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Korma chameleon, you come and go – politicalbetting.com

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  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029

    Much of the guff being issued on this story is either plain wrong (confusing guidelines with law) or heresay (the ST "scoop" apparently from a Corbynite that "to the best of my knowledge" no work was done - because they weren't actually in attendance or they would know wouldn't they?

    The purpose of the Wail push was to distract from the coming apocalypse at the locals. And they have been successful. The Wail itself set out what different numbers of seat losses would mean and by their own published infographic the Tory performance was "catastrophic".

    So, Tories got a deserved beating, Labour didn't capitalise enough, LibDems pulled off spectacular gains, Sinn Fein and Alliance got their result in norniron. All good.
    How do you get on yourself ?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    ping said:

    Of course not.

    People are complete hypocrites. Pretty much everyone broke the rules to varying degrees.
    The difference is, of course, that Boris made these absurd laws, and Starmer wanted the laws extended and strengthened, to lock us down longer

    They are both obnoxious hypocrites. They should both resign. And yet I predict there will be another similarity: neither will resign. Starmer won't resign even if he gets fined. He's waited his whole life to be Labour leader, and he can now see the Prime Ministership in the distance. He can see the door of Number 10, and little Kir Royale, son of a nurse and a toolmaker, walking through the door

    No way he gives that up over a curry and a few beers and a bit of a piss-up with his workmates. He will find some way to brazen it out, just like Boris
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    edited May 2022
    *** BETTING POST ***

    You can get 100/1 on Rachel Reeves as Next UK Prime Minister

    3 things need to occur for this bet to come to fruition:

    1. Boris Johnson needs to survive as PM until the next General Election. I think this is LIKELY

    2. Labour need to replace Keir Starmer with Rachel Reeves. I think this is POSSIBLE

    3. The Conservatives need to lose their majority. I think this is POSSIBLE


    Why do I think no. 2 might happen? If Starmer is felled by the beer & curry scandal then we go into a leadership contest. The standout Labour parliamentarian is Rachel Reeves. She won't be tainted by curry. She is highly intelligent with the right background and she's female.

    I think at 100/1 this is astounding value. It doesn't mean it will happen. It means this is an exceptionally good flutter. I'm on.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    Dura_Ace said:

    Yes, because a MIM-104 Patriot is a surface-to-air missile so they would probably have ended up shooting down a Mexican airliner instead.
    I wasn't talking deets. I was talking principles. Getting the US military to wipe out the Mexican cartels is an idea with merit
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,298

    I have not said your votes, or any votes, were an endorsement of the Drake.

    People vote for all kinds of crazy, wild, lunatic or sentimental reasons. Maybe you were thinking of what you wee going to do to the Drake when you get your free tree, who knows?

    I said Labour did much better in Wales than in England, and the evidence suggesting this from the change in number of councillors is perfectly valid.
    Several people on here particularly @bigjohnowls are extrapolating that Labour's vote in Wales was a ringing endorsement of the Corbynista Drakeford, and Labour's underwhelming performance in England (outside London) was a rejection of Starmer and Labour's centre ground.

    I did not vote for either Drakeford or Starmer on Thursday, but my two votes were placed against Llafur candidates.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    HYUFD said:

    I doubt Starmer will be fined, probably a warning at most, though even if he was I also doubt he would step down. He clearly wants to be PM and can just say he will stand down if the PM stands down after his fine which he won't either.

    As Rayner was also at this gathering she would probably have to go too if the police took action. That would likely leave Rachel Reeves and Wes Streeting as probable successors if Starmer did go

    He is either receives a FPN or he is cleared

    There is no warning involved here
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,651

    Interesting, with respect I don't recall "not this still" being your attitude with regards to Downing Street. And let's not forget that Starmer wanted hospitality locked down for longer, even after this event.

    Have a lovely day though.
    Actually, I have not commented for some considerable time on Downing Street and said months ago that the whole investigation should have been done and dusted in 2 weeks.

    The whole thing - from the laws enacted, the rushed way they were enacted with little or no scrutiny, the confusion between law and guidance, the police not understanding the law, the cock up over prosecutions, the inconsistencies in how the laws have been applied, the frankly amateurish and unprofessional way the investigations have been conducted, the length of time taken etc - has been a disgrace.

    On top of which there has been the contemptuous attitude by politicians to the sacrifices made by the rest of us.

    And I've said so repeatedly and consistently.

    I'm just bored by it all now. That's all. So no reason for you to try and make some snippy political point - if that is what you were doing. (And if you weren't, my apologies in advance.)

