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The Truss view of “British Workers” could be an electoral liability – politicalbetting.com

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  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881

    Lol. "Oh he was never dismissed as a loon in the UFO community" I bet he wasn't. I am sure David Icke is not dismissed as a loon in the "people who believe in lizard people" community either.
    Clearly you're a convinced skeptic

    So what do you think is in the Calvine photo?
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,204
    LuckyGuy said: "It's not much of an incentive for having 10. ."
    Agreed, though the mothers do get a medal.

    Orban's effort seems more likely to succeed, but I think the odds are still against it having a large effect.
    https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/hungary-axes-income-tax-women-4-or-more-kids-n969936
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,644
    Leon said:

    Monsoonal, here
    Isn't it monsooneroonial?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,430

    LuckyGuy said: "It's not much of an incentive for having 10. ."
    Agreed, though the mothers do get a medal.

    Orban's effort seems more likely to succeed, but I think the odds are still against it having a large effect.
    https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/hungary-axes-income-tax-women-4-or-more-kids-n969936

    The French have had income tax relief on having lots of children for a while. Has it noticeably altered things?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021

    Tbf to @Luckyguy1983 (and I hardly agree with him on anything) his last line does not state how the 'speedy exit to the Ukraine conflict' is to be obtained. Your route is the only way.
    Sadly he has a long history of being in favour of the Scholz (and Corbyn) position, of Ukraine sueing for peace on current boundaries - which the Ukranians understandably find to be totally unacceptable.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021

    Julian Carey St?
    On Hampstead Heath, with Norman Lamont and his red box?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881

    Look at the difference between Pope in 'retirement' and the likes of Lord Peter Hill-Norton, former chief of defence staff and what he said about the Rendlesham incident
    It is very noticeable how many of the main voices in this contemporary UFO flap are military/politicians in some kind of retirement

    This could be because once they retire in old age they all go ga-ga, or because when retired they feel liberated to speak the truth as they see it

    Even the guy who produced the Calvine photo: a retired RAF press officer
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,862
    A little anecdote:

    This afternoon we went swimming in the sea in Bournemouth, near the pier. As I was wading around in the surf, I discovered a plastic bag containing a nappy.

    Yuck.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,118
    Toms said:

    As we have shown repeatedly that H Sap is incapable of living in harmony with itself and with Nature, we seek a deus ex machina for salvation.

    But I am sure that there have been/are/will be other sentient creatures out there.

    Why are you sure?

    If there were only ever one sentient creature then it would surely look out at the stars and think how improbable it would be that it was the only sentient creature.

    Even if the universe was teeming with intelligent life, it is so vast in time and space that the chances of encountering any evidence for the existence of such life are pretty small.

    I'd like us to have put more effort into exploring Mars, because that's our best bet of narrowing down the range for a couple of terms in the Drake equation in my lifetime, but aliens seem to occupy the same sort of faith position in some people's minds that religious faith used to.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,644

    LuckyGuy said: "It's not much of an incentive for having 10. ."
    Agreed, though the mothers do get a medal.

    Orban's effort seems more likely to succeed, but I think the odds are still against it having a large effect.
    https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/hungary-axes-income-tax-women-4-or-more-kids-n969936

    Here's an idea for Truss, oven ready and already half done: If you have 10 children you get a medal and have your child benefit abolished.

  • ALASKA US HOUSE VERY SPECIAL ELECTION August 2022

    As per NYT - Updated 6:01 AM ET 69% REPORTED

    Mary Peltola (D) 56,892 37.8%
    Sarah Palin (R) 48,304 32.1%
    Nick Begich (R) 43,038 28.6%
    Write-ins 2,150 1.4%
    Total reported 150,384

    SSI - Just heard privately, from reputable source, that campaign consultants for BOTH Peltola and Begich are saying that, based on their own separate campaign polls, IF Begich ends up in 3rd place and thus eliminated from final, decisive count of 2nd preferences, in that case his transfers will keep Peltola ahead of Palin and thus elect the Democrat to Congress from Alaska.

    Note that his outcome was likewise forecast by publicly-published polling, by Alaska Survey Research in late July.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881
    algarkirk said:

    Isn't it monsooneroonial?
    Damn, I missed one!

