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What will tomorrow do to Trump’s WH2024 hopes? – politicalbetting.com

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  • Options
    DriverDriver Posts: 4,522
    Pulpstar said:

    One thing I'd do is introduce summary execution for people who chuck wet wipes down the loo. I've never done it myself and I don't know anyone who does (Or perhaps I do !) but there must be a cohort of thick as mince or completely ignorant wallies that do.
    Who are these people ???
    They should probably all be shot for the best.

    They see "flushable" on the packet and believe it.
  • Options
    FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,151

    felix said:

    With all this identity renewal malarkey let's hope Heathener emerges tomorrow as the onward Christian soldier...

    Heathener is Sir Cliff Richard? Cool!
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    carnforth said:

    stodge said:

    I like Sunak putting Braverman in her place.

    Downing Street has acknowledged that new post-Brexit “processes” contributed to issues at the Port of Dover over the weekend.

    The prime minister’s official spokesman said he was aware that French border officials were “inspecting and stamping every single passport”, as is the case at all European borders for arrivals from outside the bloc.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/dover-delays-officials-dismiss-suella-braverman-claim-queues-brexit-latest-l0mtqjfkw

    I must confess I find Simon Calder’s analysis on this rather more compelling than Suella Braverman. Did we really insist on every passport being checked and stamped ?

    Every passport being checked and stamped is a natural consequence of the end of FoM. "We insisted" is partisan gloss.

    Simon Calder is merely using the FBPEr's "we shot ourselves in the foot" insinuation as he always does.

    If he were more honest, he would point out that passports take longer to check now, but that busy weekends at Dover have often involved delays. For example, this from 2012:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-kent-18307471
    FoM has nothing to do with the physical border, yet people keep trying to conflate the two. There have always been passport checks between the CTA and Shengen, and always been delays when the French decide to be French.

    Movement of goods is different now that the UK is no longer in the EU Customs Union, but tourist traffic is pretty much the same.
    I think they're related because whether you have FoM or not affects what the passport checks need to do. If a British person wants to enter Schengen and they're part of the same FoM zone as you then you (mostly) just need to check that they have a British passport. If they're not doing FoM then you also need to manage how long they'll be allowed to stay and whether they've already stayed too long, which involves more steps.
    No, FoM related to the entitlement to a National Insurance number, and the right to work. Nothing to do with border checks.

    It does appear that the French want to stamp passports to check for overstays, but that takes only a couple of seconds per passport.
    I really don't know why you post this kind of nonsense. It patently takes longer than only a couple of seconds. Open passport. Check last entry, check last exit, check cumulative days stayed in the last 180. And then if all ok find the next page and stamp.

    The physical stamping takes only a few seconds. The rest takes a minute. And this is why the queues are here. I assume that had we not left we would have been given a bypass for this new Schengen rule. Or at the very least reduced it. We could have I asked for that.

    Instead we said "we want to be a third country". And this is the process. Think how much fun we will all be having next year when we need to be fingerprinted and have our visa checked.
    If people voted for Brexit because they wanted to keep foreigners out of Britain, they have a cheek to complain that other countries may want to keep us out of theirs.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,286
    Pulpstar said:

    One thing I'd do is introduce summary execution for people who chuck wet wipes down the loo. I've never done it myself and I don't know anyone who does (Or perhaps I do !) but there must be a cohort of thick as mince or completely ignorant wallies that do.
    Who are these people ???
    They should probably all be shot for the best.

    Some of the carers who sort me out would put wet wipes down the loo if I didn’t stop them!

    And a good morning to one and all. Lovely bright April morning here!
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,314
    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    DavidL said:

    Nigel Lawson has passed away, aged 91.

    His book, the View from Number 11, is one of the very best political books I have ever read. He didn't go by chronology but by topic and as a result gave really fascinating insights as to how policy was formed and the limitations on government. It is a good innings but that is sad news. An intellectual giant compared to almost anyone in any political party today.
    His views on climate change haven't aged well.
    Bringing the Western economies to their knees on the strength of totally unremarkable changes in climate is going to age a lot worse.
    You either don't have a clue, or you have some sort of dishonest agenda.
    I thought Lawson’s view was:

    - Climate change is happening
    - He wasn’t convinced it was entire anthropomorphic
    - Given 2 he felt mitigation was a better use of limited resources than carbon reduction

    It may be wrong but it’s not some kind of heinous position

    For a very intelligent guy, he had some terrible judgment.
    To be honest, given absolute Net Zero in carbon *emissions* is almost certainly impossible given political, social and economic constraints I suspect the way we'll actually achieve it is by decarbonising 70-80% of emissions and then littering the planet with direct air capture plants in the middle-latter half of this century to suck out the rest.

    So, we'll get to Net Zero (or maybe even slightly negative) but by a different and more practical route based on engineering.
    That doesn't sound like a practical route to me. Just like with carbon capture and storage I don't see why people would ever spend billions, indefinitely, as an add-on.

    If you invest in new zero carbon technology then it's only a temporary extra cost until the technology develops and you have a new way of doing something that's cheaper than the old way, and then zero carbon becomes an economic inevitability.
    You could say the same about sewage treatment plants.

    If the cost is low/reasonable enough and the requirements legislated for then it will happen. And it incentivises other solutions in the long-term, as you say.
    The difference with sewage treatment plants is the long term vs short term thing, which is quite important when it comes to human incentives.

    Sewage treatment plants get you an immediate benefit in not having stinking shit in your rivers and on your beaches. Carbon capture doesn't have such immediate and obvious benefits.
    The UK can spend tens of billions on carbon capture - but that has no net effect for the planet if Vietnam then builds another eleven coal-fired power stations.
    Carbon capture as apparently envisaged by this government is a lamentable waste of money. They're going to spend £20bn making burning fossil fuels more expensive.
    Just daft.
    I suspect there is a big donor with his finger in those pies though.
    No doubt, but it's a shocking waste of money in our current economic situation.
    This government seems addicted to the most stupid and most expensive energy policies. We'll still be paying for these mistakes for decades to come.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,068
    Good morning, everyone.

    Mr. Mark, practically every government in my lifetime has been atrocious on energy.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,771
    ydoethur said:

    Yet again the Treasury prove they don’t understand the concept of false economies.

    Social care reform funding halved for England, government confirms
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-65171795

    If they don’t have proper social care reform, very soon we’re going to have far worse and more expensive problems. Arguably they’re already here.

    Which will be more damaging to the national economy and the PSBR by far than spending enough to start with.

    I thought we were increasing social care spending. Didn’t we increase NI to do so or was that reversed after the Kamikwase budget?
    It is certainly needed. One of the main reasons the NHS can’t cope is the consequences of inadequate social care being dumped upon it.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,286
    Driver said:

    Scott_xP said:

    The entry exit thing was always going to become a huge issue because it is a very palpable and fully demonstrable consequence of the Brexit the government chose. You experience the queuing and know it was not as bad previously. It’s inarguable. So, there will be some kind of deal done and it will involve the UK giving up some level of control. Outside of the depleted, impotent confines of the ERG, no-one will care - they’ll welcome the return of sanity and convenience.

    Hugo Rifkind's column in The Times today makes the case that we have had enough of 'big ideas', and the most successful pitch for the next election would we "We won't break anything else"

    It's an interesting idea, but neglects the fact that we do need a government that will in fact "fix some of the shit we just broke"
    Absolutely. This government can’t do it. A Labour-led one will have huge leeway because it has no Brexit loon wing to appease. I agree with Casino Royale on this - Starmer is basically telling porkies about what a government he leads will do to mitigate Brexit. If he’s PM, we’ll see much closer alignment than is being acknowledged.

    Which is fine for him, provided he has a big enough Commons majority to force it through. If he tries something like that with a bare majority or a minority without it having been acknowledged well in advance of the election, he's sunk.
    If there is a sizable LibDem bloc in parliament, he shouldn’t have a problem on that one!
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,703
    Driver said:

    Scott_xP said:

    The entry exit thing was always going to become a huge issue because it is a very palpable and fully demonstrable consequence of the Brexit the government chose. You experience the queuing and know it was not as bad previously. It’s inarguable. So, there will be some kind of deal done and it will involve the UK giving up some level of control. Outside of the depleted, impotent confines of the ERG, no-one will care - they’ll welcome the return of sanity and convenience.

    Hugo Rifkind's column in The Times today makes the case that we have had enough of 'big ideas', and the most successful pitch for the next election would we "We won't break anything else"

    It's an interesting idea, but neglects the fact that we do need a government that will in fact "fix some of the shit we just broke"
    Absolutely. This government can’t do it. A Labour-led one will have huge leeway because it has no Brexit loon wing to appease. I agree with Casino Royale on this - Starmer is basically telling porkies about what a government he leads will do to mitigate Brexit. If he’s PM, we’ll see much closer alignment than is being acknowledged.

    Which is fine for him, provided he has a big enough Commons majority to force it through. If he tries something like that with a bare majority or a minority without it having been acknowledged well in advance of the election, he's sunk.
    Oh so that's how politics works.

    Thanks for the explainer.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,314

    Good morning, everyone.

    Mr. Mark, practically every government in my lifetime has been atrocious on energy.

    You'd think they'd learn.

    Or at least, learn to properly consider all the available options.
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,904
    It seems crazy, yet true, that a politician could say "We will solve the queues at Dover" and win votes, as long as they don't say "queues at Dover caused by Brexit" in case they lose votes.

    But then again, everything about Brexit has always been crazy
  • Options
    FF43 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    The entry exit thing was always going to become a huge issue because it is a very palpable and fully demonstrable consequence of the Brexit the government chose. You experience the queuing and know it was not as bad previously. It’s inarguable. So, there will be some kind of deal done and it will involve the UK giving up some level of control. Outside of the depleted, impotent confines of the ERG, no-one will care - they’ll welcome the return of sanity and convenience.

    Hugo Rifkind's column in The Times today makes the case that we have had enough of 'big ideas', and the most successful pitch for the next election would we "We won't break anything else"

    It's an interesting idea, but neglects the fact that we do need a government that will in fact "fix some of the shit we just broke"
    Absolutely. This government can’t do it. A Labour-led one will have huge leeway because it has no Brexit loon wing to appease. I agree with Casino Royale on this - Starmer is basically telling porkies about what a government he leads will do to mitigate Brexit. If he’s PM, we’ll see much closer alignment than is being acknowledged.

    Labour needs Brexit to be a non-issue. As long as that holds they have no interest in defending it. Almost all its supporters think Brexit a mistake. "Making Brexit work" actually means limit the damage but they can't admit it.

    Incidentally Labour in Scotland also need independence to be a non-issue.
    "Make Brexit Work" is a very clever piece of politics. Stealing the Tories punchy 3 word sloganising, making it sound positive about Brexit, and directly pointing out that Brexit doesn't work in its current form.

    We are where we are the genie isn't going back into the bottle. So anything we now do will be the action of making Brexit work. What the Labour team will have to do is work hard at contextualising what this means as the hard right will be shrieking about how this is really a threat to all they have won such as school trips being cancelled in Dover passport queues.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,278

    Good morning, everyone.

    Mr. Mark, practically every government in my lifetime has been atrocious on energy.

    They could have a dozen Rolls Royce SMR reactors up and running by now, and exporting them overseas. Instead, the Americans have got first mover advantage on the deployment of the technology, so guess where the export orders will be going.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,314

    felix said:

    With all this identity renewal malarkey let's hope Heathener emerges tomorrow as the onward Christian soldier...

    Heathener is Sir Cliff Richard? Cool!
    Bloody devil woman.....
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,065
    Driver said:

    Scott_xP said:

    The entry exit thing was always going to become a huge issue because it is a very palpable and fully demonstrable consequence of the Brexit the government chose. You experience the queuing and know it was not as bad previously. It’s inarguable. So, there will be some kind of deal done and it will involve the UK giving up some level of control. Outside of the depleted, impotent confines of the ERG, no-one will care - they’ll welcome the return of sanity and convenience.

    Hugo Rifkind's column in The Times today makes the case that we have had enough of 'big ideas', and the most successful pitch for the next election would we "We won't break anything else"

    It's an interesting idea, but neglects the fact that we do need a government that will in fact "fix some of the shit we just broke"
    Absolutely. This government can’t do it. A Labour-led one will have huge leeway because it has no Brexit loon wing to appease. I agree with Casino Royale on this - Starmer is basically telling porkies about what a government he leads will do to mitigate Brexit. If he’s PM, we’ll see much closer alignment than is being acknowledged.

    Which is fine for him, provided he has a big enough Commons majority to force it through. If he tries something like that with a bare majority or a minority without it having been acknowledged well in advance of the election, he's sunk.
    A lot of it won’t need Commons votes. The rest will be supported by MPs, except for Tory ones.

  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,771

    Good morning, everyone.

    Mr. Mark, practically every government in my lifetime has been atrocious on energy.

    Hmm. The government has done very well on wind and pretty well on solar. Terribly on nuclear but some very belated progress there. Could have been more open to things like tidal. But definitely an improvement on the paralysis that Ed Miliband brought to the sector.
    I want more renewables and self sufficiency, not necessarily in that order. We cannot afford to keep importing so much of our energy.
  • Options
    algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 10,898

    Scott_xP said:

    The entry exit thing was always going to become a huge issue because it is a very palpable and fully demonstrable consequence of the Brexit the government chose. You experience the queuing and know it was not as bad previously. It’s inarguable. So, there will be some kind of deal done and it will involve the UK giving up some level of control. Outside of the depleted, impotent confines of the ERG, no-one will care - they’ll welcome the return of sanity and convenience.

    Hugo Rifkind's column in The Times today makes the case that we have had enough of 'big ideas', and the most successful pitch for the next election would we "We won't break anything else"

    It's an interesting idea, but neglects the fact that we do need a government that will in fact "fix some of the shit we just broke"
    Absolutely. This government can’t do it. A Labour-led one will have huge leeway because it has no Brexit loon wing to appease. I agree with Casino Royale on this - Starmer is basically telling porkies about what a government he leads will do to mitigate Brexit. If he’s PM, we’ll see much closer alignment than is being acknowledged.

    The clue to the problem is in the words "much closer alignment". This is SKS unicorn language. The SM and CU is something you are either in or out of.
  • Options
    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,327

    felix said:

    With all this identity renewal malarkey let's hope Heathener emerges tomorrow as the onward Christian soldier...

    Heathener is Sir Cliff Richard? Cool!
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    carnforth said:

    stodge said:

    I like Sunak putting Braverman in her place.

    Downing Street has acknowledged that new post-Brexit “processes” contributed to issues at the Port of Dover over the weekend.

    The prime minister’s official spokesman said he was aware that French border officials were “inspecting and stamping every single passport”, as is the case at all European borders for arrivals from outside the bloc.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/dover-delays-officials-dismiss-suella-braverman-claim-queues-brexit-latest-l0mtqjfkw

    I must confess I find Simon Calder’s analysis on this rather more compelling than Suella Braverman. Did we really insist on every passport being checked and stamped ?

    Every passport being checked and stamped is a natural consequence of the end of FoM. "We insisted" is partisan gloss.

    Simon Calder is merely using the FBPEr's "we shot ourselves in the foot" insinuation as he always does.

    If he were more honest, he would point out that passports take longer to check now, but that busy weekends at Dover have often involved delays. For example, this from 2012:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-kent-18307471
    FoM has nothing to do with the physical border, yet people keep trying to conflate the two. There have always been passport checks between the CTA and Shengen, and always been delays when the French decide to be French.

