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Ipsos-MORI net Johnson satisfaction rating slumps to minus 46% – politicalbetting.com

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  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    I did too. There was never clear evidence that the flight reduced the number of evacuated refugees or that it had put anyone at risk. The hostility was a coalition of people who don't like the Tories and people who think it's soppy to like animals.

    Whether the truth is being told by BJ is a separate issue.
    Very much mostly the former. This one never passed what I think of as "the opposite test": if the government had done the opposite, the same people would have found a way to complain about that too.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,826
    Taz said:

    There’s a lot,of,work to do, time is passing quickly, and if they just think the so called red wall are merely sinners who will repent and return I think they are sadly mistaken. They need to listen to these communities instead of telling them what they think they want and taking them for granted as they have historically,voted labour. I always vote labour in general elections. At the moment I am planning not to vote.
    Polling of the "Red Wall" says otherwise, and turning Tory voters into non voters is a degree of progress.
  • rcs1000 said:

    My wife is South African, and she has a very similar experience (including multiple homicides). The rate of violent death there is off the charts.
    Does she get down to South Los Angeles much?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,969
    edited January 2022
    kle4 said:

    Tragedy. Forgivable in by-elections, but seems increasingly common at all outs too. I want to wake up to a result, damnit!
    Keep up with Leon’s drinking and you probably will….
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,089
    Farooq said:

    Well, yes. Flying animals into a war zone is horrible.
    I'd be very happy to pay for a ticket for our chihuahua.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,337
    ydoethur said:

    Well, I now have some figures on the Hundred.

    It had revenue of £50 million. Its operating costs were £40 million. So a surplus.

    But - that doesn't include the £24 million bribe advance made to the counties to allow the thing to be held.

    So - in reality it made a loss of £14 million.

    Ticket sales were 510,000. The last pre-pandemic year of the Vitality Blast had ticket sales of 950,000.

    However you look at it, that's a pretty disastrous failure. One more season like that and the ECB will be running out of cash.

    Not that it has prevented the ECB swooning over its success or paying themselves millions in undeserved bonuses.

    About the only success was in women's cricket, where the double headers meant there was an attendance of 267,000 as against 27,000 in the last year of the Kia Super League.

    Sources:

    https://www.espncricinfo.com/story/the-hundred-2021-ecb-set-to-increase-women-s-hundred-salaries-committed-to-double-headers-1274466
    https://www.theticketingbusiness.com/2019/09/24/twenty20-blast-hits-record-ticket-sales-2019/
    https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2021/aug/13/why-hundred-double-headers-boosted-womens-cricket

    Shame. The gimmicks were pointless, but it was good to view some Cricket without Sky, and the double header arrangement was a great idea.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,089

    Does she get down to South Los Angeles much?
    You mean Orange County?
  • Toms said:

    Having said all that I think it would have been wonderfully primitive (atavistic?) to have the company of a middle-sized mongrel to accompany me on my long cross country runs. Can such dogs run long distances?
    Sounds like you need a border collie. They never get tired, just fitter.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,549

    I've never heard that story but I wonder if it was the Central? That used to be a proper pub back in the day but got tarted up and became a bit of a yah watering hole IIRC.
    Yes, it was the Central. Got done up, iirc, fairly early in my undergrad days. All hearsay on my part, I never saw the event nor the extent of the damage, but I think I remember it closing again for a little bit. Would've been when Dunc was still at Dundee United.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,826

    I did too. There was never clear evidence that the flight reduced the number of evacuated refugees or that it had put anyone at risk. The hostility was a coalition of people who don't like the Tories and people who think it's soppy to like animals.

    Whether the truth is being told by BJ is a separate issue.
    Yes, and just as the farce of the Johnson regime is reduced to questions over what constitutes a birthday party, the fiasco of the collapse of the NATO backed regime in Afghanistan is reduced to arguments about emails and dogs.

