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New YouGov polling finds Tory collapse in its its heartlands – politicalbetting.com

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  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,154
    Carnyx said:

    Scots-American. Libraries all over Scotland, a Carnegie fund which is still working, etc. etc. Edit: all very muich self-help, wortk hard and you can be a rich bastard like me etc. (NB. Have not read his writings in detail to check how far he qualified that message.)

    His idea of a holiday but and ben was Skibo Castle.

    The Carnegie Birthplace is quite something, to be seen on a day out to Dunfermline besides the abbey and palace.

    He was born in *one* of those two weaver's cottages. To which he added this commeorative extension ...

    And he funded the Diplodocus dinosaur skeleton excavation, now in the museum at Pittsburgh, and the many plaster casts given to crowned heads (in preference) across the world.

    Though not sure about his PR skills re such things as the Pittsburgh steel strike and armed putdown.


    https://www.google.com/maps/@56.067968,-3.4616145,3a,90y,82.76h,77.49t/data=!3m7!1e1!3m5!1sQCSZa6slmlWn6St5MUQBaQ!2e0!6shttps://streetviewpixels-pa.googleapis.com/v1/thumbnail?panoid=QCSZa6slmlWn6St5MUQBaQ&cb_client=maps_sv.tactile.gps&w=203&h=100&yaw=156.65083&pitch=0&thumbfov=100!7i16384!8i8192?entry=ttu

    https://www.google.com/maps/place/Andrew+Carnegie+Birthplace+Museum/@56.0679273,-3.4614135,60m/data=!3m1!1e3!4m6!3m5!1s0x4887d2208aae94ad:0xc79246be42aba1c0!8m2!3d56.0679133!4d-3.4611761!16s/g/1wd3vmqg?entry=ttu
    Yes I think that's the fella, thank you. "Look I am wonderful! I have built things for the poor, who love me. Huzzah for Carnegie!" whilst breaking striker's knees with baseball bats.

    Time for an amusing Alisdair Beckett-King: Every Evil Emperor
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    eek said:

    If it came from MalcolmG we probably ignored it as the whingeing of an old (I'm alright, Jock) man...
    The amusing thing was that he referred to young people as "whingers". It is rare to come across someone with so little self awareness and propensity for psychological projection.
  • AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,005

    The powered scooter Just Eats are even worse – appear from behind a tree/wheelie bin and cut up every road user in the postcode.
    My niece only yesterday got knocked down by a food delivery company e-bike rider when crossing a pedestrian crossing in London (light was green for pedestrians). Didn't stop and went on their way. She is ok but got lots of brusing and cuts down her arm. Black cabby apparently jumped out his cab to shout and swear at the rider whilst several others stopped to help her.

    Obviously no registration plate on the e-bike to track down. She is going to raise it with the well known food delivery company. There is a strong case for registration plates of some description for e-bikes and e-scooters in my view.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    edited June 2023
    148grss said:

    I'm sorry, but when hubris meets nemesis then catharsis happens.

    A load of rich people ignored a load of safety standards to go oggle a well known monument to hubris and catastrophe, and then disappear? If that were in a modern retelling of An Inspector Calls, that would be considered too on the nose, not subtle enough, a bit heavy handed.
    The people involved are still human beings, with families and friends.

    It’s not surprising that some idiots don’t have an ounce of compassion in their bodies though, and instead decide to embody David Cameron’s famous remark about Twitter.

    There are plenty of off-colour jokes that could be made about a tragedy. This isn’t one of them.
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761

    The amusing thing was that he referred to young people as "whingers". It is rare to come across someone with so little self awareness and propensity for psychological projection.
    Malcolm is a word which has got me banned twice. So I will call him a fucktard instead
  • 148grss148grss Posts: 4,155

    I am ready for a fight. I genuinely hate the people who have been so protected whilst we get fucked.

    Put our lives on hold. Fucked.

    We should have all refused to lock down, it was a complete waste of time for us. The people protected will be dead soon, we've got years of this shit to come.

    I am so, so angry. I have no confidence Labour will sort it out - but the priority is getting Little Rishi and his bunch of fucktards out.

    I partly agree, and partly very much disagree. We could have an economic system that protects the elderly and the young. Instead a concerted effort by those in power to cater specifically to the elderly has rotted the brains of many a boomer. Yes, there is intergenerational warfare, but it is not the elderly who are to blame, rather the capitalist indoctrination they have been fed over decades. I would also argue that lock down was good, as a 32 year old who caught covid last year and is still feeling the negative effects of Long Covid, and imagining how much worse that would be personally if I wasn't vaxxed / got it pre-vax, and how much worse off everyone would be if that was repeated across the entire population.

    Maybe I'm biased coz I love my grandparents dearly and they are both not quite boomers, having been children during WW2 rather than being born after it and are also pretty lefty themselves; my Great Nan having literally hosted Communist meetings in her council house kitchen in the post war era.
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761
    We should never have locked down the young.

    We should have resisted and gone about our lives. What a complete shower. Fuck Johnson, fuck Rishi and fuck the Tories. And fuck Labour too for good measure.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585
    Leon said:

    I want apologies from

    @Nigelb

    @Foxy

    @kinabalu

    @Malmesbury

    @turbotubbs

    @JosiasJessop


    To start with. My righteous and vindicated wrath might - MIGHT - be mollified with large sums of cash, in brown envelopes. Maybe. If you're lucky

    Apologies for what? For saying that natural sources of pandemics are by far the most likely explanation? As indeed they are?

