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How Murdoch’s New York Post is covering the MidTerms – politicalbetting.com
How Murdoch’s New York Post is covering the MidTerms – politicalbetting.com
This is how the New York Times is describing it:
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Shockingly shit.
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/3728323-boebert-trails-by-62-votes-in-razor-tight-colorado-race/
That’s what happens when you have a poorly funded system, very complicated ballot papers (there’s no comparison with the UK), no trust between the two parties, and each vote potentially contested.
Close contests will take time.
The impatience of outside observers is more understandable than the self-serving whining of the current Republican party, but not all that much more.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/nov/09/pennsylvania-dead-democrat-tony-deluca-victory
Bao Tong, former top aide of Chinese leader Zhao Ziyang, dies at 90
Senior Communist party official jailed over Tiananmen democracy movement became one of party’s most vociferous critics
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/nov/09/bao-tong-former-top-aide-of-chinese-leader-zhao-ziyang-dies-at-90
Dems 1.5
GOP 2.8
California Prop 27 - to legalise online sports betting - is going down 83/17. Why were Californians so against it?
Prop 26 - to legalise sports betting in casinos and racetracks on tribal lands - is going down 70/30.
Legalisation of recreational marijuana passing in Maryland and Missouri, failing in Arkansas and the Dakotas. .
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2022/results/ballot-measures
Good luck to anyone trying to get cash out of an FTX account.
Meanwhile, Amazon becomes the first company to ever lose $1trn of stock value. It was worth $1.8trn in June, now worth only $800bn.
Almost 100k in Clark, 20k Washoe, nearly 60k in smaller districts
Not sure those of you piling money on Laxalt yesterday were being particularly wise. There's a reason the networks say this is too close to call.
The Dems could afford to lose NV though as Warnock will win the GA run-off.
It does feel a bit like they’ve lost their advantage from my perspective, as a humble end customer.
I use amazon a lot less than I used to.
Perhaps there is hope, after all, with the passing of both Johnson and Trump, that democracies - provided they can stay as such - do come to their senses in the end?
I don’t invest in Crypto. I don’t really know a great deal about it. But what I do see really makes glad I have never touched it.
https://twitter.com/SenRhondaFields/status/1590376566579949568
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/nov/10/senior-mod-figures-thought-gavin-williamson-caused-national-security-leak
From 2019.
Trump was poised to claim credit for a famous victory and to enjoy the fruits of it. He looked forward to a decisive Republican takeover of the House, one that would see the Democrat-led investigation into the attempted insurrection of 6 January 2021 abandoned, its place taken instead by multiple probes into the affairs of the Biden family. As one seasoned Democrat put it to me this week, “He’ll expect the House to operate as his law firm.”
As Wednesday morning came, a pattern seemed to be emerging. Even Fox News reporters were quoting Republican sources telling them: “If it wasn’t clear before, it should be now. We have a Trump problem.”
Along with reproductive rights, imperilled by the supreme court’s summer ruling ending constitutional protection for abortion, the threat to democracy galvanised blue turnout, seemingly turning a red wave into a red ripple. Blame, or credit, for that comes entirely down to Trump, who made election denial a Republican article of faith.
Cold, hard logic suggests Republicans should step away from Trump, a man who has now presided over three consecutive defeats in 2018, 2020 and 2022 (four if you include the two Georgia senate runoffs in January 2021). But it won’t be simple…. the Republicans’ problem is not simply Trump the man. It is that they have become Trump’s party.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/28/amazon-amzn-q2-2022-earnings.html
They now employ 1.5m people (I think only Walmart is bigger than that).
I think they’re possibly still over-valued. Annual profits of $20bn still gives them a P/E above 40/1 - more in line with tech stock than retail stalwart. Walmart is valued at $400bn or so, with a P/E of 30.
I presume this is off the back of all the outstanding Clark County ballots, but even then it seems an overreaction.
Before this chunk, Laxalt had been leading in Washoe by about 4% - which looked surprising as Biden won Washoe. But with this chunk, Cortez now leads Washoe 48.8 - 48.6.
Above is a small example of how he's done the same to the US though thanks to their lax media laws he's taken them further and faster.
