Why I’m not convinced by LAB’S double digit poll leads – politicalbetting.com
Comments
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Seems to be two planes and two helicopters. Naturally some Russians believe that this is a sign that F-16s are already in Ukraine. I'm sure Dura will explain why this couldn't be done with F-16s.edmundintokyo said:Seems like Russian air defence is working effectively, they just took down a plane and 2 helicopters.
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1657368124788809728
"🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker
@UAWeapons
One of the worst days ever for the Russian Air Force: Today, at least 4 aircraft- an Su-34 strike jet, an Su-35 fighter and two Mi-8 helicopters, were shot down by anti-air missiles over Bryansk Oblast within Russia.
So far it is unclear what kind of missiles were used."2 -
You're sensible on almost any subject, even when I don't agree with you.Gardenwalker said:
But no serious commentator agrees with you.DavidL said:
I only mentioned the economically significant stuff.Gardenwalker said:
You missed Brexit, which I contend is one of the things that threw the UK off course, and which also created a weird omertà in which the suppression of economic truth became standard practice.DavidL said:
I agree. UK economic policy since 2010 has been all about repairing our tax base from the consequences of the GFC and the wall of money that financial services used to throw at the public coffers.13 years on and we have still not managed it, mainly because we have been thrown off course by Covid and Ukraine. If we are to have the public services we collectively believe we deserve we need more profitable businesses in this country generating tax. And yet our political classes rarely even discuss the issue. For them, our current businesses are no more than geese waiting to be plucked.Gardenwalker said:
Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.Chris said:
I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.Luckyguy1983 said:
Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.GIN1138 said:
He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...Jonathan said:
You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
Britain needs to grow.
This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
So, sadly, you’re part of the problem.
Except Brexit.
You need to recognise your problem on that for you to become a serious commentator.0 -
You miss the point of it all. The idea is to build up interest in him to such a level that the whole country is asking themselves the same question:TimS said:
I’m starting to worry Keir may have been going on “a journey”. It happens to some people who started off as proper lefties. They go on a journey and then they keep going. All this true conservatives stuff: is he just doing the equivalent of big a hoodie and husky driving, or does he increasingly mean it?Carnyx said:
Oh? What number on the gender list is that, then?Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Us centrists by contrast start in the centre and stay there.
"Is this the real Keir Starmer or is he just pretending to be like this to win the election?"
The curiosity will eventually become unbearable and there'll be only way to satisfy it. Vote Labour - so they do win - and find out.
It's rather fiendish.0 -
1
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Sorry to be harsh, but I really think this is the silliest thing I've heard for ages.Gardenwalker said:
There’s no evidence that most politicians are pro-growth, and much evidence to the contrary.Chris said:
If the Greens hadn't condemned "austerity", perhaps you might have a point.Carnyx said:
Green Party is a sufficient counterexample, in at least one important sense of 'economic growth' - which they do question, at least in its nature.Chris said:
It is so.Gardenwalker said:
It really isn’t.Chris said:
Right. That would be why economic growth is the unquestioned mantra of every elected politician in this country.Gardenwalker said:
Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.Chris said:
I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.Luckyguy1983 said:
Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.GIN1138 said:
He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...Jonathan said:
You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
Britain needs to grow.
This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
Edit: and add the Scottish Green Party, too. That's two parties.
But really the Greens are so peripheral, aren't they? If that's the best argument you can come up with in support of this certifiably insance idea that "almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition" were not in support of growth, that tells us something.
If only there were some politicians willing to talk sense about the possibility of growth continuing exponentially for ever. But there aren't any. They all subscribe to the loony view.0 -
Again 'proposal'. No actual changes.LostPassword said:
The proposal to withdraw from the ECHR - which was written by British judges, and you'd expect to be something championed by conservatives - is the most obvious anti-conservative policy (though it does and is resurrected so often that I'm not sure if it's currently still policy).Luckyguy1983 said:
You're confusing expressions of frustration by MPs and commentators with actual policy. When did we last see policies from the Tories that were in any way radical? What we've actually had is New Labour in aspic - we may have complaints about 'the Blob', but the march of the blob has continued apace. What actual 'anti-Blob' reforms can you point to?LostPassword said:
The Tories haven't been very conservative since Thatcher. The Cult of Thatcher is very radical, and we can see the current government is always raging against what it identifies as "the blob" that is standing in the way of its attempts to institute year zero style reforms.Casino_Royale said:Conservative just means you're cautious and a bit suspicious of change, and only want to do so if you have to, and then to do so gradually. If it ain't broke dont fix it.
Of course, that in itself is reason enough why plenty of people don't like them.
The other point of view is that many people don't like change and taking this approach to Government allows for stability, consistency, broad peace, preservation of tradition/ what works, predictability and thus extra space economic growth, and stops silly ideas and radical dogma that's poorly thought through from being put into practice.
The recent policing reforms, which dilute the ancient liberties of the English people, is, again, also obvious.
There are loads of these sorts of things.
As for the policing reforms, I haven't looked at them, but I should imagine that they're massively statist, transferring power away from the individual and toward the state. I'd agree that is anti-conservative, but it certainly isn't radical, and I don't think it lines up with your critique (as I understand it) that Conservative Governments are radical wreckers disguised as conservatives.
Recent politics is fairly easy to explain, and very little of it is the result of ideological radicalism - certainly not that of Tories anyway. You have a big push toward state, superstate/global institutions, and corporate power, pushed strongly by (unsurprisingly) state, global, and corporate actors, and politicians with something to gain from the former - often under green or social justice banners, but sometimes with very un-green and unjust outcomes. On the other side of the scale, you have:
1. Agreement to implement Brexit. Which is why we've seen that done reluctantly, inefficiently, badly, and with a focus on the uglier externalities. The fact that haven't managed to achieve the lifting of VAT on domestic fuel tells you everything you need to know.
2. The freedom-loving instincts of Boris, and the wish of Boris for a magnificent political legacy
3. Pressure from Tory MPs, particularly good MPs like John Redwood, and/or red-wall MPs with something to lose
4. The blunderbuss radical, economically sound, but ultimately politically naive actions of the Truss Government
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Do the Scottish Greens actually care about anything other than gender?Carnyx said:
Green Party is a sufficient counterexample, in at least one important sense of 'economic growth' - which they do question, at least in its nature.Chris said:
It is so.Gardenwalker said:
It really isn’t.Chris said:
Right. That would be why economic growth is the unquestioned mantra of every elected politician in this country.Gardenwalker said:
Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.Chris said:
I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.Luckyguy1983 said:
Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.GIN1138 said:
He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...Jonathan said:
You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
Britain needs to grow.
This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
Edit: and add the Scottish Green Party, too. That's two parties.1 -
Of course it does, I used to get charged out at about £800 a dayeek said:
But they planning and testing costs a lot of time money and effort.Sandpit said:
Only in the public sector, would a booking system be offline for three days for a system upgrade.El_Capitano said:
They're bringing a new booking system online, including e-tickets. They were meant to be doing it a few weeks ago but, understandably, postponed it due to the ongoing clusterfuck with ferry repairs:Westie said:Scotland: what's going on with the ferry company Caledonian MacBrayne? Just as the tourist season is taking off, they're not selling any tickets for three days. Absolutely no ticket sales, whether online or in person or over the phone, for sailing on any of their 20+ routes. Are they about to go into administration or something? Have they been told to nail their tills shut? Never heard anything like this before with such a large public transport monopoly.
https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/homenews/23446389.six-calmac-ferries-need-repairs-easter-disruption/
I do have some sympathy for the "take it down for a few days" approach to system migration. It reduces the chance of a TSB/Sabadell situation.
I’ve worked on IT projects like this. The downtime is at most a few hours overnight, as the future bookings are moved across and websites etc. set to point to the new servers.
A lot of planning and testing goes into the migration process, with the aim to minimise the downtime.
And after all what could go wrong so it’s no surprise a bunch of people may have taken short cuts.
Anyone in the private sector, or experiencing competition, knows that if you’re not available, customers will book with your competitors. Only a public-sector monopoly, would take the attitude of just making a lazy weekend of a booking system migration. You do these things overnight, and in one night.0 -
Genius indeed. How to satiate the curiosity.kinabalu said:
You miss the point of it all. The idea is to build up interest in him to such a level that the whole country is asking themselves the same question:TimS said:
I’m starting to worry Keir may have been going on “a journey”. It happens to some people who started off as proper lefties. They go on a journey and then they keep going. All this true conservatives stuff: is he just doing the equivalent of big a hoodie and husky driving, or does he increasingly mean it?Carnyx said:
Oh? What number on the gender list is that, then?Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Us centrists by contrast start in the centre and stay there.
"Is this the real Keir Starmer or is he just pretending to be like this to win the election?"
The curiosity will eventually become unbearable and there'll be only way to satisfy it. Vote Labour - so they do win - and find out.
It's rather fiendish.
I hope someday the same dynamic will work with PR. It sort of did in 2016 with Brexit: “let’s see, it’s worth a go”.2 -
It "lowers the tone".kinabalu said:
There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.
The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.0 -
Absolutely. Do I need to spell it out in purple capital letters for you why I include the Greens in that? Or try to translate it into monosyllables for you? Or do you want to have another go at reading simple English?Carnyx said:
You said "every elected politician in this country."Chris said:
If the Greens hadn't condemned "austerity", perhaps you might have a point.Carnyx said:
Green Party is a sufficient counterexample, in at least one important sense of 'economic growth' - which they do question, at least in its nature.Chris said:
It is so.Gardenwalker said:
It really isn’t.Chris said:
Right. That would be why economic growth is the unquestioned mantra of every elected politician in this country.Gardenwalker said:
Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.Chris said:
I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.Luckyguy1983 said:
Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.GIN1138 said:
He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...Jonathan said:
You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
Britain needs to grow.
This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
Edit: and add the Scottish Green Party, too. That's two parties.
But really the Greens are so peripheral, aren't they? If that's the best argument you can come up with in support of this certifiably insance idea that "almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition" were not in support of growth, that tells us something.0 -
Russian missiles. It looks like either their air defences misfired, else there’s a rogue agent or enemy special forces behind their own lines, well inside Russia.LostPassword said:
Seems to be two planes and two helicopters. Naturally some Russians believe that this is a sign that F-16s are already in Ukraine. I'm sure Dura will explain why this couldn't be done with F-16s.edmundintokyo said:Seems like Russian air defence is working effectively, they just took down a plane and 2 helicopters.
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1657368124788809728
"🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker
@UAWeapons
One of the worst days ever for the Russian Air Force: Today, at least 4 aircraft- an Su-34 strike jet, an Su-35 fighter and two Mi-8 helicopters, were shot down by anti-air missiles over Bryansk Oblast within Russia.
So far it is unclear what kind of missiles were used."0 -
Sammy Allardiche once again weaves his magic at Leeds. His teams are hard to beat.0
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I presume this view of yours on flag shagging extends to the St. Andrews cross?Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.0 -
I'll try to cope.Gardenwalker said:
But no serious commentator agrees with you.DavidL said:
I only mentioned the economically significant stuff.Gardenwalker said:
You missed Brexit, which I contend is one of the things that threw the UK off course, and which also created a weird omertà in which the suppression of economic truth became standard practice.DavidL said:
I agree. UK economic policy since 2010 has been all about repairing our tax base from the consequences of the GFC and the wall of money that financial services used to throw at the public coffers.13 years on and we have still not managed it, mainly because we have been thrown off course by Covid and Ukraine. If we are to have the public services we collectively believe we deserve we need more profitable businesses in this country generating tax. And yet our political classes rarely even discuss the issue. For them, our current businesses are no more than geese waiting to be plucked.Gardenwalker said:
Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.Chris said:
I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.Luckyguy1983 said:
Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.GIN1138 said:
He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...Jonathan said:
You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
Britain needs to grow.
This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
So, sadly, you’re part of the problem.1 -
I wonder what happened to DJ41. The only properly intelligent Russian troll. (I could never make up my mind if he was actually Russian or just a very eloquent Tankie of the Kim Philby ilk.)Casino_Royale said:0 -
Is the UK the only country, where so much of the population dislikes the flying of its own national flag?Casino_Royale said:
It "lowers the tone".kinabalu said:
There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.
The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.
