politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » By-election in Newark as Patrick Mercer – Will Farage stand
Options
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » By-election in Newark as Patrick Mercer – Will Farage stand?
It is impossible for there to be a by election in Newark or anywhere else on May 22nd . section 14 of the Electoral Registration and Administration Act 2013 came into force on April 6th and now there is a minimum of 25 days excluding weekends/bank holidays between the writ being moved and the by election being held .
0
Comments
-
Andy McSmith @andymcsmith 3m
The chairman of Newark Conservative Association has put out a statement confirming that Robert Jenrick will be their by election candidate.
Aww... Poor old Boris.
Still, now the pressure is on Farage.0 -
7:35PM
Has Boris already bottled it? Looks as if the Tories are fielding a complete unknown according to Twitter.
Cameron stepped in perhaps to block the man he loathes?
0 -
TSE - you need to charge that thing up.0
-
Labour held this seat from 1950 to 1979 and again in 1997.
Ed's crowning glory of the 2010-2015 Parliament?0 -
Boris must stand.
If he slays the farage dragon he will walk the next tory leadership contest.0 -
The best option is to have it on the same day as the Scottish referendum.
That way the result gets overshadowed whatever happens.0 -
If Farage has any cojones at all, he stands.
Eastern backwater rural seat in fruit picking country. If the Kippers can't win here, they can't win anywhere.0 -
He will also be an MP so that is that problem solved.0
-
Farage vs Boris
Its the only way to unite the right.
0 -
Will Hill is now 3/1, btw.0
-
Jon Sayers @jon_sayers 43s
@CharlotteV @GuidoFawkes @c4news @MichaelLCrick @RobertJenrick just read his timeline he's as dull as dishwater! :-) can I stand instead?
Must be very tempting indeed for Farage then.0 -
Question to Boris and Nigel:
"Are you frit or a carpetbagger"?0 -
Bunch of Tory MPs, including Bernard Jenkin, patting Mercer on the back on College Green...
WTF?0 -
If Farage doesn't stand - assuming UKIP win the euros - then he should be ashamed to be a politician.
At least Galloway gets in their and street fights.0 -
If Ed Miliband is serious about One Nation he must resign his seat in Doncaster NOW and stand in Newark.0
-
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gXNhL4J_S00RodCrosby said:Bunch of Tory MPs, including Bernard Jenkin, patting Mercer on the back on College Green...
WTF?
0 -
Boris was NEVER going to stand in Newark.0
-
I demand a Boris/Garage death fight!0
-
Farage won't be able to resist the media calling for him to stand. It will dominate the euro election campaigns far to much.
He needs to go and go hard.0 -
Listen, is Nick Clegg serious about rolling his sleeves up and saving his party? Hmm?Alanbrooke said:If Ed Miliband is serious about One Nation he must resign his seat in Doncaster NOW and stand in Newark.
0 -
Makes a change to hear about a Parliamentary by-election where you don't feel gulity about discussing the possibilities because the sitting MP isn't yet cold, LOL!0
-
Interesting fight. Farage should go for it. Yes other by-elections he's sensibly not stood in the way of locally picked candidates, but he personally and UKIP generally are riding as high as they ever had right now, and he's still their best chance of seizing on national momentum in a seat, and a seat which offers more opportunities than most of the Labour heartland seats we've had by-elections in. If UKIP have come first in the Euros I suppose it might galvanize Tories in the area to not risk a UKIP protest vote because of their genuine threat, but more likely the Tories would be in chaos and the anti-Cameroons would see a chance to knock the PM down by losing a safe seat.0
-
Nick's already got DPM sewn up in the next Parlt. 12 months from now you'll be saying you agree with him.Quincel said:
Listen, is Nick Clegg serious about rolling his sleeves up and saving his party? Hmm?Alanbrooke said:If Ed Miliband is serious about One Nation he must resign his seat in Doncaster NOW and stand in Newark.
0 -
Mr Fett,
"Eastern backwater rural seat in fruit picking country. If the Kippers can't win here, they can't win anywhere."