    Movement of goods is different now that the UK is no longer in the EU Customs Union, but tourist traffic is pretty much the same.
    I think they're related because whether you have FoM or not affects what the passport checks need to do. If a British person wants to enter Schengen and they're part of the same FoM zone as you then you (mostly) just need to check that they have a British passport. If they're not doing FoM then you also need to manage how long they'll be allowed to stay and whether they've already stayed too long, which involves more steps.
    No, FoM related to the entitlement to a National Insurance number, and the right to work. Nothing to do with border checks.

    It does appear that the French want to stamp passports to check for overstays, but that takes only a couple of seconds per passport.
    I really don't know why you post this kind of nonsense. It patently takes longer than only a couple of seconds. Open passport. Check last entry, check last exit, check cumulative days stayed in the last 180. And then if all ok find the next page and stamp.

    The physical stamping takes only a few seconds. The rest takes a minute. And this is why the queues are here. I assume that had we not left we would have been given a bypass for this new Schengen rule. Or at the very least reduced it. We could have I asked for that.

    Instead we said "we want to be a third country". And this is the process. Think how much fun we will all be having next year when we need to be fingerprinted and have our visa checked.
    If people voted for Brexit because they wanted to keep foreigners out of Britain, they have a cheek to complain that other countries may want to keep us out of theirs.
    Indeed. The lack of self awareness is stunning sometimes. See also people who complain about immigration while detailing their own plans to move abroad.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 45,195
    edited April 2023
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:


    On the upside the tide to Wokeness, which threatens to destroy America, the West, and the Enlightenment, stands some chance of being reversed under a confident if insane Republican like Trump,

    I don't understand this. Isn't the great tide of terrifying wokeness that's going to destroy America all about liberal professors in universities and out-of-control HR departments in Woke Corporations and drag queens in liberal states and things like that? How does changing the president stop it?
    Because you have to start somewhere. At the top is a good place
    What specific woke thing has Biden done?

    Take your time.
    He wakes up every morning to go to work?

    Trump stayed in bed like a student, IIRC
  • Options
    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,327
    algarkirk said:

    Scott_xP said:

    The entry exit thing was always going to become a huge issue because it is a very palpable and fully demonstrable consequence of the Brexit the government chose. You experience the queuing and know it was not as bad previously. It’s inarguable. So, there will be some kind of deal done and it will involve the UK giving up some level of control. Outside of the depleted, impotent confines of the ERG, no-one will care - they’ll welcome the return of sanity and convenience.

    Hugo Rifkind's column in The Times today makes the case that we have had enough of 'big ideas', and the most successful pitch for the next election would we "We won't break anything else"

    It's an interesting idea, but neglects the fact that we do need a government that will in fact "fix some of the shit we just broke"
    Absolutely. This government can’t do it. A Labour-led one will have huge leeway because it has no Brexit loon wing to appease. I agree with Casino Royale on this - Starmer is basically telling porkies about what a government he leads will do to mitigate Brexit. If he’s PM, we’ll see much closer alignment than is being acknowledged.

    The clue to the problem is in the words "much closer alignment". This is SKS unicorn language. The SM and CU is something you are either in or out of.
    It sounds like the Hokey Cokey.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,687
    edited April 2023
    If you want to hear the music they played on U-Boats...
    https://mobile.twitter.com/howtofixauboat/status/1642944517497143319
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,687
    Virgin Orbit files for bankruptcy.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-65172594
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,068
    Mr. Mark, might be the divergence between electoral cycles and long term infrastructure spending.

    Syracuse certainly benefited from Hiero's benevolent dictatorship.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,079
    You can just tell Trump is loving every second of this whole circus.
  • Options
    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,327
    algarkirk said:

    Scott_xP said:

    The entry exit thing was always going to become a huge issue because it is a very palpable and fully demonstrable consequence of the Brexit the government chose. You experience the queuing and know it was not as bad previously. It’s inarguable. So, there will be some kind of deal done and it will involve the UK giving up some level of control. Outside of the depleted, impotent confines of the ERG, no-one will care - they’ll welcome the return of sanity and convenience.

    Hugo Rifkind's column in The Times today makes the case that we have had enough of 'big ideas', and the most successful pitch for the next election would we "We won't break anything else"

    It's an interesting idea, but neglects the fact that we do need a government that will in fact "fix some of the shit we just broke"
    Absolutely. This government can’t do it. A Labour-led one will have huge leeway because it has no Brexit loon wing to appease. I agree with Casino Royale on this - Starmer is basically telling porkies about what a government he leads will do to mitigate Brexit. If he’s PM, we’ll see much closer alignment than is being acknowledged.

    To be fair to SKS he has an election to avoid losing; to do that almost everyone will admit that he has to avoid splitting his voters on post-Brexit issues. If he does he hands seats to Tories, SNP and even LDs. Only unicorn policies or no explicit policies at all can reliably prevent a split.

    This is because a huge swathe of middling opinion only wants unicorn policies on Brexit. While a huge group of Labour supporters, mostly middle class, want SM, CU, FoM, EEA, EFTA or EU, another huge group either want none of them or only unicorn edited highlights.

    I think nearer the time he will pledge a post-election 'full review of options'. But even that has dangers.

    As to what SKS would actually do in government about all this, he and we have no idea.
    I have no idea what SKS is planning but I am in little doubt that whatever he chooses it will be an improvement on the crummy set-up the current cabal of liars, idiots and shills for the billionaire donor class have cobbled together.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,278
    Is the new First Minister going to review the justice reforms, that lead to rape of a 13-year-old girl no longer being an imprisonable office in Scotland?

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/04/03/rape-scotland-community-service-sentence-snp/
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,687
    Sandpit said:

    Good morning, everyone.

    Mr. Mark, practically every government in my lifetime has been atrocious on energy.

    They could have a dozen Rolls Royce SMR reactors up and running by now, and exporting them overseas. Instead, the Americans have got first mover advantage on the deployment of the technology, so guess where the export orders will be going.
    Have already started to go.
    https://www.nuscalepower.com/en/news/press-releases/2022/nuscale-and-kghm-sign-task-order-to-initiate-the-deployment-of-first-smr-in-poland
  • Options
    kjhkjh Posts: 10,796

    felix said:

    With all this identity renewal malarkey let's hope Heathener emerges tomorrow as the onward Christian soldier...

    Heathener is Sir Cliff Richard? Cool!
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    carnforth said:

    stodge said:

    I like Sunak putting Braverman in her place.

    Downing Street has acknowledged that new post-Brexit “processes” contributed to issues at the Port of Dover over the weekend.

    The prime minister’s official spokesman said he was aware that French border officials were “inspecting and stamping every single passport”, as is the case at all European borders for arrivals from outside the bloc.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/dover-delays-officials-dismiss-suella-braverman-claim-queues-brexit-latest-l0mtqjfkw

    I must confess I find Simon Calder’s analysis on this rather more compelling than Suella Braverman. Did we really insist on every passport being checked and stamped ?

    Every passport being checked and stamped is a natural consequence of the end of FoM. "We insisted" is partisan gloss.

    Simon Calder is merely using the FBPEr's "we shot ourselves in the foot" insinuation as he always does.

    If he were more honest, he would point out that passports take longer to check now, but that busy weekends at Dover have often involved delays. For example, this from 2012:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-kent-18307471
    FoM has nothing to do with the physical border, yet people keep trying to conflate the two. There have always been passport checks between the CTA and Shengen, and always been delays when the French decide to be French.

    Movement of goods is different now that the UK is no longer in the EU Customs Union, but tourist traffic is pretty much the same.
    I think they're related because whether you have FoM or not affects what the passport checks need to do. If a British person wants to enter Schengen and they're part of the same FoM zone as you then you (mostly) just need to check that they have a British passport. If they're not doing FoM then you also need to manage how long they'll be allowed to stay and whether they've already stayed too long, which involves more steps.
    No, FoM related to the entitlement to a National Insurance number, and the right to work. Nothing to do with border checks.

    It does appear that the French want to stamp passports to check for overstays, but that takes only a couple of seconds per passport.
    I really don't know why you post this kind of nonsense. It patently takes longer than only a couple of seconds. Open passport. Check last entry, check last exit, check cumulative days stayed in the last 180. And then if all ok find the next page and stamp.

    The physical stamping takes only a few seconds. The rest takes a minute. And this is why the queues are here. I assume that had we not left we would have been given a bypass for this new Schengen rule. Or at the very least reduced it. We could have I asked for that.

    Instead we said "we want to be a third country". And this is the process. Think how much fun we will all be having next year when we need to be fingerprinted and have our visa checked.
    If people voted for Brexit because they wanted to keep foreigners out of Britain, they have a cheek to complain that other countries may want to keep us out of theirs.
    Indeed. The lack of self awareness is stunning sometimes. See also people who complain about immigration while detailing their own plans to move abroad.
    I must admit @leon's posts yesterday caused me to have steam coming out of my ears. A combination of the desire to move abroad and the tax benefits of doing so having banged on about Brexit so much and going on and on about Gary Lineker being a tax dodger (against the available evidence) was just galling.

    And to top it all stating the migration problem isn't what was promised by Brexit. I mean if only people had bothered to tell him it wouldn't work then it wouldn't have come as such a huge surprise to him. Honestly.
  • Options
    MattWMattW Posts: 19,181
    edited April 2023
    ydoethur said:

    If the plan is to have more people holidaying in the UK the government needs to stop the water companies pouring raw sewage into our seas. No-one wants their kids paddling among turds!

    So two strands needed to achieve this:

    1) Sort out the sewage system;
    This is a strange one. Like discharges into rivers, discharges onto beaches are a pan-European problem. The scales just pre-Brexit:

    https://www.waternewseurope.com/tourists-in-europe-are-swimming-in-raw-sewage-despite-blue-flags/


  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,687
    kjh said:

    felix said:

    With all this identity renewal malarkey let's hope Heathener emerges tomorrow as the onward Christian soldier...

    Heathener is Sir Cliff Richard? Cool!
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    carnforth said:

    stodge said:

    I like Sunak putting Braverman in her place.

    Downing Street has acknowledged that new post-Brexit “processes” contributed to issues at the Port of Dover over the weekend.

    The prime minister’s official spokesman said he was aware that French border officials were “inspecting and stamping every single passport”, as is the case at all European borders for arrivals from outside the bloc.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/dover-delays-officials-dismiss-suella-braverman-claim-queues-brexit-latest-l0mtqjfkw

    I must confess I find Simon Calder’s analysis on this rather more compelling than Suella Braverman. Did we really insist on every passport being checked and stamped ?

    Every passport being checked and stamped is a natural consequence of the end of FoM. "We insisted" is partisan gloss.

    Simon Calder is merely using the FBPEr's "we shot ourselves in the foot" insinuation as he always does.

    If he were more honest, he would point out that passports take longer to check now, but that busy weekends at Dover have often involved delays. For example, this from 2012:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-kent-18307471
    FoM has nothing to do with the physical border, yet people keep trying to conflate the two. There have always been passport checks between the CTA and Shengen, and always been delays when the French decide to be French.

    Movement of goods is different now that the UK is no longer in the EU Customs Union, but tourist traffic is pretty much the same.
    I think they're related because whether you have FoM or not affects what the passport checks need to do. If a British person wants to enter Schengen and they're part of the same FoM zone as you then you (mostly) just need to check that they have a British passport. If they're not doing FoM then you also need to manage how long they'll be allowed to stay and whether they've already stayed too long, which involves more steps.
    No, FoM related to the entitlement to a National Insurance number, and the right to work. Nothing to do with border checks.

    It does appear that the French want to stamp passports to check for overstays, but that takes only a couple of seconds per passport.
    I really don't know why you post this kind of nonsense. It patently takes longer than only a couple of seconds. Open passport. Check last entry, check last exit, check cumulative days stayed in the last 180. And then if all ok find the next page and stamp.

    The physical stamping takes only a few seconds. The rest takes a minute. And this is why the queues are here. I assume that had we not left we would have been given a bypass for this new Schengen rule. Or at the very least reduced it. We could have I asked for that.

    Instead we said "we want to be a third country". And this is the process. Think how much fun we will all be having next year when we need to be fingerprinted and have our visa checked.
    If people voted for Brexit because they wanted to keep foreigners out of Britain, they have a cheek to complain that other countries may want to keep us out of theirs.
    Indeed. The lack of self awareness is stunning sometimes. See also people who complain about immigration while detailing their own plans to move abroad.
    I must admit @leon's posts yesterday caused me to have steam coming out of my ears. A combination of the desire to move abroad and the tax benefits of doing so having banged on about Brexit so much and going on and on about Gary Lineker being a tax dodger (against the available evidence) was just galling.

    And to top it all stating the migration problem isn't what was promised by Brexit. I mean if only people had bothered to tell him it wouldn't work then it wouldn't have come as such a huge surprise to him. Honestly.
    It left me entirely unsurprised.
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,635
    Banning wet wipes but not doing anything about sewage being pumped into the sea.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,703

    algarkirk said:

    Scott_xP said:

    The entry exit thing was always going to become a huge issue because it is a very palpable and fully demonstrable consequence of the Brexit the government chose. You experience the queuing and know it was not as bad previously. It’s inarguable. So, there will be some kind of deal done and it will involve the UK giving up some level of control. Outside of the depleted, impotent confines of the ERG, no-one will care - they’ll welcome the return of sanity and convenience.

    Hugo Rifkind's column in The Times today makes the case that we have had enough of 'big ideas', and the most successful pitch for the next election would we "We won't break anything else"

    It's an interesting idea, but neglects the fact that we do need a government that will in fact "fix some of the shit we just broke"
    Absolutely. This government can’t do it. A Labour-led one will have huge leeway because it has no Brexit loon wing to appease. I agree with Casino Royale on this - Starmer is basically telling porkies about what a government he leads will do to mitigate Brexit. If he’s PM, we’ll see much closer alignment than is being acknowledged.

    To be fair to SKS he has an election to avoid losing; to do that almost everyone will admit that he has to avoid splitting his voters on post-Brexit issues. If he does he hands seats to Tories, SNP and even LDs. Only unicorn policies or no explicit policies at all can reliably prevent a split.

    This is because a huge swathe of middling opinion only wants unicorn policies on Brexit. While a huge group of Labour supporters, mostly middle class, want SM, CU, FoM, EEA, EFTA or EU, another huge group either want none of them or only unicorn edited highlights.

    I think nearer the time he will pledge a post-election 'full review of options'. But even that has dangers.

    As to what SKS would actually do in government about all this, he and we have no idea.
    I have no idea what SKS is planning but I am in little doubt that whatever he chooses it will be an improvement on the crummy set-up the current cabal of liars, idiots and shills for the billionaire donor class have cobbled together.
    "billionaire donor class"

    Love it.

    It's this type of analysis which might enable the Cons to squeak it or close to it come the next GE.
  • Options
    algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 10,898

    algarkirk said:

    Scott_xP said:

    The entry exit thing was always going to become a huge issue because it is a very palpable and fully demonstrable consequence of the Brexit the government chose. You experience the queuing and know it was not as bad previously. It’s inarguable. So, there will be some kind of deal done and it will involve the UK giving up some level of control. Outside of the depleted, impotent confines of the ERG, no-one will care - they’ll welcome the return of sanity and convenience.

