The Tories get their best voting poll for more than three weeks – politicalbetting.com

Big_G_NorthWales said:

https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1464005004059103232?t=umnaTbvvOag4Xu6420-lag&s=19

bigjohnowls said:

Halton Castle Ward (Halton) Council By-Election:

LAB: 60.3% (+7.9)
GRN: 18.9% (+18.9)
IND: 11.1% (-7.2)
CON: 7.3% (-10.6)
LDM: 2.4% (-8.9)

Labour HOLD.
Changes w/ 2021.

SKS Rools OK

pigeon said:

HYUFD said:

bigjohnowls said:

SKS fans please explain

Knutton (Newcastle-under-Lyme) by-election result:

CON: 51.1% (+25.8)
LAB: 48.9% (-25.8)

Conservative GAIN from Labour.

Chgs. w/ 2018

First post Peppa Pig gate by election and a 25% swing from Labour to the Conservatives.

Anyone still arguing Boris's speech bombed in the RedWall?

And so, we move swiftly on from catastrophising over lockdowns and even the end of civilisation, based entirely on reports of the umpteenth new Covid variant of which we know almost nothing, to extrapolating the present political leanings of a large part of the nation from the results of one local authority by-election.

Incredible. Literally.

Big_G_NorthWales said:

HYUFD said:

bigjohnowls said:

SKS fans please explain

Knutton (Newcastle-under-Lyme) by-election result:

CON: 51.1% (+25.8)
LAB: 48.9% (-25.8)

Conservative GAIN from Labour.

Chgs. w/ 2018

First post Peppa Pig gate by election and a 25% swing from Labour to the Conservatives.

Anyone still arguing Boris's speech bombed in the RedWall?

Maybe wait for more results before getting too excited

pigeon said:

turbotubbs said:

Heathener said:

pigeon said:

Heathener said:

MaxPB said:

Interesting, Portion Down is getting samples of the Nu to run antibody binding efficiency tests and efficacy modelling. We should have answers on vaccine efficacy dilution pretty soon.

That is interesting.

The Daily Mail reckon they already have the answer and it's not pretty: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/index.html

Fucking covid.

Excuse the language.

Worst ever, panic panic panic panic panic!!!

It's clickbait. Ignore.

But this isn't clickbait https://news.sky.com/story/covid-19-new-coronavirus-variant-b-1-1-529-identified-in-botswana-as-scientists-play-down-concerns-12478164

I know that people wish it were not so but the situation is far from rosy even without this new variant. Cases have been steadily rising (9.5% for example in the last week) and there's plenty of evidence that boosters are essential. We're starting to see breakthrough infections of the double vaccinated.

What's really good though is that this time the Government have ignored those who, eighteen months ago, came out with mocking 'panic, panic, panic' posts only to be proved very stupid as covid swept through.

Tough times still lie ahead. I wish it were not so.

Case rise is still mostly in the unvaccinated children. @Malmesbury helpfully posts this up every day. In older, booster groups cases are declining. Admissions are down from over 1000 a day, to below 800. In hospital numbers are 2000 down from the recent peak. Things look like they are going in the right direction.

Precisely. Reporting of the situation with cases lacks nuance, because nuance would mitigate against panic and reduce the attention garnered by these daily doom reports.

Cases in the over-60s are currently in decline (a fact probably not entirely unrelated to the progress of the booster campaign.) Cases in children are still increasing, but everybody save for the most extreme doom merchants has long since ceased to care about cases in children. Even the teaching unions appear to have given up banging the drum for masks and other countermeasures in classrooms. Again, we've had panic clickbait headlines for months about how cases in children might translate into a tidal wave of sick grandparents, and no such thing has happened.

rottenborough said:

Big_G_NorthWales said:

HYUFD said:

bigjohnowls said:

SKS fans please explain

Knutton (Newcastle-under-Lyme) by-election result:

CON: 51.1% (+25.8)
LAB: 48.9% (-25.8)

Conservative GAIN from Labour.

Chgs. w/ 2018

First post Peppa Pig gate by election and a 25% swing from Labour to the Conservatives.

