The Manchester Evening News asked for trust-by-trust Covid admissions numbers as a proportion of overall capacity in Greater Manchester. Six out of seven relevant trusts did not comply with the request. Wigan, Wrightington and Leigh said that ‘we are unable to provide figures - these will be issued at national level’, while none others replied. We were advised that a Freedom of Information request was required to obtain the data and it would take up to 21 days for a response. At the Oxford University Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine, we have also had access to essential healthcare data blocked. But we are aware of important data, used to set lockdown restrictions, that are not in the public domain. This disturbing lack of transparency in what is a global public health and economic crisis hinders our understanding.
The Manchester Evening News asked for trust-by-trust Covid admissions numbers as a proportion of overall capacity in Greater Manchester. Six out of seven relevant trusts did not comply with the request. Wigan, Wrightington and Leigh said that ‘we are unable to provide figures - these will be issued at national level’, while none others replied. We were advised that a Freedom of Information request was required to obtain the data and it would take up to 21 days for a response. At the Oxford University Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine, we have also had access to essential healthcare data blocked. But we are aware of important data, used to set lockdown restrictions, that are not in the public domain. This disturbing lack of transparency in what is a global public health and economic crisis hinders our understanding.
With respect to accessing PB, yours truly doesn't do this via cell phone, only on PC.
Get best results = fastest loading IF I close down windows for other websites, except for email; OR conversely exit PB when using other sites, esp if I'm downloading data or whatever.
Humble proposal - IF possible, might be good idea, especially for US Election Day, to have access to a bare-bones PB (or is that Vanilla?) which would include main posts and comments thereon, but NOT tweets, youtubes, graphics, etc., etc.
But that he will spend part of his remaining time on the campaign trail in Iowa and Georgia, two states that had seemed unattainable for Democrats at the beginning of the presidential cycle, suggests that the Biden campaign feels it is in a position of strength heading into the final stretch against President Trump.
NYTimes blog
Much like Hillary tailed off her campaign in 2016 too you mean from a position of strength in the polls, doing half as many events as Trump and not even bothering to visit Wisconsin.
Meanwhile Clinton staffers started to draw up Cabinet position appointments and prepare for the transition while Trump kept going campaigning up to and including a midnight rally in Michigan on eve of poll.
Have the Democrats learnt nothing from 2016?
Is there any actual evidence that Clinton's failure to visit Wisconsin made any difference to the result?
Well Trump did make a campaign stop in Wisconsin in 2016, we know that
With respect to accessing PB, yours truly doesn't do this via cell phone, only on PC.
Get best results = fastest loading IF I close down windows for other websites, except for email; OR conversely exit PB when using other sites, esp if I'm downloading data or whatever.
Humble proposal - IF possible, might be good idea, especially for US Election Day, to have access to a bare-bones PB (or is that Vanilla?) which would include main posts and comments thereon, but NOT tweets, youtubes, graphics, etc., etc.
We had an IRC channel for one the UK elections. That was excellent.
Half the time this site is unusable on the iPhone. Just gets endless loading errors. The retweets/embedded images might be responsible.
I assume there is an outlier poll out from Eagles “Crikey” response, but I don’t know it is from or what it says.
This page seems more stable than the first page.
I suspect that may be due to the processing power or memory of your iphone or possibly your internet bandwidth. I say this because, I never have an problems at home on my 10 year old macbook but when on holiday in a remote Cornish cottage a couple of weeks ago I got loading error issues on our (rather underpowered) iPad.
Nothing to do with my internet bandwidth which is the fastest available on the consumer market. This is the only site my phone struggles with in this way.
Me too, on the iPad. But the PC is fine.
The problem is the Vanilla javascipt. It only loads the comments if they are to be visible on screen - it's a cheap trick they use to try and save bandwidth.
Scroll up and down a few times and the comments will load.
The problem is the Vanilla javascipt. It only loads the comments if they are to be visible on screen - it's a cheap trick they use to try and save bandwidth.
Scroll up and down a few times and the comments will load.
Something broke with the latest release of Firefox.
A member of the South East Liberal Democrats and a reader of Lockdown Sceptics was outraged yesterday when he received an invitation to the SE Region Conference and AGM on November 21st. This was his reply
"I am surprised that these MPs listed below have the bare-faced effrontery to show their faces in front of members after they have unilaterally committed our supposedly LIBERAL party to demanding that the government impose full-scale martial law on the British people."
Half the time this site is unusable on the iPhone. Just gets endless loading errors. The retweets/embedded images might be responsible.
I assume there is an outlier poll out from Eagles “Crikey” response, but I don’t know it is from or what it says.
This page seems more stable than the first page.