    Anyway, bye. Enjoy your day
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    Heathener said:

    *** BETTING POST ***

    You can get 100/1 on Rachel Reeves as Next UK Prime Minister

    3 things need to occur for this bet to come to fruition:

    1. Boris Johnson needs to survive as PM until the next General Election. I think this is LIKELY

    2. Labour need to replace Keir Starmer with Rachel Reeves. I think this is POSSIBLE

    3. The Conservatives need to lose their majority. I think this is POSSIBLE


    Why do I think no. 2 might happen? If Starmer is felled by the beer & curry scandal then we go into a leadership contest. The standout Labour parliamentarian is Rachel Reeves. She won't be tainted by curry. She is highly intelligent with the right background and she's female.

    I think at 100/1 this is astounding value. It doesn't mean it will happen. It means this is an exceptionally good flutter. I'm on.

    It's excellent value. She should be about 20/1 or even 15/1 imo.
  • TresTres Posts: 2,819

    She's been a Leeds MP for 12 years now. Can she not be forgiven for being born in London? (Not my pick anyway, incidentally).
    If Labour continues to pick leaders from the London chattering classes they will continue to lose general elections.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    She's been a Leeds MP for 12 years now. Can she not be forgiven for being born in London? (Not my pick anyway, incidentally).
    Tony Blair was MP for Sedgefield for a decade too.
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,080

    You are deluded Pete.

    Reeves/ Streeting/ Nandy will be the awful choice.

    Socialists not welcome here
    Over to you BJO, If Starmar resigns who should lead Labour?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,298

    You are deluded Pete.

    Reeves/ Streeting/ Nandy will be the awful choice.

    Socialists not welcome here
    No BJO you are deluded, unless you desire infinite Conservative Governments by electing a Socialist candidate of purity, which I believe you do.
  • TresTres Posts: 2,819
    edited May 2022
    Blue Wall news - Conservative Petts Wood councillor in Bromley borough now openly suggesting leaving London and asking to rejoin Kent.

    The success of the newly elected independent Chislehurst councillors is showing the same - we must do anything to stop being ruled by Khan - mindset.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,178
    Leon said:

    Er, is that such a bad idea?
    Yes. For a start, anyone with two brain cells to rub together would know it was America who is now down half a dozen missiles on their inventory. Secondly, it is probably illegal under American as well as international (and Mexican) law. Thirdly, it is diplomatically clumsy, to say the least. Fourthly, there would inevitably be innocent civilians killed. Lastly, it is fairly pointless since labs can be rebuilt or replaced easily enough.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,625
    edited May 2022

    I support law changes to repossess these places. So much property is owned by investment companies - often not UK-based - who see the unit as an asset on the balance sheet not a building in a community. If they set a viable rent it devalues the asset which costs them money - which is why we see a preference to maintain high rents even if that leaves the unit shuttered. For years.

    Time to end this. Add a purpose dimension to ownership of assets in town and cities. Unless you are actively trying to make use of the asset for the purpose it was built for - or are changing its purpose - then you need to sell it. Towns like Rochdale where its more shuttered than open are dead because of balance sheet protection.
    Yes, you’re right and I do agree. I remember when mmm…glug, an artisan food and drink shop in Newcastle shut due to high rents. Their property was owned by an investment company in the Middle East.

    I do think the demand is there, if the price is right. If the Tories can get this right it could be transformative.
  • JACK_WJACK_W Posts: 682
    The Leaders -

    SKS - There is some wiggle room for SKS as he was previously cleared by Durham police and should await the result of the new investigation. A Starmer FPN and he goes. Replace with Andy Burnham

    BOZO - The man has no shame, honour or integrity. He should have been turfed out weeks ago. Odious man. Replace with Jeremy Hunt.

    ED - A man so boring and devoid of charisma that he makes John Major interesting. Replace with Daisy Cooper.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782

    Sure - the Sword of Damocles above his head is one that he put there himself.

    However, there is a huge amount of noise about largely irrelevant stuff - did they lie about Rayner, the shocking memo, the "to the best of my knowledge" leak, the students who shot the video etc etc etc.

    Ultimately the question is simple - was this a campaign event or not? If it was then no fine. If it wasn't then Starmer and Rayner have to resign and the Tories have to try and bear the pressure of Johnson not resigning for his FPNs plural.

    Whether the food was planned or what it cost or was there a beer or any of that bollocks doesn't matter if the police accept this was a campaign event. For what its worth having been to such things I've said from the start that this was a campaign event. Which the laws *of the time" allowed - and the laws were not the same as the laws when Number 10 held its BYOB party or the Christmas Party or the "fuck the Queen" party etc etc. But I will wee myself laughing if they get slapped with fines and have to resign...
    No you won't, you're desperate for them to stay, unfined, so the focus remains on Boris, who you hate with a lifelong passion, because they enacted the Brexit you voted for

    You're all over the fucking place.

