politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Bad news for my 200/1 tip on Ed Miliband succeeding Corbyn

System · December 2019

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Bad news for my 200/1 tip on Ed Miliband succeeding Corbyn

Could this be 2019's Portillo moment?

Read the full story here

AramintaMoonbeamQC · December 2019

First, like the SNP in almost all Scottish seats.

RobD · December 2019

Second

Richard_Tyndall · December 2019

Wolverhampton NE goes Blue

ydoethur · December 2019

The story is in the North of England.

The election that England turned on London?

Alistair Meeks will be apoplectic.

MarqueeMark · December 2019

Goodbye, Ed.....

RobD · December 2019

MarqueeMark said:
Goodbye, Ed.....

ydoethur · December 2019

Con gain WolNE.

MarqueeMark · December 2019

Wolverhampton NE - Con Gain

CarlottaVance · December 2019

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1205315139471319045?s=20

KentRising · December 2019

SCUNTHORPE!!!!!!

Richard_Tyndall · December 2019

Yaaay Scunthorpe!!

Sunil_Prasannan · December 2019

Con gain Scunthorpe

ydoethur · December 2019

KentRising said:
SCUNTHORPE!!!!!!

Who are you abusing with that one?

Sunil_Prasannan · December 2019

And Redcar too

Richard_Tyndall · December 2019

And Redcar

Ave_it · December 2019

LOL REDCAR!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Fleet_of_Worlds · December 2019

I keep trying to go to bed and then each time another excellent thing happens.

Floater · December 2019

hands up who is having fun :-)

Sunil_Prasannan · December 2019

Midlothian gain by SNP from Lab

CarlottaVance · December 2019

https://twitter.com/DavidHerdson/status/1205315766318436353?s=20

Floater · December 2019

Redcar 15 point swing to blue

AramintaMoonbeamQC · December 2019

Apparently Swinson is sitting in the car park outside the count, but not going in.

I mean, that's not a good sign.

MarqueeMark · December 2019

CON GAIN Burnley

Richard_Tyndall · December 2019

Floater said:
hands up who is having fun :-)

Bloody right.

Fleet_of_Worlds · December 2019

Floater said:
hands up who is having fun :-)

Moi

Time_to_Leave · December 2019

Picking up on some comments on the last thread, remember that if it is right, the Tories would still expect to lose a small amount of 90% chances in the exit poll. They will also expect to gain a small number of 10% chances.

humbugger · December 2019

Burnley!!!!

RobD · December 2019

Floater said:
Redcar 15 point swing to blue

CarlottaVance · December 2019

ydoethur said:
Con gain WolNE.

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1205316252220178432?s=20

RobD · December 2019

humbugger said:
Burnley!!!!

speedy2 · December 2019

Looks like the point where the swing is 0 is around the seats that voted Remain by 55-56%, unlike seats that voted Leave by 62% in 2017.

MarqueeMark · December 2019

Floater said:
hands up who is having fun :-)

Hell yeah.....

Brom · December 2019

Scunthorpe and Burnley Con. nice

Artist · December 2019

Burnley goes LD -> Lab -> Con

FrancisUrquhart · December 2019

ITV are way ahead of the game this evening...

Add in Eddie Spheroids and Osborne, it is the best coverage.

HYUFD · December 2019

Tories gain Burnley and Scunthorpe

IanB2 · December 2019

DUP conceding Dodds has lost

AramintaMoonbeamQC · December 2019

Wishart wins in ultra marginal Perth and North Perthshire

Jonathan · December 2019

Ed started Labour down this path. He was clearly not ready to lead, but let his ego get the better of him. He made it ok within the party to trash the record of the previous government. He managed to lose the 2015 election and his greatest achievement the £3 membership paved the way to entryism.

humbugger · December 2019

Boy this is fun.

Foxy · December 2019

ydoethur said:
The story is in the North of England.

The election that England turned on London?

Alistair Meeks will be apoplectic.

The election that polarised Britain even more.

CarlottaVance · December 2019

Oh boo.....