    It's as if we cannot bear to look at the real issues.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,337
    Scott_xP said:

    The new one is great
    A couple of moments are just a mite too fanservicey, but given the whole thing was made off the back of nostalgia that was expected and it was surprisingly good.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,826
    rcs1000 said:

    I'd be very happy to pay for a ticket for our chihuahua.
    Sounds like Afghanistan might suit him.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Foxy said:

    Some dogs are quite happy to do so. Primitive hounds like mine don't like to be far from their owner, being pack animals. Terriers are more willful, scent hounds more distractable, some breeds lack the nessecary endurance etc.
    Wonder if a border collie or b. c. crossbreed would do?
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,210
    rcs1000 said:

    I'd be very happy to pay for a ticket for our chihuahua.
    I’d gladly do likewise for any neighbourhood cat that shits on my lawn.
  • rcs1000 said:

    You mean Orange County?
    Possibly. I was thinking of Chesterfield Sq and east of Inglewood generally.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,442
    Carnyx said:

    Wonder if a border collie or b. c. crossbreed would do?
    Collie for sure. My sisters one will happily do 50 miles (she took him on a marathon, he went back and forward the whole time. 50 is a rough guess). Apparently still keen to go out later that day too.
    On the other hand our Spanish podenco looks the part but has actively contributed to my running worsening as she is slow and more keen on sniffs than miles.
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,192
    Taz said:

    I’d gladly do likewise for any neighbourhood cat that shits on my lawn.
    It is not your lawn - you just think it is...
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,163
    I presume Johnson's u-turn on NI tax rise is being held back ready for a particularly bad day in the PartyGate crisis.

    Maybe the day the Gray report finally comes out?
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,003
    I would have watched the Hundred if it was at Chester-Le-Street.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    Ours is a BC mix and I strongly recommend one. They are not quite as obsessive as pure BCs and have a generally calmer and more compliant nature.

    They are smart though, so you have to be a bit careful. Mine often posts on PB in my absence.
    Yep, pure BCs can have very strong characters. They'll be ordering their favourite food when you aren't looking. Friend's mutt was a BC/lurcher cross - very pleasant combination actually.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,163
    Hmmm. As I was just saying...


    Allie Hodgkins-Brown
    @AllieHBNews
    ·
    14m
    Friday’s GUARDIAN: “Treasury alarm as PM refuses to confirm national insurance rise” #TomorrowsPapersToday
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,171

    Ours is a BC mix and I strongly recommend one. They are not quite as obsessive as pure BCs and have a generally calmer and more compliant nature.

    They are smart though, so you have to be a bit careful. Mine often posts on PB in my absence.
    My owner's English pointer is forever posting on here!
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,003

    Hmmm. As I was just saying...


    Allie Hodgkins-Brown
    @AllieHBNews
    ·
    14m
    Friday’s GUARDIAN: “Treasury alarm as PM refuses to confirm national insurance rise” #TomorrowsPapersToday

    This Government has zero direction
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,192

    THERE WAS NO CAKE!!!

    Of course not. It was a biscuit for tax purposes...
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,192
    Toms said:

    I'm not a pet dog person. They smell for starters, but not so bad as foxes. But working dogs can be powerfully effective, guarding or herding, and providing doting yappy companionship to the old or infirm. I wonder how many heavy thinkers like Einstein, Newton, Hans Bethe, Schopenhauer, etc, had pet dogs. Stop-start thinking can be difficult, or at least I find it so.

    Einstein was a sailor and spent many hours on his sailboat. Probably a relaxing place for quiet contemplation
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,826

    Hmmm. As I was just saying...


    Allie Hodgkins-Brown
    @AllieHBNews
    ·
    14m
    Friday’s GUARDIAN: “Treasury alarm as PM refuses to confirm national insurance rise” #TomorrowsPapersToday

    The one he whipped through Parliament?

    Surely requires a bill to repeal?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,886
    Foxy said:

    Yes, and just as the farce of the Johnson regime is reduced to questions over what constitutes a birthday party, the fiasco of the collapse of the NATO backed regime in Afghanistan is reduced to arguments about emails and dogs.

    It's as if we cannot bear to look at the real issues.
    Sanctions. Rather than why there are so many without the skills, sobriety, health or self-confidence to hold down a job.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,594
    edited January 2022

    Hmmm. As I was just saying...


