What do Tory MPs think about this? – politicalbetting.com
Comments
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Johnson and Starmer are both relatively economically centrist. Neither are Thatcherites but neither are Corbynite socialists either.Carnyx said:
Mr Johnson isn't a raving leftie as well? News to me. And to Mr Plunkett-Ernle-Erle-Drax MP.HYUFD said:
He is a socialist, he wants to tax both and backs a wealth tax toorkrkrk said:
Owen needs to wake up and realize that we need to be focusing taxes on wealth not income.rottenborough said:rottenborough said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh
Includes this: Labour is likely to ditch
@jeremycorbyn92 's 2019 pledge to hike income tax on those earning more than £80,000.
Party is looking at more 'creative ways' of making the rich pay more.
===
Thoughts and prayers to Owen Jones this evening...
Wow. This outrage train was on time!!!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
29m
Keir Starmer ran the most dishonest campaign for the leadership of a political party in British democratic history.
This was literally his first pledge!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
27m
One of Keir Starmer's aides literally rang me in the leadership campaign to make a big song and dance about his commitment to hike income tax for everyone earning more than £80,000.
I asked if it was definitely 100% cast iron: I was told absolutely 100% cast iron.
Amazing.
.https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/23/labour-wealth-tax-economy
The main divide between them is on Brexit and Woke not economics0 -
I understand your point regarding education and I certainly don't believe that the views of those with less education are any less valid than one elses.kle4 said:
I don't smile about it, as I think it is true what people believe is far more important than truth (or facts) and that is worrisome. But are we not slightly at risk of suggesting the views of the less educated are not worth as much? And would that mean when the less educated supported other groups that should have been a problem too?OllyT said:
We might smile but Trump Republican's and Johnsonian Tories have both grasped that what people believe is far more important than the truth. Hence Trump's "Truth" social media project. Sadly, they are not wrong which is why both groups now poll far better amongst the less educated than has been the case during my lifetime.dixiedean said:
Indeed. Only yesterday the Telegraph was hyperventilating about a Hard Left Alliance. Containing, er, Ed Davey's Lib Dems.Farooq said:
Remember how Ed Miliband was described as "Stalinist" by the Daily Mail?Farooq said:
Yeah except no. We could just as easily talk about Marxist derangement syndrome. You know, how teaching children that colonial history wasn't heroic.. MARXISM! and how wanting to prevent runaway climate change.. MARXISM! and allowing not to be the unwilling vessels for a child they don't want.. MARXISM!Leon said:
NoIshmaelZ said:
Use of the expression {Foo} Derangement Syndrome is by a country mile the biggest wankerdom indicator on the internet.williamglenn said:
Those caveats could form the basis of a more interesting study into the real phenomenon of Boris Derangement Syndrome.Nigel_Foremain said:
Well, each to their own. If I were carrying out the survey I would need to put caveats for unconscious bias of my own, which in anything to do with Johnson would need to be considerable.Leon said:
Or, NOT fascinating. As the case may beNigel_Foremain said:
I would love to do a little psychological study on those that are susceptible to siding with or believing Boris Johnson and those in Russia that believe that Russia is carrying out a "special military operation" and "denazifying" Ukraine. Psychological profiling and surveying could be done to discover how much is actually down to just being genuinely gullible and how much is down to living in a state with restricted media. It would be quite fascinating.Nigel_Foremain said:
Oh, only one second.Applicant said:
There he goes again.Nigel_Foremain said:
I understand. Boris Johnson apologistsApplicant said:
I stopped reading there.Nigel_Foremain said:
What if it is a dumb recommendation? Someone with a modicum of decency might say, "hey that's not going to look good". But not your idolApplicant said:
When a politician is in a no-win situation, it's only fair to point that out.Nigel_Foremain said:
It has worked well for quite a long time, until this clown came into office. I have to congratulate you though, you must have a super thick skin and very flexible morals to be such an unapologetic apologist for Boris JohnsonApplicant said:Missing from the header: any mention of why the change was made.
But I guess it's too important that opposition politicians should be able to demand ministers' resignations for the most trivial of perceived transgressions.
He's done plenty of bad things. Implementing a recommendation from the Committee on Standards in Public Life is not one of them.
And the rewriting of the code is the least interesting thing about this story.
'In his introduction to the previous edition of the ministerial code, the Prime Minister said ministers must "uphold the very highest standards of propriety" - words that have been removed from the revamped edition.
The new introduction says the code should "guide my ministers on how they should act and arrange their affairs".
And the foreword no longer explicitly mentions the seven Nolan principles of public life - integrity, objectivity, accountability, transparency, honesty and leadership in the public interest.'
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/boris-johnson-waters-down-ethics-27083430
nothing there to give you a moment's pause?
“Derangement Syndrome” definitely exists. It is generally on the Left (for now, in the West) but can definitely also be found on the Right. It is one of the most peculiar new evolutions of our time; it is surely driven by social media
eg Trump Derangement Syndrome is totally a thing. It got so bad people banned debate of the mere idea that covid might have come from a chinese lab - even though this is highly plausible if not probable - just because Trump expressed it. It was banned FOR A YEAR. Mad. Deranged
Brexit Derangement Syndrome (AKA Stockholm Syndrome) can be found on the right and on the left
Boris Derangement Syndrome can be very much found on PB
After my encounter with Plastic Bag on Head Lady today, on a Greek bus, I wonder if there is a Covid Derangement Syndrome. People driven to crazy expressions of medical self defence - probably by their consumption of self-curated and terrifying information - and disinformation - on the net. And social media
It is a thing
The right is just as mad as the left.
As for Ed M. The Tories have implemented his policies and then some.
The point I was clumsily making was that, compared to the past, the current Tory Party and GOP are cynically targeting their message to those groups that are more susceptible to uncritically believe misinformation. Where does it leave us or the USA when a majority of voters come to believe QAnon conspiracy theories or believe that the last election was "stolen"? I guess at that point democracy in that country disappears up its own backside. It's not as though it hasn't happened before.1 -
Well that's a shame, I'd rather prefer my political parties to have better things to divide themselves over than that.HYUFD said:
Johnson and Starmer are both relatively economically centrist. Neither are Thatcherites but neither are Corbynite socialists either.Carnyx said:
Mr Johnson isn't a raving leftie as well? News to me. And to Mr Plunkett-Ernle-Erle-Drax MP.HYUFD said:
He is a socialist, he wants to tax both and backs a wealth tax toorkrkrk said:
Owen needs to wake up and realize that we need to be focusing taxes on wealth not income.rottenborough said:rottenborough said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh
Includes this: Labour is likely to ditch
@jeremycorbyn92 's 2019 pledge to hike income tax on those earning more than £80,000.
Party is looking at more 'creative ways' of making the rich pay more.
===
Thoughts and prayers to Owen Jones this evening...
Wow. This outrage train was on time!!!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
29m
Keir Starmer ran the most dishonest campaign for the leadership of a political party in British democratic history.
This was literally his first pledge!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
27m
One of Keir Starmer's aides literally rang me in the leadership campaign to make a big song and dance about his commitment to hike income tax for everyone earning more than £80,000.
I asked if it was definitely 100% cast iron: I was told absolutely 100% cast iron.
Amazing.
.https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/23/labour-wealth-tax-economy
The main divide between them is on Brexit and Woke not economics1 -
The Department of Homeland Security would also be defunded by defund the policers. It is still law enforcementIshmaelZ said:
No he wasn'tHYUFD said:
The gunman was in the end shot by the policerottenborough said:
Might as well defund the police if they are just going to stand around cleaning their guns while the slaughter takes place.Leon said:This must be the end of several careers (Guardian liveblog)
“The head of the Texas department of public safety has said “there’s no excuse” for officers not trying to break into the elementary school classroom as the gunman fired away.”
Not that it helps any of the poor bereaved people. Tho it might assist America in sorting out its ludicrously fucked police/guns/crime dysfunction0 -
The centre appears to have moved rather to the left.HYUFD said:
Johnson and Starmer are both relatively economically centrist. Neither are Thatcherites but neither are Corbynite socialists either.Carnyx said:
Mr Johnson isn't a raving leftie as well? News to me. And to Mr Plunkett-Ernle-Erle-Drax MP.HYUFD said:
He is a socialist, he wants to tax both and backs a wealth tax toorkrkrk said:
Owen needs to wake up and realize that we need to be focusing taxes on wealth not income.rottenborough said:rottenborough said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh
Includes this: Labour is likely to ditch
@jeremycorbyn92 's 2019 pledge to hike income tax on those earning more than £80,000.
Party is looking at more 'creative ways' of making the rich pay more.
===
Thoughts and prayers to Owen Jones this evening...
Wow. This outrage train was on time!!!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
29m
Keir Starmer ran the most dishonest campaign for the leadership of a political party in British democratic history.
This was literally his first pledge!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
27m
One of Keir Starmer's aides literally rang me in the leadership campaign to make a big song and dance about his commitment to hike income tax for everyone earning more than £80,000.
I asked if it was definitely 100% cast iron: I was told absolutely 100% cast iron.
Amazing.
.https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/23/labour-wealth-tax-economy
The main divide between them is on Brexit and Woke not economics0 -
A minor party candidate in the Wakefield by-election writes...
Just seen Peter Bone in Wakefield.
If CCHQ keep sending MPs campaigning, and if they're hearing from voters what I'm hearing, there might well be 54 letters in before we even get to polling day.
https://twitter.com/DavidHerdson/status/15301819366851379232 -
In other words, one doesn't deflect eternally over such trivia as statues and gender reassignment.HYUFD said:
Johnson and Starmer are both relatively economically centrist. Neither are Thatcherites but neither are Corbynite socialists either.Carnyx said:
Mr Johnson isn't a raving leftie as well? News to me. And to Mr Plunkett-Ernle-Erle-Drax MP.HYUFD said:
He is a socialist, he wants to tax both and backs a wealth tax toorkrkrk said:
Owen needs to wake up and realize that we need to be focusing taxes on wealth not income.rottenborough said:rottenborough said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh
Includes this: Labour is likely to ditch
@jeremycorbyn92 's 2019 pledge to hike income tax on those earning more than £80,000.
Party is looking at more 'creative ways' of making the rich pay more.
===
Thoughts and prayers to Owen Jones this evening...
Wow. This outrage train was on time!!!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
29m
Keir Starmer ran the most dishonest campaign for the leadership of a political party in British democratic history.
This was literally his first pledge!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
27m
One of Keir Starmer's aides literally rang me in the leadership campaign to make a big song and dance about his commitment to hike income tax for everyone earning more than £80,000.
I asked if it was definitely 100% cast iron: I was told absolutely 100% cast iron.
Amazing.
.https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/23/labour-wealth-tax-economy
The main divide between them is on Brexit and Woke not economics0 -
I agree. My impression (but what do I know?) is that Russia will get to the edge of Donbas in a month or two, but the flow of Western arms will then encourage the Ukrainians to counter-attack. I suspect we'll then see a war of attirition, as HYUFD says, and eventually there will be an uneasy cease-fire.HYUFD said:
Most likely it will end up a prolonged war of attrition in the Donbas. It won't be WW3 unless Russia invades a NATO stateLeon said:More Guardian live-blog
“The Kremlin is considering a second assault on Kyiv despite failing to capture the Ukrainian capital at the outset of the war, according to the independent news website, Meduza.
Sources close to the Kremlin and inside the Putin administration said confidence has spread to the leadership of United Russia, the country’s ruling political party, that a full-scale victory in Ukraine is possible before the end of the year.
One source said:
We’ll grind them [the Ukrainians] down in the end. The whole thing will probably be over by the fall.
Russia’s leadership has “minimum” and “maximum” thresholds for declaring a successful and completed “special military operation” in Ukraine, sources said.
The bare minimum needed to declare victory is the complete capture of the Donbas region, according to sources, while the maximum goal would be the capture of Kyiv.
The editor of the English-language edition of Meduza, Kevin Rothrock, said the report suggests that Ukraine is losing the “information war” for the first time since the invasion.
Many ways to interpret this: (1) the mood inside the Kremlin shifts faster than a temperamental teen’s, (2) Kyiv’s alarm-signaling is largely about expediting/sustaining Western aid, (3) Western fatigue is real (the energy crisis & U.S. midterms mean a whole new ballgame soon)”
I reckon this means WW3
WW3? Nah.2 -
Give the realignment another decade and Tory economics may end up being more socialist than Labour's.FrancisUrquhart said:
The centre appears to have moved rather to the left.HYUFD said:
Johnson and Starmer are both relatively economically centrist. Neither are Thatcherites but neither are Corbynite socialists either.Carnyx said:
Mr Johnson isn't a raving leftie as well? News to me. And to Mr Plunkett-Ernle-Erle-Drax MP.HYUFD said:
He is a socialist, he wants to tax both and backs a wealth tax toorkrkrk said:
Owen needs to wake up and realize that we need to be focusing taxes on wealth not income.rottenborough said:rottenborough said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh
Includes this: Labour is likely to ditch
@jeremycorbyn92 's 2019 pledge to hike income tax on those earning more than £80,000.
Party is looking at more 'creative ways' of making the rich pay more.
===
Thoughts and prayers to Owen Jones this evening...
Wow. This outrage train was on time!!!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
29m
Keir Starmer ran the most dishonest campaign for the leadership of a political party in British democratic history.
This was literally his first pledge!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
27m
One of Keir Starmer's aides literally rang me in the leadership campaign to make a big song and dance about his commitment to hike income tax for everyone earning more than £80,000.
I asked if it was definitely 100% cast iron: I was told absolutely 100% cast iron.
Amazing.
.https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/23/labour-wealth-tax-economy
The main divide between them is on Brexit and Woke not economics0 -
It matters not a jot. Johnson has form and by a large margin is thought a liar and a rogue. Why would anyone waste their energy on the minutiae when the cap is such a perfect fitApplicant said:.
"Wrote an entirely new foreword (which isn't part of the Code)" makes the lie "deleted all references from the Code" "true in substance"??IshmaelZ said:
The fat crook took all references to those things out of the foreword so it is true in substance.Applicant said:
This has already been discussed, and it is not true.Tres said:Johnson's new ministerial code removes all references to honesty, integrity, transparency and accountability. The opposition attacks just write themselves don't they?
Do you not mind any of this? Do you think the natural order of things is that us peasants get lied to and laughed at by phat poshbois?
You're being laughed at by Labour politicians for swallowing their transparent lie.
Defending such nonsense makes him more safe. Focus on the real reasons that he needs to go.0 -
Its a bit early to say re Paxaloid.rkrkrk said:
What do you make of paxlovid causing COVID rebound?Foxy said:
Lockdowns and similar measures are only a way of buying time until vaccines, pharmaceuticals and hospital capacity can control in other ways. The first two are now here (a friend with lymphoma caught it and had the antivirals, giving less illness than ther family) the third depends on redeployment and cancelling routine work.Leon said:
I’ve had Covid at least once, quite possibly twice, maybe thriceohnotnow said:
I know it's not leading to an uptick in hospital/deaths - but a very high % of the people I know who've had it in the past few weeks have been proper f*cked (bedridden/fever for over a week). So still something to try and not catch I'd say (tricky/impossible though that may be). But maybe without the worry that you're going to end up with a tube down your neck wishing you'd put your affairs in order.Leon said:
Can anyone sane tell me whether to worry about omicron variants??Nigel_Foremain said:
Oh dear. Playground stuff. If you want to debate with the grownups you ought to wait until you have graduated to senior school.BlancheLivermore said:
Ok Nigelforgermanappeasementpolicies.Nigel_Foremain said:
I am not an apologist for him. The German nation has moved form being a militaristic nation to a pacifist one. You are clearly too dim to realise this and make sweeping generalisations and judgements based on childish anti-German prejudice.BlancheLivermore said:
Scholz apologists, on the other hand..Nigel_Foremain said:
I understand. Boris Johnson apologists generally have difficulty with paying attention beyond a few seconds.Applicant said:
I stopped reading there.Nigel_Foremain said:
What if it is a dumb recommendation? Someone with a modicum of decency might say, "hey that's not going to look good". But not your idolApplicant said:
When a politician is in a no-win situation, it's only fair to point that out.Nigel_Foremain said:
It has worked well for quite a long time, until this clown came into office. I have to congratulate you though, you must have a super thick skin and very flexible morals to be such an unapologetic apologist for Boris JohnsonApplicant said:Missing from the header: any mention of why the change was made.