I suspect that may be due to the processing power or memory of your iphone or possibly your internet bandwidth. I say this because, I never have an problems at home on my 10 year old macbook but when on holiday in a remote Cornish cottage a couple of weeks ago I got loading error issues on our (rather underpowered) iPad.
Nothing to do with my internet bandwidth which is the fastest available on the consumer market. This is the only site my phone struggles with in this way.
Me too, on the iPad. But the PC is fine.
The problem is the Vanilla javascipt. It only loads the comments if they are to be visible on screen - it's a cheap trick they use to try and save bandwidth.
Scroll up and down a few times and the comments will load.
I've noticed high CPU on my mac while it's loading comments on the vanilla site. Seemed to be while the tweets are loading, so maybe there's something up in that part of the script?
With respect to accessing PB, yours truly doesn't do this via cell phone, only on PC.
Get best results = fastest loading IF I close down windows for other websites, except for email; OR conversely exit PB when using other sites, esp if I'm downloading data or whatever.
Humble proposal - IF possible, might be good idea, especially for US Election Day, to have access to a bare-bones PB (or is that Vanilla?) which would include main posts and comments thereon, but NOT tweets, youtubes, graphics, etc., etc.
Tweets might be very useful, though, if well-chosen.
But that he will spend part of his remaining time on the campaign trail in Iowa and Georgia, two states that had seemed unattainable for Democrats at the beginning of the presidential cycle, suggests that the Biden campaign feels it is in a position of strength heading into the final stretch against President Trump.
NYTimes blog
Much like Hillary tailed off her campaign in 2016 too you mean from a position of strength in the polls, doing half as many events as Trump and not even bothering to visit Wisconsin.
Meanwhile Clinton staffers started to draw up Cabinet position appointments and prepare for the transition while Trump kept going campaigning up to and including a midnight rally in Michigan on eve of poll.
Have the Democrats learnt nothing from 2016?
Is there any actual evidence that Clinton's failure to visit Wisconsin made any difference to the result?
Well Trump did make a campaign stop in Wisconsin in 2016, we know that
I know that but that isn't evidence. We're only guessing.
I have no basis for saying this but I can’t help feeling that Trump might just do it. There just seems too much hubris around. I do wonder whether people are confusing what they want to happen with what will happen.
I would be appalled if so.
But that is my fear.
I really hope I am wrong.
On the other big question of the day, my other half utterly loathes Harrogate for complicated family reasons he once explained and I have forgotten. I quite liked it when I have visited and went to a wonderful Jewish-Irish family wedding there a few years back.
But that he will spend part of his remaining time on the campaign trail in Iowa and Georgia, two states that had seemed unattainable for Democrats at the beginning of the presidential cycle, suggests that the Biden campaign feels it is in a position of strength heading into the final stretch against President Trump.
NYTimes blog
Much like Hillary tailed off her campaign in 2016 too you mean from a position of strength in the polls, doing half as many events as Trump and not even bothering to visit Wisconsin.
Meanwhile Clinton staffers started to draw up Cabinet position appointments and prepare for the transition while Trump kept going campaigning up to and including a midnight rally in Michigan on eve of poll and he is doing the same now
With respect to accessing PB, yours truly doesn't do this via cell phone, only on PC.
Get best results = fastest loading IF I close down windows for other websites, except for email; OR conversely exit PB when using other sites, esp if I'm downloading data or whatever.
Humble proposal - IF possible, might be good idea, especially for US Election Day, to have access to a bare-bones PB (or is that Vanilla?) which would include main posts and comments thereon, but NOT tweets, youtubes, graphics, etc., etc.
Tweets might be very useful, though, if well-chosen.
Agreed. Could they be made less bandwith-hoggy? And are they worse that way than youtubes or graphics?
Not sure if this PA poll by Insider Advantage has been posted yet (rated B by 538) Trump up by 3% https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/26/trump-takes-the-lead-in-pennsylvania-3-per-new-poll/ They mention in the summary that 14% of African Americans are voting Trump which certainly is a feasible figure. The fact its not the usual pollsters putting Trump up is interesting
It's an interesting poll. The only thing that strikes me as weird is the party affiliation 43% GOP 45% Dem 3% Libertarian 8% Independent Is number that don't make any sesne unless I can see the questions. As it is an American poll we don't get to see the questions.
That was one powerful and extended speech by Trump tonight in PA ... he's certainly putting in the hard graft compared with his opponent.
That's slightly odd. There was some social media stuff posted on here earlier saying the Oxford lot had got a one year immunity out of the vaccine.
And a time machine, presumably.
(1) Immunity is (mostly) a curve, not a step function. (2) If you see the immune response drop off at 1% per week, you can estimate the response level at one year with a pretty high degree of accuracy.