    I am a hoonerooni and a loonerooni and I will smite my manhood with a frozen spoonerooni
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,683
    Leon said:

    Clearly you're a convinced skeptic

    So what do you think is in the Calvine photo?
    Well I am not an aeronautical engineer, but my first observation is that even if it is what you want to believe it is, it would have to have a way of defying the laws of physics, but I guess the answer of the gullible, sorry, believer, is that those cunning aliens will have technology that can do that. I suspect it is a very convenient shaped imperfection on the lens or maybe a scuff on the photo or a hoax. I think the chance of it being aliens (who if they do exist, clearly do not want to be seen and why of why would they want to be seen in Scotland of all places) is infinitesimally small.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    I hadn't realised James Forsyth was at school with Rishi Sunak.
  • TomsToms Posts: 2,478
    edited August 2022

    Why are you sure?

    If there were only ever one sentient creature then it would surely look out at the stars and think how improbable it would be that it was the only sentient creature.

    Even if the universe was teeming with intelligent life, it is so vast in time and space that the chances of encountering any evidence for the existence of such life are pretty small.

    I'd like us to have put more effort into exploring Mars, because that's our best bet of narrowing down the range for a couple of terms in the Drake equation in my lifetime, but aliens seem to occupy the same sort of faith position in some people's minds that religious faith used to.
    I didn't say we'd encounter sentient creatures. In fact I'd put a low probability on that.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,646

    I hadn't realised James Forsyth was at school with Rishi Sunak.

    Best man at the wedding.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021

    Apparently there was going to be an amazing twist with the lottery trick, but they had to leave it out at the last minute because Camelot believed it would convince everyone that the lottery was a fix.
    Ooh, not heard that one before. But yes, it was a silly thing to try and do, because everyone watched the show (and the tape of the show, in slow motion) completely focussed on how he got the numbers on stage between the draw and the reveal.

    He’d already given away half his method by that point, the alternative being that there was a time delay on the actual lottery programme, or that somehow the lottery operator was in on the trick - which would have called into effect the integrity of the game.

    As an aside, I like watching the Penn & Teller show “Fool Us”, where the magicians try and work out the trick of other magicians. I saw P&T live show in Vegas, which was totally bonkers and finished with them catching bullets in their teeth!
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881

    Well I am not an aeronautical engineer, but my first observation is that even if it is what you want to believe it is, it would have to have a way of defying the laws of physics, but I guess the answer of the gullible, sorry, believer, is that those cunning aliens will have technology that can do that. I suspect it is a very convenient shaped imperfection on the lens or maybe a scuff on the photo or a hoax. I think the chance of it being aliens (who if they do exist, clearly do not want to be seen and why of why would they want to be seen in Scotland of all places) is infinitesimally small.
    But we know that the best eyes in the MoD examined all six of these images, and decided there WAS a large unidentified flying object in them (being buzzed by two Harriers)

    Did the MoD really get fooled by a dodgy lens or a scuff on a photo? All six of the photos?

    Likewise, the photo prof at Sheffield Hallam Uni says he thinks the photo is legitimate, and not a glitch or a flaw

    Hmm
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 33,890

    Unfortunately its not actually that ironic, it can actually be causative. Countries and regions afflicted by drought can be simultaneously afflicted by flooding too. You see that a lot in the tropics with droughted land and intermittent thunderstorms.

    The ground in drought conditions doesn't absorb heavy rain as well as wet ground normally does, so the water bounces off the ground and settles on the surface causing flash floods and runs off away into rivers etc rather than being absorbed where its needed.

    Sustained, light, drizzly rain is far better than intermittent, rare, heavy and thundery downpours, for ending a drought. It allows the land to become less hard and resistant to the rain and more accepting of it.
    The rain seems pretty persistent in London this afternoon.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,837

    Well I am not an aeronautical engineer, but my first observation is that even if it is what you want to believe it is, it would have to have a way of defying the laws of physics, but I guess the answer of the gullible, sorry, believer, is that those cunning aliens will have technology that can do that. I suspect it is a very convenient shaped imperfection on the lens or maybe a scuff on the photo or a hoax. I think the chance of it being aliens (who if they do exist, clearly do not want to be seen and why of why would they want to be seen in Scotland of all places) is infinitesimally small.
    It's funny how often people say things like - to paraphrase only slightly - "I don't know what the laws of physics are, but I'm sure this defies them."
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    Leon said:

    It is very noticeable how many of the main voices in this contemporary UFO flap are military/politicians in some kind of retirement

    This could be because once they retire in old age they all go ga-ga, or because when retired they feel liberated to speak the truth as they see it

    Even the guy who produced the Calvine photo: a retired RAF press officer
    Or they are still on the payroll to some degree and the method by which what is to be allowed out is released/revealed.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881
    Chris said:

    It's funny how often people say things like - to paraphrase only slightly - "I don't know what the laws of physics are, but I'm sure this defies them."
    I'm not sure anyone is saying the alleged aircraft in the Calvine photo "defied the laws of physics"

    The statement from the eye witness is quite clear:

    "A large diamond shaped UFO hovered for about ten minutes, before ascending vertically upwards at high speed"

    That shows unusual aeronautical abilities, especially for 1990, but nothing physics-defying
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,667
    Andy_JS said:

    The rain seems pretty persistent in London this afternoon.
    And it's absolutely lovely. So refreshing after all that heat.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,586
    Leon said:

    But we know that the best eyes in the MoD examined all six of these images, and decided there WAS a large unidentified flying object in them (being buzzed by two Harriers)

    Did the MoD really get fooled by a dodgy lens or a scuff on a photo? All six of the photos?

    Likewise, the photo prof at Sheffield Hallam Uni says he thinks the photo is legitimate, and not a glitch or a flaw

    Hmm
    Mphm. The best eyes of the RAF would surely be trained for examining their own reconnaissance images - which are not designed to defraud (though the enemy camouflage is, of course). It's a bit like expecting a cook to diagnose the problem of someone with the squits, or a calligrapher to spot a forged document, when you'd need a forensic document examiner.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,683
    Sandpit said:

    On Hampstead Heath, with Norman Lamont and his red box?
    In one of my favourite ski resorts, Tignes, they renamed the black run that used to be known as Troll after French downhiller Johan Clary, so the run is sometimes known by Brits as Julian Clary. One Brit was heard to say that when it was icy, he would rather be fisted than go down on Julian Clary!
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021
    Leon said:

    But we know that the best eyes in the MoD examined all six of these images, and decided there WAS a large unidentified flying object in them (being buzzed by two Harriers)

    Did the MoD really get fooled by a dodgy lens or a scuff on a photo? All six of the photos?

    Likewise, the photo prof at Sheffield Hallam Uni says he thinks the photo is legitimate, and not a glitch or a flaw

    Hmm
    The alternative, was that the USAF became aware of the MoD having received a number of photographs of their experimental aircraft, and applied significant diplomatic pressure to the MoD to classify the images before the Soviets found them.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,586
    edited August 2022
    Leon said:

    I'm not sure anyone is saying the alleged aircraft in the Calvine photo "defied the laws of physics"

    The statement from the eye witness is quite clear:

    "A large diamond shaped UFO hovered for about ten minutes, before ascending vertically upwards at high speed"

    That shows unusual aeronautical abilities, especially for 1990, but nothing physics-defying
    Already extant in the 1960s, in reality or in credible design: Harrier, and [edit] for instance the HS141.
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    Driver said:

    Indeed. I don't think Putin is going to quit any time soon either - although he really should.
    Essentially it comes down to whether young Russians or young Ukrainians continue to be willing to die in the Donbas & Southern Ukraine.

    As soon as one or (more likely) both groups decide no, then we will have a negotiated peace. We are a long way from that, and I expect this war will drag on for some years now.

    As for the Tories (& other Western Governments), they have brought down catastrophe on themselves. The fuckwits thought that Europe could weaponise Russian gas supplies without shooting itself in both feet.