But I guess it's too important that opposition politicians should be able to demand ministers' resignations for the most trivial of perceived transgressions.
He's done plenty of bad things. Implementing a recommendation from the Committee on Standards in Public Life is not one of them.
I’m having a hoot doing an odyssey around the world. I don’t want covid FUCKING IT UP AGAIN
No idea if it's just been atypical bad luck, new sub-variants, whatever - but not fun at all.
I think re-infections are heading for 10% even for people who had 'original' omicron. It's going to be an absolute pisser if we end up all getting re-infected and downed for a week every three months due to immune escape.
:: party hat emoji etc etc ::
I don’t care any more. If I have to get a flu-like illness every 6 months, so be it. It is still worth resuming normal life, it’s just a shitty new thing. Life is full of shitty new things, anyone over the age of 40 has experienced ageing. That’s consistently shitty, yet we cope
We simply have to accept that life now comes with a significant new element of risk and shitiness. But these might be solved with new vaccines, we can but pray
Never again must we lockdown
I don't think further lockdowns will be needed, but we need petmanant infrastructure to ensure that.
Unlike the Johnson govt which is cutting the new Health Security Agency by 40% of jobs... Biden is investing massively in pandemic preparedness. Some incredible ambition being shown - $82bn over next 5 years.
https://progress.institute/explaining-bidens-pandemic-preparedness-budget-aspr/
I would recommend some pandemic preparedness though. Lockdown is what happens when we are not prepared.4 -
Lol. I don’t actually think we will come to WW3NickPalmer said:
I agree. My impression (but what do I know?) is that Russia will get to the edge of Donbas in a month or two, but the flow of Western arms will then encourage the Ukrainians to counter-attack. I suspect we'll then see a war of attirition, as HYUFD says, and eventually there will be an uneasy cease-fire.HYUFD said:
Most likely it will end up a prolonged war of attrition in the Donbas. It won't be WW3 unless Russia invades a NATO stateLeon said:More Guardian live-blog
“The Kremlin is considering a second assault on Kyiv despite failing to capture the Ukrainian capital at the outset of the war, according to the independent news website, Meduza.
Sources close to the Kremlin and inside the Putin administration said confidence has spread to the leadership of United Russia, the country’s ruling political party, that a full-scale victory in Ukraine is possible before the end of the year.
One source said:
We’ll grind them [the Ukrainians] down in the end. The whole thing will probably be over by the fall.
Russia’s leadership has “minimum” and “maximum” thresholds for declaring a successful and completed “special military operation” in Ukraine, sources said.
The bare minimum needed to declare victory is the complete capture of the Donbas region, according to sources, while the maximum goal would be the capture of Kyiv.
The editor of the English-language edition of Meduza, Kevin Rothrock, said the report suggests that Ukraine is losing the “information war” for the first time since the invasion.
Many ways to interpret this: (1) the mood inside the Kremlin shifts faster than a temperamental teen’s, (2) Kyiv’s alarm-signaling is largely about expediting/sustaining Western aid, (3) Western fatigue is real (the energy crisis & U.S. midterms mean a whole new ballgame soon)”
I reckon this means WW3
WW3? Nah.
But we will come uncomfortably close in the next year or two0 -
Another decade? Way its going could be next week....pigeon said:
Give the realignment another decade and Tory economics may end up being more socialist than Labour's.FrancisUrquhart said:
The centre appears to have moved rather to the left.HYUFD said:
Johnson and Starmer are both relatively economically centrist. Neither are Thatcherites but neither are Corbynite socialists either.Carnyx said:
Mr Johnson isn't a raving leftie as well? News to me. And to Mr Plunkett-Ernle-Erle-Drax MP.HYUFD said:
He is a socialist, he wants to tax both and backs a wealth tax toorkrkrk said:
Owen needs to wake up and realize that we need to be focusing taxes on wealth not income.rottenborough said:rottenborough said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh
Includes this: Labour is likely to ditch
@jeremycorbyn92 's 2019 pledge to hike income tax on those earning more than £80,000.
Party is looking at more 'creative ways' of making the rich pay more.
===
Thoughts and prayers to Owen Jones this evening...
Wow. This outrage train was on time!!!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
29m
Keir Starmer ran the most dishonest campaign for the leadership of a political party in British democratic history.
This was literally his first pledge!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
27m
One of Keir Starmer's aides literally rang me in the leadership campaign to make a big song and dance about his commitment to hike income tax for everyone earning more than £80,000.
I asked if it was definitely 100% cast iron: I was told absolutely 100% cast iron.
Amazing.
.https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/23/labour-wealth-tax-economy
The main divide between them is on Brexit and Woke not economics4 -
It started on 24 February.NickPalmer said:
I agree. My impression (but what do I know?) is that Russia will get to the edge of Donbas in a month or two, but the flow of Western arms will then encourage the Ukrainians to counter-attack. I suspect we'll then see a war of attirition, as HYUFD says, and eventually there will be an uneasy cease-fire.HYUFD said:
Most likely it will end up a prolonged war of attrition in the Donbas. It won't be WW3 unless Russia invades a NATO stateLeon said:More Guardian live-blog
“The Kremlin is considering a second assault on Kyiv despite failing to capture the Ukrainian capital at the outset of the war, according to the independent news website, Meduza.
Sources close to the Kremlin and inside the Putin administration said confidence has spread to the leadership of United Russia, the country’s ruling political party, that a full-scale victory in Ukraine is possible before the end of the year.
One source said:
We’ll grind them [the Ukrainians] down in the end. The whole thing will probably be over by the fall.
Russia’s leadership has “minimum” and “maximum” thresholds for declaring a successful and completed “special military operation” in Ukraine, sources said.
The bare minimum needed to declare victory is the complete capture of the Donbas region, according to sources, while the maximum goal would be the capture of Kyiv.
The editor of the English-language edition of Meduza, Kevin Rothrock, said the report suggests that Ukraine is losing the “information war” for the first time since the invasion.
Many ways to interpret this: (1) the mood inside the Kremlin shifts faster than a temperamental teen’s, (2) Kyiv’s alarm-signaling is largely about expediting/sustaining Western aid, (3) Western fatigue is real (the energy crisis & U.S. midterms mean a whole new ballgame soon)”
I reckon this means WW3
WW3? Nah.
Смерть москалям!0 -
Harry Brook can play a bit.....0
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Prevalence of COVID is currently at the same level as it was at the start of December. I think this is around the lowest background level we are going to have to contend with for the forseeable future.0
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@Applicant likes to be shat on by toffs. La vice anglaise.Roger said:
It matters not a jot. Johnson has form and by a large margin is thought a liar and a rogue. Why would anyone waste their energy on the minutiae when the cap is such a perfect fitApplicant said:.
"Wrote an entirely new foreword (which isn't part of the Code)" makes the lie "deleted all references from the Code" "true in substance"??IshmaelZ said:
The fat crook took all references to those things out of the foreword so it is true in substance.Applicant said:
This has already been discussed, and it is not true.Tres said:Johnson's new ministerial code removes all references to honesty, integrity, transparency and accountability. The opposition attacks just write themselves don't they?
Do you not mind any of this? Do you think the natural order of things is that us peasants get lied to and laughed at by phat poshbois?
You're being laughed at by Labour politicians for swallowing their transparent lie.
Defending such nonsense makes him more safe. Focus on the real reasons that he needs to go.-2 -
The Kashmir scenario: a de facto partition that neither side recognises de jure. The 80-90% of Ukraine that remains unoccupied can then gravitate decisively to the West.NickPalmer said:
I agree. My impression (but what do I know?) is that Russia will get to the edge of Donbas in a month or two, but the flow of Western arms will then encourage the Ukrainians to counter-attack. I suspect we'll then see a war of attirition, as HYUFD says, and eventually there will be an uneasy cease-fire.HYUFD said:
Most likely it will end up a prolonged war of attrition in the Donbas. It won't be WW3 unless Russia invades a NATO stateLeon said:More Guardian live-blog
“The Kremlin is considering a second assault on Kyiv despite failing to capture the Ukrainian capital at the outset of the war, according to the independent news website, Meduza.
Sources close to the Kremlin and inside the Putin administration said confidence has spread to the leadership of United Russia, the country’s ruling political party, that a full-scale victory in Ukraine is possible before the end of the year.
One source said:
We’ll grind them [the Ukrainians] down in the end. The whole thing will probably be over by the fall.
Russia’s leadership has “minimum” and “maximum” thresholds for declaring a successful and completed “special military operation” in Ukraine, sources said.
The bare minimum needed to declare victory is the complete capture of the Donbas region, according to sources, while the maximum goal would be the capture of Kyiv.
The editor of the English-language edition of Meduza, Kevin Rothrock, said the report suggests that Ukraine is losing the “information war” for the first time since the invasion.
Many ways to interpret this: (1) the mood inside the Kremlin shifts faster than a temperamental teen’s, (2) Kyiv’s alarm-signaling is largely about expediting/sustaining Western aid, (3) Western fatigue is real (the energy crisis & U.S. midterms mean a whole new ballgame soon)”
I reckon this means WW3
WW3? Nah.
That's when the really big challenge begins: trying to dissuade the likes of Germany, Italy and France from using the ceasefire as an excuse to going back to "business as usual" with Russia.1 -
The South is the really problematic bit. While Russia holds that coastal strip it’s going to be hard for trade to get back to normal. And will the West allow Russia to maintain a coastal blockade of half the Black Sea indefinitely?NickPalmer said:
I agree. My impression (but what do I know?) is that Russia will get to the edge of Donbas in a month or two, but the flow of Western arms will then encourage the Ukrainians to counter-attack. I suspect we'll then see a war of attirition, as HYUFD says, and eventually there will be an uneasy cease-fire.HYUFD said:
Most likely it will end up a prolonged war of attrition in the Donbas. It won't be WW3 unless Russia invades a NATO stateLeon said:More Guardian live-blog
“The Kremlin is considering a second assault on Kyiv despite failing to capture the Ukrainian capital at the outset of the war, according to the independent news website, Meduza.
Sources close to the Kremlin and inside the Putin administration said confidence has spread to the leadership of United Russia, the country’s ruling political party, that a full-scale victory in Ukraine is possible before the end of the year.
One source said:
We’ll grind them [the Ukrainians] down in the end. The whole thing will probably be over by the fall.
Russia’s leadership has “minimum” and “maximum” thresholds for declaring a successful and completed “special military operation” in Ukraine, sources said.
The bare minimum needed to declare victory is the complete capture of the Donbas region, according to sources, while the maximum goal would be the capture of Kyiv.
The editor of the English-language edition of Meduza, Kevin Rothrock, said the report suggests that Ukraine is losing the “information war” for the first time since the invasion.
Many ways to interpret this: (1) the mood inside the Kremlin shifts faster than a temperamental teen’s, (2) Kyiv’s alarm-signaling is largely about expediting/sustaining Western aid, (3) Western fatigue is real (the energy crisis & U.S. midterms mean a whole new ballgame soon)”
I reckon this means WW3
WW3? Nah.0 -
Clearly ... Creasy has made a total cock of herself ..FrancisUrquhart said:Stella Creasy: ‘JK Rowling is wrong – a woman can have a penis’
1 -
Meet circular logic:FrancisUrquhart said:Stella Creasy: ‘JK Rowling is wrong – a woman can have a penis’
‘Sometimes you have to break cover and be controversial,’ says the MP for Walthamstow and passionate campaigner for women and mothers
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/women/life/stella-creasy-jk-rowling-wrong-woman-can-have-penis/
PinkNews@PinkNews
"If a woman has a penis, her penis is a biologically female penis," @IndyaMoore said.
https://twitter.com/PinkNews/status/10979376482268405760 -
That REALLY isn’t “La Vice Anglaise”. You are clearly not a toff, nor a kinksterIshmaelZ said:
@Applicant likes to be shat on by toffs. La vice anglaise.Roger said:
It matters not a jot. Johnson has form and by a large margin is thought a liar and a rogue. Why would anyone waste their energy on the minutiae when the cap is such a perfect fitApplicant said:.
"Wrote an entirely new foreword (which isn't part of the Code)" makes the lie "deleted all references from the Code" "true in substance"??IshmaelZ said:
The fat crook took all references to those things out of the foreword so it is true in substance.Applicant said:
This has already been discussed, and it is not true.Tres said:Johnson's new ministerial code removes all references to honesty, integrity, transparency and accountability. The opposition attacks just write themselves don't they?
Do you not mind any of this? Do you think the natural order of things is that us peasants get lied to and laughed at by phat poshbois?
You're being laughed at by Labour politicians for swallowing their transparent lie.
Defending such nonsense makes him more safe. Focus on the real reasons that he needs to go.0 -
I wonder how much Sweet Caroline is now making in performance rights every year? Can we have a special windfall tax on it to pay for people's leccy bills?1
-
Love the off topicing, you must feel like a real man.IshmaelZ said:
@Applicant likes to be shat on by toffs. La vice anglaise.Roger said:
It matters not a jot. Johnson has form and by a large margin is thought a liar and a rogue. Why would anyone waste their energy on the minutiae when the cap is such a perfect fitApplicant said:.
"Wrote an entirely new foreword (which isn't part of the Code)" makes the lie "deleted all references from the Code" "true in substance"??IshmaelZ said:
The fat crook took all references to those things out of the foreword so it is true in substance.Applicant said:
This has already been discussed, and it is not true.Tres said:Johnson's new ministerial code removes all references to honesty, integrity, transparency and accountability. The opposition attacks just write themselves don't they?
Do you not mind any of this? Do you think the natural order of things is that us peasants get lied to and laughed at by phat poshbois?
You're being laughed at by Labour politicians for swallowing their transparent lie.
Defending such nonsense makes him more safe. Focus on the real reasons that he needs to go.0 -
People go out less often, fewer restaurants required.Eabhal said:
My point: hospitality is a huge chunk of the economy and they've had a grim few years.Eabhal said:Not a good start to the long weekend when hotel has two distinct queue systems for check-in & "issue resolution".
Spoke with the stressed receptionist and he says they half the staff they usually have for a Highland summer season. And he's just been offered a new job building mountain bikes...
GF and I have 5 issues for resolution so far.
What happens next? The sector collapses? People stop going out in the UK with prices through the roof?
Going out to a fancy restaurant in London means people who go to fancy restaurants twice a week sitting in a dining room with people who eat in fancy restaurants once a year. Plenty of scope for behaviour change in both directions.0 -
No, but I can still dream that Boris was my fag at pop in oppidans.Leon said:
That REALLY isn’t “La Vice Anglaise”. You are clearly not a toff, nor a kinksterIshmaelZ said:
@Applicant likes to be shat on by toffs. La vice anglaise.Roger said:
It matters not a jot. Johnson has form and by a large margin is thought a liar and a rogue. Why would anyone waste their energy on the minutiae when the cap is such a perfect fitApplicant said:.
"Wrote an entirely new foreword (which isn't part of the Code)" makes the lie "deleted all references from the Code" "true in substance"??IshmaelZ said:
The fat crook took all references to those things out of the foreword so it is true in substance.Applicant said:
This has already been discussed, and it is not true.Tres said:Johnson's new ministerial code removes all references to honesty, integrity, transparency and accountability. The opposition attacks just write themselves don't they?