But that he will spend part of his remaining time on the campaign trail in Iowa and Georgia, two states that had seemed unattainable for Democrats at the beginning of the presidential cycle, suggests that the Biden campaign feels it is in a position of strength heading into the final stretch against President Trump.
NYTimes blog
Much like Hillary tailed off her campaign in 2016 too you mean from a position of strength in the polls, doing half as many events as Trump and not even bothering to visit Wisconsin.
Meanwhile Clinton staffers started to draw up Cabinet position appointments and prepare for the transition while Trump kept going campaigning up to and including a midnight rally in Michigan on eve of poll and he is doing the same now
But that he will spend part of his remaining time on the campaign trail in Iowa and Georgia, two states that had seemed unattainable for Democrats at the beginning of the presidential cycle, suggests that the Biden campaign feels it is in a position of strength heading into the final stretch against President Trump.
NYTimes blog
Much like Hillary tailed off her campaign in 2016 too you mean from a position of strength in the polls, doing half as many events as Trump and not even bothering to visit Wisconsin.
Meanwhile Clinton staffers started to draw up Cabinet position appointments and prepare for the transition while Trump kept going campaigning up to and including a midnight rally in Michigan on eve of poll and he is doing the same now
As an aside, your view seems to be that the polling industry has learned nothing from 2016, when all the evidence is that they were utterly scarred by it.
But that he will spend part of his remaining time on the campaign trail in Iowa and Georgia, two states that had seemed unattainable for Democrats at the beginning of the presidential cycle, suggests that the Biden campaign feels it is in a position of strength heading into the final stretch against President Trump.
NYTimes blog
Much like Hillary tailed off her campaign in 2016 too you mean from a position of strength in the polls, doing half as many events as Trump and not even bothering to visit Wisconsin.
Meanwhile Clinton staffers started to draw up Cabinet position appointments and prepare for the transition while Trump kept going campaigning up to and including a midnight rally in Michigan on eve of poll.
Have the Democrats learnt nothing from 2016?
Is there any actual evidence that Clinton's failure to visit Wisconsin made any difference to the result?
Sure as hell did NOT help. In a state assumed by her to be in the bag that she lost by not so much.
Which does NOT answer your question.
However, consider IF she took Badger State for granted re: her personal campaign schedule, how high did she prioritize, staff and fund OTHER key campaign operations in the state?
Like the man said, sometimes you don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows.
First, that so many MPs are that hacked off. (Though I can't escape the feeling that... they trusted BORIS... that wasn't entirely prudent...)
Second, that there are that many MPs who are both unhappy enough to add weight to this letter but fearful of something enough to not want their name attached. Though if I were a vindictive Prime Minister, I'd probably instruct a minion to get a map, start at Berwick and identify the 55 northernmost Conservative MPs in England.
That's slightly odd. There was some social media stuff posted on here earlier saying the Oxford lot had got a one year immunity out of the vaccine.
It also doesn't take into account T and B cell immunity, which could be very long lasting. There's no way of knowing without a mass vaccination programme and the passage of a significant amount of time.
And also that the immune response from vaccination isn’t identical to that from infection.
Not sure if this PA poll by Insider Advantage has been posted yet (rated B by 538) Trump up by 3% https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/26/trump-takes-the-lead-in-pennsylvania-3-per-new-poll/ They mention in the summary that 14% of African Americans are voting Trump which certainly is a feasible figure. The fact its not the usual pollsters putting Trump up is interesting
It's an interesting poll. The only thing that strikes me as weird is the party affiliation 43% GOP 45% Dem 3% Libertarian 8% Independent Is number that don't make any sesne unless I can see the questions. As it is an American poll we don't get to see the questions.
That was one powerful and extended speech by Trump tonight in PA ... he's certainly putting in the hard graft compared with his opponent.
The thing is he knows hes behind, he knows he needs every vote, so he has no choice but to do what hes doing. Question is can he really change enough minds. His locked in 43% or whatever it is are not who he needs to convince. And no matter how 'powerful' his speeches are there really enough still undecideds who will be swayed? I'm not sure there are. I would say that there has to be some risk for Biden in just coasting to the finish line, I get the reasons why he may not be doing the hard final yards like Trump but with wall to wall Trump rallies on the news til election day,,,,is it just possible enough will be convinced to vote for DT to sneak him home in places like PA?
“ Bizarrely, The Sun pictured Sir Keir outside Kentish Town Police Station yesterday morning but he later claimed he had been on a trip to “his tailors”.“
That's slightly odd. There was some social media stuff posted on here earlier saying the Oxford lot had got a one year immunity out of the vaccine.