    This is going to be a seriously grim winter in many parts of Europe.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,837
    Leon said:

    I'm not sure anyone is saying the alleged aircraft in the Calvine photo "defied the laws of physics"
    Read the comment I was replying to. It said: "even if it is what you want to believe it is, it would have to have a way of defying the laws of physics"!
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,683
    Chris said:

    It's funny how often people say things like - to paraphrase only slightly - "I don't know what the laws of physics are, but I'm sure this defies them."
    I didn't say I didn't dingbat, I said I wasn't an aeronautical engineer, in the same way as you are clearly not called Sherlock.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    Leon said:

    I'm not sure anyone is saying the alleged aircraft in the Calvine photo "defied the laws of physics"

    The statement from the eye witness is quite clear:

    "A large diamond shaped UFO hovered for about ten minutes, before ascending vertically upwards at high speed"

    That shows unusual aeronautical abilities, especially for 1990, but nothing physics-defying
    'Physics defying' is usually actually 'beyond our known capabilities'
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,683
    Leon said:

    I'm not sure anyone is saying the alleged aircraft in the Calvine photo "defied the laws of physics"

    The statement from the eye witness is quite clear:

    "A large diamond shaped UFO hovered for about ten minutes, before ascending vertically upwards at high speed"

    That shows unusual aeronautical abilities, especially for 1990, but nothing physics-defying
    Is that eye witness in the singular?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881
    Carnyx said:

    Mphm. The best eyes of the RAF would surely be trained for examining their own reconnaissance images - which are not designed to defraud (though the enemy camouflage is, of course). It's a bit like expecting a cook to diagnose the problem of someone with the squits, or a calligrapher to spot a forged document, when you'd need a forensic document examiner.
    I get your point, but a doctor is going to know the difference between a serious wound and someone painted with red ink, even though he has never been trained to see ink stains

    These are the RAF's image/intel experts, taught to look out for anomalies, interesting things, new foreign aircraft, in the sky. They would not be this pathetically easy to fool
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881

    Is that eye witness in the singular?
    Two young chefs, both unidentified. One made the statement the other confirmed
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021

    Essentially it comes down to whether young Russians or young Ukrainians continue to be willing to die in the Donbas & Southern Ukraine.

    As soon as one or (more likely) both groups decide no, then we will have a negotiated peace. We are a long way from that, and I expect this war will drag on for some years now.

    As for the Tories (& other Western Governments), they have brought down catastrophe on themselves. The fuckwits thought that Europe could weaponise Russian gas supplies without shooting itself in both feet.

    This is going to be a seriously grim winter in many parts of Europe.
    There’s 15 million Ukrainian men of fighting age, each of whom see an existential threat to their country and identity.
    They’ll keep fighting so long as they have weapons of war, which appear to be in close to unlimited supply right now.

    How many men can Russia muster? They have a standing army of 900k, plus reserves and conscripts, but have already lost 40,000 men and seen 100,000 more injured. Oh, and they’ve lost half their tanks in less than six months, mostly destroyed by cheap handheld weapons, and have almost no way of manufacturing more tanks at speed.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881
    Chris said:

    Read the comment I was replying to. It said: "even if it is what you want to believe it is, it would have to have a way of defying the laws of physics"!
    Ah. Missed that. Yes, a silly thing to say from @Nigel_Foremainarooni
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 37,074
    Bold move at the best of times to imply voters are lazy but when your Prime Minister is on his second holiday of the month it seems particularly unwise. https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1559939483692302336
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,837

    I didn't say I didn't dingbat, I said I wasn't an aeronautical engineer, in the same way as you are clearly not called Sherlock.
    Yes, to be fair, you said you didn't even understand the laws of aeronautics, and then pontificated on the laws of physics. Do you really not have any inkling of how nonsensical that is?

    Maybe you think physics is simpler than aeronautics? Maybe you just don't know the meaning of any of the words you're using, and just say "dingbat!" when it becomes apparent ...
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881
    Carnyx said:

    Already extant in the 1960s, in reality or in credible design: Harrier, and [edit] for instance the HS141.
    Which does suggest this is US secret tech, and that fits with all the later secrecy, maybe? But again why the F fly it in broad daylight over Scotland? And why was it carefully buzzed by two "Harriers"?


