The latest YouGov UC elections model has Biden 356 ECVs Trump 182 – politicalbetting.com
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KY just jumped from 30% to 52% early vote as % of 2016.
So in reality the true figure for quite a few states may be significantly understated.0 -
It's the smallest differences that make all the, er, difference, though. I may obsessively post too much about inconsequential things, but at least it's not on twitter and the like!NickPalmer said:
...she mused, as she composed her 42,458th post on PB.CarlottaVance said:Some interesting stuff:
https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1320831721676439558?s=20
Some people should get out more....
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And if anyone's "mental fragility" is in question, surely it is Trumpsky's - he makes Kanye look like a paragon of normalcy.rcs1000 said:
Texas is now at 82.2% of total turnout - and that excludes ballots in the mail that haven't yet been processed!peter_from_putney said:
I can see Trump majoring on this aspect repeatedly over the final week of the campaign. He was already doing so in a mocking fashion in his speech this evening from PA by attempting to ridicule Biden confusing one state with another.FrancisUrquhart said:
He keeps doing similar stuff, so I would say probably yes to some extent.peter_from_putney said:Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
Most of the votes are now cast in Nevada, Arizona, Texas, North Carolina, Montana, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and Colorado - and Michigan and Wisconsin are only just below the 50% mark,
Simply, at this stage a gaffe has to be absolutely enormous to change the result.0 -
They scrape the pollsters sites: if the other polls aren't showing, it'll be because they hacked together the scraper using Python and Selenium.MikeL said:For some reason 538 have only recorded the Ipsos polls for PA and WI and have left off all the others.
I thought they always recorded all polls - surely they haven't overlooked them?0 -
The problem is that there are loads of Trump gaffes, normally due to incredible ignorance. I doubt many wavering voters are convinced by how gaffe-less Trump is compared to Biden...its why Sleepy Old Basement Joe stuff isn't really working.peter_from_putney said:
I can see Trump majoring on this aspect repeatedly over the final week of the campaign. He was already doing so in a mocking fashion in his speech this evening from PA by attempting to ridicule Biden confusing one state with another.FrancisUrquhart said:
He keeps doing similar stuff, so I would say probably yes to some extent.peter_from_putney said:Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
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I take your point but Biden's repeated inability to articulate clearly and accurately has to be a major concern going forward. I'm surprised it didn't seriously affect his progress during the primaries, although in fairness he seemed to cope well during both Presidential TV debates.rcs1000 said:
Texas is now at 82.2% of total turnout - and that excludes ballots in the mail that haven't yet been processed!peter_from_putney said:
I can see Trump majoring on this aspect repeatedly over the final week of the campaign. He was already doing so in a mocking fashion in his speech this evening from PA by attempting to ridicule Biden confusing one state with another.FrancisUrquhart said:
He keeps doing similar stuff, so I would say probably yes to some extent.peter_from_putney said:Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
Most of the votes are now cast in Nevada, Arizona, Texas, North Carolina, Montana, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and Colorado - and Michigan and Wisconsin are only just below the 50% mark,
Simply, at this stage a gaffe has to be absolutely enormous to change the result.0 -
Whatever it is Starmer can't drive it. And Boris a one time Lamborghini Gallardo pilot!Dura_Ace said:
It's a fucking Toyota RAV 4! How can you confuse that with an Audi Q5/7?Anabobazina said:
It looks like a fairly new member of the German fleet, although hard to see from that shot. Audi Q5 or Q7 maybe?dr_spyn said:Waits for Greta Thunberg, and Corbyn cult to find out that SKS drove a diesel SUV.
In which case, it will be clean(er) diesel. AdBlue.0 -
RCS, whilst you're there - IIRC, YouGov's Electoral Vote projection of Biden 356 vs Trump 182 corresponded closely with your own forecast of a few weeks ago.