    Hugo Rifkind's column in The Times today makes the case that we have had enough of 'big ideas', and the most successful pitch for the next election would we "We won't break anything else"

    It's an interesting idea, but neglects the fact that we do need a government that will in fact "fix some of the shit we just broke"
    Absolutely. This government can’t do it. A Labour-led one will have huge leeway because it has no Brexit loon wing to appease. I agree with Casino Royale on this - Starmer is basically telling porkies about what a government he leads will do to mitigate Brexit. If he’s PM, we’ll see much closer alignment than is being acknowledged.

    To be fair to SKS he has an election to avoid losing; to do that almost everyone will admit that he has to avoid splitting his voters on post-Brexit issues. If he does he hands seats to Tories, SNP and even LDs. Only unicorn policies or no explicit policies at all can reliably prevent a split.

    This is because a huge swathe of middling opinion only wants unicorn policies on Brexit. While a huge group of Labour supporters, mostly middle class, want SM, CU, FoM, EEA, EFTA or EU, another huge group either want none of them or only unicorn edited highlights.

    I think nearer the time he will pledge a post-election 'full review of options'. But even that has dangers.

    As to what SKS would actually do in government about all this, he and we have no idea.
    I have no idea what SKS is planning but I am in little doubt that whatever he chooses it will be an improvement on the crummy set-up the current cabal of liars, idiots and shills for the billionaire donor class have cobbled together.
    Yes. I think that can be taken as more or less certain.

  • Options
    algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 10,898
    Andy_JS said:

    Banning wet wipes but not doing anything about sewage being pumped into the sea.

    That's how it works. New laws, but don't enforce the old ones.
  • Options
    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,327
    Nigelb said:

    .

    Nigelb said:

    DavidL said:

    Nigel Lawson has passed away, aged 91.

    His book, the View from Number 11, is one of the very best political books I have ever read. He didn't go by chronology but by topic and as a result gave really fascinating insights as to how policy was formed and the limitations on government. It is a good innings but that is sad news. An intellectual giant compared to almost anyone in any political party today.
    His views on climate change haven't aged well.
    Bringing the Western economies to their knees on the strength of totally unremarkable changes in climate is going to age a lot worse.
    You either don't have a clue, or you have some sort of dishonest agenda.
    I thought Lawson’s view was:

    - Climate change is happening
    - He wasn’t convinced it was entire anthropomorphic
    - Given 2 he felt mitigation was a better use of limited resources than carbon reduction

    It may be wrong but it’s not some kind of heinous position

    For a very intelligent guy, he had some terrible judgment.
    To be honest, given absolute Net Zero in carbon *emissions* is almost certainly impossible given political, social and economic constraints I suspect the way we'll actually achieve it is by decarbonising 70-80% of emissions and then littering the planet with direct air capture plants in the middle-latter half of this century to suck out the rest.

    So, we'll get to Net Zero (or maybe even slightly negative) but by a different and more practical route based on engineering.
    A bit of a non sequitur to my comment, but it's far from impossible. As you realise, the clue is in the word 'net'.

    Lawton's flawed judgment was clear long before his slide into climate denial.

    As Chancellor, he was brilliant in recognising and addressing the problems of the old economic settlement - tax reform; the abolition of exchange controls; deregulation ... and to an extent, privatisation.

    But he established in its place an economic orthodoxy with its own set of flaws.
    'Rolling back the frontiers of the state' became a religion, rather than a policy. And its malign effects last to this day in all kind of ways.

    Lawson was an ideologue - more so than Thatcher. I recall reading that she wanted to reduce the top rate of tax to 50% - he persuaded her to go for 40%. For me he embodied everything that was wrong with the greed is good philosophy of late Thatcherism, which I think has basically ruined this country. He was also a malign influence in the climate debate. Still, any man who gave us the lovely Nigella can't be all bad. RIP.
  • Options
    DriverDriver Posts: 4,522
    Andy_JS said:

    Banning wet wipes but not doing anything about sewage being pumped into the sea.

    One needs the stroke of a pen. The other needs billions of pounds to completely rebuild the sewage system...
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,703
    Sandpit said:

    Is the new First Minister going to review the justice reforms, that lead to rape of a 13-year-old girl no longer being an imprisonable office in Scotland?

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/04/03/rape-scotland-community-service-sentence-snp/

    It's a bloody difficult one. Where the theory of rehabilitative justice bumps up against the penal instinct.

    Would, for example, the girl's parents be happier if he did 3-5yrs in jail, came out and did it again to someone else, or was genuinely rehabilitated. Whatever that means, well for a start it would mean no re-offending.

    We jail too many people. I have a lot of sympathy for the view that those in jail should be eg rapists rather than license fee dodgers but I can see the approach in this instance.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,687
    Nigelb said:

    Sandpit said:

    Good morning, everyone.

    Mr. Mark, practically every government in my lifetime has been atrocious on energy.

    They could have a dozen Rolls Royce SMR reactors up and running by now, and exporting them overseas. Instead, the Americans have got first mover advantage on the deployment of the technology, so guess where the export orders will be going.
    Have already started to go.
    https://www.nuscalepower.com/en/news/press-releases/2022/nuscale-and-kghm-sign-task-order-to-initiate-the-deployment-of-first-smr-in-poland
    They seem to be talking about $89 per MWh
    https://www.utilitydive.com/news/nuscale-power-small-modular-reactor-smr-ieefa-uamps/645554/

    Which appears somewhat cheaper than the large reactors we're currently building ?
  • Options
    MattWMattW Posts: 19,181
    MattW said:

    ydoethur said:

    If the plan is to have more people holidaying in the UK the government needs to stop the water companies pouring raw sewage into our seas. No-one wants their kids paddling among turds!

    So two strands needed to achieve this:

    1) Sort out the sewage system;
    This is a strange one. Like discharges into rivers, discharges onto beaches are a pan-European problem. The scales just pre-Brexi0, 2016t:

    https://www.waternewseurope.com/tourists-in-europe-are-swimming-in-raw-sewage-despite-blue-flags/


    On those numbers, UK with work to do, Switzerland a surprise.

    Does anyone have more recent data?
  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,947
    algarkirk said:

    Scott_xP said:

    The entry exit thing was always going to become a huge issue because it is a very palpable and fully demonstrable consequence of the Brexit the government chose. You experience the queuing and know it was not as bad previously. It’s inarguable. So, there will be some kind of deal done and it will involve the UK giving up some level of control. Outside of the depleted, impotent confines of the ERG, no-one will care - they’ll welcome the return of sanity and convenience.

    Hugo Rifkind's column in The Times today makes the case that we have had enough of 'big ideas', and the most successful pitch for the next election would we "We won't break anything else"

    It's an interesting idea, but neglects the fact that we do need a government that will in fact "fix some of the shit we just broke"
    Absolutely. This government can’t do it. A Labour-led one will have huge leeway because it has no Brexit loon wing to appease. I agree with Casino Royale on this - Starmer is basically telling porkies about what a government he leads will do to mitigate Brexit. If he’s PM, we’ll see much closer alignment than is being acknowledged.

    The clue to the problem is in the words "much closer alignment". This is SKS unicorn language. The SM and CU is something you are either in or out of.
    Starmer won't "solve" Brexit, not will he try, I believe. He will aim to fix some of the irritants.
  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,385
    ydoethur said:

    algarkirk said:

    ydoethur said:

    FF43 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Indeed, one wonders why the Conservative Home Secretaries over the last decade didn't act on this advice?

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2013/nov/04/child-abuse-keir-starmer-prosecute-professionals?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

    It might have also helped prosecute abusers like this gang.

    BBC News - Inquiry hears of abuse at Boris Johnson's school
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-49882978

    Or this cult like gang:

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2022/jan/18/winchester-college-christian-forum-society-report-child-abuse
    Have you opened a squirrel farm?
    I hope not, nasty little buggers.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-65092730

    Can’t think why they’re protected. They’re an invasive species and there are far too bloody many of them.
    Red squirrels are protected
    So are greys. You can’t trap them or kill them except when they are actually inside the property. Which is demented.

    I’ve no objection to protecting red squirrels but arguably the best way to do that is to start killing off the grey interlopers.
    Grey's are (rightly) not very protected. The outlook for reds is not great.


    https://basc.org.uk/advice/basc-grey-squirrel-control/#:~:text=Grey squirrels have limited legal,methods including shooting and trapping.
    They shouldn’t be protected at all. That is the point.
    I love seeing squirrel (grey in my area) and I've never understood why we should be actively intervening to kill one type of squirrel to protect another. Because they're foreign? Prejudice agasinst foreign humans is bad enough, but who needs ecoxenophobia?
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,703

    Nigelb said:

    .

    Nigelb said:

    DavidL said:

    Nigel Lawson has passed away, aged 91.

    His book, the View from Number 11, is one of the very best political books I have ever read. He didn't go by chronology but by topic and as a result gave really fascinating insights as to how policy was formed and the limitations on government. It is a good innings but that is sad news. An intellectual giant compared to almost anyone in any political party today.
    His views on climate change haven't aged well.
    Bringing the Western economies to their knees on the strength of totally unremarkable changes in climate is going to age a lot worse.
    You either don't have a clue, or you have some sort of dishonest agenda.
    I thought Lawson’s view was:

    - Climate change is happening
    - He wasn’t convinced it was entire anthropomorphic
    - Given 2 he felt mitigation was a better use of limited resources than carbon reduction

    It may be wrong but it’s not some kind of heinous position

    For a very intelligent guy, he had some terrible judgment.
    To be honest, given absolute Net Zero in carbon *emissions* is almost certainly impossible given political, social and economic constraints I suspect the way we'll actually achieve it is by decarbonising 70-80% of emissions and then littering the planet with direct air capture plants in the middle-latter half of this century to suck out the rest.

    So, we'll get to Net Zero (or maybe even slightly negative) but by a different and more practical route based on engineering.
    A bit of a non sequitur to my comment, but it's far from impossible. As you realise, the clue is in the word 'net'.

    Lawton's flawed judgment was clear long before his slide into climate denial.

    As Chancellor, he was brilliant in recognising and addressing the problems of the old economic settlement - tax reform; the abolition of exchange controls; deregulation ... and to an extent, privatisation.

    But he established in its place an economic orthodoxy with its own set of flaws.
    'Rolling back the frontiers of the state' became a religion, rather than a policy. And its malign effects last to this day in all kind of ways.

    Lawson was an ideologue - more so than Thatcher. I recall reading that she wanted to reduce the top rate of tax to 50% - he persuaded her to go for 40%. For me he embodied everything that was wrong with the greed is good philosophy of late Thatcherism, which I think has basically ruined this country. He was also a malign influence in the climate debate. Still, any man who gave us the lovely Nigella can't be all bad. RIP.
    AAUI you have done super well for yourself. Well done you. How do you distinguish your journey up the greasy pole from that of a horrible, nasty, Thatcherite capitalist?
  • Options
    Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 3,452
    Nigelb said:

    Virgin Orbit files for bankruptcy.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-65172594

    Flies into bankruptcy?
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 45,195
    edited April 2023
    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    DavidL said:

    Nigel Lawson has passed away, aged 91.

    His book, the View from Number 11, is one of the very best political books I have ever read. He didn't go by chronology but by topic and as a result gave really fascinating insights as to how policy was formed and the limitations on government. It is a good innings but that is sad news. An intellectual giant compared to almost anyone in any political party today.
    His views on climate change haven't aged well.
    Bringing the Western economies to their knees on the strength of totally unremarkable changes in climate is going to age a lot worse.
    You either don't have a clue, or you have some sort of dishonest agenda.
    I thought Lawson’s view was:

    - Climate change is happening
    - He wasn’t convinced it was entire anthropomorphic
    - Given 2 he felt mitigation was a better use of limited resources than carbon reduction

    It may be wrong but it’s not some kind of heinous position

    For a very intelligent guy, he had some terrible judgment.
    To be honest, given absolute Net Zero in carbon *emissions* is almost certainly impossible given political, social and economic constraints I suspect the way we'll actually achieve it is by decarbonising 70-80% of emissions and then littering the planet with direct air capture plants in the middle-latter half of this century to suck out the rest.

    So, we'll get to Net Zero (or maybe even slightly negative) but by a different and more practical route based on engineering.
    That doesn't sound like a practical route to me. Just like with carbon capture and storage I don't see why people would ever spend billions, indefinitely, as an add-on.

    If you invest in new zero carbon technology then it's only a temporary extra cost until the technology develops and you have a new way of doing something that's cheaper than the old way, and then zero carbon becomes an economic inevitability.
    You could say the same about sewage treatment plants.

    If the cost is low/reasonable enough and the requirements legislated for then it will happen. And it incentivises other solutions in the long-term, as you say.
    The difference with sewage treatment plants is the long term vs short term thing, which is quite important when it comes to human incentives.

    Sewage treatment plants get you an immediate benefit in not having stinking shit in your rivers and on your beaches. Carbon capture doesn't have such immediate and obvious benefits.
    The UK can spend tens of billions on carbon capture - but that has no net effect for the planet if Vietnam then builds another eleven coal-fired power stations.
    Carbon capture as apparently envisaged by this government is a lamentable waste of money. They're going to spend £20bn making burning fossil fuels more expensive.
    Just daft.
    I suspect there is a big donor with his finger in those pies though.
    No doubt, but it's a shocking waste of money in our current economic situation.
    There is an interesting effect - when Western standards rise, the previous generation of machinery often gets exported to poor countries. Or they buy the older designs.

    But as we upgrade, even the older designs are better than the previous ones, just somewhat behind the latest standards. So they get a forced upgrade in solution and other standards.

    When the big car manufacturers stop making ICE cars, this means the clock is running out in the rest of the world for ICE, for example.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,278
    TOPPING said:

    Sandpit said:

    Is the new First Minister going to review the justice reforms, that lead to rape of a 13-year-old girl no longer being an imprisonable office in Scotland?

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/04/03/rape-scotland-community-service-sentence-snp/

    It's a bloody difficult one. Where the theory of rehabilitative justice bumps up against the penal instinct.

    Would, for example, the girl's parents be happier if he did 3-5yrs in jail, came out and did it again to someone else, or was genuinely rehabilitated. Whatever that means, well for a start it would mean no re-offending.

    We jail too many people. I have a lot of sympathy for the view that those in jail should be eg rapists rather than license fee dodgers but I can see the approach in this instance.
    I agree that too many people are jailed, especially for non-violent offences, but also think that a violent sexual offence against a child is just below murder on the scale of seriousness.
  • Options
    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,327
    TOPPING said:

    algarkirk said:

    Scott_xP said:

    The entry exit thing was always going to become a huge issue because it is a very palpable and fully demonstrable consequence of the Brexit the government chose. You experience the queuing and know it was not as bad previously. It’s inarguable. So, there will be some kind of deal done and it will involve the UK giving up some level of control. Outside of the depleted, impotent confines of the ERG, no-one will care - they’ll welcome the return of sanity and convenience.

    Hugo Rifkind's column in The Times today makes the case that we have had enough of 'big ideas', and the most successful pitch for the next election would we "We won't break anything else"

    It's an interesting idea, but neglects the fact that we do need a government that will in fact "fix some of the shit we just broke"
    Absolutely. This government can’t do it. A Labour-led one will have huge leeway because it has no Brexit loon wing to appease. I agree with Casino Royale on this - Starmer is basically telling porkies about what a government he leads will do to mitigate Brexit. If he’s PM, we’ll see much closer alignment than is being acknowledged.