It also doesn't take into account T and B cell immunity, which could be very long lasting. There's no way of knowing without a mass vaccination programme and the passage of a significant amount of time.
And also that the immune response from vaccination isn’t identical to that from infection.
Indeed, vaccine derived immunity may give better long term protection than an asymptomatic or mild infection.
Not sure if this PA poll by Insider Advantage has been posted yet (rated B by 538) Trump up by 3% https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/26/trump-takes-the-lead-in-pennsylvania-3-per-new-poll/ They mention in the summary that 14% of African Americans are voting Trump which certainly is a feasible figure. The fact its not the usual pollsters putting Trump up is interesting
It's an interesting poll. The only thing that strikes me as weird is the party affiliation 43% GOP 45% Dem 3% Libertarian 8% Independent Is number that don't make any sesne unless I can see the questions. As it is an American poll we don't get to see the questions.
That was one powerful and extended speech by Trump tonight in PA ... he's certainly putting in the hard graft compared with his opponent.
The thing is he knows hes behind, he knows he needs every vote, so he has no choice but to do what hes doing. Question is can he really change enough minds. His locked in 43% or whatever it is are not who he needs to convince. And no matter how 'powerful' his speeches are there really enough still undecideds who will be swayed? I'm not sure there are. I would say that there has to be some risk for Biden in just coasting to the finish line, I get the reasons why he may not be doing the hard final yards like Trump but with wall to wall Trump rallies on the news til election day,,,,is it just possible enough will be convinced to vote for DT to sneak him home in places like PA?
As other PBers have noted, a BIG problem for Trumpsky is that he is likely doing as much GOTV = Get Out The Vote for Biden and other Dem as he is for himself and GOP.
Different from Harry Truman and his "Given 'em Hell Harry" whistle-stop tour in 1948. But similar to Andrew Johnson in (midterm) 1866 ("Ring Around the Circle") and William Jennings Bryan in 1896 (the year he won the Democratic nomination and galvanized - or rather polarized - the nation with his "Cross of Gold" Speech.)
“ Bizarrely, The Sun pictured Sir Keir outside Kentish Town Police Station yesterday morning but he later claimed he had been on a trip to “his tailors”.“
This looks like a pretty well documented case of inflight transmission. Reading the paper, it seems pretty clear that at least some of the cases were infected during the flight.
But that he will spend part of his remaining time on the campaign trail in Iowa and Georgia, two states that had seemed unattainable for Democrats at the beginning of the presidential cycle, suggests that the Biden campaign feels it is in a position of strength heading into the final stretch against President Trump.
NYTimes blog
Very strange. Surely a tactical mistake? Are they the keys for a good Senate majority perhaps?
Not sure if this PA poll by Insider Advantage has been posted yet (rated B by 538) Trump up by 3% https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/26/trump-takes-the-lead-in-pennsylvania-3-per-new-poll/ They mention in the summary that 14% of African Americans are voting Trump which certainly is a feasible figure. The fact its not the usual pollsters putting Trump up is interesting
It's an interesting poll. The only thing that strikes me as weird is the party affiliation 43% GOP 45% Dem 3% Libertarian 8% Independent Is number that don't make any sesne unless I can see the questions. As it is an American poll we don't get to see the questions.
That was one powerful and extended speech by Trump tonight in PA ... he's certainly putting in the hard graft compared with his opponent.
The thing is he knows hes behind, he knows he needs every vote, so he has no choice but to do what hes doing. Question is can he really change enough minds. His locked in 43% or whatever it is are not who he needs to convince. And no matter how 'powerful' his speeches are there really enough still undecideds who will be swayed? I'm not sure there are. I would say that there has to be some risk for Biden in just coasting to the finish line, I get the reasons why he may not be doing the hard final yards like Trump but with wall to wall Trump rallies on the news til election day,,,,is it just possible enough will be convinced to vote for DT to sneak him home in places like PA?
As other PBers have noted, a BIG problem for Trumpsky is that he is likely doing as much GOTV = Get Out The Vote for Biden and other Dem as he is for himself and GOP.
Different from Harry Truman and his "Given 'em Hell Harry" whistle-stop tour in 1948. But similar to Andrew Johnson in (midterm) 1866 ("Ring Around the Circle") and William Jennings Bryan in 1896 (the year he won the Democratic nomination and galvanized - or rather polarized - the nation with his "Cross of Gold" Speech.)
Evidence? Johnson was a stop gap President after Johnson and unlike Trump had never won an election, Bryan also never won an election either, Trump has won an election and just needs to hold his 2016 states
But that he will spend part of his remaining time on the campaign trail in Iowa and Georgia, two states that had seemed unattainable for Democrats at the beginning of the presidential cycle, suggests that the Biden campaign feels it is in a position of strength heading into the final stretch against President Trump.