Every other country I visit, people are proud of their national identity and symbols.0 -
Please let it be the latter.Sandpit said:
Russian missiles. It looks like either their air defences misfired, else there’s a rogue agent or enemy special forces behind their own lines.LostPassword said:
Seems to be two planes and two helicopters. Naturally some Russians believe that this is a sign that F-16s are already in Ukraine. I'm sure Dura will explain why this couldn't be done with F-16s.edmundintokyo said:Seems like Russian air defence is working effectively, they just took down a plane and 2 helicopters.
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1657368124788809728
"🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker
@UAWeapons
One of the worst days ever for the Russian Air Force: Today, at least 4 aircraft- an Su-34 strike jet, an Su-35 fighter and two Mi-8 helicopters, were shot down by anti-air missiles over Bryansk Oblast within Russia.
So far it is unclear what kind of missiles were used."0 -
I’m not a professional economist, nor an academic. I don’t work in the investment industry, and I’m not a trade expert.Casino_Royale said:
You're sensible on almost any subject, even when I don't agree with you.Gardenwalker said:
But no serious commentator agrees with you.DavidL said:
I only mentioned the economically significant stuff.Gardenwalker said:
You missed Brexit, which I contend is one of the things that threw the UK off course, and which also created a weird omertà in which the suppression of economic truth became standard practice.DavidL said:
I agree. UK economic policy since 2010 has been all about repairing our tax base from the consequences of the GFC and the wall of money that financial services used to throw at the public coffers.13 years on and we have still not managed it, mainly because we have been thrown off course by Covid and Ukraine. If we are to have the public services we collectively believe we deserve we need more profitable businesses in this country generating tax. And yet our political classes rarely even discuss the issue. For them, our current businesses are no more than geese waiting to be plucked.Gardenwalker said:
Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.Chris said:
I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.Luckyguy1983 said:
Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.GIN1138 said:
He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...Jonathan said:
You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
Britain needs to grow.
This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
So, sadly, you’re part of the problem.
Except Brexit.
You need to recognise your problem on that for you to become a serious commentator.
I do follow and listen to a lot of the above though, and nobody but nobody thinks Brexit has done anything but impair British growth.
There may be a political argument for Brexit, and it’s almost possible to imagine a very long term economic argument, but in the short to medium term that we live in, it’s been damaging and continues to be damaging.
That you still refuse to accept this means you refuse to deal with reality, and this in turn impoverishes your ability to understand what policy choices are now available or desirable.4 -
Wealth of Nations - unless he also edited the title.Carnyx said:
Didn't a Thatcherite cabinet minister carefully delete the bit about not letting businessmen run riot when he edited Wealth of a Nation?Luckyguy1983 said:...
You are correct that 'laissez fare' economics has its limits - but it always has. Adam Smith himself warned of the power of corporations, and stressed the need for Governments to break up monopolies etc.Chris said:
I'm sure Conservatism does contain a multitude of contradictions.algarkirk said:
Conservatism both in people and theory terms contains a multitude of contradictions. In a sense the EU has illustrated this perfectly. There is the Conservative business case - pro EU, Majorite, pragmatic, money making; then there is the socially Conservative case - sovereign, nation, constitution, small scale, hierarchical, the 'little platoons' of Edmund Burke.Chris said:
I don't think that in practice it really means that at all. I think it means laissez faire. In the current climate that means things are going to change beyond all recognition in the next decade or two. If politicians are adopting that policy thoughtlessly, then it's not at all like Conservatism has been historically. In fact it's almost the antithesis of Conservatism. It's abolishing the past in favour of whatever random future is most beneficial to short-sighted big business. If the Tory right think that's Conservatism they're even more stupid than I thought - though admittedly the depths of their stupidity are almost unfathomable.Casino_Royale said:Conservative just means you're cautious and a bit suspicious of change, and only want to do so if you have to, and then to do so gradually. If it ain't broke dont fix it.
(The left and centre left are just as split. But this is less seen because they have not been in power.)
But in relation to the technological issues that are now paramount, the ideal of keeping everything as much as possible the same is becoming completely incompatible with the ideal of letting big business do whatever is most profitable.
It would be (a bit) reassuring if the advocates of "Conservatism" here showed a glimmering of awareness of that dichotomy, and (a bit more) reassuring if any of them - on reflection - realised that "laissez faire" is not at all a good idea in present circumstances.
However, your prescription of what is needed from Government is wrong. Huge corporations actually like high taxes and regulation. They are barriers to entry for smaller companies, so they eliminate competition for the big boys. A positive Government would reduce the barriers to entry for smaller players - for example, raise the VAT threshold for smaller companies, whilst opposing anti-competitive activity in big corporations. What our Government and many like them do is the opposite.2 -
-1
-
Cope, and it’s addictive compound, copium, is a terrible thing.DavidL said:
I'll try to cope.Gardenwalker said:
But no serious commentator agrees with you.DavidL said:
I only mentioned the economically significant stuff.Gardenwalker said:
You missed Brexit, which I contend is one of the things that threw the UK off course, and which also created a weird omertà in which the suppression of economic truth became standard practice.DavidL said:
I agree. UK economic policy since 2010 has been all about repairing our tax base from the consequences of the GFC and the wall of money that financial services used to throw at the public coffers.13 years on and we have still not managed it, mainly because we have been thrown off course by Covid and Ukraine. If we are to have the public services we collectively believe we deserve we need more profitable businesses in this country generating tax. And yet our political classes rarely even discuss the issue. For them, our current businesses are no more than geese waiting to be plucked.Gardenwalker said:
Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.Chris said:
I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.Luckyguy1983 said:
Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.GIN1138 said:
He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...Jonathan said:
You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
Britain needs to grow.
This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
So, sadly, you’re part of the problem.0 -
Russian media reporting that the pilots all died. They were already suffering from a lack of experience among aircrews.TimS said:
Please let it be the latter.Sandpit said:
Russian missiles. It looks like either their air defences misfired, else there’s a rogue agent or enemy special forces behind their own lines.LostPassword said:
Seems to be two planes and two helicopters. Naturally some Russians believe that this is a sign that F-16s are already in Ukraine. I'm sure Dura will explain why this couldn't be done with F-16s.edmundintokyo said:Seems like Russian air defence is working effectively, they just took down a plane and 2 helicopters.
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1657368124788809728
"🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker
@UAWeapons
One of the worst days ever for the Russian Air Force: Today, at least 4 aircraft- an Su-34 strike jet, an Su-35 fighter and two Mi-8 helicopters, were shot down by anti-air missiles over Bryansk Oblast within Russia.
So far it is unclear what kind of missiles were used."0 -
Here you go (but I'm sure you know all this already):Casino_Royale said:
What was the "conservative" option to disengage with the EU given it had taken a "conservative" attitude to steadily ratcheting up integration over several decades to arrive at such a decidedly objectionable position to so many Conservatives?Stuartinromford said:
Not quickly enough, though.Foxy said:
Well, Brexit and its economic consequences is why the Red Wall thinks this government has failed, and why the Blue Wall hates it too.Casino_Royale said:
I knew someone would respond (in seconds) with Brexit.Foxy said:
Which is why Brexit has pissed off so many natural Conservatives. Totally silly idea with radical dogma and poorly thought through.Casino_Royale said:Conservative just means you're cautious and a bit suspicious of change, and only want to do so if you have to, and then to do so gradually. If it ain't broke dont fix it.
Of course, that in itself is reason enough why plenty of people don't like them.
The other point of view is that many people don't like change and taking this approach to Government allows for stability, consistency, broad peace, preservation of tradition/ what works, predictability and thus extra space economic growth, and stops silly ideas and radical dogma that's poorly thought through from being put into practice.
The Conservatives won't recover until they repent of Brexitism.
That conflicted across the principle because many Conservatives thought it was riskier to stay because of the radical change that they felt would inevitably come, which was also against their values. If you believe in conserving national sovereignty and independence, and not steadily creeping towards a federal Europe, you won't have had a problem with this.
Too many seem to miss this and focus just on the economic disruption, more often than not because they themselves aren't Conservatives.
The only unConservative bit, in my view, was in the response to the vote itself, which became too dogmatic.
Brexit is the political monkeys paw. You get what you wish for and regret it very quickly.
But yes, at some point the Conservatives stopped being conservative. Incremental change, think in generations, work out why the fence was put up before you tear it down, that sort of thing. It's not just about Brexit, for all that is totemic. (After all, a conservative approach to being Eurosceptic would have been to take Dave's deal and set it in concrete. It probably would have stuck.)
And then there's Starmer's speech today (there's a link here; https://twitter.com/SpaJw/status/1657353519165321216). Large chunks of it read like the sort of thing that a One Nation Tory of previous generations- Iain Macleod, say, could have said. But it's really hard to see who is standing up for this sort of thing in the current setup.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Union_Act_2011
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015–2016_United_Kingdom_renegotiation_of_European_Union_membership
You can argue that they weren't enough, but I don't think it's realistic to claim that they were nothing.
And then we come back to the question- what is the conservative thing to do? See how the incremental changes go, or blow everything up with little indication of what would happen next?0 -
https://twitter.com/globalaffairs/status/1657219168863756288
In response to legal process and to ensure Twitter remains available to the people of Turkey, we have taken action to restrict access to some content in Turkey today.
Elon Musk, defender of free speech. Not.0 -
There are absolutely many pros and cons from the Thatcher era and the balance is not straightforward. But the fact that this country needed a serious shake up and reset by 1979 is pretty much indisputable.Dialup said:
I am happy to debate the pros and cons of Thatcher but my point is that the Tories have not been "conservative" in government for many, many years.DavidL said:
And thank god for that.Dialup said:Thatcher was the least "conservative" Tory there has ever been. She was the opposite of conservative.
Johnson's 2019 manifesto was basically Labour's 2017 manifesto with populist elements. What is conservative about that?0 -
“an argument refuted by real world events”Tres said:
an argument refuted by real world events. Remember she was wandering around doped-up on gods know what for the last few weeks of her time in charge.MoonRabbit said:
There’s an argument you can’t really assess her after only a few weeks, and she wasn’t given a chance.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
She would have enthused the Tory base and voters with her proper Toryism. She stood up to leaky Sue and sacked her.
There’s an argument Truss wasn’t doing any harm.
You have a bent and ignorant view of what actually happened. On PB we like to stick to true history of politics and economics, which is why it’s a blessing I post here. The mini budget did not create a problem needing an intervention in the market. The intervention didn’t cost anything anyway, but that’s not the point - the mini budget didn’t cause a problem.
fact it was not not only Tory haters who wanted to present Truss as bungling, many Tory MPs who preferred Sunak were happy to join in with the enemy! the economic arguments Labour and Tory used to attack Truss mini budget was bullshit. And blue on blue with these LIES left the Tory polling where it is today, it was Sunak and supporters who created the poll drop trashing the Tory brand.
The mini budget was politically unpopular, but was replaced by Sunak doing nothing to create growth. Just finger hope for the best growth in years up to the General Election, and that could really be letting the Tory Party down in coming election.
£65 billion is notional amount Bank of England willing to commit to buy UK government bonds (gilts) to stabilise market in the wake of mini-Budget. what actually happened, rise in gilt yields was exacerbated by the increased use of liability-driven investment (LDI) strategies by some pension funds, triggered spiral of margin calls and forced gilt sales driving up yields further.
the mini-Budget CANNOT be blamed for the sustained increase in mortgage interest rates when mortgage rates (and mortgage spreads) also surged in many other countries including US. It all started when Sunak was chancellor.
UK regulators should have been on top of pension issue, this weakness already in the market, The mini budget did not create the problem, it flushed out a problem already there. That’s why Labour and Sunak’s attack was actually lies and bulls hit, This problem NOT CREATED by the mini budget, was older, the interplay of leverage, liquidity risk and interconnectedness under weak regulatory regimes is more Sunak’s fault considering his longer time as chancellor of our country than Kwarteng or Truss, who merely flushed out Sunak’s crap supervision of the economy.
Those of us on PB who are not here to spin, but maintain true history, don’t have to repeat lies and tropes do we?
Why is this important to political betting? Because lying about what happened, what problem actually was, how created (where was risk management, where was supervision under Sunak and BOE) does not learn lessons. So let’s see what increase in interest rates may have on some other pockets of vulnerabilities in the UK financial sector - because ironically for Sunak, any second now other problems in the NBFI sector, affecting financial stability and the fight against inflation, can rip up his and his governments credibility.
And that truly would be hoisted on own petard.1 -
A propos of nothing I’m on a little car trip from my French house and ticking off the villages. Just bought a few bottles from the eccentric Chateau in Savigny-Les-Beaune where there’s a huge outdoor collection of warplanes covering several hectares.