    To be fair to SKS he has an election to avoid losing; to do that almost everyone will admit that he has to avoid splitting his voters on post-Brexit issues. If he does he hands seats to Tories, SNP and even LDs. Only unicorn policies or no explicit policies at all can reliably prevent a split.

    This is because a huge swathe of middling opinion only wants unicorn policies on Brexit. While a huge group of Labour supporters, mostly middle class, want SM, CU, FoM, EEA, EFTA or EU, another huge group either want none of them or only unicorn edited highlights.

    I think nearer the time he will pledge a post-election 'full review of options'. But even that has dangers.

    As to what SKS would actually do in government about all this, he and we have no idea.
    I have no idea what SKS is planning but I am in little doubt that whatever he chooses it will be an improvement on the crummy set-up the current cabal of liars, idiots and shills for the billionaire donor class have cobbled together.
    "billionaire donor class"

    Love it.

    It's this type of analysis which might enable the Cons to squeak it or close to it come the next GE.
    I inhabit their world and I see the relationships up close. It is extremely obvious whose side the Tories are on - the people who finance them.
  • Options
    Sandpit said:

    Is the new First Minister going to review the justice reforms, that lead to rape of a 13-year-old girl no longer being an imprisonable office in Scotland?

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/04/03/rape-scotland-community-service-sentence-snp/

    Stop Talking Down Scotland
  • Options
    mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,183
    MattW said:

    MattW said:

    ydoethur said:

    If the plan is to have more people holidaying in the UK the government needs to stop the water companies pouring raw sewage into our seas. No-one wants their kids paddling among turds!

    So two strands needed to achieve this:

    1) Sort out the sewage system;
    This is a strange one. Like discharges into rivers, discharges onto beaches are a pan-European problem. The scales just pre-Brexi0, 2016t:

    https://www.waternewseurope.com/tourists-in-europe-are-swimming-in-raw-sewage-despite-blue-flags/


    On those numbers, UK with work to do, Switzerland a surprise.

    Does anyone have more recent data?
    Lakes always have a "concentration" problem that seas don't. Unless Switzerland has grown a coastline?
  • Options
    MattWMattW Posts: 19,181
    edited April 2023
    MattW said:

    MattW said:

    ydoethur said:

    If the plan is to have more people holidaying in the UK the government needs to stop the water companies pouring raw sewage into our seas. No-one wants their kids paddling among turds!

    So two strands needed to achieve this:

    1) Sort out the sewage system;
    This is a strange one. Like discharges into rivers, discharges onto beaches are a pan-European problem. The scales just pre-Brexi0, 2016t:

    https://www.waternewseurope.com/tourists-in-europe-are-swimming-in-raw-sewage-despite-blue-flags/


    On those numbers, UK with work to do, Switzerland a surprise.

    Does anyone have more recent data?
    Yes they do. 2021 data. UK number is 71%.



    https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/bathing-water-quality-in-2021/european-bathing-water-quality-in-2021
    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/99-of-english-bathing-sites-meet-required-water-quality-standards
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,278
    Suggestions that the judge in the Trump case is saying no mugshot or ‘perp walk’, and no cameras in court. Presumably to stop him trying to profit from the case against him.

    He’s already raised $5m in the past week.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 45,195

    Nigelb said:

    Virgin Orbit files for bankruptcy.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-65172594

    Flies into bankruptcy?
    As was long foreseen....

    Branson managed to get himself seniority in debt by investing tiny extra sums. So Bransons money is safe....

    They were spending billions to build a launch system that was more expensive than SpaceX - after development costs were written off!

    Which is the space launch market question today - if you can't beat them on cost, what are you offering?
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,703

    TOPPING said:

    algarkirk said:

    Scott_xP said:

    The entry exit thing was always going to become a huge issue because it is a very palpable and fully demonstrable consequence of the Brexit the government chose. You experience the queuing and know it was not as bad previously. It’s inarguable. So, there will be some kind of deal done and it will involve the UK giving up some level of control. Outside of the depleted, impotent confines of the ERG, no-one will care - they’ll welcome the return of sanity and convenience.

    Hugo Rifkind's column in The Times today makes the case that we have had enough of 'big ideas', and the most successful pitch for the next election would we "We won't break anything else"

    It's an interesting idea, but neglects the fact that we do need a government that will in fact "fix some of the shit we just broke"
    Absolutely. This government can’t do it. A Labour-led one will have huge leeway because it has no Brexit loon wing to appease. I agree with Casino Royale on this - Starmer is basically telling porkies about what a government he leads will do to mitigate Brexit. If he’s PM, we’ll see much closer alignment than is being acknowledged.

    To be fair to SKS he has an election to avoid losing; to do that almost everyone will admit that he has to avoid splitting his voters on post-Brexit issues. If he does he hands seats to Tories, SNP and even LDs. Only unicorn policies or no explicit policies at all can reliably prevent a split.

    This is because a huge swathe of middling opinion only wants unicorn policies on Brexit. While a huge group of Labour supporters, mostly middle class, want SM, CU, FoM, EEA, EFTA or EU, another huge group either want none of them or only unicorn edited highlights.

    I think nearer the time he will pledge a post-election 'full review of options'. But even that has dangers.

    As to what SKS would actually do in government about all this, he and we have no idea.
    I have no idea what SKS is planning but I am in little doubt that whatever he chooses it will be an improvement on the crummy set-up the current cabal of liars, idiots and shills for the billionaire donor class have cobbled together.
    "billionaire donor class"

    Love it.

    It's this type of analysis which might enable the Cons to squeak it or close to it come the next GE.
    I inhabit their world and I see the relationships up close. It is extremely obvious whose side the Tories are on - the people who finance them.
    Oh for goodness sake. I know you rub shoulders with them but how big do you think the "billionaire donor class" is? Take out Rishi that's one fewer.

    Any government is elected on a set of promises which we then vote for. Do you suppose that Labour will be elected and then bring back foxhunting because they are governing for the many, not the few?
  • Options
    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,327
    TOPPING said:

    Nigelb said:

    .

    Nigelb said:

    DavidL said:

    Nigel Lawson has passed away, aged 91.

    His book, the View from Number 11, is one of the very best political books I have ever read. He didn't go by chronology but by topic and as a result gave really fascinating insights as to how policy was formed and the limitations on government. It is a good innings but that is sad news. An intellectual giant compared to almost anyone in any political party today.
    His views on climate change haven't aged well.
    Bringing the Western economies to their knees on the strength of totally unremarkable changes in climate is going to age a lot worse.
    You either don't have a clue, or you have some sort of dishonest agenda.
    I thought Lawson’s view was:

    - Climate change is happening
    - He wasn’t convinced it was entire anthropomorphic
    - Given 2 he felt mitigation was a better use of limited resources than carbon reduction

    It may be wrong but it’s not some kind of heinous position

    For a very intelligent guy, he had some terrible judgment.
    To be honest, given absolute Net Zero in carbon *emissions* is almost certainly impossible given political, social and economic constraints I suspect the way we'll actually achieve it is by decarbonising 70-80% of emissions and then littering the planet with direct air capture plants in the middle-latter half of this century to suck out the rest.

    So, we'll get to Net Zero (or maybe even slightly negative) but by a different and more practical route based on engineering.
    A bit of a non sequitur to my comment, but it's far from impossible. As you realise, the clue is in the word 'net'.

    Lawton's flawed judgment was clear long before his slide into climate denial.

    As Chancellor, he was brilliant in recognising and addressing the problems of the old economic settlement - tax reform; the abolition of exchange controls; deregulation ... and to an extent, privatisation.

    But he established in its place an economic orthodoxy with its own set of flaws.
    'Rolling back the frontiers of the state' became a religion, rather than a policy. And its malign effects last to this day in all kind of ways.

    Lawson was an ideologue - more so than Thatcher. I recall reading that she wanted to reduce the top rate of tax to 50% - he persuaded her to go for 40%. For me he embodied everything that was wrong with the greed is good philosophy of late Thatcherism, which I think has basically ruined this country. He was also a malign influence in the climate debate. Still, any man who gave us the lovely Nigella can't be all bad. RIP.
    AAUI you have done super well for yourself. Well done you. How do you distinguish your journey up the greasy pole from that of a horrible, nasty, Thatcherite capitalist?
    I love capitalism. I also love progressive taxation. Do well for yourself, but pay your taxes and don't think you're too good to use the same public services as anyone else. I don't think there is a contradiction - in fact quite the opposite. Capitalism without a powerful welfare state to balance it will descend into a dark place, as we are seeing in the US and starting to see here.
  • Options
    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 15,994

    ydoethur said:

    algarkirk said:

    ydoethur said:

    FF43 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Indeed, one wonders why the Conservative Home Secretaries over the last decade didn't act on this advice?

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2013/nov/04/child-abuse-keir-starmer-prosecute-professionals?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

    It might have also helped prosecute abusers like this gang.

    BBC News - Inquiry hears of abuse at Boris Johnson's school
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-49882978

    Or this cult like gang:

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2022/jan/18/winchester-college-christian-forum-society-report-child-abuse
    Have you opened a squirrel farm?
    I hope not, nasty little buggers.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-65092730

    Can’t think why they’re protected. They’re an invasive species and there are far too bloody many of them.
    Red squirrels are protected
    So are greys. You can’t trap them or kill them except when they are actually inside the property. Which is demented.

    I’ve no objection to protecting red squirrels but arguably the best way to do that is to start killing off the grey interlopers.
    Grey's are (rightly) not very protected. The outlook for reds is not great.


    https://basc.org.uk/advice/basc-grey-squirrel-control/#:~:text=Grey squirrels have limited legal,methods including shooting and trapping.
    They shouldn’t be protected at all. That is the point.
    I love seeing squirrel (grey in my area) and I've never understood why we should be actively intervening to kill one type of squirrel to protect another. Because they're foreign? Prejudice agasinst foreign humans is bad enough, but who needs ecoxenophobia?
    Invasive species cause all sorts of damage to ecosystems that have developed without them. Overall they lead to a net loss of biodiversity, species extinction and damage to habitats.
  • Options
    squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,419
    kjh said:

    felix said:

    With all this identity renewal malarkey let's hope Heathener emerges tomorrow as the onward Christian soldier...

    Heathener is Sir Cliff Richard? Cool!
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    carnforth said:

    stodge said:

    I like Sunak putting Braverman in her place.

    Downing Street has acknowledged that new post-Brexit “processes” contributed to issues at the Port of Dover over the weekend.

    The prime minister’s official spokesman said he was aware that French border officials were “inspecting and stamping every single passport”, as is the case at all European borders for arrivals from outside the bloc.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/dover-delays-officials-dismiss-suella-braverman-claim-queues-brexit-latest-l0mtqjfkw

    I must confess I find Simon Calder’s analysis on this rather more compelling than Suella Braverman. Did we really insist on every passport being checked and stamped ?

    Every passport being checked and stamped is a natural consequence of the end of FoM. "We insisted" is partisan gloss.

    Simon Calder is merely using the FBPEr's "we shot ourselves in the foot" insinuation as he always does.

    If he were more honest, he would point out that passports take longer to check now, but that busy weekends at Dover have often involved delays. For example, this from 2012:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-kent-18307471
    FoM has nothing to do with the physical border, yet people keep trying to conflate the two. There have always been passport checks between the CTA and Shengen, and always been delays when the French decide to be French.

    Movement of goods is different now that the UK is no longer in the EU Customs Union, but tourist traffic is pretty much the same.
    I think they're related because whether you have FoM or not affects what the passport checks need to do. If a British person wants to enter Schengen and they're part of the same FoM zone as you then you (mostly) just need to check that they have a British passport. If they're not doing FoM then you also need to manage how long they'll be allowed to stay and whether they've already stayed too long, which involves more steps.
    No, FoM related to the entitlement to a National Insurance number, and the right to work. Nothing to do with border checks.

    It does appear that the French want to stamp passports to check for overstays, but that takes only a couple of seconds per passport.
    I really don't know why you post this kind of nonsense. It patently takes longer than only a couple of seconds. Open passport. Check last entry, check last exit, check cumulative days stayed in the last 180. And then if all ok find the next page and stamp.

    The physical stamping takes only a few seconds. The rest takes a minute. And this is why the queues are here. I assume that had we not left we would have been given a bypass for this new Schengen rule. Or at the very least reduced it. We could have I asked for that.

    Instead we said "we want to be a third country". And this is the process. Think how much fun we will all be having next year when we need to be fingerprinted and have our visa checked.
    If people voted for Brexit because they wanted to keep foreigners out of Britain, they have a cheek to complain that other countries may want to keep us out of theirs.
    Indeed. The lack of self awareness is stunning sometimes. See also people who complain about immigration while detailing their own plans to move abroad.
    I must admit @leon's posts yesterday caused me to have steam coming out of my ears. A combination of the desire to move abroad and the tax benefits of doing so having banged on about Brexit so much and going on and on about Gary Lineker being a tax dodger (against the available evidence) was just galling.

    And to top it all stating the migration problem isn't what was promised by Brexit. I mean if only people had bothered to tell him it wouldn't work then it wouldn't have come as such a huge surprise to him. Honestly.
    Well it worked then didn't it🤣🤣😪. Never take anything @Leon too seriously. He is as likely as not to argue the complete opposite tomorrow.
  • Options
    kjhkjh Posts: 10,796

    ydoethur said:

    algarkirk said:

    ydoethur said:

    FF43 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Indeed, one wonders why the Conservative Home Secretaries over the last decade didn't act on this advice?

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2013/nov/04/child-abuse-keir-starmer-prosecute-professionals?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

    It might have also helped prosecute abusers like this gang.

    BBC News - Inquiry hears of abuse at Boris Johnson's school
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-49882978

    Or this cult like gang:

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2022/jan/18/winchester-college-christian-forum-society-report-child-abuse
    Have you opened a squirrel farm?
    I hope not, nasty little buggers.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-65092730

    Can’t think why they’re protected. They’re an invasive species and there are far too bloody many of them.
    Red squirrels are protected
    So are greys. You can’t trap them or kill them except when they are actually inside the property. Which is demented.

    I’ve no objection to protecting red squirrels but arguably the best way to do that is to start killing off the grey interlopers.
    Grey's are (rightly) not very protected. The outlook for reds is not great.


    https://basc.org.uk/advice/basc-grey-squirrel-control/#:~:text=Grey squirrels have limited legal,methods including shooting and trapping.
    They shouldn’t be protected at all. That is the point.
    I love seeing squirrel (grey in my area) and I've never understood why we should be actively intervening to kill one type of squirrel to protect another. Because they're foreign? Prejudice agasinst foreign humans is bad enough, but who needs ecoxenophobia?
    I have an enormous walnut tree (far too huge to cover as it is taller than my house). It produces thousands of walnuts every year. I get precisely zero walnuts, the squirrels thousands and the mess from thousands of shredded husks is a nightmare to clear up and they eat my strawberries as well. Bastards.
  • Options
    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,327
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    algarkirk said:

    Scott_xP said:

    The entry exit thing was always going to become a huge issue because it is a very palpable and fully demonstrable consequence of the Brexit the government chose. You experience the queuing and know it was not as bad previously. It’s inarguable. So, there will be some kind of deal done and it will involve the UK giving up some level of control. Outside of the depleted, impotent confines of the ERG, no-one will care - they’ll welcome the return of sanity and convenience.