NYTimes blog
Very strange. Surely a tactical mistake? Are they the keys for a good Senate majority perhaps?
No, he is defending the House.
Chance of Democrats losing US House this election is zilch, or as close to as makes no never mind.
Ds could lose a seat here and there, for example in Oklahoma & Staten Island were they had surprising victories in 2018. However, these loses will be made up for - and more - by gains elsewhere.
Biden's priorities are 1) Number One = himself; and 2) US Senate, because he wants to govern US instead of merely preside.
Not sure if this PA poll by Insider Advantage has been posted yet (rated B by 538) Trump up by 3% https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/26/trump-takes-the-lead-in-pennsylvania-3-per-new-poll/ They mention in the summary that 14% of African Americans are voting Trump which certainly is a feasible figure. The fact its not the usual pollsters putting Trump up is interesting
It's an interesting poll. The only thing that strikes me as weird is the party affiliation 43% GOP 45% Dem 3% Libertarian 8% Independent Is number that don't make any sesne unless I can see the questions. As it is an American poll we don't get to see the questions.
That was one powerful and extended speech by Trump tonight in PA ... he's certainly putting in the hard graft compared with his opponent.
The thing is he knows hes behind, he knows he needs every vote, so he has no choice but to do what hes doing. Question is can he really change enough minds. His locked in 43% or whatever it is are not who he needs to convince. And no matter how 'powerful' his speeches are there really enough still undecideds who will be swayed? I'm not sure there are. I would say that there has to be some risk for Biden in just coasting to the finish line, I get the reasons why he may not be doing the hard final yards like Trump but with wall to wall Trump rallies on the news til election day,,,,is it just possible enough will be convinced to vote for DT to sneak him home in places like PA?
Well, that's his hope.
The issue is that in so much of the US, the voting is effectively over. Take North Carolina. Turnout was up to 3.2m at close of yesterday. It's probably about 3.45m now. And it probably won't top 5m in total. So, we're two thirds done now: that just makes his job so much harder.
Not sure if this PA poll by Insider Advantage has been posted yet (rated B by 538) Trump up by 3% https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/26/trump-takes-the-lead-in-pennsylvania-3-per-new-poll/ They mention in the summary that 14% of African Americans are voting Trump which certainly is a feasible figure. The fact its not the usual pollsters putting Trump up is interesting
It's an interesting poll. The only thing that strikes me as weird is the party affiliation 43% GOP 45% Dem 3% Libertarian 8% Independent Is number that don't make any sesne unless I can see the questions. As it is an American poll we don't get to see the questions.
That was one powerful and extended speech by Trump tonight in PA ... he's certainly putting in the hard graft compared with his opponent.
The thing is he knows hes behind, he knows he needs every vote, so he has no choice but to do what hes doing. Question is can he really change enough minds. His locked in 43% or whatever it is are not who he needs to convince. And no matter how 'powerful' his speeches are there really enough still undecideds who will be swayed? I'm not sure there are. I would say that there has to be some risk for Biden in just coasting to the finish line, I get the reasons why he may not be doing the hard final yards like Trump but with wall to wall Trump rallies on the news til election day,,,,is it just possible enough will be convinced to vote for DT to sneak him home in places like PA?
As other PBers have noted, a BIG problem for Trumpsky is that he is likely doing as much GOTV = Get Out The Vote for Biden and other Dem as he is for himself and GOP.
Different from Harry Truman and his "Given 'em Hell Harry" whistle-stop tour in 1948. But similar to Andrew Johnson in (midterm) 1866 ("Ring Around the Circle") and William Jennings Bryan in 1896 (the year he won the Democratic nomination and galvanized - or rather polarized - the nation with his "Cross of Gold" Speech.)
Evidence? Johnson was a stop gap President after Johnson and unlike Trump had never won an election, Bryan also never won an election either, Trump has won an election and just needs to hold his 2016 states
Your failure to comment on the victory of the Man from Independence seriously throws you ENTIRE argument, not just into question, but into the garbage shoot of history! PLUS you entirely ignore fact that A. Johnson was intoxicated at his own VP inauguration AND that Williams Jennings Bryan helped popularize the Palm Beach suit!
That fecker Jake Berry doesn't even live in the North of England.
He doesn't even have a home in his constituency of Rossendale & Darwen. The address on his nomination papers is an office. He doesn't even live in the North of England.
He is not Jake of the North. How can he possibly be in charge of a Northern Research Group of Tory MPs?
The arrogant little shite lives on Ynys Mon. He has an enormous property empire there. He owns houses in Michael Meacher-like quantities on Anglesey.