Are you still of the opinion that this will approximate to the actual result?0 -
And he coped fine in the Democratic debates.peter_from_putney said:
I take your point but Biden's repeated inability to articulate clearly and accurately has to be a major concern going forward. I'm surprised it didn't seriously affect his progress during the primaries, although in fairness he seemed to cope well during both Presidential TV debates.rcs1000 said:
Texas is now at 82.2% of total turnout - and that excludes ballots in the mail that haven't yet been processed!peter_from_putney said:
I can see Trump majoring on this aspect repeatedly over the final week of the campaign. He was already doing so in a mocking fashion in his speech this evening from PA by attempting to ridicule Biden confusing one state with another.FrancisUrquhart said:
He keeps doing similar stuff, so I would say probably yes to some extent.peter_from_putney said:Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
Most of the votes are now cast in Nevada, Arizona, Texas, North Carolina, Montana, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and Colorado - and Michigan and Wisconsin are only just below the 50% mark,
Simply, at this stage a gaffe has to be absolutely enormous to change the result.
The reality is the Biden is exactly one thing: Not Donald Trump.
And a little bit more than 50% of the US population is happy to vote for Not Donald Trump.
See:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTBpwOOTKjs&ab_channel=TheDailyShowwithTrevorNoah0 -
In the grand scheme of things a mistaken namecheck seems a rather minor offence against Trump's rollcall of catastrophes.peter_from_putney said:
I take your point but Biden's repeated inability to articulate clearly and accurately has to be a major concern going forward. I'm surprised it didn't seriously affect his progress during the primaries, although in fairness he seemed to cope well during both Presidential TV debates.rcs1000 said:
Texas is now at 82.2% of total turnout - and that excludes ballots in the mail that haven't yet been processed!peter_from_putney said:
I can see Trump majoring on this aspect repeatedly over the final week of the campaign. He was already doing so in a mocking fashion in his speech this evening from PA by attempting to ridicule Biden confusing one state with another.FrancisUrquhart said:
He keeps doing similar stuff, so I would say probably yes to some extent.peter_from_putney said:Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
Most of the votes are now cast in Nevada, Arizona, Texas, North Carolina, Montana, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and Colorado - and Michigan and Wisconsin are only just below the 50% mark,
Simply, at this stage a gaffe has to be absolutely enormous to change the result.
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The US Senate has confirmed Amy Coney Barrett to the supreme court.2
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Merrick Garland must be spitting bullets.FrancisUrquhart said:The US Senate has confirmed Amy Coney Barrett to the supreme court.
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This is my guess:peter_from_putney said:RCS, whilst you're there - IIRC, YouGov's Electoral Vote projection of Biden 356 vs Trump 182 corresponded closely with your own forecast of a few weeks ago.
Are you still of the opinion that this will approximate to the actual result?
And I'd reckon there is a non-trivial chance that Texas flips too - in which case it truly is landslide territory.2 -
For anyone considering clicking on this be aware that it's an argument about "identity", which is the kind of thing that never ends well. (Or starts well, or goes well in the middle.)Richard_Nabavi said:If you have some popcorn to hand, there's an entertaining Twitter spat between the excellent trio of @david_herdson, @AlastairMeeks, and @Casino_Royale.
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On the contrary, it increases the chances that he'll finally get the job...Mexicanpete said:
Merrick Garland must be spitting bullets.FrancisUrquhart said:The US Senate has confirmed Amy Coney Barrett to the supreme court.
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He's a bit centrist for the new 41 person Supreme Court.edmundintokyo said:
On the contrary, it increases the chances that he'll finally get the job...Mexicanpete said:
Merrick Garland must be spitting bullets.FrancisUrquhart said:The US Senate has confirmed Amy Coney Barrett to the supreme court.
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Oh god, I looked and its Meeks going nuttso over Leavers / Brexit....yet again..like every day for the past 4 years.edmundintokyo said:
For anyone considering clicking on this be aware that it's an argument about "identity", which is the kind of thing that never ends well. (Or starts well, or goes well in the middle.)Richard_Nabavi said:If you have some popcorn to hand, there's an entertaining Twitter spat between the excellent trio of @david_herdson, @AlastairMeeks, and @Casino_Royale.