Wrong on both counts. It's a big town on the A1. You're thinking of the seats to the East, where his chances would be higher.0 -
Robert Jenrick, the Tory candidate:
http://www.conservatives.com/OurTeam/Prospective_Parliamentary_Candidates/Jenrick_Robert.aspx0 -
If Caroline Lucas is serious about organic farming she will resign her urban Brighton seat and resign now - to fight for what is right in Newark.0
-
Only a fool makes predictions ...
Farage won't stand.0 -
I'm not sure Labour would give him such a high position in their government even if they accepted his defection to their party, which is the only way he'd manage to achieve such a scenario.Alanbrooke said:
Nick's already got DPM sewn up in the next Parlt. 12 months from now you'll be saying you agree with him.Quincel said:
Listen, is Nick Clegg serious about rolling his sleeves up and saving his party? Hmm?Alanbrooke said:If Ed Miliband is serious about One Nation he must resign his seat in Doncaster NOW and stand in Newark.
0 -
Newark demographics:
White British: 93%
White Other: 4%
Asian: 1.2%
Black: 0.6%
Mixed: 1.2%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 67%
Hindu: 0.2%
Jewish: 0.1%
Muslim: 0.6%
Sikh: 0.1%
Other: 32%
Owned: 31%
Own/Mort: 43%
Local Auth: 8%
House Ass: 3%
Private: 13%
Other: 2%
http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide/newark/0 -
Good lord, he's young!AndyJS said:Robert Jenrick, the Tory candidate:
http://www.conservatives.com/OurTeam/Prospective_Parliamentary_Candidates/Jenrick_Robert.aspx
They say you know your getting old when doctors and police officers start looking younger than you, but what does it mean when MP's start looking younger than you? :O0 -
No chance of Labour winning.
Its the wrong sort of area for them and increasingly so all the time.
But its possible that UKIP might be able to squeeze the Labour vote.
Take a look at what happened to the Labour vote in byelections during the John Smith leadership to see that being in opposition doesn't mean your vote can't fall hard.
0 -
Update
Stuck in an update about the already selected Tory candidate for Newark0 -
Farage has the opportunity to make the Tory candidate look a tad inexperienced, one feels.GIN1138 said:
Good lord, he's young!AndyJS said:Robert Jenrick, the Tory candidate:
http://www.conservatives.com/OurTeam/Prospective_Parliamentary_Candidates/Jenrick_Robert.aspx
They say you know your getting old when doctors and police officers start looking younger than you, but what does it mean when MP's start looking younger than you? :O0 -
If Farage was elected that would certainly change the discussion regarding the general election debates.
0 -
Lord Ashcroft @LordAshcroft 9m
If you want to lose your money bookies offering 100/1 that both Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage stand in The Newark by-election...0 -
If you listen very carefully, you can hear the sounds of delight from a chap in Bedford who is really looking forward to this by-election.
I haven't heard him this excited since I rang him to tell him Chris Huhne had pleaded guilty.0 -
0
-
It's a strange definition of bottling it, when he has shown no indication he wants to do it. In that spirit, you've bottled climbing Everest. You bottler you.BobaFett said:7:35PM
Has Boris already bottled it? Looks as if the Tories are fielding a complete unknown according to Twitter.
(snip)
As for a complete unknown: good on them. There are too many 'knowns' parachuted into seats. Ed Miliband being one. Jenrick's seems interesting; it seems he has a manufacturing background, then went to work for Christies. In other words, lots of life outside politics. He stood in another seat in 2010, came second with a greater than average swing.
On the other hand, the Labour PPC, Michael Payne, is at least local. But he also seems a little uninspiring.
http://michaelpayne.org.uk/about-me/
Does anyone have more background on them than their websites?