    Hugo Rifkind's column in The Times today makes the case that we have had enough of 'big ideas', and the most successful pitch for the next election would we "We won't break anything else"

    It's an interesting idea, but neglects the fact that we do need a government that will in fact "fix some of the shit we just broke"
    Absolutely. This government can’t do it. A Labour-led one will have huge leeway because it has no Brexit loon wing to appease. I agree with Casino Royale on this - Starmer is basically telling porkies about what a government he leads will do to mitigate Brexit. If he’s PM, we’ll see much closer alignment than is being acknowledged.

    To be fair to SKS he has an election to avoid losing; to do that almost everyone will admit that he has to avoid splitting his voters on post-Brexit issues. If he does he hands seats to Tories, SNP and even LDs. Only unicorn policies or no explicit policies at all can reliably prevent a split.

    This is because a huge swathe of middling opinion only wants unicorn policies on Brexit. While a huge group of Labour supporters, mostly middle class, want SM, CU, FoM, EEA, EFTA or EU, another huge group either want none of them or only unicorn edited highlights.

    I think nearer the time he will pledge a post-election 'full review of options'. But even that has dangers.

    As to what SKS would actually do in government about all this, he and we have no idea.
    I have no idea what SKS is planning but I am in little doubt that whatever he chooses it will be an improvement on the crummy set-up the current cabal of liars, idiots and shills for the billionaire donor class have cobbled together.
    "billionaire donor class"

    Love it.

    It's this type of analysis which might enable the Cons to squeak it or close to it come the next GE.
    I inhabit their world and I see the relationships up close. It is extremely obvious whose side the Tories are on - the people who finance them.
    Oh for goodness sake. I know you rub shoulders with them but how big do you think the "billionaire donor class" is? Take out Rishi that's one fewer.

    Any government is elected on a set of promises which we then vote for. Do you suppose that Labour will be elected and then bring back foxhunting because they are governing for the many, not the few?
    Who funds the Tory party?
  • Options
    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,217
    Sandpit said:

    Good morning, everyone.

    Mr. Mark, practically every government in my lifetime has been atrocious on energy.

    They could have a dozen Rolls Royce SMR reactors up and running by now, and exporting them overseas. Instead, the Americans have got first mover advantage on the deployment of the technology, so guess where the export orders will be going.
    Do these actually exist outside PowerPoint? (I don't know.)

    Everything nuclear seems to take forever and cost a fortune.
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,639
    TOPPING said:

    Nigelb said:

    .

    Nigelb said:

    DavidL said:

    Nigel Lawson has passed away, aged 91.

    His book, the View from Number 11, is one of the very best political books I have ever read. He didn't go by chronology but by topic and as a result gave really fascinating insights as to how policy was formed and the limitations on government. It is a good innings but that is sad news. An intellectual giant compared to almost anyone in any political party today.
    His views on climate change haven't aged well.
    Bringing the Western economies to their knees on the strength of totally unremarkable changes in climate is going to age a lot worse.
    You either don't have a clue, or you have some sort of dishonest agenda.
    I thought Lawson’s view was:

    - Climate change is happening
    - He wasn’t convinced it was entire anthropomorphic
    - Given 2 he felt mitigation was a better use of limited resources than carbon reduction

    It may be wrong but it’s not some kind of heinous position

    For a very intelligent guy, he had some terrible judgment.
    To be honest, given absolute Net Zero in carbon *emissions* is almost certainly impossible given political, social and economic constraints I suspect the way we'll actually achieve it is by decarbonising 70-80% of emissions and then littering the planet with direct air capture plants in the middle-latter half of this century to suck out the rest.

    So, we'll get to Net Zero (or maybe even slightly negative) but by a different and more practical route based on engineering.
    A bit of a non sequitur to my comment, but it's far from impossible. As you realise, the clue is in the word 'net'.

    Lawton's flawed judgment was clear long before his slide into climate denial.

    As Chancellor, he was brilliant in recognising and addressing the problems of the old economic settlement - tax reform; the abolition of exchange controls; deregulation ... and to an extent, privatisation.

    But he established in its place an economic orthodoxy with its own set of flaws.
    'Rolling back the frontiers of the state' became a religion, rather than a policy. And its malign effects last to this day in all kind of ways.

    Lawson was an ideologue - more so than Thatcher. I recall reading that she wanted to reduce the top rate of tax to 50% - he persuaded her to go for 40%. For me he embodied everything that was wrong with the greed is good philosophy of late Thatcherism, which I think has basically ruined this country. He was also a malign influence in the climate debate. Still, any man who gave us the lovely Nigella can't be all bad. RIP.
    AAUI you have done super well for yourself. Well done you. How do you distinguish your journey up the greasy pole from that of a horrible, nasty, Thatcherite capitalist?
    Oh no (!) it's yet another outbreak of the "material success in life means you can't hold left wing political views" virus.

    Is there no vaccine for this?
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,703
    Sandpit said:

    TOPPING said:

    Sandpit said:

    Is the new First Minister going to review the justice reforms, that lead to rape of a 13-year-old girl no longer being an imprisonable office in Scotland?

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/04/03/rape-scotland-community-service-sentence-snp/

    It's a bloody difficult one. Where the theory of rehabilitative justice bumps up against the penal instinct.

    Would, for example, the girl's parents be happier if he did 3-5yrs in jail, came out and did it again to someone else, or was genuinely rehabilitated. Whatever that means, well for a start it would mean no re-offending.

    We jail too many people. I have a lot of sympathy for the view that those in jail should be eg rapists rather than license fee dodgers but I can see the approach in this instance.
    I agree that too many people are jailed, especially for non-violent offences, but also think that a violent sexual offence against a child is just below murder on the scale of seriousness.
    Don't disagree - I haven't read the details of the case and on the face of it it does seem extraordinary. Violent rape (so the report indicates) rather than a youngster boyfriend/girlfriend just underage thing.

    I suppose a new policy is a new policy. Interesting to see the legal and political fallout.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,278
    Australia the latest country to be silly enough, to think that you can keep teenagers away from online pr0n with legislation.

    Were their legislators never teenagers themselves?

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/apr/04/labor-to-consider-age-verification-roadmap-for-restricting-online-pornography-access
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,703
    kinabalu said:

    TOPPING said:

    Nigelb said:

    .

    Nigelb said:

    DavidL said:

    Nigel Lawson has passed away, aged 91.

    His book, the View from Number 11, is one of the very best political books I have ever read. He didn't go by chronology but by topic and as a result gave really fascinating insights as to how policy was formed and the limitations on government. It is a good innings but that is sad news. An intellectual giant compared to almost anyone in any political party today.
    His views on climate change haven't aged well.
    Bringing the Western economies to their knees on the strength of totally unremarkable changes in climate is going to age a lot worse.
    You either don't have a clue, or you have some sort of dishonest agenda.
    I thought Lawson’s view was:

    - Climate change is happening
    - He wasn’t convinced it was entire anthropomorphic
    - Given 2 he felt mitigation was a better use of limited resources than carbon reduction

    It may be wrong but it’s not some kind of heinous position

    For a very intelligent guy, he had some terrible judgment.
    To be honest, given absolute Net Zero in carbon *emissions* is almost certainly impossible given political, social and economic constraints I suspect the way we'll actually achieve it is by decarbonising 70-80% of emissions and then littering the planet with direct air capture plants in the middle-latter half of this century to suck out the rest.

    So, we'll get to Net Zero (or maybe even slightly negative) but by a different and more practical route based on engineering.
    A bit of a non sequitur to my comment, but it's far from impossible. As you realise, the clue is in the word 'net'.

    Lawton's flawed judgment was clear long before his slide into climate denial.

    As Chancellor, he was brilliant in recognising and addressing the problems of the old economic settlement - tax reform; the abolition of exchange controls; deregulation ... and to an extent, privatisation.

    But he established in its place an economic orthodoxy with its own set of flaws.
    'Rolling back the frontiers of the state' became a religion, rather than a policy. And its malign effects last to this day in all kind of ways.

    Lawson was an ideologue - more so than Thatcher. I recall reading that she wanted to reduce the top rate of tax to 50% - he persuaded her to go for 40%. For me he embodied everything that was wrong with the greed is good philosophy of late Thatcherism, which I think has basically ruined this country. He was also a malign influence in the climate debate. Still, any man who gave us the lovely Nigella can't be all bad. RIP.
    AAUI you have done super well for yourself. Well done you. How do you distinguish your journey up the greasy pole from that of a horrible, nasty, Thatcherite capitalist?
    Oh no (!) it's yet another outbreak of the "material success in life means you can't hold left wing political views" virus.

    Is there no vaccine for this?
    I know. It makes you uncomfortable. But one option is to continue to dismiss it as relevant. Make a joke out of it perhaps.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,314

    ydoethur said:

    algarkirk said:

    ydoethur said:

    FF43 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Indeed, one wonders why the Conservative Home Secretaries over the last decade didn't act on this advice?

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2013/nov/04/child-abuse-keir-starmer-prosecute-professionals?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

    It might have also helped prosecute abusers like this gang.

    BBC News - Inquiry hears of abuse at Boris Johnson's school
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-49882978

    Or this cult like gang:

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2022/jan/18/winchester-college-christian-forum-society-report-child-abuse
    Have you opened a squirrel farm?
    I hope not, nasty little buggers.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-65092730

    Can’t think why they’re protected. They’re an invasive species and there are far too bloody many of them.
    Red squirrels are protected
    So are greys. You can’t trap them or kill them except when they are actually inside the property. Which is demented.

    I’ve no objection to protecting red squirrels but arguably the best way to do that is to start killing off the grey interlopers.
    Grey's are (rightly) not very protected. The outlook for reds is not great.


    https://basc.org.uk/advice/basc-grey-squirrel-control/#:~:text=Grey squirrels have limited legal,methods including shooting and trapping.
    They shouldn’t be protected at all. That is the point.
    I love seeing squirrel (grey in my area) and I've never understood why we should be actively intervening to kill one type of squirrel to protect another. Because they're foreign? Prejudice agasinst foreign humans is bad enough, but who needs ecoxenophobia?
    Grey squirrels cause massive losses to nesting birds. Come and have a look at how they chew around the entrance hole to bird boxes, then eat the young....
  • Options
    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,327

    kjh said:

    felix said:

    With all this identity renewal malarkey let's hope Heathener emerges tomorrow as the onward Christian soldier...

    Heathener is Sir Cliff Richard? Cool!
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    carnforth said:

    stodge said:

    I like Sunak putting Braverman in her place.

    Downing Street has acknowledged that new post-Brexit “processes” contributed to issues at the Port of Dover over the weekend.

    The prime minister’s official spokesman said he was aware that French border officials were “inspecting and stamping every single passport”, as is the case at all European borders for arrivals from outside the bloc.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/dover-delays-officials-dismiss-suella-braverman-claim-queues-brexit-latest-l0mtqjfkw

    I must confess I find Simon Calder’s analysis on this rather more compelling than Suella Braverman. Did we really insist on every passport being checked and stamped ?

    Every passport being checked and stamped is a natural consequence of the end of FoM. "We insisted" is partisan gloss.

    Simon Calder is merely using the FBPEr's "we shot ourselves in the foot" insinuation as he always does.

    If he were more honest, he would point out that passports take longer to check now, but that busy weekends at Dover have often involved delays. For example, this from 2012:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-kent-18307471
    FoM has nothing to do with the physical border, yet people keep trying to conflate the two. There have always been passport checks between the CTA and Shengen, and always been delays when the French decide to be French.

    Movement of goods is different now that the UK is no longer in the EU Customs Union, but tourist traffic is pretty much the same.
    I think they're related because whether you have FoM or not affects what the passport checks need to do. If a British person wants to enter Schengen and they're part of the same FoM zone as you then you (mostly) just need to check that they have a British passport. If they're not doing FoM then you also need to manage how long they'll be allowed to stay and whether they've already stayed too long, which involves more steps.
    No, FoM related to the entitlement to a National Insurance number, and the right to work. Nothing to do with border checks.

    It does appear that the French want to stamp passports to check for overstays, but that takes only a couple of seconds per passport.
    I really don't know why you post this kind of nonsense. It patently takes longer than only a couple of seconds. Open passport. Check last entry, check last exit, check cumulative days stayed in the last 180. And then if all ok find the next page and stamp.

    The physical stamping takes only a few seconds. The rest takes a minute. And this is why the queues are here. I assume that had we not left we would have been given a bypass for this new Schengen rule. Or at the very least reduced it. We could have I asked for that.

    Instead we said "we want to be a third country". And this is the process. Think how much fun we will all be having next year when we need to be fingerprinted and have our visa checked.
    If people voted for Brexit because they wanted to keep foreigners out of Britain, they have a cheek to complain that other countries may want to keep us out of theirs.
    Indeed. The lack of self awareness is stunning sometimes. See also people who complain about immigration while detailing their own plans to move abroad.
    I must admit @leon's posts yesterday caused me to have steam coming out of my ears. A combination of the desire to move abroad and the tax benefits of doing so having banged on about Brexit so much and going on and on about Gary Lineker being a tax dodger (against the available evidence) was just galling.

    And to top it all stating the migration problem isn't what was promised by Brexit. I mean if only people had bothered to tell him it wouldn't work then it wouldn't have come as such a huge surprise to him. Honestly.
    Well it worked then didn't it🤣🤣😪. Never take anything @Leon too seriously. He is as likely as not to argue the complete opposite tomorrow.
    I stopped getting irritated by Leon once I realised he was a comic character dreamt up by a left wing satirist.
  • Options

    kjh said:

    felix said:

    With all this identity renewal malarkey let's hope Heathener emerges tomorrow as the onward Christian soldier...

    Heathener is Sir Cliff Richard? Cool!
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    carnforth said:

    stodge said:

    I like Sunak putting Braverman in her place.

    Downing Street has acknowledged that new post-Brexit “processes” contributed to issues at the Port of Dover over the weekend.

    The prime minister’s official spokesman said he was aware that French border officials were “inspecting and stamping every single passport”, as is the case at all European borders for arrivals from outside the bloc.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/dover-delays-officials-dismiss-suella-braverman-claim-queues-brexit-latest-l0mtqjfkw

    I must confess I find Simon Calder’s analysis on this rather more compelling than Suella Braverman. Did we really insist on every passport being checked and stamped ?

    Every passport being checked and stamped is a natural consequence of the end of FoM. "We insisted" is partisan gloss.

    Simon Calder is merely using the FBPEr's "we shot ourselves in the foot" insinuation as he always does.

    If he were more honest, he would point out that passports take longer to check now, but that busy weekends at Dover have often involved delays. For example, this from 2012:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-kent-18307471
    FoM has nothing to do with the physical border, yet people keep trying to conflate the two. There have always been passport checks between the CTA and Shengen, and always been delays when the French decide to be French.

    Movement of goods is different now that the UK is no longer in the EU Customs Union, but tourist traffic is pretty much the same.
    I think they're related because whether you have FoM or not affects what the passport checks need to do. If a British person wants to enter Schengen and they're part of the same FoM zone as you then you (mostly) just need to check that they have a British passport. If they're not doing FoM then you also need to manage how long they'll be allowed to stay and whether they've already stayed too long, which involves more steps.
    No, FoM related to the entitlement to a National Insurance number, and the right to work. Nothing to do with border checks.

    It does appear that the French want to stamp passports to check for overstays, but that takes only a couple of seconds per passport.
    I really don't know why you post this kind of nonsense. It patently takes longer than only a couple of seconds. Open passport. Check last entry, check last exit, check cumulative days stayed in the last 180. And then if all ok find the next page and stamp.