In the course of about 45 mins I’ll be passing Aloxe Corton, Monthelie, Pommard, Volnay, Meursault and Puligny Montrachet. Before carrying on down via Rully, Mercurey, Givry and Montagny. It’s like a viticultural Hollywood walk of fame.2 -
What is it that you're disputing, I don't understand. That there is an EU membership fee, that we've stopped paying it, that not paying it (in a time of massive public debt) is a boon, or that the current Government is pissing away money? I'm all ears.Daveyboy1961 said:
... it's the way you tell em ....Luckyguy1983 said:
The money saved in EU fees (which we have now stopped paying) is only too real, and under the current circumstances that's a huge economic boon. Unfortunately, the current Government seems intent on finding ways to piss away that saving.Daveyboy1961 said:
When I go to Tesco later I'll see if they'll accept sovereignty to pay my bills.....Casino_Royale said:
I knew someone would respond (in seconds) with Brexit.Foxy said:
Which is why Brexit has pissed off so many natural Conservatives. Totally silly idea with radical dogma and poorly thought through.Casino_Royale said:Conservative just means you're cautious and a bit suspicious of change, and only want to do so if you have to, and then to do so gradually. If it ain't broke dont fix it.
Of course, that in itself is reason enough why plenty of people don't like them.
The other point of view is that many people don't like change and taking this approach to Government allows for stability, consistency, broad peace, preservation of tradition/ what works, predictability and thus extra space economic growth, and stops silly ideas and radical dogma that's poorly thought through from being put into practice.
The Conservatives won't recover until they repent of Brexitism.
That conflicted across the principle because many Conservatives thought it was riskier to stay because of the radical change that they felt would inevitably come, which was also against their values. If you believe in conserving national sovereignty and independence, and not steadily creeping towards a federal Europe, you won't have had a problem with this.
Too many seem to miss this and focus just on the economic disruption, more often than not because they themselves aren't Conservatives.
The only unConservative bit, in my view, was in the response to the vote itself, which became too dogmatic.0 -
Given the choice of either respecting Turkish law, or being banned in Turkey, what’s he supposed to do?Dialup said:https://twitter.com/globalaffairs/status/1657219168863756288
In response to legal process and to ensure Twitter remains available to the people of Turkey, we have taken action to restrict access to some content in Turkey today.
Elon Musk, defender of free speech. Not.0 -
The Dutch prefer to drape everything in Orange rather than wave their flag which is too easily mistaken for that of France.Sandpit said:
Is the UK the only country, where so much of the population dislikes the flying of its own national flag?Casino_Royale said:
It "lowers the tone".kinabalu said:
There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.
The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.
Every other country I visit, people are proud of their national identity and symbols.2 -
The hit to revenues from Brexit is greater than the saving on the fee - I think this is the point.Luckyguy1983 said:
What is it that you're disputing, I don't understand. That there is an EU membership fee, that we've stopped paying it, that not paying it (in a time of massive public debt) is a boon, or that the current Government is pissing away money? I'm all ears.Daveyboy1961 said:
... it's the way you tell em ....Luckyguy1983 said:
The money saved in EU fees (which we have now stopped paying) is only too real, and under the current circumstances that's a huge economic boon. Unfortunately, the current Government seems intent on finding ways to piss away that saving.Daveyboy1961 said:
When I go to Tesco later I'll see if they'll accept sovereignty to pay my bills.....Casino_Royale said:
I knew someone would respond (in seconds) with Brexit.Foxy said:
Which is why Brexit has pissed off so many natural Conservatives. Totally silly idea with radical dogma and poorly thought through.Casino_Royale said:Conservative just means you're cautious and a bit suspicious of change, and only want to do so if you have to, and then to do so gradually. If it ain't broke dont fix it.
Of course, that in itself is reason enough why plenty of people don't like them.
The other point of view is that many people don't like change and taking this approach to Government allows for stability, consistency, broad peace, preservation of tradition/ what works, predictability and thus extra space economic growth, and stops silly ideas and radical dogma that's poorly thought through from being put into practice.
The Conservatives won't recover until they repent of Brexitism.
That conflicted across the principle because many Conservatives thought it was riskier to stay because of the radical change that they felt would inevitably come, which was also against their values. If you believe in conserving national sovereignty and independence, and not steadily creeping towards a federal Europe, you won't have had a problem with this.
Too many seem to miss this and focus just on the economic disruption, more often than not because they themselves aren't Conservatives.
The only unConservative bit, in my view, was in the response to the vote itself, which became too dogmatic.2 -
He was the man who said he would defend free speech at all costs, even if it made Twitter lose money.Sandpit said:
Given the choice of either respecting Turkish law, or being banned in Turkey, what’s he supposed to do?Dialup said:https://twitter.com/globalaffairs/status/1657219168863756288
In response to legal process and to ensure Twitter remains available to the people of Turkey, we have taken action to restrict access to some content in Turkey today.
Elon Musk, defender of free speech. Not.
I am sure if Jack was CEO, you'd not be okay with this.0 -
That denial of reality is why the Tories continue to make poor decisions. The have to keep up the pretense and double down on failure.Gardenwalker said:
I’m not a professional economist, nor an academic. I don’t work in the investment industry, and I’m not a trade expert.Casino_Royale said:
You're sensible on almost any subject, even when I don't agree with you.Gardenwalker said:
But no serious commentator agrees with you.DavidL said:
I only mentioned the economically significant stuff.Gardenwalker said:
You missed Brexit, which I contend is one of the things that threw the UK off course, and which also created a weird omertà in which the suppression of economic truth became standard practice.DavidL said:
I agree. UK economic policy since 2010 has been all about repairing our tax base from the consequences of the GFC and the wall of money that financial services used to throw at the public coffers.13 years on and we have still not managed it, mainly because we have been thrown off course by Covid and Ukraine. If we are to have the public services we collectively believe we deserve we need more profitable businesses in this country generating tax. And yet our political classes rarely even discuss the issue. For them, our current businesses are no more than geese waiting to be plucked.Gardenwalker said:
Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.Chris said:
I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.Luckyguy1983 said:
Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.GIN1138 said:
He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...Jonathan said:
You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
Britain needs to grow.
This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
So, sadly, you’re part of the problem.
Except Brexit.
You need to recognise your problem on that for you to become a serious commentator.
I do follow and listen to a lot of the above though, and nobody but nobody thinks Brexit has done anything but impair British growth.
There may be a political argument for Brexit, and it’s almost possible to imagine a very long term economic argument, but in the short to medium term that we live in, it’s been damaging and continues to be damaging.
That you still refuse to accept this means you refuse to deal with reality, and this in turn impoverishes your ability to understand what policy choices are now available or desirable.0 -
8 paragraphs to defend the indefensible. Why do you bother? Sterling was plunging within minutes of the mini budget being announced.MoonRabbit said:
“an argument refuted by real world events”Tres said:
an argument refuted by real world events. Remember she was wandering around doped-up on gods know what for the last few weeks of her time in charge.MoonRabbit said:
There’s an argument you can’t really assess her after only a few weeks, and she wasn’t given a chance.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
She would have enthused the Tory base and voters with her proper Toryism. She stood up to leaky Sue and sacked her.
There’s an argument Truss wasn’t doing any harm.
You have a bent and ignorant view of what actually happened. On PB we like to stick to true history of politics and economics, which is why it’s a blessing I post here. The mini budget did not create a problem needing an intervention in the market. The intervention didn’t cost anything anyway, but that’s not the point - the mini budget didn’t cause a problem.
fact it was not not only Tory haters who wanted to present Truss as bungling, many Tory MPs who preferred Sunak were happy to join in with the enemy! the economic arguments Labour and Tory used to attack Truss mini budget was bullshit. And blue on blue with these LIES left the Tory polling where it is today, it was Sunak and supporters who created the poll drop trashing the Tory brand.
The mini budget was politically unpopular, but was replaced by Sunak doing nothing to create growth. Just finger hope for the best growth in years up to the General Election, and that could really be letting the Tory Party down in coming election.
£65 billion is notional amount Bank of England willing to commit to buy UK government bonds (gilts) to stabilise market in the wake of mini-Budget. what actually happened, rise in gilt yields was exacerbated by the increased use of liability-driven investment (LDI) strategies by some pension funds, triggered spiral of margin calls and forced gilt sales driving up yields further.
the mini-Budget CANNOT be blamed for the sustained increase in mortgage interest rates when mortgage rates (and mortgage spreads) also surged in many other countries including US. It all started when Sunak was chancellor.
UK regulators should have been on top of pension issue, this weakness already in the market, The mini budget did not create the problem, it flushed out a problem already there. That’s why Labour and Sunak’s attack was actually lies and bulls hit, This problem NOT CREATED by the mini budget, was older, the interplay of leverage, liquidity risk and interconnectedness under weak regulatory regimes is more Sunak’s fault considering his longer time as chancellor of our country than Kwarteng or Truss, who merely flushed out Sunak’s crap supervision of the economy.
Those of us on PB who are not here to spin, but maintain true history, don’t have to repeat lies and tropes do we?
Why is this important to political betting? Because lying about what happened, what problem actually was, how created (where was risk management, where was supervision under Sunak and BOE) does not learn lessons. So let’s see what increase in interest rates may have on some other pockets of vulnerabilities in the UK financial sector - because ironically for Sunak, any second now other problems in the NBFI sector, affecting financial stability and the fight against inflation, can rip up his and his governments credibility.
And that truly would be hoisted on own petard.
0 -
That’s exactly the point.Foxy said:
That denial of reality is why the Tories continue to make poor decisions. The have to keep up the pretense and double down on failure.Gardenwalker said:
I’m not a professional economist, nor an academic. I don’t work in the investment industry, and I’m not a trade expert.Casino_Royale said:
You're sensible on almost any subject, even when I don't agree with you.Gardenwalker said:
But no serious commentator agrees with you.DavidL said:
I only mentioned the economically significant stuff.Gardenwalker said:
You missed Brexit, which I contend is one of the things that threw the UK off course, and which also created a weird omertà in which the suppression of economic truth became standard practice.DavidL said:
I agree. UK economic policy since 2010 has been all about repairing our tax base from the consequences of the GFC and the wall of money that financial services used to throw at the public coffers.13 years on and we have still not managed it, mainly because we have been thrown off course by Covid and Ukraine. If we are to have the public services we collectively believe we deserve we need more profitable businesses in this country generating tax. And yet our political classes rarely even discuss the issue. For them, our current businesses are no more than geese waiting to be plucked.Gardenwalker said:
Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.Chris said:
I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.Luckyguy1983 said:
Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.GIN1138 said:
He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...Jonathan said:
You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
Britain needs to grow.
This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
So, sadly, you’re part of the problem.
Except Brexit.
You need to recognise your problem on that for you to become a serious commentator.
I do follow and listen to a lot of the above though, and nobody but nobody thinks Brexit has done anything but impair British growth.
There may be a political argument for Brexit, and it’s almost possible to imagine a very long term economic argument, but in the short to medium term that we live in, it’s been damaging and continues to be damaging.
That you still refuse to accept this means you refuse to deal with reality, and this in turn impoverishes your ability to understand what policy choices are now available or desirable.
You can’t run an economy when you are delusional about some basic facts. For a start, you suppress investment because investors lose trust in you.
1 -
The noteworthy thing about Starmer's speech is that it's actually being reported... so little of what he says gets on the news. Whatever clause IV on steroids means is anyone's guess frankly, my sense is that he'll be happy if the general public start to see him as being like Blair.1
-
Very envious.TimS said:A propos of nothing I’m on a little car trip from my French house and ticking off the villages. Just bought a few bottles from the eccentric Chateau in Savigny-Les-Beaune where there’s a huge outdoor collection of warplanes covering several hectares.
In the course of about 45 mins I’ll be passing Aloxe Corton, Monthelie, Pommard, Volnay, Meursault and Puligny Montrachet. Before carrying on down via Rully, Mercurey, Givry and Montagny. It’s like a viticultural Hollywood walk of fame.
2 -
They still have to comply with the law, in countries where they operate.Dialup said:
He was the man who said he would defend free speech at all costs, even if it made Twitter lose money.Sandpit said:
Given the choice of either respecting Turkish law, or being banned in Turkey, what’s he supposed to do?Dialup said:https://twitter.com/globalaffairs/status/1657219168863756288
In response to legal process and to ensure Twitter remains available to the people of Turkey, we have taken action to restrict access to some content in Turkey today.