P.s. I didn't know it stretched as far as Bingham, which I happen to know rather well. I also hadn't realised the unfortunate Fiona Jones preceded Mercer in that seat. Let's hope third time lucky ...0 -
Some traditional Labour voters in Newark may be tempted to vote UKIP to defeat the Tories.0
-
TSE
Parties regularly change their candidate for by elections. So that doesn't mean much. Who did UKIP select for Wythenshawe and Sale...0 -
What's all this crap about Boris bottling it?
The Tories already had a candidate in place. The local association wouldn't have accepted him being pushed aside to make way for someone else. If they'd been forced to do so, half the association would have defected to UKIP probably.0 -
Farage has to go for it. Its like the debates. He will win and then have a year rampaging around the commons asking Cameron questions directly at PMQ's0
-
Indeed. I was perhaps being slightly harsh ;-)JosiasJessop said:
It's a strange definition of bottling it, when he has shown no indication he wants to do it. In that spirit, you've bottled climbing Everest. You bottler you.BobaFett said:7:35PM
Has Boris already bottled it? Looks as if the Tories are fielding a complete unknown according to Twitter.
(snip)
As for a complete unknown: good on them. There are too many 'knowns' parachuted into seats. Ed Miliband being one. Jenrick's seems interesting; it seems he has a manufacturing background, then went to work for Christies. In other words, lots of life outside politics. He stood in another seat in 2010, came second with a greater than average swing.
On the other hand, the Labour PPC, Michael Payne, is at least local. But he also seems a little uninspiring.
http://michaelpayne.org.uk/about-me/
Does anyone have more background on them than their websites?
P.s. I didn't know it stretched as far as Bingham, which I happen to know rather well. I also hadn't realised the unfortunate Fiona Jones preceded Mercer in that seat. Let's hope third time lucky ...0 -
Slightly OT, but I assume a current MP cannot stand in a by-election. I see that 8(3)(c) in Schedule 1 of the RPA 1983 says you can't stand for two constituencies in the same election, but I can't seem to find the provision which prevents a sitting MP contesting another seat in a by-election. I'm probably looking in the wrong Act...
http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/1983/2/schedule/10 -
Alternatively its nearly in the centre of England, has main road and rail networks running through it and is traditional coal, oil and power station country ?BobaFett said:If Farage has any cojones at all, he stands.
Eastern backwater rural seat in fruit picking country. If the Kippers can't win here, they can't win anywhere.
0 -
Good evening, everyone.
FPT: Mr. K, hope you have a splendid day tomorrow. Antigonus Monopthalmus was over 80 when he contested the Battle of Ipsus, you know.0 -
It means you're an anorak since you know what your MP looks like ;-)GIN1138 said:
Good lord, he's young!AndyJS said:Robert Jenrick, the Tory candidate:
http://www.conservatives.com/OurTeam/Prospective_Parliamentary_Candidates/Jenrick_Robert.aspx
They say you know your getting old when doctors and police officers start looking younger than you, but what does it mean when MP's start looking younger than you? :O0 -
But didn't he lose, get killed and have his territory divided up ?Morris_Dancer said:Good evening, everyone.
FPT: Mr. K, hope you have a splendid day tomorrow. Antigonus Monopthalmus was over 80 when he contested the Battle of Ipsus, you know.
0 -
Farage won't stand. He'll reckon that UKIP are just as likely to win with an unknown. Should that happen the political shock waves will be just as substantial, and he won't have risked the personal ignominy of a defeat himself.0
-
robbingham @robbingham 6m
If Farage does stand in Newark he will be on our screens for the whole bloody summer. Someone talk him out of it please.
Amusing but a crucial point is made. Following the May local and EU elections Farage and the kippers will be hard pushed indeed to get any screen time as the focus rapidly moves elsewhere (save for the hubbub caused by Eurosceptic tory MPs who will inevitably be running about like headless chickens just like after last May) A Farage candidacy could keep the 'big mo' with them and help prevent this.
