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Retaining Senate control would be a huge boost for Biden – politicalbetting.com
Retaining Senate control would be a huge boost for Biden – politicalbetting.com
We are just over a month away from the November 8th US mid-term elections when generally, as the table above indicates, the party of the incumbent president does not do well.
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Drake purported to be a member of Antifa, was a member of the org he threatened to bomb.
https://mobile.twitter.com/BradKutner/status/1578151792067563521
"THREAD: Today, a time for choosing arrived for America.
A truck bomb has been detonated on the bridge that connects Crimea to Russia.
We're running out of time to reconsider our support for Ukraine attempting to retake the peninsula by force."
https://twitter.com/ClintEhrlich/status/1578668487139987456?s=20&t=pOBRbRAnUgnS41hCKnjORQ
"This isn't a matter of providing "offramps" for Putin.
It's about whether we keep driving on the "onramp" that leads directly towards nuclear.
It's time to ease off the accelerator and pull over to the side of the road. Before we slam into a wall."
@ClintEhrlich
Many people are predicting that a Russian invasion of Ukraine will look like the failed Soviet invasion of Afghanistan.
They're wrong. The world will be shocked by the swiftness of Russian victory.
We're about to witness a Sputnik moment.
https://twitter.com/ClintEhrlich/status/1496669703246282755
Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha.
Of wait. You are serious?
Hahahahhahahhahhahhahahhahahaha.
Are either of the Indies who caucaus with them up this time?
Or there's a coup underway in Moscow:
https://twitter.com/AmRaadPSF/status/1578790566262935553
BUT HE IS RIGHT
See also:
ian bremmer
@ianbremmer
·
3h
nato should support ukraine to retake all of their occupied territory from feb 24 invasion.
crimea should be a matter for negotiation (as zelensky was willing to before the invasion), not military conflict.
https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/1578737859808227329?s=20
This is surely the case. By all means let Ukraine sweep the Russians out of the invaded zones - Donbass, Luhansk - if they can
But Crimea is very different, as Musk recognised, too
SNP 52
LD 33
Con 26
PC 5
Grn 1
NI 18
Speaker 1
One can but dream 😄
SNP His Majesty’s Official Opposition 🏴
But it is then a valid question: should we support them as whole heartedly as we supported them in resisting the initial invasion? Arm them with NATO weapons to take territory that, before the war, was de facto part of Russia?
I am not sure. Because that really does look quite nuclear war-ish
A bit like that phantom coup against Xi a couple of weeks ago.
The Musk proposal was utterly appalling by the way Leon. The idea of “neutrality” for Ukraine, when they’ve just been subjected to an invasion against all past treaties? No. “Fair” referendums on statehood when so many have been killed, fled or illegally moved into the area? Come off it. Trading away sovereign territory because a nuclear armed autocrat keeps smirking that he has “means at his disposal”? Absolutely 100% not or this will indeed be the most dangerous few decades for life on this planet in some millions of years.
Elon topped off his week by saying Taiwan should just become an “autonomous” region of China. Yuck.
What’s concerning is he likely didn’t come up with this stuff in a vacuum but because “realist” buddies of his in the US steered him that way. Ukraine are showing the way, hold firm and send the bully packing.
The House is going to be incredibly hard for them to keep . This would need the abortion issue to really help Dem turnout and even then that might not be enough .
For the good of US democracy Trumpism needs to be dealt a huge blow in November , those GOP candidates endorsed by him need to lose.
https://twitter.com/johndurant/status/1578609257934598144?s=20
NOT a truck bomb.
https://twitter.com/ChuckPfarrer/status/1578722913951580168
Tongue in cheek the above, but really what is it that you'd like?
If Putin gets nothing then they get nothing. The West's response is shattering their world view and tearing down their hero. They desperately need an off ramp and they think bed wetting about nuclear war is the way to do it.
Which is pretty much what life in a post apocalyptic fallout shelter would look like.
You for instance suggest retaking the Donbas should still be supported, but I tend to agree with the below position, that a lot of people will try to act like the war began this year, not 8 years ago - the world ignored it at the time, and plenty may well be happy to return to that position, and not back more.
I don't think people on here are prepared for the overwhelming pressure that is going to be put on Ukraine by powerful voices in the west to stop its offensives at the 24th February lines, the same voices that also said Ukraine would lose and that we should not be arming them.
https://twitter.com/OzKaterji/status/1578368451889942528?cxt=HHwWgMCqudLvvucrAAAA
The key, as ever, will be the americans - I think it is pretty clear Trump would reduce american support if he wins the next election, given what his son says.