    Can I double or quits on UAP NOT being revealed to be actual alien space-craft, zooming round and crashing with alarming regularity?
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,182

    Malcolm is a word which has got me banned twice. So I will call him a fucktard instead
    Don’t be daft.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,879
    148grss said:

    I'm sorry, but when hubris meets nemesis then catharsis happens.

    A load of rich people ignored a load of safety standards to go oggle a well known monument to hubris and catastrophe, and then disappear? If that were in a modern retelling of An Inspector Calls, that would be considered too on the nose, not subtle enough, a bit heavy handed.
    Some of those on the boat were explorers, one had been to the edge of space and held the record for the longest duration at full ocean depth for a crewed vessel. Just because they knew the risks does not mean we should not mourn their potential passing, they were natural risk takers but then if humanity never took risks it would never explore or find new things.

    Economic migrants also take risks crossing the seas and channel when it would be safer on that score to stay in their home county doesn't mean we don't also mourn their loss if their boats sink and they drown
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761
    148grss said:

    I partly agree, and partly very much disagree. We could have an economic system that protects the elderly and the young. Instead a concerted effort by those in power to cater specifically to the elderly has rotted the brains of many a boomer. Yes, there is intergenerational warfare, but it is not the elderly who are to blame, rather the capitalist indoctrination they have been fed over decades. I would also argue that lock down was good, as a 32 year old who caught covid last year and is still feeling the negative effects of Long Covid, and imagining how much worse that would be personally if I wasn't vaxxed / got it pre-vax, and how much worse off everyone would be if that was repeated across the entire population.

    Maybe I'm biased coz I love my grandparents dearly and they are both not quite boomers, having been children during WW2 rather than being born after it and are also pretty lefty themselves; my Great Nan having literally hosted Communist meetings in her council house kitchen in the post war era.
    I didn't say all elderly people, I said some. The ones who call me lazy and feckless for a start, fuck them.

    I believe me putting my life on hold was a waste of time and I bitterly regret doing it out of kindness. I really do at this point with some of the shit these people say to me.

    Good response though.


  • The level of hypocrisy on this board is astonishing.

    It peaked when you called someone else an attention seeker yesterday
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761

    Apologies for what? For saying that natural sources of pandemics are by far the most likely explanation? As indeed they are?

    Can I double or quits on UAP NOT being revealed to be actual alien space-craft, zooming round and crashing with alarming regularity?
    Just ignore the absolute helmet that is Leon. You are spot on as usual.
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761
    edited June 2023

    Don’t be daft.

    How about some sympathy for what we are going through. Anyone?
  • The amusing thing was that he referred to young people as "whingers". It is rare to come across someone with so little self awareness and propensity for psychological projection.
    I don't know what anyone on the site looks like, but I have my own mental images. In Malcolm's case, it's Father Jack from Father Ted, but with a Scottish accent.
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761
    edited June 2023

    It peaked when you called someone else an attention seeker yesterday
    You can fuck off and all. Address the points I made or get to fuck.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,282

    I am ready for a fight. I genuinely hate the people who have been so protected whilst we get fucked.

    Put our lives on hold. Fucked.

    We should have all refused to lock down, it was a complete waste of time for us. The people protected will be dead soon, we've got years of this shit to come.

    I am so, so angry. I have no confidence Labour will sort it out - but the priority is getting Little Rishi and his bunch of fucktards out.

    Proportional representation is the best hope for shaking up British politics. I'm hoping it happens, even though it'll give lots of seats to parties I don't agree with like the Greens.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,879
    edited June 2023
    148grss said:

    You say that as if that would just be the natural outcome or it would happen in a vacuum. Like it's just a consequence of a law of physics rather than a concerted political effort that people choose to make.

    This is why socialists argue "socialism or barbarism". The right and centre (and capital) are much more willing to make peace with the far right than they are to give up an inch and move slightly further left. Corbyn had many faults, but his policy positions were not that radical in the grand scheme of history. They are radical now, but that's because the base line of acceptable policy is anything to the left of Thatcher / Blair on the economy is literal Communism. The outrage at the idea that maybe having functional broadband infrastructure for a modern economy as "Broadband Communism" when it was just... infrastructure spending to boost productivity and economic growth, something the New Deal would have done if it were implemented today. I know New Dealism was, at the time, considered a Communist plot by some of the most frothing at the brain right wingers, but what it did was create the broad base working and middle class of a functioning capitalist society by allowing the rich to still get very rich, but making sure that wealth was redistributed to smooth out too much profit seeking and labour discipline. It saved capitalism from itself - boom and bust cycles, monopolies and Robber Barons. That we are closer to the Gilded age then we are the post-war consensus is telling.
    No we aren't. We have an NHS, unemployment benefits even non contributory via UC, a minimum wage, 40% going to university.

    We didn't have any of the above in the 1920s, indeed the Poor Law wasn't repealed and Workhouses weren't formally abolished until 1948
  • You can fuck off and all. Address the points I made or get to fuck.
    Someone tickle his chin
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761
    Farooq said:

    Je Suis Horse
    Why don't you engage in the conversation whilst going off on a tangent?

    Can nobody here get satire seriously? I was obviously taking the piss out of Leon going off on his tangents, Jesus Christ didn't realise I needed to label the joke.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,182
    My 88 year old father was a keen remainer.
    He’s largely a rentier this stage, although for reasons he has a small mortgage still.