Do you not mind any of this? Do you think the natural order of things is that us peasants get lied to and laughed at by phat poshbois?
You're being laughed at by Labour politicians for swallowing their transparent lie.
Defending such nonsense makes him more safe. Focus on the real reasons that he needs to go.0 -
Yet another complete tool !!!!!!!CarlottaVance said:
Meet circular logic:FrancisUrquhart said:Stella Creasy: ‘JK Rowling is wrong – a woman can have a penis’
‘Sometimes you have to break cover and be controversial,’ says the MP for Walthamstow and passionate campaigner for women and mothers
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/women/life/stella-creasy-jk-rowling-wrong-woman-can-have-penis/
PinkNews@PinkNews
"If a woman has a penis, her penis is a biologically female penis," @IndyaMoore said.
https://twitter.com/PinkNews/status/10979376482268405760 -
If that were true then Johnson would be winning Knowsley and Starmer would be winning Chesham. But it's still the case that economics determines the overall tilt of the country, outside areas like London which are closer to ethnicity voting.HYUFD said:
Johnson and Starmer are both relatively economically centrist. Neither are Thatcherites but neither are Corbynite socialists either.Carnyx said:
Mr Johnson isn't a raving leftie as well? News to me. And to Mr Plunkett-Ernle-Erle-Drax MP.HYUFD said:
He is a socialist, he wants to tax both and backs a wealth tax toorkrkrk said:
Owen needs to wake up and realize that we need to be focusing taxes on wealth not income.rottenborough said:rottenborough said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh
Includes this: Labour is likely to ditch
@jeremycorbyn92 's 2019 pledge to hike income tax on those earning more than £80,000.
Party is looking at more 'creative ways' of making the rich pay more.
===
Thoughts and prayers to Owen Jones this evening...
Wow. This outrage train was on time!!!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
29m
Keir Starmer ran the most dishonest campaign for the leadership of a political party in British democratic history.
This was literally his first pledge!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
27m
One of Keir Starmer's aides literally rang me in the leadership campaign to make a big song and dance about his commitment to hike income tax for everyone earning more than £80,000.
I asked if it was definitely 100% cast iron: I was told absolutely 100% cast iron.
Amazing.
.https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/23/labour-wealth-tax-economy
The main divide between them is on Brexit and Woke not economics0 -
Actually, on this general subject, it's going to be interesting to see what happens if (or, more likely, when) some of the EU states that are happy to lick Putin's arse in exchange for cheap oil and gas try to start unpicking all the collective sanctions that they've previously agreed to - a process liable to be vetoed by, at the very minimum, the Poles, Czechs, Slovaks and Balts until Ukraine gets all its land back (i.e. forever.) There are no shortage of politicians in countries located a very long way from Moscow who care far more about energy costs at home than wars in far away places of which their dim voters know little and care less.pigeon said:
The Kashmir scenario: a de facto partition that neither side recognises de jure. The 80-90% of Ukraine that remains unoccupied can then gravitate decisively to the West.NickPalmer said:
I agree. My impression (but what do I know?) is that Russia will get to the edge of Donbas in a month or two, but the flow of Western arms will then encourage the Ukrainians to counter-attack. I suspect we'll then see a war of attirition, as HYUFD says, and eventually there will be an uneasy cease-fire.HYUFD said:
Most likely it will end up a prolonged war of attrition in the Donbas. It won't be WW3 unless Russia invades a NATO stateLeon said:More Guardian live-blog
“The Kremlin is considering a second assault on Kyiv despite failing to capture the Ukrainian capital at the outset of the war, according to the independent news website, Meduza.
Sources close to the Kremlin and inside the Putin administration said confidence has spread to the leadership of United Russia, the country’s ruling political party, that a full-scale victory in Ukraine is possible before the end of the year.
One source said:
We’ll grind them [the Ukrainians] down in the end. The whole thing will probably be over by the fall.
Russia’s leadership has “minimum” and “maximum” thresholds for declaring a successful and completed “special military operation” in Ukraine, sources said.
The bare minimum needed to declare victory is the complete capture of the Donbas region, according to sources, while the maximum goal would be the capture of Kyiv.
The editor of the English-language edition of Meduza, Kevin Rothrock, said the report suggests that Ukraine is losing the “information war” for the first time since the invasion.
Many ways to interpret this: (1) the mood inside the Kremlin shifts faster than a temperamental teen’s, (2) Kyiv’s alarm-signaling is largely about expediting/sustaining Western aid, (3) Western fatigue is real (the energy crisis & U.S. midterms mean a whole new ballgame soon)”
I reckon this means WW3
WW3? Nah.
That's when the really big challenge begins: trying to dissuade the likes of Germany, Italy and France from using the ceasefire as an excuse to going back to "business as usual" with Russia.1 -
I'd be a bit pissed off. I mean, I might like to get off with a girl with a cock, but I'd like to be warned in advanceCarlottaVance said:
Meet circular logic:FrancisUrquhart said:Stella Creasy: ‘JK Rowling is wrong – a woman can have a penis’
‘Sometimes you have to break cover and be controversial,’ says the MP for Walthamstow and passionate campaigner for women and mothers
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/women/life/stella-creasy-jk-rowling-wrong-woman-can-have-penis/
PinkNews@PinkNews
"If a woman has a penis, her penis is a biologically female penis," @IndyaMoore said.
https://twitter.com/PinkNews/status/10979376482268405760 -
What a finish to the T20.0
-
In my experience "woke" is very much more determined by age rather than class or location.EPG said:
If that were true then Johnson would be winning Knowsley and Starmer would be winning Chesham. But it's still the case that economics determines the overall tilt of the country, outside areas like London which are closer to ethnicity voting.HYUFD said:
Johnson and Starmer are both relatively economically centrist. Neither are Thatcherites but neither are Corbynite socialists either.Carnyx said:
Mr Johnson isn't a raving leftie as well? News to me. And to Mr Plunkett-Ernle-Erle-Drax MP.HYUFD said:
He is a socialist, he wants to tax both and backs a wealth tax toorkrkrk said:
Owen needs to wake up and realize that we need to be focusing taxes on wealth not income.rottenborough said:rottenborough said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh
Includes this: Labour is likely to ditch
@jeremycorbyn92 's 2019 pledge to hike income tax on those earning more than £80,000.
Party is looking at more 'creative ways' of making the rich pay more.
===
Thoughts and prayers to Owen Jones this evening...
Wow. This outrage train was on time!!!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
29m
Keir Starmer ran the most dishonest campaign for the leadership of a political party in British democratic history.
This was literally his first pledge!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
27m
One of Keir Starmer's aides literally rang me in the leadership campaign to make a big song and dance about his commitment to hike income tax for everyone earning more than £80,000.
I asked if it was definitely 100% cast iron: I was told absolutely 100% cast iron.
Amazing.
.https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/23/labour-wealth-tax-economy
The main divide between them is on Brexit and Woke not economics2 -
Slightly closer than the recent CC game.FrancisUrquhart said:What a finish to the T20.
0 -
"If a man has a vagina, his vagina is a biologically male vagina"JACK_W said:
Yet another complete tool !!!!!!!CarlottaVance said:
Meet circular logic:FrancisUrquhart said:Stella Creasy: ‘JK Rowling is wrong – a woman can have a penis’
‘Sometimes you have to break cover and be controversial,’ says the MP for Walthamstow and passionate campaigner for women and mothers
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/women/life/stella-creasy-jk-rowling-wrong-woman-can-have-penis/
PinkNews@PinkNews
"If a woman has a penis, her penis is a biologically female penis," @IndyaMoore said.
https://twitter.com/PinkNews/status/10979376482268405760 -
I can think of plenty of biologically male individuals who are total c****. Does that count?Sunil_Prasannan said:
"If a man has a vagina, his vagina is a biologically male vagina"JACK_W said:
Yet another complete tool !!!!!!!CarlottaVance said:
Meet circular logic:FrancisUrquhart said:Stella Creasy: ‘JK Rowling is wrong – a woman can have a penis’
‘Sometimes you have to break cover and be controversial,’ says the MP for Walthamstow and passionate campaigner for women and mothers
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/women/life/stella-creasy-jk-rowling-wrong-woman-can-have-penis/
PinkNews@PinkNews
"If a woman has a penis, her penis is a biologically female penis," @IndyaMoore said.
https://twitter.com/PinkNews/status/10979376482268405763 -
The only thing Russia is grinding down is its own military, hence their deployment of older and older equipment.Leon said:More Guardian live-blog
“The Kremlin is considering a second assault on Kyiv despite failing to capture the Ukrainian capital at the outset of the war, according to the independent news website, Meduza.
Sources close to the Kremlin and inside the Putin administration said confidence has spread to the leadership of United Russia, the country’s ruling political party, that a full-scale victory in Ukraine is possible before the end of the year.
One source said:
We’ll grind them [the Ukrainians] down in the end. The whole thing will probably be over by the fall.
Russia’s leadership has “minimum” and “maximum” thresholds for declaring a successful and completed “special military operation” in Ukraine, sources said.
The bare minimum needed to declare victory is the complete capture of the Donbas region, according to sources, while the maximum goal would be the capture of Kyiv.
The editor of the English-language edition of Meduza, Kevin Rothrock, said the report suggests that Ukraine is losing the “information war” for the first time since the invasion.
Many ways to interpret this: (1) the mood inside the Kremlin shifts faster than a temperamental teen’s, (2) Kyiv’s alarm-signaling is largely about expediting/sustaining Western aid, (3) Western fatigue is real (the energy crisis & U.S. midterms mean a whole new ballgame soon)”
I reckon this means WW3
Think of things as Russia and Ukraine both walking up escalators - Ukraine have a longer walk but they're walking up an up escalator whereas Russia is walking up a down escalator, which is steadily getting faster.1 -
A woman can have a penis if a man fancies her - which rules out Stella Creasy.FrancisUrquhart said:Stella Creasy: ‘JK Rowling is wrong – a woman can have a penis’
‘Sometimes you have to break cover and be controversial,’ says the MP for Walthamstow and passionate campaigner for women and mothers
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/women/life/stella-creasy-jk-rowling-wrong-woman-can-have-penis/0 -
Assuming this New York Post story is reasonably accurate, Jacob Albarado knew what to do -- and did it:
An off-duty US Customs and Border Protection agent fearlessly rushed into Robb Elementary School with his barber’s shotgun and rescued dozens of children and his daughter after his wife texted him that there was an active shooter.
source: https://nypost.com/2022/05/27/cbp-officer-jacob-albarado-runs-into-uvalde-school-with-barbers-shotgun-to-save-daughter/
Jacob Albarado had just sat down for a haircut when he received the horrifying message from his wife, Trisha, a fourth-grade teacher at the Uvalde, Texas, elementary school, he told the New York Times.
(It is quite common in that part of Texas for Border Patrol officers to be Mexican-American by descent, though that fact may not have reached the Guardian. Farther west, some officers come from the many Indian tribes in the area. As well as enforcing immigration laws, the Border Patrol rescues many illegals every year: https://www.cbp.gov/frontline/cbp-makes-lifesaving-rescues?language_content_entity=en )0 -
One Conservative MP has something to be proud of:
Ben Grant, 30, the son of Helen Grant, Conservative MP for Maidstone and The Weald, is among a platoon of foreign fighters supporting Ukraine’s efforts in the war against Russia.
i has verified footage that shows the squad of Western volunteers, made up of former special forces, preparing to mount their attack on a BTR – Russian armoured vehicle – from a forest in the Kharkhiv region in north eastern Ukraine.
It was filmed during a 15-hour operation on Thursday in which i understands that around eight Russian soldiers were killed, with a further 30 Russian troops killed in a firefight when the team of 13 US and British fighters later linked up with Ukrainian fighters to storm a Russian trench.
During the daring mission, a fighter emerges from the woodland and aims the shoulder-held Matador missile at the vehicle, which is seen in a clearing about 100 metres away.
Mr Grant, who spent more than five years as a commando in the Royal Marines, is heard shouting “shoot it now” and “mind the back blast”, before the missile is launched.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/son-of-british-mp-fighting-in-ukraine-destroys-russian-armoured-vehicle-alongside-team-of-volunteer-soldiers/ar-AAXNv9z?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=f8c288d84a774eaa895d91934f34b42d2 -
US Republicans can sneer at the Grauniad when you stop selling assault weapons used to kill innocent kids. ThanksJim_Miller said:Assuming this New York Post story is reasonably accurate, Jacob Albarado knew what to do -- and did it:
source: https://nypost.com/2022/05/27/cbp-officer-jacob-albarado-runs-into-uvalde-school-with-barbers-shotgun-to-save-daughter/
(It is quite common in that part of Texas for Border Patrol officers to be Mexican-American by descent, though that fact may not have reached the Guardian. Farther west, some officers come from the many Indian tribes in the area. As well as enforcing immigration laws, the Border Patrol rescues many illegals every year: https://www.cbp.gov/frontline/cbp-makes-lifesaving-rescues?language_content_entity=en )0 -
Cool we’re talking about penises again1
-
Political ERECTNESS gorn mad!Gallowgate said:Cool we’re talking about penises again
6 -
0
-
Why not, it's a pubic forum?Gallowgate said:Cool we’re talking about penises again
0 -
You were distracted by the invocation of "woke" in addition to Brexit, which I guess was the point of including it, to muddy the waters. Now yes in some parts race and ethnicity determine voting, and in a few towns higher education institutes swing the vote, but mostly Brexit still does not determine how people vote, and woke surely hasn't made any constituency change its vote at all.dixiedean said:
In my experience "woke" is very much more determined by age rather than class or location.EPG said:
If that were true then Johnson would be winning Knowsley and Starmer would be winning Chesham. But it's still the case that economics determines the overall tilt of the country, outside areas like London which are closer to ethnicity voting.HYUFD said:
Johnson and Starmer are both relatively economically centrist. Neither are Thatcherites but neither are Corbynite socialists either.Carnyx said:
Mr Johnson isn't a raving leftie as well? News to me. And to Mr Plunkett-Ernle-Erle-Drax MP.HYUFD said:
He is a socialist, he wants to tax both and backs a wealth tax toorkrkrk said:
Owen needs to wake up and realize that we need to be focusing taxes on wealth not income.rottenborough said:rottenborough said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh
Includes this: Labour is likely to ditch
@jeremycorbyn92 's 2019 pledge to hike income tax on those earning more than £80,000.
Party is looking at more 'creative ways' of making the rich pay more.
===
Thoughts and prayers to Owen Jones this evening...
Wow. This outrage train was on time!!!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
29m
Keir Starmer ran the most dishonest campaign for the leadership of a political party in British democratic history.
This was literally his first pledge!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
27m
One of Keir Starmer's aides literally rang me in the leadership campaign to make a big song and dance about his commitment to hike income tax for everyone earning more than £80,000.
I asked if it was definitely 100% cast iron: I was told absolutely 100% cast iron.
Amazing.
.https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/23/labour-wealth-tax-economy
The main divide between them is on Brexit and Woke not economics1 -
I don't think that's necessarily true. There are places - like ski resorts or much of the Hamptons - that have massive seasonal population differences. And that's fine.pigeon said:As far as I'm concerned, residential properties are places for people to reside. So, yes, you will have cases such as undergraduate student accommodation where they are bound to lie empty for a while, but it doesn't seem unreasonable to expect them to be occupied for at least the bulk of the year. Under-occupied homes that are left lying empty for eight or nine months of every year constitute a form of parasitism upon the communities in which they are located. It seems reasonable that their owners ought at least to be made to compensate those communities accordingly.
