big debate on Twitter - often amongst Democrats - about Biden’s alleged dementia. As they are discussing it - and using the D word - surely we can
Lots of them are desperate for him to step aside. One argument they are making is that dementia is not just about mumbling and slowing, which can indeed be handled by good advisors taking over most tasks. Some dementias turn you paranoid, angry, aggressive - they can make you hallucinate
Someone in that state simply cannot be POTUS. Not anywhere near it. Logically, Biden either has to prove he’s not got dementia or he has to go. If he doesn’t do either of these he is absolutely going to lose as Americans absorb this logic
Trump however...
(No doubt something is wrong with Biden but there are plenty of other options. My partner reckons she knows what it is, and she works in old age psych)
It raises the equation of how they spin the next off day that he has. 'A cold' doesn't really work.
So that would mean many more "off" hours during the election campaign. It does all feel a bit desperate tbh. Time for an Address to the Nation. We could even provide a diplomatic carrot and offer a holiday at Balmoral if he goes soon.
It varies from person to person to be honest.
But if he does have PD and the Dems are hiding this and this is later found out during the campaign then Trump can start loading his removal van with the gold golf clubs or whatever and head straight to the WH.
Later stages of PD can often include hallucinations, wild delusions and major memory issues.
But it doesn't solve the Biden conundrum.1 -
The Conservatives for Angela Rayner campaign continues:
https://x.com/conservatives/status/18070045874018513760 -
Anyway, I’ve just voted Labour in Newton Abbot
Delighted to do so.1 -
Worse than Labour '83?Sean_F said:
It is the worst campaign that has been waged by a major party in the history of British democracy.wooliedyed said:
Lol, they are special peopleTimS said:
But the bizarre thing is the other side has pictures of the Lewisham North Tory candidate. So it’s not a generic national mailing, it’s been adapted for the local area!wooliedyed said:
Do a shit everywhere, somewhere will be porcelainTimS said:The Tories are really excelling in their geographical micro targeting during this campaign.
I just got a leaflet through the letter box. The second one. Here in Lewisham North (notional Lab maj 32k).
It warns me about a host of things Starmer will do. The usual mixture of grains of truth and outright lies (“banning flexible work entirely”), with the direct warming being this:
They will introduce a nationwide ULEZ scheme and pay-per-mile road charging, “Just like in Labour London”.
Heaven forbid that we, here in Lewisham North, in the London borough of Lewisham, ULEZ zone since 2019, might be faced with a ULEZ!
There are various ways of being awful. What's striking about this campaign is how hopeless it is... There doesn't seem to be any hope, any sense (however deluded) that it might turn out OK for the Conservatives.0 -
!
In ten years time the Tory party will be drinking cheap cider out of a plastic bottle in a paper bag by the war memorial whilst people wander past muttering 'didn't they used to be somebody?'Heathener said:
In one way I have no issue if the Conservative Party does go down this route. But I am telling you that if you do you will never hold power in this country. Your time in the wilderness will be as long as you headbang this nutty ideas. They are stark raving bonkers.MisterBedfordshire said:
No I want them to get a toehold of a few MPs so that when Labour run into the sand and end up as unpopular as the Tories are now we will have an actually conservative party (which is far broader than Reform), shorn of libdem fifth columnists calling themselves centrists, willing to make the necessary reforms that Brexit now empowers Parliament to do.DougSeal said:Supporters of Reform on here. Assuming you want your “party” to control the executive and legislature does not the simple statement in the below link worry you about the democratic credentials of your man?
https://find-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/11694875/persons-with-significant-control
If a man controls a “party” (in this case a limited company of said man who owns 8 out of its 13 shares) which has a majority in the Commons I would imagine that the principle of pleasing the leader is becomes the imperative.
1) Repeal ECHR membership.
2) Repeal Climate Change Act.
3) Repeal Equality Act and replace with bill of Rights (which will include measures to stop discrimination for whatever reason through measures similar to the common carrier legislation on Railways that stopped them refusing customers and stopped them charging different customers different amounts. (the common carrier legislation was the worlds first anti discrimination legislation)).
4) Abolish hate crime legislation and instead increase sentences on (non hate aggravated) offences to the levels of aggravated offences under hate crime legislation, with judges able to reduce them if mitigation applies.
5) Replace welfare system with contributory based welfare system. Min 5 years full NI contribtutions to get cover (unless child of contributor turning 18 in which case cover through parents for first five years). Transition period applies to avoid existing over 18 residents losing cover in first five years.
6) No NHS cover until 5 years full NI contributions unless cover through parents having such cover. Transition period as above.
7) All restrictions on migration dropped, however no enitlement to any state aid whatsoever for first five years.
If they do too well and get dozens of MPs it will be a disaster as all sorts of unsuitable people will get elected. This is a long game.
But stage 1 is a toehold and the Tories going the way of the Liberals in the 1920s.
I partly expect the Party do do just this.
But I’m calling on all moderate, sensible, Conservatives on here not to let your Party do this. You need to be back vying for power once again and that means listening to moderates not these headbangers.
Come back.
@TSE @MarqueeMark2 -
It might have been better for them to have just kept quiet during this campaign. Each one of these is probably losing them votes.williamglenn said:The Conservatives for Angela Rayner campaign continues:
https://x.com/conservatives/status/18070045874018513760