    A campaign event might just be plausible if some late evening work organically evolved into coffees and feet on desks and a review of the day, and someone said "shall I get a couple of beers" and Starmer said, yes, that will be fine, let's finish up now

    This is not what happened. A MEMO was sent out to lots of people, detailing the timing and the people who would be present (including Rayner, despite the lying denials), and they ordered curry for THIRTY, and lied about the reason ("everywhere else was shut" - turns out that wasn't true either)

    Did the memo say "it is possible the day's work might spontaneously evolve into a few lagers and some chicken Madras but we can't say for sure!"

    No, it did not. This is ridiculous. It's all trivial and pathetic but Starmer pompously decided THIS IS A RESIGNING MATTER months ago. So be it. Starmer and Rayner broke the rules. Just like Boris and Co
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,625

    I am not sure I did say that and consider it very unlikely but there is sufficient evidence to suggest this crises for Starmer is being fuelled by the left within labour and not the conservatives

    It has also just come to light that Adam Wagner, the lawyer who defended him on Sky, actually shares a Chambers with Starmer, though Sky did not mention it
    To be fair to Wagner he has defended people across the political divide over allegations of covid breaches including JRM. I think he’s quite fair minded on this issue.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    Roger said:

    I'm shocked too that they could feed 30 people for £200! Add dinks fruit and Vegetarian options and it becomes positively parsimonious. But as you are sure he's guilty how about taking the bet that MrEd refused (after guaranteeing he will be found guilty). £100 evens that he doesn't get an FPN?
    You seem out of touch on the price of a Chinese meal delivered

    Our takeaway charges £6.80 so £200 equates to 30 meals and of course they may well have been some present who did not eat

  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,178
    Sandpit said:

    Tony Blair was MP for Sedgefield for a decade too.
    Long enough for everyone to forget Blair's Scottish roots. As with Nandy, I expect most of those people who care will go by the accent.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    Tres said:

    If Labour continues to pick leaders from the London chattering classes they will continue to lose general elections.
    Describing a state school south London girl who has been Leeds MP for 12 years as "a member of the London chattering classes" only shows you up as being a bit of a prat.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,533
    JACK_W said:

    The Leaders -

    SKS - There is some wiggle room for SKS as he was previously cleared by Durham police and should await the result of the new investigation. A Starmer FPN and he goes. Replace with Andy Burnham

    BOZO - The man has no shame, honour or integrity. He should have been turfed out weeks ago. Odious man. Replace with Jeremy Hunt.

    ED - A man so boring and devoid of charisma that he makes John Major interesting. Replace with Daisy Cooper.

    Burnham isn't an MP.

    The next leader will be one of Reeves, Cooper, Nandy, Rayner, Philipson imho. Surely they can't shy away from a woman yet again when there are two or three suitable candidates?
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,279
    If Reeves is value at 100 for next PM then Nandy at 130 is even better I'd say.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    edited May 2022
    JACK_W said:

    . A Starmer FPN and he goes. Replace with Andy Burnham

    Under NO circumstances:

    He failed massively to win last time. Why? Because he is no bloody good.

    He's not even an MP. Duh.

    He will put off all the new Labour voters down sarf. And we still need them.

    He has a penis.


    So in the words of Maggie, 'No. No. No.'
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,298

    Burnham isn't an MP.

    The next leader will be one of Reeves, Cooper, Nandy, Rayner, Philipson imho. Surely they can't shy away from a woman yet again when there are two or three suitable candidates?
    You can scratch out Rayner.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,849

    How do you get on yourself ?
    Good! 5 candidates in Troup to elect 3 councillors. I came 3rd on first preference votes - which was amazing - but then slipped into 4th as Tory votes were reallocated to their 2nd candidate who overtook me. We picked up seats in Fraserburgh and Peterhead and had I actually campaigned in Troup it could have been closer.

    Tories have actually ended up with 2 more councillors than they had last time converting tory independents to Tories. But I think we've successfully put the shits up David Duguid and his merry men (and they are all men).
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,625

    You seem out of touch on the price of a Chinese meal delivered

    Our takeaway charges £6.80 so £200 equates to 30 meals and of course they may well have been some present who did not eat

    The New Red Lantern not far from here and a few miles from the city centre, has mains starting at £5.70.

    Plus if you place a bulk order you’d get a discount.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    edited May 2022

    You can scratch out Rayner.
    Yes. If Starmer goes over the beer & curry then so does Rayner. Besides, much as I rather like her there is no way she will win over southern Britain.

    Phillips is on a level with Liz Truss. The tories would love it.

    Cooper is brilliant but not without faults and probably yesterday's person.

    So it's Reeves vs Nandy.

    No contest: Reeeves.
  • TresTres Posts: 2,819
    Heathener said:

    Describing a state school south London girl who has been Leeds MP for 12 years as "a member of the London chattering classes" only shows you up as being a bit of a prat.
    Sydenham is not exactly Peckham.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029

    Good! 5 candidates in Troup to elect 3 councillors. I came 3rd on first preference votes - which was amazing - but then slipped into 4th as Tory votes were reallocated to their 2nd candidate who overtook me. We picked up seats in Fraserburgh and Peterhead and had I actually campaigned in Troup it could have been closer.