    I think he is in the pre-boomer generation which saw closer integration with the EU as good both in terms of greater freedom and as a response to the War.
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761
    Andy_JS said:

    Proportional representation is the best hope for shaking up British politics. I'm hoping it happens, even though it'll give lots of seats to parties I don't agree with like the Greens.
    It won't with Labour in charge.
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,243

    I don't know what anyone on the site looks like, but I have my own mental images. In Malcolm's case, it's Father Jack from Father Ted, but with a Scottish accent.
    And a slightly less wide vocabulary.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724

    You can fuck off and all. Address the points I made or get to fuck.
    That’s us told.
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761

    It seems like we are now going to pay the price for not having a proper reset post-2008. That was when we should have turned away from running the economy on perpetual house price inflation but instead we doubled-down.

    Rishi Sunak will get the blame, but from a Tory perspective it was Cameron's coalition government that really blew the chance to sort out the economy.

    Excellent post. 100% agree.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785

    I am ready for a fight. I genuinely hate the people who have been so protected whilst we get fucked.

    Put our lives on hold. Fucked.

    We should have all refused to lock down, it was a complete waste of time for us. The people protected will be dead soon, we've got years of this shit to come.

    I am so, so angry. I have no confidence Labour will sort it out - but the priority is getting Little Rishi and his bunch of fucktards out.

    Labour rarely sorts anything out.

    But joking aside, the younger generation do have legitimate complaint, though in my experience it is a little simplistic to make demographic divisions. There are plenty of entitled oldies and entitled youngers. There are plenty of whinging oldies and whinging youngsters. There are also those that work bloody hard, don't blame others and become a success in life however that looks, because they seize the day and look for the bright spots rather than the dark.

    There are plenty of reasons why we (particularly those in UK) should all be very grateful for the times we live in, despite Brexit, incoming Labour governments, Putin etc. Let us be grateful we were not born in Mariupol.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,223
    edited June 2023
    Sandpit said:

    The people involved are still human beings, with families and friends.

    It’s not surprising that some idiots don’t have an ounce of compassion in their bodies though, and instead decide to embody David Cameron’s famous remark about Twitter.

    There are plenty of off-colour jokes that could be made about a tragedy. This isn’t one of them.
    All about context aint it?
    I do recall some PBers revelling in the no doubt frequently unpleasant deaths of Russian conscripts being fed into the mincing machine. I imagine most of them had families and friends.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,182

    How about some sympathy for what we are going through. Anyone?
    I have my own view of the c-words on here.
    Doesn’t include Malcom.
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761

    Labour rarely sorts anything out.

    But joking aside, the younger generation do have legitimate complaint, though in my experience it is a little simplistic to make demographic divisions. There are plenty of entitled oldies and entitled youngers. There are plenty of whinging oldies and whinging youngsters. There are also those that work bloody hard, don't blame others and become a success in life however that looks, because they seize the day and look for the bright spots rather than the dark.

    There are plenty of reasons why we (particularly those in UK) should all be very grateful for the times we live in, despite Brexit, incoming Labour governments, Putin etc. Let us be grateful we were not born in Mariupol.
    You make a good point but I was addressing the overwhelming feeling we get from the media and so on who amplify it. I recall the week we spent discussing avocado on toast.

    I am not saying all elderly people are bad - but a large minority give the rest a bad name. And for them I am afraid I regret putting my life on hold.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,276

    I am ready for a fight. I genuinely hate the people who have been so protected whilst we get fucked.

    Put our lives on hold. Fucked.

    We should have all refused to lock down, it was a complete waste of time for us. The people protected will be dead soon, we've got years of this shit to come.

    I am so, so angry. I have no confidence Labour will sort it out - but the priority is getting Little Rishi and his bunch of fucktards out.

    Re: your mortgage affordability I have great sympathy but without meaning to pry I shall pry and ask whether you are interest only or repayment?

    I've only ever had a interest-only mortgage and consequently have very low monthly costs with large tolerance for rates increasing - and I reduce capital in chunks on an ad hoc basis. I'm wondering whether people with repayment mortgages realise this is an option with lenders (there may need to be some equity in the property). The other thing to consider is extending the term.
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761

    I have my own view of the c-words on here.
    Doesn’t include Malcom.
    I am sure I am high on the list of c words on this board for some - but at this point I frankly don't care. Would rather be myself and fight the corner of young people that get so bitterly attacked here every day from a select few.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,243

    As someone who walks, cycles and drives, I'd put it like this: cycling on pavements is okay *at times*. Forcing pedestrians on pavements to make way for you *is not okay*, especially if you are going it at speed.

    And this happens a lot. It is all about consideration for others: cyclists want (reasonably) to be treated with respect by other road users. They should also consider other road - and pavement - users. This seems a strange concept to some of the cycling lobby, for whom the main demand appears to be for *them* to get as quickly from A to B as they can, and sod anyone else.
    Yep. Agreed (as cyclist, driver and pedestrian).

    Basic rule - look after the person slower/more vulnerable than you and be patient. If you're a driver, that means cyclists, pedestrians, horses etc. If you're a cyclist it means pedestrians. Hell, if you're a pedestrian it means getting out of the way of the doddery old lady with the stick coming towards you.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,450

    Let me guess: you have lots of cash savings but no mortgage?
    I think the big mistake has been not raising rates gradually, from about 2013 or so. I think that would have cooled the housing market, without running the risk of having people repossessed, when mortgage rates spike.