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1205316761073209350?s=20

AramintaMoonbeamQC · December 2019

Sunil_Prasannan said:
Midlothian gain by SNP from Lab

Alex Rowley's daughter out. Labour nepotism at its absolute worst.

ozymandias · December 2019

I’m in heaven.

ydoethur · December 2019

CarlottaVance said:
https://twitter.com/DavidHerdson/status/1205315766318436353?s=20

Good to know somebody reads my posts

More seriously, it’s because the Tories have done well in the small Northeastern seats that declare early and are normally solidly Labour.

rcs1000 · December 2019

Artist said:
Burnley goes LD -> Lab -> Con

As did Redcar

Floater · December 2019

Fleet_of_Worlds said:
I keep trying to go to bed and then each time another excellent thing happens.

Forget sleep - this is a must watch election - unless you are a Trot

Andy_JS · December 2019

MarqueeMark said:
CON GAIN Burnley

You're joking...

MarqueeMark · December 2019

Kevin Foster back in Torbay - I think that was LD target 28.

There were some LD numpties saying a few weeks back that they had it in their sights..... lol.

Benpointer · December 2019

FrancisUrquhart said:
ITV are way ahead of the game this evening...

Add in Eddie Spheroids and Osborne, it is the best coverage.

Yes agreed.

Osborne is actually pretty good - has he ever considered a career in politics?

AramintaMoonbeamQC · December 2019

humbugger said:
Boy this is fun.

I love elections, bloody love them. The campaigns are rubbish compared to the results, whatever they are.

nunu2 · December 2019

This is a very strange result in Gower
https://mobile.twitter.com/britainelects/status/1205316613613989889

Lab hold

Fleet_of_Worlds · December 2019

Floater said:

Fleet_of_Worlds said:
I keep trying to go to bed and then each time another excellent thing happens.
Forget sleep - this is a must watch election - unless you are a Trot

God, I know.

Winstanley · December 2019

'Would be apt given his reforms allowed Corbyn to become Labour leader' - I'd be interested in the argument for this. All sections (not just the registered supporters) voted Corbyn, and Miliband's reforms were pushed by the Right of the party to weaken the union vote. It was a David Miliband 'Movement for Change' style approach.

Dadge · December 2019

Labour win Gower with 32.9% - is that the lowest win %age tonight?

speedy2 · December 2019

Jonathan said:
Ed started Labour down this path. He was clearly not ready to lead, but let his ego get the better of him. He made it ok within the party to trash the record of the previous government. He managed to lose the 2015 election and his greatest achievement the £3 membership.

The problem for Labour is that it's base is split on social issues.

Ave_it · December 2019

BURNLEY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

dr_spyn · December 2019

Get OGH the smelling salts.

https://twitter.com/itvnews/status/1205316433300918273

MikeL · December 2019

Con gain Burnley

Bob__Sykes · December 2019

HYUFD said:
Tories gain Burnley and Scunthorpe

Staggering news re Burnley, my hometown.

A decade or so ago they had no Tory councillors and getting 3,000 votes in GEs.

Now a Tory seat.

And the awful Julie Cooper gone.

Incredible!

Any numbers?

Sunil_Prasannan · December 2019

Con gain Ipswich from Lab

Richard_Tyndall · December 2019

Ipswich goes blue

rcs1000 · December 2019

Dadge said:
Labour win Gower with 32.9% - is that the lowest win %age tonight?

Until Ceredgion and possibly Orkney & Shetland

TommyShelby · December 2019

I think we will get to 100 seats that labour have lost or potentially won because of the liberal democrat existence.

CarlottaVance · December 2019

https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1205317110752260097?s=20

Floater · December 2019

Ipswich falls

IanB2 · December 2019

Labour vote share in London so far is actually down. Tory share is down more.

AramintaMoonbeamQC · December 2019

CarlottaVance said:
https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1205317110752260097?s=20

SUPERB NEWS.

Big_Ian · December 2019

Floater said:
hands up who is having fun :-)

God, yes!

rcs1000 · December 2019

TommyShelby said:
I think we will get to 100 seats that labour have lost or potentially won because of the liberal democrat existence.

