A 12% return overnight not to be sniffed at, but don't like betting when other people might actually know how the counts are going...
Logic says he is surely going to win - the worst lead was 10%, but the whispers are intriguing and Gaza has affected other votes in areas with largish muslim populations.
Labour lost all its seats in Pendle. Presumably to some Hamas pompom wavers?
Edit: Not all seats declared yet.
As a white Christian I am not exactly the target market for said terrorist supporting cheerleaders. I get baffled by some of the SNP / cyber Nat reponses to issues where they pivot whatever it is back to why independence is the solution.
But we're talking about local councillors. So lets say that my aunt (a Milkstone & Deeplish resident) goes to her newly elected councillor with an issue. Is the response that her planning issue can only be resolved by Gaza being Free from the River to the Sea?
If Susan Hall is ahead in B&C, then that's a *minimum* 3.5% swing to CON (ie a 7% lead comes down to zero). Khan's lead over Con in 2021 was 55% vs 45%, a gap of 10%. This adds more evidence to the rather small pile that says Hall may take it. As ever, DYOR.
Ferguson has since basically retracted this tweet.
But I'm wondering if she retracted it because they haven't started counting yet, it's just verification today. Which makes me think...
Historically postal vote leaks from the verification process are one of the best ways to predict an election (wasn't Ruth Davison chastised for such a leak in one of the Scottish elections, and it was definitely a factor in Brexit 2016). Such leaks are illegal so if was derived from a postal vote verification leak she would have had to retract it ASAP.
Hmm.
No, they’re not, because unlike verification of polling station votes, in a postal vote verification the ballot papers are face down. You’d be lucky to get a glance at more than a few, as they are pulled out of envelopes.
The Tories should derive no comfort from Houchen's victory. When they're losing in places like North Yorkshire (home of Rishi Sunak) and Rushmoor (home of the British Army), they're heading for a big defeat.
Also they lose all of their Teeside seats on a similar swing.
I gave your post a like despite your incorrect spelling of Teesside.
Middlesbrough also often suffers similarly on here.
Edinburgh Middlesbrough Loughborough
I mean why do people get confused? It's not like they sound similar - Edinberg, Middlesbruh and Looga-barooga
The Tories should derive no comfort from Houchen's victory. When they're losing in places like North Yorkshire (home of Rishi Sunak) and Rushmoor (home of the British Army), they're heading for a big defeat.
Also they lose all of their Teeside seats on a similar swing.
I gave your post a like despite your incorrect spelling of Teesside.
Middlesbrough also often suffers similarly on here.
Edinburgh Middlesbrough Loughborough
I mean why do people get confused? It's not like they sound similar - Edinberg, Middlesbruh and Looga-barooga
If Susan Hall is ahead in B&C, then that's a *minimum* 3.5% swing to CON (ie a 7% lead comes down to zero). Khan's lead over Con in 2021 was 55% vs 45%, a gap of 10%. This adds more evidence to the rather small pile that says Hall may take it. As ever, DYOR.
Ferguson has since basically retracted this tweet.
But I'm wondering if she retracted it because they haven't started counting yet, it's just verification today. Which makes me think...
Historically postal vote leaks from the verification process are one of the best ways to predict an election (wasn't Ruth Davison chastised for such a leak in one of the Scottish elections, and it was definitely a factor in Brexit 2016). Such leaks are illegal so if was derived from a postal vote verification leak she would have had to retract it ASAP.
Hmm.
As the vote is closed (i.e. whether it leaks or not, the number of votes will not change) its less important, other than for punters like us. Leaking votes before the poll closes is an entirely different thing.
If Gaza has damaged Labour in the West Midlands, as claimed, isn't it fair to ask whether it might have damaged them in London as well?
I think it will certainly have damaged Labour in London, the only question is how much, and whether Khan being a Muslim will have ameliorated the effect somewhat.
I'm now of the view that Hall will win. Almost certainly irrational, and probably due to too much exposure to ramping on here. Yet I have had that creeping feeling in my bones since my wife forgot to vote yesterday. I don't think Labour got its vote out.
Sadiq is going to win by 10+ points, this is just expectations management from Labour. There's no way it's actually close let alone it being a loss.