    I know from personal experience, from thirty years ago, just how worrying this is.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785

    I don't know what anyone on the site looks like, but I have my own mental images. In Malcolm's case, it's Father Jack from Father Ted, but with a Scottish accent.
    Yes but Father Jack was actually funny. Malcolm is a bore.
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761

    Yes but Father Jack was actually funny. Malcolm is a bore.

    He is vile and a nasty piece of work, happily cheered on by a few Tories.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Sandpit said:

    The people involved are still human beings, with families and friends.

    It’s not surprising that some idiots don’t have an ounce of compassion in their bodies though, and instead decide to embody David Cameron’s famous remark about Twitter.

    There are plenty of off-colour jokes that could be made about a tragedy. This isn’t one of them.
    Here we go - a joke. Where tragedy meets comedy.

  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585

    I am also similar age to the poster above, the Tories and their friends call me entitled and lazy despite the fact I have worked every day since I was 18 years old. Fuck off.
    Different lives. My parents (now in their late 70's and early 80's) grew up in an era before easy credit, but at a time when buying a house was possible, and only one parent needed to work, so mum stayed at home until us kids were at school. We only holidayed in England, but we did get away. Life was generally simpler. If you wanted stuff you had to save up, but generally there was a lot less stuff to buy.

    Nowadays its really hard to get on the housing ladder (we were lucky and were gifted a deposit and both have good salaries, and don't want to live in London or indeed Bath), uni, where 50 % of kids are strongly pushed to, costs lots of money that is borrowed, and credit is easy to obtain. The culture of buy now, pay later is embedded and so people are not used to delayed gratification. The mountain of saving required to get that deposit is not easy, and just 'not having that latte' isn't the answer.

    That said, despite the struggles for the youngsters today, there are compensations. Modern life is great, for the most part, for most people. I don't think many would seriously want to be sent back in time to the 1960's, when my parents were becoming adults.
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761
    Farooq said:

    I think everyone on here takes your jokes seriously..
    Well they shouldn't. My sense of humour in general is sarcasm. So please be aware of that, since my mental health has improved over the last year I've been able to withstand mostly everything thrown at me as I used to be able to.

    Sorry you didn't get the joke - but it was intended ass one.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,513
    Sean_F said:

    I think the big mistake has been not raising rates gradually, from about 2013 or so. I think that would have cooled the housing market, without running the risk of having people repossessed, when mortgage rates spike.

    I know from personal experience, from thirty years ago, just how worrying this is.
    Yep, it's not rocket science. At the latest, rates should have started to go up as oil prices tumbled in autumn 2014.
  • 148grss148grss Posts: 4,155
    Sandpit said:

    The people involved are still human beings, with families and friends.

    It’s not surprising that some idiots don’t have an ounce of compassion in their bodies though, and instead decide to embody David Cameron’s famous remark about Twitter.

    There are plenty of off-colour jokes that could be made about a tragedy. This isn’t one of them.
    Of course they are human beings; hubris is something that can only happen to humans.

    People die every day, sometimes tragically. 500 migrants die in a boat of the coast of Greece and some people in this country look at that as good, and want to see more of that happen in the Channel.

    Orca posting, not caring about this submarine, people celebrating when bad people die happens because lots of people recognise that lots of really rich people aren't happy that they have immense wealth, but that we have to treat them like royalty as well. To which I say bollocks. Most people cannot dream of quarter of a million pounds. Of course seeing people spending that when you can barely pay rent or feed your kids or enjoy life will lead to some of these reactions.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,276

    We should never have locked down the young.

    We should have resisted and gone about our lives. What a complete shower. Fuck Johnson, fuck Rishi and fuck the Tories. And fuck Labour too for good measure.

    Labour was the main cheerleader, of course.

    Interesting to see some influential minds are changing:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/20/lockdown-damaged-a-generation-sally-davies-inquiry-covid/
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761
    Stocky said:

    Labour was the main cheerleader, of course.

    Interesting to see some influential minds are changing:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/06/20/lockdown-damaged-a-generation-sally-davies-inquiry-covid/
    Labour is starting to lose my confidence.
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761
    https://twitter.com/Peston/status/1671872949748396033/photo/1



    The man could not look more out of touch if he tried. Jesus Christ.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585

    I said we should have let elderly people be protected during COVID and let us all go on about our lives. I received a strong and vocal response that I said I was being ageist and nasty.

    Yet anyone can call young people feckless, lazy, stupid, woke and nobody bats an eyelid. No such such as being youngist!

    The truth is, you oldies have fucked it for the young of this country. We are fed up and angry with you (not all of you but a lot of you).

    I think this idea is nonsense. Many many younger people died of covid in the first year. It was not just a threat to the over 70's. And if we had done as you now suggest (after your Damascene conversion on lockdowns) the hospitals would have been overwhelmed with covid patients when you presented with something else and didn't get treated.

    Success of lockdowns has led, as predicted, to people saying they weren't needed.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,475

    The 5% raise is just the latest kick in the teeth. I do not know how I am going to afford my mortgage when my fixed rate ends, I have no confidence the next lot will help me.

    Aspire to own a home they said, I worked hard, got a better job, got a pay rise and I get fucked over. The elderly get a free ride.

    I should migrate. I really should.

    Why don’t you then ?

    If I was young I would.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,204

    The 5% raise is just the latest kick in the teeth. I do not know how I am going to afford my mortgage when my fixed rate ends, I have no confidence the next lot will help me.

    Aspire to own a home they said, I worked hard, got a better job, got a pay rise and I get fucked over. The elderly get a free ride.