    Tories have actually ended up with 2 more councillors than they had last time converting tory independents to Tories. But I think we've successfully put the shits up David Duguid and his merry men (and they are all men).
    Well done and interesting
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,533
    Yesterday there was a debate about whether Johnson is uncoalition-able. I posted that we can't be sure he wont find a way to bring the DUP on board somehow. John Rentoul has written similar this morning I see.

    In the debates about whether Tories can form a new government without a majority I don't think we can assume the unionists wont be in play.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,279
    JACK_W said:

    The Leaders -

    SKS - There is some wiggle room for SKS as he was previously cleared by Durham police and should await the result of the new investigation. A Starmer FPN and he goes. Replace with Andy Burnham

    BOZO - The man has no shame, honour or integrity. He should have been turfed out weeks ago. Odious man. Replace with Jeremy Hunt.

    ED - A man so boring and devoid of charisma that he makes John Major interesting. Replace with Daisy Cooper.

    How do they replace with Andy Burnham?
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    Farooq said:

    What the fuck difference does it make that "he has a penis"? Are you high?
    Says a man. And a tory man at that.

    It makes 'the fuck difference' because Labour MUST choose a woman as next leader.

    End of.

    And I'm a Labour supporter. You're not. So piss off.

    xx
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,625
    Farooq said:

    What the fuck difference does it make that "he has a penis"? Are you high?
    Did you assume Burnhams gender ?
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,279
    Farooq said:

    What the fuck difference does it make that "he has a penis"? Are you high?
    It is a truth universally acknowledged (in Labour circles) that the next one should be sans ...
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    I love how some tory supporters on here are

    a) suggesting stupid alternatives to SKS

    b) rattled

    ... tells me that they think they can beat Starmer. But they also know that this might become the John Smith to Tony Blair moment (minus the death).
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,625
    Heathener said:

    Says a man. And a tory man at that.

    It makes 'the fuck difference' because Labour MUST choose a woman as next leader.

    End of.

    And I'm a Labour supporter. You're not. So piss off.

    xx
    https://youtu.be/asM056FLmg0
  • novanova Posts: 754

    You seem out of touch on the price of a Chinese meal delivered

    Our takeaway charges £6.80 so £200 equates to 30 meals and of course they may well have been some present who did not eat

    Pretty sure they didn't go to your local Chinese ;)

    The place they ordered from is fancy - £10.95 for a Chicken Tikka Masala, and £3.90 for pilau rice.

    So, even if they just ordered mains, you're talking meals for 14 people.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,533
    Stocky said:

    How do they replace with Andy Burnham?
    I suppose if the FPN doesn't come until mid summer and Burnham gets selected for Wakefield and on and on...

    Lot of ifs frankly.

    The party would have to have decided it wanted a coronation collectively and that, erm... seems unlikely.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,849
    Leon said:

    No you won't, you're desperate for them to stay, unfined, so the focus remains on Boris, who you hate with a lifelong passion, because they enacted the Brexit you voted for

    You're all over the fucking place.

    A campaign event might just be plausible if some late evening work organically evolved into coffees and feet on desks and a review of the day, and someone said "shall I get a couple of beers" and Starmer said, yes, that will be fine, let's finish up now

    This is not what happened. A MEMO was sent out to lots of people, detailing the timing and the people who would be present (including Rayner, despite the lying denials), and they ordered curry for THIRTY, and lied about the reason ("everywhere else was shut" - turns out that wasn't true either)

    Did the memo say "it is possible the day's work might spontaneously evolve into a few lagers and some chicken Madras but we can't say for sure!"

    No, it did not. This is ridiculous. It's all trivial and pathetic but Starmer pompously decided THIS IS A RESIGNING MATTER months ago. So be it. Starmer and Rayner broke the rules. Just like Boris and Co
    No, I will. Some of the funniest things that have happened in politics have been when my own lot have spectacularly imploded. Have I not torn apart why Labour screwed up the red wall? And was doing so when I was a Labour member in the red wall.

    Here's the simple reality. The police don't care what you think. Or what I think. Or what the Daily Wail think. They just look at the evidence and the law. Plenty of people throwing out quotes of the guidelines - "should not" - like the stuff you are foaming on about. Guidelines are not law.

    The MEMO you mention is exactly how such campaign events are organised. You think senior politicians just turn up somewhere at random? I've seen such memos come off the fax machine (I know) detailing when Prescott or Benn were arriving. Reams of details when it was Milliband.

    Having food at a campaign event is legal. Or it wasn't legally permitted to be a campaign event at all. The rest is just noise.

    Happy to take "you're all over the place" from you - suspect that more that I am moving from our swaying perspective than me actually moving.
  • Sure - the Sword of Damocles above his head is one that he put there himself.