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Berlusconi was 15 years younger at the end of his stint.kle4 said:
You'd assume people would age less after office.Beibheirli_C said:
He has aged a lot ....Scott_xP said:0 -
Thanks for that - I guess the difference between you is that you are sitting on the fence as regards Georgia, whereas YouGov is giving it to Biden.0
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Imagine living in a European country where you wouldn't give a shit who was on the US Supreme Court.FrancisUrquhart said:The US Senate has confirmed Amy Coney Barrett to the supreme court.
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FAR to the left of the current average. AND great from PR standpoint. But perhaps HE has moved on?rcs1000 said:
He's a bit centrist for the new 41 person Supreme Court.edmundintokyo said:
On the contrary, it increases the chances that he'll finally get the job...Mexicanpete said:
Merrick Garland must be spitting bullets.FrancisUrquhart said:The US Senate has confirmed Amy Coney Barrett to the supreme court.
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By 52 - 48, with Susan Collins the only Republican voting Nay.FrancisUrquhart said:The US Senate has confirmed Amy Coney Barrett to the supreme court.
Talk about yer profiles in courage!0 -
https://twitter.com/FrankLuntz/status/1320864839518973952?s=20FrancisUrquhart said:The US Senate has confirmed Amy Coney Barrett to the supreme court.
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Biden's gaffes are akin to those of Rev. Spooner & Mrs Malaprop.FrancisUrquhart said:
The problem is that there are loads of Trump gaffes, normally due to incredible ignorance. I doubt many wavering voters are convinced by how gaffe-less Trump is compared to Biden...its why Sleepy Old Basement Joe stuff isn't really working.peter_from_putney said:
I can see Trump majoring on this aspect repeatedly over the final week of the campaign. He was already doing so in a mocking fashion in his speech this evening from PA by attempting to ridicule Biden confusing one state with another.FrancisUrquhart said:
He keeps doing similar stuff, so I would say probably yes to some extent.peter_from_putney said:Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
Whereas Trumpsky's are like those of Ivan the Terrible - but minus the leadership quotient.0 -
You may be on the wrong websiteCatMan said:
Imagine living in a European country where you wouldn't give a shit who was on the US Supreme Court.FrancisUrquhart said:The US Senate has confirmed Amy Coney Barrett to the supreme court.
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Or the wrong country.edmundintokyo said:
You may be on the wrong websiteCatMan said:
Imagine living in a European country where you wouldn't give a shit who was on the US Supreme Court.FrancisUrquhart said:The US Senate has confirmed Amy Coney Barrett to the supreme court.
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So why are YOU a fan, HYUFD?HYUFD said:
https://twitter.com/FrankLuntz/status/1320864839518973952?s=20FrancisUrquhart said:The US Senate has confirmed Amy Coney Barrett to the supreme court.
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THE INTERVIEWER'S NAME WAS GEORGEpeter_from_putney said:
I take your point but Biden's repeated inability to articulate clearly and accurately has to be a major concern going forward. I'm surprised it didn't seriously affect his progress during the primaries, although in fairness he seemed to cope well during both Presidential TV debates.rcs1000 said:
Texas is now at 82.2% of total turnout - and that excludes ballots in the mail that haven't yet been processed!peter_from_putney said:
I can see Trump majoring on this aspect repeatedly over the final week of the campaign. He was already doing so in a mocking fashion in his speech this evening from PA by attempting to ridicule Biden confusing one state with another.FrancisUrquhart said:
He keeps doing similar stuff, so I would say probably yes to some extent.peter_from_putney said:Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
Most of the votes are now cast in Nevada, Arizona, Texas, North Carolina, Montana, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and Colorado - and Michigan and Wisconsin are only just below the 50% mark,
Simply, at this stage a gaffe has to be absolutely enormous to change the result.0 -
So he's easily confused?Pulpstar said:
THE INTERVIEWER'S NAME WAS GEORGEpeter_from_putney said:
I take your point but Biden's repeated inability to articulate clearly and accurately has to be a major concern going forward. I'm surprised it didn't seriously affect his progress during the primaries, although in fairness he seemed to cope well during both Presidential TV debates.rcs1000 said:
Texas is now at 82.2% of total turnout - and that excludes ballots in the mail that haven't yet been processed!peter_from_putney said:
I can see Trump majoring on this aspect repeatedly over the final week of the campaign. He was already doing so in a mocking fashion in his speech this evening from PA by attempting to ridicule Biden confusing one state with another.FrancisUrquhart said:
He keeps doing similar stuff, so I would say probably yes to some extent.peter_from_putney said:Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
Most of the votes are now cast in Nevada, Arizona, Texas, North Carolina, Montana, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and Colorado - and Michigan and Wisconsin are only just below the 50% mark,
Simply, at this stage a gaffe has to be absolutely enormous to change the result.