Elon Musk, defender of free speech. Not.
I am sure if Jack was CEO, you'd not be okay with this.
In the USA, freedom of speech is in the Constitution. Almost every other country has laws about speech, which companies operating there have to respect or be officially sanctioned. The UK government has had Tweets deleted, and forced the company to hand over details about Twitter posters.0 -
Possibly. As George Orwell said anti-Englishness is a very English thing.Sandpit said:
Is the UK the only country, where so much of the population dislikes the flying of its own national flag?Casino_Royale said:
It "lowers the tone".kinabalu said:
There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.
The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.
Every other country I visit, people are proud of their national identity and symbols.1 -
The budget was so dumb we saw through it immediately on PB. It was a WTF moment.Tres said:
8 paragraphs to defend the indefensible. Why do you bother? Sterling was plunging within minutes of the mini budget being announced.MoonRabbit said:
“an argument refuted by real world events”Tres said:
an argument refuted by real world events. Remember she was wandering around doped-up on gods know what for the last few weeks of her time in charge.MoonRabbit said:
There’s an argument you can’t really assess her after only a few weeks, and she wasn’t given a chance.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
She would have enthused the Tory base and voters with her proper Toryism. She stood up to leaky Sue and sacked her.
There’s an argument Truss wasn’t doing any harm.
You have a bent and ignorant view of what actually happened. On PB we like to stick to true history of politics and economics, which is why it’s a blessing I post here. The mini budget did not create a problem needing an intervention in the market. The intervention didn’t cost anything anyway, but that’s not the point - the mini budget didn’t cause a problem.
fact it was not not only Tory haters who wanted to present Truss as bungling, many Tory MPs who preferred Sunak were happy to join in with the enemy! the economic arguments Labour and Tory used to attack Truss mini budget was bullshit. And blue on blue with these LIES left the Tory polling where it is today, it was Sunak and supporters who created the poll drop trashing the Tory brand.
The mini budget was politically unpopular, but was replaced by Sunak doing nothing to create growth. Just finger hope for the best growth in years up to the General Election, and that could really be letting the Tory Party down in coming election.
£65 billion is notional amount Bank of England willing to commit to buy UK government bonds (gilts) to stabilise market in the wake of mini-Budget. what actually happened, rise in gilt yields was exacerbated by the increased use of liability-driven investment (LDI) strategies by some pension funds, triggered spiral of margin calls and forced gilt sales driving up yields further.
the mini-Budget CANNOT be blamed for the sustained increase in mortgage interest rates when mortgage rates (and mortgage spreads) also surged in many other countries including US. It all started when Sunak was chancellor.
UK regulators should have been on top of pension issue, this weakness already in the market, The mini budget did not create the problem, it flushed out a problem already there. That’s why Labour and Sunak’s attack was actually lies and bulls hit, This problem NOT CREATED by the mini budget, was older, the interplay of leverage, liquidity risk and interconnectedness under weak regulatory regimes is more Sunak’s fault considering his longer time as chancellor of our country than Kwarteng or Truss, who merely flushed out Sunak’s crap supervision of the economy.
Those of us on PB who are not here to spin, but maintain true history, don’t have to repeat lies and tropes do we?
Why is this important to political betting? Because lying about what happened, what problem actually was, how created (where was risk management, where was supervision under Sunak and BOE) does not learn lessons. So let’s see what increase in interest rates may have on some other pockets of vulnerabilities in the UK financial sector - because ironically for Sunak, any second now other problems in the NBFI sector, affecting financial stability and the fight against inflation, can rip up his and his governments credibility.
And that truly would be hoisted on own petard.1 -
In Germany, at least, attitudes to the national flag seemed to me to be pretty much the same as here: fine for government buildings and sporting events; a bit suspect otherwise.Sandpit said:
Is the UK the only country, where so much of the population dislikes the flying of its own national flag?Casino_Royale said:
It "lowers the tone".kinabalu said:
There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.
The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.
Every other country I visit, people are proud of their national identity and symbols.2 -
Starmer’s speech is good.
No great surprises, but tone perfect.2 -
As someone who’s been to a load of F1 races, that’s definitely true. The Dutch fans all wear orange.Tres said:
The Dutch prefer to drape everything in Orange rather than wave their flag which is too easily mistaken for that of France.Sandpit said:
Is the UK the only country, where so much of the population dislikes the flying of its own national flag?Casino_Royale said:
It "lowers the tone".kinabalu said:
There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.
The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.
Every other country I visit, people are proud of their national identity and symbols.0 -
No, it's not a "denial of reality" but, unlike you, we don't think the only option on the table in the real world is full fat membership of the EU.Foxy said:
That denial of reality is why the Tories continue to make poor decisions. The have to keep up the pretense and double down on failure.Gardenwalker said:
I’m not a professional economist, nor an academic. I don’t work in the investment industry, and I’m not a trade expert.Casino_Royale said:
You're sensible on almost any subject, even when I don't agree with you.Gardenwalker said:
But no serious commentator agrees with you.DavidL said:
I only mentioned the economically significant stuff.Gardenwalker said:
You missed Brexit, which I contend is one of the things that threw the UK off course, and which also created a weird omertà in which the suppression of economic truth became standard practice.DavidL said:
I agree. UK economic policy since 2010 has been all about repairing our tax base from the consequences of the GFC and the wall of money that financial services used to throw at the public coffers.13 years on and we have still not managed it, mainly because we have been thrown off course by Covid and Ukraine. If we are to have the public services we collectively believe we deserve we need more profitable businesses in this country generating tax. And yet our political classes rarely even discuss the issue. For them, our current businesses are no more than geese waiting to be plucked.Gardenwalker said:
Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.Chris said:
I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.Luckyguy1983 said:
Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.GIN1138 said:
He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...Jonathan said:
You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
Britain needs to grow.
This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
So, sadly, you’re part of the problem.
Except Brexit.
You need to recognise your problem on that for you to become a serious commentator.
I do follow and listen to a lot of the above though, and nobody but nobody thinks Brexit has done anything but impair British growth.
There may be a political argument for Brexit, and it’s almost possible to imagine a very long term economic argument, but in the short to medium term that we live in, it’s been damaging and continues to be damaging.
That you still refuse to accept this means you refuse to deal with reality, and this in turn impoverishes your ability to understand what policy choices are now available or desirable.
If you even look closely at France and Germany, or Sweden for that matter, you'll see they all have deep-seated problems, poor demographics, and pretty anemic growth, despite being members.
It's the narcissism of small differences.1 -
I'm copacetic with disrespecting the Saltire & any other flag, but in any case I'd imagine there's a few on here not strangers to patronising contempt for those who fly the Scottish flag. In fact I recall a few screeches about the tendency of the Scottish government towards profligate flag flying.Casino_Royale said:
I presume this view of yours on flag shagging extends to the St. Andrews cross?Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.0 -
Feck! Drink!Dialup said:
He was the man who said he would defend free speech at all costs, even if it made Twitter lose money.Sandpit said:
Given the choice of either respecting Turkish law, or being banned in Turkey, what’s he supposed to do?Dialup said:https://twitter.com/globalaffairs/status/1657219168863756288
In response to legal process and to ensure Twitter remains available to the people of Turkey, we have taken action to restrict access to some content in Turkey today.
Elon Musk, defender of free speech. Not.
I am sure if Jack was CEO, you'd not be okay with this.0 -
Renegotiate the Lisbon Treaty.Stuartinromford said:
Here you go (but I'm sure you know all this already):Casino_Royale said:
What was the "conservative" option to disengage with the EU given it had taken a "conservative" attitude to steadily ratcheting up integration over several decades to arrive at such a decidedly objectionable position to so many Conservatives?Stuartinromford said:
Not quickly enough, though.Foxy said:
Well, Brexit and its economic consequences is why the Red Wall thinks this government has failed, and why the Blue Wall hates it too.Casino_Royale said:
I knew someone would respond (in seconds) with Brexit.Foxy said:
Which is why Brexit has pissed off so many natural Conservatives. Totally silly idea with radical dogma and poorly thought through.Casino_Royale said:Conservative just means you're cautious and a bit suspicious of change, and only want to do so if you have to, and then to do so gradually. If it ain't broke dont fix it.
Of course, that in itself is reason enough why plenty of people don't like them.
The other point of view is that many people don't like change and taking this approach to Government allows for stability, consistency, broad peace, preservation of tradition/ what works, predictability and thus extra space economic growth, and stops silly ideas and radical dogma that's poorly thought through from being put into practice.
The Conservatives won't recover until they repent of Brexitism.
That conflicted across the principle because many Conservatives thought it was riskier to stay because of the radical change that they felt would inevitably come, which was also against their values. If you believe in conserving national sovereignty and independence, and not steadily creeping towards a federal Europe, you won't have had a problem with this.
Too many seem to miss this and focus just on the economic disruption, more often than not because they themselves aren't Conservatives.
The only unConservative bit, in my view, was in the response to the vote itself, which became too dogmatic.
Brexit is the political monkeys paw. You get what you wish for and regret it very quickly.
But yes, at some point the Conservatives stopped being conservative. Incremental change, think in generations, work out why the fence was put up before you tear it down, that sort of thing. It's not just about Brexit, for all that is totemic. (After all, a conservative approach to being Eurosceptic would have been to take Dave's deal and set it in concrete. It probably would have stuck.)
And then there's Starmer's speech today (there's a link here; https://twitter.com/SpaJw/status/1657353519165321216). Large chunks of it read like the sort of thing that a One Nation Tory of previous generations- Iain Macleod, say, could have said. But it's really hard to see who is standing up for this sort of thing in the current setup.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Union_Act_2011
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015–2016_United_Kingdom_renegotiation_of_European_Union_membership
You can argue that they weren't enough, but I don't think it's realistic to claim that they were nothing.
And then we come back to the question- what is the conservative thing to do? See how the incremental changes go, or blow everything up with little indication of what would happen next?0 -
Conservative brexit probably would mean leave but stay close... tinker with more dealignment over time.Stuartinromford said:
Here you go (but I'm sure you know all this already):Casino_Royale said:
What was the "conservative" option to disengage with the EU given it had taken a "conservative" attitude to steadily ratcheting up integration over several decades to arrive at such a decidedly objectionable position to so many Conservatives?Stuartinromford said:
Not quickly enough, though.Foxy said:
Well, Brexit and its economic consequences is why the Red Wall thinks this government has failed, and why the Blue Wall hates it too.Casino_Royale said:
I knew someone would respond (in seconds) with Brexit.Foxy said:
Which is why Brexit has pissed off so many natural Conservatives. Totally silly idea with radical dogma and poorly thought through.Casino_Royale said:Conservative just means you're cautious and a bit suspicious of change, and only want to do so if you have to, and then to do so gradually. If it ain't broke dont fix it.
Of course, that in itself is reason enough why plenty of people don't like them.
The other point of view is that many people don't like change and taking this approach to Government allows for stability, consistency, broad peace, preservation of tradition/ what works, predictability and thus extra space economic growth, and stops silly ideas and radical dogma that's poorly thought through from being put into practice.
The Conservatives won't recover until they repent of Brexitism.
That conflicted across the principle because many Conservatives thought it was riskier to stay because of the radical change that they felt would inevitably come, which was also against their values. If you believe in conserving national sovereignty and independence, and not steadily creeping towards a federal Europe, you won't have had a problem with this.
Too many seem to miss this and focus just on the economic disruption, more often than not because they themselves aren't Conservatives.
The only unConservative bit, in my view, was in the response to the vote itself, which became too dogmatic.
Brexit is the political monkeys paw. You get what you wish for and regret it very quickly.
But yes, at some point the Conservatives stopped being conservative. Incremental change, think in generations, work out why the fence was put up before you tear it down, that sort of thing. It's not just about Brexit, for all that is totemic. (After all, a conservative approach to being Eurosceptic would have been to take Dave's deal and set it in concrete. It probably would have stuck.)
And then there's Starmer's speech today (there's a link here; https://twitter.com/SpaJw/status/1657353519165321216). Large chunks of it read like the sort of thing that a One Nation Tory of previous generations- Iain Macleod, say, could have said. But it's really hard to see who is standing up for this sort of thing in the current setup.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Union_Act_2011
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015–2016_United_Kingdom_renegotiation_of_European_Union_membership
You can argue that they weren't enough, but I don't think it's realistic to claim that they were nothing.