    The physical stamping takes only a few seconds. The rest takes a minute. And this is why the queues are here. I assume that had we not left we would have been given a bypass for this new Schengen rule. Or at the very least reduced it. We could have I asked for that.

    Instead we said "we want to be a third country". And this is the process. Think how much fun we will all be having next year when we need to be fingerprinted and have our visa checked.
    If people voted for Brexit because they wanted to keep foreigners out of Britain, they have a cheek to complain that other countries may want to keep us out of theirs.
    Indeed. The lack of self awareness is stunning sometimes. See also people who complain about immigration while detailing their own plans to move abroad.
    I must admit @leon's posts yesterday caused me to have steam coming out of my ears. A combination of the desire to move abroad and the tax benefits of doing so having banged on about Brexit so much and going on and on about Gary Lineker being a tax dodger (against the available evidence) was just galling.

    And to top it all stating the migration problem isn't what was promised by Brexit. I mean if only people had bothered to tell him it wouldn't work then it wouldn't have come as such a huge surprise to him. Honestly.
    Well it worked then didn't it🤣🤣😪. Never take anything @Leon too seriously. He is as likely as not to argue the complete opposite tomorrow.
    Are we talking about Leon posting as Leon, or Leon posting as Horse?
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,314
    Nigelb said:

    Virgin Orbit files for bankruptcy.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-65172594

    And here endeth the Cornish Space Industry.....
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,703

    TOPPING said:

    Nigelb said:

    .

    Nigelb said:

    DavidL said:

    Nigel Lawson has passed away, aged 91.

    His book, the View from Number 11, is one of the very best political books I have ever read. He didn't go by chronology but by topic and as a result gave really fascinating insights as to how policy was formed and the limitations on government. It is a good innings but that is sad news. An intellectual giant compared to almost anyone in any political party today.
    His views on climate change haven't aged well.
    Bringing the Western economies to their knees on the strength of totally unremarkable changes in climate is going to age a lot worse.
    You either don't have a clue, or you have some sort of dishonest agenda.
    I thought Lawson’s view was:

    - Climate change is happening
    - He wasn’t convinced it was entire anthropomorphic
    - Given 2 he felt mitigation was a better use of limited resources than carbon reduction

    It may be wrong but it’s not some kind of heinous position

    For a very intelligent guy, he had some terrible judgment.
    To be honest, given absolute Net Zero in carbon *emissions* is almost certainly impossible given political, social and economic constraints I suspect the way we'll actually achieve it is by decarbonising 70-80% of emissions and then littering the planet with direct air capture plants in the middle-latter half of this century to suck out the rest.

    So, we'll get to Net Zero (or maybe even slightly negative) but by a different and more practical route based on engineering.
    A bit of a non sequitur to my comment, but it's far from impossible. As you realise, the clue is in the word 'net'.

    Lawton's flawed judgment was clear long before his slide into climate denial.

    As Chancellor, he was brilliant in recognising and addressing the problems of the old economic settlement - tax reform; the abolition of exchange controls; deregulation ... and to an extent, privatisation.

    But he established in its place an economic orthodoxy with its own set of flaws.
    'Rolling back the frontiers of the state' became a religion, rather than a policy. And its malign effects last to this day in all kind of ways.

    Lawson was an ideologue - more so than Thatcher. I recall reading that she wanted to reduce the top rate of tax to 50% - he persuaded her to go for 40%. For me he embodied everything that was wrong with the greed is good philosophy of late Thatcherism, which I think has basically ruined this country. He was also a malign influence in the climate debate. Still, any man who gave us the lovely Nigella can't be all bad. RIP.
    AAUI you have done super well for yourself. Well done you. How do you distinguish your journey up the greasy pole from that of a horrible, nasty, Thatcherite capitalist?
    I love capitalism. I also love progressive taxation. Do well for yourself, but pay your taxes and don't think you're too good to use the same public services as anyone else. I don't think there is a contradiction - in fact quite the opposite. Capitalism without a powerful welfare state to balance it will descend into a dark place, as we are seeing in the US and starting to see here.
    And yet we have the "billionaire donor class".

    Do you really think that Jim Ratcliffe and Crispin Odey set government policy? And even if they did, you and I would have to vote on them.

    And also enough of the rhetoric about the demise of the welfare state or I will have to roll out the spending figures which I suspect you know only too well.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,278
    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Good morning, everyone.

    Mr. Mark, practically every government in my lifetime has been atrocious on energy.

    They could have a dozen Rolls Royce SMR reactors up and running by now, and exporting them overseas. Instead, the Americans have got first mover advantage on the deployment of the technology, so guess where the export orders will be going.
    Do these actually exist outside PowerPoint? (I don't know.)

    Everything nuclear seems to take forever and cost a fortune.
    The base design is similar to a naval reactor, which RR already produces. They have a small-scale prototype, but need orders to complete the development process.
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 19,088

    I assume the "it only takes two seconds" lie is aimed at the angry people who don't travel abroad but want to stop the rest of us doing so.

    Anyone with eyes and a brain knows it takes more than 2 seconds, as it too more than 2 seconds when you hit their border. Yet the right keep saying this guff.

    They won't persuade people who are alive. So it must be reassurance lies for the elderly and angry ro protect their prescious Brexit from reality.

    67 million people travelled to EU countries from the UK in 2021

    If even a tenth of them were as pissed off as those trying to get into Nice in March when there was one person doing UK passports then come the next election Sunak and his bunch of 300 shits will be out on their ears.

    I can only hope Starmer's silence is based on the George Carmen technique of lulling them into a false sense of well being before blasting them with all you've got.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 45,195
    Sandpit said:

    Australia the latest country to be silly enough, to think that you can keep teenagers away from online pr0n with legislation.

    Were their legislators never teenagers themselves?

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/apr/04/labor-to-consider-age-verification-roadmap-for-restricting-online-pornography-access

    “The laws of mathematics are very commendable, but the only law that applies in Australia is the law of Australia,” said Turnbull.

  • Options
    Could Trump end up in prison sooner than we think?

    He’s the sort of chap who could insult the judge/dox the jury and end up with a contempt charge.

    I think American judiciary have quite strong powers in this regard.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,703

    ydoethur said:

    algarkirk said:

    ydoethur said:

    FF43 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Indeed, one wonders why the Conservative Home Secretaries over the last decade didn't act on this advice?

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2013/nov/04/child-abuse-keir-starmer-prosecute-professionals?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

    It might have also helped prosecute abusers like this gang.

    BBC News - Inquiry hears of abuse at Boris Johnson's school
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-49882978

    Or this cult like gang:

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2022/jan/18/winchester-college-christian-forum-society-report-child-abuse
    Have you opened a squirrel farm?
    I hope not, nasty little buggers.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-65092730

    Can’t think why they’re protected. They’re an invasive species and there are far too bloody many of them.
    Red squirrels are protected
    So are greys. You can’t trap them or kill them except when they are actually inside the property. Which is demented.

    I’ve no objection to protecting red squirrels but arguably the best way to do that is to start killing off the grey interlopers.
    Grey's are (rightly) not very protected. The outlook for reds is not great.


    https://basc.org.uk/advice/basc-grey-squirrel-control/#:~:text=Grey squirrels have limited legal,methods including shooting and trapping.
    They shouldn’t be protected at all. That is the point.
    I love seeing squirrel (grey in my area) and I've never understood why we should be actively intervening to kill one type of squirrel to protect another. Because they're foreign? Prejudice agasinst foreign humans is bad enough, but who needs ecoxenophobia?
    Good question. But look at many of the rewilding projects. In fact, as many farmers will agree, relatively few are "just leave it as it is", and a large number (perhaps the majority) is designed to preserve and perhaps reintroduce native flora and fauna species. I know there is the perennial discussion about wolves, etc.

    The grey squirrel is invasive (same with American/Signal crayfish, which displaced the indigenous species).

    I think it's ridiculous, as you seem to - it's just one person's idea of what should be preserved over anyone else's (I had this discussion with the cousin who is giving over a few hundred acres to "rewilding"). He didn't disagree.

    The theory is that you preserve flora and fauna that would otherwise be in danger of becoming extinct. But there is man at the top of it all making the decisions. According to @OnlyLivingBoy perhaps it is even The Man doing this.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,021

    Sandpit said:

    Is the new First Minister going to review the justice reforms, that lead to rape of a 13-year-old girl no longer being an imprisonable office in Scotland?

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/04/03/rape-scotland-community-service-sentence-snp/

    Stop Talking Down Scotland
    Progressive Scotland 2023, where a man gets no jail time for raping a 13-year-old girl in a park. Young Scottish men are effectively being told ‘first time’s free.’

    https://twitter.com/jk_rowling/status/1643168702181801984
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,021
    Keir Starmer's motion to Labour's NEC to expel Jeremy Corbyn said that the former leader would "significantly diminish" Labour's chances of winning if he stood

    Most Britons see Corbyn as an electoral liability (56%) for Labour

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2023/04/04/three-years-what-do-britons-make-keir-starmers-tim




    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1643176329058086913?s=20
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,314
    Sandpit said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Good morning, everyone.

    Mr. Mark, practically every government in my lifetime has been atrocious on energy.

    They could have a dozen Rolls Royce SMR reactors up and running by now, and exporting them overseas. Instead, the Americans have got first mover advantage on the deployment of the technology, so guess where the export orders will be going.
    Do these actually exist outside PowerPoint? (I don't know.)

    Everything nuclear seems to take forever and cost a fortune.
    The base design is similar to a naval reactor, which RR already produces. They have a small-scale prototype, but need orders to complete the development process.
    Here's a prediction. To ever get into production, they will need massive state aid. (No nuclear power plant has been built without massive state aid, anywhere on the planet.) They will not get the orders expected (because no-one wants a nuclear sub parked in their town). Consequently, they will be rows of them built together on the site of existing nuclear power stations being dismantled. They will take far longer to enter production than the glossy sales pitch promises. And they will have a shorter productive life than promised. And they will have far more downtime than predicted. The cost of production of electricity will consequenly be massively more expensive than other sources of energy. And they will prove far more costly to dismantle than current estimates.

    You hardly need to seek out a crystal ball to make this prediction. Just look at the past history of nuclear plants.
  • Options
    mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,183

    kjh said:

    felix said:

    With all this identity renewal malarkey let's hope Heathener emerges tomorrow as the onward Christian soldier...

    Heathener is Sir Cliff Richard? Cool!
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    carnforth said:

    stodge said:

    I like Sunak putting Braverman in her place.

    Downing Street has acknowledged that new post-Brexit “processes” contributed to issues at the Port of Dover over the weekend.

    The prime minister’s official spokesman said he was aware that French border officials were “inspecting and stamping every single passport”, as is the case at all European borders for arrivals from outside the bloc.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/dover-delays-officials-dismiss-suella-braverman-claim-queues-brexit-latest-l0mtqjfkw

    I must confess I find Simon Calder’s analysis on this rather more compelling than Suella Braverman. Did we really insist on every passport being checked and stamped ?

    Every passport being checked and stamped is a natural consequence of the end of FoM. "We insisted" is partisan gloss.

    Simon Calder is merely using the FBPEr's "we shot ourselves in the foot" insinuation as he always does.

    If he were more honest, he would point out that passports take longer to check now, but that busy weekends at Dover have often involved delays. For example, this from 2012:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-kent-18307471
    FoM has nothing to do with the physical border, yet people keep trying to conflate the two. There have always been passport checks between the CTA and Shengen, and always been delays when the French decide to be French.

    Movement of goods is different now that the UK is no longer in the EU Customs Union, but tourist traffic is pretty much the same.
    I think they're related because whether you have FoM or not affects what the passport checks need to do. If a British person wants to enter Schengen and they're part of the same FoM zone as you then you (mostly) just need to check that they have a British passport. If they're not doing FoM then you also need to manage how long they'll be allowed to stay and whether they've already stayed too long, which involves more steps.
    No, FoM related to the entitlement to a National Insurance number, and the right to work. Nothing to do with border checks.

    It does appear that the French want to stamp passports to check for overstays, but that takes only a couple of seconds per passport.
    I really don't know why you post this kind of nonsense. It patently takes longer than only a couple of seconds. Open passport. Check last entry, check last exit, check cumulative days stayed in the last 180. And then if all ok find the next page and stamp.

    The physical stamping takes only a few seconds. The rest takes a minute. And this is why the queues are here. I assume that had we not left we would have been given a bypass for this new Schengen rule. Or at the very least reduced it. We could have I asked for that.

    Instead we said "we want to be a third country". And this is the process. Think how much fun we will all be having next year when we need to be fingerprinted and have our visa checked.
    If people voted for Brexit because they wanted to keep foreigners out of Britain, they have a cheek to complain that other countries may want to keep us out of theirs.
    Indeed. The lack of self awareness is stunning sometimes. See also people who complain about immigration while detailing their own plans to move abroad.
    I must admit @leon's posts yesterday caused me to have steam coming out of my ears. A combination of the desire to move abroad and the tax benefits of doing so having banged on about Brexit so much and going on and on about Gary Lineker being a tax dodger (against the available evidence) was just galling.

    And to top it all stating the migration problem isn't what was promised by Brexit. I mean if only people had bothered to tell him it wouldn't work then it wouldn't have come as such a huge surprise to him. Honestly.
    Well it worked then didn't it🤣🤣😪. Never take anything @Leon too seriously. He is as likely as not to argue the complete opposite tomorrow.
    I stopped getting irritated by Leon once I realised he was a comic character dreamt up by a left wing satirist.
    Like Nigel Farage.
  • Options
    MattWMattW Posts: 19,181

    Nigelb said:

    Virgin Orbit files for bankruptcy.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-65172594

    Flies into bankruptcy?
    As was long foreseen....

    Branson managed to get himself seniority in debt by investing tiny extra sums. So Bransons money is safe....

    They were spending billions to build a launch system that was more expensive than SpaceX - after development costs were written off!

    Which is the space launch market question today - if you can't beat them on cost, what are you offering?
    Chapter 11.

    IIRC value has been written down from 3 billion to 65 million.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 45,195
    MattW said:

    Nigelb said:

    Virgin Orbit files for bankruptcy.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-65172594

    Flies into bankruptcy?
    As was long foreseen....

    Branson managed to get himself seniority in debt by investing tiny extra sums. So Bransons money is safe....

    They were spending billions to build a launch system that was more expensive than SpaceX - after development costs were written off!

    Which is the space launch market question today - if you can't beat them on cost, what are you offering?
    Chapter 11.

    IIRC value has been written down from 3 billion to 65 million.
    The 747 is probably the main asset, with the rest at scrap value.
  • Options
    DriverDriver Posts: 4,522
    MattW said:

    MattW said:

    MattW said:

    ydoethur said:

    If the plan is to have more people holidaying in the UK the government needs to stop the water companies pouring raw sewage into our seas. No-one wants their kids paddling among turds!

    So two strands needed to achieve this:

    1) Sort out the sewage system;
    This is a strange one. Like discharges into rivers, discharges onto beaches are a pan-European problem. The scales just pre-Brexi0, 2016t:

    https://www.waternewseurope.com/tourists-in-europe-are-swimming-in-raw-sewage-despite-blue-flags/


    On those numbers, UK with work to do, Switzerland a surprise.