The problem comes when an existing community sees an ever greater proportion of properties becoming second homes or occasional holiday lets. In that situation, the town can be starved of the residents it needs year round to maintain services.0 -
You don't need to be partisan to moan at the Welsh government. They're so useless and out of date that if they were trying ferry procurement they'd end up trying to convert narrow gauge steam engines into amphibious vehicles.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
However, Big G is right in this case. The tourism industry in Wales is extremely seasonal - it effectively only runs from May to September and not every week in that time is busy. If this policy goes ahead it will whether intentionally or not shut down all the self-catering outside Cardiff itself. That will have an extremely nasty knock-on effect on tourism as a whole.
It's not a lot of use making houses more affordable if there are no jobs in the area anyway.1 -
Sadly, I saw a convoy of vehicles in Los Angeles (well, technically Orange County) with Russian flags.Theuniondivvie said:
I’m in Berlin just now, quite a few Ukraine flags flying from windows and buildings, though I guess folk may give someone dressed as a flag a wide berth (I would).JohnLilburne said:
They unfortunately still do war guilt big time, which they should get over because the youngest person that was in the war is 93.Roger said:
I much prefer your travel contributions. They are as sharp and as observant as your German ones are bland prejudiced and ignorant.BlancheLivermore said:
Why didn’t we also discourage them from funding murderous dictators..LDLF said:
An emasculated Germany (in foreign policy and defence) was also the NATO aim during the Cold War.Farooq said:
One of the key parties to defeating Nazism was... Germany.Unpopular said:
I would happily be for Germany. It's a country with a complicated history, particularly in the field of armed conflict, to put it mildly. It has pursued, misguidedly for decades, a policy of Ostpolitik. I think there is a complicated national psychology, in that the Soviet Union played a key role (arguably the key role) in ending Nazism and not just in the East. It's by no meaning a feeling of gratitude but there is a something towards Russia that surprised me when I lived there. It wasn't a fear either, but a sense they were so powerful as demanding attention. Secondly, because of the aforementioned history, Germany became intensely pacifist. For decades they have had both a tolerance towards Russia and an aversion to armed conflict. I once spoke to a friend over a few beers and he, very educated young man, believed there was something innately evil at the heart of Germany. I think there is a determination to minimise suffering by whatever means, after all a humane war is a quick war.BlancheLivermore said:
The one which started with you throwing a "fuck yourself" hissy fit on the last thread because I called you Nigelforgermany?Nigel_Foremain said:
If I am one of those stupid children you must have had the pointy hat on with a D on it because I don't think any impartial observer would think you are winning this exchangeBlancheLivermore said:
I swore at you in German in reply on the last thread. And I'll do it again; Schwanzlutscher.Nigel_Foremain said:
I have always enjoyed a good expletive. A prudish disdain for it only shows your lack of class and style that fits well with your low intellect excuses for xenophobia.BlancheLivermore said:
It'll take some more effort to convince me that you're a grown up. You resort to crude expletive laden abuse at such a low threshold; you remind me of the stupidest children at school.Nigel_Foremain said:
Oh dear. Playground stuff. If you want to debate with the grownups you ought to wait until you have graduated to senior school.BlancheLivermore said:
Ok Nigelforgermanappeasementpolicies.Nigel_Foremain said:
I am not an apologist for him. The German nation has moved form being a militaristic nation to a pacifist one. You are clearly too dim to realise this and make sweeping generalisations and judgements based on childish anti-German prejudice.BlancheLivermore said:
Scholz apologists, on the other hand..Nigel_Foremain said:
I understand. Boris Johnson apologists generally have difficulty with paying attention beyond a few seconds.Applicant said:
I stopped reading there.Nigel_Foremain said:
What if it is a dumb recommendation? Someone with a modicum of decency might say, "hey that's not going to look good". But not your idolApplicant said:
When a politician is in a no-win situation, it's only fair to point that out.Nigel_Foremain said:
It has worked well for quite a long time, until this clown came into office. I have to congratulate you though, you must have a super thick skin and very flexible morals to be such an unapologetic apologist for Boris JohnsonApplicant said:Missing from the header: any mention of why the change was made.
But I guess it's too important that opposition politicians should be able to demand ministers' resignations for the most trivial of perceived transgressions.
He's done plenty of bad things. Implementing a recommendation from the Committee on Standards in Public Life is not one of them.
Your crass rants are really low powered. As I said, you remind me of the stupid children from when I was at school.
You winner.
I believe both those things are misguided, but I also don't expect them to go away over night. Of all the triggers in the German psyche, armed conflict and Russia must top the list. Armed conflict with Russia, however remote a prospect is apocalyptic. As it was the last time.
Time will march on, Germany will eventually act like the Great Power it is and understanding that its wealth gives it obligations. It will take time, and I wish they'd hurry up but it is a lot of history to get over.
Stay with me now, this is a sensible point.
We've seen in the past how military defeat can sometimes lead to more virulent militarism. So yes, the Soviets and the Americans beat Germany in the war, but that didn't mean the automatic defeat of fascism.
Germans of the postwar era deserve a lot of credit for overcoming their past.
It didn't happen straight away. To begin there was a culture of silence, and memorials to the victims of the the holocaust tended to be vague or even absent. But in later decades, I think from the late 60s if memory serves, a more serious self-reckoning came about, especially in the younger generations. The silence was dropped and the world became a markedly better place for it.
It also greatly suited France, which saw (and arguably still sees) the purpose of the EU in its original incarnation as a pedestal from which German economic heft could be used to project French power (not how it ultimately ended up, but Macron may yet get his way!).
The political culture in Germany is not purely internally cultivated, it was actively encouraged from abroad.
I'm in Saxony and Berlin next month, will wear Ukrainian colours and see what rx I get.
Worth noting that Russian soldiers are doing to Ukrayinki exactly what they did to Berlinerinnen in '45.0 -
Except it isn't, there are now Tory MPs in Burnley and Stoke and Walsall and Dudley. LD MPs in Richmond Park and Chesham and Amersham and Westminster has a Labour Council and on current polls will have a Labour MP in 2024 as Esher and Walton will have a LD MP. 2 of the wealthiest constituencies without a Conservative MP.EPG said:
If that were true then Johnson would be winning Knowsley and Starmer would be winning Chesham. But it's still the case that economics determines the overall tilt of the country, outside areas like London which are closer to ethnicity voting.HYUFD said:
Johnson and Starmer are both relatively economically centrist. Neither are Thatcherites but neither are Corbynite socialists either.Carnyx said:
Mr Johnson isn't a raving leftie as well? News to me. And to Mr Plunkett-Ernle-Erle-Drax MP.HYUFD said:
He is a socialist, he wants to tax both and backs a wealth tax toorkrkrk said:
Owen needs to wake up and realize that we need to be focusing taxes on wealth not income.rottenborough said:rottenborough said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh
Includes this: Labour is likely to ditch
@jeremycorbyn92 's 2019 pledge to hike income tax on those earning more than £80,000.
Party is looking at more 'creative ways' of making the rich pay more.
===
Thoughts and prayers to Owen Jones this evening...
Wow. This outrage train was on time!!!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
29m
Keir Starmer ran the most dishonest campaign for the leadership of a political party in British democratic history.
This was literally his first pledge!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
27m
One of Keir Starmer's aides literally rang me in the leadership campaign to make a big song and dance about his commitment to hike income tax for everyone earning more than £80,000.
I asked if it was definitely 100% cast iron: I was told absolutely 100% cast iron.
Amazing.
.https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/23/labour-wealth-tax-economy
The main divide between them is on Brexit and Woke not economics
As recent elections in Australia, France and the US prove the current divide is not on economics and wealth anymore so much as age and education level1 -
Some would suggest that the answer is to get rid of the locals and replace them with migrants who will live ten to a caravan.rcs1000 said:
I don't think that's necessarily true. There are places - like ski resorts or much of the Hamptons - that have massive seasonal population differences. And that's fine.pigeon said:As far as I'm concerned, residential properties are places for people to reside. So, yes, you will have cases such as undergraduate student accommodation where they are bound to lie empty for a while, but it doesn't seem unreasonable to expect them to be occupied for at least the bulk of the year. Under-occupied homes that are left lying empty for eight or nine months of every year constitute a form of parasitism upon the communities in which they are located. It seems reasonable that their owners ought at least to be made to compensate those communities accordingly.
The problem comes when an existing community sees an ever greater proportion of properties becoming second homes or occasional holiday lets. In that situation, the town can be starved of the residents it needs year round to maintain services.1 -
Logs on.
Sees we're discussing chicks with dicks, again.
Logs off.
Night all. Have fun.3 -
Also. The Lake District has had problems recruiting folk to work in its restaurants and hotels. You can't afford to live there on minimum wage. And it's a bloody long commute from anywhere else with virtually no public transport.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
So. The idea that people's jobs depend on it is valid only up to a point.
It's true if you already own a house there. Or live with your parents.1 -
This looks like Ben Grant at the start:another_richard said:One Conservative MP has something to be proud of:
Ben Grant, 30, the son of Helen Grant, Conservative MP for Maidstone and The Weald, is among a platoon of foreign fighters supporting Ukraine’s efforts in the war against Russia.
i has verified footage that shows the squad of Western volunteers, made up of former special forces, preparing to mount their attack on a BTR – Russian armoured vehicle – from a forest in the Kharkhiv region in north eastern Ukraine.
It was filmed during a 15-hour operation on Thursday in which i understands that around eight Russian soldiers were killed, with a further 30 Russian troops killed in a firefight when the team of 13 US and British fighters later linked up with Ukrainian fighters to storm a Russian trench.
During the daring mission, a fighter emerges from the woodland and aims the shoulder-held Matador missile at the vehicle, which is seen in a clearing about 100 metres away.
Mr Grant, who spent more than five years as a commando in the Royal Marines, is heard shouting “shoot it now” and “mind the back blast”, before the missile is launched.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/son-of-british-mp-fighting-in-ukraine-destroys-russian-armoured-vehicle-alongside-team-of-volunteer-soldiers/ar-AAXNv9z?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=f8c288d84a774eaa895d91934f34b42d
https://twitter.com/Blue_Sauron/status/1530067008246751233?cxt=HHwWgoC90cv18bsqAAAA
0 -
Not sure "self awareness" is among his strengths.....
One of the hallmarks of a cult is that its members bend reality to satisfy their fantasies.
Just. Incredible.
https://twitter.com/OwenJones84/status/15299537761902510150 -
Sometimes you have to break cover and demonstrate that you are a fecking idiot.FrancisUrquhart said:Stella Creasy: ‘JK Rowling is wrong – a woman can have a penis’
‘Sometimes you have to break cover and be controversial,’ says the MP for Walthamstow and passionate campaigner for women and mothers
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/women/life/stella-creasy-jk-rowling-wrong-woman-can-have-penis/0 -
…
You are far too bright to have been at Eton in those days however the “having Boris as your fag/sweat” and all the possibilities is like “if I had taken out Hitler when he was younger” scenarios.IshmaelZ said:
No, but I can still dream that Boris was my fag at pop in oppidans.Leon said:
That REALLY isn’t “La Vice Anglaise”. You are clearly not a toff, nor a kinksterIshmaelZ said:
@Applicant likes to be shat on by toffs. La vice anglaise.Roger said:
It matters not a jot. Johnson has form and by a large margin is thought a liar and a rogue. Why would anyone waste their energy on the minutiae when the cap is such a perfect fitApplicant said:.
"Wrote an entirely new foreword (which isn't part of the Code)" makes the lie "deleted all references from the Code" "true in substance"??IshmaelZ said:
The fat crook took all references to those things out of the foreword so it is true in substance.Applicant said:
This has already been discussed, and it is not true.Tres said:Johnson's new ministerial code removes all references to honesty, integrity, transparency and accountability. The opposition attacks just write themselves don't they?
Do you not mind any of this? Do you think the natural order of things is that us peasants get lied to and laughed at by phat poshbois?
You're being laughed at by Labour politicians for swallowing their transparent lie.
Defending such nonsense makes him more safe. Focus on the real reasons that he needs to go.
Could you have stopped an egotistical madman who is obsessed with power who had a dodgy taste in women and his idea of a Party was distasteful and likewise could you have stopped Hitler.0 -
I had not seen them. I have to say having lived in Wales for many years and knowing several people working in tourism there I find those figures surprising and somewhat implausible. Do you still have the link? If it's a Welsh government website, harsh though it may sound I would say don't trust it. I loathe Boris Johnson, but he runs a tighter ship (and not in an alcoholic sense) than Drakeford.Farooq said:
Did you miss the figures I linked to earlier showing occupancy rates in Wales averaging along at about 55% for this type of accommodation? And North Wales occupancy rates are the highest in Wales? That doesn't really fit at all with what you're saying.ydoethur said:
You don't need to be partisan to moan at the Welsh government. They're so useless and out of date that if they were trying ferry procurement they'd end up trying to convert narrow gauge steam engines into amphibious vehicles.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
However, Big G is right in this case. The tourism industry in Wales is extremely seasonal - it effectively only runs from May to September and not every week in that time is busy. If this policy goes ahead it will whether intentionally or not shut down all the self-catering outside Cardiff itself. That will have an extremely nasty knock-on effect on tourism as a whole.
It's not a lot of use making houses more affordable if there are no jobs in the area anyway.
Also, if you have legitimate gripes with the Welsh government, fine and dandy. But as soon as you scratch the surface of the scare piece that G posted, you can see that it's just silly. That's why this is partisan moaning, not sensible criticism. The numbers simply do not support the idea that this would be have "extremely nasty" effects. This is a good policy.
About the only thing to say in favour of Plaid Llafur is that they're not Y Ceidwadwyr Cymru.1 -
Are you celebrating being on the side of the old and thick then?HYUFD said:
Except it isn't, there are now Tory MPs in Burnley and Stoke and Walsall and Dudley. LD MPs in Richmond Park and Chesham and Amersham and Westminster has a Labour Council and on current polls will have a Labour MP in 2024 as Esher and Walton will have a LD MP. 2 of the wealthiest constituencies without a Conservative MP.EPG said:
If that were true then Johnson would be winning Knowsley and Starmer would be winning Chesham. But it's still the case that economics determines the overall tilt of the country, outside areas like London which are closer to ethnicity voting.HYUFD said:
Johnson and Starmer are both relatively economically centrist. Neither are Thatcherites but neither are Corbynite socialists either.Carnyx said:
Mr Johnson isn't a raving leftie as well? News to me. And to Mr Plunkett-Ernle-Erle-Drax MP.HYUFD said:
He is a socialist, he wants to tax both and backs a wealth tax toorkrkrk said:
Owen needs to wake up and realize that we need to be focusing taxes on wealth not income.rottenborough said:rottenborough said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh
Includes this: Labour is likely to ditch
@jeremycorbyn92 's 2019 pledge to hike income tax on those earning more than £80,000.
Party is looking at more 'creative ways' of making the rich pay more.
===
Thoughts and prayers to Owen Jones this evening...
Wow. This outrage train was on time!!!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
29m
Keir Starmer ran the most dishonest campaign for the leadership of a political party in British democratic history.
This was literally his first pledge!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
27m
One of Keir Starmer's aides literally rang me in the leadership campaign to make a big song and dance about his commitment to hike income tax for everyone earning more than £80,000.
I asked if it was definitely 100% cast iron: I was told absolutely 100% cast iron.
Amazing.
.https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/23/labour-wealth-tax-economy
The main divide between them is on Brexit and Woke not economics
As recent elections in Australia, France and the US prove the current divide is not on economics and wealth anymore so much as age and education level
I'll choose young and smart every day.
I am deadly serious. This is a long-term issue.
Labour suffered for decades of being seen as the Party of the uneducated. The Tories were the Party of the clever.
A significant proportion of the working class loved to be associated with them to be thought better than their neighbours.
