politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » TMay is becoming big problem for the Johnson/Cummings regime
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Oh certainly second class citizens, as indeed they were in Christian Europe too. The Jizya is an interesting one though. Obviously a tax on religious minorities, but also an exemption from things like military service.Floater said:
Not quite the utopia you describe I think foxyFoxy said:
Moorish Andalusia was one of the great European cultural revivals, and very multicultural. In particular for European Jewry, until they were either expelled or forcibly converted after the Reconquista.Pulpstar said:
I thought they used to involve slaughter, pillage and rape. Maybe I'm wrong though.williamglenn said:
Many conquests? So conquest is a good thing?LadyG said:I also love this bit: "Africa during the Moor civilisation was well respected, with many conquests and contributions towards European culture"
Not only is this illiterate, it also references a period in time when people in north Africa - "the Moor civilisation" (sic) - were actually enslaving white Europeans, including Britons.
This is what the BBC says
https://www.bbc.co.uk/religion/religions/islam/history/spain_1.shtml
The restrictions I believe were Dhimmi status and payment of the Jizya tax
Wikipedia says the following
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_Jews_under_Muslim_rule
Note the part about second class citizens
Certainly Spanish Jewry flourished under the Moors in a way not seen again in Europe until the Shtetl of the Polish Commonwealth. The expulsion of Spanish Jews by the Spanish Christians particularly to the Ottoman empire led to communities that still speak a form of Spanish today. Heavily depleted by Nazi extermination in places like Thessaloniki, of course.1 -
This is the only place I hear the word woke, I’ve no idea what it means, this is the only place I hear discussions about trans rights, whatever they may be. The rest of the world is not interested.1
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Fair number of European countries declined to sign this, it seems: Italy, Spain, Portugal and most of Eastern Europe.CarlottaVance said:https://twitter.com/DominicRaab/status/1278050073872564224?s=20
This statement was supported by Australia, Austria, Belgium, Belize, Canada, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Iceland, Ireland, Germany, Japan, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, the Republic of the Marshall Islands, the Kingdom of the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Palau, Slovakia, Slovenia, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom0 -
An article that suggests they are very confident no one will do more than make a mild fuss, given it seems unnecessarily provocative to other nations even for them.CarlottaVance said:Do not go to Hong Kong
Do not transit Hong Kong
Do not fly on Cathay Pacific
Article 38 This Law shall apply to offences under this Law committed against the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region from outside the Region by a person who is not a permanent resident of the Region.
http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2020-07/01/c_139178753.htm0 -
Looks like we'll have to give citizenship to 3 million (is it three million?) to the Hong Kong BNOs.CarlottaVance said:Do not go to Hong Kong
Do not transit Hong Kong
Do not fly on Cathay Pacific
Article 38 This Law shall apply to offences under this Law committed against the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region from outside the Region by a person who is not a permanent resident of the Region.
http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2020-07/01/c_139178753.htm0 -
From the Algarve to Athens, and also, increasingly, in the former Communist states of Eastern Europe, China's influence is very strong.FF43 said:
Fair number of European countries declined to sign this, it seems: Italy, Spain, Portugal and most of Eastern Europe.CarlottaVance said:https://twitter.com/DominicRaab/status/1278050073872564224?s=20
This statement was supported by Australia, Austria, Belgium, Belize, Canada, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Iceland, Ireland, Germany, Japan, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, the Republic of the Marshall Islands, the Kingdom of the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Palau, Slovakia, Slovenia, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom0 -
The last Jew in Spain is an excellent book covering that period with good insights into metal working and medicine as practiced at the time.Foxy said:
Oh certainly second class citizens, as indeed they were in Christian Europe too. The Jizya is an interesting one though. Obviously a tax on religious minorities, but also an exemption from things like military service.Floater said:
Not quite the utopia you describe I think foxyFoxy said:
Moorish Andalusia was one of the great European cultural revivals, and very multicultural. In particular for European Jewry, until they were either expelled or forcibly converted after the Reconquista.Pulpstar said:
I thought they used to involve slaughter, pillage and rape. Maybe I'm wrong though.williamglenn said:
Many conquests? So conquest is a good thing?LadyG said:I also love this bit: "Africa during the Moor civilisation was well respected, with many conquests and contributions towards European culture"
Not only is this illiterate, it also references a period in time when people in north Africa - "the Moor civilisation" (sic) - were actually enslaving white Europeans, including Britons.
