Johnson being CON leader at next election – a good bet? – politicalbetting.com

There is a good argument for saying that the 41% on Johnson still being CON leader at the next election is a good value bet. Certainly, there has been a fair amount of turbulence on this market in recent months and now YES is on the rise.
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On the other, greased pig. i have virtually bankrupted myself betting against him.
But parties and FPNs are not yet, not a thing. Recency/immediacy bias have made us forget that stuff but it will be back.
Ben Wallace, the defence secretary, has hit out at Russian “dirty tricks” after being targeted by an impostor posing as the Ukrainian prime minister.
He told The Times that a man pretending to be prime minister Denys Shmyhal on a video call asked him a series of questions which “got wilder and wilder so I ended the call”.
One line of inquiry is that the call was orchestrated by Russian intelligence as an attempt to extract sensitive information from Wallace or as an attempt to embarrass him.
Wallace, a former Scots Guards who was in Poland at the time, ordered an immediate inquiry to find out how the impostor was able to speak to him. It is understood the call lasted less than ten minutes.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/impostor-tries-to-dupe-defence-secretary-35rqqkbjw
Flatlander said:
This P&O thing is so extreme that it almost looks like enemy action designed to cause chaos.
How much Russian influence is there in Dubai?
So do people think history will view this as one of Vladimir Putin's cleverer decisions?
Or not?
What he said, on the other hand...
There is not enough cringe in the world to cover this
https://twitter.com/TPostMillennial/status/1504525471572189186?s=20&t=kbEeOhl4o5qZ3aQ2AxNSQg
Except without the consolidation of the ground-breaking music.
The problem many have, as in the referendum, is that they do not make a winning case then complain
Call me a conspiracy theorist but:
http://web.archive.org/web/20220223155341/https://rdif.ru/Eng_fullNews/1599/
https://www.dpworld.com/news/releases/dp-world-and-rosatom-sign-agreement-for-northern-transit-corridor/
Yes, it is a global company that is bound to have to deal with all sorts, but still...
I hope someone has vetted the replacement staff.
Maybe the West is finished. Come Vlad, wipe us out
CON 37%(-3)
LIBD 28%(+10)
LAB 19%(-4)
GREEN 7%(=)
IND/LOCAL 8%(-1)
Others 2%(-2)
Votes: 71,867(105,783)
Top tip: never read out a "poem" written by a lyricist. That would probably sound OK-ish as a U2 stadium anthem, which is probably what Bono was hearing in his head when he wrote it.
To Albania we're on our way...
The French defiantly put theirs in the middle of a page occupying all the real estate in a really unhelpful manner
It is utterly wrong and it was good to see that across the HOC there was total condemnation and a desire to work across party lines to address this completely unacceptable position
"Speaker Pelosi reads #StPatricksDay poem by Bono, which reads in part:
"Ireland's sorrow and pain
Is now the Ukraine
And Saint Patrick's name now Zelenskyy."
She then introduces Riverdance."
https://twitter.com/Dougee273/status/1504529660318674957?s=20&t=zyaCHXlOFS6yKbeHlBiEqQ
Twitter has EXPLODED with cringe
My guess is based mostly on the polls (where I think he was mostly placed in the “undecided” dog house by people who were always going to vote for him again), but also just a sense of how many people seem to still see him.
Oh, plus experience. All PMs seem to go through this “holed below the waterline” phase and they never actually get forced out.
Just fire.
How come no one told her This isn't such a great idea?
So embarrassing
Mind you that would be in keeping with Ritchie. The flaw in LS&2SB is that those guns would be lucky to make £5k at auction
https://mobile.twitter.com/juliaskripkaser/status/1504523793817116685
Regarding Ukraine: is there a change in tone from China?
IE: this from Chinese state sponsored media: "Russian troops have killed at least 10 civilians standing in line for bread in Chernihiv, a city in northern Ukraine, according to a Ukrainian public broadcaster and the U.S. Embassy in Kyiv".
https://twitter.com/cgtnamerica/status/1504510377446543362
I was going to spend 3 weeks in Russia in September but that's obviously not happening, unless they have a revolution and we're friends again. Uzbekistan is on the list but might be on Uncle Vova's too. Might have to do SE Asia for the first time in which case I have a train itinerary of Thailand, Laos and Malaysia in mind.
https://twitter.com/cgtnamerica/status/1504524180091547665
As you say: embarrassing
On the other, I feel worryingly like a child who has learned that the grown ups are on his side.
Despite what's going on elsewhere, P&O's behaviour will resonate and regrettably it empowers Union militancy. It's scant reward for employees who, in some cases, have devoted decades to the company.
Those in charge at P&O ferries need now to be publicly named and shamed - I suspect the lifestyles of those in charge will be very different from those so publicly humiliated today.
Days like those don't turn me against capitalism but it's hard to have complete faith when you see, in the 21st century, such ruthless exploitation and heartless behaviour.
https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html
If it's not illegal, they can't do anything to stop it. Rule of law.
I'll be putting the winnings from the Stodge Saturday Patent into our accommodation - so that'll be one bijou storm drain for two.
She's proper batshit crazy. And she is third in the American chain-of-command, behind the stammering Biden and the giggling Harris
With Trump waiting for his second chance
God Help Us All, this is the nation that leads the West
I hate what they are doing, but I don’t see evidence that the ability to do it is linked to Brexit. Happy to be shown I’m wrong, genuinely.
I would also suggest that a hire and fire policy would see companies fail and the workforce lose their jobs anyway
There is no easy answer but let's hope the parties acting together can find a way through