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Rattled.Pulpstar said:
THE INTERVIEWER'S NAME WAS GEORGEpeter_from_putney said:
I take your point but Biden's repeated inability to articulate clearly and accurately has to be a major concern going forward. I'm surprised it didn't seriously affect his progress during the primaries, although in fairness he seemed to cope well during both Presidential TV debates.rcs1000 said:
Texas is now at 82.2% of total turnout - and that excludes ballots in the mail that haven't yet been processed!peter_from_putney said:
I can see Trump majoring on this aspect repeatedly over the final week of the campaign. He was already doing so in a mocking fashion in his speech this evening from PA by attempting to ridicule Biden confusing one state with another.FrancisUrquhart said:
He keeps doing similar stuff, so I would say probably yes to some extent.peter_from_putney said:Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
Most of the votes are now cast in Nevada, Arizona, Texas, North Carolina, Montana, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and Colorado - and Michigan and Wisconsin are only just below the 50% mark,
Simply, at this stage a gaffe has to be absolutely enormous to change the result.
C'mon man, he wasn't talking about the interviewer and you know it.0 -
Believe they prefer to be called "murder hornets" because they are really bad ass bugs.YBarddCwsc said:
Half a moment, half a moment.Scott_xP said:
That fecker Jake Berry doesn't even live in the North of England.
He doesn't even have a home in his constituency of Rossendale & Darwen. The address on his nomination papers is an office. He doesn't even live in the North of England.
He is not Jake of the North. How can he possibly be in charge of a Northern Research Group of Tory MPs?
The arrogant little shite lives on Ynys Mon. He has an enormous property empire there. He owns houses in Michael Meacher-like quantities on Anglesey.
The matter was gone into in some thoroughness by the Welsh press when he bought his pox-infected family to Wales at the beginning of lockdown. There is no Berry home in Rossendale & Darwen.
If Drakeford was arresting people like Jake Berry on the border and inserting a large nest of killer hornets into them, he would be getting my full support.
"Killer" is a bee thing0 -
This is the most hilarious political ad I have seen this cycle:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0y5euXPUwj41 -
Very effective in a Bob Newhart / Bob and Ray kind of way.TimT said:This is the most hilarious political ad I have seen this cycle:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0y5euXPUwj4
Emphasis via understatement0 -
O/T
"Victoria Derbyshire has said she would break the rule of six to enable her family to celebrate Christmas.
The BBC presenter said her family of seven knew the risks and would be "sensible" and buy a thermometer gun. She told the Radio Times she felt irresponsible for considering it, but thought many others felt the same way. Derbyshire has a family of four plus her mum, her mum's partner and her husband's dad. It is not clear if the rule of six will apply at Christmas."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-546852960 -
Isle of Wight County, Virginia! It’s not even an island!! It’s only just coastal.SeaShantyIrish2 said:
Ditto in New England, and also in New Jersey and eastern PATimT said:
Go a bit further south into the Eastern Shore of Maryland and Virginia, and the counties have English names with the proper English pronunciation - Worcester, Salisbury, Northumberland. This correct pronunciation continues into the Tidewater area of VA - Norfolk, Suffolk, Portsmouth. And in Tangier and Smith Islands, the locals still have their broad Cornish accents.SandyRentool said:
It's OK. They've got a Sunder Land County 12 miles down the road.Gallowgate said:
That space and the capital C triggers me something awful.SeaShantyIrish2 said:re: Newcastle, perhaps worth mentioning that Joe Biden is a long-time resident, former councilman AND current registered voter in New Castle County, Delaware.