    I should migrate. I really should.

    How long have you got till that particular kick in the teeth day ?
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761
    Taz said:

    Why don’t you then ?

    If I was young I would.
    Because I can't afford to. Right now the jobs market is in a bad place and moving now would be a big risk for me.
  • MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855

    Apologies for what? For saying that natural sources of pandemics are by far the most likely explanation? As indeed they are?

    ...
    Dear old Tommy Bayes went right by you, didn't he?

    Are all likelihoods in your view invariant over time?
  • An old recipe (this is from an 1862 book) for Peace Soup


  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761

    I think this idea is nonsense. Many many younger people died of covid in the first year. It was not just a threat to the over 70's. And if we had done as you now suggest (after your Damascene conversion on lockdowns) the hospitals would have been overwhelmed with covid patients when you presented with something else and didn't get treated.

    Success of lockdowns has led, as predicted, to people saying they weren't needed.
    Lockdown was successful at saving lives, I never disagreed with that. I cheerlead for them after all.

    They were pointless because the impact on the country has been worse than if we'd not bothered. If you are under 45 honestly what has been the upside?
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,276
    Taz said:

    Why don’t you then ?

    If I was young I would.
    Jeez, so would I. Trouble is later in life with family and elderly parents and network of friends it's nowhere near as doable.
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761
    Pulpstar said:

    How long have you got till that particular kick in the teeth day ?
    A while yet - but I have absolutely no confidence this issue is going to be resolved.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,879
  • I think this idea is nonsense. Many many younger people died of covid in the first year. It was not just a threat to the over 70's. And if we had done as you now suggest (after your Damascene conversion on lockdowns) the hospitals would have been overwhelmed with covid patients when you presented with something else and didn't get treated.

    Success of lockdowns has led, as predicted, to people saying they weren't needed.
    That's a bit head I win, tails you lose, logic by you there though.

    You can claim they were needed because they worked, but where's the evidence for that?

    Sweden did better than us in preserving liberty and they didn't exactly all die in Sweden as a result now, did they?
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,513
    Sandpit said:

    Here we go - a joke. Where tragedy meets comedy.

    This is a good one:

    https://twitter.com/JonnyGabriel/status/1671827237224562689
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761
    "All of you need to have trust in your politicians"

    PM Rishi Sunak tells business leaders in Kent he's "a different kind of politician" and wants to "change things"

    https://twitter.com/BBCPolitics/status/1671879687407276032

    Goodness me. What a travesty of a speech.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785

    You make a good point but I was addressing the overwhelming feeling we get from the media and so on who amplify it. I recall the week we spent discussing avocado on toast.

    I am not saying all elderly people are bad - but a large minority give the rest a bad name. And for them I am afraid I regret putting my life on hold.
    It wasn't just older people that were killed by Covid. Yes they were disproportionately effected. The lockdowns were not designed to save the elderly, they were designed to save our healthcare system. Funnily enough, the one system in Europe that is closest to our mad NHS system had no lockdown at all (Sweden). It will be interesting to reflect on which government got it right.

    Lockdown was pretty shit. But if you want to focus on the bright side by contrasting with the darkest, imagine what it must be like for those people in Ukraine at the moment, or even the parents of Russian soldiers. They really have had a lot to complain about.
  • 148grss148grss Posts: 4,155

    I didn't say all elderly people, I said some. The ones who call me lazy and feckless for a start, fuck them.

    I believe me putting my life on hold was a waste of time and I bitterly regret doing it out of kindness. I really do at this point with some of the shit these people say to me.

    Good response though.
    I get it - I had the whole "I'm turning 30 and want to find a partner and get my life together and celebrate with friends" thing collapse, my 30th in lockdown, 2 years not seeing family except on screen, it was awful - but I do think at the end of the day it was probably the right course of action for the health of most people, especially the most vulnerable. It isn't helped by the attitude of many people here, I agree, but this isn't a reddit page - it's a political betting one; a subset of people interested in politics who are also nominally interested in betting on it - so a group that trends towards older with disposable income to lose on bets.

    They aren't everyone, and that sacrifice you made out of empathy for your fellow person is important. I'm glad the brain rot of "everyone is an island" and "there is no such thing as society, only the individual and the family unit" is less so in our generation. We can build something new. Unfortunately it does seem like it will have to be out of the ashes of the old, even if it would be preferable to not have to have everything burn down around us.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,557
    Leon said:

    THIS is now confirmed by the Wall Street Journal AND the New York Times, all info released by officials of the Biden admin



    "That a pandemic caused by a bat coronavirus started in the city with the world’s largest programme of research into bat coronaviruses was always intriguing. That among the first people to get ill with allegedly Covid-like symptoms in the month the pandemic began were three scientists working in that lab was highly suspicious.

    "Now that we know their names, we find one of them was collecting what turned out to be the closest cousins of Sars-CoV-2 at the time, and another was doing the very experiments that could have created the virus. These revelations make it almost a slam dunk for the coronavirus lab-leak hypothesis."

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/wuhan-clan-we-finally-know-the-identity-of-the-scientists-in-the-lab-linked-to-covid/

    That's it. Game over

    I am available for personal apologies via DM, if that is emotionally impossible, you can buy me a bottle of decent English fizz. Thanks

    No problem, @Leon. Would you prefer Adnams Southwold Bitter or Rudgate Ruby Mild?
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761
    Farooq said:

    Rishi: "It's ok, we're going to get through this"
    Worker: "That's good to hear, prime minister. What is being done to ensure that we do get through this, because I'm still a bit worried about—"
    Rishi: "No, sorry, you misunderstood. We're" [gestures towards Akshata Murthy] "going to get through this. You? You're fucked."
    ...


