How will the BoJo exit betting look after the May locals? – politicalbetting.com
How will the BoJo exit betting look after the May locals? – politicalbetting.com
So Johnson and others in Downing Street appear to have survived being fined for not following the strict regime that they set up to fight COVID and punters make it almost an evens chance he’ll make it through to 2024 as PM.
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I really don't think he is out of this yet. He has set a precedent of accepting the Met's determination and moving on. Will he try to do so again? And again? And again?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-61094059
A what?
Rishi Sunak - Priti Patel
To bring down Boris and set up one or other as the heir ...
It looks to me anyway as if Boris is in more, not less, trouble now than last night. Things are starting to happen.
Take a peak at the mailonline leader.
Talk of several fines and a £10,000 fine for Boris. Then there's Sunak's fury about being dumped on with this. And the full Sue Gray report likely out next week. And the first backbencher just called for Boris to stand down.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10714277/Furious-Rishi-Sunak-blames-Boris-Carrie-Partygate-fine.html
https://news.sky.com/story/partygate-more-than-half-of-voters-think-that-boris-johnson-should-resign-after-fine-12589002
His old paper was not encouraging:-
Final Sue Gray report ‘will not make comfortable reading for Boris Johnson’
‘Partygate’ dossier could be released as early as next week and will be critical of the Prime Minister’s conduct, sources tell The Telegraph
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/04/12/sue-gray-report-set-published-mps-return-parliament-next-week/ (£££)
2. There's plenty of plague literature, some of it quite good: https://lincolnlibraries.org/bookguide/booklists/pandemic-and-plague-literature/
I suppose as you think all old white male gammons think the same way it’s perfectly ok to think that way but interesting.
Why only this morning I asked my wife what the Asian Community thought about Bozo and Rishi Rich getting fined.
He will leave when Tory voters make it very clear he is no longer wanted, not before.
Now, firstly, if that were the case, that's a sizeable party, but also, Boris might have paid multiple fines for different breaches by the end of all this and we may have multiple news cycles of this before Gray is finally released.
But I'm not sure that more FPNs for attending gatherings hurts Boris any more than one does - we already know that his view at the time of what was permissible differs from the police's view now, and multiple FPNs doesn't change that. Unless he gets a 10Ker for organising.
But if people continue to do this, I reserve the right to mention his name and works, as I am a big fan of his writing, if not his decadent lifestyle
The Scottish Raj (©Paxman I think) used to be very much a thing, so..Nowadays it's pretty much whittled down to Gove and he's more a radge, particularly after a brush with the fine exports of Peru and Bolivia.
Of course for our own recent plague, there's been quite a lot of side taking. I fully expect at least one plague novel from some hack or other on just that basis. Perhaps SeanT could mull over the idea.
What I don't know is whether the doubling only applies to infractions committed after the issuing of a previous FPN.
I'd also say with the benefit of aged hindsight that Mailer's The Naked and the Dead is his best book.
I can think of maybe 30,000,000,000 great novels, poems, plays, movies - and other artworks - about war, right here right now, but I shall spare you
Let's just say: THE ILIAD
And the answer is YES and BECAUSE IT MAKES FOR GREAT DRAMA AND MOVING STORIES
I think that this is unfortunate. Not the case with this example, but if people plead guilty, and co-operate with the authorities, claim that they want to pursue a different path... shouldn't they be given some hope, a path forward?
No doubt many will regard me as an 'idiot naive liberal', but for much of the twentieth century, the principles set out above were common ground, they were the basis of criminal justice policy for generations. Even though they were not working very well of late, it is still sad to see them go.
https://twitter.com/johnpaul_newman/status/1513963215587323909
The next step will be "The public don't like Johnson right now, mid-term blues, it'll be fine."
The final step will be "He might be a duffer, but it's too late to change him."
So- will there be a window of opportunity between these two? And will the reaction time of the Conservatives be alert enough to seize it?
J`accuse, Putin. The absolutely monstrous use of rape as a weapon of war on top of all the other vile war crimes, will shame Russia for a generation.
https://news.err.ee/1608563656/protest-against-women-raped-in-war-held-outside-tallinn-s-russian-embassy
Interest rates on student loans to hit 12% in England. Outrageous.
https://twitter.com/sianushka/status/1513908482944253962?s=20&t=Iu1ftynep8p2RhKgw0Kt3A
1864
It's very timely, as it is about a mad European war of invasion, fuelled by mystical nationalism, which turns into a disaster. In this case it is the Danish invasion of Prussia/Germany - in 1864 - which ended in bitter defeat for Denmark and the dismembering of the country, which lost 2/5 of its land and population
I had no idea about this war so the series is both educational, and fascinating
It is also seriously good drama, with compelling acting, and high production values. Definitely worth a shot. As it were
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/judge-is-inspired-by-insulate-britain-protesters-as-he-fines-them-for-m25-demonstration/ar-AAWa8EU?ocid=entnewsntp&cvid=0b714f277c4d4b7ebb0632351f8ff3cd
https://twitter.com/jonathancmunro/status/1514219354996580358
Platoon
Hamburger Hill
Born on the Fourth of July
Casualties of War
Rescue Dawn
We Were Soldiers
Good Morning, Vietnam
Full Metal Jacket
The Deer Hunter
Apocalypse Now
At least three or four of those are stand-out movie masterpieces, Apocalypse Now is one of the very greatest movies ever made
"US President Joe Biden has accused Russian forces of committing acts of "genocide" in Ukraine.