And then we come back to the question- what is the conservative thing to do? See how the incremental changes go, or blow everything up with little indication of what would happen next?0 -
I don't refuse to accept anything. I've said all along it raises trading barriers with respect to the continent and, personally, I'd like them a bit lower and a closer more constructive relationship. I made that choice for political reasons and considered the costs acceptable and still do.Gardenwalker said:
I’m not a professional economist, nor an academic. I don’t work in the investment industry, and I’m not a trade expert.Casino_Royale said:
You're sensible on almost any subject, even when I don't agree with you.Gardenwalker said:
But no serious commentator agrees with you.DavidL said:
I only mentioned the economically significant stuff.Gardenwalker said:
You missed Brexit, which I contend is one of the things that threw the UK off course, and which also created a weird omertà in which the suppression of economic truth became standard practice.DavidL said:
I agree. UK economic policy since 2010 has been all about repairing our tax base from the consequences of the GFC and the wall of money that financial services used to throw at the public coffers.13 years on and we have still not managed it, mainly because we have been thrown off course by Covid and Ukraine. If we are to have the public services we collectively believe we deserve we need more profitable businesses in this country generating tax. And yet our political classes rarely even discuss the issue. For them, our current businesses are no more than geese waiting to be plucked.Gardenwalker said:
Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.Chris said:
I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.Luckyguy1983 said:
Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.GIN1138 said:
He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...Jonathan said:
You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
Britain needs to grow.
This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
So, sadly, you’re part of the problem.
Except Brexit.
You need to recognise your problem on that for you to become a serious commentator.
I do follow and listen to a lot of the above though, and nobody but nobody thinks Brexit has done anything but impair British growth.
There may be a political argument for Brexit, and it’s almost possible to imagine a very long term economic argument, but in the short to medium term that we live in, it’s been damaging and continues to be damaging.
That you still refuse to accept this means you refuse to deal with reality, and this in turn impoverishes your ability to understand what policy choices are now available or desirable.
Where I disagree with you is that this means we're finished and damns us for eternity.1 -
It really isn't that. There's a place for our national flag. Big international sports events, for example, flagship (pun not meant) government buildings. But I don't want to see it as a common feature of life, always behind politicians when they speak, on hats and tee shirts and umbrellas, in municipal premises, in shops, people flying it in their houses and gardens, flags flags flags all over the place. That gives me the willies. I find it tacky at best and at worst rather sinister.Casino_Royale said:
It "lowers the tone".kinabalu said:
There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.
The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.1 -
That would have been great if it were possible. The problem was that the EU structures simply couldn’t accommodate it. There were number of key points, such as single market and customs union membership, that were either in or out.rkrkrk said:
Conservative brexit probably would mean leave but stay close... tinker with more dealignment over time.Stuartinromford said:
Here you go (but I'm sure you know all this already):Casino_Royale said:
What was the "conservative" option to disengage with the EU given it had taken a "conservative" attitude to steadily ratcheting up integration over several decades to arrive at such a decidedly objectionable position to so many Conservatives?Stuartinromford said:
Not quickly enough, though.Foxy said:
Well, Brexit and its economic consequences is why the Red Wall thinks this government has failed, and why the Blue Wall hates it too.Casino_Royale said:
I knew someone would respond (in seconds) with Brexit.Foxy said:
Which is why Brexit has pissed off so many natural Conservatives. Totally silly idea with radical dogma and poorly thought through.Casino_Royale said:Conservative just means you're cautious and a bit suspicious of change, and only want to do so if you have to, and then to do so gradually. If it ain't broke dont fix it.
Of course, that in itself is reason enough why plenty of people don't like them.
The other point of view is that many people don't like change and taking this approach to Government allows for stability, consistency, broad peace, preservation of tradition/ what works, predictability and thus extra space economic growth, and stops silly ideas and radical dogma that's poorly thought through from being put into practice.
The Conservatives won't recover until they repent of Brexitism.
That conflicted across the principle because many Conservatives thought it was riskier to stay because of the radical change that they felt would inevitably come, which was also against their values. If you believe in conserving national sovereignty and independence, and not steadily creeping towards a federal Europe, you won't have had a problem with this.
Too many seem to miss this and focus just on the economic disruption, more often than not because they themselves aren't Conservatives.
The only unConservative bit, in my view, was in the response to the vote itself, which became too dogmatic.
Brexit is the political monkeys paw. You get what you wish for and regret it very quickly.
But yes, at some point the Conservatives stopped being conservative. Incremental change, think in generations, work out why the fence was put up before you tear it down, that sort of thing. It's not just about Brexit, for all that is totemic. (After all, a conservative approach to being Eurosceptic would have been to take Dave's deal and set it in concrete. It probably would have stuck.)
And then there's Starmer's speech today (there's a link here; https://twitter.com/SpaJw/status/1657353519165321216). Large chunks of it read like the sort of thing that a One Nation Tory of previous generations- Iain Macleod, say, could have said. But it's really hard to see who is standing up for this sort of thing in the current setup.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Union_Act_2011
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015–2016_United_Kingdom_renegotiation_of_European_Union_membership
You can argue that they weren't enough, but I don't think it's realistic to claim that they were nothing.
And then we come back to the question- what is the conservative thing to do? See how the incremental changes go, or blow everything up with little indication of what would happen next?
An ‘outer ring’ of EU membership would have probably won a three-way referendum, but the big sticking point would have been FoM of people.1 -
He was their very best. A truly exceptional talent.TimS said:
I wonder what happened to DJ41. The only properly intelligent Russian troll. (I could never make up my mind if he was actually Russian or just a very eloquent Tankie of the Kim Philby ilk.)Casino_Royale said:
We all mourn his loss.0 -
I love this country and its flag.
I propose we put it on all the trains when they are brought back into public ownership here rather than being run by the French.0 -
A referendum on Lisbon would have solved so many problems, and possibly left the UK in a very different position to where it is now.Casino_Royale said:
Renegotiate the Lisbon Treaty.Stuartinromford said:
Here you go (but I'm sure you know all this already):Casino_Royale said:
What was the "conservative" option to disengage with the EU given it had taken a "conservative" attitude to steadily ratcheting up integration over several decades to arrive at such a decidedly objectionable position to so many Conservatives?Stuartinromford said:
Not quickly enough, though.Foxy said:
Well, Brexit and its economic consequences is why the Red Wall thinks this government has failed, and why the Blue Wall hates it too.Casino_Royale said:
I knew someone would respond (in seconds) with Brexit.Foxy said:
Which is why Brexit has pissed off so many natural Conservatives. Totally silly idea with radical dogma and poorly thought through.Casino_Royale said:Conservative just means you're cautious and a bit suspicious of change, and only want to do so if you have to, and then to do so gradually. If it ain't broke dont fix it.
Of course, that in itself is reason enough why plenty of people don't like them.
The other point of view is that many people don't like change and taking this approach to Government allows for stability, consistency, broad peace, preservation of tradition/ what works, predictability and thus extra space economic growth, and stops silly ideas and radical dogma that's poorly thought through from being put into practice.
The Conservatives won't recover until they repent of Brexitism.
That conflicted across the principle because many Conservatives thought it was riskier to stay because of the radical change that they felt would inevitably come, which was also against their values. If you believe in conserving national sovereignty and independence, and not steadily creeping towards a federal Europe, you won't have had a problem with this.
Too many seem to miss this and focus just on the economic disruption, more often than not because they themselves aren't Conservatives.
The only unConservative bit, in my view, was in the response to the vote itself, which became too dogmatic.
Brexit is the political monkeys paw. You get what you wish for and regret it very quickly.
But yes, at some point the Conservatives stopped being conservative. Incremental change, think in generations, work out why the fence was put up before you tear it down, that sort of thing. It's not just about Brexit, for all that is totemic. (After all, a conservative approach to being Eurosceptic would have been to take Dave's deal and set it in concrete. It probably would have stuck.)
And then there's Starmer's speech today (there's a link here; https://twitter.com/SpaJw/status/1657353519165321216). Large chunks of it read like the sort of thing that a One Nation Tory of previous generations- Iain Macleod, say, could have said. But it's really hard to see who is standing up for this sort of thing in the current setup.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Union_Act_2011
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015–2016_United_Kingdom_renegotiation_of_European_Union_membership
You can argue that they weren't enough, but I don't think it's realistic to claim that they were nothing.
And then we come back to the question- what is the conservative thing to do? See how the incremental changes go, or blow everything up with little indication of what would happen next?1 -
I don’t think the UK is “finished” nor “damned for eternity”, though, that’s your projection.Casino_Royale said:
I don't refuse to accept anything. I've said all along it raises trading barriers with respect to the continent and, personally, I'd like them a bit lower and a closer more constructive relationship. I made that choice for political reasons and considered the costs acceptable and still do.Gardenwalker said:
I’m not a professional economist, nor an academic. I don’t work in the investment industry, and I’m not a trade expert.Casino_Royale said:
You're sensible on almost any subject, even when I don't agree with you.Gardenwalker said:
But no serious commentator agrees with you.DavidL said:
I only mentioned the economically significant stuff.Gardenwalker said:
You missed Brexit, which I contend is one of the things that threw the UK off course, and which also created a weird omertà in which the suppression of economic truth became standard practice.DavidL said:
I agree. UK economic policy since 2010 has been all about repairing our tax base from the consequences of the GFC and the wall of money that financial services used to throw at the public coffers.13 years on and we have still not managed it, mainly because we have been thrown off course by Covid and Ukraine. If we are to have the public services we collectively believe we deserve we need more profitable businesses in this country generating tax. And yet our political classes rarely even discuss the issue. For them, our current businesses are no more than geese waiting to be plucked.Gardenwalker said:
Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.Chris said:
I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.Luckyguy1983 said:
Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.GIN1138 said:
He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...Jonathan said:
You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
Britain needs to grow.
This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
So, sadly, you’re part of the problem.
Except Brexit.
You need to recognise your problem on that for you to become a serious commentator.
I do follow and listen to a lot of the above though, and nobody but nobody thinks Brexit has done anything but impair British growth.
There may be a political argument for Brexit, and it’s almost possible to imagine a very long term economic argument, but in the short to medium term that we live in, it’s been damaging and continues to be damaging.
That you still refuse to accept this means you refuse to deal with reality, and this in turn impoverishes your ability to understand what policy choices are now available or desirable.
Where I disagree with you is that this means we're finished and damns us for eternity.
I suspect things will start to recover a little in 2024, ie with a new government. Even independent of policy change, the mood of a new government will be more reassuring.
Longer term, I am pessimistic about British growth because I struggle to see a party - or even a faction of a party - with an ability to promote ideas to change the overall narrative.0 -
Absolutely. Nationalism, like religion, is fine in moderation: it is often a force for good and provides people with a sense of belonging, shared values and comfort. But it can also be a force for terrible evil when it gets out of hand.kinabalu said:
It really isn't that. There's a place for our national flag. Big international sports events, for example, flagship (pun not meant) government buildings. But I don't want to see it as a common feature of life, always behind politicians when they speak, on hats and tee shirts and umbrellas, in municipal premises, in shops, people flying it in their houses and gardens, flags flags flags all over the place. That gives me the willies. I find it tacky at best and at worst rather sinister.Casino_Royale said:
It "lowers the tone".kinabalu said:
There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.
The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.5 -
The rather bleak answer is that (IIRC) when Jean-Claude Juncker offered to David Cameron that the UK be moved to a newly-made up outer rim position, giving the UK much if not all of what it wanted, Cameron said no. Cameron thought he could keep UK at the heart of Europe. And seven years later here we are...Casino_Royale said:
What was the "conservative" option to disengage with the EU given it had taken a "conservative" attitude to steadily ratcheting up integration over several decades to arrive at such a decidedly objectionable position to so many Conservatives?Stuartinromford said:
Not quickly enough, though.Foxy said:
Well, Brexit and its economic consequences is why the Red Wall thinks this government has failed, and why the Blue Wall hates it too.Casino_Royale said:
I knew someone would respond (in seconds) with Brexit.Foxy said:
Which is why Brexit has pissed off so many natural Conservatives. Totally silly idea with radical dogma and poorly thought through.Casino_Royale said:Conservative just means you're cautious and a bit suspicious of change, and only want to do so if you have to, and then to do so gradually. If it ain't broke dont fix it.
Of course, that in itself is reason enough why plenty of people don't like them.