  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585

    I am also similar age to the poster above, the Tories and their friends call me entitled and lazy despite the fact I have worked every day since I was 18 years old. Fuck off.
    Different lives. My parents (now in their late 70's and early 80's) grew up in an era before easy credit, but at a time when buying a house was possible, and only one parent needed to work, so mum stayed at home until us kids were at school. We only holidayed in England, but we did get away. Life was generally simpler. If you wanted stuff you had to save up, but generally there was a lot less stuff to buy.

    Nowadays its really hard to get on the housing ladder (we were lucky and were gifted a deposit and both have good salaries, and don't want to live in London or indeed Bath), uni, where 50 % of kids are strongly pushed to, costs lots of money that is borrowed, and credit is easy to obtain. The culture of buy now, pay later is embedded and so people are not used to delayed gratification. The mountain of saving required to get that deposit is not easy,
    Miklosvar said:

    Dear old Tommy Bayes went right by you, didn't he?

    Are all likelihoods in your view invariant over time?
    I am open to this being a lab leak. Lots of evidence has accrued over time that points that way. I change my views when evidence changes. A bit like on the old quiz show, which I believe is a good example of Bayesian statistics.

    Didn't you used to post as someone else rather acerbic?
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761

    It wasn't just older people that were killed by Covid. Yes they were disproportionately effected. The lockdowns were not designed to save the elderly, they were designed to save our healthcare system. Funnily enough, the one system in Europe that is closest to our mad NHS system had no lockdown at all (Sweden). It will be interesting to reflect on which government got it right.

    Lockdown was pretty shit. But if you want to focus on the bright side by contrasting with the darkest, imagine what it must be like for those people in Ukraine at the moment, or even the parents of Russian soldiers. They really have had a lot to complain about.
    It's not just lockdown, it is the aftermath. Young people had their lives put on hold because it was the right thing to do yet we are basically now fending for ourselves.

    Rishi says he wants to help, has literally anything he's done been aimed at anyone under the age of 90?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,050
    Waste of space...


    @AndrewSparrow
    Sunak says 'standards matter' - but he again refuses to say if he agrees with privilege committee findings about Boris Johnson -
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,182

    https://twitter.com/Peston/status/1671872949748396033/photo/1



    The man could not look more out of touch if he tried. Jesus Christ.

    Crisis? What crisis?
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,475
    Farooq said:

    Je Suis Horse
    https://youtu.be/tSsuohepbVk
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,050
    WTAF?

    @AdamBienkov
    Rishi Sunak tells an IKEA worker, whose family is struggling to get treatment on the NHS, that he has a "really, really good plan" to solve the problem, which involves "being a bit clever about how we do things."
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,487
    I'm sitting at the umpteenth bar in the sunshine by a lock gate with only a few km to go and it will all be over. Bizarrely in addition to the two of us the only other thing sitting on a bar chair is a goat.

    So 3 firsts for me this trip. My first earthquake, a crayfish nowhere near water and a goat sitting on a bar chair. He didn't even buy his round.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585

    Lockdown was successful at saving lives, I never disagreed with that. I cheerlead for them after all.

    They were pointless because the impact on the country has been worse than if we'd not bothered. If you are under 45 honestly what has been the upside?
    How sure are you that this is true though? The first lockdown was essential to prevent hospitals stopping working (as pretty much happened in Italy). If that happens a lot more people die that could have lived.

    The later lockdowns came about for various reasons, but at heart, without the vaccines, the death toll was too high for society to stand (see the vast support for lockdowns and restrictions in society). We made a lot of mistakes. Probably could have had a lot more outdoor mixing all through. Eat out to help out, but only outside. Better support for those isolating, so that they could afford to. But its not that obvious that the economy would have been better off.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,279
    edited June 2023
    For the last few minutes, I've been serenaded by what (*) is the sound of Merlin engines, as two Spitfires (*) play overhead.

    Magnificent.

    (*) I think.
  • It's not just lockdown, it is the aftermath. Young people had their lives put on hold because it was the right thing to do yet we are basically now fending for ourselves.

    Rishi says he wants to help, has literally anything he's done been aimed at anyone under the age of 90?
    Yes, he put up National Insurance. Only those of us who work for a living pay that, not those living on triple-locked welfare.

    OK being serious, yes, furlough was aimed under 90. Though I have my suspicions that Sunak was less keen on furlough than he made out, indeed I've heard a rumour (completely unsubstantiated so dismiss if you want) that the reason Sunak was utterly opposed to Boris's Whatsapp messages being released is that one of them would say on it basically that Sunak didn't want to do furlough as it was too expensive and Boris basically saying "just do it" or something like that.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,050
    "I'm totally 100% on it and it's going to be ok."

    OH PHEW!

    I was very anxious he was only "on it" a bit. 👀~AA

    https://twitter.com/BestForBritain/status/1671874969750618113


    This is karma. We used to poke fun at the US for choosing an Apprentice boss as President and now we've ended up with an first-week-elimination Apprentice contestant as PM. ~AA
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585

    That's a bit head I win, tails you lose, logic by you there though.

    You can claim they were needed because they worked, but where's the evidence for that?

    Sweden did better than us in preserving liberty and they didn't exactly all die in Sweden as a result now, did they?
    Sweden is not the UK. Compared to Norway etc Sweden did considerably worse.