This is what the BBC says
https://www.bbc.co.uk/religion/religions/islam/history/spain_1.shtml
The restrictions I believe were Dhimmi status and payment of the Jizya tax
Wikipedia says the following
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_Jews_under_Muslim_rule
Note the part about second class citizens
Certainly Spanish Jewry flourished under the Moors in a way not seen again in Europe until the Shtetl of the Polish Commonwealth. The expulsion of Spanish Jews by the Spanish Christians particularly to the Ottoman empire led to communities that still speak a form of Spanish today. Heavily depleted by Nazi extermination in places like Thessaloniki, of course.1 -
I don't think that means what they think it means. Of course they are going to be unhappy with Democrats rioting, looting, pulling down statues.Scott_xP said:
In fact that Pew study is quite interesting in general.
https://www.people-press.org/2020/06/30/publics-mood-turns-grim-trump-trails-biden-on-most-personal-traits-major-issues/
https://twitter.com/pewresearch/status/1278033125889708033
And the for/against pattern still strong.
https://twitter.com/pewresearch/status/1278027489621745667
Interesting regarding who is changing opinion. IMO this likely means the change is mostly occuring in places that already are Democrat.
https://twitter.com/pewresearch/status/1278056226136391681
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'US buys up world stock of key Covid-19 drug'
Ah the special relationship alive and well. Key partner, ally and soon to be food supplier. America first! America first! America first!
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/jun/30/us-buys-up-world-stock-of-key-covid-19-drug0 -
This thread is past its sell by date.0
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No Donald, it really is you we are after, don't kid yourself.Casino_Royale said:Trump's campaign is getting better:
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1278040506908446721?s=190 -
For May's criticism to have any effect, she needs credibility. As the UK's worst ever modern day pm, she has none. She was terrible and remains so.1
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NEW THREAD
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It seems it's having an effect. Also noteworthy that countries with historically weak democratic traditions are most susceptible to Chinese influence.WhisperingOracle said:
From the Algarve to Athens, and also, increasingly, in the former Communist states of Eastern Europe, China's influence is very strong.FF43 said:
Fair number of European countries declined to sign this, it seems: Italy, Spain, Portugal and most of Eastern Europe.CarlottaVance said:https://twitter.com/DominicRaab/status/1278050073872564224?s=20
This statement was supported by Australia, Austria, Belgium, Belize, Canada, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Iceland, Ireland, Germany, Japan, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, the Republic of the Marshall Islands, the Kingdom of the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Palau, Slovakia, Slovenia, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom0 -
Indeed. PB Tories are now as exercised by 'wokeness' (whatever that is) as they used to be by SJWs, virtue signalling, and the mortal dangers of increasing government borrowing.nichomar said:This is the only place I hear the word woke, I’ve no idea what it means, this is the only place I hear discussions about trans rights, whatever they may be. The rest of the world is not interested.
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Johnson functions by being the mood of the country. He wants to be relentlessly positive, upbeat, optimistic, "bounce forward" etc.rottenborough said:
Seems Johnson's ridiculous comparison with FDR has gone down badly.
"A mammoth programme of building and job creation vs a lick of paint for the UK's crumbling hospitals and schools: How Boris's 'new deal' compares to the original created by Roosevelt in the Great Depression of 1930s America"
That's the Daily Mail!
"Boris Johnson showed us the architectural drawings for recovery – but not the precise specifications"
Telegraph
At least 60,000 people have died, many others have been left with long-term medical issues by this terrible virus. It has been, for all the bonhomie, a shock, an economic, social and especially cultural shock.
Our way of living, our normality, our certainties were not secure or guaranteed. By dint of a virus, they were undermined and destroyed for weeks. There will and indeed are those who will continue to argue we shouldn't have locked down or we should have let the young roam wild and free etc but that's not the point.