Name originated after English seized area from the Dutch and Duke of York (future King James II) changed name of government center from New Amstel to New Castle in 1660s.
Two interesting county names in PA near Philadelphia are Berks and Bucks.
Also number of towns, counties & townships named after British royals AND prime ministers.
Plus states; wonder how many Brits AND American's don't know that Virginia (and by extension West Virginia), Maryland, Georgia, North and South Carolina were all named for English / British monarchs? OR that Louisiana was named in honor of the Sun King, Louis XIV of France?
OR that Connecticut was originally the name of a venerable Native American chieftain with a bad stutter (like George VI)?0 -
Pictured is an Eton Mess (although I've never seen one like that) which is broken up meringue, whipped cream and strawberries, a bit like a smashed up Pavlova. Boris went to Eton (the poshest school in the world; the same school as David Cameron).SeaShantyIrish2 said:
Can someone please translate this - the Great Pudding part - into American?Scott_xP said:
"You great pudding" is an affectionate insult, though I've not heard it in years.0 -
Starving kids aren't down to Rishi Sunak.
Treasury rejects claims it refused extra £150m for free school meals
Education secretary Gavin Williamson did not ask for funds for half-term, say officials
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2020/oct/26/treasury-rejects-claims-it-refused-extra-150m-for-free-school-meals0 -
"A Biden win would save Britain’s Tories from themselves
Alternatively, a Trump win would encourage the UK ruling party’s worst instincts
ROBERT SHRIMSLEY" (£) [available via Google search]
https://www.ft.com/content/b8c7740d-1cfd-407c-8896-f821d17269520 -
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Halloween, Guy Fawkes, Remembrance Day, Diwali, Christmas, New Year/Hogmanay. Some government guidance might be useful, if the superforecasters have a wall calendar amongst their big tellies. I dare say the trendy internationalists at the Guardian and BBC will be on the case as soon as they notice Americans worried about Thanksgiving (towards the end of November iirc).Andy_JS said:O/T
"Victoria Derbyshire has said she would break the rule of six to enable her family to celebrate Christmas.
The BBC presenter said her family of seven knew the risks and would be "sensible" and buy a thermometer gun. She told the Radio Times she felt irresponsible for considering it, but thought many others felt the same way. Derbyshire has a family of four plus her mum, her mum's partner and her husband's dad. It is not clear if the rule of six will apply at Christmas."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-546852960 -
The risk for him is twofold. The first is that, for all his clever positioning, this proves to be an incompetent government that lets down its supporters. As the disenchantment grows, so does the lure of nativism to mask failure. A Trump defeat will remind Mr Johnson of the limits of that strategy and reinforce mainstream Tories.Andy_JS said:"A Biden win would save Britain’s Tories from themselves
Alternatively, a Trump win would encourage the UK ruling party’s worst instincts
ROBERT SHRIMSLEY" (£) [available via Google search]
https://www.ft.com/content/b8c7740d-1cfd-407c-8896-f821d1726952
The second risk comes from tipping into prejudice and dehumanisation. Brexit has uncorked forces Mr Johnson will struggle to contain even if he wants to. This is how an attempt to respond to concerns over immigration became the Windrush scandal or a plan to ship asylum seekers off to the south Atlantic. There is a line between challenging a liberal consensus and dog-whistle politics. Tories have been punished before for being on its wrong side.0 -
Seven days to go before next Tuesday.0
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Hawaii has just taken the lead with early vote now 86.8% of 2016 vote.
Texas now second with 82.3%.
OK, Hawaii not an important state but it may be a further pointer to just how high turnout might be. If it's already 86.8% then feels like it could easily end up at say 120% of 2016 vote.0 -
I think Biden will shy away from increasing Supreme Court unless he feels he absolutely has to. It would be a massive thing to do after approx 150 years.
