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#NU10K – politicalbetting.com

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  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,361

    Your post has reminded me of one of those 'I remember where I was when...' monents:

    I was in Blandford Forum Travis Perkins on 18 April 2017 to pick up some bits of timber when I looked up at the TV screen to see Theresa May stood in front of No 10 calling a General Election. Couldn't believe it at first.
    Two politics related one for me:

    *) Bigot-gate in 2010; I think it was late afternoon/early evening, and I'd just completed a walk in the Dorset area. I came down off the hills, got in my car, turned on the news and started howling with laughter.

    *) A day or so after GE 2010, wild (illegal) camping in a field somewhere in the Dorset area, listening late into the night about the various options for coalition governments to be formed. It's amazing that people thought the 'rainbow coalition' would ever have worked...
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    I'm interested in everyone involved taking accountability and responsibility.

    But there are far too many on here who want it to only be about the Tories.
    Go @Casino_Royale.

    And go now.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    Also it might be a pedantic point, but it's significant that Davey says he wished he "could have" done more rather than saying he wished he "had" done more. He sees himself as a passive victim of the Post Office's lies.

    How can he credibly present himself as a candidate for high office?

    ‘William Glenn’ v3.2 must go. And go now.
  • isam said:

    Do you think there are politicians who knew the truth and kept schtum?
    I doubt it, and for all our sakes, I really hope not.

    (More likely, nobody told an absolute black is white lie, but there was a chain where every level told their manager that a darker grey was a paler grey. Another reason to prefer smaller organisations with shorter chains of command.)
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,479
    The overnight airstrikes against the Houthis appear to have "degraded their capability" (nice turn of phrase) to attack shipping on the scale of Tuesday but I think we can assume any shortfall in missiles will be made up by Iran and North Korea in short order.

    Needless to say, the population in the Houthi controlled part of Yemen has reacted angrily to what has happened but that won't bother Washington or London too much. The strategic importance of the Bab-al-Mandab strait and the economic consequences of an oil price shock on already struggling economies (there was talk of a street party lovally to celebrate the 0.3% growth in November but we all realised it was too cold and we couldn't afford it).

    As to where we go from here, it depends on what the Houthi leadership decide. The problem is the anger of the population will likely re-enforce a radical position rather than one which recognises the infirmity of their situation. I suspect it won't be long before American warplanes are over Sana'a again.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,317
    kjh said:

    If Isam and Casino were on a jury they would find the judge guilty.

    That is rapier like wit. Ouch!
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Andy_JS said:

    "Andy Dunks used to be an Information Technology Security Analyst at Fujitsu. He was a witness in the Horizon Issues trial and provided a witness statement in the prosecution of former Subpostmaster Sarah Burgess-Boyde in 2010. Mr Justice Fraser found that Dunks “expressly sought to mislead” him in court, which is serious.

    The context was specifically to do with the boilerplate witness statements produced by Fujitsu to aid Post Office prosecutions. Fraser said:

    Mr Dunks expressly sought to mislead me by stating that there was no “Fujitsu party line” when it came to the contents of drafting witness statements about audit records for legal proceedings. There plainly is; it was used in the Fujitsu statements in 2010 and it was used by him in his statement for the Horizon Issues trial.

    par 294, Judgment (No.6) “Horizon Issues”, Bates and others v Post Office
    I wonder what he’ll come up with when it comes to giving evidence, again under oath, to the Inquiry."

    https://www.postofficescandal.uk/post/inquiry-re-start-preview/
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-O24T0TmoVc

    “Expressly sought to mislead” the court - if only there was a single word that could accurately summarise that expression, seven letters, starting with P and ending in Y…
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,716

    ...

    You did (I believe) write that you wanted to "bash" Starmer a day or two ago.
    To give isam some credit, he's made obvious efforts to be even handed on the PO thing today..
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    O/T

    Very HQ footage of Annie Nightingale interviewing German singer Nina Hagen in 1979, (incidentally Angela Merkel's favourite pop star, apparently).