When the history books are written 'The Fall of Western Civilisation' Murdoch will be top of the list. Villain in chief. Way above Trump. The baddest of the bad
The NV Rep lead overnight has gone from 24k to 16k as follows:
24k
19k (D gain 5k in Clark)
21k (R gain 2k in Lyon)
16k (D gain 5k in Washoe)
Still to count per 5.55am post above:
Almost 100k in Clark, 20k Washoe, nearly 60k in smaller districts
Now it looks like we've probably had most of the Washoe - so can Dem gain 16k more in Clark than Rep gains in rural Counties?
She needs the remaining votes to be 55/45 in her favour, the votes from Clark so far are only 51/46. Laxalt is definitely the value.
Someone on another forum, described the crypto industry as speed-running through the last 150 years of financial regulation, having learned none of the lessons the rest of us did.
For me personally, it became obvious to avoid when everyone trying to sell crypto had been selling timeshares in Majorca previously.
However, if Clark is 67:33 then it's more like a 28k net effect and the Dems get it.
My hunch is that Cortez Masto wins by about 8,000 but certainly not worth backing at 1.08
As somebody who works in financial services multi-jurisdictional law and regulatory affairs, if you wanted to design the perfect ponzi scheme-cum-money laundering scam it would look a lot like crypto.
It's nearly as scandalous as Football Index.
[Donald Trump] was said to be “livid” with advisers after candidates he had endorsed struggled to win. He is understood to be incensed by the choice of the celebrity TV doctor Mehmet Oz as the candidate in Pennsylvania’s Senate race, where the Republicans were defending the seat. Oz lost to the Democrat John Fetterman. Trump is said to have blamed several close associates, including his wife, Melania, for the endorsement. The New York Times reported that a “furious” Trump described his wife’s backing of Oz as “not her best decision”.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/us-midterms-2022-trump-biden-republicans-democrats-latest-news-7thn56qxb
And a month or so later, Johnson reappointed him to cabinet.
Football Index was hillarious, as was MoviePass.
The market is so thin you can only get 3.0ish on Laxalt. No thanks.
I think it took 18k Clark votes counted for Cortez to gain 5k. 100k more from Clark gets her maybe 5-10k ahead. Then I think she loses a bit across the rest of the state.
I think she edges it but no value odds anywhere on either side.
There was one chap who invested his entire life savings and pension into it, poor chap is now 70 and will have to work until he dies.
Hopefully they are not too exposed.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/walvanlierop/2022/11/08/net-zero-needs-fusion-what-should-investors-be-asking-the-frontrunners/
Good questions, but maybe "0. Does the plasma physics work?" Given some companies are working on ideas for which there is actively theoretical disproof, seems important
https://mobile.twitter.com/FLF_Nick/status/1590593796906962944
But while it’s all going up, no one will listen.
Fingers crossed I’m wrong, and it was a simple case of the enemy being starved out by cutting the supply lines over the Deniper bridges.
See alcohol also - even in relatively blue Colorado, a measure allowing supermarkets to sell wine has failed. imagine the outcry here if Tesco had to stop selling cheap Merlot and Pinot Grigio.
So many people think that 20% interest rates for savings are great, when the bank pays 0.2%, without realising that your money is always safe and available if it’s in the bank.
https://mobile.twitter.com/COUPSURE/status/1590405107169914881
I think this thread will surprise you...
Russia is digging new trenches in... Northern Crimea!
Magnificent as in “Wow, they’ll see the explosion on the moon”.
* Edited to add that final "not", the lack of which changed the meaning somewhat.
The UK should be providing sufficient funding to prevent their decamping to the US. Which is the only place they will be able to raise sufficient funds privately to build actual power plants.
The money involved is not huge, but the potential payoff is. A worthwhile gamble, IMO.
I’m still betting on the Russians blowing the dam. It was what they tried in 1941. Didn’t help then, but just killed a lot of people. But the Russians seem to like stupid, so…
EDIT: I think the Russians have genuinely run out military capability. It’s more about what kind of trap, if any, they are trying to leave behind.
How the Republican Party views women.
https://mobile.twitter.com/cynicalzoomer/status/1590502986190839808
Jesse claims "Democrat policies are designed to keep women single."
"We need these ladies to get married. And it's time to fall in love and just settle down. Guys, go put a ring on it."