For many families, it has been fundamental - the way of existence has been challenged but people have adapted and as with any forced adaptation, there are positives as well as negatives. For many who have found out working at home is not just possible but actually pleasant, there's no desire to go back to the suit and tie, the early morning commute, the crowded train or bus.
Instead of a desperate desire to return to the "old normal" it would be nice to hear a Prime Minister talk about the "new normal", how we work, live and interact in the post-Covid 19 world.
Perhaps Johnson thinks he can re-assure by saying things can go back to the way they were but perhaps that's not what everyone wants to hear or wants to experience. Our lives have changed, life has changed, perhaps we value it just a little more than work.4 -
It is your Welsh heritage! They say that the Celts descended from North Africa!OldKingCole said:
Given that white skin is, as far as the species is concerned, probably an aberration, the consequence of a lack of sunlight and hence an increased need to synthesise Vitamin D, some of this stuff is quite funny.LadyG said:
Apparently so, as long as it is brown people conquering white peoplewilliamglenn said:
Many conquests? So conquest is a good thing?LadyG said:I also love this bit: "Africa during the Moor civilisation was well respected, with many conquests and contributions towards European culture"
Not only is this illiterate, it also references a period in time when people in north Africa - "the Moor civilisation" (sic) - were actually enslaving white Europeans, including Britons.
I would be really happy to look a fool, if someone could show me that this is a hoax. It is so mind-warping.
However, under this thread there are several other people saying their schools have sent out similar stuff. So I fear it may be real
My skin is a sort of pink colour, but goes brown very rapidly. So much so that I'm sometimes 'suspected' of being Middle Eastern and to get pulled over for cross-questioning at airports.
I wear my North African heritage with pride.0 -
US virus cases have grown 80% in 14 days.
That means US could hit 160K new cases a day in about a month's time.
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FWIW there would actually be no problem in it ditching BBC4, if they turned BBC2 back into what was originally intended - i.e. something very closely resembling BBC4. That would allow them to consolidate all the content into one channel and reduce the need to fill scheduled TV with repeats.squareroot2 said:
Well The BBC is long overdue for a serious kick in the pants. I refuse to listen to its anti anyone who does not fit woke detailing. its getting serious. Fuck the licence fee.. let those who want to listen to that sort of shite pay.Foxy said:
Why smash statues when trashing our cultural bandwidth is so much more profitable?Philip_Thompson said:
Channel 4 is long overdue privatisation.BluestBlue said:
You know, all that infrastructure investment is terribly expensive, and the Government is going to need to raise large sums of money to finance it ... why hello there, Channel 4 - how nice to see you...Scott_xP said:
Once the Civil Service is reformed and the BBC is privatised that should be next.
There are others to listen to including the aforementioned Times Radio.
If they get rid of BBC4 .. what is left worth watching?
Simply corral all the lifestyle stuff - cookery, gardening, interiors - into the two hours from 6 til 8 during the week, and then from 8pm onwards it's BBC4. All eminently doable if they kill off Newsnight or stick it out of the way on the rolling news channel.0 -
Undoubtedly you are successful TSE but that doesn't prove that you haven't been subject to racism/bigotry.TheScreamingEagles said:
I've managed to upset someone the other day.Sandpit said:
I pointed out I'm the privately educated son of a doctor, I really don't have much in common with some poor BAME person living on the poverty line.
They argued that I must have been the victim of racism/bigotry at some time just like the poor BAME person and it must have held us both back.
They couldn't comprehend I and society* considers me a success.
*Well my mother still wants me to be a doctor, but hey ho.
I suspect you have just had to work a bit harder and be a bit better than a white privately educated doctor's son.
Unconscious bias is a proven phenomenon.0 -
NYT recently had story comparing 13 possible Biden VP running mates. Yours truly rated them re: experience (good & bad), home state (battleground or not), progressiveism (in balancing Uncle Joe), diversity (Black or Latina a plus) and "other" for factors not included above.Scott_xP said:
For example, as to experience, gave US senators & governors points, but not congresswoman or mayors; in case of Susan Rice, I deducted a point because while her experience as NSA and UN Ambassador is significant, think bring up Libya, Syria and foreign policy in general is NOT.