I agree. Interesting if there was someone with a smidge more personality then it might be much closer. Shaun Bailey would have wiped the floor with Khan this time round.
The Shaun Bailey who had to resign his positions as chair of both the London Assembly's police and crime committee and its economy committee after he was caught partying during COVID lockdown?
If Susan Hall is ahead in B&C, then that's a *minimum* 3.5% swing to CON (ie a 7% lead comes down to zero). Khan's lead over Con in 2021 was 55% vs 45%, a gap of 10%. This adds more evidence to the rather small pile that says Hall may take it. As ever, DYOR.
Ferguson has since basically retracted this tweet.
But I'm wondering if she retracted it because they haven't started counting yet, it's just verification today. Which makes me think...
Historically postal vote leaks from the verification process are one of the best ways to predict an election (wasn't Ruth Davison chastised for such a leak in one of the Scottish elections, and it was definitely a factor in Brexit 2016). Such leaks are illegal so if was derived from a postal vote verification leak she would have had to retract it ASAP.
Hmm.
As the vote is closed (i.e. whether it leaks or not, the number of votes will not change) its less important, other than for punters like us. Leaking votes before the poll closes is an entirely different thing.
Most of the postal vote verifications are held before the poll closes (and indeed before it opens)
While we are working on a detailed, factual review of the TV series „Tattooist of Auschwitz”, below you can read some initial comments of Dr. Wanda Witek-Malicka, a historian from the Research Center of the Museum. https://twitter.com/AuschwitzMuseum/status/1786388462007980258
It's absolutely possible for experienced canvassers to get a rough idea of what's happening from the verification stage of counting votes — because, for example, in 2015 that was how the LDs knew they were going to lose most of their seats so early in the night. They were saying it only an hour or so after close of voting, before most constituencies would have gone beyond the verification stage.
It's absolutely possible for experienced canvassers to get a rough idea of what's happening from the verification stage of counting votes — because, for example, in 2015 that was how the LDs knew they were going to lose most of their seats so early in the night. They were saying it only an hour or so after close of voting, before most constituencies would have gone beyond the verification stage.
If done properly, you can get a very precise idea. Two or three people can effectively count every vote in a box, if they know what they are doing.
It's absolutely possible for experienced canvassers to get a rough idea of what's happening from the verification stage of counting votes — because, for example, in 2015 that was how the LDs knew they were going to lose most of their seats so early in the night. They were saying it only an hour or so after close of voting, before most constituencies would have gone beyond the verification stage.
Absolutely. Sample a few boxes as they are being verified. No piles being made so you just tally off the party voted for.
If Susan Hall is ahead in B&C, then that's a *minimum* 3.5% swing to CON (ie a 7% lead comes down to zero). Khan's lead over Con in 2021 was 55% vs 45%, a gap of 10%. This adds more evidence to the rather small pile that says Hall may take it. As ever, DYOR.
Ferguson has since basically retracted this tweet.
But I'm wondering if she retracted it because they haven't started counting yet, it's just verification today. Which makes me think...
Historically postal vote leaks from the verification process are one of the best ways to predict an election (wasn't Ruth Davison chastised for such a leak in one of the Scottish elections, and it was definitely a factor in Brexit 2016). Such leaks are illegal so if was derived from a postal vote verification leak she would have had to retract it ASAP.
Hmm.
As the vote is closed (i.e. whether it leaks or not, the number of votes will not change) its less important, other than for punters like us. Leaking votes before the poll closes is an entirely different thing.
Most of the postal vote verifications are held before the poll closes (and indeed before it opens)
But the vote closed last night at 10 pm, so a tweet now cannot affect the vote, surely?
The Tories should derive no comfort from Houchen's victory. When they're losing in places like North Yorkshire (home of Rishi Sunak) and Rushmoor (home of the British Army), they're heading for a big defeat.
Also they lose all of their Teeside seats on a similar swing.
I gave your post a like despite your incorrect spelling of Teesside.
Middlesbrough also often suffers similarly on here.