Well done on the promotion, and I hope you'll forgive me.
Russia = 17,098,246 sq km
Crimea = 27,000 sq km
Do you think most Russians would demand nuclear war over Crimea?
Remember the bizarre propaganda about the protestors in Ukraine? When some of them were shot, it was all a provocation by NATO s****ite snipers. Apparently.
If the Woke Trans Gay NATO wins in Ukraine….
“And he was much too good a journalist to spoil his contrast by remarking that the half-dozen comparatively slender young men in blue pajamas who were standing about their victorious land ironclad, drinking coffee and eating biscuits, had also in their eyes and carriage something not altogether degraded below the level of a man.”
The Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and possibly even the Greens could do that in theory, as they stand a sufficient number of candidates to.
The SNP could not. It is actually mathematically impossible.
For them to form the opposition would be a disaster. It would upend the whole notion of it.
Even leaving aside their unpleasant aspects, which all parties have.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mfkiyoY8WRk
Plus the other reasons given for the invasion, such as Ukraine not being real country, and annexing those areas they control (partly), show it was never about Ukraine being neutral.
The demand for neutrality (I recall Kissinger stating it too - yes, he's still alive it turns out) is the apperance of reasonableness covering an acceptance of imperial dominion for some states. If that is to be argued it should be honestly, not as some pretence it is what the country involved wants.
"Kerch Bridge Missile Pictures:
All the evidence you need that the Kerch Bridge was hit by a missile and not a truck bomb as Russian media claims.
Pay attention to where you see the light from the explosion, it’s not coming from the truck.
First, .1 seconds before"
https://twitter.com/CasualArtyFan/status/1578739132838207488?s=20&t=LBmX9csAkFlUd-v3OuNv9g
An important question is: which is less embarrassing or menacing for Russia? what narrative do they want to be told?
If it was a clever SBS style waterborne attack that is highly impressive. And suggests that Ukraine might have been responsible the the Nordstream explosion. They certainly have the motivation
The sooner the better.
However, we are months away from them getting anywhere near marching on the peninsula. There’s a vast tract of land in the South and East to advance on and secure first.
I see the bridge bombing as a strike against Russias war logistics and Putin’s ego, not the starting pistol of an offensive on Crimea
That guy?
Has anyone done analysis of where Trump stands on Ukraine in particular and Taiwan in general, on the basis of what he has said and done?
@JPN_PMO - Japan government organization
[Emergency alert]
North Korea has launched a suspected ballistic missile. More updates to follow.
https://twitter.com/JPN_PMO/status/1578792196756893696
https://www.ft.com/content/5ef14997-982e-4f03-8548-b5d67202623a
Tho in fact they have dinner, at his favourite Tex Mex joint. I want to go. It sounds amazing
I am in favour of the fact Musk drinks margaritas. He is amusing
They can keep it, they can demonstrate their credentials by allowing a referendum of the population and show they really are the good guys or they can make terms with Russia where (Elon will love this) they hand it to Russia in return for huge reparations and a guarantee that Crimea remains neutral/demilitarised.
https://twitter.com/markurban01/status/1578796297859268608?s=21&t=G9-B8gIgyPaz1q4-hjyMmQ
Could the Soviets Cut Off Crimea? - WW2 - October 8, 1943
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=et3FWnoLIy0
Or just chickens coming home to roost?
I guess though you'll forgive us if we style you CHB.
Then Crimea hangs, exposed, like a ripe mango. Pluck it
Trump in 2018 and Obama in 2010 in his first midterm saw their party lose the House but hold the Senate. Reagan in 1982 also saw the GOP hold the Senate but fail to win the House.
Indeed Bill Clinton is the only US President in the last 50 years to have had such a disastrous first midterms that his party lost control of both the House and Senate (Bush 41 and Ford's parties controlled neither chamber when they came to office anyway). Ironically though Clinton was re elected in 1996
Fixed that for you. No charge.
As mentioned earlier less than 38% of SLab voters now back independence given the SCon movement to SLab and some SNP voters are still Unionists too
It would also be an enormous psychological blow against Putin: losing Crimea. And the Ukes want to hurt Putin
Chope, Swayne…