Sunak’s favourability drops a colossal 26% in a month – politicalbetting.com

A giant 26 percentage point drop in net favourability for Rishi Sunak makes him less favourable than Boris Johnson, according to the latest April edition of Savanta ComRes’ political tracker.
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We are told by people here, there and everywhere everyone loves the Prime Minister, anyone who doesn't is a traitor and the Conservatives will gain hundreds of seats at the local elections on a wave of patriotic fervour.
Major's Tories lost over 500 seats at the equivalent stage of the cycle in the 1994 locals so Boris will at least be aiming to avoid that heavy a loss.
If it is that bad then his position will be difficult. Sunak's position also hanging by a thread. The likely replacement would have to be someone dull but a safe pair of hands eg Ben Wallace
Allie Hodgkins-Brown
@AllieHBNews
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Thursday’s FINANCIAL TIMES: “Russian menace edges Finland and Sweden close to Nato entry” #TomorrowsPapersToday
Every time I think of leaving Twitter I remind myself that it is a place where @cher
can be found talking military strategy with the government of @ukraine.
https://twitter.com/BDStanley/status/1514006438389194752/photo/1
https://twitter.com/arawnsley/status/1514209058483585026
❌Crime has not been cut
❌Victims are waiting longer than ever for justice
❌The court backlog is at a record high and growing
❌The government is refusing to fund legal aid https://twitter.com/adampayne26/status/1514332815478906890
Edit - Oops! Just checked and I did! But I only had to queue for five minutes in Girona
Edit 2 - and I’m delighted to have stamps in my passport again
Rozenberg patently scraping PB, mind, and obv read my extremely percipient point this morning that Braverman is keeping very quiet.
The relative size of the combatants aside, the parallels are spooky. Both driven by some weird upsurge in mystical Nationalism and a passionate contempt for the intended enemy. Both utterly misguided, and handicapped by basic military errors from the off
1864 ended in total disaster for Denmark; let us hope Putin tastes the same bitter cup of defeat
May would have resigned.
Cameron would have resigned.
Major would have resigned.
Thatcher would have resigned.
You - personally - are enabling the debasement of our entire political system. And are so brazen you won't even face up to your complicity.
"I stopped my wife from opening mutilated daughter’s coffin to protect her from even more grief
...
“She was shot at point blank range. Almost half of her head was missing,” Mr Dereko, 41, told The Telegraph.
The police told the Derekos that Karina had been killed by “violent death”. Yet because the story was “so horrific”, the authorities withheld information from them, although they were informed that she had been tortured.
They also advised Mrs Dereko against viewing images of her daughter’s remains.
“We think it could be possible that she was raped,” Mr Dereko added.
“We have not seen the lower part of her body, just the upper part, but what we have seen at the top, we can only imagine what can be on the rest of her body.”
Reality check as to what we are dealing with here
Apparently they're trolling by saying perhaps some of the sailors were smoking...
Also that Ukraine are launching a rescue attempt. If true, they must be expecting the ship to go down.
(The Moskva is the flagship of the Black Sea Fleet.)
Truss 6.2 / 6.8
Tugendhat 9 / 10
Hunt 9.8 / 10.5
Wallace 9.4 / 12.5
Mordaunt 12 / 15.5
Sunak 13.5 / 15.5
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.160663234
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Serbian_campaign
Has a number of interesting parallels with Putins campaign, though hopefully not precipitating a World War.
The new King, Christian IX, felt compelled to sign the draft constitution on 18 November 1863, expressing grave concern. In doing so, the king violated the London Protocol of 1852 and gave the Prussian Prime Minister Otto von Bismarck a justification for war. This action caused outrage among the duchies' German population and a resolution was passed by the German Confederation at the initiative of Bismarck, calling for the occupation of Holstein by Confederate forces.
The Danish government abandoned Holstein and pulled the Danish Army back to the border between Schleswig and Holstein. Most of it fortified itself behind the Danevirke...On 24 December 1863, Saxon and Hanoverian troops marched into Holstein on behalf of the Confederation... On 14 January 1864, Austria and Prussia declared to take action against Denmark without regard to decisions of the German Confederation... Prussian and Austrian troops crossed into Schleswig on 1 February 1864 against the resistance of the Federal Assembly of the German Confederation
We must give Ukraine what ever they what and need to defend themselves.
Have I got this wrong? 1864 presents it completely differently: as a mad Danish act of aggression
I confess I have not delved deeper into the history, apart from remembering that famous Palmerston quote (used in the TV drama, and perhaps of relevance here):
"Only three people have ever really understood the Schleswig-Holstein business – the Prince Consort, who is dead – a German professor, who has gone mad – and I, who have forgotten all about it"
FPT
@MoonRabbit sorry no lasting Falklands Factor for Johnson in Ukraine.
Do we believe that, or is that just a cover for something else...?
https://twitter.com/whstancil/status/1514330469973778435
This is literally a worse gross Approval rating than Trump in 2018 amongst 18-34 year olds!!! (slightly better Net score).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_cruiser_Moskva
The missile the Ukrainians say hit it, the 'Neptune missile' is brand new, entering service last year, I would have thought any they did have would have been used up by now, perhaps they have been able to make more, or perhaps they have given the blue prints to somebody else (UK?) to make them? or perhaps it was a different missile used (Harpoon?) but by agreement the Ukrainians will clame it was there own missiles so as to not 'escalate'
Disappointingly the main centre was not splitting the paranoid 80+ year olds from the coughing 5 year olds, and the queue was very long despite us having a booked time.