    Another look at the slightly enhanced photo

    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1FCOQiQKciRJsZ4pm26hdrFuVv1uzMk-k/view

    The plane exactly fits the eye witness description: a Harrier showed up and made several low level passes for 5-6 minutes (presumably examining the UFO). The plane in the photo really does look like a Harrier doing exactly that, swinging by a large UFO for a peek
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021
    @Leon, get a US VPN and watch Jeremy Corbell’s new movie about Bob Lazar and the alien spacecraft.
    https://tubitv.com/movies/610453/bob-lazar-area-51-flying-saucers

    Corbell was on Rogan last week, Lazar a couple of years ago.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,683
    Leon said:

    Ah. Missed that. Yes, a silly thing to say from @Nigel_Foremainarooni
    An object that was that shape is unlikely to be able to maintain a hovering position even with immensely powerful downward facing jets (similar to the old "flying bedstead") and these are clearly not viable on this fake, sorry picture. So the object would therefore be gravity defying without also showing the propulsion. Therefore not silly. I can do silly, if you prefer. Please see my post about Julian Clary.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    edited August 2022
    Leon said:

    Which does suggest this is US secret tech, and that fits with all the later secrecy, maybe? But again why the F fly it in broad daylight over Scotland? And why was it carefully buzzed by two "Harriers"?


    Another look at the slightly enhanced photo

    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1FCOQiQKciRJsZ4pm26hdrFuVv1uzMk-k/view

    The plane exactly fits the eye witness description: a Harrier showed up and made several low level passes for 5-6 minutes (presumably examining the UFO). The plane in the photo really does look like a Harrier doing exactly that, swinging by a large UFO for a peek
    Another 'secret tech' supporting bit of evidence is that Pope has always said he had the blown up picture in the wall in his office and it was 'removed' whilst he was out on orders of top brass. Suggests to me someone 'in the know' rang Pope's boss and demanded to know why he had a picture of the 'super diamond mega dude craft' (tm) on his wall
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,683
    Leon said:

    Two young chefs, both unidentified. One made the statement the other confirmed
    And no-one has been able to track down these purveyors of delicious tit bits of nonsense? They have vanished like soufflé in the presence of Mr Creosote ? How very convenient do you not think?
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,852
    edited August 2022

    An object that was that shape is unlikely to be able to maintain a hovering position even with immensely powerful downward facing jets (similar to the old "flying bedstead") and these are clearly not viable on this fake, sorry picture. So the object would therefore be gravity defying without also showing the propulsion. Therefore not silly. I can do silly, if you prefer. Please see my post about Julian Clary.
    I remember a large, solid grey cylinder hanging in the sky with the words 'Good Year' on the side. I'm quite sure that wasn't defying the laws of physics.

    There's definitely something iffy about this photograph though.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,837

    An object that was that shape is unlikely to be able to maintain a hovering position even with immensely powerful downward facing jets (similar to the old "flying bedstead") and these are clearly not viable on this fake, sorry picture. So the object would therefore be gravity defying without also showing the propulsion. Therefore not silly. I can do silly, if you prefer. Please see my post about Julian Clary.
    Gosh, here's a poser for you:
    image
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061

    And no-one has been able to track down these purveyors of delicious tit bits of nonsense? They have vanished like soufflé in the presence of Mr Creosote ? How very convenient do you not think?
    I assume the MoD didnt interview cats
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881
    edited August 2022
    Somewhere out there is an ageing RAF airman who has STARED INTO THE COLD, DEAD, SULLEN, PLANET-KILLING YELLOW EYES OF A MIRTHLESSLY LAUGHING ALIEN PILOT

    omg IMAGINE-O-ROONI

  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,586
    edited August 2022

    And no-one has been able to track down these purveyors of delicious tit bits of nonsense? They have vanished like soufflé in the presence of Mr Creosote ? How very convenient do you not think?
    Would anyone want to, who was publishing the photo in any form? It would be very expensive in copyright fees once Mr X back home in Sorrento or Scunthorpe or wherever realised what was happening.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881

    And no-one has been able to track down these purveyors of delicious tit bits of nonsense? They have vanished like soufflé in the presence of Mr Creosote ? How very convenient do you not think?
    It is odd. I don't see any easy explanation that covers all the bases
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    Sandpit said:

    There’s 15 million Ukrainian men of fighting age, each of whom see an existential threat to their country and identity.
    They’ll keep fighting so long as they have weapons of war, which appear to be in close to unlimited supply right now.

    How many men can Russia muster? They have a standing army of 900k, plus reserves and conscripts, but have already lost 40,000 men and seen 100,000 more injured. Oh, and they’ve lost half their tanks in less than six months, mostly destroyed by cheap handheld weapons, and have almost no way of manufacturing more tanks at speed.
    I am more interested in the effect of all this on the Western governments, as the social and economic costs of the war continue to mount.