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/96/UK_opinion_polling_2010-2015.png
The pertinent part being the kipper dip after last May. IF Farage doesn't stand and that dip is pronounced, with the kippers struggling to get heard at all as the GE looms, then that might just come back to haunt him. Of course it's theoretically possible someone other than Farage could win for the kippers but he would seem to be their best chance for maximum publicity and maximum activist support.0 -
Interesting fact:
UKIP can look at the European election results for the Newark & Sherwood council area before deciding who would be the best candidate, unless the by-election is held very quickly.0 -
Mr. Richard, yes, but he lost because his son Demetrius Poliorcetes buggered up the cavalry and got them trapped behind Seleucus' 400 elephants.0
-
I'm sure we used to have a poster named Tim on here banging on about how great German football is and how they would dominate the galactico teams like Chelsea and Real Madrid because of superior home grown talent. Loooooool!0
-
Farage needs the publicity the keep rolling on through the summer.
Imagine how much damage he could do to Cameron in the commons... Get a few Tory MPs to defect and you are away......0 -
Would Farage standing himself not add at least one or more two points to the UKIP vote, or is he really that inconsequential/local candidate good?Stark_Dawning said:Farage won't stand. He'll reckon that UKIP are just as likely to win with an unknown. Should that happen the political shock waves will be just as substantial, and he won't have risked the personal ignominy of a defeat himself.
If UKIP can prove they can win a by-election, that it need not be a wasted vote to vote for UKIP, that could make a huge difference to how well the party holds up in 2015 (and thus whether Ed M gets a small majority or a massive majority), and if Farage does not think his presence would be a negative, he really should stand and go for it, because even a small rise thanks to a personal vote for him could swing.
If UKIP have won the Euros then even a defeat in a by-election won't derail them, and he can afford the hit to his own image. If they have lost the Euros to what will be surprise to many when the ground has never been so fertile for the party, then also losing the by-election might be more problematic for him, but if he thinks they will win the Euros, not much to lose in Newark.
0 -
Also, Farage may be able to win the seat in a by-election but would probably lose it in the general election.Stark_Dawning said:Farage won't stand. He'll reckon that UKIP are just as likely to win with an unknown. Should that happen the political shock waves will be just as substantial, and he won't have risked the personal ignominy of a defeat himself.
0 -
Does anyone have a link to the Ladbrokes page for Newark? I can't find it.0
-
Is this Labour throwing in the towel already? Sounds a bit downbeat:
"Patrick Wintour @patrickwintour 51m
Labour: "Will fight Newark but boundary changes since Labour last won. Tories 30 points ahead in 2010 and twice Lab's vote in 2013 councils"
twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/4612092954060062750 -
He has no certainty whatsoever of winning a seat in 2015 anyway.AndyJS said:
Also, Farage may be able to win the seat in a by-election but would probably lose it in the general election.Stark_Dawning said:Farage won't stand. He'll reckon that UKIP are just as likely to win with an unknown. Should that happen the political shock waves will be just as substantial, and he won't have risked the personal ignominy of a defeat himself.
0 -
http://sportsbeta.ladbrokes.com/British/Newark-Byelection/Politics-N-1z141meZ1z0uhfkZ1z141ne/AndyJS said:Does anyone have a link to the Ladbrokes page for Newark? I can't find it.
0 -
I'll make a prediction: if Farage stands, a large proportion of Labour voters over the age of 60 will vote for him. (The Labour candidate is 27 or 28).0
-
Expectations management.AndyJS said:Is this Labour throwing in the towel already? Sounds a bit downbeat:
"Patrick Wintour @patrickwintour 51m
Labour: "Will fight Newark but boundary changes since Labour last won. Tories 30 points ahead in 2010 and twice Lab's vote in 2013 councils"
twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/461209295406006275
Labour's problem is that they won in 1997 (and it was a safe Labour seat before 1979) and so the 'political experts' in the media will be saying that a Labour gain there is a possibility.
Whereas we know that boundary, demographic and political changes make that very unlikely.