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=47wOEl2BkiQ
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,198

    ‘William Glenn’ v3.2 must go. And go now.
    Everyone should resign. Including 3 billion of the @SeanT s

    On a serious note - how do we stop lying to ministers? Rory Stewart, in his book recounted a long running series of lies to cover up a screw up. Other ex-ministers have put similar things in their memoirs. Hillsborough and the Chinook crash come to mind as well.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746
    Andy_JS said:

    O/T

    Very HQ footage of Annie Nightingale interviewing German singer Nina Hagen in 1979, (incidentally Angela Merkel's favourite pop star, apparently).

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=47wOEl2BkiQ

    In the late 80s/early 90s she had a Sunday evening request show straight after the Top 40 that I looked forward to as the one redeeming part of the pre-Monday blues. RIP.
  • viewcode said:

    Apparently they are also polling on the length of the day. It's been 24hrs for so long... :)
    Actually if people realised how much variation there was in the length of the day there's be riots in the street. But they've been sold an artificial construct called "mean time" to keep their noses to the grindstone and up until now it seems to be working.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    isam said:

    I still can’t believe what happened to those postmasters actually did happen.

    Why did the people at Fujitsu tell them they were the only ones complaining?

    Why did the fact dozens of postmasters were calling in to find out why they were so far wrong in their figures not trigger someone to look at the system?

    1. The whole point of the new system was to detect the massive fraud.

    2. The new system detected massive fraud.

    3. Bonuses and congratulations all round, they put the fraudsters in prison.

    4. Oh sh!t, this new system was producing bollocks instead of accounts.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746

    Everyone should resign. Including 3 billion of the @SeanT s

    On a serious note - how do we stop lying to ministers? Rory Stewart, in his book recounted a long running series of lies to cover up a screw up. Other ex-ministers have put similar things in their memoirs. Hillsborough and the Chinook crash come to mind as well.
    How do you stop lying? Most people have lied at least once in their lives. I was a teenage bullshitter rather than a liar - a slightly more understandable breed. But I did my share of childhood lying.
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 4,499

    I'm interested in everyone involved taking accountability and responsibility.

    But there are far too many on here who want it to only be about the Tories.
    It's funny though how the name on the media's (and your) lips is only Davey though.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,317

    It's funny though how the name on the media's (and your) lips is only Davey though.
    Don’t flatter yourself
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    Everyone should resign. Including 3 billion of the @SeanT s

    On a serious note - how do we stop lying to ministers? Rory Stewart, in his book recounted a long running series of lies to cover up a screw up. Other ex-ministers have put similar things in their memoirs. Hillsborough and the Chinook crash come to mind as well.
    I would like to see mass resignations. Starting with @Casino_Royale whose finger pointing is a transparent cack-handed attempt at misdirection. @williamglenn, automatic troll bot, is long overdue another reboot. I assume a green authoritarian misanthropist in the @SandyRentool vein is next up? But he must go and go now. I will fall on my sword only when these two ludicrous imposters have departed the stage.
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 4,499
    isam said:

    Don’t flatter yourself
    someone has to...:)
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    Two politics related one for me:

    *) Bigot-gate in 2010; I think it was late afternoon/early evening, and I'd just completed a walk in the Dorset area. I came down off the hills, got in my car, turned on the news and started howling with laughter.

    *) A day or so after GE 2010, wild (illegal) camping in a field somewhere in the Dorset area, listening late into the night about the various options for coalition governments to be formed. It's amazing that people thought the 'rainbow coalition' would ever have worked...
    A few days later, 11th May, the day Brown and Cameron went to the Palace - the same day as my sister’s wedding. Several of us sneaked out after the formalities to watch events unfold on TV.
  • Foxy said:

    Like I posted earlier, that isn't true of our voters.



    Unless he comes clean and kills the story very soon it will dog us all year. I like Davey and have voted twice for him to be our leader, but we have to put party ahead of personalities. He can be very useful still if Cooper was leader.
    Good Evening

    Catching up on today's thread and have just watched Davey's ITV interview and it was a car crash and so embarrassing

    I cannot understand why he couldn't just say sorry, but his prevarication is damaging him and it will follow him all the way to the election especially if the sub post mistress carries out her threat to stand against him in GE24