    I hope that the inquiry will lead to a better strategy, should such a situation ever arise again.
  • 148grss148grss Posts: 4,155

    Lockdown was successful at saving lives, I never disagreed with that. I cheerlead for them after all.

    They were pointless because the impact on the country has been worse than if we'd not bothered. If you are under 45 honestly what has been the upside?
    Another few years with most of my grandparents, great aunts and great uncles.

    My grandad is now 92 and still healthy, but has a bit of smokers lung from smoking from 14 - 50. If he got covid he would not have made it, and my nan who is in her mid 80s would not have lasted long after him, or if she got covid. I know not everyone can point to their nan, or grandad, and say they made it through - but we did what we did in the hope that most of our loved ones would. I lost one grandparent to complications associated with covid (she was slowly on her way out and that kicked her through the door, so not the real cause of death), but it could have been so much worse, and so much worse for so many more people.

    I can't say I did it for the economy, because I didn't. I can't say I did it out of stiff upper lipness, because I didn't. I did it because I didn't want to take action that would result in the deaths of the vulnerable and old, like my grandparents, and I hoped other people would do the same.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,050

    For the last few minutes, I've been serenaded by what (*) is the sound of Merlin engines, as two Spitfires (*) play overhead.

    Magnificent.

    (*) I think.

    You are in the right part of the World for Duxford. Air show this weekend!
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761
    Following the Privileges Committee report vote, Rishi Sunak and Boris Johnson have seen their net favourability scores take a hit

    Rishi Sunak: net -34 (down 6 from 15-16 June)
    Boris Johnson: -52 (down 8)
    Keir Starmer: -14 (up 9)

    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1671829866927226880

    Sunak on his way down down to JC levels now.
  • .

    Sweden is not the UK. Compared to Norway etc Sweden did considerably worse.

    I hope that the inquiry will lead to a better strategy, should such a situation ever arise again.
    On what metric did Sweden do considerably worse than Norway?

    On the metric of preserving liberty Sweden did far, far, far better than Norway.

    According to the less-important metric of deaths that was presented in the media yesterday, Sweden did better than Norway too.

    image
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761
    Rishi Sunak ends the Q+A by praising the warehouse workers for being "incredibly eloquent".

    https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/1671883061640974336

    Cheers Rishi mate
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,050
    @RobDotHutton
    In about five days, Sunak will finally crack and concede that Boris Johnson lied to Parliament, and that it would have been better if he hadn't, and by that stage, he'll just look fantastically weak.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,243

    .

    On what metric did Sweden do considerably worse than Norway?

    On the metric of preserving liberty Sweden did far, far, far better than Norway.

    According to the less-important metric of deaths that was presented in the media yesterday, Sweden did better than Norway too.

    image
    Sweden had 12 times the number of covid deaths per capita compared to Noway. And that metric you presented for deaths has alredy been completely debunked and heavily criticised by - the Swedes.
  • 148grss148grss Posts: 4,155

    It's not just lockdown, it is the aftermath. Young people had their lives put on hold because it was the right thing to do yet we are basically now fending for ourselves.

    Rishi says he wants to help, has literally anything he's done been aimed at anyone under the age of 90?
    I would say that the negatives for young people would have happened covid or not - capitalism wants to extract more value from it's workers to create growth, the easiest way to do that is to pay workers less relative to the value they create, or lay them off completely. Covid exacerbated and highlighted some of these worst things, but if it wasn't covid it would be climate change, or inflation, or whatever other shock to the system would come about and mean government would shit on the young and workers.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,279
    Scott_xP said:

    You are in the right part of the World for Duxford. Air show this weekend!
    Yeah, we often get one overhead - in fact, the children of one of the pilots goes to my son's school, so sports days often have a Spitfire overhead. Getting two in formation is a little more unusual. I've never seen any of the heavies though - the B17 or any transport aircraft.

    Unconnected to Duxford, we often get a pair of Apache helicopters travelling east-west or west-east - rumour has it that they're transiting to the Norfolk ranges?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,569
    Scott_xP said:

    WTAF?

    @AdamBienkov
    Rishi Sunak tells an IKEA worker, whose family is struggling to get treatment on the NHS, that he has a "really, really good plan" to solve the problem, which involves "being a bit clever about how we do things."

    This reminds me about Josh Lyman's secret plan to fight inflation.
  • Isn’t part of Sunak’s problem with this that he also lied to parliament if Boris did? He said there was no lawbreaking before he got fined for lawbreaking
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585

    I am also similar age to the poster above, the Tories and their friends call me entitled and lazy despite the fact I have worked every day since I was 18 years old. Fuck off.
    Different lives. My parents (now in their late 70's and early 80's) grew up in an era before easy credit, but at a time when buying a house was possible, and only one parent needed to work, so mum stayed at home until us kids were at school. We only holidayed in England, but we did get away. Life was generally simpler. If you wanted stuff you had to save up, but generally there was a lot less stuff to buy.

    Nowadays its really hard to get on the housing ladder (we were lucky and were gifted a deposit and both have good salaries, and don't want to live in London or indeed Bath), uni, where 50 % of kids are strongly pushed to, costs lots of money that is borrowed, and credit is easy to obtain. The culture of buy now, pay later is embedded and so people are not used to delayed gratification. The mountain of saving required to get that deposit is not easy,

    .

    On what metric did Sweden do considerably worse than Norway?