5-of-17 by over 60%
3 by over 50%
3 by over 40%
2 by over 30% ( this is a lie 1 of those was won by 29.47)
The key thing is how many votes are left in every place. If there are lots of rural votes left it is great for Laxalt - hew "won" yesterdays count in Nye 76/19 (Nye incidentally is the country that wanted to hand count every ballot because of election conpsiracies)
As ever, there are some real concepts hidden behind the scams.
Some concepts, though, might theoretically make as much power as goes in - but are clearly not going to reach break even in terms of generating actual surplus power
His Little Black Book must be a very dark thing indeed.
https://youtu.be/4m1EFMoRFvY
Or maybe it is just like the withdrawal from Kiev, they are exhausted and can’t get supplies, so have to move back.
One can see why the Ukranians are nervous though, to see such a strategic location given up with apparently little fuss.
But who would trust them given the bad faith with which they have approached negotiations previously.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/russia-open-to-negotiations-with-ukraine-factoring-in-new-realities/ar-AA13VRu4?ocid=entnewsntp&cvid=3b5b26698ae14b7f8cc796ecb0a879da
They fell for the hype.
BoZo was supposed to be the man who could get things done, and while the list of things he wanted to build with his name on them is long, the list of those he delivered is very, very short.
Gav is the same. His reputation for fearsome shenanigans wildly exceeds his reported ability.
And here we are...
That would be akin to one third of the total vote in the 2020 election in the non Clark and Washoe counties . Not sure where the 60,000 figure is coming from but it’s simply not happening.
If so, do other parts of that sequence include Ukraine giving up on any ambitions to return Crimea? Getting Russian troops back over to the left bank of the river is only a partial success if Russian artillery can still flatten the place. Putting the defences in on the Crimea side suggests maybe that is some agreed position for an armistice - on this front at least.
"When [the Protocol] was written I don't think the people behind writing it knew the ramifications it would have...when the rubber hit the road", he tells @SkyNews
https://twitter.com/tamcohen/status/1590603830118715392
Caveat: I haven't been there for 20 years now, so this might have changed, but I haven't heard of any change, and most aussies just accepted the status quo.
It helped retail depositors but not councils.
I doubt there is any such way to protect those in crypto.
Gavin's USP as a Nasty Piece of Work has been taken by Braverman. There's only room for one of those in Sunak's government. And even that role will be gone well before the election.
You still don't get it, do you? You never will. 🤦♂️
The Ukrainians didn't want to destroy Kherson, but take it, so they systematically reduced the supply capability to the Russian forces. What is happening now is the result of this.
I don't think there was any deal - just making it increasingly clear to the Russians that they couldn't hold the far bank.
https://twitter.com/DJBond6873/status/1590610461979860992
Rishi is either naive or maybe just inexperienced in high office to see the danger signs flashing with Williamson
There is no doubt he has a lot of state craft to learn, and quickly but as I have maintained from the beginning next spring will be critical for him especially if he has not reduced labour's lead
I am very impressed with this forums knowledge of US politics which I simply do not fully understand but it seems the good news is that Trump seems to have failed but the bad news is Biden saying he will run again in 2024.
Brexit is a total f*ck-up from start to finish. You still don't get it, do you? You never will.
Medical-qualitiy masks still very much a thing in Vienna - mandatory in public spaces and public transport (90% compliance), with 50-Euro fines if you don't. More like 10% in Switzerland. No access restrictions to either country, though.
Vienna is properly cosmopolitan now, almost like London with countless ethnic restaurants and varying languages all over the place - as one said, "the crossroads of Europe". Obviously masses of history, with lovingly-preserved buildings going back to Austro-Hungarian days. I went to The Merry Widow at the Volksoper, which is just as lavish as I remember it when I went there as a kid in the 50s. More politically, the extent and quality of social housing is astonishing to British eyes used to partially-privatised, partly run-down estates - a number of huge estates of rental flats, often with extensive artwork and luxurious common facilities, and proud signs advertising that the estate was founded by X and is maintained by the local authority.
The Alps around Sursee (near Lake Luzern) remain impossibly beuatiful - I'd post a couple of pics but not sure how to copy them. Anyway, much refreshed by the break, and celebrated my return by rushing out with some leaflets and promptly tripping over someone's doorstep - 2000 metres on snow, fine, but suburban Godalming is dangerous!