Anyone still arguing Boris's speech bombed in the RedWall?

Maybe wait for more results before getting too excited

I would love the history books to end up recording that Boris Johnson was felled by Peppa.

Sunil_Prasannan said:

bigjohnowls said:

Halton Castle Ward (Halton) Council By-Election:

LAB: 60.3% (+7.9)
GRN: 18.9% (+18.9)
IND: 11.1% (-7.2)
CON: 7.3% (-10.6)
LDM: 2.4% (-8.9)

Labour HOLD.
Changes w/ 2021.

SKS Rools OK

bigjohnowls said:

SKS Fanboy Sunil please explain

Britain Elects
@BritainElects
·
3m
Bar Pool (Nuneaton & Bedworth) by-election result:

CON: 55.3% (+14.4)
LAB: 23.4% (-26.7)
GRN: 21.3% (+12.2)

Conservative GAIN from Labour.

HYUFD said:

bigjohnowls said:

Another terrible result for LAB

Lee Chapel North (Basildon) by-election result:

LAB: 39.8% (-12.8)
CON: 34.8% (+8.4)
BCRP: 11.9% (+11.9)
REFUK: 8.6% (+8.6)
LDEM: 4.9% (-16.2)

Labour HOLD.

BCRP: Basildon Community Residents Party

Chgs. w/ 2018

10% swing from Labour to Tory though in that Basildon seat

bigjohnowls said:

HYUFD said:

bigjohnowls said:

Another terrible result for LAB

Lee Chapel North (Basildon) by-election result:

LAB: 39.8% (-12.8)
CON: 34.8% (+8.4)
BCRP: 11.9% (+11.9)
REFUK: 8.6% (+8.6)
LDEM: 4.9% (-16.2)

Labour HOLD.

BCRP: Basildon Community Residents Party

Chgs. w/ 2018

10% swing from Labour to Tory though in that Basildon seat

Yep SKS and Sunil having a nightmare

Excellent news

Leon said:

HYUFD said:

bigjohnowls said:

Another terrible result for LAB

Lee Chapel North (Basildon) by-election result:

LAB: 39.8% (-12.8)
CON: 34.8% (+8.4)
BCRP: 11.9% (+11.9)
REFUK: 8.6% (+8.6)
LDEM: 4.9% (-16.2)

Labour HOLD.

BCRP: Basildon Community Residents Party

Chgs. w/ 2018

So in 3 out of 4 seats so far, there have been swings to the Conservatives from Labour. What do they have in common? They are all Leave seats and marginal seats Blair won but which now have Conservative MPs in the Midlands and Essex.

Starmer is still not having much appeal outsider of Remainerville, it still looks like Labour need Burnham to make much real impact in Leave areas held by the Tories

I am sure this is the awful migrant crisis. Migration is NEVER a good issue for Labour, just as the NHS is never good for Tories. So even if Labour are ‘on the side of the angels’ (questionable) they will suffer if this issue gains salience

HYUFD said:

pigeon said:

HYUFD said:

bigjohnowls said:

SKS fans please explain

Knutton (Newcastle-under-Lyme) by-election result:

CON: 51.1% (+25.8)
LAB: 48.9% (-25.8)

Conservative GAIN from Labour.

Chgs. w/ 2018

First post Peppa Pig gate by election and a 25% swing from Labour to the Conservatives.

Anyone still arguing Boris's speech bombed in the RedWall?

And so, we move swiftly on from catastrophising over lockdowns and even the end of civilisation, based entirely on reports of the umpteenth new Covid variant of which we know almost nothing, to extrapolating the present political leanings of a large part of the nation from the results of one local authority by-election.

Incredible. Literally.

It is a Thursday night in November, not much else to get excited about

rcs1000 said:

bigjohnowls said:

HYUFD said:

bigjohnowls said:

Another terrible result for LAB

Lee Chapel North (Basildon) by-election result:

LAB: 39.8% (-12.8)
CON: 34.8% (+8.4)
BCRP: 11.9% (+11.9)
REFUK: 8.6% (+8.6)
LDEM: 4.9% (-16.2)

Labour HOLD.