My maternal grandparents were two of them.0 -
Stop calling him old. He's younger than me.dixiedean said:
Are you celebrating being on the side of the old and thick then?HYUFD said:
Except it isn't, there are now Tory MPs in Burnley and Stoke and Walsall and Dudley. LD MPs in Richmond Park and Chesham and Amersham and Westminster has a Labour Council and on current polls will have a Labour MP in 2024 as Esher and Walton will have a LD MP. 2 of the wealthiest constituencies without a Conservative MP.EPG said:
If that were true then Johnson would be winning Knowsley and Starmer would be winning Chesham. But it's still the case that economics determines the overall tilt of the country, outside areas like London which are closer to ethnicity voting.HYUFD said:
Johnson and Starmer are both relatively economically centrist. Neither are Thatcherites but neither are Corbynite socialists either.Carnyx said:
Mr Johnson isn't a raving leftie as well? News to me. And to Mr Plunkett-Ernle-Erle-Drax MP.HYUFD said:
He is a socialist, he wants to tax both and backs a wealth tax toorkrkrk said:
Owen needs to wake up and realize that we need to be focusing taxes on wealth not income.rottenborough said:rottenborough said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh
Includes this: Labour is likely to ditch
@jeremycorbyn92 's 2019 pledge to hike income tax on those earning more than £80,000.
Party is looking at more 'creative ways' of making the rich pay more.
===
Thoughts and prayers to Owen Jones this evening...
Wow. This outrage train was on time!!!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
29m
Keir Starmer ran the most dishonest campaign for the leadership of a political party in British democratic history.
This was literally his first pledge!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
27m
One of Keir Starmer's aides literally rang me in the leadership campaign to make a big song and dance about his commitment to hike income tax for everyone earning more than £80,000.
I asked if it was definitely 100% cast iron: I was told absolutely 100% cast iron.
Amazing.
.https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/23/labour-wealth-tax-economy
The main divide between them is on Brexit and Woke not economics
As recent elections in Australia, France and the US prove the current divide is not on economics and wealth anymore so much as age and education level0 -
Pfizer is ramping Plaxlovid production massively at the moment. In the US, if you're vulnerable (which includes anyone 50 and up), you can basically go from a positive test to the pharmacy and get it.Foxy said:
Lockdowns and similar measures are only a way of buying time until vaccines, pharmaceuticals and hospital capacity can control in other ways. The first two are now here (a friend with lymphoma caught it and had the antivirals, giving less illness than ther family) the third depends on redeployment and cancelling routine work.Leon said:
I’ve had Covid at least once, quite possibly twice, maybe thriceohnotnow said:
I know it's not leading to an uptick in hospital/deaths - but a very high % of the people I know who've had it in the past few weeks have been proper f*cked (bedridden/fever for over a week). So still something to try and not catch I'd say (tricky/impossible though that may be). But maybe without the worry that you're going to end up with a tube down your neck wishing you'd put your affairs in order.Leon said:
Can anyone sane tell me whether to worry about omicron variants??Nigel_Foremain said:
Oh dear. Playground stuff. If you want to debate with the grownups you ought to wait until you have graduated to senior school.BlancheLivermore said:
Ok Nigelforgermanappeasementpolicies.Nigel_Foremain said:
I am not an apologist for him. The German nation has moved form being a militaristic nation to a pacifist one. You are clearly too dim to realise this and make sweeping generalisations and judgements based on childish anti-German prejudice.BlancheLivermore said:
Scholz apologists, on the other hand..Nigel_Foremain said:
I understand. Boris Johnson apologists generally have difficulty with paying attention beyond a few seconds.Applicant said:
I stopped reading there.Nigel_Foremain said:
What if it is a dumb recommendation? Someone with a modicum of decency might say, "hey that's not going to look good". But not your idolApplicant said:
When a politician is in a no-win situation, it's only fair to point that out.Nigel_Foremain said:
It has worked well for quite a long time, until this clown came into office. I have to congratulate you though, you must have a super thick skin and very flexible morals to be such an unapologetic apologist for Boris JohnsonApplicant said:Missing from the header: any mention of why the change was made.
But I guess it's too important that opposition politicians should be able to demand ministers' resignations for the most trivial of perceived transgressions.
He's done plenty of bad things. Implementing a recommendation from the Committee on Standards in Public Life is not one of them.
I’m having a hoot doing an odyssey around the world. I don’t want covid FUCKING IT UP AGAIN
No idea if it's just been atypical bad luck, new sub-variants, whatever - but not fun at all.
I think re-infections are heading for 10% even for people who had 'original' omicron. It's going to be an absolute pisser if we end up all getting re-infected and downed for a week every three months due to immune escape.
:: party hat emoji etc etc ::
I don’t care any more. If I have to get a flu-like illness every 6 months, so be it. It is still worth resuming normal life, it’s just a shitty new thing. Life is full of shitty new things, anyone over the age of 40 has experienced ageing. That’s consistently shitty, yet we cope
We simply have to accept that life now comes with a significant new element of risk and shitiness. But these might be solved with new vaccines, we can but pray
Never again must we lockdown
I don't think further lockdowns will be needed, but we need petmanant infrastructure to ensure that.
And Plaxlovid is a game changer - as well as reducing hospitalisations 90%, it dramatically shortens disease time for most people.0 -
Her comments are outrageous: she's denying that people with multiple penises can be women.FrancisUrquhart said:Stella Creasy: ‘JK Rowling is wrong – a woman can have a penis’
‘Sometimes you have to break cover and be controversial,’ says the MP for Walthamstow and passionate campaigner for women and mothers
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/women/life/stella-creasy-jk-rowling-wrong-woman-can-have-penis/
It's time to cancel Stella.3 -
I found the assertion bizarre. At the most basic level, just 35 years ago, East Berlin had no access to "hipster" products for the time like disposable cameras. They moved an entire federal government apparatus there, full of conservative German bureaucrats, and it seems that what little English-speaking tech/VC exists in old Europe is concentrated there. So overall it has gentrified massively. Mitte and Kreuzberg are on an entirely "hip" continuum. In the West the heroin problem has mostly been cleaned up or hushed up, and you'd never know Zoo station was once notorious, in fact Frankfurt Hbf feels far edgier than it.rcs1000 said:
Berlin is gentrifying: have you seen what rents are doing?Heathener said:p.s. I absolutely love Berlin.
Unlike some European cities gentrification has passed it by. I love the edginess.
Hire a bike on a weekend and cycle around the city: wonderful.1 -
North Wales is depopulating.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
The growth of holiday accommodation/second homes is caused by economic policy.
If there are no jobs, then there is rural depopulation. The consequent growth in holiday accommodation is caused by the depopulation -- not the other way round. There are empty houses that can be bought cheaply and turned into holiday lets. If they were not holiday lets, they'd fall into disrepair.
There are plenty of falling down, sad, derelict houses in almost all areas of North Wales. People used to live in those houses. They don't now because of depopulation.
As for your ideas in holiday lets in Wales in the winter -- they are bonkers.
Most tourist attractions in North Wales are shut in low season. Most restaurants are shut then (or have very limited hours).
No one is going to go and spend a few extra days in the middle of winter at Talsarnau, when there is nothing to do, nothing is open and the weather is wet, just because of Drakeford's idiotic policy.
I don't think Drakeford's plan makes much sense, apart from in some of the coastal resorts where second homes are a real problem (e.g. Aberdyfi, Tenby, Abersoch, Gwyr). In the rest of the country @Big_G_NorthWales is right -- they will destroy businesses and value.4 -
I think that is very astute analysis.YBarddCwsc said:
North Wales is depopulating.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
The growth of holiday accommodation/second homes is caused by economic policy.
If there are no jobs, then there is rural depopulation. The consequent growth in holiday accommodation is caused by the depopulation -- not the other way round. There are empty houses that can be bought cheaply and turned into holiday lets. If they were not holiday lets, they'd fall into disrepair.
There are plenty of falling down, sad, derelict houses in almost all areas of North Wales. People used to live in those houses. They don't now because of depopulation.
As for your ideas in holiday lets in Wales in the winter -- they are bonkers.
Most tourist attractions in North Wales are shut in low season. Most restaurants are shut then (or have very limited hours).
No one is going to go and spend a few extra days in the middle of winter at Talsarnau, when there is nothing to do, nothing is open and the weather is wet, just because of Drakeford's idiotic policy.
I don't think Drakeford's plan makes much sense, apart from in some of the coastal resorts where second homes are a real problem (e.g. Aberdyfi, Tenby, Abersoch, Gwyr). In the rest of the country @Big_G_NorthWales is right -- they will destroy businesses and value.1 -
That's because Frankfurt Hbf is dodgy as fuck.EPG said:
I found the assertion bizarre. At the most basic level, just 35 years ago, East Berlin had no access to "hipster" products for the time like disposable cameras. They moved an entire federal government apparatus there, full of conservative German bureaucrats, and it seems that what little English-speaking tech/VC exists in old Europe is concentrated there. So overall it has gentrified massively. Mitte and Kreuzberg are on an entirely "hip" continuum. In the West the heroin problem has mostly been cleaned up or hushed up, and you'd never know Zoo station was once notorious, in fact Frankfurt Hbf feels far edgier than it.rcs1000 said:
Berlin is gentrifying: have you seen what rents are doing?Heathener said:p.s. I absolutely love Berlin.
Unlike some European cities gentrification has passed it by. I love the edginess.
Hire a bike on a weekend and cycle around the city: wonderful.0 -
No, the party of those who hold traditional Conservative values will generally have older voters.dixiedean said:
Are you celebrating being on the side of the old and thick then?HYUFD said:
Except it isn't, there are now Tory MPs in Burnley and Stoke and Walsall and Dudley. LD MPs in Richmond Park and Chesham and Amersham and Westminster has a Labour Council and on current polls will have a Labour MP in 2024 as Esher and Walton will have a LD MP. 2 of the wealthiest constituencies without a Conservative MP.EPG said:
If that were true then Johnson would be winning Knowsley and Starmer would be winning Chesham. But it's still the case that economics determines the overall tilt of the country, outside areas like London which are closer to ethnicity voting.HYUFD said:
Johnson and Starmer are both relatively economically centrist. Neither are Thatcherites but neither are Corbynite socialists either.Carnyx said:
Mr Johnson isn't a raving leftie as well? News to me. And to Mr Plunkett-Ernle-Erle-Drax MP.HYUFD said:
He is a socialist, he wants to tax both and backs a wealth tax toorkrkrk said:
Owen needs to wake up and realize that we need to be focusing taxes on wealth not income.rottenborough said:rottenborough said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh
Includes this: Labour is likely to ditch
@jeremycorbyn92 's 2019 pledge to hike income tax on those earning more than £80,000.
Party is looking at more 'creative ways' of making the rich pay more.
===
Thoughts and prayers to Owen Jones this evening...
Wow. This outrage train was on time!!!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
29m
Keir Starmer ran the most dishonest campaign for the leadership of a political party in British democratic history.
This was literally his first pledge!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
27m
One of Keir Starmer's aides literally rang me in the leadership campaign to make a big song and dance about his commitment to hike income tax for everyone earning more than £80,000.
I asked if it was definitely 100% cast iron: I was told absolutely 100% cast iron.
Amazing.
.https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/23/labour-wealth-tax-economy
The main divide between them is on Brexit and Woke not economics
As recent elections in Australia, France and the US prove the current divide is not on economics and wealth anymore so much as age and education level
I'll choose young and smart every day.
I am deadly serious. This is a long-term issue.
Labour suffered for decades of being seen as the Party of the uneducated. The Tories were the Party of the clever.
A significant proportion of the working class loved to be associated with them to be thought better than their neighbours.
My maternal grandparents were two of them.
It is not necessarily the old and thick either, for example the Conservatives won graduates over 55 at the last general election and Labour won under 35s with no qualifications.
There is no longer any real difference between how middle class ABC1s vote and working class C2DEs vote, is the main point. In the 1970s by contrast there was huge difference, ABC1s voted Tory or Liberal overwhelmingly and C2DEs voted Labour overwhelmingly.
Now the main difference is age not class1 -
Johnson continues to debase politics and his latest action regarding the ministerial code of conduct is an utter disgrace .
1 -
Some humor:
2 -
I would respectively suggest to those who clearly do not know or experience our holiday industry, that I trust those in the industry here who are issuing warnings to Cardiff of the economic damage their policies including the ridiculous tourist tax are going to inflict on the whole North Wales areaYBarddCwsc said:
North Wales is depopulating.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
The growth of holiday accommodation/second homes is caused by economic policy.
If there are no jobs, then there is rural depopulation. The consequent growth in holiday accommodation is caused by the depopulation -- not the other way round. There are empty houses that can be bought cheaply and turned into holiday lets. If they were not holiday lets, they'd fall into disrepair.
There are plenty of falling down, sad, derelict houses in almost all areas of North Wales. People used to live in those houses. They don't now because of depopulation.
As for your ideas in holiday lets in Wales in the winter -- they are bonkers.
Most tourist attractions in North Wales are shut in low season. Most restaurants are shut then (or have very limited hours).
No one is going to go and spend a few extra days in the middle of winter at Talsarnau, when there is nothing to do, nothing is open and the weather is wet, just because of Drakeford's idiotic policy.
I don't think Drakeford's plan makes much sense, apart from in some of the coastal resorts where second homes are a real problem (e.g. Aberdyfi, Tenby, Abersoch, Gwyr). In the rest of the country @Big_G_NorthWales is right -- they will destroy businesses and value.0 -
Well, I can't give you evidence, because it grows out of my observations at close quarters. All I can tell you is that my personal experience, having worked for them, is that I would trust Boris Johnson ahead of an official of the Welsh Government.Farooq said:
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdfydoethur said:
I had not seen them. I have to say having lived in Wales for many years and knowing several people working in tourism there I find those figures surprising and somewhat implausible. Do you still have the link? If it's a Welsh government website, harsh though it may sound I would say don't trust it. I loathe Boris Johnson, but he runs a tighter ship (and not in an alcoholic sense) than Drakeford.Farooq said:
Did you miss the figures I linked to earlier showing occupancy rates in Wales averaging along at about 55% for this type of accommodation? And North Wales occupancy rates are the highest in Wales? That doesn't really fit at all with what you're saying.ydoethur said:
You don't need to be partisan to moan at the Welsh government. They're so useless and out of date that if they were trying ferry procurement they'd end up trying to convert narrow gauge steam engines into amphibious vehicles.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
However, Big G is right in this case. The tourism industry in Wales is extremely seasonal - it effectively only runs from May to September and not every week in that time is busy. If this policy goes ahead it will whether intentionally or not shut down all the self-catering outside Cardiff itself. That will have an extremely nasty knock-on effect on tourism as a whole.
It's not a lot of use making houses more affordable if there are no jobs in the area anyway.
Also, if you have legitimate gripes with the Welsh government, fine and dandy. But as soon as you scratch the surface of the scare piece that G posted, you can see that it's just silly. That's why this is partisan moaning, not sensible criticism. The numbers simply do not support the idea that this would be have "extremely nasty" effects. This is a good policy.
About the only thing to say in favour of Plaid Llafur is that they're not Y Ceidwadwyr Cymru.
I don't really know what to say about you not trusting government publications. I don't want to pooh pooh that out of hand because scepticism is healthy, but it's an extraordinary claim that would require extraordinary evidence.
And I would struggle to trust Boris Johnson if he told me rain was wet.
Thank you for the link, I will check it out. But I am deeply sceptical of this idea and the value of the stats.0 -
Its an interesting debate and one, as a total outsider, I think many people are making good points which may or not be relevant to the particular issues of holiday lets in Wales.rcs1000 said:
I think that is very astute analysis.YBarddCwsc said:
North Wales is depopulating.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
The growth of holiday accommodation/second homes is caused by economic policy.