Edinburgh Middlesbrough Loughborough
I mean why do people get confused? It's not like they sound similar - Edinberg, Middlesbruh and Looga-barooga
It's absolutely possible for experienced canvassers to get a rough idea of what's happening from the verification stage of counting votes — because, for example, in 2015 that was how the LDs knew they were going to lose most of their seats so early in the night. They were saying it only an hour or so after close of voting, before most constituencies would have gone beyond the verification stage.
I remember Kerry McCarthy (Lab, Bristol East) getting a police caution for electoral fraud by revealing postal vote counts but that was a) exact numbers and b) before the close of poll so that was more serious on both counts.
If Gaza has damaged Labour in the West Midlands, as claimed, isn't it fair to ask whether it might have damaged them in London as well?
I think it will certainly have damaged Labour in London, the only question is how much, and whether Khan being a Muslim will have ameliorated the effect somewhat.
I'm now of the view that Hall will win. Almost certainly irrational, and probably due to too much exposure to ramping on here. Yet I have had that creeping feeling in my bones since my wife forgot to vote yesterday. I don't think Labour got its vote out.
Sadiq is going to win by 10+ points, this is just expectations management from Labour. There's no way it's actually close let alone it being a loss.
I agree. Interesting if there was someone with a smidge more personality then it might be much closer. Shaun Bailey would have wiped the floor with Khan this time round.
I think you're slightly overestimating Bailey as a candidate there, and underestimating Hall (and also assume you're talking about Bailey as was - the CCHQ photos would have utterly done for him this year).
Bailey had a bit more appeal to the centre with a back story about a difficult childhood, working hard, helping disadvantaged kids and so on. But he wasn't massively charismatic, nor was he terribly politically astute. And it isn't actually all about the centre - Hall does have an outer London appeal to blue-ish suburbs - that drives Tory turnout to a degree and pulls in the populist voters with no terribly coherent outlook but a general desire to stick two fingers up to what they think of as the elites.
I first met him when he was running for Hammersmith. He has plenty of charisma.
In the council wards where they fielded candidates, BBC analysis shows the Conservative vote fell by 20 percentage points compared with 2021—almost double the fall in Tory support where Reform did not stand. In contrast, Labour gained much the same amount of ground, regardless of whether Reform took part. This confirms polls that show Reform taking its support overwhelmingly from the Tories, unlike Ukip a decade ago, which attracted votes across the board.
This means that the Conservatives must squeeze Reform’s support if they are to avoid a catastrophic landslide defeat at the general election. In 2015, Ukip lost a large part of the votes it had won in byelections, and its poll rating slipped as the election approached. Without such a squeeze this time, Conservative prospects are truly dreadful.
This is going to be truly spectacular to watch. Sunak should go the whole hog and reshuffle to have a people's cabinet which includes Patel and Braverman and Jenkyns. Introduce a bill to march the jobless naked down the street behind a smirking Priti Patel ringing the shame bell. Capital punishment too big a first step, but how about flogging? With Rees-Mogg as Minister for Fagging shouting HARDER with every stroke.
Come on you righteous and moral PB Tories, lets see you. Punish the poor, the sick, the foreign and You Can Win.
If Susan Hall is ahead in B&C, then that's a *minimum* 3.5% swing to CON (ie a 7% lead comes down to zero). Khan's lead over Con in 2021 was 55% vs 45%, a gap of 10%. This adds more evidence to the rather small pile that says Hall may take it. As ever, DYOR.
Ferguson has since basically retracted this tweet.
But I'm wondering if she retracted it because they haven't started counting yet, it's just verification today. Which makes me think...
Historically postal vote leaks from the verification process are one of the best ways to predict an election (wasn't Ruth Davison chastised for such a leak in one of the Scottish elections, and it was definitely a factor in Brexit 2016). Such leaks are illegal so if was derived from a postal vote verification leak she would have had to retract it ASAP.
Hmm.
Is it illegal? It's illegal if its before polls have closed. That's the problem with leaking postal vote verification data. That doesn't apply here.
She says in the tweet that other sources contradicted her first source, basically.
"toggle N e-Shift, the Ioniq’s most surprising and controversial feature.
Activate it and the Ioniq 5 N will emulate a car with an eight-speed dual-clutch transmission. It will pretend to have a powerband, “lugging” if you try to accelerate hard in fifth gear, hitting “redline” and lurching if you fail to shift in time and using regen to simulate the engine braking you get with an on-track downshift. It sounds utterly absurd and completely useless."