    However, there is a huge amount of noise about largely irrelevant stuff - did they lie about Rayner, the shocking memo, the "to the best of my knowledge" leak, the students who shot the video etc etc etc.

    Ultimately the question is simple - was this a campaign event or not? If it was then no fine. If it wasn't then Starmer and Rayner have to resign and the Tories have to try and bear the pressure of Johnson not resigning for his FPNs plural.

    Whether the food was planned or what it cost or was there a beer or any of that bollocks doesn't matter if the police accept this was a campaign event. For what its worth having been to such things I've said from the start that this was a campaign event. Which the laws *of the time" allowed - and the laws were not the same as the laws when Number 10 held its BYOB party or the Christmas Party or the "fuck the Queen" party etc etc. But I will wee myself laughing if they get slapped with fines and have to resign...
    What "fuck the Queen" party are you talking about?

    Do you mean the event that the PM was not present for of people who'd been working together earlier that day having food and alcohol afterwards together the night before Prince Philip's funeral?

    Because it so, that was the same month that the event Starmer was present for where people who'd been working together earlier that day had food and alcohol afterwards together with.

    So no, the rules weren't different.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Leon said:

    I wasn't talking deets. I was talking principles. Getting the US military to wipe out the Mexican cartels is an idea with merit
    No chance. With the margins what they are on drugs you just create vacuums which will get filled within 24 hours time and time again

    Fun fact: drug of concern ATM in the us is carfentanil a drug so potent it is only licensed for 1 thing, tranquilising elephants. Not even very large mammals, just elephants
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,279

    I suppose if the FPN doesn't come until mid summer and Burnham gets selected for Wakefield and on and on...

    Lot of ifs frankly.

    The party would have to have decided it wanted a coronation collectively and that, erm... seems unlikely.
    He's mayor to 2025 and I'd be surprised to see him break that commitment.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,533
    Heathener said:

    Yes. If Starmer goes over the beer & curry then so does Rayner. Besides, much as I rather like her there is no way she will win over southern Britain.

    Phillips is on a level with Liz Truss. The tories would love it.

    Cooper is brilliant but not without faults and probably yesterday's person.

    So it's Reeves vs Nandy.

    No contest: Reeeves.
    Ah, yes I had forgotten that Rayner was socialising with Starmer in Durham.
  • BREAKING

    Keir Starmer was working after the meal had finished.

    https://twitter.com/Keir_Starmer/status/1388240092398071809

    A Tweet posted at 10:13PM on the day the alleged rule breaking occurred, confirms work continued after the meal had finished.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,298
    Heathener said:

    Yes. If Starmer goes over the beer & curry then so does Rayner. Besides, much as I rather like her there is no way she will win over southern Britain.

    Phillips is on a level with Liz Truss. The tories would love it.

    Cooper is brilliant but not without faults and probably yesterday's person.

    So it's Reeves vs Nandy.

    No contest: Reeeves.
    Phillips is head and shoulders more serious than Truss.

    She sounds like me (although I have never addressed anyone as "Bab") so nobody would ever dream of voting for her.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,279
    Heathener said:

    Says a man. And a tory man at that.

    It makes 'the fuck difference' because Labour MUST choose a woman as next leader.

    End of.

    And I'm a Labour supporter. You're not. So piss off.

    xx
    Given that your party can't define what a woman is it's all a bit academic isn't it?
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    Farooq said:

    . Your a Minsk troll using a VPN.
    .
    At least if you are going to accuse me of being a troll pay attention to your grammar. It's something they teach us diligently in Moscow.

    I'm beginning to think that some tories like yourself on here are not merely mendacious but incredibly incredibly thick pieces of gammon. The pertubation that use of a VPN generates is most amusing.

    A VPN = trolling. Er, right ho. I don't know any youngster who streams who doesn't use a VPN and anyone with half a brain who is concerned about tracking should use one.

    Geddit? No I didn't think so.
  • Burnham isn't an MP.

    The next leader will be one of Reeves, Cooper, Nandy, Rayner, Philipson imho. Surely they can't shy away from a woman yet again when there are two or three suitable candidates?
    It will almost certainly be Streeting or Reeves.

    Streeting would likely win a majority - and a large one.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    No, I will. Some of the funniest things that have happened in politics have been when my own lot have spectacularly imploded. Have I not torn apart why Labour screwed up the red wall? And was doing so when I was a Labour member in the red wall.

    Here's the simple reality. The police don't care what you think. Or what I think. Or what the Daily Wail think. They just look at the evidence and the law. Plenty of people throwing out quotes of the guidelines - "should not" - like the stuff you are foaming on about. Guidelines are not law.

    The MEMO you mention is exactly how such campaign events are organised. You think senior politicians just turn up somewhere at random? I've seen such memos come off the fax machine (I know) detailing when Prescott or Benn were arriving. Reams of details when it was Milliband.

