Picking up on some comments on the last thread, remember that if it is right, the Tories would still expect to lose a small amount of 90% chances in the exit poll. They will also expect to gain a small number of 10% chances.
Ed started Labour down this path. He was clearly not ready to lead, but let his ego get the better of him. He made it ok within the party to trash the record of the previous government. He managed to lose the 2015 election and his greatest achievement the £3 membership paved the way to entryism.
'Would be apt given his reforms allowed Corbyn to become Labour leader' - I'd be interested in the argument for this. All sections (not just the registered supporters) voted Corbyn, and Miliband's reforms were pushed by the Right of the party to weaken the union vote. It was a David Miliband 'Movement for Change' style approach.
Ed started Labour down this path. He was clearly not ready to lead, but let his ego get the better of him. He made it ok within the party to trash the record of the previous government. He managed to lose the 2015 election and his greatest achievement the £3 membership.
The problem for Labour is that it's base is split on social issues.
'Would be apt given his reforms allowed Corbyn to become Labour leader' - I'd be interested in the argument for this. All sections (not just the registered supporters) voted Corbyn, and Miliband's reforms were pushed by the Right of the party to weaken the union vote. It was a David Miliband 'Movement for Change' style approach.
Did you notice that Labour's share is down in Remain seats. Your thesis that this is Brexit is plain wrong.
The Tory vote is up a very modest amount. This is all about the collapse of the Labour vote which is worst in the NE, then the NW and much less in the south, especially London. What about the midlands? Not many results yet.
A decade or so ago they had no Tory councillors and getting 3,000 votes in GEs.
Now a Tory seat.
And the awful Julie Cooper gone.
Incredible!
Any numbers?
They were 4th in 2015!!!
Labour Julie Cooper 14,951 37.6 +6.3 Liberal Democrats Gordon Birtwistle 11,707 29.5 −6.2 UKIP Tom Commis 6,864 17.3 +15.0 Conservative Sarah Cockburn-Price 5,374 13.5 −3.1
And 4th in 2005 too!
Labour Kitty Ussher 14,999 38.5 −10.8 Liberal Democrats Gordon Birtwistle 9,221 23.7 +7.5 Burnley First Independent Harry Brooks 5,786 14.8 N/A Conservative Yousuf Miah 4,206 10.8 −10.1
Comments
The election that England turned on London?
Alistair Meeks will be apoplectic.
I mean, that's not a good sign.
Add in Eddie Spheroids and Osborne, it is the best coverage.
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1205316761073209350?s=20
More seriously, it’s because the Tories have done well in the small Northeastern seats that declare early and are normally solidly Labour.
There were some LD numpties saying a few weeks back that they had it in their sights..... lol.
Osborne is actually pretty good - has he ever considered a career in politics?
https://mobile.twitter.com/britainelects/status/1205316613613989889
Lab hold
https://twitter.com/itvnews/status/1205316433300918273
A decade or so ago they had no Tory councillors and getting 3,000 votes in GEs.
Now a Tory seat.
And the awful Julie Cooper gone.
Incredible!
Any numbers?
Maj 2k. Swing 10% Lab to Con.
you have no policies.
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1205317513988517889?s=20
Typical of Ynys Môn though. Stick with an MP until they retire, Then change party. They’ve done it for literally decades.
Lib Dem 915 lol
Tory gain
7% swing
Labour Julie Cooper 14,951 37.6 +6.3
Liberal Democrats Gordon Birtwistle 11,707 29.5 −6.2
UKIP Tom Commis 6,864 17.3 +15.0
Conservative Sarah Cockburn-Price 5,374 13.5 −3.1
And 4th in 2005 too!
Labour Kitty Ussher 14,999 38.5 −10.8
Liberal Democrats Gordon Birtwistle 9,221 23.7 +7.5
Burnley First Independent Harry Brooks 5,786 14.8 N/A
Conservative Yousuf Miah 4,206 10.8 −10.1
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Burnley_(UK_Parliament_constituency)