Why would you want to hamper the brilliance of electric transmission by making it crappier? You want the fastest acceleration? Don't slow down for gear changes...
In the council wards where they fielded candidates, BBC analysis shows the Conservative vote fell by 20 percentage points compared with 2021—almost double the fall in Tory support where Reform did not stand. In contrast, Labour gained much the same amount of ground, regardless of whether Reform took part. This confirms polls that show Reform taking its support overwhelmingly from the Tories, unlike Ukip a decade ago, which attracted votes across the board.
This means that the Conservatives must squeeze Reform’s support if they are to avoid a catastrophic landslide defeat at the general election. In 2015, Ukip lost a large part of the votes it had won in byelections, and its poll rating slipped as the election approached. Without such a squeeze this time, Conservative prospects are truly dreadful.
This is going to be truly spectacular to watch. Sunak should go the whole hog and reshuffle to have a people's cabinet which includes Patel and Braverman and Jenkyns. Introduce a bill to march the jobless naked down the street behind a smirking Priti Patel ringing the shame bell. Capital punishment too big a first step, but how about flogging? With Rees-Mogg as Minister for Fagging shouting HARDER with every stroke.
Come on you righteous and moral PB Tories, lets see you. Punish the poor, the sick, the foreign and You Can Win.
IMHO, Reform have proved a damp squib in these elections, and will do so on the day of the General Election.
In the council wards where they fielded candidates, BBC analysis shows the Conservative vote fell by 20 percentage points compared with 2021—almost double the fall in Tory support where Reform did not stand. In contrast, Labour gained much the same amount of ground, regardless of whether Reform took part. This confirms polls that show Reform taking its support overwhelmingly from the Tories, unlike Ukip a decade ago, which attracted votes across the board.
This means that the Conservatives must squeeze Reform’s support if they are to avoid a catastrophic landslide defeat at the general election. In 2015, Ukip lost a large part of the votes it had won in byelections, and its poll rating slipped as the election approached. Without such a squeeze this time, Conservative prospects are truly dreadful.
This is going to be truly spectacular to watch. Sunak should go the whole hog and reshuffle to have a people's cabinet which includes Patel and Braverman and Jenkyns. Introduce a bill to march the jobless naked down the street behind a smirking Priti Patel ringing the shame bell. Capital punishment too big a first step, but how about flogging? With Rees-Mogg as Minister for Fagging shouting HARDER with every stroke.
Come on you righteous and moral PB Tories, lets see you. Punish the poor, the sick, the foreign and You Can Win.
IMHO, Reform have proved a damp squib in these elections, and will do so on the day of the General Election.
I think they will struggle to get candidates and will suffer from the nature of the election. Vote reform get Labour, will surely be the Tory refrain.
Looking at the WPB results, if Galloway gets his 5 to 600 candidates then they are going to be a (limited but relevant) factor. They should be prompted in polling
The Tories should derive no comfort from Houchen's victory. When they're losing in places like North Yorkshire (home of Rishi Sunak) and Rushmoor (home of the British Army), they're heading for a big defeat.
Also they lose all of their Teeside seats on a similar swing.
I gave your post a like despite your incorrect spelling of Teesside.
Middlesbrough also often suffers similarly on here.
Edinburgh Middlesbrough Loughborough
I mean why do people get confused? It's not like they sound similar - Edinberg, Middlesbruh and Looga-barooga
Not g as in berg: it's a voiced aspirate (like a voiced ch as in loch) ...
In the council wards where they fielded candidates, BBC analysis shows the Conservative vote fell by 20 percentage points compared with 2021—almost double the fall in Tory support where Reform did not stand. In contrast, Labour gained much the same amount of ground, regardless of whether Reform took part. This confirms polls that show Reform taking its support overwhelmingly from the Tories, unlike Ukip a decade ago, which attracted votes across the board.
This means that the Conservatives must squeeze Reform’s support if they are to avoid a catastrophic landslide defeat at the general election. In 2015, Ukip lost a large part of the votes it had won in byelections, and its poll rating slipped as the election approached. Without such a squeeze this time, Conservative prospects are truly dreadful.