The other point of view is that many people don't like change and taking this approach to Government allows for stability, consistency, broad peace, preservation of tradition/ what works, predictability and thus extra space economic growth, and stops silly ideas and radical dogma that's poorly thought through from being put into practice.
The Conservatives won't recover until they repent of Brexitism.
That conflicted across the principle because many Conservatives thought it was riskier to stay because of the radical change that they felt would inevitably come, which was also against their values. If you believe in conserving national sovereignty and independence, and not steadily creeping towards a federal Europe, you won't have had a problem with this.
Too many seem to miss this and focus just on the economic disruption, more often than not because they themselves aren't Conservatives.
The only unConservative bit, in my view, was in the response to the vote itself, which became too dogmatic.
Brexit is the political monkeys paw. You get what you wish for and regret it very quickly.
But yes, at some point the Conservatives stopped being conservative. Incremental change, think in generations, work out why the fence was put up before you tear it down, that sort of thing. It's not just about Brexit, for all that is totemic. (After all, a conservative approach to being Eurosceptic would have been to take Dave's deal and set it in concrete. It probably would have stuck.)
And then there's Starmer's speech today (there's a link here; https://twitter.com/SpaJw/status/1657353519165321216). Large chunks of it read like the sort of thing that a One Nation Tory of previous generations- Iain Macleod, say, could have said. But it's really hard to see who is standing up for this sort of thing in the current setup.
2 -
I notice no-one has yet has pointed the finger at Just Stop Oil or A N other climate group for the Nordstream pipeline bombing.
How To Blow Up A Pipeline
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/How_to_Blow_Up_a_Pipeline#:~:text=How to Blow Up a Pipeline: Learning to Fight in,"climate fatalism" outside it.
Now a major motion picture.0 -
How about thongs and g-strings?kinabalu said:
It really isn't that. There's a place for our national flag. Big international sports events, for example, flagship (pun not meant) government buildings. But I don't want to see it as a common feature of life, always behind politicians when they speak, on hats and tee shirts and umbrellas, in municipal premises, in shops, people flying it in their houses and gardens, flags flags flags all over the place. That gives me the willies. I find it tacky at best and at worst rather sinister.Casino_Royale said:
It "lowers the tone".kinabalu said:
There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.
The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.0 -
Yes, and it was nice having them all over the place last weekend, but it's not something to do every day.FeersumEnjineeya said:
Absolutely. Nationalism, like religion, is fine in moderation: it is often a force for good and provides people with a sense of belonging, shared values and comfort. But it can also be a force for terrible evil when it gets out of hand.kinabalu said:
It really isn't that. There's a place for our national flag. Big international sports events, for example, flagship (pun not meant) government buildings. But I don't want to see it as a common feature of life, always behind politicians when they speak, on hats and tee shirts and umbrellas, in municipal premises, in shops, people flying it in their houses and gardens, flags flags flags all over the place. That gives me the willies. I find it tacky at best and at worst rather sinister.Casino_Royale said:
It "lowers the tone".kinabalu said:
There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.
The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.
On the other hand, flags do bring colour to a public space, and that's not to be sniffed at. On the continent, I think it helps that the national flag isn't the only one being flown- there's the province, the town, even (whisper it) the Council of Europe. But that idea of multiple, overlapping loyalties is something that Britain seems to struggle with.1 -
So here we are again. Brexit is the fault of everyone apart from the Brexiteers.viewcode said:
The rather bleak answer is that (IIRC) when Jean-Claude Juncker offered to David Cameron that the UK be moved to a newly-made up outer rim position, giving the UK much if not all of what it wanted, Cameron said no. Cameron thought he could keep UK at the heart of Europe. And seven years later here we are...Casino_Royale said:
What was the "conservative" option to disengage with the EU given it had taken a "conservative" attitude to steadily ratcheting up integration over several decades to arrive at such a decidedly objectionable position to so many Conservatives?Stuartinromford said:
Not quickly enough, though.Foxy said:
Well, Brexit and its economic consequences is why the Red Wall thinks this government has failed, and why the Blue Wall hates it too.Casino_Royale said:
I knew someone would respond (in seconds) with Brexit.Foxy said:
Which is why Brexit has pissed off so many natural Conservatives. Totally silly idea with radical dogma and poorly thought through.Casino_Royale said:Conservative just means you're cautious and a bit suspicious of change, and only want to do so if you have to, and then to do so gradually. If it ain't broke dont fix it.
Of course, that in itself is reason enough why plenty of people don't like them.
The other point of view is that many people don't like change and taking this approach to Government allows for stability, consistency, broad peace, preservation of tradition/ what works, predictability and thus extra space economic growth, and stops silly ideas and radical dogma that's poorly thought through from being put into practice.
The Conservatives won't recover until they repent of Brexitism.
That conflicted across the principle because many Conservatives thought it was riskier to stay because of the radical change that they felt would inevitably come, which was also against their values. If you believe in conserving national sovereignty and independence, and not steadily creeping towards a federal Europe, you won't have had a problem with this.
Too many seem to miss this and focus just on the economic disruption, more often than not because they themselves aren't Conservatives.
The only unConservative bit, in my view, was in the response to the vote itself, which became too dogmatic.
Brexit is the political monkeys paw. You get what you wish for and regret it very quickly.
But yes, at some point the Conservatives stopped being conservative. Incremental change, think in generations, work out why the fence was put up before you tear it down, that sort of thing. It's not just about Brexit, for all that is totemic. (After all, a conservative approach to being Eurosceptic would have been to take Dave's deal and set it in concrete. It probably would have stuck.)
And then there's Starmer's speech today (there's a link here; https://twitter.com/SpaJw/status/1657353519165321216). Large chunks of it read like the sort of thing that a One Nation Tory of previous generations- Iain Macleod, say, could have said. But it's really hard to see who is standing up for this sort of thing in the current setup.0 -
Beam Twitter in directly via his Starlink satellites and tell the Turkish government to foxtrot alpha.Sandpit said:
Given the choice of either respecting Turkish law, or being banned in Turkey, what’s he supposed to do?Dialup said:https://twitter.com/globalaffairs/status/1657219168863756288
In response to legal process and to ensure Twitter remains available to the people of Turkey, we have taken action to restrict access to some content in Turkey today.
Elon Musk, defender of free speech. Not.0 -
I think those too thin to be suitable. Y fronts or other big pants show the Union Jack in all its glory.Sunil_Prasannan said:
How about thongs and g-strings?kinabalu said:
It really isn't that. There's a place for our national flag. Big international sports events, for example, flagship (pun not meant) government buildings. But I don't want to see it as a common feature of life, always behind politicians when they speak, on hats and tee shirts and umbrellas, in municipal premises, in shops, people flying it in their houses and gardens, flags flags flags all over the place. That gives me the willies. I find it tacky at best and at worst rather sinister.Casino_Royale said:
It "lowers the tone".kinabalu said:
There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.
The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.0 -
Which is revealing in itself. It's not common for people to pass the credit for great sucesses to others.Foxy said:
So here we are again. Brexit is the fault of everyone apart from the Brexiteers.viewcode said:
The rather bleak answer is that (IIRC) when Jean-Claude Juncker offered to David Cameron that the UK be moved to a newly-made up outer rim position, giving the UK much if not all of what it wanted, Cameron said no. Cameron thought he could keep UK at the heart of Europe. And seven years later here we are...Casino_Royale said:
What was the "conservative" option to disengage with the EU given it had taken a "conservative" attitude to steadily ratcheting up integration over several decades to arrive at such a decidedly objectionable position to so many Conservatives?Stuartinromford said:
Not quickly enough, though.Foxy said:
Well, Brexit and its economic consequences is why the Red Wall thinks this government has failed, and why the Blue Wall hates it too.Casino_Royale said:
I knew someone would respond (in seconds) with Brexit.Foxy said:
Which is why Brexit has pissed off so many natural Conservatives. Totally silly idea with radical dogma and poorly thought through.Casino_Royale said:Conservative just means you're cautious and a bit suspicious of change, and only want to do so if you have to, and then to do so gradually. If it ain't broke dont fix it.
Of course, that in itself is reason enough why plenty of people don't like them.
The other point of view is that many people don't like change and taking this approach to Government allows for stability, consistency, broad peace, preservation of tradition/ what works, predictability and thus extra space economic growth, and stops silly ideas and radical dogma that's poorly thought through from being put into practice.
The Conservatives won't recover until they repent of Brexitism.
That conflicted across the principle because many Conservatives thought it was riskier to stay because of the radical change that they felt would inevitably come, which was also against their values. If you believe in conserving national sovereignty and independence, and not steadily creeping towards a federal Europe, you won't have had a problem with this.
Too many seem to miss this and focus just on the economic disruption, more often than not because they themselves aren't Conservatives.
The only unConservative bit, in my view, was in the response to the vote itself, which became too dogmatic.
Brexit is the political monkeys paw. You get what you wish for and regret it very quickly.
But yes, at some point the Conservatives stopped being conservative. Incremental change, think in generations, work out why the fence was put up before you tear it down, that sort of thing. It's not just about Brexit, for all that is totemic. (After all, a conservative approach to being Eurosceptic would have been to take Dave's deal and set it in concrete. It probably would have stuck.)
And then there's Starmer's speech today (there's a link here; https://twitter.com/SpaJw/status/1657353519165321216). Large chunks of it read like the sort of thing that a One Nation Tory of previous generations- Iain Macleod, say, could have said. But it's really hard to see who is standing up for this sort of thing in the current setup.3 -
Perhaps...Foxy said:
I think those too thin to be suitable. Y fronts or other big pants show the Union Jack in all its glory.Sunil_Prasannan said:
How about thongs and g-strings?kinabalu said:
It really isn't that. There's a place for our national flag. Big international sports events, for example, flagship (pun not meant) government buildings. But I don't want to see it as a common feature of life, always behind politicians when they speak, on hats and tee shirts and umbrellas, in municipal premises, in shops, people flying it in their houses and gardens, flags flags flags all over the place. That gives me the willies. I find it tacky at best and at worst rather sinister.Casino_Royale said:
It "lowers the tone".kinabalu said:
There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.
The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.0 -
Isn't this the problem with English football? The most successful coaches are bereft of imagination, style and flair.DavidL said:Sammy Allardiche once again weaves his magic at Leeds. His teams are hard to beat.
Why might this be? My own personal view is something deeper rooted in English culture. People with such qualities wouldn't dream of managing others but insist on treading their own path.0 -
Not so bad because they are not in your face. Not usually anyway.Sunil_Prasannan said:
How about thongs and g-strings?kinabalu said:
It really isn't that. There's a place for our national flag. Big international sports events, for example, flagship (pun not meant) government buildings. But I don't want to see it as a common feature of life, always behind politicians when they speak, on hats and tee shirts and umbrellas, in municipal premises, in shops, people flying it in their houses and gardens, flags flags flags all over the place. That gives me the willies. I find it tacky at best and at worst rather sinister.Casino_Royale said:
It "lowers the tone".kinabalu said:
There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.
The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.0 -
Just had a spitfire fly past my house.4
-
Starlink has the same problem, in that it needs to downlink to local internet providers, who have their own government censorship issues.viewcode said:
Beam Twitter in directly via his Starlink satellites and tell the Turkish government to foxtrot alpha.Sandpit said:
Given the choice of either respecting Turkish law, or being banned in Turkey, what’s he supposed to do?Dialup said:https://twitter.com/globalaffairs/status/1657219168863756288
In response to legal process and to ensure Twitter remains available to the people of Turkey, we have taken action to restrict access to some content in Turkey today.
Elon Musk, defender of free speech. Not.0 -
Most famous agricultural field in the world:Gardenwalker said:
Very envious.TimS said:A propos of nothing I’m on a little car trip from my French house and ticking off the villages. Just bought a few bottles from the eccentric Chateau in Savigny-Les-Beaune where there’s a huge outdoor collection of warplanes covering several hectares.
In the course of about 45 mins I’ll be passing Aloxe Corton, Monthelie, Pommard, Volnay, Meursault and Puligny Montrachet. Before carrying on down via Rully, Mercurey, Givry and Montagny. It’s like a viticultural Hollywood walk of fame.
3 -
English football has the best league in the world and one of the top 4 international teams in the world. Sure it has problems but plenty of very good coaches now at all levels, in a way that there was not twenty years ago.FrankBooth said:
Isn't this the problem with English football? The most successful coaches are bereft of imagination, style and flair.DavidL said:Sammy Allardiche once again weaves his magic at Leeds. His teams are hard to beat.