    Several European countries need to prepare for blackouts and energy rationing this winter. If the winter is very cold in Central/Eastern Europe, this will be very grim.

    Who is going to get the blame for this?

    I seriously doubt it will be Putin, it will be the Governments in power.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,862
    Leon said:

    Somewhere out there is an ageing RAF airman who has STARED INTO THE COLD, DEAD, SULLEN, PLANET-KILLING YELLOW EYES OF A MIRTHLESSLY LAUGHING ALIEN PILOT

    omg IMAGINE-O-ROONI

    I've just found a clip of you, Leon:

    https://giphy.com/gifs/giffffr-tyttpHduQdg3d6O8jAs
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,683

    I remember a large, solid grey cylinder hanging in the sky with the words 'Good Year' on the side. I'm quite sure that wasn't defying the laws of physics.

    There's definitely something iffy about this photograph though.
    I think if aliens can fly through space in helium balloons, maybe they they can breath in the gas, or maybe they are lighter than air. If you want to believe in absolutely anything, then you could believe that is a possibility. Personally I think it unlikely lol.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,683
    Chris said:

    Yes, to be fair, you said you didn't even understand the laws of aeronautics, and then pontificated on the laws of physics. Do you really not have any inkling of how nonsensical that is?

    Maybe you think physics is simpler than aeronautics? Maybe you just don't know the meaning of any of the words you're using, and just say "dingbat!" when it becomes apparent ...
    You are right on one thing. I should not have said dingbat it was far too polite. I should have said twat instead , because I think that is how most on here view you. If there are such things as aliens I am sure they would share this analysis. I believe the word twat has universal appeal when it comes to describing the poster also known as Chris.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,644

    Why are you sure?

    If there were only ever one sentient creature then it would surely look out at the stars and think how improbable it would be that it was the only sentient creature.

    Even if the universe was teeming with intelligent life, it is so vast in time and space that the chances of encountering any evidence for the existence of such life are pretty small.

    I'd like us to have put more effort into exploring Mars, because that's our best bet of narrowing down the range for a couple of terms in the Drake equation in my lifetime, but aliens seem to occupy the same sort of faith position in some people's minds that religious faith used to.
    Perhaps the best place to look is earth, to look for evidence that life has emerged more than once.

    We have reason to think earth is a fertile ground for life starts. If it has only happened once, that's interesting; if it has occurred multiple times that is confirmatory of the possibility that life is common.

  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    The identity of the photographer is recorded in the MoD details/report on Calvine but is redacted and will remain so until 2072.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,244
    Goodbye folks, see you tomorrow! Have fun.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881
    edited August 2022
    1/2 Simple analysis of the new high-res Calvine photo. Looks like it's at a small angle of attack if flying from right to left. Assuming the right is the tail end, there is a bulbous shape that could be surfaces/fins, perhaps even around a nacelle.

    2/2 This does not necessarily imply it's a man-made craft. But simply that it's a nuts and bolts craft. Tic Tacs had protruding tubes and center line creases. Gimbal rotates into the direction of flight. Spheres have cubes, etc.

    https://twitter.com/Condorman6/status/1559939913696567296?s=20&t=fRt-ZOYs7i84kZWmbit29w
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,999
    Scott_xP said:

    Bold move at the best of times to imply voters are lazy but when your Prime Minister is on his second holiday of the month it seems particularly unwise. https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1559939483692302336

    Hmm, would elderly well off people, the most likely to be Tory Members, react negatively to the view that gosh darn it people are lazy now, not like when they themselves were young and virile and knew the value of hard work?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    algarkirk said:

    Perhaps the best place to look is earth, to look for evidence that life has emerged more than once.

    We have reason to think earth is a fertile ground for life starts. If it has only happened once, that's interesting; if it has occurred multiple times that is confirmatory of the possibility that life is common.

    Usual counter to that is, dna life is so ubiquitous it crowds out any other starts. It's disappointing, or interesting, that even the most extreme extremophils are dna.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,118
    Sandpit said:

    There’s 15 million Ukrainian men of fighting age, each of whom see an existential threat to their country and identity.
    They’ll keep fighting so long as they have weapons of war, which appear to be in close to unlimited supply right now.

