Could Johnson be tempted to go for an early election – just after the new boundaries come into effec
Could Johnson be tempted to go for an early election – just after the new boundaries come into effect? – politicalbetting.com
In normal circumstances for this Parliament to run its full course means the next general election at the latest should take place in May 2024 – but could Johnson be tempted to go early?
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
https://twitter.com/timspector/status/1401217843878825996?s=19
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cicada
Apparently they turn up every 17 years and make an almighty racket.
and
"Eric W. Davis, an astrophysicist who worked as a subcontractor and then a consultant for the Pentagon U.F.O. program since 2007, said that, in some cases, examination of the materials had so far failed to determine their source and led him to conclude, “We couldn’t make it ourselves".
"Mr. Davis, who now works for Aerospace Corporation, a defense contractor, said he gave a classified briefing to a Defense Department agency as recently as March about retrievals from “off-world vehicles not made on this earth.”"
The rumours that American forces ACTUALLY HAVE RETRIEVED PIECES OF ALIEN AIRCRAFT grow stronger
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/23/us/politics/pentagon-ufo-harry-reid-navy.html
So I would think that if Johnson and Co. can keep all the plates spinning during the economic recovery from Covid, that they would certainly want to hold an election before 2024. Given Labour's problems, and the expected strong recovery in 2022, I would think that an election in 2023 was highly likely.
The only question is then whether to go for a traditional spring election date, or wait until the autumn. I think it's more likely to be the spring if it is in 2023. I don't think the boundaries are that large a factor. The timing in autumn can often be a bit awkward with the party conferences, and that then also creates the potential for election plans to be derailed, as in 2007. 4th May 2023.
I note from my reading that boundaries will automatically be adjusted every 8 years which I actually think is a good idea. I can't believe that the current seats were redrawn over 15 years ago.
1983, 1987, 2001 and 2005 would be the precedents to follow of an election after four years. Not Theresa May's folly after two years.
It is very clever. Firstly, it will inflate resale values, thus lowering the monthly payments on PCP deals. Secondly as more new cars are sold online and as part of third party lease deals it will move its dealer network in to servicing and used car sales, which will become more profitable and lucrative given the warranty. Finally, it is the best warranty going by a long way, and will reinforce the reputation of the brand for reliability as others have caught up with Toyota in recent years.
Are they frightened of her because she's likely to play the gender card if her doctorate is withdrawn? It's the only reason that makes sense.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-57367849
Although there's nothing to legally stop it I don't think we'll ever see an August election mainly because political journalists/the media would go crackers at having to give up their summer holiday's and would make it their mission to cause as much mischief as they could for the government lol!
Edit - This is my favourite story involving her.
Author Naomi Wolf Gets Duped Into Tweeting Out Fake Anti-Vaxxer Quote From Porn Star
https://www.mediaite.com/online/author-naomi-wolf-gets-duped-into-tweeting-out-fake-anti-vaxxer-quote-from-porn-star/
Equally, he has looked at the figures in detail throughout the pandemic and I haven't, having been quite busy trying to keep up with the latest batshit crazy rubbish the DfE and OFSTED have come up with to
justify their worthless jobskeep education going.As with all of British academia - They have their honour, their morals and their principles. And if you don't like those, they have others they can sell you.
He'll go for it in 2023.
Thursday 1st/8th June 2023 would be my guess
I answered that the series in question was dominated by DPhils from Oxford and therefore was full of works of very poor quality. I didn't want to damage my own reputation by being associated with it.
They really didn't like that answer, but it was the truth.
Another possibility is that the real centre - economic if not political - of the British Empire could have moved from London to New York or Philadelphia over the next century. That was the view of a distinguished history professor who lectured at my school many years ago.
The main issue is getting full vaccination down to 40 as rapidly as possible.
A year before the end of the term is pretty standard.
Only the prospect of likely defeat makes anyone go longer.
New boundaries in July point to Autumn 2023 as the most likely timeframe.
Incidentally. Except controversy and some weird and wonderful new constituencies on Monday.
The criteria are so tight that keeping natural communities together will be much more difficult.
Nay impossible in some areas.
Haven't heard any allegations of plagiarism. I would guess not, given she was deliberately putting forward a radical thesis.
If so, I'm standing as a candidate against Gavin Williamson. Not to win of course, because the people of South Staffs actually adore him (no, I don't know why either) but for shits and giggles.
Standing in Codsall Town Hall saying, 'it's not just that you're a traitor, Minister' would be immensely cathartic.
Has the legislation to repeal the FTPA been published passed?
Because restoring the royal prerogative might be a problem and giving all the power on calling elections to the PM might be equally problematic.
The publishers still published it though.
But I still think it'd be a brave politician that would upset the media's August shut down lol!
Kirklees Council
@KirkleesCouncil
·
6h
There’s a men only COVID-19 pop up vaccination clinic at Jame Masjid, Henry Street, Batley, WF17 6JJ this evening .
Come along 6-10pm to get your jab
@CuroHealth
https://twitter.com/KirkleesCouncil/status/1401150613157777410?s=20
The median is 1,458 days
No major economies affected. Should have gone for 21%
Only one major economy is undercutting that
IIRC there's very few royal prerogatives that have been restored and the fact there were constraints on calling an early election.
So who will have the power, the monarch or the PM ?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lascelles_Principles
Wandering round the City centre today, apart from masks, it looked pretty much like a regular Saturday in the days BC. Street evangelists, Trotskyites, flirting teenagers, busy shops and cafes etc. It is hard to see much evidence of lockdown at all, let alone cruel totalitarianism.