When I added up the points, my top 3 choices ended up being
>> Stacey Abrams (GA US Senate candidate 2018) - low on experience (state legislature) but ran good US Senate race; from battleground state; very popular with progressives, Black which will hep with turnout, also an excellent speaker and debater
>> Michelle Lujan Grisham (NM Governor) - only been Gov a year but good marks so far; from battleground state, popular with progressives, only Latina under consideration (it appears) which helps in number of key state; westerner to balance out easterner Biden (note that New NM is WAY more "western" in cultural sense than Cali)
>> Tammy Duckworth (IL US Senator) - Iraq War veteran helicopter pilot who lost her legs after being shot down in combat; reasonably popular (with a few caveats) with progressives, only Asian American under consideration (her mother Thai, her father White American); gets under Trumpsky's skin
Checking around, but looks like I've lost Joe's number, and he's not called me in while (like never). SO maybe some eagle-eyed Biden staffer will see these words of wisdom and convey to Uncle Joe? Though personally am AOK with whomever he chooses - even Ivanka!1 -
Yes, I looked at the data. What it looks like they have done is massively overweight the number of those with a Bachelors and higher degree in the survey and massively underweighted those without a high school degree. So from what I make out, the survey has 24% of respondents with High School or Less vs. 40% in the 2018 census bureau data, and have 42% of respondents with a Bachelor or higher degree vs 32% in the census data. So no wonder it gives the Democrats such a big lead.stodge said:Thought I'd try and track down the crosstabs on the USA Today/Suffolk Poll which showed Biden leading Trump 53-41.
https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/national/2020/7_1_2020_xtabs_pdftxt.pdf?la=en&hash=B623A987214F1686CE192F921495863B05A02473
The gender split explains the lead - among men it's tied at 47 but among women Biden leads 59-35, a colossal 24-point advantage.
The geographical split shows Biden winning the North East 58-37 and the West 59-37. Trump wins the South 52-41 but incredibly (and completely contrary to the PBS-Marist poll at the weekend), Biden is winning the Midwest 61-32.
Yes, I know...
The White vote is split 49-48 in Trump's favour which would be a 12% swing on 2016.
I just cannot accept the Midwest numbers which look ridiculous and would see Biden chewing up a fair chunk of what we would think of safe Red states.1 -
The lessons from this I think is that they key data to look at is in these surveys from now on is what are the splits of educational achievement as these seem to be good indicators of voting intentionsMrEd said:
Yes, I looked at the data. What it looks like they have done is massively overweight the number of those with a Bachelors and higher degree in the survey and massively underweighted those without a high school degree. So from what I make out, the survey has 24% of respondents with High School or Less vs. 40% in the 2018 census bureau data, and have 42% of respondents with a Bachelor or higher degree vs 32% in the census data. So no wonder it gives the Democrats such a big lead.stodge said:Thought I'd try and track down the crosstabs on the USA Today/Suffolk Poll which showed Biden leading Trump 53-41.
https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/national/2020/7_1_2020_xtabs_pdftxt.pdf?la=en&hash=B623A987214F1686CE192F921495863B05A02473
The gender split explains the lead - among men it's tied at 47 but among women Biden leads 59-35, a colossal 24-point advantage.
The geographical split shows Biden winning the North East 58-37 and the West 59-37. Trump wins the South 52-41 but incredibly (and completely contrary to the PBS-Marist poll at the weekend), Biden is winning the Midwest 61-32.
Yes, I know...
The White vote is split 49-48 in Trump's favour which would be a 12% swing on 2016.
I just cannot accept the Midwest numbers which look ridiculous and would see Biden chewing up a fair chunk of what we would think of safe Red states.0 -
Lujan Grisham is my recommendation for VP bet. Brings a number of positives to the ticket and Biden's Latino numbers have been mixed.SeaShantyIrish2 said:
NYT recently had story comparing 13 possible Biden VP running mates. Yours truly rated them re: experience (good & bad), home state (battleground or not), progressiveism (in balancing Uncle Joe), diversity (Black or Latina a plus) and "other" for factors not included above.Scott_xP said:
For example, as to experience, gave US senators & governors points, but not congresswoman or mayors; in case of Susan Rice, I deducted a point because while her experience as NSA and UN Ambassador is significant, think bring up Libya, Syria and foreign policy in general is NOT.