    Allie Hodgkins-Brown
    @AllieHBNews
    ·
    14m
    Friday’s GUARDIAN: “Treasury alarm as PM refuses to confirm national insurance rise” #TomorrowsPapersToday

    Likely back to cake for all then, Boris ended all Covid restrictions and now scrapping the remaining tax rises to secure his leadership
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    Applicant said:

    I read that as "Antifrank"...
    Whatever happened to him?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,337

    Of course not. It was a biscuit for tax purposes...
    That's a hole they don't want to go down, given the years of legal wrangling to determine what was cake or biscuit. If one slice remains, and can be shown to be cake, that woule be a lie that brings them down, Capone style.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,163

    This Government has zero direction
    What ever this week's focus group is telling them.

    Can you imagine Thatcher running her government like this?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,886

    This Government has zero direction
    Laser focussed on surviving the next day, mind.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,163
    Rentoul is right I think. If NI tax rise is delayed a year it will never happen this side of an election.
  • HYUFD said:

    I had just voted Remain and Cameron was still Tory leader and PM (May did not even become PM until July 2016).

    Most Remainers at that time would have accepted EEA as the closest alternative to Remain on offer. However they still would have voted for Remain over EEA in the Referendum if that was the main basis of the Leave campaign.

    However over 5 years later, I am quite happy with the Boris Deal which respects the Leave vote in full, including ending free movement and replacing it with a points system and allowing us to do our own trade deals while still having a trade deal with the EU. I would have opposed No Deal Brexit yes but I actually think the Boris Deal is in many respects better than EEA
    And yet you persist in your claim that there was no support for EFTA in spite of the fact that not only do the polls reform that point show you to be wrong (and we know how much you love polling to support a case) and that even you were claiming that was the way to go. It seems to me that the only thing you are consistent in is your undying, unqualified support for the Tory party irrespective of their policies.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Andy_JS said:

    "Denmark will lift nearly all Covid restrictions within days and return to 'life as we knew it before corona' after vaccine programme proved a 'super-weapon' – despite soaring cases

    Denmark will remove all domestic Covid-19 restrictions from next Tuesday
    The Danish PM said the country's high vaccination rate was behind the decision
    She said that the milder Omicron variant was no longer 'threatening to society'
    The move has set a precedent for other European countries to follow suit despite high case numbers across the continent"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10449063/Denmark-lift-nearly-Covid-restrictions-return-life-knew-corona.html

    Interestingly, the government in Denmark is centre-left but the move commands cross-partisan support. All mainstream parties support it AIUI. It’s an encouraging development.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,440
    edited January 2022
    Just been sent this with the message 'They [Team Boris] are shitting all over Rishi, this makes a leadership challenge more likely. I wonder if Rishi walks?'

    Rishi Sunak has been accused of blocking plans to invoke Article 16 by allies of the Prime Minister who say he is a “nominal Brexiteer” who has stalled progress on the Northern Ireland Protocol.

    The claims come amid rising tensions over the Chancellor’s proposed 1.25 percentage point rise in National Insurance Contributions (NICs) as Boris Johnson’s premiership continues to hang by a thread pending the publication of Sue Gray’s “partygate” report.

    On Thursday night, sources close to Mr Sunak were forced to deny reports that he had passed off the proposed £12 billion Health and Social Care levy as “the Prime Minister’s tax”, before insisting: “He is delivering on Brexit as Chancellor,” in response to suggestions that he has been “captured” by the “remainer” Treasury.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/01/27/rishi-sunak-fighting-hard-stop-invoking-article-16-claim-boris/
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,171
    HYUFD said:

    Likely back to cake for all then, Boris ended all Covid restrictions and now scrapping the remaining tax rises to secure his leadership
    Yeah, f*ck the nation's finances, f*ck the country, so long as Boris is saved, all's well eh?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    I presume Johnson's u-turn on NI tax rise is being held back ready for a particularly bad day in the PartyGate crisis.

    Maybe the day the Gray report finally comes out?

    Absolutely. The inevitable Jobs Tax reversal is the ace up the sleeve for the Joker.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,161

    Rentoul is right I think. If NI tax rise is delayed a year it will never happen this side of an election.