We gave up and went to a small pharmacy, which was much better.
I’ve seen it suggested that if they tried to ref football in the same way with respect to not talking back to the ref, then sides would run out of players left on the pitch. I disagree. I think they would learn pretty damn fast.
'Amicable' is not the right word. The Finns have been living on tenterhooks vis a vis Russia in the post WW2 era, and their foreign relations and policy have been constrained with reference to their overbearing neighbour - cf "Finlandisation" (which Macron proposed to Russia for Ukraine) and the Kekkonen line in foreign policy (= do nothing to upset the bear).
Telegraph
The Russian army is an obscenity with nukes
💬#Zakharova: London successfully exports its colonial methods. The methods of suppressing the Donbass were obviously taught by British instructors and political mentors.
❓We wonder if the Ukrainians understand that London uses them as a typical colonial cannon fodder?
https://twitter.com/mfa_russia/status/1514270145933463554
If you gave one a gun...
Its the people buying ETH to buy NFTs now that are going to lose their shirts.
Edit - The guy who bought it also runs a blockchain company, which gets crowbarred into loads of articles about this. I suspect its as much advertising / promotion as anything else.
At last a man of honour within the Tory 'Trump' party.
He is our Liz Cheney.
College degree
Approve Yes 52% No 42%
No college degree
Approve Yes 20% No 67%
Hispanic
Approve Yes 26% No 54%
Which suggests the Dems have problems anywhere working class.
There’s single mothers i saw on channel 4 news, going to food banks out there, voted Brexit and Boris and fearful of anyone else leading the country.
Is it the opposition are so un charismatic and lacking the Boris Passion for things, so they don’t cut through 🤷♀️
The Boris fan club and hero worship is growing again. Something or someone has to get the blame for letting Boris off the hook with all this, the opposition leaders and front benches have to be considered as not cutting through.
Can no 10 make the UK look more nasty . I suppose we should be grateful that the migrants aren’t being shot at dawn !
But it had just been developed, and only just started started entering into service. It was reported that have very few of them operational (if any).
I'm confused?
George Osborne has won business for an investment bank from a company set up by a Russian oligarch who once hosted the former chancellor on his yacht, it has been reported.
Osborne, 50, secured EN+, a metals company, as a client for Robey Warshaw, which he joined this year after resigning as editor of the Evening Standard, despite having no previous experience in banking. In the past seven years the bank has made profits of £207 million for its work on mergers and acquisitions.
EN+, one of the largest producers of aluminium in the world, was set up by Oleg Deripaska, who is banned from the US. The Russian billionaire, who in the past has been accused of having close ties to President Putin, hosted Osborne on his yacht off the Greek island of Corfu in 2008. The Labour peer Lord Mandelson and Lord Feldman of Elstree, a Tory party fundraiser, were also guests.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/george-osborne-wins-deal-with-firm-set-up-by-oligarch-linked-to-putin-j8wf30m9z
Has George Osborne donated his 'earnings' from this deal to help Ukraine ?
In my case they'd moved the jabs to the second floor, requiring shared lift access for the mobility impaired and the lazy kids.
Glad the case was mild - most will be, obviously - but you'd think that there might be a bit more care at vaccine centres, even if there isn't anywhere else. There certainly was the first time.
There has been a procession of politicians trying to cleanse their past association with their various Russia policies.
The German President was a particularly vociferous enthusiast for Nord Stream 2 - which was a strategic attack on Ukraine. He was also very vocal in being anti military aid to Ukraine and that Ukraine should shut up and compromise to keep the peace.
Fuck him and fuck his hurt little feelings. With a chainsaw.
https://www.theguardian.com/football/2000/feb/20/newsstory.sport9
https://mobile.twitter.com/avalaina/status/1514194493687447556
On the first day of the invasion, the small garrison refused calls from the ship for it to surrender, telling the ship to "go to hell".
Detailed reporting of death and atrocities - ok; rude words - certainly not!
Note also that TV assistance works brilliantly in rugby, and pretty well in cricket too, but in football it's a nightmare.
It ain't what you do it's the way that you do it.
I think it was just a local screw up to be honest, although clearly there has been more than one local screw up.
There was no need to have everyone in the same queue, or even the same vaccination centre, given there was another one about a mile away. Surely they could just have sent the 5 year olds to one, and the 80/90 year olds to the other. Given BA.2 it still wouldn't be no risk for the oldies, but it would certainly have improved it.
Cricket limited number of challenges is a much better system and marginal decisions stick with the umpire.
Big problem with football is really marginal offsides etc, they try and employ a level of accuracy that isn't there and it takes forever to try and make a decision as they try to go down to the pixel level of the image. Its should just be clear and obvious, not like the Sterling one last Sunday where his nipples were offside and the rest of him wasn't.
You may be right that Johnson wins. If he does it won't be as a result of Ukraine, it won't be economic competence and it won't be his performance on lockdown compliance.
I am unsure of why you think Starmer is so incompetent as LOTO, in the face of Johnson's unbelievable performance. Are you taken in by the unrelenting news media and social media campaign against him?
Should Johnson be the candidate against Starmer, then circumstances, particularly the economy, may fall in Starmer's favour.
Remember what the MPAA says; Horrific, Deplorable violence is okay, as long as people don't say any naughty woids!
It's mostly as true now as it was then - bad language in entertainment is more acceptable even if not in news, whilst anything risque is probably less acceptable, whilst violence has never been a problem in news or entertainment.