    On the metric of preserving liberty Sweden did far, far, far better than Norway.

    According to the less-important metric of deaths that was presented in the media yesterday, Sweden did better than Norway too.

    image
    I was under the impression that the Swedish version of Chris Witty believed they got it wrong.

    All of this is complex. We are having a 3 (maybe longer) year inquiry into it. We won't ever truly know what would have happened on the road not travelled. Its too tempting now to look back and say we shouldn't have done this, we shouldn't have done that.

    At the time I believed we opened up too slowly and had some ludicrous rules (masks in pubs when upright but now when sitting and one way systems in the shops). We undoubted made a lot of mistakes. Arguably everywhere did, and usually different mistakes. If you recall the times most of the media, most of the time wanted more lockdown. As did almost all politicians (Starmer, Drakeford, Sturgeon).
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,050

    Yeah, we often get one overhead - in fact, the children of one of the pilots goes to my son's school, so sports days often have a Spitfire overhead. Getting two in formation is a little more unusual. I've never seen any of the heavies though - the B17 or any transport aircraft.

    I went to the Battle of Britain show a few years ago. There were IIRC a dozen Merlin engines in the air at one point.

    Epic.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585
    Feckin vanilla...
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585

    Isn’t part of Sunak’s problem with this that he also lied to parliament if Boris did? He said there was no lawbreaking before he got fined for lawbreaking

    I don't think so. He genuinely believed he had done no wrong and I don't believe he has been asked to clarify.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    edited June 2023
    Boris wanted higher wages. He’s got higher wages. He let the inflation genie out of the bottle to generate short term headlines. Who was chancellor? It happened on their watch.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,423

    It's not just lockdown, it is the aftermath. Young people had their lives put on hold because it was the right thing to do yet we are basically now fending for ourselves.

    Rishi says he wants to help, has literally anything he's done been aimed at anyone under the age of 90?
    Maybe unintentionally, it's a big group.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,243

    It's not just lockdown, it is the aftermath. Young people had their lives put on hold because it was the right thing to do yet we are basically now fending for ourselves.

    Rishi says he wants to help, has literally anything he's done been aimed at anyone under the age of 90?
    We need a PM willing to make some really difficult decisions - end the triple lock and charge NI on all income not just earned. Include pension income as well. Keep or increase the minimum earnings so those only getting a basic state pension don't pay it but all income shoud be charged in the same way as paid work irrespective of how it is acquired.

    Sunak won't touch this and sadly I don't think Starmer will either.
  • MightyAlexMightyAlex Posts: 1,753
    Jonathan said:

    Boris wanted higher wages. He’s got higher wages. He let the inflation genie out of the bottle to generate short term headlines. Who was chancellor? It happened on their watch.

    What higher wages? Where are the inflation beating pay rises?
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,475

    It wasn't just older people that were killed by Covid. Yes they were disproportionately effected. The lockdowns were not designed to save the elderly, they were designed to save our healthcare system. Funnily enough, the one system in Europe that is closest to our mad NHS system had no lockdown at all (Sweden). It will be interesting to reflect on which government got it right.

    Lockdown was pretty shit. But if you want to focus on the bright side by contrasting with the darkest, imagine what it must be like for those people in Ukraine at the moment, or even the parents of Russian soldiers. They really have had a lot to complain about.
    The lockdown was to prevent rNHS from being overwhelmed, as was the case with the Iranian Health Service in March 2020. The videos of which on Social media were harrowing.
    This has seemingly become yet another inter generational football where younger people simply seem to think they did it to protect selfish old people and they forget it was all about the NHS which they claim, in general, to revere.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,423

    I don't think so. He genuinely believed he had done no wrong and I don't believe he has been asked to clarify.
    Boris always tries to straddle things with his positions - so he claims he did nothing wrong, and doesn't understand why he got fined, yet did not challenge the fine. Don't tell me politically he could not have, if he was that politically adroit he'd not have ended up where he did.
  • Taz said:

    It’s far from ludicrous. I have liability insurance through my membership of cyclingUK. I am happy with that.

    s for the rest of your rant, yeah, I know why insurance for us cyclists is optional and motorists isn’t.
    As I understand the "insurance for cyclists" gang, their point is not "cyclists would be wise to obtain third party insurance" but "cyclists should be legally required to get insurance, as drivers are". Those are very different things.

    I agree with you that there are merits in cyclists being insured and, as many have pointed out, they often are.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    tlg86 said:

    This is a good one:

    https://twitter.com/JonnyGabriel/status/1671827237224562689
    Yep, pisstakes about the media coverage are always fair game.
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761
    Taz said:

    The lockdown was to prevent rNHS from being overwhelmed, as was the case with the Iranian Health Service in March 2020. The videos of which on Social media were harrowing.
    This has seemingly become yet another inter generational football where younger people simply seem to think they did it to protect selfish old people and they forget it was all about the NHS which they claim, in general, to revere.
    NHS needs replacing
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,557
    There is a minimum voting age. Should there be a maximum voting age?
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100

    What higher wages? Where are the inflation beating pay rises?
    Well quite, nevertheless they encouraged people to ask for more.
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761

    We need a PM willing to make some really difficult decisions - end the triple lock and charge NI on all income not just earned. Include pension income as well. Keep or increase the minimum earnings so those only getting a basic state pension don't pay it but all income shoud be charged in the same way as paid work irrespective of how it is acquired.

    Sunak won't touch this and sadly I don't think Starmer will either.
    SKS definitely won't
This discussion has been closed.