0 -
Well sure, but surely he has a better chance of holding a seat from a position of even short term incumbency than coming from almost nowhere in most other seats, surely?AndyJS said:
Also, Farage may be able to win the seat in a by-election but would probably lose it in the general election.Stark_Dawning said:Farage won't stand. He'll reckon that UKIP are just as likely to win with an unknown. Should that happen the political shock waves will be just as substantial, and he won't have risked the personal ignominy of a defeat himself.
UKIP would also know at least one place where to funnel their efforts, which given they are otherwise quite spread out, with it difficult to predict where exactly they might surge the most (example: two fairly similar counties, Hampshire and Wiltshire, had elections in 2013, but UKIP got 10 seats out of 78 in one, and 1 out of 98 in the other), would be handy to know.
0 -
Boundary changes have worked against Labour. We should aim to finish 3rd.0
-
Real Madrid looking like Arsenal.
Of The Invincibles vintage.0 -
Thanks TSE.TheScreamingEagles said:
http://sportsbeta.ladbrokes.com/British/Newark-Byelection/Politics-N-1z141meZ1z0uhfkZ1z141ne/AndyJS said:Does anyone have a link to the Ladbrokes page for Newark? I can't find it.
The maximum bet on UKIP at 2/1 seems to be £25 which is what I've taken.0 -
Oh and Nige won't stand and neither will Boris.
For Nige he can't afford the risk that he loses. For Boris it's too far from the centre.0 -
Probably better seats for him to choose from though.Mick_Pork said:
He has no certainty whatsoever of winning a seat in 2015 anyway.AndyJS said:
Also, Farage may be able to win the seat in a by-election but would probably lose it in the general election.Stark_Dawning said:Farage won't stand. He'll reckon that UKIP are just as likely to win with an unknown. Should that happen the political shock waves will be just as substantial, and he won't have risked the personal ignominy of a defeat himself.
0 -
Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB · 33mAndyJS said:
Thanks TSE.TheScreamingEagles said:
http://sportsbeta.ladbrokes.com/British/Newark-Byelection/Politics-N-1z141meZ1z0uhfkZ1z141ne/AndyJS said:Does anyone have a link to the Ladbrokes page for Newark? I can't find it.
The maximum bet on UKIP at 2/1 seems to be £25 which is what I've taken.
Big brave Ladbrokes http://bit.ly/c5gpH6 . NOT. Just tried to bet on the Newark by-election & all they would let me put on was £12.500 -
Chicken Farage - is that a Romanian dish ?0
-
UKIP might possibly nick a by-election but not sure if thay could hold it in the General Election. Could Farage concievably stand but still run for South Thanet (or which ever seat he has in mind) next year if he won instead of defending it?0
-
I assume they've marked OGH's account, especially if he won the Obama bet from them! ;-)TheScreamingEagles said:
Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB · 33mAndyJS said:
Thanks TSE.TheScreamingEagles said:
http://sportsbeta.ladbrokes.com/British/Newark-Byelection/Politics-N-1z141meZ1z0uhfkZ1z141ne/AndyJS said:Does anyone have a link to the Ladbrokes page for Newark? I can't find it.
The maximum bet on UKIP at 2/1 seems to be £25 which is what I've taken.
Big brave Ladbrokes http://bit.ly/c5gpH6 . NOT. Just tried to bet on the Newark by-election & all they would let me put on was £12.500 -
Yes, the main boundary change in 2010 was Retford leaving the constituency for Bassetlaw, to be replaced by Bingham from Rushcliffe.another_richard said:
Expectations management.AndyJS said:Is this Labour throwing in the towel already? Sounds a bit downbeat:
"Patrick Wintour @patrickwintour 51m
Labour: "Will fight Newark but boundary changes since Labour last won. Tories 30 points ahead in 2010 and twice Lab's vote in 2013 councils"
twitter.com/patrickwintour/status/461209295406006275
Labour's problem is that they won in 1997 (and it was a safe Labour seat before 1979) and so the 'political experts' in the media will be saying that a Labour gain there is a possibility.