Expect more like that to fit the quotas.
Enough of this silencing. Let everyone speak, left or right, mad and sane, alien and human. Silencing voices is how Trump's lab leak theory was prohibited for a year, despite being quite probably true, even if a madman said it. So we were denied a hugely important likelihood, by Big Tech
We shouldn't just tax these bastards, we need to regulate them like utilities
Spring 2024 at the earliest. For that matter, a December election had no disadvantages whatsoever last time and arguably blunted Labour's ground game advantage, so if it were up to me...
Yet given the big two at least, and possibly others, want to repeal the FTPA, the wording of the legislation doesn't seem an insurmountable problem as the principle of getting rid of the current situation is accepted.
Blair and Thatcher were winners. And they went every four years.
We all know how Boris thinks
The only signs of Covid are masks and some short queues, otherwise proper big city life.
Excellent.
52% - When Margaret Thatcher was elected in 1979
31% - When Tony Blair was elected in 1997
28% - When David Cameron was elected in 2010
19% - In 2021, before the Tories finally raised it back a little; opposed by SKS, for some idiotic reason.
I am inclined to think GE either October 2023 or May 2024 mainly depending as always on polls and economy. If Tories get additional notional seats in Boundary Review ( very likely) which should receive Royal Assent in July 2023, then there will be only 3 months or 8 months for sorting out MPs wrangling over seats and perhaps having to find another seat.
Incidentally last time we had October election in 1974, Liberal Conference took place but Labour and Conservative Conferences did not. Perhaps another minor reason for May 2024?
Pamela
An irrational and possibly dangerous opinion, but what if it turns out the vaccines DO make you sick, in five years time? It is not impossible. They are new technology in many cases: mRNA.
Cf the lab leak hypothesis. A "dangerous conspiracy theory" for a year, and banned from Facebook.... and yet now suddenly it's the most plausible explanation of the origins of Covid
But there are scraps of data out there. Scotland has reported its weekly deliveries and they must surely be in proportion to population. There's some usage stats in the MHRA Yellow Card scheme. That sort of thing. Put those together, make some reasonable assumptions to fill in the gaps, check how your model works going forward... you can infer a lot about UK vaccine supply.
When I say "you can", I mean "someone has";
https://twitter.com/PaulMainwood
Taking what he's worked out (and we can't really do better):
Next week should be good- over 4 million doses in total for the week. Remains to be seen if that is sustained.
There's an awful lot of doses somewhere between the factory and people's arms; getting on for 12 million. The Welsh vaccination stats show what is possible.
It's like people being blase (frankly a bit too blase) about proper procurement of various matters in 2020, but if the same behaviour occurs now, that the pandemic is still officially ongoing would not make the same concern now be more biting.
Free speech was the basis of our culture with certain well defined limits, but we moved away from that to the point where in my opinion it doesn't really exist anymore. It is very easy to stray in to hate speech of one sort or another, or discrimination; particularly as what is offensive speech is defined by the perceptions of the 'victim', there are no clear rules. People fail to realise this and wrongly believe that they have free speech: they used to, but don't any more.
Free speech is a good thing, and it should be restored: All the offensive legislation should be removed as an urgent priority.
However the issue of being free to broadcast to 5 billion people around the world on the internet on twitter is something we simply haven't worked out how to control or regulate. There should be some limits on it.
"According to documents obtained by The Weekend Australian, Zhou Yusen, a respected military scientist for the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) who collaborated with the controversial Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV) and American experts, submitted a patent for a Covid-19 vaccine on 24 February last year.
"The scientist later died under mysterious circumstances in May 2020.
"Despite Zhou’s status as an award-winning military scientist, there were no reports or tributes, with him only being labelled as “dead” in a Chinese media item from July and a scientific publication from December last year.
"However, the report revealed that the patent, filed by the PLA’s Institute of Military Medicine, was lodged just five weeks after China acknowledged human-to-human transmission of the novel virus.
"Professor Nikolai Petrovsky from Flinders University told the paper: “This is something we have never seen achieved before, raising the question of whether this work may have started much earlier”."
https://in.news.yahoo.com/chinese-military-scientist-filed-patent-082549951.html
This is the thesis that US intel-linked journalist posted last night. The Chinese had a vaccine ready to go, very quickly. As you would if you had been bio-engineering this virus for a year or two
Prince Harry and Megan have been demoted below Prince Andrew by the Palace
Many women request this, but there are circumstances where men do too.
But if Germany can jab 1 million a day so can we. Period. We took our eye off the ball because we assumed that by 1st jabbing the over 50's & vulnerable we were safe, and so it looked until a) new variants esp the Indian one were more adept at body-swerving the vaccines and b) the interval rate between 1st and 2nd jabs, far from being a success story, now looks like a cock-up.
We got complacent. Classic Boris. Absolutely classic.
We should have gone full pelt on vaccination and ramped it up, piling in everything in our powers to jab, jab and jab.
This is not just about factory supplies. We have large stockpiles of vaccines. It's about a failure to see through what we began on a sufficiently epic scale. We could and should be offering 24/7 vaccinations at every university town. Why? Because every Uni student I know would be perfectly happy to roll up their sleeve at 2 am for a jab. But we didn't do this because we didn't think it was necessary.
Boris has been caught with his pants down. Yet again.