    Politics is tough, and I think a wise word in his ear would be advisable if the Lib Dems do not want this to overshadow their election campaign
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    I would like to see mass resignations. Starting with @Casino_Royale whose finger pointing is a transparent cack-handed attempt at misdirection. @williamglenn, automatic troll bot, is long overdue another reboot. I assume a green authoritarian misanthropist in the @SandyRentool vein is next up? But he must go and go now. I will fall on my sword only when these two ludicrous imposters have departed the stage.
    Two? Three? Or convenient error?
  • I would like to see mass resignations. Starting with @Casino_Royale whose finger pointing is a transparent cack-handed attempt at misdirection. @williamglenn, automatic troll bot, is long overdue another reboot. I assume a green authoritarian misanthropist in the @SandyRentool vein is next up? But he must go and go now. I will fall on my sword only when these two ludicrous imposters have departed the stage.
    What about all the boy scouts who've been and gone from time to time?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,198
    DougSeal said:

    How do you stop lying? Most people have lied at least once in their lives. I was a teenage bullshitter rather than a liar - a slightly more understandable breed. But I did my share of childhood lying.
    Making deliberate lies in/to government Misconduct in a Public Office?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    edited January 2024
    Andy_JS said:

    O/T

    Very HQ footage of Annie Nightingale interviewing German singer Nina Hagen in 1979, (incidentally Angela Merkel's favourite pop star, apparently).

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=47wOEl2BkiQ

    Very cool.

    It turns out that Annie Nightingale was 83, about two decades older that I thought she was!

    RIP, off to spin the decks in Heaven. No, not that gay nightclub in Charing Cross.
  • Everyone should resign. Including 3 billion of the @SeanT s

    On a serious note - how do we stop lying to ministers? Rory Stewart, in his book recounted a long running series of lies to cover up a screw up. Other ex-ministers have put similar things in their memoirs. Hillsborough and the Chinook crash come to mind as well.
    Why do people tell lies? Specifically to ministers, but more generally as well.

    Rough answer, I suspect, is that it works for them better than always telling the truth. So we need to fix that. Which is some mixture of:

    Increasing the punishment for lying.
    Increasing the probability of being caught if you do tell a lie.
    Reducing the penalty for telling uncomfortable truths.

    My suspicion is that the last is where the best answer is. But I don't know how to get there. Indeed, with the rise of gotcha soundbite politics, we're probably further away than ever.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    edited January 2024

    What about all the boy scouts who've been and gone from time to time?
    Very odd suggestion if I may, given that boy scouts weren't supposed to lie but be true in (IIRC) thought, word and deed.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,296
    ...
    Nigelb said:

    To give isam some credit, he's made obvious efforts to be even handed on the PO thing today..
    Blaming Starmer AND Davey?
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,079
    edited January 2024

    It's funny though how the name on the media's (and your) lips is only Davey though.
    The focus on Davey is a big distraction from the bastards in the PO - the management, PR, legal, enforcement, IT. They are who we should be focusing on. How can we make sure they get screwed.
    EDIT And Fujitsu
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746

    Making deliberate lies in/to government Misconduct in a Public Office?
    I don’t think it would change much. People lie in court all the time despite perjury and contempt having been criminalised for centuries. The longer I work in the law the more I’m convinced that changing culture is more important than changing law. But how do you change culture?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180
    stodge said:

    The overnight airstrikes against the Houthis appear to have "degraded their capability" (nice turn of phrase) to attack shipping on the scale of Tuesday but I think we can assume any shortfall in missiles will be made up by Iran and North Korea in short order.

    Needless to say, the population in the Houthi controlled part of Yemen has reacted angrily to what has happened but that won't bother Washington or London too much. The strategic importance of the Bab-al-Mandab strait and the economic consequences of an oil price shock on already struggling economies (there was talk of a street party lovally to celebrate the 0.3% growth in November but we all realised it was too cold and we couldn't afford it).

    As to where we go from here, it depends on what the Houthi leadership decide. The problem is the anger of the population will likely re-enforce a radical position rather than one which recognises the infirmity of their situation. I suspect it won't be long before American warplanes are over Sana'a again.

    The American Armed forces are the most sophisticated and powerful the world has ever seen. I have little doubt that if someone was capable of taking out their command and control centres it would cause almost insuperable problems. I am ever more bemused, however, that they seem to think that the same applies to every rag tag bunch of guerrillas on the planet. It just ain't so.