Whereas we know that boundary, demographic and political changes make that very unlikely.0 -
Pep Guardiola = Demetrius Poliorcetes
Carlo Ancelotti = Lysimachus0 -
He surely could, though media would give him crap for doing so I've no doubt. Whether it would genuinely hurt his chances there I'm not certain, it would depend on how much of his vote is because people like him and UKIP and how much because they hate all the other three (or which proportion of the two reasons is stronger).dodrade said:UKIP might possibly nick a by-election but not sure if thay could hold it in the General Election. Could Farage concievably stand but still run for South Thanet (or which ever seat he has in mind) next year if he won instead of defending it?
0 -
Nick Clegg must resign his Sheffield Hallam seat so he can fight Farage in Newark. It's the only way.0
-
Mr. Eagles, I get (assuming you're sticking with Ipsus at the reference point) the two ancient names, but not so sure about the modern ones.0
-
They are managers of Bavarian München and Real Madrid.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Eagles, I get (assuming you're sticking with Ipsus at the reference point) the two ancient names, but not so sure about the modern ones.
Real Madrid are leading 3 nil against Bavarian München.0 -
Mr. Eagles, ah.0
-
More favourable certainly but as kle4 rightly points out there's also some huge advantages for the kippers in a by-election contest like this compared to the total effort required for the GE.RobD said:
Probably better seats for him to choose from though.Mick_Pork said:
He has no certainty whatsoever of winning a seat in 2015 anyway.AndyJS said:
Also, Farage may be able to win the seat in a by-election but would probably lose it in the general election.Stark_Dawning said:Farage won't stand. He'll reckon that UKIP are just as likely to win with an unknown. Should that happen the political shock waves will be just as substantial, and he won't have risked the personal ignominy of a defeat himself.
It's a gamble so this would seem to be the correct place to discuss it.
0 -
Farage needs to show some political leadership and stand. Its that simple.0
-
Mods: can one of you please contact me? Someone's been having trouble posting to the site, and they've asked me to see what the problem is. I suspect technical foul-up rather than a ban.
"Can you help me please get a message to the site moderators. I have been trying to post for the last day or so and I have been unable to. I am apparently signed in and all is well but when I press send the message just disappears."
Thanks in advance.
(To the person in question: hope this helps).0 -
Slighty off-topic but would a Conservative majority government switch the European elections back to FTTP to try and kill off UKIP?0
-
On topic: Farage standing a gamble.
Positives: it will result in a lot of media attention, he will probably win, if he doesn't stand it looks like "he's bottling it", there's probably a Farage benefit of 5-6% over the natural Kipper vote
Negatives: if he loses it won't look good - if Nigel stands he has to win, Newark will be a lot harder to hold in 2015 than some of the East of London seats will be to win0 -
I was contemplating putting as much as £100 on UKIP at 2/1 with Ladbrokes. £25 was a disappointment but I suppose I should be pleased it wasn't £12.50.TheScreamingEagles said:
Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB · 33mAndyJS said:
Thanks TSE.TheScreamingEagles said:
http://sportsbeta.ladbrokes.com/British/Newark-Byelection/Politics-N-1z141meZ1z0uhfkZ1z141ne/AndyJS said:Does anyone have a link to the Ladbrokes page for Newark? I can't find it.
The maximum bet on UKIP at 2/1 seems to be £25 which is what I've taken.
Big brave Ladbrokes http://bit.ly/c5gpH6 . NOT. Just tried to bet on the Newark by-election & all they would let me put on was £12.500 -
Why would anyone back 2/1 with Ladbrokes when its 3/1 with Hills?TheScreamingEagles said:
Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB · 33mAndyJS said:
Thanks TSE.TheScreamingEagles said:
http://sportsbeta.ladbrokes.com/British/Newark-Byelection/Politics-N-1z141meZ1z0uhfkZ1z141ne/AndyJS said:Does anyone have a link to the Ladbrokes page for Newark? I can't find it.
The maximum bet on UKIP at 2/1 seems to be £25 which is what I've taken.
