CON members’ poll sends Sunak even higher in next PM betting – politicalbetting.com

The big political betting news tonight is a new CON Members’ poll from Opinium for C4 which has Chancellor Sunak’s chances looking very strong indeed.
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https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1483144610222325763?s=20
https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1483137177496301568?s=20
If translated into seats that would give the Tories most seats in a hung parliament rather than a small Labour majority as Redfield currently projects. Albeit Starmer could still become PM with SNP support
Dorries was dreadful at the dispatch box today and even conservative mps attacked her
No use waiting, get yourselves organised and send Boris packing post the report, i.e. by the end of this month
Cassetteboy - Rage Against the Party Machine
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bgq4fw6o8Gc
Midsommarstång?
Åsiktskorridoren?
I like my avatar. Boris is a wee gem.
Come on, ditch Boris and go all Rishi
You know you want to
Repeat
HYUFD HAS TURNED
Rishi it is
And not just for China.
If not then yes Sunak it has to be
I knew you’d be difficult about it.
Come on, just do it and ditch Boris
And the fundamentals in the Party and the wider economy remain.
But I agree re the wider fundamentals.
He's particularly good at doing "normal" and also making Brits feel good about being non-racist. Positive things. Whereas the Labour party will be saying Oh you awful white people, you are Nazi scum
https://youtu.be/glz-DjY4i-s
An election between Starmer and Sunak would be won by Sunak, I reckon
He’s just another Cameroon Tory who will push austerity again
The Tories are no longer coalition-proof either.
That'll learn him!
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/1483194458669727746?s=20
If Big Dom was war gaming on his whiteboard....what would the media wank themselves blind over and what has my man's can't be accused of....
Crucially, he hasn't yet been shown to be breaking the rules he himself was setting.
The public are willing to forgive geting a few difficult things honestly wrong. But they won't forgive being treated like idiots.
I just can't see Boris doing that now. The bitterness is surely irreversible
https://youtu.be/nO_fXajyzek
Rishi’s current polling isn’t really relevant. He’ll get a boost against Starmer if he becomes PM and he may drop if inflation/cost of living etc starts to bite. Plenty of events between his ascension and the next election.
Comparing Sunak with how Johnson once was back in the distant past before #partygate is a waste of time.
After the Covid enquiries are completed, I suspect it will be viewed as poor value for magic money.
“It’s a no brainer to ban booze”, said one Number 10 official. “Even if it is too little too late.”
https://www.ft.com/content/866b9152-e124-4742-9418-71001e4c25b5
“He works too hard.”
We all want to forget it.
And if the economy is the big worry then who better than a 'clever Indian chappie' who has made millions and millions.
The imagery of hard work and brains works nicely for Sunak in difficult times.
And why is he wearing a British Rail hat?
Being A D-H an honourable place to have in the Parthenon, but is it one that any politician (especially one as blatantly ambishy as Rishi) would willingly take?
But Dave had to solve a problem that no longer existed, that of Labour's greater vote efficiency.
So changed all the rules. Could have been done years ago.
"The British people will not vote for a fucking Borrrower" as @Dura_Ace memorably put it
But he has an easy conversational style, eloquent but not overbearing, and is actually more charming - in that narrow sense - than any potential PM since Blair.
He acts like a nice guy at the pub who you would happily share a G&T with - but no more (tho he would be sipping a Diet Coke)
Of the previous UK PMs, in the pub
Boris would tell you much better gossip and some alarming jokes, but probably come on to your wife
Theresa May would say nothing for 30 minutes, then eat a single peanut, then leave
Gordon Brown would accept half a shandy then awkwardly lecture you about Endogenous Growth Theory for 1 hour, then leave
Tony Blair would be the most like Sunak. He'd have a casual drink, tell you something interesting, listen to you too, with a keen smile, then leave at the right time without being embarrassing
Starmer would have a small glass of red wine then talk about football in an unconvincing way, even tho he means it, and then exit with you feeling slightly perplexed and let down
THIS IS MY PB PUB ANALYSIS, AND THAT IS DONE NOW
The seats at most risk are the traditional marginals which the Conservatives won in 2019 - the two Burys, Gedling, High Peak for example.
How having Sunak as leader would affect the BAME vote I don't know but that might be important in various northern and black country marginals.
Can’t do worse than Johnson
https://twitter.com/b_judah/status/1483196734683721730?s=21
Pure joy.
Rishi can probably steady the ship for a while but at the end of the day the whole Tory party are complicit in enabling the debauch of government and need a long period in Opposition for the sake of the country.
There is a confusion between next Tory leader and next PM which market to be on?
The Ukraine and Russia is still bubbling up.
"The Tories are in deep peril. Only Boris Johnson can save us"
Rishi Sunak, Robert Jenrick, Oliver Dowden
The Times, 5 June 2019
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/the-tories-are-in-deep-peril-only-boris-johnson-can-save-us-3xq9lrvr3