We are Getting too excited over Galloway – politicalbetting.com
We are Getting too excited over Galloway – politicalbetting.com
Batley and Spen might allow the Tories another rare and significant government by-election gain. But in the last few days attention has turned to the third party running: George Galloway’s Workers Party of Britain.
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Either way, it is of course unacceptable.
Will it make a difference, probably only slightly.
I mean, a well-known local woman being heckled, pursued and assaulted by roving groups of possibly non-local ne'er-do-wells?
Just a thought.
6 or so defenders in the wall. Pass to the wing and get a cross in. Or pass and get a shot from a different angle negating the wall.
You virtually never see it. And you have spare, unmarked attackers all around.
He regularly tweets about this and you can just see him as the angry one out of that Pixar movie about mental health.
Because i suspect that headline numbers are still what most people look at, and there is much less focus/knowledge of hospitalisation numbers (and perhaps deaths). Because throughout the pandemic people have become trained to the idea that the latter are lagging factors, and will dismiss low numbers for them unless given good reasons not to do so.
There is a big political danger if the Government lifts all restrictions on July 19th with case numbers still sky rocketing (there is the possibility, perhaps even probability by then that they will be on the turn, but that's not guaranteed) and it gets portrayed by sections of the media that this is just abandoning the health of the public to save money, end furlough etc.
But have they got the communicators for that, and are they even trying?
Borris did visit I think a week ago, which I dont think he would do if he did not think there was a good shot of wining.
HYDF (Or something like that) often gets involved in Tory campaigning, and updates us but I haven't seen him on here for a few days,
After all their efforts keep returning Conservative Governments.
Only intimidation i saw was in the Joe 7 min piece.
That was from a right wing person
Do you have a particular incident in mind?
I thought Kim would be a decent candidate but she looks very inexperienced.
Hope she wins and Hancock has surely made that a possibility
Yet they're never called out on it.
I agree with Quincel, and have bet a fair sum in the same way. I think it's possible but unlikely that Labour will win, but I'm convinced we're well ahead of Galloway.
Speaking of invisibility, the Tory campaign approach is interesting - so low-key that it has to be a deliberate strategy, with the candidate declining to talk to reporters. They presumably rely on their GOTV operation to get their vote out while Galloway gnaws at Labour. But there's a risk that the anti-Galloway vote (which definitely exists) will coalesce around Kim including some Tories - I talked to two Tory couples who were voting for her.
But goalies, analysis and walls have caught up with that.
Football is really conservative, isn't it?
I also think:
1) That after the last few days news, there will be some maybe a lot of people who say 'sod it' minister is ignoring the rules/guidance then so will I. and this may push up cases.
2) That changing the rules will not make that big a difference, not that many people go to night clubs, masks don't do that much, there is not that much spread at outdoor events like football. overall some but not a massive effect.
but politically if 1, leads to a rise and it is blamed on the government allowing 2, then that might look bad. and this government does not like looking bad, even if it is the right thing to do,
Baseball has long been way ahead. Cricket via IPL is rapidly catching up, and football as well (but not in all areas, the dick swinging contest of direct free kicks seems still to be there).
I only heard him mentioned by name for the first time today.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/jun/27/labour-activists-allegedly-egged-kicked-batley-and-spen-campaign-trail
Part of me wonders if Labour will get a bit of sympathy vote or Galloway gets a backlash so they can save it, but it would be pretty amusing for [Insert name here] to win the seat after so little notice - the ultimate 'don't interrupt your enemies' by-election.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wjq2xT-tx38
A fortunate deflection prevented it.
It is so rare we can remember specific examples...
I grew up in the days of dirty Leeds, where Norman Hunter "bites her legs" was a code for breaks legs. Even my own Baggies under Johnny Giles got a reputation for bone breaking dangerous play. It is therefore something of a disappointment when the Euros have been peppered with European Super Players writhing around in agony having been gently brushed by an opponent. It annoys me that TV summarises are condoning this by saying how well a player has done by "buying a penalty or free kick". I got to know Ernie Hunt, he became the landlord of the Full Pitcher pub in Ledbury. The donkey kick was soon after made illegal. Still a great goal.
She must have this wrong
@MaltaTourism
habe just confirmed to me in an email they are not accepting visitors between the ages of 12 and 16
https://twitter.com/rebeccagil83/status/1409056298088419334
Obviously having been part of a couple that decided to have one, I am in no position to lecture anyone else about it, but I just can’t believe, when I think about it, that it is even legal.