This is going to be truly spectacular to watch. Sunak should go the whole hog and reshuffle to have a people's cabinet which includes Patel and Braverman and Jenkyns. Introduce a bill to march the jobless naked down the street behind a smirking Priti Patel ringing the shame bell. Capital punishment too big a first step, but how about flogging? With Rees-Mogg as Minister for Fagging shouting HARDER with every stroke.
Come on you righteous and moral PB Tories, lets see you. Punish the poor, the sick, the foreign and You Can Win.
IMHO, Reform have proved a damp squib in these elections, and will do so on the day of the General Election.
I think they will struggle to get candidates and will suffer from the nature of the election. Vote reform get Labour, will surely be the Tory refrain.
Reform cherrypicked what they thought would be their best wards (one sixth of the total) and they averaged 14%.
That's not the same thing as averaging 14% across the whole country.
"toggle N e-Shift, the Ioniq’s most surprising and controversial feature.
Activate it and the Ioniq 5 N will emulate a car with an eight-speed dual-clutch transmission. It will pretend to have a powerband, “lugging” if you try to accelerate hard in fifth gear, hitting “redline” and lurching if you fail to shift in time and using regen to simulate the engine braking you get with an on-track downshift. It sounds utterly absurd and completely useless."
Why would you want to hamper the brilliance of electric transmission by making it crappier? You want the fastest acceleration? Don't slow down for gear changes...
It's a compromise, obviously, but seems to work. No doubt you'd turn it off for road use, and probably on track too if you're good enough, but most track day drivers probably aren't.
The Tories should derive no comfort from Houchen's victory. When they're losing in places like North Yorkshire (home of Rishi Sunak) and Rushmoor (home of the British Army), they're heading for a big defeat.
Also they lose all of their Teeside seats on a similar swing.
I gave your post a like despite your incorrect spelling of Teesside.
Middlesbrough also often suffers similarly on here.
Edinburgh Middlesbrough Loughborough
I mean why do people get confused? It's not like they sound similar - Edinberg, Middlesbruh and Looga-barooga
Not g as in berg: it's a voiced aspirate (like a voiced ch as in loch) ...
It's absolutely possible for experienced canvassers to get a rough idea of what's happening from the verification stage of counting votes — because, for example, in 2015 that was how the LDs knew they were going to lose most of their seats so early in the night. They were saying it only an hour or so after close of voting, before most constituencies would have gone beyond the verification stage.
I remember Kerry McCarthy (Lab, Bristol East) getting a police caution for electoral fraud by revealing postal vote counts but that was a) exact numbers and b) before the close of poll so that was more serious on both counts.
In the council wards where they fielded candidates, BBC analysis shows the Conservative vote fell by 20 percentage points compared with 2021—almost double the fall in Tory support where Reform did not stand. In contrast, Labour gained much the same amount of ground, regardless of whether Reform took part. This confirms polls that show Reform taking its support overwhelmingly from the Tories, unlike Ukip a decade ago, which attracted votes across the board.
This means that the Conservatives must squeeze Reform’s support if they are to avoid a catastrophic landslide defeat at the general election. In 2015, Ukip lost a large part of the votes it had won in byelections, and its poll rating slipped as the election approached. Without such a squeeze this time, Conservative prospects are truly dreadful.
This is going to be truly spectacular to watch. Sunak should go the whole hog and reshuffle to have a people's cabinet which includes Patel and Braverman and Jenkyns. Introduce a bill to march the jobless naked down the street behind a smirking Priti Patel ringing the shame bell. Capital punishment too big a first step, but how about flogging? With Rees-Mogg as Minister for Fagging shouting HARDER with every stroke.
Come on you righteous and moral PB Tories, lets see you. Punish the poor, the sick, the foreign and You Can Win.
IMHO, Reform have proved a damp squib in these elections, and will do so on the day of the General Election.
I think they will struggle to get candidates and will suffer from the nature of the election. Vote reform get Labour, will surely be the Tory refrain.
Reform cherrypicked what they thought would be their best wards (one sixth of the total) and they averaged 14%.
That's not the same thing as averaging 14% across the whole country.