    Does anyone have more recent data?
    Yes they do. 2021 data. UK number is 71%.



    https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/bathing-water-quality-in-2021/european-bathing-water-quality-in-2021
    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/99-of-english-bathing-sites-meet-required-water-quality-standards
    So that's up from 65% in 2016 to 71% in 2021, and it appears to have improved further - to 72.1% - last year.
  • Options
    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,327
    kinabalu said:

    TOPPING said:

    Nigelb said:

    .

    Nigelb said:

    DavidL said:

    Nigel Lawson has passed away, aged 91.

    His book, the View from Number 11, is one of the very best political books I have ever read. He didn't go by chronology but by topic and as a result gave really fascinating insights as to how policy was formed and the limitations on government. It is a good innings but that is sad news. An intellectual giant compared to almost anyone in any political party today.
    His views on climate change haven't aged well.
    Bringing the Western economies to their knees on the strength of totally unremarkable changes in climate is going to age a lot worse.
    You either don't have a clue, or you have some sort of dishonest agenda.
    I thought Lawson’s view was:

    - Climate change is happening
    - He wasn’t convinced it was entire anthropomorphic
    - Given 2 he felt mitigation was a better use of limited resources than carbon reduction

    It may be wrong but it’s not some kind of heinous position

    For a very intelligent guy, he had some terrible judgment.
    To be honest, given absolute Net Zero in carbon *emissions* is almost certainly impossible given political, social and economic constraints I suspect the way we'll actually achieve it is by decarbonising 70-80% of emissions and then littering the planet with direct air capture plants in the middle-latter half of this century to suck out the rest.

    So, we'll get to Net Zero (or maybe even slightly negative) but by a different and more practical route based on engineering.
    A bit of a non sequitur to my comment, but it's far from impossible. As you realise, the clue is in the word 'net'.

    Lawton's flawed judgment was clear long before his slide into climate denial.

    As Chancellor, he was brilliant in recognising and addressing the problems of the old economic settlement - tax reform; the abolition of exchange controls; deregulation ... and to an extent, privatisation.

    But he established in its place an economic orthodoxy with its own set of flaws.
    'Rolling back the frontiers of the state' became a religion, rather than a policy. And its malign effects last to this day in all kind of ways.

    Lawson was an ideologue - more so than Thatcher. I recall reading that she wanted to reduce the top rate of tax to 50% - he persuaded her to go for 40%. For me he embodied everything that was wrong with the greed is good philosophy of late Thatcherism, which I think has basically ruined this country. He was also a malign influence in the climate debate. Still, any man who gave us the lovely Nigella can't be all bad. RIP.
    AAUI you have done super well for yourself. Well done you. How do you distinguish your journey up the greasy pole from that of a horrible, nasty, Thatcherite capitalist?
    Oh no (!) it's yet another outbreak of the "material success in life means you can't hold left wing political views" virus.

    Is there no vaccine for this?
    If you're poor and criticise Tory policies it's the "politics of envy" and if you're rich you're a hypocrite. There must be some level of household income where you're allowed to have an opinion but I haven't found out what it is yet.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,448

    Sandpit said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Good morning, everyone.

    Mr. Mark, practically every government in my lifetime has been atrocious on energy.

    They could have a dozen Rolls Royce SMR reactors up and running by now, and exporting them overseas. Instead, the Americans have got first mover advantage on the deployment of the technology, so guess where the export orders will be going.
    Do these actually exist outside PowerPoint? (I don't know.)

    Everything nuclear seems to take forever and cost a fortune.
    The base design is similar to a naval reactor, which RR already produces. They have a small-scale prototype, but need orders to complete the development process.
    Here's a prediction. To ever get into production, they will need massive state aid. (No nuclear power plant has been built without massive state aid, anywhere on the planet.) They will not get the orders expected (because no-one wants a nuclear sub parked in their town). Consequently, they will be rows of them built together on the site of existing nuclear power stations being dismantled. They will take far longer to enter production than the glossy sales pitch promises. And they will have a shorter productive life than promised. And they will have far more downtime than predicted. The cost of production of electricity will consequenly be massively more expensive than other sources of energy. And they will prove far more costly to dismantle than current estimates.

    You hardly need to seek out a crystal ball to make this prediction. Just look at the past history of nuclear plants.
    You also need to miss out a lot of advantages - because the whole point of RR approach is to create a production line where the plants are built repeatedly (at scale) unlike a nuclear power station where every one is unique..

    The reality is we had a 3-4 year window in which RR could get ahead of the competition and most of the lead time has been lost.

  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 19,088

    ydoethur said:

    algarkirk said:

    ydoethur said:

    FF43 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Indeed, one wonders why the Conservative Home Secretaries over the last decade didn't act on this advice?

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2013/nov/04/child-abuse-keir-starmer-prosecute-professionals?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

    It might have also helped prosecute abusers like this gang.

    BBC News - Inquiry hears of abuse at Boris Johnson's school
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-49882978

    Or this cult like gang:

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2022/jan/18/winchester-college-christian-forum-society-report-child-abuse
    Have you opened a squirrel farm?
    I hope not, nasty little buggers.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-65092730

    Can’t think why they’re protected. They’re an invasive species and there are far too bloody many of them.
    Red squirrels are protected
    So are greys. You can’t trap them or kill them except when they are actually inside the property. Which is demented.

    I’ve no objection to protecting red squirrels but arguably the best way to do that is to start killing off the grey interlopers.
    Grey's are (rightly) not very protected. The outlook for reds is not great.


    https://basc.org.uk/advice/basc-grey-squirrel-control/#:~:text=Grey squirrels have limited legal,methods including shooting and trapping.
    They shouldn’t be protected at all. That is the point.
    I love seeing squirrel (grey in my area) and I've never understood why we should be actively intervening to kill one type of squirrel to protect another. Because they're foreign? Prejudice agasinst foreign humans is bad enough, but who needs ecoxenophobia?
    Wonderful animals. So bright and every one with their own personality. I feed them daily when I'm here. They are quite the most interesting and ingenious animals I've ever interacted with. I find them much more interesting than the Reds. My cousin in a nature writer and she lathes the idea of 'native species' which is a big thing in Scotland. She thinks it's typical of the Nationalist mentality!
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,687
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    algarkirk said:

    Scott_xP said:

    The entry exit thing was always going to become a huge issue because it is a very palpable and fully demonstrable consequence of the Brexit the government chose. You experience the queuing and know it was not as bad previously. It’s inarguable. So, there will be some kind of deal done and it will involve the UK giving up some level of control. Outside of the depleted, impotent confines of the ERG, no-one will care - they’ll welcome the return of sanity and convenience.

    Hugo Rifkind's column in The Times today makes the case that we have had enough of 'big ideas', and the most successful pitch for the next election would we "We won't break anything else"

    It's an interesting idea, but neglects the fact that we do need a government that will in fact "fix some of the shit we just broke"
    Absolutely. This government can’t do it. A Labour-led one will have huge leeway because it has no Brexit loon wing to appease. I agree with Casino Royale on this - Starmer is basically telling porkies about what a government he leads will do to mitigate Brexit. If he’s PM, we’ll see much closer alignment than is being acknowledged.

    To be fair to SKS he has an election to avoid losing; to do that almost everyone will admit that he has to avoid splitting his voters on post-Brexit issues. If he does he hands seats to Tories, SNP and even LDs. Only unicorn policies or no explicit policies at all can reliably prevent a split.

    This is because a huge swathe of middling opinion only wants unicorn policies on Brexit. While a huge group of Labour supporters, mostly middle class, want SM, CU, FoM, EEA, EFTA or EU, another huge group either want none of them or only unicorn edited highlights.

    I think nearer the time he will pledge a post-election 'full review of options'. But even that has dangers.

    As to what SKS would actually do in government about all this, he and we have no idea.
    I have no idea what SKS is planning but I am in little doubt that whatever he chooses it will be an improvement on the crummy set-up the current cabal of liars, idiots and shills for the billionaire donor class have cobbled together.
    "billionaire donor class"

    Love it.

    It's this type of analysis which might enable the Cons to squeak it or close to it come the next GE.
    I inhabit their world and I see the relationships up close. It is extremely obvious whose side the Tories are on - the people who finance them.
    Oh for goodness sake. I know you rub shoulders with them but how big do you think the "billionaire donor class" is? Take out Rishi that's one fewer...
    Looking at the amounts given, it's a pretty cheap price for significant influence.
    https://bylinetimes.com/2022/06/09/who-are-the-23-big-donors-that-tried-to-influence-the-no-confidence-vote/
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,278

    MattW said:

    Nigelb said:

    Virgin Orbit files for bankruptcy.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-65172594

    Flies into bankruptcy?
    As was long foreseen....

    Branson managed to get himself seniority in debt by investing tiny extra sums. So Bransons money is safe....

    They were spending billions to build a launch system that was more expensive than SpaceX - after development costs were written off!

    Which is the space launch market question today - if you can't beat them on cost, what are you offering?
    Chapter 11.

    IIRC value has been written down from 3 billion to 65 million.
    The 747 is probably the main asset, with the rest at scrap value.
    The 747 was built in 2001. It’s probably not worth much more than the value of its engines. Maybe some African cargo op will buy it. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cosmic_Girl_(aircraft)
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 45,195
    Sandpit said:

    MattW said:

    Nigelb said:

    Virgin Orbit files for bankruptcy.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-65172594

    Flies into bankruptcy?
    As was long foreseen....

    Branson managed to get himself seniority in debt by investing tiny extra sums. So Bransons money is safe....

    They were spending billions to build a launch system that was more expensive than SpaceX - after development costs were written off!

    Which is the space launch market question today - if you can't beat them on cost, what are you offering?
    Chapter 11.

    IIRC value has been written down from 3 billion to 65 million.
    The 747 is probably the main asset, with the rest at scrap value.
    The 747 was built in 2001. It’s probably not worth much more than the value of its engines. Maybe some African cargo op will buy it. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cosmic_Girl_(aircraft)
    Hence 65 million in total assets. Half of that is probably scrap and machine tools etc. 30 million for a jumbo....
  • Options
    StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 14,975
    mwadams said:

    kjh said:

    felix said:

    With all this identity renewal malarkey let's hope Heathener emerges tomorrow as the onward Christian soldier...

    Heathener is Sir Cliff Richard? Cool!
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    carnforth said:

    stodge said:

    I like Sunak putting Braverman in her place.

    Downing Street has acknowledged that new post-Brexit “processes” contributed to issues at the Port of Dover over the weekend.

    The prime minister’s official spokesman said he was aware that French border officials were “inspecting and stamping every single passport”, as is the case at all European borders for arrivals from outside the bloc.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/dover-delays-officials-dismiss-suella-braverman-claim-queues-brexit-latest-l0mtqjfkw

    I must confess I find Simon Calder’s analysis on this rather more compelling than Suella Braverman. Did we really insist on every passport being checked and stamped ?

    Every passport being checked and stamped is a natural consequence of the end of FoM. "We insisted" is partisan gloss.

    Simon Calder is merely using the FBPEr's "we shot ourselves in the foot" insinuation as he always does.

    If he were more honest, he would point out that passports take longer to check now, but that busy weekends at Dover have often involved delays. For example, this from 2012:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-kent-18307471
    FoM has nothing to do with the physical border, yet people keep trying to conflate the two. There have always been passport checks between the CTA and Shengen, and always been delays when the French decide to be French.

    Movement of goods is different now that the UK is no longer in the EU Customs Union, but tourist traffic is pretty much the same.
    I think they're related because whether you have FoM or not affects what the passport checks need to do. If a British person wants to enter Schengen and they're part of the same FoM zone as you then you (mostly) just need to check that they have a British passport. If they're not doing FoM then you also need to manage how long they'll be allowed to stay and whether they've already stayed too long, which involves more steps.
    No, FoM related to the entitlement to a National Insurance number, and the right to work. Nothing to do with border checks.

    It does appear that the French want to stamp passports to check for overstays, but that takes only a couple of seconds per passport.
    I really don't know why you post this kind of nonsense. It patently takes longer than only a couple of seconds. Open passport. Check last entry, check last exit, check cumulative days stayed in the last 180. And then if all ok find the next page and stamp.

    The physical stamping takes only a few seconds. The rest takes a minute. And this is why the queues are here. I assume that had we not left we would have been given a bypass for this new Schengen rule. Or at the very least reduced it. We could have I asked for that.

    Instead we said "we want to be a third country". And this is the process. Think how much fun we will all be having next year when we need to be fingerprinted and have our visa checked.
    If people voted for Brexit because they wanted to keep foreigners out of Britain, they have a cheek to complain that other countries may want to keep us out of theirs.
    Indeed. The lack of self awareness is stunning sometimes. See also people who complain about immigration while detailing their own plans to move abroad.
    I must admit @leon's posts yesterday caused me to have steam coming out of my ears. A combination of the desire to move abroad and the tax benefits of doing so having banged on about Brexit so much and going on and on about Gary Lineker being a tax dodger (against the available evidence) was just galling.

    And to top it all stating the migration problem isn't what was promised by Brexit. I mean if only people had bothered to tell him it wouldn't work then it wouldn't have come as such a huge surprise to him. Honestly.
    Well it worked then didn't it🤣🤣😪. Never take anything @Leon too seriously. He is as likely as not to argue the complete opposite tomorrow.
    I stopped getting irritated by Leon once I realised he was a comic character dreamt up by a left wing satirist.
    Like Nigel Farage.
    The more obvious example of a satirical character on that side of politics is Boris Johnson.

    Unfortunately, like Alf Garnett and Loadsamoney, the people Alex de Pfeffel was sending up took the Boris character to their hearts and the performer is terminally typecast.
  • Options
    MattWMattW Posts: 19,181
    TOPPING said:

    ydoethur said:

    algarkirk said:

    ydoethur said:

    FF43 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Indeed, one wonders why the Conservative Home Secretaries over the last decade didn't act on this advice?

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2013/nov/04/child-abuse-keir-starmer-prosecute-professionals?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

    It might have also helped prosecute abusers like this gang.

    BBC News - Inquiry hears of abuse at Boris Johnson's school
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-49882978

    Or this cult like gang:

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2022/jan/18/winchester-college-christian-forum-society-report-child-abuse
    Have you opened a squirrel farm?
    I hope not, nasty little buggers.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-65092730

    Can’t think why they’re protected. They’re an invasive species and there are far too bloody many of them.
    Red squirrels are protected
    So are greys. You can’t trap them or kill them except when they are actually inside the property. Which is demented.

    I’ve no objection to protecting red squirrels but arguably the best way to do that is to start killing off the grey interlopers.
    Grey's are (rightly) not very protected. The outlook for reds is not great.


    https://basc.org.uk/advice/basc-grey-squirrel-control/#:~:text=Grey squirrels have limited legal,methods including shooting and trapping.
    They shouldn’t be protected at all. That is the point.
    I love seeing squirrel (grey in my area) and I've never understood why we should be actively intervening to kill one type of squirrel to protect another. Because they're foreign? Prejudice agasinst foreign humans is bad enough, but who needs ecoxenophobia?
    Good question. But look at many of the rewilding projects. In fact, as many farmers will agree, relatively few are "just leave it as it is", and a large number (perhaps the majority) is designed to preserve and perhaps reintroduce native flora and fauna species. I know there is the perennial discussion about wolves, etc.

    The grey squirrel is invasive (same with American/Signal crayfish, which displaced the indigenous species).
    Easy to catch and eat, but probably harder to eradicate than grey squirrels.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m1s-oMKbxJc
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 19,088
    ydoethur said:

    FF43 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Indeed, one wonders why the Conservative Home Secretaries over the last decade didn't act on this advice?