BCRP: Basildon Community Residents Party

Chgs. w/ 2018

So in 3 out of 4 seats so far, there have been swings to the Conservatives from Labour. What do they have in common? They are all Leave seats and marginal seats Blair won but which now have Conservative MPs in the Midlands and Essex.

Starmer is still not having much appeal outsider of Remainerville, it still looks like Labour need Burnham to make much real impact in Leave areas held by the Tories

ABSOLUTELY

But there's your problem.

Starmer has little appeal in Leave areas.

But Labour also needs the votes of Remainers.

dixiedean said:

HYUFD said:

Bar Pool (Nuneaton & Bedworth) by-election result:

CON: 55.3% (+14.4)
LAB: 23.4% (-26.7)
GRN: 21.3% (+12.2)

Conservative GAIN from Labour.

Chgs. w/ 2018

Looks like the Red Wall did love that Boris speech after all!

https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1464008811182702593?s=20

Nuneaton as the Red Wall is a serious stretch of the term.

bigjohnowls said:

Wokingham Lib Dems
@wokinghamlibdem
·
44m
Replying to
@wokinghamlibdem
Libdem 479

Conservative 312

Labour 66

3 Rejected

slade said:

Lab hold in Wandsworth by 1 vote. They had a 1000 majority in May.

slade said:

Lab hold in Wandsworth by 1 vote. They had a 1000 majority in May.

Leon said:

Portugal going into new lockdown. Even schools closing. Apparently

https://twitter.com/lpldirect/status/1464014526467256322?s=21

Portugal?! I thought they were doing good

HYUFD said:

slade said:

Lab hold in Wandsworth by 1 vote. They had a 1000 majority in May.

Labour lose votes to the LDs and Tories in Wandsworth but hold on.
Bedford (Wandsworth) by-election result:

LAB: 40.2% (-9.8)
CON: 40.2% (+5.7)
LDEM: 13.6% (+7.3)
GRN: 6.0% (-3.3)

Labour HOLD.

One vote in it!

Chgs. w/ 2018
https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1464022165414682636?s=20

Leon said:

Andy_JS said:

"Flights from the six African countries suspended from midday tomorrow."

Why not immediately?

It is about as immediate as it gets. Flights in the air or about to take off still allowed (with caveats). But no more after that

This concerns me. It tells me the UKG sees a lethal menace. Ditto Israel

Andy_JS said:

"Female Doctor Who robs boys of role models, claims Tory MP

A Tory MP has linked young men turning to crime to women playing traditionally male roles in TV and film. Nick Fletcher said "female replacements" in shows like Doctor Who were robbing boys of good role models. The only characters they had to look up to were gangsters the Krays and Tommy Shelby from Peaky Blinders, he said. "Is there any wonder we are seeing so many young men committing crime?," he asked MPs taking part in a debate on International Men's Day."

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-59421259

Cyclefree said:

LostPassword said:

LostPassword said:

isam said:

This will never make sense to me

“A woman accused of indecent exposure, masturbating in public and using a sex toy in a public place, will stand trial early next year.

Chloe Thompson, of Borough Road, Middlesbrough, appeared at Teesside Magistrates' Court on Wednesday after denying the offences.

She is charged with committing a public nuisance by indecently exposing her penis to other members of the public, whilst masturbating from a property window.”

https://www.gazettelive.co.uk/news/teesside-news/teesside-woman-accused-using-sex-22260053

Ten years earlier…

“ A FORMER serviceman who touched a pre-teenage schoolgirl was jailed for a year, prompting loud gasps in court.

Andrew Douglas McNab, 31, took advantage of the underage girl when he sexually assaulted her.

He said he molested her in a “moment of madness” while weak and mentally scarred from his Army service, Teesside Crown Court heard.”

https://www.gazettelive.co.uk/news/local-news/sex-assault-shame-teesside-ex-soldier-3692966

Is it the same person?

I have wondered whether the statistics on some crimes are going to be messed up due to men identifying as women.