I just wonder if things might find some kind of natural equilibrium. We already know Roberts will often go with the Liberals - it only needs one more Justice to show similar flexibility - and maybe Gorsuch or Barrett will do that.
ie The Justices may think "If we strike lots of key things down he'll create more Justices" - so then they don't in fact strike those things down.0 -
An evisceration of the Republican Party by Nick Goldberg in today's LA Times. It's a very worthwhile read:
https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2020-10-26/confirmation-amy-coney-barrett-silver-lining
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Trump landslide in Massachusetts baked-in (according to the cookie poll methodology);
https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/quincy-baker-puts-sweet-spin-politics-ahead-election-day/7C5EGO73CNCV7NGTOUUSIH26CM/0 -
And that's the way the cookie crumblesbrokenwheel said:Trump landslide in Massachusetts baked-in (according to the cookie poll methodology);
https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/quincy-baker-puts-sweet-spin-politics-ahead-election-day/7C5EGO73CNCV7NGTOUUSIH26CM/
(Full marks to anyone getting the reference)0 -
Monday close of play - 64.7m early votes recorded.
Sunday close of play - 59.4m
So 5.3m in one day - no sign of the pace slowing down.0 -
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Well she successfully avoided expressing any opinions, so aim bpnit sure what anyone ‘learned’ about her.HYUFD said:
https://twitter.com/FrankLuntz/status/1320864839518973952?s=20FrancisUrquhart said:The US Senate has confirmed Amy Coney Barrett to the supreme court.
Wait until she starts issuing rulings.0 -
On which note...
https://twitter.com/mgerrydoyle/status/13209367861686927370 -
.
Sure.MikeL said:I think Biden will shy away from increasing Supreme Court unless he feels he absolutely has to. It would be a massive thing to do after approx 150 years.
I just wonder if things might find some kind of natural equilibrium. We already know Roberts will often go with the Liberals - it only needs one more Justice to show similar flexibility - and maybe Gorsuch or Barrett will do that..
https://twitter.com/kasie/status/1320887412571152387
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A remarkable display of judicial independence, a week before an election.
https://twitter.com/jaketapper/status/13209082046253015050 -
Spot on.MikeL said:I think Biden will shy away from increasing Supreme Court unless he feels he absolutely has to. It would be a massive thing to do after approx 150 years.
I just wonder if things might find some kind of natural equilibrium. We already know Roberts will often go with the Liberals - it only needs one more Justice to show similar flexibility - and maybe Gorsuch or Barrett will do that.
ie The Justices may think "If we strike lots of key things down he'll create more Justices" - so then they don't in fact strike those things down.
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Scientists figuring out how bats deal with viruses like Covid.
https://twitter.com/thelonevirologi/status/1320891504861319169
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Biden might well, but the rest is an assumption without evidence.rcs1000 said:
Spot on.MikeL said:I think Biden will shy away from increasing Supreme Court unless he feels he absolutely has to. It would be a massive thing to do after approx 150 years.
I just wonder if things might find some kind of natural equilibrium. We already know Roberts will often go with the Liberals - it only needs one more Justice to show similar flexibility - and maybe Gorsuch or Barrett will do that.
ie The Justices may think "If we strike lots of key things down he'll create more Justices" - so then they don't in fact strike those things down.
Which I think will be proved broadly wrong.0 -
Kavanaugh’s opinion is a total hack job, echoing Trump’s argument that all votes must be counted on election night.Nigelb said:On which note...
https://twitter.com/mgerrydoyle/status/1320936786168692737
There is precisely zero constitutional ground for such an opinion.
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New thread.0
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Guaranteed to be at least one in USATheScreamingEagles said:
Yes, there's one populated with Geordies and Mackems in the North East, and then there's one that's practically part of Stoke.IshmaelZ said:
Is there more than one Newcastle?TheScreamingEagles said:
In which universe is Newcastle-under-Lyme in the North?Richard_Nabavi said:
And who is the first signatory after Jake Berry.... ?CarlottaVance said:Trouble oop North
https://twitter.com/patrickkmaguire/status/1320794153060651009?s=20
#BloodyMidlandersWishingTheyWereNorthernersAgain
There's also a Newcastle in Australia.0
Click the map to create your own at 