    Anyone seriously believing that these raids degraded the capabilities of the Houthi rebels in any material sense has simply not being paying attention to the disasters in Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria, to name a few. It was a bizarre step. Lethal counterbattery attacks on anyone firing at ships would have worked so much better.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,240

    Making deliberate lies in/to government Misconduct in a Public Office?
    If you want to stop lying then you need to give reasons for people to tell the truth and reward them for doing so. Once whistle-blowers feel safe in their jobs, indeed rewarded and promoted for whistleblowing, they will do so. If you give people a reason to lie instead, such as firing the whistle blowers, then you will be fed on lies.

  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,296

    I would like to see mass resignations. Starting with @Casino_Royale whose finger pointing is a transparent cack-handed attempt at misdirection. @williamglenn, automatic troll bot, is long overdue another reboot. I assume a green authoritarian misanthropist in the @SandyRentool vein is next up? But he must go and go now. I will fall on my sword only when these two ludicrous imposters have departed the stage.
    If they go you can celebrate by spending a wedge of cash on a slap up Greggs.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,317

    ...

    Blaming Starmer AND Davey?
    I’ve never blamed either

    For some reason, I credit this site with having intelligent participants, who read what people
    post and debate with intellectual honesty. Half of them seem to be lawyers or have some kind of flashy learned profession, so why do people just make stuff up?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307

    It's funny though how the name on the media's (and your) lips is only Davey though.
    And why do you think that might be?

    I don't write the BBC, Times or Guardian articles.

    You think they're all in on it?
  • Barnesian said:

    The focus on Davey is a big distraction from the bastards in the PO - the management, PR, legal, enforcement, IT. They are who we should be focusing on. How can we make sure they get screwed.
    EDIT And Fujitsu
    I have little doubt all those you mention will be held accountable in time, and as far as Davey is concerned he has not helped his cause, a simple sorry when asked would have helped, not refusing 10 times
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,106
    DavidL said:

    The American Armed forces are the most sophisticated and powerful the world has ever seen. I have little doubt that if someone was capable of taking out their command and control centres it would cause almost insuperable problems. I am ever more bemused, however, that they seem to think that the same applies to every rag tag bunch of guerrillas on the planet. It just ain't so.

    Anyone seriously believing that these raids degraded the capabilities of the Houthi rebels in any material sense has simply not being paying attention to the disasters in Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria, to name a few. It was a bizarre step. Lethal counterbattery attacks on anyone firing at ships would have worked so much better.
    It only makes sense as a warning: desist or…. Something.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    DavidL said:

    The American Armed forces are the most sophisticated and powerful the world has ever seen. I have little doubt that if someone was capable of taking out their command and control centres it would cause almost insuperable problems. I am ever more bemused, however, that they seem to think that the same applies to every rag tag bunch of guerrillas on the planet. It just ain't so.

    Anyone seriously believing that these raids degraded the capabilities of the Houthi rebels in any material sense has simply not being paying attention to the disasters in Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria, to name a few. It was a bizarre step. Lethal counterbattery attacks on anyone firing at ships would have worked so much better.
    Er, not necessarily, on the latter point. Some missiles are simply fired and the crews then bugger off on their launching lorries before retaliation arrives. The A-4/V-2 fired from mobile launchers in 1944-45 is the classic example. RAF had to try and bumb the supply depots and routes for want of anything else - not as if they could monitor or bomb every bit of flat roadway in the Netherlands where some Germans might possibly rock up with a convoy, plink down the pad, raise the missile on the launcher, fuel up, fire and clear off.

    Nowadays there must be some other opportunity in terms of the target acquisition radars, but even those need not be very large or complex to pick up big cargo ships, I suppose.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,296
    isam said:

    I’ve never blamed either

    For some reason, I credit this site with having intelligent participants, who read what people
    post and debate with intellectual honesty. Half of them seem to be lawyers or have some kind of flashy learned profession, so why do people just make stuff up?
    Not me squire I am but an ill-educated serf.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,106

    Not me squire I am but an ill-educated serf.
    Count yourself lucky to be educated at all, serf.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,814
    Barnesian said:

    The focus on Davey is a big distraction from the bastards in the PO - the management, PR, legal, enforcement, IT. They are who we should be focusing on. How can we make sure they get screwed.
    EDIT And Fujitsu
    I think Fujitsu are being lined up to bear the brunt of it, and the Machiavelline cynic in me wonders if the recent Government contracts they've been awarded are extra juicy to take into account the compo that brave Sunak will manfully stamp his foot and force them to cough up.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Carnyx said:

    Two? Three? Or convenient error?
    Two. Read my post. Actually the real @SandyRentool should go and go now too. His hatred of food and living a good life in general grates daily. Go Sandy, and go now.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,296
    IanB2 said:

    Count yourself lucky to be educated at all, serf.
    When the next Sunak Government repeals the 1944 Education Act it is just a short trip to the workhouse.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    What about all the boy scouts who've been and gone from time to time?
    @TheLastBoyScout is one of the few PBers to emerge from this with any credit. Don’t try to slur him by association.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,307

    @TheLastBoyScout is one of the few PBers to emerge from this with any credit. Don’t try to slur him by association.
    Have you been drinking?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,106
    edited January 2024

    When the next Sunak Government repeals the 1944 Education Act it is just a short trip to the workhouse.
    I remember the Spitting Image sketch about Major and Co. smashing up number ten before the 1992 election, then returning after their surprise win to find the place trashed, as they had left it.

    If by some miracle Sunak wins, 2024 (/5) will be like that on steroids. They won’t have a clue what to do next - since who in the Tory election and manifesto planning outfit has any reason to be doing any hard thinking about the country’s deep problems, right now?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    If they go you can celebrate by spending a wedge of cash on a slap up Greggs.
    Why would you wish that fate on me?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    @Mexicanpete should go. And go now. Boring.
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,213
    This thread has been found to have less comments than it should have by dodgy software
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 4,499

    And why do you think that might be?

    I don't write the BBC, Times or Guardian articles.

    You think they're all in on it?
    The media are as much followers as leaders. It's easy for the client media to lay an aniseed trail for others to follow. Like drag hunting. They then stand back and admire their handywork. This is Sunak's Uxbridge ULEZ, followed by Houthi bombing being Sunak's Falklands. The Tories are desperate to save a few tory blue wall seats.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,296

    Why would you wish that fate on me?
    I had my late lunch at the Gregg's on the Pershore by pass yesterday. Mmmm, egg mayonnaise filling between shoe leather.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    Have you been drinking?
    Why are you still here?

    In the name of God, go.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,296

    Have you been drinking?
    A pint of Greggs' finest Americano I suspect.
  • Alphabet_SoupAlphabet_Soup Posts: 3,589
    edited January 2024
    ...
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,144
    DavidL said:

    Apologies for going O/T so quickly but for those who questioned the security aspects of exploiting the North Sea to its maximum: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-67947795

    David, just to address your point earlier: In 2021, The UK exports of oil in 2021 were £28 billion, while imports were £30 billion. Most of those imports were from Norway.

    Despite our near self-reliance for oil, and close relationship with the stable and friendly Norway, our economy is still vulnerable to global energy markets. Increasing production in the North Sea would have a minuscule effect on oil prices in those markets.

    To be fair, the same weakness applies to renewables in the short term. I was on a 100% renewable tariff yet Ukraine still smashed my energy bill.

    In the long term, energy security in a WW3 scenario will come from 100% domestic renewable production of electricity, replacing our reliance on gas imports from Qatar. In terms of the energy markets, it will come from eroding the influence of our adversaries on those markets by encouraging renewables in Europe, USA, Canada...

    However, there is a strong economic case for the NE. I have several friends employed in O&G from that part of Scotland. But that's a different argument.

  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746
    Barnesian said:

    The focus on Davey is a big distraction from the bastards in the PO - the management, PR, legal, enforcement, IT. They are who we should be focusing on. How can we make sure they get screwed.
    EDIT And Fujitsu
    I’m banging on about this but, speaking as a lawyer, the lawyers should be hung out to dry. The withholding of evidence was against the basic duties we are taught on day 1.
  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,641

    I had my late lunch at the Gregg's on the Pershore by pass yesterday. Mmmm, egg mayonnaise filling between shoe leather.
    You can't beat Gregg's sausage rolls 👍
This discussion has been closed.