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/tracy-brabin-labour-batley-west-yorkshire-keir-starmer-b942884.html
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/1409258209001541632?s=20
Tbh i think France (currently) have it right. The risks from kids travelling with their (vaccinated) parents must be pretty small - they will spend the vast majority/all of their time within their family group.
There is also the question - if vaccinated people can catch and spread the virus, but at no risk to themselves - where the "threat" from unvaccinated children is any greater than the "threat" from vaccinated adults.
Meanwhile, if you create an “offshore centre” somewhere in Africa don’t you potentially increase significantly the numbers presenting with a valid claim?
Fact for the day: in Norway they don't bother deporting failed asylum seekers as it's cheaper to let them self deport themselves https://www.newsinenglish.no/2017/07/31/life-too-difficult-for-illegal-aliens/
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.183248116
1 France 5.3 18.9%
2 England 6.4 15.6%
3 Italy 6.2 16.1%
4 Germany 7.6 13.2%
5 Spain 8.6 11.6%
6 Belgium 9 11.1%
7 Denmark 13 7.7%
8 Czechia 36 2.8%
9 Sweden 60 1.7%
10 Croatia 90 1.1%
110 bar
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NG4NCHuvCC4&ab_channel=RobertSmithson
And I think that's actually what makes it such a viscerally savage debate. Everyone in their heart of hearts knows it's wrong - so a lot of people are having to quiet their own doubts, before making a case for it.
You can see it in the language that the "pro-choice" activists use - they call it a "fetus", because that's less human than a baby - they call it a "procedure" - all little euphemisms so they don't have to talk about what they are really doing.
And they certainly never talk about the potential for a lifetime of haunting guilt as a side effect. I've a friend who works in a care home - he was telling me about a resident with dementia whose few remaining decipherable phrases are to repeatedly call herself a murderer, because of a abortion in her past. I can't really think of anything more tragic or terrible to happen to a person.
Romania has access to the same level of vaccines as all other EU nations, but run out of people who want to have it.
If you are paying a people smuggler, you will not be attempting to claim asylum. Asylum can only be claimed at a regular port of entry. If you have entered the country illegally, that isn't be possible.
For that reason, @alex_ is incorrect about people attempting to claim asylum at a camp in (for example) Chad: it wouldn't be possible, because it wouldn't be a port of entry into the UK. However, it clearly won't have much impact on people smuggling, because those people aren't attempting to claim asylum anyway.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2022_Swedish_general_election#Vote_share
We should report France to the UN, as it must be such a horrible place to live.
If they land on the beach, mind, then they aren't attempting to get to an immigration officer at Dover. So, I don't see how they could claim asylum, and would therefore simply be in violation of the UK's immigration laws and therefore subject to immediate deportation.
Double vaccinated anyone without quarantine
Kids under 12 don’t need to be jabbed
Unfortunately there’s a gap
Kevin Day was the carrier group radar operator during David Fravor’s 2004 tic tac encounter from the USS Nimitz. Day says that trying to speak out about it within the military’s structures effectively cost him his career. Now the Pentagon has formally acknowledged not only the “sociocultural stigmas” hampering data collection but at least 18 Navy interactions with ultra tech UFO’s (presumably one of which is the Nimitz incident), Day is seeking an apology and financial compensation.
https://nypost.com/2021/06/27/navy-tic-tac-ufo-witness-demands-public-apology-for-ridicule/
In a decree that took effect Monday, the health ministry for the first time classified each of Italy’s 20 regions as “white”, signifying low risk, under the country’s colour-coded classification system that evaluates Covid-19 risk.
That means facemasks will no longer be compulsory in outdoor areas - welcome news across the country where an ongoing heatwave is expected to push temperatures past 40 degrees Celsius (104 degrees Fahrenheit) in some southern areas this week.
New cases in Italy are now running at fewer than a thousand a day, while ours are about twenty times higher.
Javid's presence might change things, but one should never underestimate the incompetence of this Government. We could quite easily find ourselves in a situation come September where the hospitals are coping easily, deaths are running at perhaps a couple of hundred, mostly unvaccinated or very old, people a week, but millions of us are stuck at home going through repeated cycles of being locked up by the test and trace system.
Two cases in my extended family, both in the Greater Blackburn area, both recently vaccinated. One of them described it as rather like mild 'flu; isolated, but nothing to worry about. Both in their mid 20's.
It would be intolerable if we get to Sept and are still isolating school kids with no or mild symptoms and shutting down whole classes over it.