When I added up the points, my top 3 choices ended up being
>> Stacey Abrams (GA US Senate candidate 2018) - low on experience (state legislature) but ran good US Senate race; from battleground state; very popular with progressives, Black which will hep with turnout, also an excellent speaker and debater
>> Michelle Lujan Grisham (NM Governor) - only been Gov a year but good marks so far; from battleground state, popular with progressives, only Latina under consideration (it appears) which helps in number of key state; westerner to balance out easterner Biden (note that New NM is WAY more "western" in cultural sense than Cali)
>> Tammy Duckworth (IL US Senator) - Iraq War veteran helicopter pilot who lost her legs after being shot down in combat; reasonably popular (with a few caveats) with progressives, only Asian American under consideration (her mother Thai, her father White American); gets under Trumpsky's skin
Checking around, but looks like I've lost Joe's number, and he's not called me in while (like never). SO maybe some eagle-eyed Biden staffer will see these words of wisdom and convey to Uncle Joe? Though personally am AOK with whomever he chooses - even Ivanka!0 -
Is that like being a little bit pregnantanother_richard said:
I suspect Scotland got a smaller dose of virus to begin with.StuartDickson said:
Yes, I’ve now seen a long list of excuses why England is performing worse than Scotland, but there are actually a lot of reasons why Scotland *ought* to be performing worse than England, not least levels of heart/lung disease, low general fitness, poverty, obesity, diabetes and alcohol abuse. That we are not must partly be down to good governance, but also to high compliance among the populace. Folk respect the government and experts of Scotland in a way lacking down south.DavidL said:
Indeed. Its not like we are short of our quotient of fat smokers and drinkers with high levels of comorbidity.StuartDickson said:
Excuses excuses.Charles said:
Scotland has fewer ethnic minorities as well, and there does appear to be a genetic componentPhilip_Thompson said:
Scotland shouldn't be compared to England it should be compared to a region of England as that is comparing like-for-like in population areas.Stuartinromford said:
Difference is that Scotland really is at nearly zero deaths from Covid.Philip_Thompson said:
What narrative?StuartDickson said:
That narrative has been accepted in Scotland for weeks now, but it is only just beginning to be widely understood in England. Tory backbenchers are not going to be happy bunnies come the autumn.Scott_xP said:
Excess deaths have ended and besides Leicester we're coming out of lockdown and getting on with things. How does that fit your narrative?
Really stupid cartoon to be running on the day excess deaths figures are reported (from weeks ago) as being negative.
The English update is good news, but it's not zero Covid deaths; it's the number of Covid deaths is less than the variability in the baseline. England is getting there, but noticeably more slowly than many of our neighbours.
Many regions of England are at or near zero COVID deaths.
In life there's always luck involved.
But a smaller dose of virus in the first wave would make Scotland more vulnerable if there are future waves.
Just as there are parts of England which are more vulnerable than others to a second wave.0 -
Chinese will be trembling at the thought of Raab telling them they are naughty.FF43 said:
Fair number of European countries declined to sign this, it seems: Italy, Spain, Portugal and most of Eastern Europe.CarlottaVance said:https://twitter.com/DominicRaab/status/1278050073872564224?s=20
This statement was supported by Australia, Austria, Belgium, Belize, Canada, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Iceland, Ireland, Germany, Japan, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, the Republic of the Marshall Islands, the Kingdom of the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Palau, Slovakia, Slovenia, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom0 -
It relied on xenophobia. It was won on xenophobia. It has nowhere to go but xenophobia.Richard_Tyndall said:
You want it all to have been down to Farage because that suits your warped and quite deluded world view. You simply cannot accept that your side were beaten by a better campaign that did not rely upon xenophobia.
I know your personal views and preferences differ, but that does not change this essential truth.
Meanwhile Putin laughs. You're (all) on his side too.
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