The matter was gone into in some thoroughness by the Welsh press when he bought his pox-infected family to Wales at the beginning of lockdown. There is no Berry home in Rossendale & Darwen.
If Drakeford was arresting people like Jake Berry on the border and inserting a large nest of killer hornets into them, he would be getting my full support.
This looks like a pretty well documented case of inflight transmission. Reading the paper, it seems pretty clear that at least some of the cases were infected during the flight.
The paper says nine of the passengers (who were later diagnosed with CV19) wore masks, one did not, and they are unsure about the other three.
It would be good to know if the first diagnosed case (two days after arrival) was wearing a mask or not. Because two days before diagnosis is pretty much peak infectiousness.
Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
FPT - on a number of issues, like benefits/free school meals, and the balance of opinion over increasing tax/reducing spending, it feels to me like the sands of British politics are shifting in a way they simply weren't in 2014-15.
These things do tend to go in cycles. My gut tells me that the next GE *should* be Labour's to lose. And, indeed, after 14 years of Conservatives in Government that might even be healthy for our democracy (and even may allow a late save for the Union), although I'd never vote Labour - at the end of the day I'm not a social democrat, yet alone a socialist.
However, Labour shouldn't and won't be gifted it on a plate. And the cultural divisions are more entrenched.
At present, I cannot tell if economics + competence alone will be enough for Labour to win - my instinct is that they will have to neutralise the cultural concerns people have over them, particularly on patriotism/migration and crime, at the very least to secure enough English marginals to win.
Good post.
Labour need to completely avoid any culture war stuff - that needs to be left to the obsessives on the hard right. If they can do that, they have a chance, if they get dragged back into it, no chance.
I agree with the sentiment, but your post would be more convincing if you mentioned the obsessives on the hard left too.
My litmus test for self-awareness of Labour/left-wing posters on this is their ability to detect the fact that BLM marxist activists/left-wing CRT academics who go on about tearing down statues, "whiteness" being a problem, and trashing British history to take it back year zero, are hindering their cause.
I'd agree with that (that's the second time this evening I've agreed with you, gosh). Diverting reformist energy into obsessing about symbols is simply unserious. The key question for any policy should be "How much does this help how many people now and in the future?", not "Does this make us feel better and correctly adjust our view of the past?"
Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
He keeps doing similar stuff, so I would say probably yes to some extent.
Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
I read on here that George was the name of the host. I mean, we’ve all done haven’t we? I know I have.
But that he will spend part of his remaining time on the campaign trail in Iowa and Georgia, two states that had seemed unattainable for Democrats at the beginning of the presidential cycle, suggests that the Biden campaign feels it is in a position of strength heading into the final stretch against President Trump.
NYTimes blog
Very strange. Surely a tactical mistake? Are they the keys for a good Senate majority perhaps?
No, he is defending the House.
Are there many vulnerable Democratic seats in the House in Iowa and Georgia?
Well, it looks like the infection which has had me in A&E, on antibiotics and really quite sick twice this year, has come back again - barely a month since the last time.
FFS! Can 2020 get any worse?
I’m hoping a good night’s sleep will fight it off.
Not sure if this PA poll by Insider Advantage has been posted yet (rated B by 538) Trump up by 3% https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/26/trump-takes-the-lead-in-pennsylvania-3-per-new-poll/ They mention in the summary that 14% of African Americans are voting Trump which certainly is a feasible figure. The fact its not the usual pollsters putting Trump up is interesting
It's an interesting poll. The only thing that strikes me as weird is the party affiliation 43% GOP 45% Dem 3% Libertarian 8% Independent Is number that don't make any sesne unless I can see the questions. As it is an American poll we don't get to see the questions.
That was one powerful and extended speech by Trump tonight in PA ... he's certainly putting in the hard graft compared with his opponent.
The thing is he knows hes behind, he knows he needs every vote, so he has no choice but to do what hes doing. Question is can he really change enough minds. His locked in 43% or whatever it is are not who he needs to convince. And no matter how 'powerful' his speeches are there really enough still undecideds who will be swayed? I'm not sure there are. I would say that there has to be some risk for Biden in just coasting to the finish line, I get the reasons why he may not be doing the hard final yards like Trump but with wall to wall Trump rallies on the news til election day,,,,is it just possible enough will be convinced to vote for DT to sneak him home in places like PA?
As other PBers have noted, a BIG problem for Trumpsky is that he is likely doing as much GOTV = Get Out The Vote for Biden and other Dem as he is for himself and GOP.
Different from Harry Truman and his "Given 'em Hell Harry" whistle-stop tour in 1948. But similar to Andrew Johnson in (midterm) 1866 ("Ring Around the Circle") and William Jennings Bryan in 1896 (the year he won the Democratic nomination and galvanized - or rather polarized - the nation with his "Cross of Gold" Speech.)