Indeed it is. 16 previous convictions for 11 offences by May this year.

There is more to this story.

This man was convicted of sexual offences against children and was ordered to be put on the sexual offenders' register. He was also made subject to various notification requirements. In breach of these he set up a Tik Tok account aimed at children in the female name he is now using. But failed to notify the police. This was brought to the attention of the court.

The formal name change only occurred after all these offences. There has been no medical diagnosis or treatment. This man is a sex offender who is using the trans label or, rather, the gullibility and stupidity of the authorities to try and gain access to children and women.

And, sadly, there are politicians and others who think this is ok, who think that men like him - male sex offenders - should be allowed easy access to women and children, to their spaces, should be allowed to be housed in a womens' prison, should be called a woman in statistics etc.

This is not just stupid. It is wrong. It is evil because it allows evil men to get away with harm to others, to some of the most vulnerable in our society.

No. Just no.

Cyclefree said:

Leon said:

Cyclefree said:

LostPassword said:

LostPassword said:

isam said:

This will never make sense to me

“A woman accused of indecent exposure, masturbating in public and using a sex toy in a public place, will stand trial early next year.

Chloe Thompson, of Borough Road, Middlesbrough, appeared at Teesside Magistrates' Court on Wednesday after denying the offences.

She is charged with committing a public nuisance by indecently exposing her penis to other members of the public, whilst masturbating from a property window.”

https://www.gazettelive.co.uk/news/teesside-news/teesside-woman-accused-using-sex-22260053

Ten years earlier…

“ A FORMER serviceman who touched a pre-teenage schoolgirl was jailed for a year, prompting loud gasps in court.

Andrew Douglas McNab, 31, took advantage of the underage girl when he sexually assaulted her.

He said he molested her in a “moment of madness” while weak and mentally scarred from his Army service, Teesside Crown Court heard.”

https://www.gazettelive.co.uk/news/local-news/sex-assault-shame-teesside-ex-soldier-3692966

Is it the same person?

I have wondered whether the statistics on some crimes are going to be messed up due to men identifying as women.

Indeed it is. 16 previous convictions for 11 offences by May this year.

There is more to this story.

This man was convicted of sexual offences against children and was ordered to be put on the sexual offenders' register. He was also made subject to various notification requirements. In breach of these he set up a Tik Tok account aimed at children in the female name he is now using. But failed to notify the police. This was brought to the attention of the court.

The formal name change only occurred after all these offences. There has been no medical diagnosis or treatment. This man is a sex offender who is using the trans label or, rather, the gullibility and stupidity of the authorities to try and gain access to children and women.

And, sadly, there are politicians and others who think this is ok, who think that men like him - male sex offenders - should be allowed easy access to women and children, to their spaces, should be allowed to be housed in a womens' prison, should be called a woman in statistics etc.

This is not just stupid. It is wrong. It is evil because it allows evil men to get away with harm to others, to some of the most vulnerable in our society.

No. Just no.

Yes, it is clear abuse of this nonsense Woke trans agenda. Proof positive. This shit endangers women and children. Enough

It is not just sex offenders.

Unisex toilets have been put in schools and girls have refused to use them because, as any woman could have told them, girls going through their periods for the first time, do not want to have boys around to peer and laugh and humiliate them and notice when they have accidents, as happens when your menstrual cycle has not settled down into a regular rhythm.

See this report - https://twitter.com/lnmackenzie1/status/1463911731168743436?s=21.

Then there is this man put in charge of Nottingham Girl Guides - https://twitter.com/belstaffie/status/1463223777727295495?s=21. The Guides are now doing an inquiry.

There is "inclusion" and then there is a form of blindness and stupidity which causes such brains as you have to fall out of your ears. Too many in authority are suffering from the latter malady.

Aslan said:

"The Social Democrats, Greens and the liberal FDP announced that a ‘traffic light’ coalition between the three parties would push for the development of a fully-fledged European federation."

https://www.euractiv.com/section/politics/short_news/german-government-will-push-for-a-european-federation/