politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Bad news for my 200/1 tip on Ed Miliband succeeding Corbyn

Richard_Nabavi

HYUFD said:

Ed Miliband scrapes back

Kerching! This is getting boring, I'm off to bed.

CarlottaVance

https://twitter.com/ShippersUnbound/status/1205321924282343425?s=20

numbertwelve

BBC recalibrates projection. Labour now over 200 seats. Boo.

Pulpstar

Ed Miliband hold. Kerching

TheScreamingEagles

Exit poll updated

Con 357

Lab 201

Gabs3

How on Earth would Labour ever come back from a worse than 1983 result and the loss of Scotland?

rcs1000

According to the BBC, the LibDems have three seats, down one. Twickenham and W&L I know about, which is the third hold?

CarlottaVance

https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/1205322582708432896?s=20

Fleet_of_Worlds

Revised BBC prediction - Tories on 357, Labour 201

Artist

The London kebab shop owner loses in West Bromwich. Watson probably jumped before he was pushed though.

HYUFD

StuartDickson said:

RandallFlagg said:

SLAB voters clearly going to the SNP in SNP-CON marginals.

Well, just look at what Scots think of Boris: he is widely despised.

So what, Catalans hated Rajoy

Foxy

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1205320260557180928?s=19

Andy_JS

TheScreamingEagles said:

Exit poll updated

Con 357

Lab 201

Wrong direction from the point of view of my bet on Labour getting 169 or fewer seats.

But if Ed loses it'll make up for it, since that was one of my two constituency bets.

Pulpstar

Durham that Pidcock ?

TheGreenMachine

Northern Ireland Update.

East Londonderry / Derry : Gregory Campbell re-elected to his safe seat.

HYUFD

West Bromwich East Tory gain

Nobidexx

Gabs3 said:

How on Earth would Labour ever come back from a worse than 1983 result and the loss of Scotland?

Bath afaik.

Big_Ian

rcs1000 said:

According to the BBC, the LibDems have three seats, down one. Twickenham and W&L I know about, which is the third hold?

Bath

Richard_Tyndall

rcs1000 said:

According to the BBC, the LibDems have three seats, down one. Twickenham and W&L I know about, which is the third hold?

Bath

nico67

The DUP have screwed themselves .

Instead of pushing for a softer Brexit they hitched their wagon to the ERG and now have ended up effectively the handmaidens to NI becoming ever more united with Ireland .

They got what they deserved .

Floater

West Bromwich east goes blue

StuartDickson

East Renfrewshire

SNP GAIN from SCon

Maj 5,000 !!!!!! From 4,700 con Maj !!!

ydoethur

HYUFD said:

West Bromwich East Tory gain

Watson saw the writing on he wall, didn’t he?

rcs1000

AramintaMoonbeamQC said:

East Dunbartonshire declaration in FIFTEEN MINS, everyone.

I think we all know the result: goodbye Jo

Foxy

Fleet_of_Worlds said:

Revised BBC prediction - Tories on 357, Labour 201

Foxy predicted 360 and 201

HYUFD

Newbury Con hold

MarqueeMark

Thornberry - Fatcha!!!!!

speedy2

Thornberry is running for the Leadership alright, quotes Neil Kinnock.

Brom

Nothing more sickening than hear people like Thornberry address her subjects as ‘comrades’. These people are so out of touch

Richard_Nabavi

AramintaMoonbeamQC said:

East Dunbartonshire declaration in FIFTEEN MINS, everyone.

Ah. I'll stay up for that.

Fleet_of_Worlds

Foxy said:

Fleet_of_Worlds said:

Revised BBC prediction - Tories on 357, Labour 201

Foxy predicted 360 and 201

You da man, Foxy.

humbugger

Thornberry ranting about Thatcher.

IanB2

Big LibDem win against Zac

YBarddCwsc

ydoethur said:

HYUFD said:

West Bromwich East Tory gain

Watson saw the writing on he wall, didn’t he?

Yes, he did. We should have realised then. It was a massive clue.

SandyRentool

Fleet_of_Worlds said:

Revised BBC prediction - Tories on 357, Labour 201

Spooky - I had a vision of 357.

HYUFD

Aberconwy Con hold

StuartDickson

Now I’m very, very, very happy! I’m off to bed. Start work in 2 and a half hours

RobinWiggs

Con gain Bridgend!

HYUFD

Stockport Labour hold

HYUFD

Gedling Con gain

AramintaMoonbeamQC

StuartDickson said:

Now I’m very, very, very happy! I’m off to bed. Start work in 2 and a half hours

Night, Stu - thanks for all the info

Andy_JS

Wokingham:

Redwood 30,734
Lee 23,351

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14001048

MarqueeMark

Pulpstar said:

Durham that Pidcock ?

No - she's NW Durham

humbugger

Yay Gedling!

Andrew

Ed's majority down from 14k to 2.5k.

FrancisUrquhart

Do Labour want to lose more votes? Mrs Bucket is basically saying again if you voted Tory you are a thick racist.

Jonathan

Thornberry "we are not beaten"

Er, I'm afraid you are. Very much so in fact.

Big_G_NorthWales

HYUFD said:

Aberconwy Con hold

Thanks for that HYUFD

RobD

StuartDickson said:

Now I’m very, very, very happy! I’m off to bed. Start work in 2 and a half hours

Enjoy it!