Big brave Ladbrokes http://bit.ly/c5gpH6 . NOT. Just tried to bet on the Newark by-election & all they would let me put on was £12.50
http://www.williamhill.com/en/nui/free-bet/?var3=en/nui/free-bet/#http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/EN/addtoslip?action=BuildSlip&sel=298012181&price=y&ew=n&url=http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en/betting/e/4404307/UKIP-To-Win-A-Parliamentary-By-Election-Before-The-General-Election0 -
The LDs have some serious support in the ultra-posh town of Southwell, which is usually hotly contested between them and the Tories. I'm 99% sure they won't lose their deposit for that reason.rcs1000 said:Nick Clegg must resign his Sheffield Hallam seat so he can fight Farage in Newark. It's the only way.
0 -
I think he was trying to back Labour.isam said:
Why would anyone back 2/1 with Ladbrokes when its 3/1 with Hills?TheScreamingEagles said:
Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB · 33mAndyJS said:
Thanks TSE.TheScreamingEagles said:
http://sportsbeta.ladbrokes.com/British/Newark-Byelection/Politics-N-1z141meZ1z0uhfkZ1z141ne/AndyJS said:Does anyone have a link to the Ladbrokes page for Newark? I can't find it.
The maximum bet on UKIP at 2/1 seems to be £25 which is what I've taken.
Big brave Ladbrokes http://bit.ly/c5gpH6 . NOT. Just tried to bet on the Newark by-election & all they would let me put on was £12.50
http://www.williamhill.com/en/nui/free-bet/?var3=en/nui/free-bet/#http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/EN/addtoslip?action=BuildSlip&sel=298012181&price=y&ew=n&url=http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en/betting/e/4404307/UKIP-To-Win-A-Parliamentary-By-Election-Before-The-General-Election0 -
You mean UKIP can wait almost 4 weeks without announcing a candidate? I think they'll have to announce before then, for campaigning reasons and media ones.AndyJS said:Interesting fact:
UKIP can look at the European election results for the Newark & Sherwood council area before deciding who would be the best candidate, unless the by-election is held very quickly.0 -
He only needs a half-way sane candidate to get just as much airtime as if he was standing himself plus takes the risk out of it plus just as Boris is a home-counties shoe-in, Farage is a further south-east kind of guy.
If he ever wants to pull the trigger, that is...0 -
Oh of course!TheScreamingEagles said:
I think he was trying to back Labour.isam said:
Why would anyone back 2/1 with Ladbrokes when its 3/1 with Hills?TheScreamingEagles said:
Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB · 33mAndyJS said:
Thanks TSE.TheScreamingEagles said:
http://sportsbeta.ladbrokes.com/British/Newark-Byelection/Politics-N-1z141meZ1z0uhfkZ1z141ne/AndyJS said:Does anyone have a link to the Ladbrokes page for Newark? I can't find it.
The maximum bet on UKIP at 2/1 seems to be £25 which is what I've taken.
Big brave Ladbrokes http://bit.ly/c5gpH6 . NOT. Just tried to bet on the Newark by-election & all they would let me put on was £12.50
http://www.williamhill.com/en/nui/free-bet/?var3=en/nui/free-bet/#http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/EN/addtoslip?action=BuildSlip&sel=298012181&price=y&ew=n&url=http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en/betting/e/4404307/UKIP-To-Win-A-Parliamentary-By-Election-Before-The-General-Election
I thought that was the bet myself off the top of my head0 -
Helmer is calling the cops over the Sun.
0 -
Message sent to you via vanilla in about five minutesJosiasJessop said:Mods: can one of you please contact me? Someone's been having trouble posting to the site, and they've asked me to see what the problem is. I suspect technical foul-up rather than a ban.
"Can you help me please get a message to the site moderators. I have been trying to post for the last day or so and I have been unable to. I am apparently signed in and all is well but when I press send the message just disappears."
Thanks in advance.
(To the person in question: hope this helps).0 -
Ancelotti will be thinking of Istanbul. His teams are prone to bizarre collapses.0
This discussion has been closed.