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2013/nov/04/child-abuse-keir-starmer-prosecute-professionals?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

    It might have also helped prosecute abusers like this gang.

    BBC News - Inquiry hears of abuse at Boris Johnson's school
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-49882978

    Or this cult like gang:

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2022/jan/18/winchester-college-christian-forum-society-report-child-abuse
    Have you opened a squirrel farm?
    I hope not, nasty little buggers.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-65092730

    Can’t think why they’re protected. They’re an invasive species and there are far too bloody many of them.
    Red squirrels are protected
    So are greys. You can’t trap them or kill them except when they are actually inside the property. Which is demented.

    I’ve no objection to protecting red squirrels but arguably the best way to do that is to start killing off the grey interlopers.
    Why? Because they inconvenience you?Any other species you'd like to eliminate to make things more comfortable for you and your dog?
  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,385

    Invasive species cause all sorts of damage to ecosystems that have developed without them. Overall they lead to a net loss of biodiversity, species extinction and damage to habitats.

    But isn't that how nature works, with species rising and falling over time due to complex interactions. Is it desirable or even feasible to try to freeze evolution at whatever particular moment in time we decide to do it?

    As for grey squirrels eating birds' nests or walnuts (cited in other posts), don't red squirrels do that too? Those objections seem to be more about disliking squirrels per se.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,687
    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Good morning, everyone.

    Mr. Mark, practically every government in my lifetime has been atrocious on energy.

    They could have a dozen Rolls Royce SMR reactors up and running by now, and exporting them overseas. Instead, the Americans have got first mover advantage on the deployment of the technology, so guess where the export orders will be going.
    Do these actually exist outside PowerPoint? (I don't know.)

    Everything nuclear seems to take forever and cost a fortune.
    The idea behind these, which isn't entirely daft, is to take a proven design and make it on a production line.
    Looking at the Nuscale prices, they seem to be looking at power below the cost of that from large plants, which implies considerable savings on construction costs, as smaller plants are less efficient.

    Obviously the economies only materialise if they sell scores of the things. Because of that, I'm not sure there's room for more than one player in the market.

    As you say, it will take years to produce the first one, but the marginal costs of producing additional units ought to drop quickly - which would make ordering them an easier decision for governments.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 45,195
    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:

    FF43 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Indeed, one wonders why the Conservative Home Secretaries over the last decade didn't act on this advice?

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2013/nov/04/child-abuse-keir-starmer-prosecute-professionals?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

    It might have also helped prosecute abusers like this gang.

    BBC News - Inquiry hears of abuse at Boris Johnson's school
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-49882978

    Or this cult like gang:

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2022/jan/18/winchester-college-christian-forum-society-report-child-abuse
    Have you opened a squirrel farm?
    I hope not, nasty little buggers.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-65092730

    Can’t think why they’re protected. They’re an invasive species and there are far too bloody many of them.
    Red squirrels are protected
    So are greys. You can’t trap them or kill them except when they are actually inside the property. Which is demented.

    I’ve no objection to protecting red squirrels but arguably the best way to do that is to start killing off the grey interlopers.
    Why? Because they inconvenience you?Any other species you'd like to eliminate to make things more comfortable for you and your dog?
    Grey squirrels are an invasive species, steadily eradicating the red squirrels.

    There are plenty of examples, around the world, and carried out by environmental protection organisations, of eliminating invasive species to protect the original flora and fauna.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,703

    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:

    algarkirk said:

    ydoethur said:

    FF43 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Indeed, one wonders why the Conservative Home Secretaries over the last decade didn't act on this advice?

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2013/nov/04/child-abuse-keir-starmer-prosecute-professionals?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

    It might have also helped prosecute abusers like this gang.

    BBC News - Inquiry hears of abuse at Boris Johnson's school
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-49882978

    Or this cult like gang:

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2022/jan/18/winchester-college-christian-forum-society-report-child-abuse
    Have you opened a squirrel farm?
    I hope not, nasty little buggers.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-65092730

    Can’t think why they’re protected. They’re an invasive species and there are far too bloody many of them.
    Red squirrels are protected
    So are greys. You can’t trap them or kill them except when they are actually inside the property. Which is demented.

    I’ve no objection to protecting red squirrels but arguably the best way to do that is to start killing off the grey interlopers.
    Grey's are (rightly) not very protected. The outlook for reds is not great.


    https://basc.org.uk/advice/basc-grey-squirrel-control/#:~:text=Grey squirrels have limited legal,methods including shooting and trapping.
    They shouldn’t be protected at all. That is the point.
    I love seeing squirrel (grey in my area) and I've never understood why we should be actively intervening to kill one type of squirrel to protect another. Because they're foreign? Prejudice agasinst foreign humans is bad enough, but who needs ecoxenophobia?
    Wonderful animals. So bright and every one with their own personality. I feed them daily when I'm here. They are quite the most interesting and ingenious animals I've ever interacted with. I find them much more interesting than the Reds. My cousin in a nature writer and she lathes the idea of 'native species' which is a big thing in Scotland. She thinks it's typical of the Nationalist mentality!
    Sorry but these comments are just stupid and ignorant and I would certainly have expected better from Nick even if not from you. Your cousin sounds like a moron.

    The reason that most sensible naturalists and wildlife experts have a problem with some non native species is because they drive native species to extinction. Ecosystems build up over millennia to a point of natural balance. When you then suddenly introduce a non native species it disrupts that balance and can often lead similar native species being pushed into danger. There are hundreds of examples of this since man started transporting animals around the world - cats in Australia being an obvious example.

    You might as well claim that there is nothing wrong with white Europeans wiping out the indigenous peoples of North America 'because we were more interesting'. Nationalism has feck all to do with it. Horse Chestnuts and rabbits are both non native species to the British Isles but they do not damage the native populations of other animals and plants so there is no problem with them. If a species of plant or animal is harmless then it is not an issue. But diversity of species is what is matters. Grey squirrels have driven reds to extinction in many parts of the British Isles. Hence the reason they need to be controlled.
    So that nature conforms with your idea of what is right.

    Thank goodness you're only an internet numpty rather than a billionaire donor who could influence government policy.
  • Options
    DriverDriver Posts: 4,522

    Invasive species cause all sorts of damage to ecosystems that have developed without them. Overall they lead to a net loss of biodiversity, species extinction and damage to habitats.

    But isn't that how nature works, with species rising and falling over time due to complex interactions. Is it desirable or even feasible to try to freeze evolution at whatever particular moment in time we decide to do it?
    Well, it is with the climate apparently, so why not with evolution?
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,124

    Invasive species cause all sorts of damage to ecosystems that have developed without them. Overall they lead to a net loss of biodiversity, species extinction and damage to habitats.

    But isn't that how nature works, with species rising and falling over time due to complex interactions. Is it desirable or even feasible to try to freeze evolution at whatever particular moment in time we decide to do it?

    As for grey squirrels eating birds' nests or walnuts (cited in other posts), don't red squirrels do that too? Those objections seem to be more about disliking squirrels per se.
    Nope, red squirrels are almost entirely vegetarian. Greys are omnivorous and eat eggs and young birds. It is one of the reasons they are more successful.

    And it is not a case of freezing evolution. It is a case of not having man made disruption to evolution which tips the balance in favour of one or two species at the cost of many others.
  • Options
    kjhkjh Posts: 10,796

    Sandpit said:

    Australia the latest country to be silly enough, to think that you can keep teenagers away from online pr0n with legislation.

    Were their legislators never teenagers themselves?

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/apr/04/labor-to-consider-age-verification-roadmap-for-restricting-online-pornography-access

    “The laws of mathematics are very commendable, but the only law that applies in Australia is the law of Australia,” said Turnbull.

    He couldn't have said that surely? Bit like the American state senate that tried to legislate that pi was exactly 3. Was he floating off into space as he declared the law of gravity didn't exist.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,278
    edited April 2023
    Nigelb said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Good morning, everyone.

    Mr. Mark, practically every government in my lifetime has been atrocious on energy.

    They could have a dozen Rolls Royce SMR reactors up and running by now, and exporting them overseas. Instead, the Americans have got first mover advantage on the deployment of the technology, so guess where the export orders will be going.
    Do these actually exist outside PowerPoint? (I don't know.)

    Everything nuclear seems to take forever and cost a fortune.
    The idea behind these, which isn't entirely daft, is to take a proven design and make it on a production line.
    Looking at the Nuscale prices, they seem to be looking at power below the cost of that from large plants, which implies considerable savings on construction costs, as smaller plants are less efficient.

    Obviously the economies only materialise if they sell scores of the things. Because of that, I'm not sure there's room for more than one player in the market.

    As you say, it will take years to produce the first one, but the marginal costs of producing additional units ought to drop quickly - which would make ordering them an easier decision for governments.
    Absolutely, although there’s probably room for two players.

    It’s the difference between building 787s, and building Space Shuttles. See how SpaceX have revolutionised the cost of space flight, by production-lining rockets. See also how, having let them get a decade ahead on the technology, they now pretty much have a monopoly for commercial launches.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,687

    Sandpit said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Good morning, everyone.

    Mr. Mark, practically every government in my lifetime has been atrocious on energy.

    They could have a dozen Rolls Royce SMR reactors up and running by now, and exporting them overseas. Instead, the Americans have got first mover advantage on the deployment of the technology, so guess where the export orders will be going.
    Do these actually exist outside PowerPoint? (I don't know.)

    Everything nuclear seems to take forever and cost a fortune.
    The base design is similar to a naval reactor, which RR already produces. They have a small-scale prototype, but need orders to complete the development process.
    Here's a prediction. To ever get into production, they will need massive state aid. (No nuclear power plant has been built without massive state aid, anywhere on the planet.) They will not get the orders expected (because no-one wants a nuclear sub parked in their town). Consequently, they will be rows of them built together on the site of existing nuclear power stations being dismantled. They will take far longer to enter production than the glossy sales pitch promises. And they will have a shorter productive life than promised. And they will have far more downtime than predicted. The cost of production of electricity will consequenly be massively more expensive than other sources of energy. And they will prove far more costly to dismantle than current estimates.

    You hardly need to seek out a crystal ball to make this prediction. Just look at the past history of nuclear plants.
    I disagree.
    If they do get a production line going for them, there will be a market.
    It's not as though there aren't plenty of port cities around the world where nuclear subs do dock, without much objection.

    As a short to medium term stopgap for big energy importers (Korea, Japan etc), they might make a great deal of sense. Certainly a much easier decision than building a Hinckley sized reactor.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 45,195

    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:

    algarkirk said:

    ydoethur said:

    FF43 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Indeed, one wonders why the Conservative Home Secretaries over the last decade didn't act on this advice?

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2013/nov/04/child-abuse-keir-starmer-prosecute-professionals?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

    It might have also helped prosecute abusers like this gang.

    BBC News - Inquiry hears of abuse at Boris Johnson's school
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-49882978

    Or this cult like gang:

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2022/jan/18/winchester-college-christian-forum-society-report-child-abuse
    Have you opened a squirrel farm?
    I hope not, nasty little buggers.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-65092730

    Can’t think why they’re protected. They’re an invasive species and there are far too bloody many of them.
    Red squirrels are protected
    So are greys. You can’t trap them or kill them except when they are actually inside the property. Which is demented.

    I’ve no objection to protecting red squirrels but arguably the best way to do that is to start killing off the grey interlopers.
    Grey's are (rightly) not very protected. The outlook for reds is not great.


    https://basc.org.uk/advice/basc-grey-squirrel-control/#:~:text=Grey squirrels have limited legal,methods including shooting and trapping.
    They shouldn’t be protected at all. That is the point.
    I love seeing squirrel (grey in my area) and I've never understood why we should be actively intervening to kill one type of squirrel to protect another. Because they're foreign? Prejudice agasinst foreign humans is bad enough, but who needs ecoxenophobia?
    Wonderful animals. So bright and every one with their own personality. I feed them daily when I'm here. They are quite the most interesting and ingenious animals I've ever interacted with. I find them much more interesting than the Reds. My cousin in a nature writer and she lathes the idea of 'native species' which is a big thing in Scotland. She thinks it's typical of the Nationalist mentality!
    Sorry but these comments are just stupid and ignorant and I would certainly have expected better from Nick even if not from you. Your cousin sounds like a moron.

    The reason that most sensible naturalists and wildlife experts have a problem with some non native species is because they drive native species to extinction. Ecosystems build up over millennia to a point of natural balance. When you then suddenly introduce a non native species it disrupts that balance and can often lead similar native species being pushed into danger. There are hundreds of examples of this since man started transporting animals around the world - cats in Australia being an obvious example.

    You might as well claim that there is nothing wrong with white Europeans wiping out the indigenous peoples of North America 'because we were more interesting'. Nationalism has feck all to do with it. Horse Chestnuts and rabbits are both non native species to the British Isles but they do not damage the native populations of other animals and plants so there is no problem with them. If a species of plant or animal is harmless then it is not an issue. But diversity of species is what is matters. Grey squirrels have driven reds to extinction in many parts of the British Isles. Hence the reason they need to be controlled.
    It happened long before man turned up on the scene, as well.

    IIRC T Rex (and relatives) are believed to have expanded their domain by land bridges and gradually pushed out a whole range of other predators, in North America.
  • Options
    FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,026
    Roger said:

    ydoethur said:

    algarkirk said:

    ydoethur said:

    FF43 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Indeed, one wonders why the Conservative Home Secretaries over the last decade didn't act on this advice?

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2013/nov/04/child-abuse-keir-starmer-prosecute-professionals?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

    It might have also helped prosecute abusers like this gang.

    BBC News - Inquiry hears of abuse at Boris Johnson's school
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-49882978

    Or this cult like gang:

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2022/jan/18/winchester-college-christian-forum-society-report-child-abuse
    Have you opened a squirrel farm?
    I hope not, nasty little buggers.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-65092730

    Can’t think why they’re protected. They’re an invasive species and there are far too bloody many of them.
    Red squirrels are protected
    So are greys. You can’t trap them or kill them except when they are actually inside the property. Which is demented.

    I’ve no objection to protecting red squirrels but arguably the best way to do that is to start killing off the grey interlopers.
    Grey's are (rightly) not very protected. The outlook for reds is not great.


    https://basc.org.uk/advice/basc-grey-squirrel-control/#:~:text=Grey squirrels have limited legal,methods including shooting and trapping.
    They shouldn’t be protected at all. That is the point.
    I love seeing squirrel (grey in my area) and I've never understood why we should be actively intervening to kill one type of squirrel to protect another. Because they're foreign? Prejudice agasinst foreign humans is bad enough, but who needs ecoxenophobia?
    Wonderful animals. So bright and every one with their own personality. I feed them daily when I'm here. They are quite the most interesting and ingenious animals I've ever interacted with. I find them much more interesting than the Reds. My cousin in a nature writer and she lathes the idea of 'native species' which is a big thing in Scotland. She thinks it's typical of the Nationalist mentality!
    It isn't always clear which species are native (Brown hares? Beech trees?) but Grey squirrels are a pest.

    There's a number of definitely non-native species that are a problem for biodiversity and Grey squirrels are definitely on that list.

    Same goes for Himalayan balsam, New Zealand pigmyweed, Floating pennywort, American crayfish, Rhododendron ponticum, etc etc etc.

    There's no control because their normal predators aren't here.

    Of course, some of our native species are invasive elsewhere - eg Gorse in the US.
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