Why might this be? My own personal view is something deeper rooted in English culture. People with such qualities wouldn't dream of managing others but insist on treading their own path.
Why? We embraced immigration of people and new ideas, after decades of battling it and restricting the number of foreigners.0 -
DRC? A mere £9000 a bottle:TimS said:
Most famous agricultural field in the world:Gardenwalker said:
Very envious.TimS said:A propos of nothing I’m on a little car trip from my French house and ticking off the villages. Just bought a few bottles from the eccentric Chateau in Savigny-Les-Beaune where there’s a huge outdoor collection of warplanes covering several hectares.
In the course of about 45 mins I’ll be passing Aloxe Corton, Monthelie, Pommard, Volnay, Meursault and Puligny Montrachet. Before carrying on down via Rully, Mercurey, Givry and Montagny. It’s like a viticultural Hollywood walk of fame.
https://www.bbr.com/products-20078119562-2007-montrachet-grand-cru-domaine-de-la-romanee-conti-burgundy1 -
Yes flags themselves and in general are nice to look at. Eg at Glastonbury. It's specifically having THE flag everywhere that I'm talking about. And this goes for any country, btw, not just the UK. I'd feel the same if I lived in France and couldn't get away from the tricolore.Stuartinromford said:
Yes, and it was nice having them all over the place last weekend, but it's not something to do every day.FeersumEnjineeya said:
Absolutely. Nationalism, like religion, is fine in moderation: it is often a force for good and provides people with a sense of belonging, shared values and comfort. But it can also be a force for terrible evil when it gets out of hand.kinabalu said:
It really isn't that. There's a place for our national flag. Big international sports events, for example, flagship (pun not meant) government buildings. But I don't want to see it as a common feature of life, always behind politicians when they speak, on hats and tee shirts and umbrellas, in municipal premises, in shops, people flying it in their houses and gardens, flags flags flags all over the place. That gives me the willies. I find it tacky at best and at worst rather sinister.Casino_Royale said:
It "lowers the tone".kinabalu said:
There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.
The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.
On the other hand, flags do bring colour to a public space, and that's not to be sniffed at. On the continent, I think it helps that the national flag isn't the only one being flown- there's the province, the town, even (whisper it) the Council of Europe. But that idea of multiple, overlapping loyalties is something that Britain seems to struggle with.0 -
I wonder if there’s a general lesson there.noneoftheabove said:
English football has the best league in the world and one of the top 4 international teams in the world. Sure it has problems but plenty of very good coaches now at all levels, in a way that there was not twenty years ago.FrankBooth said:
Isn't this the problem with English football? The most successful coaches are bereft of imagination, style and flair.DavidL said:Sammy Allardiche once again weaves his magic at Leeds. His teams are hard to beat.
Why might this be? My own personal view is something deeper rooted in English culture. People with such qualities wouldn't dream of managing others but insist on treading their own path.
Why? We embraced immigration of people and new ideas, after decades of battling it and restricting the number of foreigners.
0 -
IIRC, weren't there small aerials you could buy to pick up satellite internet links directly without an intermediary?Sandpit said:
Starlink has the same problem, in that it needs to downlink to local internet providers, who have their own government censorship issues.viewcode said:
Beam Twitter in directly via his Starlink satellites and tell the Turkish government to foxtrot alpha.Sandpit said:
Given the choice of either respecting Turkish law, or being banned in Turkey, what’s he supposed to do?Dialup said:https://twitter.com/globalaffairs/status/1657219168863756288
In response to legal process and to ensure Twitter remains available to the people of Turkey, we have taken action to restrict access to some content in Turkey today.
Elon Musk, defender of free speech. Not.
He should really go proper Bond villain (if he hasn't already). If he gave out such aerials free to the consumer then he would have the stranglehold on all tweets, and eventually all phone-based communication. Didn't satellite telly do something like that in the 90's with dishes/set-top boxes?0 -
The problem is that Starlink isn’t his main business, and he doesn’t want countries to ban imports of Tesla cars off the back of problems with Twitter.viewcode said:
IIRC, weren't there small aerials you could buy to pick up satellite internet links directly without an intermediary?Sandpit said:
Starlink has the same problem, in that it needs to downlink to local internet providers, who have their own government censorship issues.viewcode said:
Beam Twitter in directly via his Starlink satellites and tell the Turkish government to foxtrot alpha.Sandpit said:
Given the choice of either respecting Turkish law, or being banned in Turkey, what’s he supposed to do?Dialup said:https://twitter.com/globalaffairs/status/1657219168863756288
In response to legal process and to ensure Twitter remains available to the people of Turkey, we have taken action to restrict access to some content in Turkey today.
Elon Musk, defender of free speech. Not.
He should really go proper Bond villain (if he hasn't already). If he gave out such aerials free to the consumer then he would have the stranglehold on all tweets, and eventually all phone-based communication. Didn't satellite telly do something like that in the 90's with dishes/set-top boxes?0 -
So you were flat wrong. One counterexample is sufficient to demonstrate that. As you carefully edited out.Chris said:
Absolutely. Do I need to spell it out in purple capital letters for you why I include the Greens in that? Or try to translate it into monosyllables for you? Or do you want to have another go at reading simple English?Carnyx said:
You said "every elected politician in this country."Chris said:
If the Greens hadn't condemned "austerity", perhaps you might have a point.Carnyx said:
Green Party is a sufficient counterexample, in at least one important sense of 'economic growth' - which they do question, at least in its nature.Chris said:
It is so.Gardenwalker said:
It really isn’t.Chris said:
Right. That would be why economic growth is the unquestioned mantra of every elected politician in this country.Gardenwalker said:
Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.Chris said:
I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.Luckyguy1983 said:
Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.GIN1138 said:
He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...Jonathan said:
You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
Britain needs to grow.
This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
Edit: and add the Scottish Green Party, too. That's two parties.
But really the Greens are so peripheral, aren't they? If that's the best argument you can come up with in support of this certifiably insance idea that "almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition" were not in support of growth, that tells us something.0 -
Talking of travels. Just had my fourth free mojito in Hurghada
0 -
It’s amazingly hot and sunny here today. Yet here we were, just last week:
0 -
Doesn't this just sum up what is wrong?noneoftheabove said:
English football has the best league in the world and one of the top 4 international teams in the world. Sure it has problems but plenty of very good coaches now at all levels, in a way that there was not twenty years ago.FrankBooth said:
Isn't this the problem with English football? The most successful coaches are bereft of imagination, style and flair.DavidL said:Sammy Allardiche once again weaves his magic at Leeds. His teams are hard to beat.
Why might this be? My own personal view is something deeper rooted in English culture. People with such qualities wouldn't dream of managing others but insist on treading their own path.
Why? We embraced immigration of people and new ideas, after decades of battling it and restricting the number of foreigners.
The answer to everything is getting foreigners to do it. As for top 4 international side - they haven't won anything for 60 years. No English manager has won the League in 30 years and precious few have had success abroad. However none of this matters as there'll always be foreigners to do things for us.
Maybe there are now actually good quality English coaches. We'll see, not many have made it to the top yet. The Premier League being the best in the world is due to money. Probably the global interest resulting from language and legacy of empire.1 -
He has $450 billion and owns Twitter. If Turkey banned Tesla, how long do you think it would take before he could engineer a coup?Sandpit said:
The problem is that Starlink isn’t his main business, and he doesn’t want countries to ban imports of Tesla cars off the back of problems with Twitter.viewcode said:
IIRC, weren't there small aerials you could buy to pick up satellite internet links directly without an intermediary?Sandpit said:
Starlink has the same problem, in that it needs to downlink to local internet providers, who have their own government censorship issues.viewcode said:
Beam Twitter in directly via his Starlink satellites and tell the Turkish government to foxtrot alpha.Sandpit said:
Given the choice of either respecting Turkish law, or being banned in Turkey, what’s he supposed to do?Dialup said:https://twitter.com/globalaffairs/status/1657219168863756288
In response to legal process and to ensure Twitter remains available to the people of Turkey, we have taken action to restrict access to some content in Turkey today.
Elon Musk, defender of free speech. Not.
He should really go proper Bond villain (if he hasn't already). If he gave out such aerials free to the consumer then he would have the stranglehold on all tweets, and eventually all phone-based communication. Didn't satellite telly do something like that in the 90's with dishes/set-top boxes?
D'y'know, the more I think of it, the more I think that...y'know, he really could do it...0 -
I am in a kind of particle collider on the Red Sea where dedicated scientists are deliberately engineering a dangerous collision between the two fundamentally opposed universal forces of “endless free alcohol” and “five British journalists on a bender”
3 -
Being conservative or radical probably simply indicates a general propensity for that course of action. Circumstances will dictate to a large degree.another_richard said:
The same person can be a conservative or a radical depending on the circumstances.Dialup said:Thatcher was the least "conservative" Tory there has ever been. She was the opposite of conservative.
Thatcher's radicalism in the 1980s was partly a response to the UK's problems in the 1970s.
She would have been much more conservative in the 1990s because, in her opinion, there would no longer have been the problems requiring radical change.
If someone is consistently 100% conservative or radical they're just an idiot. Ideology can be very useful, but it's not a catchall for every situation.1 -
It's even simpler. He needs several million usually Tory voters to vote for him.kinabalu said:
You miss the point of it all. The idea is to build up interest in him to such a level that the whole country is asking themselves the same question:TimS said:
I’m starting to worry Keir may have been going on “a journey”. It happens to some people who started off as proper lefties. They go on a journey and then they keep going. All this true conservatives stuff: is he just doing the equivalent of big a hoodie and husky driving, or does he increasingly mean it?Carnyx said:
Oh? What number on the gender list is that, then?Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Us centrists by contrast start in the centre and stay there.
"Is this the real Keir Starmer or is he just pretending to be like this to win the election?"
The curiosity will eventually become unbearable and there'll be only way to satisfy it. Vote Labour - so they do win - and find out.
It's rather fiendish.
Politics is not for the faint hearted. Sir K needed to be with the Jezza project to be on the front bench, to be on the socialist wing to be elected leader, and needs both trad Labour votes + a few million more to be PM.
There is nowhere at all for the millions of new votes to come from in decent numbers except from non socialists. They don't exist.
The question of how he and the team will actually govern if he wins is fascinating. Anyone who thinks it is in Labour's interest to be too clear and unchanging about this isn't paying attention.
A socialist campaign failed in 2017 when facing a suicidal Tory campaign of abysmal awfulness.1 -
Presumably not since it is that issue, in part, which has led to them criticising the English and Welsh Greens. Who I'm sure are just hard right troglydites or something.DavidL said:
Do the Scottish Greens actually care about anything other than gender?Carnyx said:
Green Party is a sufficient counterexample, in at least one important sense of 'economic growth' - which they do question, at least in its nature.Chris said:
It is so.Gardenwalker said:
It really isn’t.Chris said:
Right. That would be why economic growth is the unquestioned mantra of every elected politician in this country.Gardenwalker said:
Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.Chris said:
I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.Luckyguy1983 said:
Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.GIN1138 said:
He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...Jonathan said:
You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
Britain needs to grow.
This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
Edit: and add the Scottish Green Party, too. That's two parties.
0 -
Those don't sound like opposed forces, indeed their very strong attraction to one another is the problem.Leon said:I am in a kind of particle collider on the Red Sea where dedicated scientists are deliberately engineering a dangerous collision between the two fundamentally opposed universal forces of “endless free alcohol” and “five British journalists on a bender”
0 -
It's hard to see in what respect Englosh football is 'better' than it was in, say, the late 80s/early 90s. I'd swap the overpriced, sugar-coated confection we have now for the affordable authenticity of those days in a heartbeat. I suspect most would do the same.FrankBooth said:
Doesn't this just sum up what is wrong?noneoftheabove said:
English football has the best league in the world and one of the top 4 international teams in the world. Sure it has problems but plenty of very good coaches now at all levels, in a way that there was not twenty years ago.FrankBooth said:
Isn't this the problem with English football? The most successful coaches are bereft of imagination, style and flair.DavidL said:Sammy Allardiche once again weaves his magic at Leeds. His teams are hard to beat.
Why might this be? My own personal view is something deeper rooted in English culture. People with such qualities wouldn't dream of managing others but insist on treading their own path.
Why? We embraced immigration of people and new ideas, after decades of battling it and restricting the number of foreigners.