He said Russian President Vladimir Putin was trying to "wipe out the idea" of a Ukrainian identity.
Mr Biden has previously stopped short of references to genocide, instead accusing Moscow of "war crimes".
French President Emmanuel Macron later told French TV he was reluctant to use the term and warned against an "escalation of rhetoric".
Speaking to the public broadcaster France 2, the French President said he would be "careful with such terms today because these two peoples are brothers."
"I want to continue to try, as much as I can, to stop this war and rebuild peace. I am not sure that an escalation of rhetoric serves that cause," he added."
I mean, how on earth do you vote for this twat, even to stop Le Pen? Escalation of rhetoric? Jeez. Words fail me.
https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html
What would be the appropriate way to mark the passing of 500 Tanks?
with the news of the Use of chemical weapons, calibration does not feel appropriate,
Edit :- In fact thinking a bit more, it might reduce it....if you a high earner have say a £1-2k left on your student loan, you probably then just pay it off now, rather than eat the 12%.
https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html
In some ways it feels a little bad to be 'celebrating' the numbers going up, given that many of these will have involved the violent deaths of three or four people. But given what they're doing in Ukraine, I still take a little perverse joy in the numbers increasing.
A Bright Shining Lie
Chickenhawk
If I Die in a Combat Zone
Requiem
Meditations in Green
A Rumor of War
The Sorrow of War
We Were Soldiers
Fields of Fire
The Quiet American
Dispatches
Again, several solid world class masterpieces in there. Dispatches is one of the best books EVAH
I need to check, but also am I right in thinking that this 12% is only on the "new style" student loans. They changed the system in 2012.
The current student loan regime is pretty much a graduate tax in all but name really. The sheer size of the borrowing and the unfavourable interest rate make it incredibly difficult to clear the balance. As much as the top up fee system before it was a blow to students in the late noughties, it was much more realistic that repayment would eventually be made and the interest rate was much less punishing being linked as it is to BOE base or inflation, whichever is lower.
Judgement Night, Deaths Head Revisited and the Purple Testament being exceptional.
Das Boot is excellent and the film Stalingrad, from 1993, is excellent
A whole-life term is incredibly rare for a single murder, possibly less than one per year on average. The two most recent examples are this one, of a man killing an MP at their surgery, and the police officer who killed a random woman abducted off the street by use of his warrant card.
The vast majority of murders are still either of domestic origin or gang-related. Most of them barely make the news.
The practical effect of this will be to further divide society. Those whose families can afford to pay their fees for them will be better off for the vast bulk of their working lives. Those from more ordinary backgrounds will not.
I do find it really bizarre that anybody think you what total laugh, lets go to a fancy dress party as a Nazi. You have 1000s of options to choose from, no I want to go as Nazi. Same as black face, anybody going to a party in the past 20-30 years, it just doesn't enter your head.
But, and it is a huge BUT, even if the individual negotiators are acting in good faith, it is clear Putin never has been. Putin's own words show that the negotiations are dead (and will be until one side is exhausted or beaten on the battlefield).
And the Russians' own words, including those of Putin himself, are making a stronger case that genocide is indeed the correct term, more even than the hideous acts being uncovered on the ground (which themselves are prima facie proof of war crimes and crimes against humanity, but not, yet IMO, of genocide. Mariupol, once we get there, or Kherson, are both likely to provide direct proof of genocidal acts to match Russia's genocidal policies and doctrines).
So, yes, Macron is a dangerous egotistical twat. But even so, if I were French, I'd still have to vote for him.
Its literally a graduate tax, and the high earners are going to end up forking out a lot more than those on £30-40k a year. Remember its 9% on what you earn after £27-28k. So somebody on £30k a year really isn't paying much. Those on £60-70k, paying a lot, make a lot larger contributions over their life time.
I say the above as somebody who did this (from money I earned myself). I wrote the Student Loan people a massive cheque and paid it all off when I was 22-23. In hindsight it was a stupid thing to do, I could have bought a house paying down a big portion of it with the deposit, rather than renting for a number of years and ultimately paying a load more for a house.
The young really have been f***ed royally in the past decade.