If there are no jobs, then there is rural depopulation. The consequent growth in holiday accommodation is caused by the depopulation -- not the other way round. There are empty houses that can be bought cheaply and turned into holiday lets. If they were not holiday lets, they'd fall into disrepair.
There are plenty of falling down, sad, derelict houses in almost all areas of North Wales. People used to live in those houses. They don't now because of depopulation.
As for your ideas in holiday lets in Wales in the winter -- they are bonkers.
Most tourist attractions in North Wales are shut in low season. Most restaurants are shut then (or have very limited hours).
No one is going to go and spend a few extra days in the middle of winter at Talsarnau, when there is nothing to do, nothing is open and the weather is wet, just because of Drakeford's idiotic policy.
I don't think Drakeford's plan makes much sense, apart from in some of the coastal resorts where second homes are a real problem (e.g. Aberdyfi, Tenby, Abersoch, Gwyr). In the rest of the country @Big_G_NorthWales is right -- they will destroy businesses and value.
Or to put it another way a policy which may make sense in the Lakes District may not in the Peak District or North Wales.
Yet its easy to assume that similar policies would have similar effects in seemingly similar areas.3 -
"It is not necessarily the old and thick"...HYUFD said:
No, the party of those who hold traditional Conservative values will generally have older voters.dixiedean said:
Are you celebrating being on the side of the old and thick then?HYUFD said:
Except it isn't, there are now Tory MPs in Burnley and Stoke and Walsall and Dudley. LD MPs in Richmond Park and Chesham and Amersham and Westminster has a Labour Council and on current polls will have a Labour MP in 2024 as Esher and Walton will have a LD MP. 2 of the wealthiest constituencies without a Conservative MP.EPG said:
If that were true then Johnson would be winning Knowsley and Starmer would be winning Chesham. But it's still the case that economics determines the overall tilt of the country, outside areas like London which are closer to ethnicity voting.HYUFD said:
Johnson and Starmer are both relatively economically centrist. Neither are Thatcherites but neither are Corbynite socialists either.Carnyx said:
Mr Johnson isn't a raving leftie as well? News to me. And to Mr Plunkett-Ernle-Erle-Drax MP.HYUFD said:
He is a socialist, he wants to tax both and backs a wealth tax toorkrkrk said:
Owen needs to wake up and realize that we need to be focusing taxes on wealth not income.rottenborough said:rottenborough said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh
Includes this: Labour is likely to ditch
@jeremycorbyn92 's 2019 pledge to hike income tax on those earning more than £80,000.
Party is looking at more 'creative ways' of making the rich pay more.
===
Thoughts and prayers to Owen Jones this evening...
Wow. This outrage train was on time!!!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
29m
Keir Starmer ran the most dishonest campaign for the leadership of a political party in British democratic history.
This was literally his first pledge!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
27m
One of Keir Starmer's aides literally rang me in the leadership campaign to make a big song and dance about his commitment to hike income tax for everyone earning more than £80,000.
I asked if it was definitely 100% cast iron: I was told absolutely 100% cast iron.
Amazing.
.https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/23/labour-wealth-tax-economy
The main divide between them is on Brexit and Woke not economics
As recent elections in Australia, France and the US prove the current divide is not on economics and wealth anymore so much as age and education level
I'll choose young and smart every day.
I am deadly serious. This is a long-term issue.
Labour suffered for decades of being seen as the Party of the uneducated. The Tories were the Party of the clever.
A significant proportion of the working class loved to be associated with them to be thought better than their neighbours.
My maternal grandparents were two of them.
It is not necessarily the old and thick either, for example the Conservatives won graduates over 55 at the last general election and Labour won under 35s with no qualifications.
There is no longer any real difference between how middle class ABC1s vote and working class C2DEs vote, is the main point. In the 1970s by contrast there was huge difference, ABC1s voted Tory or Liberal overwhelmingly and C2DEs voted Labour overwhelmingly.
Now the main difference is age not class
OK...1 -
Also spot on. North Wales does not have a problem with a lack of affordable housing for workers. By contrast, the Lake District does.another_richard said:
Its an interesting debate and one, as a total outsider, I think many people are making good points which may or not be relevant to the particular issues of holiday lets in Wales.rcs1000 said:
I think that is very astute analysis.YBarddCwsc said:
North Wales is depopulating.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
The growth of holiday accommodation/second homes is caused by economic policy.
If there are no jobs, then there is rural depopulation. The consequent growth in holiday accommodation is caused by the depopulation -- not the other way round. There are empty houses that can be bought cheaply and turned into holiday lets. If they were not holiday lets, they'd fall into disrepair.
There are plenty of falling down, sad, derelict houses in almost all areas of North Wales. People used to live in those houses. They don't now because of depopulation.
As for your ideas in holiday lets in Wales in the winter -- they are bonkers.
Most tourist attractions in North Wales are shut in low season. Most restaurants are shut then (or have very limited hours).
No one is going to go and spend a few extra days in the middle of winter at Talsarnau, when there is nothing to do, nothing is open and the weather is wet, just because of Drakeford's idiotic policy.
I don't think Drakeford's plan makes much sense, apart from in some of the coastal resorts where second homes are a real problem (e.g. Aberdyfi, Tenby, Abersoch, Gwyr). In the rest of the country @Big_G_NorthWales is right -- they will destroy businesses and value.
Or to put it another way a policy which may make sense in the Lakes District may not in the Peak District or North Wales.
Yet its easy to assume that similar policies would have similar effects in seemingly similar areas.1 -
Yes it is. It is all about age right now. Far, far more than appreciated. Do you choose to be old or young? I choose young.HYUFD said:
No, the party of those who hold traditional Conservative values will generally have older voters.dixiedean said:
Are you celebrating being on the side of the old and thick then?HYUFD said:
Except it isn't, there are now Tory MPs in Burnley and Stoke and Walsall and Dudley. LD MPs in Richmond Park and Chesham and Amersham and Westminster has a Labour Council and on current polls will have a Labour MP in 2024 as Esher and Walton will have a LD MP. 2 of the wealthiest constituencies without a Conservative MP.EPG said:
If that were true then Johnson would be winning Knowsley and Starmer would be winning Chesham. But it's still the case that economics determines the overall tilt of the country, outside areas like London which are closer to ethnicity voting.HYUFD said:
Johnson and Starmer are both relatively economically centrist. Neither are Thatcherites but neither are Corbynite socialists either.Carnyx said:
Mr Johnson isn't a raving leftie as well? News to me. And to Mr Plunkett-Ernle-Erle-Drax MP.HYUFD said:
He is a socialist, he wants to tax both and backs a wealth tax toorkrkrk said:
Owen needs to wake up and realize that we need to be focusing taxes on wealth not income.rottenborough said:rottenborough said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh
Includes this: Labour is likely to ditch
@jeremycorbyn92 's 2019 pledge to hike income tax on those earning more than £80,000.
Party is looking at more 'creative ways' of making the rich pay more.
===
Thoughts and prayers to Owen Jones this evening...
Wow. This outrage train was on time!!!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
29m
Keir Starmer ran the most dishonest campaign for the leadership of a political party in British democratic history.
This was literally his first pledge!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
27m
One of Keir Starmer's aides literally rang me in the leadership campaign to make a big song and dance about his commitment to hike income tax for everyone earning more than £80,000.
I asked if it was definitely 100% cast iron: I was told absolutely 100% cast iron.
Amazing.
.https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/23/labour-wealth-tax-economy
The main divide between them is on Brexit and Woke not economics
As recent elections in Australia, France and the US prove the current divide is not on economics and wealth anymore so much as age and education level
I'll choose young and smart every day.
I am deadly serious. This is a long-term issue.
Labour suffered for decades of being seen as the Party of the uneducated. The Tories were the Party of the clever.
A significant proportion of the working class loved to be associated with them to be thought better than their neighbours.
My maternal grandparents were two of them.
It is not necessarily the old and thick either, for example the Conservatives won graduates over 55 at the last general election and Labour won under 35s with no qualifications.
There is no longer any real difference between how middle class ABC1s vote and working class C2DEs vote, is the main point. In the 1970s by contrast there was huge difference, ABC1s voted Tory or Liberal overwhelmingly and C2DEs voted Labour overwhelmingly.
Now the main difference is age not class
And with the continual attacks on lawyers, teachers and students it's becoming do you choose to be educated or a bit dim?
I choose educated.
It's basic marketing. Short term it works but longer it's a disaster for your Party.0 -
I think it more probable that something will crack, probably the Russian war machine followed by the Russian state.NickPalmer said:
I agree. My impression (but what do I know?) is that Russia will get to the edge of Donbas in a month or two, but the flow of Western arms will then encourage the Ukrainians to counter-attack. I suspect we'll then see a war of attirition, as HYUFD says, and eventually there will be an uneasy cease-fire.HYUFD said:
Most likely it will end up a prolonged war of attrition in the Donbas. It won't be WW3 unless Russia invades a NATO stateLeon said:More Guardian live-blog
“The Kremlin is considering a second assault on Kyiv despite failing to capture the Ukrainian capital at the outset of the war, according to the independent news website, Meduza.
Sources close to the Kremlin and inside the Putin administration said confidence has spread to the leadership of United Russia, the country’s ruling political party, that a full-scale victory in Ukraine is possible before the end of the year.
One source said:
We’ll grind them [the Ukrainians] down in the end. The whole thing will probably be over by the fall.
Russia’s leadership has “minimum” and “maximum” thresholds for declaring a successful and completed “special military operation” in Ukraine, sources said.
The bare minimum needed to declare victory is the complete capture of the Donbas region, according to sources, while the maximum goal would be the capture of Kyiv.
The editor of the English-language edition of Meduza, Kevin Rothrock, said the report suggests that Ukraine is losing the “information war” for the first time since the invasion.
Many ways to interpret this: (1) the mood inside the Kremlin shifts faster than a temperamental teen’s, (2) Kyiv’s alarm-signaling is largely about expediting/sustaining Western aid, (3) Western fatigue is real (the energy crisis & U.S. midterms mean a whole new ballgame soon)”
I reckon this means WW3
WW3? Nah.0 -
If a US politician wanted to be radical they could suggest increasing the age limit to buy a gun to 21 and reducing the age limit to buy alcohol to 18.rcs1000 said:Some humor:
5 -
It is not so much they are shut as the holidaymakers come between March and OctoberFarooq said:
Except occupancy rates are already above the thresholds that will be affected by this!YBarddCwsc said:
North Wales is depopulating.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
The growth of holiday accommodation/second homes is caused by economic policy.
If there are no jobs, then there is rural depopulation. The consequent growth in holiday accommodation is caused by the depopulation -- not the other way round. There are empty houses that can be bought cheaply and turned into holiday lets. If they were not holiday lets, they'd fall into disrepair.
There are plenty of falling down, sad, derelict houses in almost all areas of North Wales. People used to live in those houses. They don't now because of depopulation.
As for your ideas in holiday lets in Wales in the winter -- they are bonkers.
Most tourist attractions in North Wales are shut in low season. Most restaurants are shut then (or have very limited hours).
No one is going to go and spend a few extra days in the middle of winter at Talsarnau, when there is nothing to do, nothing is open and the weather is wet, just because of Drakeford's idiotic policy.
I don't think Drakeford's plan makes much sense, apart from in some of the coastal resorts where second homes are a real problem (e.g. Aberdyfi, Tenby, Abersoch, Gwyr). In the rest of the country @Big_G_NorthWales is right -- they will destroy businesses and value.
This isn't a policy that will affect the average let. It's the ones that are taking up space and not generating income. An empty guest house doesn't do anything for the local economy.
Since we're talking about empty properties, it seems to be more of a South Wales problem:
https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/homes-property/part-wales-highest-number-empty-21360295
As for "tourist attractions" being shut in the winter, that really depends. Museums and galleries are often open outside high season. Natural spaces like Snowdonia, Holy Island, Alyn Waters are open all year round.
Furthermore the prices in Colwyn Bay are hardly affected by second homes
https://www.home.co.uk/guides/house_prices.htm?location=colwyn_bay0 -
.
To be fair to HYUFD, there been a lot of disinformation, and outright lying from the authorities (including the governor).IshmaelZ said:
No he wasn'tHYUFD said:
The gunman was in the end shot by the policerottenborough said:
Might as well defund the police if they are just going to stand around cleaning their guns while the slaughter takes place.Leon said:This must be the end of several careers (Guardian liveblog)
“The head of the Texas department of public safety has said “there’s no excuse” for officers not trying to break into the elementary school classroom as the gunman fired away.”
Not that it helps any of the poor bereaved people. Tho it might assist America in sorting out its ludicrously fucked police/guns/crime dysfunction
The reflexive police worship of commentators over there (“our brave first responders”, etc) has to be tuned out.0 -
I think, on a quick look at these statistics, you're taking a very generous view of 'occupancy.' Those figures are averages. Even if they're accurate, which isn't a given, it seems likely those places in the absolute hotspots, as @YBarddCwsc has identified, will be doing rather better than those outside them, and that they will be dragging the figure up. Since it's also quite close to the threshold, even in North Wales which you identified as the highest occupancy standing at just 61%, that suggests a lot of them are below the necessary occupancy rate.Farooq said:
Except occupancy rates are already above the thresholds that will be affected by this!YBarddCwsc said:
North Wales is depopulating.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
The growth of holiday accommodation/second homes is caused by economic policy.
If there are no jobs, then there is rural depopulation. The consequent growth in holiday accommodation is caused by the depopulation -- not the other way round. There are empty houses that can be bought cheaply and turned into holiday lets. If they were not holiday lets, they'd fall into disrepair.
There are plenty of falling down, sad, derelict houses in almost all areas of North Wales. People used to live in those houses. They don't now because of depopulation.
As for your ideas in holiday lets in Wales in the winter -- they are bonkers.
Most tourist attractions in North Wales are shut in low season. Most restaurants are shut then (or have very limited hours).
No one is going to go and spend a few extra days in the middle of winter at Talsarnau, when there is nothing to do, nothing is open and the weather is wet, just because of Drakeford's idiotic policy.
I don't think Drakeford's plan makes much sense, apart from in some of the coastal resorts where second homes are a real problem (e.g. Aberdyfi, Tenby, Abersoch, Gwyr). In the rest of the country @Big_G_NorthWales is right -- they will destroy businesses and value.
This isn't a policy that will affect the average let. It's the ones that are taking up space and not generating income. An empty guest house doesn't do anything for the local economy.
Since we're talking about empty properties, it seems to be more of a South Wales problem:
https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/homes-property/part-wales-highest-number-empty-21360295
As for "tourist attractions" being shut in the winter, that really depends. Museums and galleries are often open outside high season. Natural spaces like Snowdonia, Holy Island, Alyn Waters are open all year round.
Therefore, it might actually not affect housing in the hotspots where it would be useful to have a market selection, while hammering those in other areas where work is already precarious.
Ultimately, Drakeford appears to be doing a Johnson in using a blunt instrument to achieve a good headline but not thinking about the potentially disastrous consequences.2 -
Mostly these "Red Wall" seats are not deprived areas but rather have either improved their service economies or commuter populations since the Thatcher era, or are areas with historical patterns of backlash votes against immigration. Regardless, the most deprived areas like Knowsley and Hull still vote Labour and the least deprived areas still vote Tory or LD. But most areas are somewhere in-between and of course other factors matter at the margin. Then you have the strong polarisation on ethnicity in majority-minority areas and nearby WWC areas.HYUFD said:
Except it isn't, there are now Tory MPs in Burnley and Stoke and Walsall and Dudley. LD MPs in Richmond Park and Chesham and Amersham and Westminster has a Labour Council and on current polls will have a Labour MP in 2024 as Esher and Walton will have a LD MP. 2 of the wealthiest constituencies without a Conservative MP.EPG said:
If that were true then Johnson would be winning Knowsley and Starmer would be winning Chesham. But it's still the case that economics determines the overall tilt of the country, outside areas like London which are closer to ethnicity voting.HYUFD said:
Johnson and Starmer are both relatively economically centrist. Neither are Thatcherites but neither are Corbynite socialists either.Carnyx said:
Mr Johnson isn't a raving leftie as well? News to me. And to Mr Plunkett-Ernle-Erle-Drax MP.HYUFD said:
He is a socialist, he wants to tax both and backs a wealth tax toorkrkrk said:
Owen needs to wake up and realize that we need to be focusing taxes on wealth not income.rottenborough said:rottenborough said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh
Includes this: Labour is likely to ditch
@jeremycorbyn92 's 2019 pledge to hike income tax on those earning more than £80,000.