    Having food at a campaign event is legal. Or it wasn't legally permitted to be a campaign event at all. The rest is just noise.

    Happy to take "you're all over the place" from you - suspect that more that I am moving from our swaying perspective than me actually moving.
    Day 8, chapter 594 of There is nothing to see here and I have no dog in the fight anyway.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,533
    Stocky said:

    If Reeves is value at 100 for next PM then Nandy at 130 is even better I'd say.

    Reeves doesn't seem to be even on the board on BF's market.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,279

    It will almost certainly be Streeting or Reeves.

    Streeting would likely win a majority - and a large one.
    I think I agree. I'd add Nandy in the mix.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    edited May 2022
    Stocky said:

    Given that your party can't define what a woman is it's all a bit academic isn't it?
    Non sequitur.

    We need our next leader to be a woman. Whether that's someone who is a trans woman is another issue but I doubt the red wall thickos like Fucker Faroq would cope with it.

    Next Labour leader must be a woman. End of.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    Heathener said:

    Says a man. And a tory man at that.

    It makes 'the fuck difference' because Labour MUST choose a woman as next leader.

    End of.

    And I'm a Labour supporter. You're not. So piss off.

    xx
    You missed out on charm school then
  • CorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorseBattery Posts: 21,436
    edited May 2022
    It has been fascinating to watch Paul Mason be ex-communicated from the Corbynite squad after refusing to support Corbyn's foreign policy views in Russia
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,298

    Ah, yes I had forgotten that Rayner was socialising with Starmer in Durham.
    "Socialising"? Working, please.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,279

    Reeves doesn't seem to be even on the board on BF's market.
    I know. Reeves is 100/1 with a couple of trad bookies and Nandy best price 130 with BF Exchange.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,533
    Stocky said:

    I think I agree. I'd add Nandy in the mix.
    Streeting is now favourite on BF
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,279

    Streeting is now favourite on BF
    Yes - poor price as well!
  • I tipped Streeting weeks ago, you're welcome!
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,309
    Stocky said:

    If Reeves is value at 100 for next PM then Nandy at 130 is even better I'd say.

    Betway let me have the princely sum of £2.20.
  • Heathener said:

    Non sequitur.

    We need our next leader to be a woman. Whether that's someone who is a trans woman is another issue but I doubt the red wall thickos like Fucker Faroq would cope with it.

    Next Labour leader must be a woman. End of.
    But not Burnham because he has a penis?

    So you're saying women can't have a penis?

    Must be hard to keep track of your lines to take today, Vlad.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    Stocky said:

    I know. Reeves is 100/1 with a couple of trad bookies and Nandy best price 130 with BF Exchange.
    Yeah 100/1 on Betway and Betfred but they may limit your stake.

    80/1 boosted on Ladbrokes.

    It's worth a punt imho.

    But either way, the next Labour leader will be female. So no to Wes I'm afraid.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,309

    Reeves doesn't seem to be even on the board on BF's market.
    She's not, along with a few others.

    It badly needs updating.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,043
    edited May 2022
    Heathener said:

    Says a man. And a tory man at that.

    It makes 'the fuck difference' because Labour MUST choose a woman as next leader.

    End of.

    And I'm a Labour supporter. You're not. So piss off.

    xx
    A woman leader does not automatically lead to election victory, ask Theresa May, Kim Campbell, Julia Gillard, Hillary Clinton and Valerie Pecresse
  • The Labour MPs won't nominate a leftie to get onto the ballot so it will be I think, Streeting vs Reeves.

    It's possible we see a coronation like Brown but unlikely.

    Whatever happens, the Tories are in trouble. The new leader will only go further to the centre - and will have more charisma than Starmer does.

    I always knew there would be people that would appear after Starmer went. The Tories though, kicked all of their good talent out.

    Streeting would be my pick, I'd vote for him.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,550
    Just popping in from the Festival to point and laugh at Labour.

    How's that view from the moral high-ground looking today?
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,564

    You seem out of touch on the price of a Chinese meal delivered

    Our takeaway charges £6.80 so £200 equates to 30 meals and of course they may well have been some present who did not eat

    Not a big meal, though, is it? And who paid for the 20 or so bottles of lager. Was that in the £200?
    Agree, SKS has gone in hard, but largely about the fact that a) many of the Downing St events were purely social and b) the PM has consistently lied about them.

    However, if Starmer were to resign, I reckon it would leave Labour in a much stronger place.

    I know I'll be in a minority but I'd quite like to see Ed Miliband back. Or, even more unlikely, Emily Thornberry. Suspect she'd scare hell out of the PM.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,279
    Heathener said:

    Non sequitur.

    We need our next leader to be a woman. Whether that's someone who is a trans woman is another issue but I doubt the red wall thickos like Fucker Faroq would cope with it.

