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Oh Mandy – politicalbetting.com
Oh Mandy – politicalbetting.com
"I don't believe the polls for one moment"Former cabinet minister Lord Mandelson says opinion polls can be "dangerous" ahead of elections and says it's not "all in the bag" for Labour#BBCLauraK https://t.co/JIr7IBfz4z pic.twitter.com/73SmZR1s4o
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Back to 4 dimensional chess from Lord Mandelbrot. Just like old times.
Does @BatteryCorrectHorse eat tripe? If so, can we have a recipe?
(My @ menu offered me 4 different options for CHB, and none of them are the correct one.)
Sunak vs Starmer on 26 June in head to head format.
We all assume that pretty much nothing can save the Tories from defeat now - the question is the scale of it.
Do we think that Sunak might go for the ‘stop the supermajority’ angle?
We’ve seen cabinet members do it but seeing Sunak do it in a head to head would be quite something, so I doubt it?
It is one of four national anthems that doesn't have any lyrics.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marcha_Real
Next, Blair will pop up, saying we have to be prepared for an Iraqi attack in 45 minutes....
Will they ever select another;
Billionaire?
Party? Yes.
Country? Not if they can help it. Even at school he didn't want to mix with the Hoi polloi but the inability to relate to the common man is a definite negative.
Tech-bro?
Party? No. They need a politician, with a common touch. Not another spreadsheet geek. They didn't want him first time round, and gifting him the gig worked out badly.
Country? Maybe
Person of Colour?
Party? Yes
Country? Yes, although that may depend how many RefUK 'teal shirts' are marching
Non-Christian?
Party? Yes
Country? Yes, although the exact flavour and fervour may be a factor
Short-arse with shorter trousers
Party? If they have to
Country? Not if they can help it
Thatcher won a landslide.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c977wggg4pgo
Outside the radical left and Tory loyalists I sense the “Blair = Iraq” equation is much less powerful than it was even 5 years ago.
Things can only get better etc
Malcolm Tucker in the TTOI Christmas special
Whatever else you can lay at the door of this Government, nothing - and I mean NOTHING - will ever come close to that obscenity from your "greatest government".
https://x.com/jeremy_hunt/status/1804849296799420592
https://x.com/carolvorders/status/1804622827884069318?t=-9qJbxZdt1B5GkuWzyol_g&s=19
Paris aside, on each of my recent visits to France - and I’ve been all over - Brittany, Normandy, Picardy, the Cevennes, Provence, Languedoc - I’ve been struck by the high quality of life. It’s not just the nicer weather - they have good health care, beautiful cities, agreeable food, excellent infrastructure, lots of holidays
They must have one of the highest “qualities of life” in the world. And I’m not just comparing them with fucked up old Britain. They seem to have a superior quality of life to almost anyone in europe (or the world?)
Yes they have problems - migration, crime, but still. Other countries have all that as well and often far worse
Yet the French are so discontented they are voting in their millions for a woman who says France is on
the brink of ruin and forget about my Nazi dad only I can save you
WHY?
She could still have drawn a cock and balls...
Puh!
It was the LibDems who opposed it.
Did you oppose the war at the time?
Is it just their revolutionary temperament?
Is it that national morosity?
Some hangover from napoleon?
Too much cheese?
Will we have to talk, you know - politics? Urgh...
Ken Clark did not.
Laters.
Going wordless after 1978 was also very on-brand; "pact of forgetting" and all that.
More recently, there have been attempts and competitions to find lyrics, but they've been awful. It's not easy for democracies to choose national symbols democratically; it's too self-referential.
Superb jurist but terrible epidemiologist.
I had an "Abolish the Senedd" party campaign leaflet. There was a nice picture of a red MK2 Jag on it. I didn't read it.
It's like he never left.
Senior Tory official becomes FOURTH party figure subject to gambling watchdog investigation…
With reports of “many more” cases being looked at (though unclear yet if they have Tory links) election betting scandal now undermining party’s campaign…
https://x.com/PippaCrerar/status/1804860626742690095
Betting scandal crisis deepens: Many more people than Tories already identified being investigated by gambling regulator re bets on election date. Watchdog widened inquiries to investigate whether people with inside knowledge may have asked third party to place bet
https://x.com/BethRigby/status/1804870949063286791
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/special/politics97/budget97/live/housing.shtml
Well we didn't have banks going bankrupt in the 1980s and 1990s.
There is almost always a proper way and an easier way to achieve any given target.
https://x.com/mocent0/status/1804877149075107894
It's just a normal expression.
There's no way he'd have been that stupid, but if it turns out that he's had any bets on finance or politics during his time at the Treasury or as PM, then it's going to look unbelievably bad for him.
It seems unlikely, but then I'd have said the same about the three (or is it now four?) members of the Tory campaign team who've been caught betting on things that they were in a position to influence.
- The Border Agency - sponsored by RyanAir
- The Electoral Commission - sponsored by PaddyPower
https://x.com/Taniel/status/1804876523444347350
My defence will be I backed a July election going back to March and my bets on May 21st were following the news.
Edit: In the context of the tweet, it's clearly meant to be humorous. I don't think he's got a career ahead of him as stand-up comic though.
It's like he never left. Well, it's definitely not me as I had a flaming red next to June/July/August on the markets, and laid it more when the rumours were flying.
I took Sunak at his word and assumed he wouldn't be psychotic enough to call an early election.
'How to Tankie' was written by an unreliable narrator from the viewpoint of someone from the far left. Individuals like that on Darth's timeline are often smug, arrogant, self-righteous know-it-all-know-nothing hypocrites whose views lead them into moral blackholes, but few of them seem to want to be Putin - they just want to let others be ruled or murdered by him.
To write this book [the Darth Putin Guide to Master Strategy] I had instead to put myself into the shoes of a far right/alt-right type, as they seem to not only like Putin, but they also want to be like him.
https://x.com/tarabull808/status/1804270697218552267?s=61
I've no idea if I'll be investigated or not, I had bets on but they were placed on the 5th and 6th of October. If I am contacted, being squeaky clean and disliking the Gambling Commision, I will either ignore it or troll them.
Although when asked I may blame it all on Lord Finklestein.
There is one certainty in life, I would not do well in prison.