Evidence? Johnson was a stop gap President after Johnson and unlike Trump had never won an election, Bryan also never won an election either, Trump has won an election and just needs to hold his 2016 states
The evidence is in the polls:
The biggest motivator for Trump supporters is Trump himself. The biggest motivator for Biden supporters is also Trump
Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
We are being told this is a master plan, a "front porch" campaign, because Democrats are so timid to come out of their homes to support Trump's opponent (despite trashing their cities a couple of months earlier).
Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
I read on here that George was the name of the host. I mean, we’ve all done haven’t we? I know I have.
During the debate he made a number of similar gaffes.
Well, it looks like the infection which has had me in A&E, on antibiotics and really quite sick twice this year, has come back again - barely a month since the last time.
FFS! Can 2020 get any worse?
I’m hoping a good night’s sleep will fight it off.
Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
When you're ahead, you don't want to risk a slip up; you don't want to risk illness or the stresses that come with being on the road for 16 hours a day.
I think the Biden campaign is - rightly or wrongly - relying on President Trump to motivate its supporters. Given how little effort Trump has put into growing his base, this might well be the right strategy.
I foresee President Biden being at the level of George Bush Jnr on the gaffe-o-meter, but after 4 years of Trump where every other sentence he utters contains a lie, the Overton window has shifted so far & I have a feeling CNN won't spend 24hrs covering every gaffe like they do with Trump.
Well, it looks like the infection which has had me in A&E, on antibiotics and really quite sick twice this year, has come back again - barely a month since the last time.
FFS! Can 2020 get any worse?
I’m hoping a good night’s sleep will fight it off.
Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
He keeps doing similar stuff, so I would say probably yes to some extent.
I can see Trump majoring on this aspect repeatedly over the final week of the campaign. He was already doing so in a mocking fashion in his speech this evening from PA by attempting to ridicule Biden confusing one state with another.
Dr. Gammons is a professional “inspirational and motivational speaker” and claims to have spoken to rallies of up to 4 million people, becoming a friend and adviser to “Presidents, Prime Ministers, Royalty, Celebrities and World Leaders” in the process.
Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
He keeps doing similar stuff, so I would say probably yes to some extent.
I can see Trump majoring on this aspect repeatedly over the final week of the campaign. He was already doing so in a mocking fashion in his speech this evening from PA by attempting to ridicule Biden confusing one state with another.
Texas is now at 82.2% of total turnout - and that excludes ballots in the mail that haven't yet been processed!
Most of the votes are now cast in Nevada, Arizona, Texas, North Carolina, Montana, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and Colorado - and Michigan and Wisconsin are only just below the 50% mark,
Simply, at this stage a gaffe has to be absolutely enormous to change the result.
Serious question: Is Biden perhaps being kept out of harm's way on account of his apparent mental fragility? I saw a video clip today in which he seemed to hesitatingly refer to Trump as 'George', with his wife by his side, appearing to be embarrassed. Not good.
We are being told this is a master plan, a "front porch" campaign, because Democrats are so timid to come out of their homes to support Trump's opponent (despite trashing their cities a couple of months earlier).
Yeah, makes sense.
You've been told - by me - that Biden is waging a front porch campaign but NOT for the reason you say.
Comments
What if Biden was sick with it in hospital on polling day? What if, unlike Trump, he didn't make a quick recovery?
It may only be worth a couple of per cent of votes but that could b enough to swing the election.
I'd be minimising my risk, too.
I reckon Biden being sick or in hospital on polling day would be the ultimate black swan, the only chance Trump has of winning the election.
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/The-ten-worst-Covid-data-failures
Get best results = fastest loading IF I close down windows for other websites, except for email; OR conversely exit PB when using other sites, esp if I'm downloading data or whatever.
Humble proposal - IF possible, might be good idea, especially for US Election Day, to have access to a bare-bones PB (or is that Vanilla?) which would include main posts and comments thereon, but NOT tweets, youtubes, graphics, etc., etc.
Scroll up and down a few times and the comments will load.
Using Edge now...
I would be appalled if so.
But that is my fear.
I really hope I am wrong.
On the other big question of the day, my other half utterly loathes Harrogate for complicated family reasons he once explained and I have forgotten. I quite liked it when I have visited and went to a wonderful Jewish-Irish family wedding there a few years back.
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/1320853815059456013?s=20
(2) If you see the immune response drop off at 1% per week, you can estimate the response level at one year with a pretty high degree of accuracy.
https://sebastianrushworth.com/2020/10/24/how-deadly-is-covid-19/
Warning: 'Lock us all down harder' proponents will not like this article.
Which does NOT answer your question.