    Next Labour leader must be a woman. End of.
    Farooq is a liberal so he won't be fussed either way.

    I was kinda joking but if LP future leader is a trans woman will they say that the party has now had a woman leader???
  • https://twitter.com/JolyonMaugham/status/1523214379184910336

    Is there a copy of this memo that has the full event *before* "Dinner in Miners Hall" rather than the torn bit the Mail has published?

    Why did the Mail not publish the entire memo?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,533
    Heathener said:

    Yeah 100/1 on Betway and Betfred but they may limit your stake.

    80/1 boosted on Ladbrokes.

    It's worth a punt imho.

    But either way, the next Labour leader will be female. So no to Wes I'm afraid.
    Just noticed that I am massively quids in if Nandy becomes next PM. Bet from a while ago lying there dormant just waiting for someone to deliver a curry and beers to a hall in Durham one april evening...
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085


    Must be hard to keep track of your lines to take today, Vlad.
    Yeah right Phillip Thompson.

    See? Two can play the game.

    The next Labour leader must and will be a woman. Sorry that this is causing such confusion for the right wing gammons.

    Have a nice day folks.

    Off out to walk around Hook Heath. I guess I could meet up with tlg86 some time and then that really will make you 'you're a troll' tories look even more stupid and dumbass than you already are (if that's poss.)
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,279
    Heathener said:

    Yeah 100/1 on Betway and Betfred but they may limit your stake.

    80/1 boosted on Ladbrokes.

    It's worth a punt imho.

    But either way, the next Labour leader will be female. So no to Wes I'm afraid.
    Why are you so confident of that? Many said the same thing before Starmer got selected.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,298

    But not Burnham because he has a penis?

    So you're saying women can't have a penis?

    Must be hard to keep track of your lines to take today, Vlad.
    That is a bit rich coming from PBs Trollmaster General.
  • Stocky said:

    I think I agree. I'd add Nandy in the mix.
    Meh, I don't buy the love for Nandy. She strikes me as more a Brown, good ideas but needs a Blair to present them.

    Wes Streeting interviews brilliantly and is likeable, possibly Labour's best media performer in many a year.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,564

    Yesterday there was a debate about whether Johnson is uncoalition-able. I posted that we can't be sure he wont find a way to bring the DUP on board somehow. John Rentoul has written similar this morning I see.

    In the debates about whether Tories can form a new government without a majority I don't think we can assume the unionists wont be in play.

    How can they be when N. Ireland is going to be some sort of Anglo-Irish condominium?
  • Not Burnham because he's not an MP but also because he doesn't campaign well at all and he has no ideas.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    nova said:

    Pretty sure they didn't go to your local Chinese ;)

    The place they ordered from is fancy - £10.95 for a Chicken Tikka Masala, and £3.90 for pilau rice.

    So, even if they just ordered mains, you're talking meals for 14 people.
    They have already admitted 30 people were in attendance
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    Stocky said:

    Why are you so confident of that? Many said the same thing before Starmer got selected.
    Because this time there are two or three who are more than capable of doing the job. Last time there really weren't. We needed a reset out of the hideous Corbyn years and SKS was the right person for that.

    Now we have a platform to power we will be led by a woman.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,043
    JACK_W said:

    The Leaders -

    SKS - There is some wiggle room for SKS as he was previously cleared by Durham police and should await the result of the new investigation. A Starmer FPN and he goes. Replace with Andy Burnham

    BOZO - The man has no shame, honour or integrity. He should have been turfed out weeks ago. Odious man. Replace with Jeremy Hunt.

    ED - A man so boring and devoid of charisma that he makes John Major interesting. Replace with Daisy Cooper.

    Davey made the biggest gains on Thursday (and of course Major did win in 1992).

    The Tory membership won't vote for Hunt, see the 2019 leadership election.

    Burnham would do better than Starmer in the redwall but Streeting might also be good and looks presentable, however I don't think any of the 3 will be going before the next general election.

  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,279

    Just popping in from the Festival to point and laugh at Labour.

    How's that view from the moral high-ground looking today?

    Couldn't resist eh? Go back to your festival.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085

    Not Burnham because he's not an MP but also because he doesn't campaign well at all and he has no ideas.

    Totally right
  • Heathener said:

    Yeah right Phillip Thompson.

    See? Two can play the game.

    The next Labour leader must and will be a woman. Sorry that this is causing such confusion for the right wing gammons.

    Have a nice day folks.

    Off out to walk around Hook Heath. I guess I could meet up with tlg86 some time and then that really will make you 'you're a troll' tories look even more stupid and dumbass than you already are (if that's poss.)
    @PBModerator has said it's against the rules to doxx people.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,279
    HYUFD said:

    Davey made the biggest gains on Thursday (and of course Major did win in 1992).

    The Tory membership won't vote for Hunt, see the 2019 leadership election.