    How many men can Russia muster? They have a standing army of 900k, plus reserves and conscripts, but have already lost 40,000 men and seen 100,000 more injured. Oh, and they’ve lost half their tanks in less than six months, mostly destroyed by cheap handheld weapons, and have almost no way of manufacturing more tanks at speed.
    Satellite pictures today suggesting further T-62s being pulled out of storage. A terrifying escalation if true.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,157
    edited August 2022
    Andy_JS said:

    The rain seems pretty persistent in London this afternoon.
    Got back from a trip to London's South Bank with my Mum - we had to shelter under Waterloo Bridge for several minutes around 2pm, and then around 4pm when we got back home in Ilford North, had to wade ankle-deep across our road to get to the front door. Luckily the door step was still above water. All receded now, reasonably quickly.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,999

    I am more interested in the effect of all this on the Western governments, as the social and economic costs of the war continue to mount.

    Several European countries need to prepare for blackouts and energy rationing this winter. If the winter is very cold in Central/Eastern Europe, this will be very grim.

    Who is going to get the blame for this?

    I seriously doubt it will be Putin, it will be the Governments in power.
    I'm sure Putin will get plenty of the blame, but our voters cannot punish him and also will think their governments should have done something, anything, to ameliorate the situation, so will definitely get punished.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    algarkirk said:

    Perhaps the best place to look is earth, to look for evidence that life has emerged more than once.

    We have reason to think earth is a fertile ground for life starts. If it has only happened once, that's interesting; if it has occurred multiple times that is confirmatory of the possibility that life is common.

    Looking at near earth objects in relation to panspermia theories might also be fruitful
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021
    edited August 2022

    Satellite pictures today suggesting further T-62s being pulled out of storage. A terrifying escalation if true.
    Oh no, not T-62s. They are a total waste of the valuable NLAWs and Javelins.

    They’re got about 1,000 of these 1960s relics, and that’s it. They’re likely frantically trying to rebuild what was mothballed half a century ago, but Russia is genuinely about to run out of tanks.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,118

    Satellite pictures today suggesting further T-62s being pulled out of storage. A terrifying escalation if true.
    Oliver Alexander
    @OAlexanderDK
    State of the art T-62M's heading towards Ukraine.

    Must be good for Russian morale to look at all the shiny new toys being presented at ARMY-2022, while the Kremlin sends them tanks built in the early 1960's and "modernized" in 1983.


    https://mobile.twitter.com/OAlexanderDK/status/1559945894266605571
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,999
    Sandpit said:

    There’s 15 million Ukrainian men of fighting age, each of whom see an existential threat to their country and identity.
    They’ll keep fighting so long as they have weapons of war, which appear to be in close to unlimited supply right now.

    How many men can Russia muster? They have a standing army of 900k, plus reserves and conscripts, but have already lost 40,000 men and seen 100,000 more injured. Oh, and they’ve lost half their tanks in less than six months, mostly destroyed by cheap handheld weapons, and have almost no way of manufacturing more tanks at speed.
    There was talk a month or so ago of at least some desertions from the Ukrainian side, war is hell after all, but if we (and really the americans) can keep guns, ammo and cash flowing, they surely will find it easier to get men to the front than the Russians will.
  • Wiki article on Alaska 2022 Very Special Election for US House, including map of votes counted so far by state house district:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Alaska's_at-large_congressional_district_special_election

    So far, Democrat Mary Peltola is leading in 24 of 40 districts, including in Anchorage, in Juneau & southeast Alaska panhandle, and in predominately native communities in western & northern Alaska aka The Bush.

    Palin leads 12 of 40, including all of Matanuska Valley of central Alaska (also her hometown Wasilla) and plus most of the rest of northern Alaska interior, though she splits Fairbanks with Peltola.

    Begich is ahead in just 3 districts, two in suburban Anchorage and one in far southeast Alaska.

    Caveat - above analysis is based on just over 2/3 of estimated final vote, which is what's currently being reported by Alaska Division of Elections. So these numbers are subject to change, which MAY include skew toward Republicans in the latter vote counts. Note that final result for special election is scheduled for August 31.