I'm not sure what determined which wards Reform decided to stand in. In Southampton I would have guessed their eight best wards would have been Redbridge, Millbrook, Coxford, Thornhill, Harefield and Woolston, Peartree and Sholing but they only stood in three of them. Redbridge (12.3%), Peartree (9.6%) and Coxford (9.3%). The other five were much worse, Bassett (5.7%), Bitterne Park (4.1%), Freemantle (6.5%), Portswood (3.8%) and Shirley (6.7%).
In the council wards where they fielded candidates, BBC analysis shows the Conservative vote fell by 20 percentage points compared with 2021—almost double the fall in Tory support where Reform did not stand. In contrast, Labour gained much the same amount of ground, regardless of whether Reform took part. This confirms polls that show Reform taking its support overwhelmingly from the Tories, unlike Ukip a decade ago, which attracted votes across the board.
This means that the Conservatives must squeeze Reform’s support if they are to avoid a catastrophic landslide defeat at the general election. In 2015, Ukip lost a large part of the votes it had won in byelections, and its poll rating slipped as the election approached. Without such a squeeze this time, Conservative prospects are truly dreadful.
This is going to be truly spectacular to watch. Sunak should go the whole hog and reshuffle to have a people's cabinet which includes Patel and Braverman and Jenkyns. Introduce a bill to march the jobless naked down the street behind a smirking Priti Patel ringing the shame bell. Capital punishment too big a first step, but how about flogging? With Rees-Mogg as Minister for Fagging shouting HARDER with every stroke.
Come on you righteous and moral PB Tories, lets see you. Punish the poor, the sick, the foreign and You Can Win.
IMHO, Reform have proved a damp squib in these elections, and will do so on the day of the General Election.
I think they will struggle to get candidates and will suffer from the nature of the election. Vote reform get Labour, will surely be the Tory refrain.
Reform cherrypicked what they thought would be their best wards (one sixth of the total) and they averaged 14%.
That's not the same thing as averaging 14% across the whole country.
I'm not sure what determined which wards Reform decided to stand in. In Southampton I would have guessed their eight best wards would have been Redbridge, Millbrook, Coxford, Thornhill, Harefield and Woolston, Peartree and Sholing but they only stood in three of them. Redbridge (12.3%), Peartree (9.6%) and Coxford (9.3%). The other five were much worse, Bassett (5.7%), Bitterne Park (4.1%), Freemantle (6.5%), Portswood (3.8%) and Shirley (6.7%).
I expect they are poor at targeting, but they fielded full slates in Sunderland and Hartlepool.
The Tories should derive no comfort from Houchen's victory. When they're losing in places like North Yorkshire (home of Rishi Sunak) and Rushmoor (home of the British Army), they're heading for a big defeat.
Also they lose all of their Teeside seats on a similar swing.
I gave your post a like despite your incorrect spelling of Teesside.
Middlesbrough also often suffers similarly on here.
Edinburgh Middlesbrough Loughborough
I mean why do people get confused? It's not like they sound similar - Edinberg, Middlesbruh and Looga-barooga
Not g as in berg: it's a voiced aspirate (like a voiced ch as in loch) ...
One of the enduring mysteries of PB for me is, given the amount of nonsense I post, why people take my comments seriously.
So, seriously, they are all of course different. I'm also aware that Loughborough is not generally pronounced Looga-barooga.
I am though through with thorough thought on pronunciation - I've never bought that rough is rough though bough is bough.
Comments
WEP > Reform
WPB > Reform
Lol
But we're talking about local councillors. So lets say that my aunt (a Milkstone & Deeplish resident) goes to her newly elected councillor with an issue. Is the response that her planning issue can only be resolved by Gaza being Free from the River to the Sea?
They need 11 wins to retain majority and are defending 12 seats from 2021.
Pandoor, ex council leader, in Batley West defeated 52/19 to the Independent. That is a 38 point drop in the Labour vote.