    Mel Stride MP says he's changed his mind on this, on Newsnight just now.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,492
    Taz said:

    There’s a lot,of,work to do, time is passing quickly, and if they just think the so called red wall are merely sinners who will repent and return I think they are sadly mistaken. They need to listen to these communities instead of telling them what they think they want and taking them for granted as they have historically,voted labour. I always vote labour in general elections. At the moment I am planning not to vote.
    rcs1000 said:

    I'd be very happy to pay for a ticket for our chihuahua.
    We have two miniature schnauzers. Although we love them to bits, I think the Taliban would be less likely to kill them than they would translators working for the west. Endangered humans should be saved before dogs.
  • And it was Hannan himslf , ofcourse, who with Matthew Ellliott, actually created Vote Leave, at Lord Leach's house in 2012, then called Business for Britain, and with dosh from hedgefunder Crispin Odey. A strange basis run and win a campaign on, and none too democratic.
    Straw man attacks seem to be your style. And of course changing tack when you have been shown to be wrong about your facts.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    I would have watched the Hundred if it was at Chester-Le-Street.

    Sorry, the ECB isn't interested in your county continuing to exist.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,163

    Just been sent this with the message 'They [Team Boris] are shitting all over Rishi, this makes a leadership challenge more likely. I wonder if Rishi walks?'

    Rishi Sunak has been accused of blocking plans to invoke Article 16 by allies of the Prime Minister who say he is a “nominal Brexiteer” who has stalled progress on the Northern Ireland Protocol.

    The claims come amid rising tensions over the Chancellor’s proposed 1.25 percentage point rise in National Insurance Contributions (NICs) as Boris Johnson’s premiership continues to hang by a thread pending the publication of Sue Gray’s “partygate” report.

    On Thursday night, sources close to Mr Sunak were forced to deny reports that he had passed off the proposed £12 billion Health and Social Care levy as “the Prime Minister’s tax”, before insisting: “He is delivering on Brexit as Chancellor,” in response to suggestions that he has been “captured” by the “remainer” Treasury.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/01/27/rishi-sunak-fighting-hard-stop-invoking-article-16-claim-boris/

    If he wants the crown he is going to have to seize it, because otherwise times will have moved on and he will not be the 'coming man' anymore. He will be the clapped out CoE who presided over a cost of living nightmare.

  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    In Europe, what’s the prognosis for lifting restrictions?

    England 27 Jan
    Denmark 1 Feb

    Noises suggest it will be a race between Scotland and France next?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,163
    Not looking like one of Sunak's best weeks to say the least.

    I wonder what Wor Dom can bring to the table?
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,192
    kle4 said:

    That's a hole they don't want to go down, given the years of legal wrangling to determine what was cake or biscuit. If one slice remains, and can be shown to be cake, that woule be a lie that brings them down, Capone style.
    We can only hope ;)
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,594
    edited January 2022

    If he wants the crown he is going to have to seize it, because otherwise times will have moved on and he will not be the 'coming man' anymore. He will be the clapped out CoE who presided over a cost of living nightmare.

    He hardly helped himself today by slashing the time you can search for jobs in your own field from 3 months to 1 for recently redundant skilled workers.

    Boris also knows the greatest threat to his premiership at present is not even Starmer, the next general election is at least 2 years away, it is Sunak.

    Sunak is the only Tory who sometimes polls better than Boris, if Boris removes the Sunak threat he is safe, all other alternatives in the Tories poll worse than Boris
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,594

    And yet you persist in your claim that there was no support for EFTA in spite of the fact that not only do the polls reform that point show you to be wrong (and we know how much you love polling to support a case) and that even you were claiming that was the way to go. It seems to me that the only thing you are consistent in is your undying, unqualified support for the Tory party irrespective of their policies.
    If the 2016 EU referendum was straight Remain or Leave to EFTA with free movement, Remain would have won.