However, consider IF she took Badger State for granted re: her personal campaign schedule, how high did she prioritize, staff and fund OTHER key campaign operations in the state?
Like the man said, sometimes you don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows.
First, that so many MPs are that hacked off. (Though I can't escape the feeling that... they trusted BORIS... that wasn't entirely prudent...)
Second, that there are that many MPs who are both unhappy enough to add weight to this letter but fearful of something enough to not want their name attached. Though if I were a vindictive Prime Minister, I'd probably instruct a minion to get a map, start at Berwick and identify the 55 northernmost Conservative MPs in England.
https://twitter.com/MrHarryCole/status/1320856026409799680
I would say that there has to be some risk for Biden in just coasting to the finish line, I get the reasons why he may not be doing the hard final yards like Trump but with wall to wall Trump rallies on the news til election day,,,,is it just possible enough will be convinced to vote for DT to sneak him home in places like PA?
Also impressed that POTUS did not butcher this in some creative and likely obscene way. OR have staff installed a REAL good spell-checker?
Note that Lititz is (of course) not far from Blue Balls or Intercourse. Or Punxsutawney.
https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1320826961435000837?s=20
They’ll have to start writing tweets on twitter but not dirty themselves by replying to any responses
https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1320831721676439558?s=20
Some people should get out more....
https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1320829330080079877?s=20
https://twitter.com/mrharrycole/status/1320859237095014400?s=21
https://www.britainschoice.uk/media/4yulkygt/moreincommon_britainschoice_report.pdf
Different from Harry Truman and his "Given 'em Hell Harry" whistle-stop tour in 1948. But similar to Andrew Johnson in (midterm) 1866 ("Ring Around the Circle") and William Jennings Bryan in 1896 (the year he won the Democratic nomination and galvanized - or rather polarized - the nation with his "Cross of Gold" Speech.)
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-biden-top-battleground-states/
UK (London) was the worst and Bahrain was the best.
Reading the paper, it seems pretty clear that at least some of the cases were infected during the flight.
https://twitter.com/amymaxmen/status/1320811661717131264
Ds could lose a seat here and there, for example in Oklahoma & Staten Island were they had surprising victories in 2018. However, these loses will be made up for - and more - by gains elsewhere.
Biden's priorities are 1) Number One = himself; and 2) US Senate, because he wants to govern US instead of merely preside.
In which case, it will be clean(er) diesel. AdBlue.
https://www.senate.gov/legislative/floor_activity_pail.htm
The issue is that in so much of the US, the voting is effectively over. Take North Carolina. Turnout was up to 3.2m at close of yesterday. It's probably about 3.45m now. And it probably won't top 5m in total. So, we're two thirds done now: that just makes his job so much harder.
https://twitter.com/ticerichard/status/1320730016641155074?s=21
Just kidding.
That fecker Jake Berry doesn't even live in the North of England.
He doesn't even have a home in his constituency of Rossendale & Darwen. The address on his nomination papers is an office. He doesn't even live in the North of England.
He is not Jake of the North. How can he possibly be in charge of a Northern Research Group of Tory MPs?
The arrogant little shite lives on Ynys Mon. He has an enormous property empire there. He owns houses in Michael Meacher-like quantities on Anglesey.
The matter was gone into in some thoroughness by the Welsh press when he bought his pox-infected family to Wales at the beginning of lockdown. There is no Berry home in Rossendale & Darwen.
If Drakeford was arresting people like Jake Berry on the border and inserting a large nest of killer hornets into them, he would be getting my full support.
It would be good to know if the first diagnosed case (two days after arrival) was wearing a mask or not. Because two days before diagnosis is pretty much peak infectiousness.
https://www.rac.co.uk/drive/advice/emissions/euro-emissions-standards/#euro-6-diesel
FFS! Can 2020 get any worse?
I’m hoping a good night’s sleep will fight it off.
Night all.
The biggest motivator for Trump supporters is Trump himself.
The biggest motivator for Biden supporters is also Trump
Yeah, makes sense.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B3e4QoxKIfo
I think the Biden campaign is - rightly or wrongly - relying on President Trump to motivate its supporters. Given how little effort Trump has put into growing his base, this might well be the right strategy.
https://order-order.com/2020/10/26/dr-gammons-set-to-take-ukips-fight-to-sadiq-khan/
At least the esteemed Prof Paul Nuttall tried to make is massively over inflated CV seem vaguely plausible.
I thought they always recorded all polls - surely they haven't overlooked them?
Most of the votes are now cast in Nevada, Arizona, Texas, North Carolina, Montana, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and Colorado - and Michigan and Wisconsin are only just below the 50% mark,
Simply, at this stage a gaffe has to be absolutely enormous to change the result.