    Burnham would do better than Starmer in the redwall but Streeting might also be good and looks presentable, however I don't think any of the 3 will be going before the next general election.

    "The Tory membership won't vote for Hunt, see the 2019 leadership election."

    You seem very confident of this but a lot has changed since then and Hunt did pretty well against expectations in 2019.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    HYUFD said:

    A woman leader does not automatically lead to election victory, ask Theresa May, Kim Campbell, Julia Gillard, Hillary Clinton and Valerie Pecresse
    Yeah that's a different point, which I don't dispute.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,094
    TOPPING said:

    On topic we don't know what the other fifty potential FPNs for Johnson are but on Beergate vs Partygate the former now seems much worse (scheduled dinner vs "ambush").

    Topping you are not usually miles off the truth. How can unlimited drunken debacles be better than dinner and a beer as part of a long working day.
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 4,499

    @PBModerator has said it's against the rules to doxx people.
    It's not doxxing if he originally used that name and has admitted using it in the posts after he changed his name.

  • Will Durham please also re-investigate Cummings?

    And what about the wine party the Met said was "necessary for work" despite Carrie and baby being there. The Met said no fine and no investigation, will they now re-open it?

    Strange how the PB Tories are oddly quiet on this?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,821
    nova said:

    Pretty sure they didn't go to your local Chinese ;)

    The place they ordered from is fancy - £10.95 for a Chicken Tikka Masala, and £3.90 for pilau rice.

    So, even if they just ordered mains, you're talking meals for 14 people.
    Eating's cheating. They probably just ordered a bunch of starters and sent someone out on a booze run.
  • Farooq said:

    Two thing you've got wrong now. I'm not a Tory. You can call me an ex Tory if you like as I have voted for them in the past. Last week I voted yellow and orange, not blue.

    Red Wall doesn't really extend as far north as where I am. I'm about 5 hours' drive north of anything that can reasonably be described as Red Wall.

    But I'll let you have "thicko". Obvious to all I would have thought.
    ROFL Farooq is one of the most sensible posters here, very astute poster. Never thought he was a Tory, he might have voted Tory when they were competent but he seems too intelligent to do that now.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,675
    Heathener said:

    Yeah right Phillip Thompson.

    See? Two can play the game.

    The next Labour leader must and will be a woman. Sorry that this is causing such confusion for the right wing gammons.

    Have a nice day folks.

    Off out to walk around Hook Heath. I guess I could meet up with tlg86 some time and then that really will make you 'you're a troll' tories look even more stupid and dumbass than you already are (if that's poss.)
    Unpleasant thread - I'm one of your fans, Heathener, but do stop doxxing Bart. You're obviously not Russian (if you were you'd still be interesting!) so just shrug off the minority who are still trolling you.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    @PBModerator has said it's against the rules to doxx people.
    Hoist with your own petard situation I'd have thought if you want to call vlad
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,094
    nova said:

    I doubt it.

    If the Starmer event turned into more of a party, then that's an issue, but there's a clear difference between the practical meal provision for people working away/working long hours, and gathering for xmas parties.

    As many have pointed out, there were drink/food events (including the garden drinks) that the Met didn't think were worth further investigation. I'd imagine there are hundreds of meals similar to the one planned by Labour by both parties, that wouldn't get anyone a FPN.

    Starmer's issue is the suggestion that it became much more of a social event.
    Only to desperate Tories and the Dail Heil
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    Heathener said:

    Yeah right Phillip Thompson.

    See? Two can play the game.

    The next Labour leader must and will be a woman. Sorry that this is causing such confusion for the right wing gammons.

    Have a nice day folks.

    Off out to walk around Hook Heath. I guess I could meet up with tlg86 some time and then that really will make you 'you're a troll' tories look even more stupid and dumbass than you already are (if that's poss.)
    Sorry but that is doxxing which we have all been warned about by the moderator
  • Please just leave Bart alone, this is getting very tiring and is coming across like bullying.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,094
    Roger said:

    I'm shocked too that they could feed 30 people for £200! Add dinks fruit and Vegetarian options and it becomes positively parsimonious. But as you are sure he's guilty how about taking the bet that MrEd refused (after guaranteeing he will be found guilty). £100 evens that he doesn't get an FPN?
    Roger , they run a mile when you call them out on their obvious bollox. Lots of windbaggery but all a front.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Will Durham please also re-investigate Cummings?

    And what about the wine party the Met said was "necessary for work" despite Carrie and baby being there. The Met said no fine and no investigation, will they now re-open it?

    Strange how the PB Tories are oddly quiet on this?

    They have OKed the garden party? Did not realize that. Puts sks in the clear I would think
  • IshmaelZ said:

    Hoist with your own petard situation I'd have thought if you want to call vlad
    Only if he genuinely is Vlad though.

    One is a joke, a turn of phrase, the other is doxxing with full name.
This discussion has been closed.