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What will tomorrow do to Trump’s WH2024 hopes? – politicalbetting.com
What will tomorrow do to Trump’s WH2024 hopes? – politicalbetting.com
Tomorrow is a massive day in US politics when the former president goes on criminal trial in New York for actions in the WH2016 when it is alleged he paid Stormy Daniel to keep quiet about their relationship.
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I dread Trump standing in 24 but it does seem he is playing a dangerous game with the US voters and if he does become a martyr for his cause who knows what happens in 24
Biden v Trump is enough to depress the whole of the western world
Surely America can do better than this
However the base on its own isn't enough to get him past the finish line. He needs the - admittedly diminishing - strata of independents and centrists. A criminal trial is hardly going to endear him to them more than in 2020. That said, Biden's age and potential increasing infirmity due to it is going to worry a lot of people too. Not that they'll vote for the (alleged) felon but they might just sit on their hands. Biden has to know this, but then the Dems have hardly got an obvious star in the wings waiting Biden to step aside to land the vacancy. Kamala is simply not that inspiring and she too would just have people she needs sitting on their hands. Trump could get in by just the skin of his teeth again. And then we really do have a problem.
Labour Herd 15
Intel Labour/centre-left 18
LD 7
Nats 6
Neutral 19
Tory /Tory leaning 23
Centre-right 18
Total: 106 posters
Histogram analysis shows the first two categories post more than the last two in the ratio of about 60:40 or 65:35, depending (roughly) on how well/badly the Tories are doing at the time.
Which makes me think.. whenever I see the surname Gough, I'm always tempted to ask if it rhymes with through or tough
If the charges stick, it will probably be bad news for him in the election; but if he successfully gets rid of minor charges that are clearly politically motivated, more serious future charges might also be easily dismissed in the eyes of the electorate.
Haunting thought, but things were super close in several states, and presumably some of those states have 'tightened' things up.
The Woke don't realise that by sowing the wind, they reap the whirlwind.
I had thought, around 2016, that despite the rhetoric the USA constitutional strength would see off Trumpo-fascism even if he won an election. Not so sure second time around.
This song of theirs, Better, is with Dutch/Brazilian singer Lilian Vieira
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zMqSz1tGE1M
Ok it might be my book talking to some extent but I think he's almost over. It's just a matter of how much damage he does as he goes down. Possible he gets the GOP nomination - although I think not - but no way he regains the WH. You can lay that and spend the winnings now.
I shouldn’t really glamorize this deeply seedy human being with a Clash lyric but oh well never mind. Trump fought the law and the law won. That's how I see this panning out over the next couple of years.
I was going to tell you how many likes you have, but you have blocked access to that information.
I must admit if I think I have made a good pun I enjoy seeing the likes. I also find it interesting that I might get likes for what I think is a weak post and not for ones I think are quite good.
I put Trump in the narcissit category and would rather see De Santis run against a democrat of the same age.
Howeer the US has lost the plot and is on its way to becoming a banana republic. I would have expected the Democrats to have the intelligence to reel Bragg in and stop the use of the legal system as an election winning ploy. But it seems they have run out of grown ups in DC.
What does his say ? Firstly the Democrats must be total shit if they cant beat Trump on policy and votes. Secondly they must be total shit if they cant work out that the shoe will be on the other foot some day and they will have their own days in court. Finally there is always a dickhead british politico who just cant resist importing the latest US bilge in to our political system, so at some point this rubbish is heading here.
Fking marvellous.
The classified documents case might even be the first to reach a verdict.
Because the PB Tories went into a snowflakey spasm at being titled as such, and an official PB ban on the term came into effect - obviously never rescinded (in their heads anyway)..
USA now twinned with Venezuela.
It could have been recorded more than 55 years ago, but actually just under one year
I'm going to try to see these guys live
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i_wyBT5cuWA
He'll throw his kids in front of the bus to save himself.
Anti-woke posters with far too much time on their hands: 1.
Personally I think Obama called him right,
And as for frequency of posting, you are currently in a Champions League spot.
Of course we're a long way from trial let along conviction.
I remain firm in my belief he will never see a day in prison.
Downing Street has acknowledged that new post-Brexit “processes” contributed to issues at the Port of Dover over the weekend.
The prime minister’s official spokesman said he was aware that French border officials were “inspecting and stamping every single passport”, as is the case at all European borders for arrivals from outside the bloc.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/dover-delays-officials-dismiss-suella-braverman-claim-queues-brexit-latest-l0mtqjfkw
In the Popperesque world of PB, we should all have the right to "self identify".
And I think we should celebrate with a new nickname*
I'm thinking we should use CHB and call him Chub, or Chubby if we're feeling friendly
Or The Chubster, when lauding him
* I have a family called Eke on my round. I haven't met any of them yet, but I really want to ask if they know that their name is the same as the word that I learnt that nickname derives from. Eke means 'additional' in Middle English, and "an eke name" became " a nekename" then a "nickname"
On what was a pretty good night for the centre right, the Democrats for Andorra won 16 of the 28 General Council seats. Still waiting for final numbers from Bulgaria were ITN look to have got back into the National Assembly. Borisov’s GERB party has probably won more seats than Petrov’s PP but if I were caretaker Prime Minister Galab Donev I wouldn’t make any plans for a quick departure as the political impasse which has lasted since last August won’t be shifted by another inconclusive election.
Back on more familiar terrain, the Monday evening Redfield & Wilton poll has little change. The England sub sample has Labour on 50%, the Conservatives on 29% and the Liberal Democrats on 11% so a 17% swing since December 2019.
The supplementaries are fairly disappointing for Sunak as well. As to what they tell us about the local elections next month, I remain convinced the big story will be Labour gains across the country.
I would self identify as anti-Conservative, so I am not sure that places me in any of your groupings. Perhaps I need a group all of my own. In that respect we are similarly unique.
The other problem he has is I expect he's the sort of businessman who breaks the law routinely because he thinks he's above it. There may not be enough evidence for many of his crimes, but there likely will be for a few.
I'd love to see him as the GOP nominee being in and out of different court rooms during the campaign. It would sum up the current Republican party very nicely.
w*******? That's a bit rude!
Is that ridiculous?
You're still one of the Labour Herd though.
But I gather it's a dog rather than an actual doge.
By the way I don't think Reagan was effective in a good way, but he was definitely effective.
He was also definitely senile.
Those if you on this new thread missed Pagan’s inspired and unanswerable takedown of the Lib Dems.
US politics is so finely balanced, he can't afford to lose anybody in his voter coalition.
I’d have thought the same is true of RDS too, when push comes to shove.
I assume we’re not counting the friends that turn up on Saturday mornings to educate us on Russia and vaccinations?
2nd Q.