Middlesbrough
Loughborough
I mean why do people get confused? It's not like they sound similar - Edinberg, Middlesbruh and Looga-barooga
While we are working on a detailed, factual review of the TV series „Tattooist of Auschwitz”, below you can read some initial comments of Dr. Wanda Witek-Malicka, a historian from the Research Center of the Museum.
https://twitter.com/AuschwitzMuseum/status/1786388462007980258
TORIES under 500 losses might now be value. DYOR
Lab +102
Con -244
LD +35
Ind +78
Grn +25
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-politics-68609729
But point taken about Hall.
https://insideevs.com/reviews/716028/hyundai-ioniq-5-n-track-test/
Defending councillor again -31% and lost 55/24 to long time fundraiser / campaigner / Heavy Woollen / lefty Tanisha Bramwell.
https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/65977/local-elections-2024-rishi-sunak-has-done-nothing-to-revive-his-partys-fortunes
In the council wards where they fielded candidates, BBC analysis shows the Conservative vote fell by 20 percentage points compared with 2021—almost double the fall in Tory support where Reform did not stand. In contrast, Labour gained much the same amount of ground, regardless of whether Reform took part. This confirms polls that show Reform taking its support overwhelmingly from the Tories, unlike Ukip a decade ago, which attracted votes across the board.
This means that the Conservatives must squeeze Reform’s support if they are to avoid a catastrophic landslide defeat at the general election. In 2015, Ukip lost a large part of the votes it had won in byelections, and its poll rating slipped as the election approached. Without such a squeeze this time, Conservative prospects are truly dreadful.
This is going to be truly spectacular to watch. Sunak should go the whole hog and reshuffle to have a people's cabinet which includes Patel and Braverman and Jenkyns. Introduce a bill to march the jobless naked down the street behind a smirking Priti Patel ringing the shame bell. Capital punishment too big a first step, but how about flogging? With Rees-Mogg as Minister for Fagging shouting HARDER with every stroke.
Come on you righteous and moral PB Tories, lets see you. Punish the poor, the sick, the foreign and You Can Win.
Con 19
LD 17
Lab 3
She says in the tweet that other sources contradicted her first source, basically.
Alison Hernandez Conservative 131,764
Steve Lodge Liberal Democrats 64,790
Daniel Steel Labour 107,897
Conservative HOLD
Steel won Plymouth and Exeter, Hernandez everywhere else.
Activate it and the Ioniq 5 N will emulate a car with an eight-speed dual-clutch transmission. It will pretend to have a powerband, “lugging” if you try to accelerate hard in fifth gear, hitting “redline” and lurching if you fail to shift in time and using regen to simulate the engine braking you get with an on-track downshift. It sounds utterly absurd and completely useless."
Why would you want to hamper the brilliance of electric transmission by making it crappier? You want the fastest acceleration? Don't slow down for gear changes...
Labour going to lose to NOC for certain.
BTW, isn't "River Hyndburn" redundant, linguistically?
https://ribbletrust.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Hyndburn-Brook-route-guide.pdf
@BritainElects
First bit of data we have from London...
Hillingdon East (Hillingdon) council by-election result:
CON: 58.1% (+0.6)
LAB: 27.2% (-8.7)
GRN: 7.2% (+7.2)
LDEM: 5.4% (+5.4)
IND: 2.1% (+2.1)
Conservative hold"
https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1786385910558568885
BBC not bothering with vote numbers for PCCs.
But it may stop at Birmingham.
That's not the same thing as averaging 14% across the whole country.
Net holds 258
Losses 249
https://insideevs.com/reviews/716661/hyundai-ioniq-5-n-shift/
It's a compromise, obviously, but seems to work. No doubt you'd turn it off for road use, and probably on track too if you're good enough, but most track day drivers probably aren't.
So there!
We're halfway there...
So still carry £255 on Hall but no risk on Khan.
“your like a male Judith Chalmers!!!”
Labour 25 (+6)
Liberal Democrats 19 (+4)
Conservative 7 (-10)
Con 62,280
Lab 61,420
Green 23,649
LD 22,041
One Leicester 7,104
https://twitter.com/Leicester_News/status/1786405261013287194/photo/1
So, seriously, they are all of course different. I'm also aware that Loughborough is not generally pronounced Looga-barooga.
I am though through with thorough thought on pronunciation - I've never bought that rough is rough though bough is bough.
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.201750386
Ros Brown Green Party 2414 38% Elected
Joanne Sugden Conservative 2247 35% Not elected