  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,118
    Sandpit said:

    Oh no, not T-62s. They are a total waste of the valuable NLAWs and Javelins.
    The Ukrainians will use Stugna-p missiles on cargo trucks, so I don't think they're going to be shy about using NLAWs on T-62s - but will Oryx be able to identify the tank afterwards?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,999

    Wiki article on Alaska 2022 Very Special Election for US House, including map of votes counted so far by state house district:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Alaska's_at-large_congressional_district_special_election

    So far, Democrat Mary Peltola is leading in 24 of 40 districts, including in Anchorage, in Juneau & southeast Alaska panhandle, and in predominately native communities in western & northern Alaska aka The Bush.

    Palin leads 12 of 40, including all of Matanuska Valley of central Alaska (also her hometown Wasilla) and plus most of the rest of northern Alaska interior, though she splits Fairbanks with Peltola.

    Begich is ahead in just 3 districts, two in suburban Anchorage and one in far southeast Alaska.

    Caveat - above analysis is based on just over 2/3 of estimated final vote, which is what's currently being reported by Alaska Division of Elections. So these numbers are subject to change, which MAY include skew toward Republicans in the latter vote counts. Note that final result for special election is scheduled for August 31.

    Why's Palin trying to get back in the game anyway? She didn't even complete her term as Governor did she?
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,683
    Aliens have abducted this thread. It is no more. It has gone out to seek new worlds. To boldly go where no split infinitive has gone before.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    new thread

  • WAPO (via Seattle Times $) - Trump is rushing to hire seasoned lawyers. But he keeps hearing ‘No’

    Former President Donald Trump and close aides have spent the days since the FBI searched his Florida home rushing to assemble a team of respected defense lawyers. But the answer they keep hearing is “No.”

    The struggle to find expert legal advice puts Trump in a bind as he faces potential criminal exposure from a records dispute with the National Archives that escalated into a federal investigation of possible violations of the Espionage Act and other statutes.

    “Everyone is saying no,” said a prominent Republican lawyer who like some others spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss confidential conversations. . . .

    Longtime confidants and advisers of Trump have grown worried about Trump’s current stable of lawyers, noting that most of them have little to no experience in cases of this type, according to two people familiar with the internal discussions.

    A Trump spokesman did not respond to requests for comment. . . .

    “The Trump team needs a first-rate, highly experienced federal criminal practitioner,” said Jon Sale, a Florida defense attorney who worked on the Watergate prosecution team and said he turned down representing Trump last week because he did not have enough time to devote to the case. “You have to evaluate whether you want to take it. It’s not like a DUI. It’s representing the former president of the United States — and maybe the next one — in what’s one of the highest-visibility cases ever.”

    “In olden days, he would tell firms representing him was a benefit because they could advertise off it. Today it’s not the same,” said Michael Cohen, a former lawyer for Trump who was convicted of tax evasion, making false statements, campaign finance violations and lying to Congress in 2018. “He’s also a very difficult client in that he’s always pushing the envelope, he rarely listens to sound legal advice and he wants you to do things that are not appropriate, ethically or legally.”

    One lawyer told a story from early in Trump’s presidency about members of his legal team urging him against tweeting about the Mueller probe, only to find he had tweeted about it before they got to the end of the West Wing driveway. Several people said that Trump was nearly impossible to represent and that it would be unclear whether they would ever get paid. . . .
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,644
    edited August 2022
    IshmaelZ said:

    Usual counter to that is, dna life is so ubiquitous it crowds out any other starts. It's disappointing, or interesting, that even the most extreme extremophils are dna.
    Yes. But evidence is not impossible. And a lot easier than trying it on Mars or distant solar systems.

    Another thing to try is to replicate. If life started from non-life by a serendipitous accident (the standard model) it is possible to construct experiments both to see if it can be repeated randomly, and to see if it can be repeated with modest assistance from the chemistry set and some lab tools.

  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,181
    Sandpit said:

    All really good ideas, until that last line.

    The only way the war gets resolved, is by the Russian army going back to Russia, and another Russian leader making a massive effort towards peace with the world. Until then, the HIMARS will keep raining down.
    I am familiar with that argument, and I understand why you feel that way. I don't have any objection to Russia's military defeat (though I don't desire its collapse) but what I see at the moment is two fairly balanced sides ripping chunks out of each other, at an astronomical cost to all concerned. I think if this were the Sunnis and Shias, or the Hootoos and Tutsis, you'd feel as I do that it's a bad business but not Britain's bad business.
This discussion has been closed.