Party is looking at more 'creative ways' of making the rich pay more.
===
Thoughts and prayers to Owen Jones this evening...
Wow. This outrage train was on time!!!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
29m
Keir Starmer ran the most dishonest campaign for the leadership of a political party in British democratic history.
This was literally his first pledge!
Owen Jones 🌹
@OwenJones84
·
27m
One of Keir Starmer's aides literally rang me in the leadership campaign to make a big song and dance about his commitment to hike income tax for everyone earning more than £80,000.
I asked if it was definitely 100% cast iron: I was told absolutely 100% cast iron.
Amazing.
.https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/23/labour-wealth-tax-economy
The main divide between them is on Brexit and Woke not economics
As recent elections in Australia, France and the US prove the current divide is not on economics and wealth anymore so much as age and education level1 -
As does the Peak District.rcs1000 said:
Also spot on. North Wales does not have a problem with a lack of affordable housing for workers. By contrast, the Lake District does.another_richard said:
Its an interesting debate and one, as a total outsider, I think many people are making good points which may or not be relevant to the particular issues of holiday lets in Wales.rcs1000 said:
I think that is very astute analysis.YBarddCwsc said:
North Wales is depopulating.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
The growth of holiday accommodation/second homes is caused by economic policy.
If there are no jobs, then there is rural depopulation. The consequent growth in holiday accommodation is caused by the depopulation -- not the other way round. There are empty houses that can be bought cheaply and turned into holiday lets. If they were not holiday lets, they'd fall into disrepair.
There are plenty of falling down, sad, derelict houses in almost all areas of North Wales. People used to live in those houses. They don't now because of depopulation.
As for your ideas in holiday lets in Wales in the winter -- they are bonkers.
Most tourist attractions in North Wales are shut in low season. Most restaurants are shut then (or have very limited hours).
No one is going to go and spend a few extra days in the middle of winter at Talsarnau, when there is nothing to do, nothing is open and the weather is wet, just because of Drakeford's idiotic policy.
I don't think Drakeford's plan makes much sense, apart from in some of the coastal resorts where second homes are a real problem (e.g. Aberdyfi, Tenby, Abersoch, Gwyr). In the rest of the country @Big_G_NorthWales is right -- they will destroy businesses and value.
Or to put it another way a policy which may make sense in the Lakes District may not in the Peak District or North Wales.
Yet its easy to assume that similar policies would have similar effects in seemingly similar areas.
But I'll guess that in the Lakes its holiday homes whereas in the Peaks its commuters to Sheffield, Manchester etc.0 -
Farooq said:
Do that, and keep in mind what's being proposed here. Drakeford isn't carting B&B owners off to Siberia. The policy is really quite reasonable. Charging houses that are sat empty council tax instead of business rates. The article G pasted is really a total overreaction.ydoethur said:
Well, I can't give you evidence, because it grows out of my observations at close quarters. All I can tell you is that my personal experience, having worked for them, is that I would trust Boris Johnson ahead of an official of the Welsh Government.Farooq said:
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdfydoethur said:
I had not seen them. I have to say having lived in Wales for many years and knowing several people working in tourism there I find those figures surprising and somewhat implausible. Do you still have the link? If it's a Welsh government website, harsh though it may sound I would say don't trust it. I loathe Boris Johnson, but he runs a tighter ship (and not in an alcoholic sense) than Drakeford.Farooq said:
Did you miss the figures I linked to earlier showing occupancy rates in Wales averaging along at about 55% for this type of accommodation? And North Wales occupancy rates are the highest in Wales? That doesn't really fit at all with what you're saying.ydoethur said:
You don't need to be partisan to moan at the Welsh government. They're so useless and out of date that if they were trying ferry procurement they'd end up trying to convert narrow gauge steam engines into amphibious vehicles.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
However, Big G is right in this case. The tourism industry in Wales is extremely seasonal - it effectively only runs from May to September and not every week in that time is busy. If this policy goes ahead it will whether intentionally or not shut down all the self-catering outside Cardiff itself. That will have an extremely nasty knock-on effect on tourism as a whole.
It's not a lot of use making houses more affordable if there are no jobs in the area anyway.
Also, if you have legitimate gripes with the Welsh government, fine and dandy. But as soon as you scratch the surface of the scare piece that G posted, you can see that it's just silly. That's why this is partisan moaning, not sensible criticism. The numbers simply do not support the idea that this would be have "extremely nasty" effects. This is a good policy.
About the only thing to say in favour of Plaid Llafur is that they're not Y Ceidwadwyr Cymru.
I don't really know what to say about you not trusting government publications. I don't want to pooh pooh that out of hand because scepticism is healthy, but it's an extraordinary claim that would require extraordinary evidence.
And I would struggle to trust Boris Johnson if he told me rain was wet.
Thank you for the link, I will check it out. But I am deeply sceptical of this idea and the value of the stats.
If it was reasonably why is the holiday industry in uproar and name anywhere else in the UK that is going to impose a tourist tax0 -
Sounds like United Russia is as deluded as Putin.NorthofStoke said:
I think it more probable that something will crack, probably the Russian war machine followed by the Russian state.NickPalmer said:
I agree. My impression (but what do I know?) is that Russia will get to the edge of Donbas in a month or two, but the flow of Western arms will then encourage the Ukrainians to counter-attack. I suspect we'll then see a war of attirition, as HYUFD says, and eventually there will be an uneasy cease-fire.HYUFD said:
Most likely it will end up a prolonged war of attrition in the Donbas. It won't be WW3 unless Russia invades a NATO stateLeon said:More Guardian live-blog
“The Kremlin is considering a second assault on Kyiv despite failing to capture the Ukrainian capital at the outset of the war, according to the independent news website, Meduza.
Sources close to the Kremlin and inside the Putin administration said confidence has spread to the leadership of United Russia, the country’s ruling political party, that a full-scale victory in Ukraine is possible before the end of the year.
One source said:
We’ll grind them [the Ukrainians] down in the end. The whole thing will probably be over by the fall.
Russia’s leadership has “minimum” and “maximum” thresholds for declaring a successful and completed “special military operation” in Ukraine, sources said.
The bare minimum needed to declare victory is the complete capture of the Donbas region, according to sources, while the maximum goal would be the capture of Kyiv.
The editor of the English-language edition of Meduza, Kevin Rothrock, said the report suggests that Ukraine is losing the “information war” for the first time since the invasion.
Many ways to interpret this: (1) the mood inside the Kremlin shifts faster than a temperamental teen’s, (2) Kyiv’s alarm-signaling is largely about expediting/sustaining Western aid, (3) Western fatigue is real (the energy crisis & U.S. midterms mean a whole new ballgame soon)”
I reckon this means WW3
WW3? Nah.
0 -
By August we will be in total stalemate.rottenborough said:
Sounds like United Russia is as deluded as Putin.NorthofStoke said:
I think it more probable that something will crack, probably the Russian war machine followed by the Russian state.NickPalmer said:
I agree. My impression (but what do I know?) is that Russia will get to the edge of Donbas in a month or two, but the flow of Western arms will then encourage the Ukrainians to counter-attack. I suspect we'll then see a war of attirition, as HYUFD says, and eventually there will be an uneasy cease-fire.HYUFD said:
Most likely it will end up a prolonged war of attrition in the Donbas. It won't be WW3 unless Russia invades a NATO stateLeon said:More Guardian live-blog
“The Kremlin is considering a second assault on Kyiv despite failing to capture the Ukrainian capital at the outset of the war, according to the independent news website, Meduza.
Sources close to the Kremlin and inside the Putin administration said confidence has spread to the leadership of United Russia, the country’s ruling political party, that a full-scale victory in Ukraine is possible before the end of the year.
One source said:
We’ll grind them [the Ukrainians] down in the end. The whole thing will probably be over by the fall.
Russia’s leadership has “minimum” and “maximum” thresholds for declaring a successful and completed “special military operation” in Ukraine, sources said.
The bare minimum needed to declare victory is the complete capture of the Donbas region, according to sources, while the maximum goal would be the capture of Kyiv.
The editor of the English-language edition of Meduza, Kevin Rothrock, said the report suggests that Ukraine is losing the “information war” for the first time since the invasion.
Many ways to interpret this: (1) the mood inside the Kremlin shifts faster than a temperamental teen’s, (2) Kyiv’s alarm-signaling is largely about expediting/sustaining Western aid, (3) Western fatigue is real (the energy crisis & U.S. midterms mean a whole new ballgame soon)”
I reckon this means WW3
WW3? Nah.
Then the talks can begin perhaps.0 -
Is it just me or is the PB comment sections getting alot more heated nowadays....1
-
I actually live in a formally very prosperous town in North Wales.Farooq said:
Except occupancy rates are already above the thresholds that will be affected by this!YBarddCwsc said:
North Wales is depopulating.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
The growth of holiday accommodation/second homes is caused by economic policy.
If there are no jobs, then there is rural depopulation. The consequent growth in holiday accommodation is caused by the depopulation -- not the other way round. There are empty houses that can be bought cheaply and turned into holiday lets. If they were not holiday lets, they'd fall into disrepair.
There are plenty of falling down, sad, derelict houses in almost all areas of North Wales. People used to live in those houses. They don't now because of depopulation.
As for your ideas in holiday lets in Wales in the winter -- they are bonkers.
Most tourist attractions in North Wales are shut in low season. Most restaurants are shut then (or have very limited hours).
No one is going to go and spend a few extra days in the middle of winter at Talsarnau, when there is nothing to do, nothing is open and the weather is wet, just because of Drakeford's idiotic policy.
I don't think Drakeford's plan makes much sense, apart from in some of the coastal resorts where second homes are a real problem (e.g. Aberdyfi, Tenby, Abersoch, Gwyr). In the rest of the country @Big_G_NorthWales is right -- they will destroy businesses and value.
This isn't a policy that will affect the average let. It's the ones that are taking up space and not generating income. An empty guest house doesn't do anything for the local economy.
Since we're talking about empty properties, it seems to be more of a South Wales problem:
https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/homes-property/part-wales-highest-number-empty-21360295
As for "tourist attractions" being shut in the winter, that really depends. Museums and galleries are often open outside high season. Natural spaces like Snowdonia, Holy Island, Alyn Waters are open all year round.
There are many houses that are just empty. I can go to my window and look out and count them. They are not second homes, they are just properties that are not let and no-one wants to live in.
I actually live in North Wales in the winter. I know the restaurants are usually shut completely in Jan & Feb, and they have restricted opening hours Oct-Mar
Museum and galleries in North Wales are almost always shut in the low season, apart from a few large attractions like Caernarfon Castle. Many CADW properties are shut in the winter.
Jesus .. you are behaving like HYUFD.
You live in Aberdeenshire, you are quoting guff from Welsh Government websites .. and everyone who knows North Wales is telling you that you are talking garbage.
If you told me something about Aberdeenshire, I'd believe you .. rather than going to google and quoting a government statistic back at you.2 -
"Class" in the alphabet soup sense (C2DE etc) is a red herring in the 21st century. The professions with medium-term growth are nursing and teaching and social care, not so much architecture or accountancy. They are often not populated by kids of the upper middle-class and are often middling-paid, or precarious, and certainly not elite. Meanwhile you have pensioners and homemakers who disproportionately get shunted into E for data availability reasons, even though they must include a lot of bankers' spouses or early retirees from cushy jobs.1
-
Three posters on here all of whom have Welsh connections reject your arguments and I have provided enough evidence of the anger by the industry over these proposalsFarooq said:
Setting aside your passive-aggressive subtweeting style (you do that a lot, by the way), you've come at this debate in a wholly fact-free manner. You entered with adjectives and you hit a wall of facts you don't seem to know what to do with.Big_G_NorthWales said:
I would respectively suggest to those who clearly do not know or experience our holiday industry, that I trust those in the industry here who are issuing warnings to Cardiff of the economic damage their policies including the ridiculous tourist tax are going to inflict on the whole North Wales areaYBarddCwsc said:
North Wales is depopulating.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
The growth of holiday accommodation/second homes is caused by economic policy.
If there are no jobs, then there is rural depopulation. The consequent growth in holiday accommodation is caused by the depopulation -- not the other way round. There are empty houses that can be bought cheaply and turned into holiday lets. If they were not holiday lets, they'd fall into disrepair.
There are plenty of falling down, sad, derelict houses in almost all areas of North Wales. People used to live in those houses. They don't now because of depopulation.
As for your ideas in holiday lets in Wales in the winter -- they are bonkers.
Most tourist attractions in North Wales are shut in low season. Most restaurants are shut then (or have very limited hours).
No one is going to go and spend a few extra days in the middle of winter at Talsarnau, when there is nothing to do, nothing is open and the weather is wet, just because of Drakeford's idiotic policy.
I don't think Drakeford's plan makes much sense, apart from in some of the coastal resorts where second homes are a real problem (e.g. Aberdyfi, Tenby, Abersoch, Gwyr). In the rest of the country @Big_G_NorthWales is right -- they will destroy businesses and value.
I could post many more but I would respectively suggest you do not know the area, the industry or the feelings of those who earn a living from tourism
And you have not named anywhere else in the UK who thinks a tourist tax is a good idea0 -
We can't afford to be heated. Even with Rishi's £400.MPartridge said:Is it just me or is the PB comment sections getting alot more heated nowadays....
2 -
Other way around. If we get heated, it saves on the gas bills.SandyRentool said:
We can't afford to be heated. Even with Rishi's £400.MPartridge said:Is it just me or is the PB comment sections getting alot more heated nowadays....
I demand we get furiously angry all the time to fuck Putin's strategy,2 -
Although Bing and Google both understand it, even if you misspell the name of Pfizer's new anti-COVID drug, it is probably still best tospell it correctly: Paxlovid, not Plaxlovid or Paxloid.0
-
It amazes me how someone living in the North East of Scotland attempts to argue with those of us who live in the area, are familiar with the proposals, and know the reaction from those in the holiday industryYBarddCwsc said:
I actually live in a formally very prosperous town in North Wales.Farooq said:
Except occupancy rates are already above the thresholds that will be affected by this!YBarddCwsc said:
North Wales is depopulating.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
The growth of holiday accommodation/second homes is caused by economic policy.
If there are no jobs, then there is rural depopulation. The consequent growth in holiday accommodation is caused by the depopulation -- not the other way round. There are empty houses that can be bought cheaply and turned into holiday lets. If they were not holiday lets, they'd fall into disrepair.
There are plenty of falling down, sad, derelict houses in almost all areas of North Wales. People used to live in those houses. They don't now because of depopulation.
As for your ideas in holiday lets in Wales in the winter -- they are bonkers.
Most tourist attractions in North Wales are shut in low season. Most restaurants are shut then (or have very limited hours).
No one is going to go and spend a few extra days in the middle of winter at Talsarnau, when there is nothing to do, nothing is open and the weather is wet, just because of Drakeford's idiotic policy.
I don't think Drakeford's plan makes much sense, apart from in some of the coastal resorts where second homes are a real problem (e.g. Aberdyfi, Tenby, Abersoch, Gwyr). In the rest of the country @Big_G_NorthWales is right -- they will destroy businesses and value.