    Working class Leavers would have stayed home rather than vote for EEA so it would not have been an issue as we would still be in the EU
  • The NI rise was a badly-designed response to the need to raise more dosh, but scrapping it would be even dumber. Once again it would make Tory MPs who supported the government line look stupid, it wouldn't be a well-targeted way of helping those who are going to be very badly hit by the cost of living crisis, and it would add to the impression that the government is just as fiscally irresponsible as Labour.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,594
    Liz Truss indicates that when DUP minister Edwin Poots halts (probably within days) many Irish Sea border checks at ports, the UK Government will not use its power to over-rule him.
    https://twitter.com/SJAMcBride/status/1486828587382722564?s=20&t=GZC_BfuGXtDWo1pAM1-bSg
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,369
    Pro_Rata said:

    Yes, it was the Central. Got done up, iirc, fairly early in my undergrad days. All hearsay on my part, I never saw the event nor the extent of the damage, but I think I remember it closing again for a little bit. Would've been when Dunc was still at Dundee United.
    If I ever went on Mastermind my specialist subject could be St Andrews pubs. Going up for half term, might see if I can drop in on one of them next month.
  • This thread has been redacted.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,492

    If I ever went on Mastermind my specialist subject could be St Andrews pubs. Going up for half term, might see if I can drop in on one of them next month.
    Only one?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,594
    edited January 2022

    The NI rise was a badly-designed response to the need to raise more dosh, but scrapping it would be even dumber. Once again it would make Tory MPs who supported the government line look stupid, it wouldn't be a well-targeted way of helping those who are going to be very badly hit by the cost of living crisis, and it would add to the impression that the government is just as fiscally irresponsible as Labour.

    Boris was not elected to be fiscally responsible, he was elected to get Brexit done and beat Corbyn on a low tax, high spend manifesto.

    Even the IFS said the LDs were the only party committed to reduce the national debt as a fraction of national income in their 2019 manifesto
    https://election2019.ifs.org.uk/article/liberal-democrat-manifesto-an-initial-reaction-from-ifs
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,369

    Only one?
    Ha ha. I'm going up with my wife and kids, let's see what I can get away with.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,594
    edited January 2022
    Support for Boris on QT from Morecambe tonight
  • YokesYokes Posts: 1,359
    Ukraine, who knows best?

    Apparently Biden told the Ukrainian President Zelensky that a Russian attack, and a full on one at that, was coming in the days ahead. Zelensky reportedly told him he doesn't buy it that this is the case and the US is overreacting. Whether that is a rejection of its proximity or of any actual attack of note isn't clear.

    Someone is right, someone is wrong. Take your pick. US intelligence reports are the final phase of Russian preparation, the rapid ship of troops to the pre-positioned equipment, is now underway but the Ukrainians don't seem convinced that this is either a) as advanced as the US claim and/or b) that the Russian's intend to use it.
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,935
    edited January 2022

    Straw man attacks seem to be your style. And of course changing tack when you have been shown to be wrong about your facts.
    In what way have I been proven wrong on any of the facts, or created any straw men ?

    If anything, your addition that Hannan is *still* claming to support the EEA, makes the whole thing even more bizarre than before, and my case even stronger ; I certainly can't see how it contradicts it.

    He organised the entire Vote Leave infrastructure, won a referendum, claiming as you say even now to support EEA all along, and then hailed Boris's "extraordimary Brexit deal" in 2019. What on earth is going on there ?
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,814
    Taz said:

    He does. All labour are offering currently are soundbites and slogans.

    Labour seem to be taking the approach that the Tories are rubbish so people will support them.

    In the nineties Blair made new labour look like a govt in waiting as a contrast to the Tories. With a couple of exceptions you cannot really say that about SKS labour.
    This is true. Mind you, all the Conservatives have offered so far has been soundbites and slogans and it hasn't done them any apparent harm in terms of popularity - Partygate is a different issue from a lack of any policies. You might afford the Opposition that luxury, but governments are surely supposed to make choices and do stuff.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    You are all on the wrong thread.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,975
    HYUFD said:

    He hardly helped himself today by slashing the time you can search for jobs in your own field from 3 months to 1 for recently redundant skilled workers.

    Boris also knows the greatest threat to his premiership at present is not even Starmer, the next general election is at least 2 years away, it is Sunak.

    Sunak is the only Tory who sometimes polls better than Boris, if Boris removes the Sunak threat he is safe, all other alternatives in the Tories poll worse than Boris
    But having politically assassinated the saboteurs in his own party he needs something fiendish to win GE2024, assuming his popularity remains in the toilet. Perhaps a populist illiberal policy like capital punishment, or a winnable war, or gerrymandered elections? If those turn out to be the options, I'll take gerrymandered elections.
This discussion has been closed.