Richard_Tyndall

Stroud blue

welshowl

Thornberry has learnt nothing.

Gabs3

Nobidexx said:

Gabs3 said:

How on Earth would Labour ever come back from a worse than 1983 result and the loss of Scotland?

Bath afaik.

I am sure better personal hygiene would help but I don't think it will be sufficient.

Bob__Sykes

TheScreamingEagles said:

Exit poll updated

Con 357

Lab 201

Quite a change already from 368/191 and we're not a third of the way in.

When does the exit poll move from "fairly accurate" to "wrong"?

HYUFD

Belfast East DUP hold

Tony_M

Long time lurker and very rare poster with a quick message to Marquee Mark & HYUFD et al who have been out knocking on doors and working so hard for tonight’s result. Well done guys, great job & thank you.

CarlottaVance

https://twitter.com/JGForsyth/status/1205323369513717760?s=20

HYUFD

Erewash Con hold

Richard_Tyndall

Surprised at Gedling!

DavidL

SandyRentool said:

Fleet_of_Worlds said:

Revised BBC prediction - Tories on 357, Labour 201

Spooky - I had a vision of 357.

My prediction was 352. Hoving into view.

Andy_JS

Gedling goes Tory. The exit poll said it would stay Labour.

HYUFD

Westminster North Labour hold

HYUFD

Javid holds Bromsgove

FrancisUrquhart

Wallace has made it back.

Pulpstar

Thornberry leadership bid incoming

ydoethur

Big_G_NorthWales said:

HYUFD said:

Aberconwy Con hold

Thanks for that HYUFD

That mad Corbynista Miss Scarlett - that’s what people think of you.

HYUFD

Kingston and Surbiton LD hold

dr_spyn

https://twitter.com/bbcelection/status/1205323217965113344

Keeping it in the family.

Sunil_Prasannan

SKY forecast now
Con 358-368
Lab 192-202

TheScreamingEagles

Bob__Sykes said:

TheScreamingEagles said:

Exit poll updated

Con 357

Lab 201

Quite a change already from 368/191 and we're not a third of the way in.

When does the exit poll move from "fairly accurate" to "wrong"?

The error bars are plus/minus 20 so they are in the range.

HYUFD

Stroud Con gain

RobD

Has there been a national vote share prediction yet?

spudgfsh

sky now predicting 358-368 tory seats (so 10 too close to call)

Drutt

Swinson turning up looking like a toddler has been told to draw a sad horse's face on an egg.

RobD

Oh, maybe it is now! - no, just an update of the poll

TheGreenMachine

Northern Ireland Update.

Belfast East : Gavin Robinson (D.U.P) re-elected but majority dropped by almost 7,000.

He'll be out next time.

speedy2

Bob__Sykes said:

TheScreamingEagles said:

Exit poll updated

Con 357

Lab 201

Quite a change already from 368/191 and we're not a third of the way in.

When does the exit poll move from "fairly accurate" to "wrong"?

A swing of 5-6% but with Conservatives getting wiped out in Scotland would give you that result in UNS.

IanB2

Big BXP vote in Ed’s seat

FrancisUrquhart

Brexit Party screwed the Tories winning against Ed Miliband.

ydoethur

HYUFD said:

Stroud Con gain

David Drew.

You had a big personal vote.

You blew it.

A sad epitaph.

Brom

Shame Miliband majority only 2k

humbugger

North Norfolk Blue

Jonathan

Millibands Doncaster majority 2k. BXP 8k

Farage stop this from being a landslide.

Pulpstar

Norfolk north

spudgfsh

I bow to others greater insight. collapse in the Lib Dem votes in Norfolk North

Fleet_of_Worlds

Drutt said:

Swinson turning up looking like a toddler has been told to draw a sad horse's face on an egg.

So good 🤣🤣🤣

Floater

SandyRentool said:

Fleet_of_Worlds said:

Revised BBC prediction - Tories on 357, Labour 201

Spooky - I had a vision of 357.

Sky say 358 minimum - range 358 - 368

RobD

Jonathan said:

Millibands Doncaster majority 2k. BXP 8k

Farage stop this from being a landslide.

BXP surely helped Tories win in many seats.

IanB2

Bob__Sykes said:

TheScreamingEagles said:

Exit poll updated

Con 357

Lab 201

Quite a change already from 368/191 and we're not a third of the way in.

When does the exit poll move from "fairly accurate" to "wrong"?

ITV is ahead of the BBC and on 366/192, so hardly any change at all. It’s wrong on some of the detail, but not the big picture

Ave_it

Maj forecast down to 68-88

In line with Ave it projections

Not brilliant in Scotland

Andy_JS

Esher & Walton:

Con 31,132
LD 28,389
Lab 2,838
Ind 347
Ind 326
Ind 52

Brom

RobD said:

Jonathan said:

Millibands Doncaster majority 2k. BXP 8k

Farage stop this from being a landslide.

BXP surely helped Tories win in many seats.

I agree, more pros than cons for the Tories

Floater

Sky Labour 192 - 202

speedy2

Did ITV just say Swinson has lost her seat?

Pulpstar

Lab hold Walsall south

Artist

Labour hold Walsall South in the end.

HYUFD

North Norfolk Con gain

rcs1000

IanB2 said:

Big LibDem win against Zac

That isn't exactly surprising.

RobinWiggs

Rash safe

Sunil_Prasannan

Raab holds on

Richard_Tyndall

Raab survives