This isn't a policy that will affect the average let. It's the ones that are taking up space and not generating income. An empty guest house doesn't do anything for the local economy.
Since we're talking about empty properties, it seems to be more of a South Wales problem:
https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/homes-property/part-wales-highest-number-empty-21360295
As for "tourist attractions" being shut in the winter, that really depends. Museums and galleries are often open outside high season. Natural spaces like Snowdonia, Holy Island, Alyn Waters are open all year round.
There are many houses that are just empty. I can go to my window and look out and count them. They are not second homes, they are just properties that are not let and no-one wants to live in.
I actually live in North Wales in the winter. I know the restaurants are usually shut completely in Jan & Feb, and they have restricted opening hours Oct-Mar
Museum and galleries in North Wales are almost always shut in the low season, apart from a few large attractions like Caernarfon Castle. Many CADW properties are shut in the winter.
Jesus .. you are behaving like HYUFD.
You live in Aberdeenshire, you are quoting guff from Welsh Government websites .. and everyone who knows North Wales is telling you that you are talking garbage.
If you told me something about Aberdeenshire, I'd believe you .. rather than going to google and quoting a government statistic back at you.0 -
Isn’t logs on / logs off a good summary of the trans debate?BartholomewRoberts said:Logs on.
Sees we're discussing chicks with dicks, again.
Logs off.
Night all. Have fun.2 -
Still possibly the cheapest capital in Western Europe for the tourist, though.rcs1000 said:
Berlin is gentrifying: have you seen what rents are doing?Heathener said:p.s. I absolutely love Berlin.
Unlike some European cities gentrification has passed it by. I love the edginess.
Hire a bike on a weekend and cycle around the city: wonderful.0 -
Have you not seen the photos....Farooq said:
So is Snowdonia shut past September?YBarddCwsc said:
I actually live in a formally very prosperous town in North Wales.Farooq said:
Except occupancy rates are already above the thresholds that will be affected by this!YBarddCwsc said:
North Wales is depopulating.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
The growth of holiday accommodation/second homes is caused by economic policy.
If there are no jobs, then there is rural depopulation. The consequent growth in holiday accommodation is caused by the depopulation -- not the other way round. There are empty houses that can be bought cheaply and turned into holiday lets. If they were not holiday lets, they'd fall into disrepair.
There are plenty of falling down, sad, derelict houses in almost all areas of North Wales. People used to live in those houses. They don't now because of depopulation.
As for your ideas in holiday lets in Wales in the winter -- they are bonkers.
Most tourist attractions in North Wales are shut in low season. Most restaurants are shut then (or have very limited hours).
No one is going to go and spend a few extra days in the middle of winter at Talsarnau, when there is nothing to do, nothing is open and the weather is wet, just because of Drakeford's idiotic policy.
I don't think Drakeford's plan makes much sense, apart from in some of the coastal resorts where second homes are a real problem (e.g. Aberdyfi, Tenby, Abersoch, Gwyr). In the rest of the country @Big_G_NorthWales is right -- they will destroy businesses and value.
This isn't a policy that will affect the average let. It's the ones that are taking up space and not generating income. An empty guest house doesn't do anything for the local economy.
Since we're talking about empty properties, it seems to be more of a South Wales problem:
https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/homes-property/part-wales-highest-number-empty-21360295
As for "tourist attractions" being shut in the winter, that really depends. Museums and galleries are often open outside high season. Natural spaces like Snowdonia, Holy Island, Alyn Waters are open all year round.
There are many houses that are just empty. I can go to my window and look out and count them. They are not second homes, they are just properties that are not let and no-one wants to live in.
I actually live in North Wales in the winter. I know the restaurants are usually shut completely in Jan & Feb, and they have restricted opening hours Oct-Mar
Museum and galleries in North Wales are almost always shut in the low season, apart from a few large attractions like Caernarfon Castle. Many CADW properties are shut in the winter.
Jesus .. you are behaving like HYUFD.
You live in Aberdeenshire, you are quoting guff from Welsh Government websites .. and everyone who knows North Wales is telling you that you are talking garbage.
If you told me something about Aberdeenshire, I'd believe you .. rather than going to google and quoting a government statistic back at you.
Can you get into Caernarfon Castle in December?
Hint: https://cadw.gov.wales/visit/places-to-visit/caernarfon-castle
Little Llandudno Museum is open 47 weeks a year.
You're making out like North Wales tourism is a rare orchid that flowers for nine minutes per year. I guess the 600,000 annual visitors to Snowdon are all up on the summit in one mad stampede?2 -
I'd be interested in some numbers here. If I have understood it, if you don't let for 6 months of year you will now pay 300% of council tax (as it is a 2nd home). Average council tax is what £2000 a year? So we are talking ≈≈ £6K.Big_G_NorthWales said:
It amazes me how someone living in the North East of Scotland attempts to argue with those of us who live in the area, are familiar with the proposals, and know the reaction from those in the holiday industryYBarddCwsc said:
I actually live in a formally very prosperous town in North Wales.Farooq said:
Except occupancy rates are already above the thresholds that will be affected by this!YBarddCwsc said:
North Wales is depopulating.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
The growth of holiday accommodation/second homes is caused by economic policy.
If there are no jobs, then there is rural depopulation. The consequent growth in holiday accommodation is caused by the depopulation -- not the other way round. There are empty houses that can be bought cheaply and turned into holiday lets. If they were not holiday lets, they'd fall into disrepair.
There are plenty of falling down, sad, derelict houses in almost all areas of North Wales. People used to live in those houses. They don't now because of depopulation.
As for your ideas in holiday lets in Wales in the winter -- they are bonkers.
Most tourist attractions in North Wales are shut in low season. Most restaurants are shut then (or have very limited hours).
No one is going to go and spend a few extra days in the middle of winter at Talsarnau, when there is nothing to do, nothing is open and the weather is wet, just because of Drakeford's idiotic policy.
I don't think Drakeford's plan makes much sense, apart from in some of the coastal resorts where second homes are a real problem (e.g. Aberdyfi, Tenby, Abersoch, Gwyr). In the rest of the country @Big_G_NorthWales is right -- they will destroy businesses and value.
This isn't a policy that will affect the average let. It's the ones that are taking up space and not generating income. An empty guest house doesn't do anything for the local economy.
Since we're talking about empty properties, it seems to be more of a South Wales problem:
https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/homes-property/part-wales-highest-number-empty-21360295
As for "tourist attractions" being shut in the winter, that really depends. Museums and galleries are often open outside high season. Natural spaces like Snowdonia, Holy Island, Alyn Waters are open all year round.
There are many houses that are just empty. I can go to my window and look out and count them. They are not second homes, they are just properties that are not let and no-one wants to live in.
I actually live in North Wales in the winter. I know the restaurants are usually shut completely in Jan & Feb, and they have restricted opening hours Oct-Mar
Museum and galleries in North Wales are almost always shut in the low season, apart from a few large attractions like Caernarfon Castle. Many CADW properties are shut in the winter.
Jesus .. you are behaving like HYUFD.
You live in Aberdeenshire, you are quoting guff from Welsh Government websites .. and everyone who knows North Wales is telling you that you are talking garbage.
If you told me something about Aberdeenshire, I'd believe you .. rather than going to google and quoting a government statistic back at you.
So what is the business rate on a holiday let cottage?0 -
Cheaper than Lisbon?onepureradge said:
Still possibly the cheapest capital in Western Europe for the tourist, though.rcs1000 said:
Berlin is gentrifying: have you seen what rents are doing?Heathener said:p.s. I absolutely love Berlin.
Unlike some European cities gentrification has passed it by. I love the edginess.
Hire a bike on a weekend and cycle around the city: wonderful.0 -
What stops you renting it out to a friend for minor fee to make up your days?rottenborough said:
I'd be interested in some numbers here. If I have understood it, if you don't let for 6 months of year you will now pay 300% of council tax (as it is a 2nd home). Average council tax is what £2000 a year? So we are talking ≈≈ £6K.Big_G_NorthWales said:
It amazes me how someone living in the North East of Scotland attempts to argue with those of us who live in the area, are familiar with the proposals, and know the reaction from those in the holiday industryYBarddCwsc said:
I actually live in a formally very prosperous town in North Wales.Farooq said:
Except occupancy rates are already above the thresholds that will be affected by this!YBarddCwsc said:
North Wales is depopulating.Farooq said:
Exactly right.dixiedean said:
They don't bring in any income if they are empty.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Yes but they bring in the income that no doubt supports many of their jobsdixiedean said:
Tim Farron is running for re-election on the very question of holiday lets.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You are missing the point that all these businesses you quote are about to be hit with a tourist tax on top of thisFarooq said:
No, sorry, I don't believe you me.Big_G_NorthWales said:
This combined with the tourist tax will hit the holiday industry and believe you me it features all the time in the local media and Welsh news as various businesses forecast a fall in visitor numbers and a loss of holiday accommodationFarooq said:
It's not really destroying it, though, is it?Big_G_NorthWales said:
Destroying the holiday industry losing thousands of jobs in businesses across North Wales is madness and could only be dreamt up by a Corbynista who just does not understand the local economy and simply does not careFarooq said:
Maybe I just care about affordable housing more. Your empty-house policy leaves me as cold as a homeless person.Big_G_NorthWales said:
You clearly do not understand just how toxic this is for Welsh labour here in the heart of the North Wales holiday industry which is about to have a tourist tax put on them from Drakeford as wellFarooq said:
Sorry, this looks like great news. Why should properties that are empty for 294 days a year get a tax break?Big_G_NorthWales said:Drakeford's destroying North Wales holiday industry from Cardiff
Tourism leaders in Wales have reacted with horror to confirmation of new occupancy rules for second homes and holiday lets. From April 1, 2023, the Welsh Government will insist that self-catering properties are let for at least 182 days each year in a move critics say will “decimate” the Welsh tourism industry.
Holiday lettings firm Finest Retreats, which promotes 29 holiday cottages in Wales, warned the challenging occupancy target will hit rural economies the hardest by driving up prices and making the country a “less attractive place to visit”. Tom Giffard, Welsh Conservative shadow tourism minister said it was a “devastating blow”, adding: “These new letting requirements will frankly be impossible for many self-caterers to meet.”
The Wales Tourism Alliance (WTA), which represents 6,000 tourism operators in Wales, believes 84% of the country's holiday lets could now be forced to close. WTA chair Suzy Davies said genuine holiday businesses will be caught up in a policy designed to clamp down on second homes. “Like dolphins accidentally caught in fishing nets, these businesses will die,” she cautioned.
On Tuesday, finance minister Rebecca Evans issued a written statement confirming Cardiff was pushing ahead with its plans despite opposition from the tourism sector. As with the Welsh Government’s new council tax policies, the approach is designed to tackle the housing crisis in Welsh-speaking communities in holiday hotspots.
The minister acknowledged that the stronger criteria “may be challenging for some operators to meet”. But she said: “The purpose of the change is to help ensure property owners are making a fair contribution to local communities, for example by increasing their contribution to the local economy through greater letting activity, or by paying council tax on their properties.”
To continue paying business rates, holiday rentals must be let for 182 days from April 1, 2023. Currently, the threshold is just 70 days. If holidays fail to meet the threshold, they pay council tax instead - and from April 2023 local counties will have the power to charge a council tax premium of up to 300%, effectively quadrupling bills.
Let people live there instead of keeping them empty for occasional holidaymakers. Good work Welsh Labour.
These figures show that in the last three years before Covid, self-catering occupancy stood at 58%, 55% and 57%. So how many properties will really be caught up in that anyway?
https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/statistics-and-research/2021-01/wales-accommodation-occupancy-survey-2019_0.pdf
And scroll on a page, you'll see that North Wales's figures are actually the strongest in Wales, averaging at 64%.
Even if a number of providers decide to drop out of the market, all that will do is increase the occupancy in competitors.
No, sorry, it seems you've been taken in by a scare story. The numbers don't fit at all with the apocalyptic predictions. Welsh Labour derangement syndrome, as Leon would probably call it.
Apart from anything you're pretending the tourist industry is solely based around the kind of self-catering accommodation being referred to. Hotels, camping & caravans are a big part of the tourist industry, and non self-catering accommodation drives people to restaurants instead of supermarkets for their evening meal.
No, the more I think about this the more I think this is a good move. Prune out the holiday lets that are underoccupied and they become either better-run lets, or housing for actual people.
If this had been proposed for Devon and Cornwall or the Lake district you would have had a torrent of anger from the holiday industry
And by the way I do not lie
They aren't greatly popular in the Lakes with the locals who tend to rather priorities having somewhere to live.
There is a balance to be struck but applying a tourist tax and reducing holiday accommodation is not one of them
And reducing holiday accommodation is smack bang what Farron thinks will keep him his seat.
He probably knows better than me what the locals think.
https://inews.co.uk/news/housing-crisis-is-spoiling-the-beauty-of-the-lakes-we-need-to-regulate-holiday-lets-and-second-homes-1648417
Another way in which the article is silly is that this could encourage prices DOWN. Think about it. You can offer discounts on midweek off-season stays if the guest is staying the weekend. That might encourage some people to stay an extra day or two. That brings in more money, it doesn't increase the costs associated with booking, checking in and out, or other flat rates. The local economy gets a boost and the guests get more holiday without it breaking the bank. Everyone's a winner, except people who prefer to moan at the Welsh government for partisan reasons.
The growth of holiday accommodation/second homes is caused by economic policy.
If there are no jobs, then there is rural depopulation. The consequent growth in holiday accommodation is caused by the depopulation -- not the other way round. There are empty houses that can be bought cheaply and turned into holiday lets. If they were not holiday lets, they'd fall into disrepair.
There are plenty of falling down, sad, derelict houses in almost all areas of North Wales. People used to live in those houses. They don't now because of depopulation.
As for your ideas in holiday lets in Wales in the winter -- they are bonkers.
Most tourist attractions in North Wales are shut in low season. Most restaurants are shut then (or have very limited hours).
No one is going to go and spend a few extra days in the middle of winter at Talsarnau, when there is nothing to do, nothing is open and the weather is wet, just because of Drakeford's idiotic policy.
I don't think Drakeford's plan makes much sense, apart from in some of the coastal resorts where second homes are a real problem (e.g. Aberdyfi, Tenby, Abersoch, Gwyr). In the rest of the country @Big_G_NorthWales is right -- they will destroy businesses and value.
This isn't a policy that will affect the average let. It's the ones that are taking up space and not generating income. An empty guest house doesn't do anything for the local economy.
Since we're talking about empty properties, it seems to be more of a South Wales problem:
https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/homes-property/part-wales-highest-number-empty-21360295
As for "tourist attractions" being shut in the winter, that really depends. Museums and galleries are often open outside high season. Natural spaces like Snowdonia, Holy Island, Alyn Waters are open all year round.
There are many houses that are just empty. I can go to my window and look out and count them. They are not second homes, they are just properties that are not let and no-one wants to live in.
I actually live in North Wales in the winter. I know the restaurants are usually shut completely in Jan & Feb, and they have restricted opening hours Oct-Mar
Museum and galleries in North Wales are almost always shut in the low season, apart from a few large attractions like Caernarfon Castle. Many CADW properties are shut in the winter.
Jesus .. you are behaving like HYUFD.
You live in Aberdeenshire, you are quoting guff from Welsh Government websites .. and everyone who knows North Wales is telling you that you are talking garbage.
If you told me something about Aberdeenshire, I'd believe you .. rather than going to google and quoting a government statistic back at you.
So what is the business rate on a holiday let cottage?0 -
Been an interesting couple of days listening to the Hard Left slag off the idea of universal benefits now that £400 rebate goes to every household energy bill.
1