Yes, because all libdem voters are really Labour voters

llef · December 2019

ynys mon - con win

Prodicus_2 · December 2019

Fleet_of_Worlds said:

Floater said:
hands up who is having fun :-)
Moi

*Raises hand. And other hand too.*

YBarddCwsc · December 2019

Dadge said:
Labour win Gower with 32.9% - is that the lowest win %age tonight?

That is unfortunate -- Antoniazzi is a highly unpleasant Labour MP.

RobinWiggs · December 2019

Con gain Ynys Mon! Yes!

Maj 2k. Swing 10% Lab to Con.

Jonathan · December 2019

Winstanley said:
'Would be apt given his reforms allowed Corbyn to become Labour leader' - I'd be interested in the argument for this. All sections (not just the registered supporters) voted Corbyn, and Miliband's reforms were pushed by the Right of the party to weaken the union vote. It was a David Miliband 'Movement for Change' style approach.

Did you notice that Labour's share is down in Remain seats. Your thesis that this is Brexit is plain wrong.

RobD · December 2019

TommyShelby said:
I think we will get to 100 seats that labour have lost or potentially won because of the liberal democrat existence.

No party has a god given rights to seats. You've gotta fight for votes.

TommyShelby · December 2019

ozymandias said:
I’m in heaven.

why are you heaven?

you have no policies.

spudgfsh · December 2019

Richard_Tyndall said:
Ipswich goes blue

There's a football joke there

StuartDickson · December 2019

AramintaMoonbeamQC said:
Apparently Swinson is sitting in the car park outside the count, but not going in.

I mean, that's not a good sign.

Trying to tie her girl guide toggle.

AramintaMoonbeamQC · December 2019

John Nicholson in for the SNP in Ochil and SP. Rural Scots Tory vote a bit shaky?

CarlottaVance · December 2019

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1205317682821828608?s=20
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1205317513988517889?s=20

numbertwelve · December 2019

Con gain Ynys Mon

Gabs3 · December 2019

TommyShelby said:
I think we will get to 100 seats that labour have lost or potentially won because of the liberal democrat existence.

Just slightly less than the number lost or not won because of Jeremy Corbyn's existence.

ozymandias · December 2019

TommyShelby said:

ozymandias said:
I’m in heaven.
why are you heaven?

you have no policies.

You have hardly any MPs. 😁

ydoethur · December 2019

llef said:
ynys mon - con win

Well, well, well.

Typical of Ynys Môn though. Stick with an MP until they retire, Then change party. They’ve done it for literally decades.

humbugger · December 2019

Hyndburn!!!

tlg86 · December 2019

Ynys Mon not good for Yougov MRP.

Floater · December 2019

West Bromwich West

Lib Dem 915 lol

Tory gain

MarqueeMark · December 2019

Hyndburn - CON GAIN

StuartDickson · December 2019

Ochil and S Perthshire SNP GAIN

7% swing

RobD · December 2019

Gabs3 said:

TommyShelby said:
I think we will get to 100 seats that labour have lost or potentially won because of the liberal democrat existence.
Just slightly less than the number lost or not won because of Jeremy Corbyn's existence.

Slightly? titter

Andy_JS · December 2019

Ynys Mon and West Bromwich West are Tory gains.

Sunil_Prasannan · December 2019

Con gain Inys Mon and West Bromwich west

Ave_it · December 2019

Yes the Ynys Mon! The Ogmore of the North! Caergybi is still a shithole though!

CarlottaVance · December 2019

https://twitter.com/isaby/status/1205317105622618112?s=20

DavidL · December 2019

The Tory vote is up a very modest amount. This is all about the collapse of the Labour vote which is worst in the NE, then the NW and much less in the south, especially London. What about the midlands? Not many results yet.

HYUFD · December 2019

Ynys Mon Tory gain

Floater · December 2019

tlg86 said:
Ynys Mon not good for Yougov MRP.

Tory gain though?

humbugger · December 2019

Grieve effectively conceding. Blames Corbyn.

Big_G_NorthWales · December 2019

We can drive from the English border to Holyhead without going through a labour constituency. Just amazing performance in North Wales

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