The answer to everything is getting foreigners to do it. As for top 4 international side - they haven't won anything for 60 years. No English manager has won the League in 30 years and precious few have had success abroad. However none of this matters as there'll always be foreigners to do things for us.
Maybe there are now actually good quality English coaches. We'll see, not many have made it to the top yet. The Premier League being the best in the world is due to money. Probably the global interest resulting from language and legacy of empire.0 -
I post this from time to time - but watch this and tell me whether what he have today or what we had then is better.Cookie said:
It's hard to see in what respect Englosh football is 'better' than it was in, say, the late 80s/early 90s. I'd swap the overpriced, sugar-coated confection we have now for the affordable authenticity of those days in a heartbeat. I suspect most would do the same.FrankBooth said:
Doesn't this just sum up what is wrong?noneoftheabove said:
English football has the best league in the world and one of the top 4 international teams in the world. Sure it has problems but plenty of very good coaches now at all levels, in a way that there was not twenty years ago.FrankBooth said:
Isn't this the problem with English football? The most successful coaches are bereft of imagination, style and flair.DavidL said:Sammy Allardiche once again weaves his magic at Leeds. His teams are hard to beat.
Why might this be? My own personal view is something deeper rooted in English culture. People with such qualities wouldn't dream of managing others but insist on treading their own path.
Why? We embraced immigration of people and new ideas, after decades of battling it and restricting the number of foreigners.
The answer to everything is getting foreigners to do it. As for top 4 international side - they haven't won anything for 60 years. No English manager has won the League in 30 years and precious few have had success abroad. However none of this matters as there'll always be foreigners to do things for us.
Maybe there are now actually good quality English coaches. We'll see, not many have made it to the top yet. The Premier League being the best in the world is due to money. Probably the global interest resulting from language and legacy of empire.
https://youtu.be/WCm3bS6wXvk1 -
Is that the hand of God?Leon said:Talking of travels. Just had my fourth free mojito in Hurghada
0 -
Each to their own. I personally find the idea use of the flag is often sinister to be bizarre, and whilst it can be amusing to note the use of flags next to or behind politicians (and I've had plenty of fun mocking very manufactured political imagery) and the like the 'flag shagging' complaints generally appear to be the more hysterical reaction, you'd think any use of a flag was akin to fascism the way some people react oneline.kinabalu said:
It really isn't that. There's a place for our national flag. Big international sports events, for example, flagship (pun not meant) government buildings. But I don't want to see it as a common feature of life, always behind politicians when they speak, on hats and tee shirts and umbrellas, in municipal premises, in shops, people flying it in their houses and gardens, flags flags flags all over the place. That gives me the willies. I find it tacky at best and at worst rather sinister.Casino_Royale said:
It "lowers the tone".kinabalu said:
There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.Theuniondivvie said:
Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.Casino_Royale said:
That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.kinabalu said:
Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.pigeon said:
Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.viewcode said:
Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology...Theuniondivvie said:I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.
Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.
But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.
You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.
The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.
You look at most national leaders or diplomatic events and there's flags all over the place, it is pretty normal imagery, so if people don't personally like it being flown about the place then fine, that's their preference, but from my own position I just don't see it as a big deal.1 -
I don't even understand what's being complained about here. I get the affordable part, I presume this is about tickets and food etc costing a lot more, but is 'authenticity' code for something? What makes the game more authentic?Cookie said:
It's hard to see in what respect Englosh football is 'better' than it was in, say, the late 80s/early 90s. I'd swap the overpriced, sugar-coated confection we have now for the affordable authenticity of those days in a heartbeat. I suspect most would do the same.FrankBooth said:
Doesn't this just sum up what is wrong?noneoftheabove said:
English football has the best league in the world and one of the top 4 international teams in the world. Sure it has problems but plenty of very good coaches now at all levels, in a way that there was not twenty years ago.FrankBooth said:
Isn't this the problem with English football? The most successful coaches are bereft of imagination, style and flair.DavidL said:Sammy Allardiche once again weaves his magic at Leeds. His teams are hard to beat.
Why might this be? My own personal view is something deeper rooted in English culture. People with such qualities wouldn't dream of managing others but insist on treading their own path.
Why? We embraced immigration of people and new ideas, after decades of battling it and restricting the number of foreigners.
The answer to everything is getting foreigners to do it. As for top 4 international side - they haven't won anything for 60 years. No English manager has won the League in 30 years and precious few have had success abroad. However none of this matters as there'll always be foreigners to do things for us.
Maybe there are now actually good quality English coaches. We'll see, not many have made it to the top yet. The Premier League being the best in the world is due to money. Probably the global interest resulting from language and legacy of empire.0 -
The coaches exposed to foreign influences are mostly in their twenties, thirties and forties now. England have won World Cup U20, U17 and two UEFA U19s in the last seven years under that generation of coaches.FrankBooth said:
Doesn't this just sum up what is wrong?noneoftheabove said:
English football has the best league in the world and one of the top 4 international teams in the world. Sure it has problems but plenty of very good coaches now at all levels, in a way that there was not twenty years ago.FrankBooth said:
Isn't this the problem with English football? The most successful coaches are bereft of imagination, style and flair.DavidL said:Sammy Allardiche once again weaves his magic at Leeds. His teams are hard to beat.
Why might this be? My own personal view is something deeper rooted in English culture. People with such qualities wouldn't dream of managing others but insist on treading their own path.
Why? We embraced immigration of people and new ideas, after decades of battling it and restricting the number of foreigners.
The answer to everything is getting foreigners to do it. As for top 4 international side - they haven't won anything for 60 years. No English manager has won the League in 30 years and precious few have had success abroad. However none of this matters as there'll always be foreigners to do things for us.
Maybe there are now actually good quality English coaches. We'll see, not many have made it to the top yet. The Premier League being the best in the world is due to money. Probably the global interest resulting from language and legacy of empire.
A bit weird to blame them for the lack of success of the national team before they were even born.1 -
It looks like football but not in HD. The game is remarkably unchanged.Cookie said:
I post this from time to time - but watch this and tell me whether what he have today or what we had then is better.Cookie said:
It's hard to see in what respect Englosh football is 'better' than it was in, say, the late 80s/early 90s. I'd swap the overpriced, sugar-coated confection we have now for the affordable authenticity of those days in a heartbeat. I suspect most would do the same.FrankBooth said:
Doesn't this just sum up what is wrong?noneoftheabove said:
English football has the best league in the world and one of the top 4 international teams in the world. Sure it has problems but plenty of very good coaches now at all levels, in a way that there was not twenty years ago.FrankBooth said:
Isn't this the problem with English football? The most successful coaches are bereft of imagination, style and flair.DavidL said:Sammy Allardiche once again weaves his magic at Leeds. His teams are hard to beat.
Why might this be? My own personal view is something deeper rooted in English culture. People with such qualities wouldn't dream of managing others but insist on treading their own path.
Why? We embraced immigration of people and new ideas, after decades of battling it and restricting the number of foreigners.
The answer to everything is getting foreigners to do it. As for top 4 international side - they haven't won anything for 60 years. No English manager has won the League in 30 years and precious few have had success abroad. However none of this matters as there'll always be foreigners to do things for us.
Maybe there are now actually good quality English coaches. We'll see, not many have made it to the top yet. The Premier League being the best in the world is due to money. Probably the global interest resulting from language and legacy of empire.
https://youtu.be/WCm3bS6wXvk0 -
"Yeah... not really..."viewcode said:
He has $450 billion and owns Twitter. If Turkey banned Tesla, how long do you think it would take before he could engineer a coup?Sandpit said:
The problem is that Starlink isn’t his main business, and he doesn’t want countries to ban imports of Tesla cars off the back of problems with Twitter.viewcode said:
IIRC, weren't there small aerials you could buy to pick up satellite internet links directly without an intermediary?Sandpit said:
Starlink has the same problem, in that it needs to downlink to local internet providers, who have their own government censorship issues.viewcode said:
Beam Twitter in directly via his Starlink satellites and tell the Turkish government to foxtrot alpha.Sandpit said:
Given the choice of either respecting Turkish law, or being banned in Turkey, what’s he supposed to do?Dialup said:https://twitter.com/globalaffairs/status/1657219168863756288
In response to legal process and to ensure Twitter remains available to the people of Turkey, we have taken action to restrict access to some content in Turkey today.
Elon Musk, defender of free speech. Not.
He should really go proper Bond villain (if he hasn't already). If he gave out such aerials free to the consumer then he would have the stranglehold on all tweets, and eventually all phone-based communication. Didn't satellite telly do something like that in the 90's with dishes/set-top boxes?
D'y'know, the more I think of it, the more I think that...y'know, he really could do it...0 -
I'm of a generation where I might agree with you on some of that. But the reality beyond our personal tastes is far fewer people went to watch football in the 80s than do now, despite the price rises. So the data says most would not swap.Cookie said:
It's hard to see in what respect Englosh football is 'better' than it was in, say, the late 80s/early 90s. I'd swap the overpriced, sugar-coated confection we have now for the affordable authenticity of those days in a heartbeat. I suspect most would do the same.FrankBooth said:
Doesn't this just sum up what is wrong?noneoftheabove said:
English football has the best league in the world and one of the top 4 international teams in the world. Sure it has problems but plenty of very good coaches now at all levels, in a way that there was not twenty years ago.FrankBooth said:
Isn't this the problem with English football? The most successful coaches are bereft of imagination, style and flair.DavidL said:Sammy Allardiche once again weaves his magic at Leeds. His teams are hard to beat.
Why might this be? My own personal view is something deeper rooted in English culture. People with such qualities wouldn't dream of managing others but insist on treading their own path.
Why? We embraced immigration of people and new ideas, after decades of battling it and restricting the number of foreigners.
The answer to everything is getting foreigners to do it. As for top 4 international side - they haven't won anything for 60 years. No English manager has won the League in 30 years and precious few have had success abroad. However none of this matters as there'll always be foreigners to do things for us.
Maybe there are now actually good quality English coaches. We'll see, not many have made it to the top yet. The Premier League being the best in the world is due to money. Probably the global interest resulting from language and legacy of empire.0 -
Oh, all politicians are pro-growth. Just so long asGardenwalker said:
There’s no evidence that most politicians are pro-growth, and much evidence to the contrary.Chris said:
If the Greens hadn't condemned "austerity", perhaps you might have a point.Carnyx said:
Green Party is a sufficient counterexample, in at least one important sense of 'economic growth' - which they do question, at least in its nature.Chris said:
It is so.Gardenwalker said:
It really isn’t.Chris said:
Right. That would be why economic growth is the unquestioned mantra of every elected politician in this country.Gardenwalker said:
Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.Chris said:
I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.Luckyguy1983 said:
Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.GIN1138 said:
He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...Jonathan said:
You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.GIN1138 said:
Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂Jonathan said:Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
Populists: Johnson, Truss
Managers: Sunak, Callaghan
Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.
Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
Britain needs to grow.
This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
Edit: and add the Scottish Green Party, too. That's two parties.
But really the Greens are so peripheral, aren't they? If that's the best argument you can come up with in support of this certifiably insance idea that "almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition" were not in support of growth, that tells us something.
- there is no horrid factories or building near them
- the politicians get to pick the winners.
- etc
That this adds up to an anti-growth agenda is someone else’s fault.2 -
Wow.
Fact Sheet On German Military Aid To #Ukraine 🇩🇪🇺🇦
Newly PLEDGED equipment:
- 4 IRIS-T SLM SAM Systems
- 12 IRIS-T SLS SAM Launchers
- 30 Leopard 1A5 MBTs
- 20 Marder IFVs
- 100 ''Armoured Fighting Vehicles''
- 200 Reconnaissance UAVs
https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1657328911653515264
They're getting serious.3 -
Patriot (for example) has a nice long range.LostPassword said:
Seems to be two planes and two helicopters. Naturally some Russians believe that this is a sign that F-16s are already in Ukraine. I'm sure Dura will explain why this couldn't be done with F-16s.edmundintokyo said:Seems like Russian air defence is working effectively, they just took down a plane and 2 helicopters.
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1657368124788809728
"🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker
@UAWeapons
One of the worst days ever for the Russian Air Force: Today, at least 4 aircraft- an Su-34 strike jet, an Su-35 fighter and two Mi-8 helicopters, were shot down by anti-air missiles over Bryansk Oblast within Russia.
So far it is unclear what kind of missiles were used."0