politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Bad news for my 200/1 tip on Ed Miliband succeeding Corbyn

HYUFD

Esher Raab holds

rcs1000

FrancisUrquhart said:

Brexit Party screwed the Tories winning against Ed Miliband.

Really? I suspect more BXP voters were Labour waverers there than Conservative ones.

RobD

More wasted momentum effort.

KentRising

Raab holds, garnering 31,000.

Jonathan

Raab C Brexit, very close.

dr_spyn

Richmond Park Con 26793, LD 34559

IanB2

Dominic Raab saved by Labour. Labour should disband

Sunil_Prasannan

Zac out

spudgfsh

another near miss for the headhunters. Raab ssurvives

Richard_Tyndall

Zac gone

Drutt

Raab squeaks through. Zac is history.

Ave_it

Yes the RAAB!!!

Pulpstar

Blimey mega turnout in Esher

FrancisUrquhart

rcs1000 said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

Brexit Party screwed the Tories winning against Ed Miliband.

Really? I suspect more BXP voters were Labour waverers there than Conservative ones.

Brexit Party got 8,000. They wouldn't have needed that many of those.

Gooey_Blob

Gedling Conservative. Suggests exit poll is understating the Tories.

MarqueeMark

How many seats are the LibDems going to get?

AramintaMoonbeamQC

Hearing SLab have lost to the suspended SNP candidate in Kirkcaldy.

Big_G_NorthWales

Trouble at McDonnell speech

Sunil_Prasannan

Fight breaks out at McDonnell's declaration

RobD

AramintaMoonbeamQC said:

Hearing SLab have lost to the suspended SNP candidate in Kirkcaldy.

omg lol

HYUFD

Richmond Park LD hold

rcs1000

dr_spyn said:

Richmond Park Con 26793, LD 34559

PBers probably won't know this, but I'm not Zac's greatest fan.

Richard_Tyndall

High peak flips

RobinWiggs

Recount in Alyn and Deeside. Very very close.

Gabs3

rcs1000 said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

Brexit Party screwed the Tories winning against Ed Miliband.

Really? I suspect more BXP voters were Labour waverers there than Conservative ones.

Presumably there won't be a BXP in five years. We might see.

IanB2

HYUFD said:

Richmond Park LD hold

GAIN

HYUFD

High Peak Con gain

Floater

McDonnell declaration went well then...

KentRising

McDonnell is deranged.

Anyway, Cons GAIN High Peak

humbugger

Con gain High Peak.

MarqueeMark

High Peak CON GAIN

Brom

Sounds like Tories might nab Kensington on another recount!

Jonathan

HYUFD said:

Richmond Park LD hold

Gain,

FrancisUrquhart

Big_G_NorthWales said:

Trouble at McDonnell speech

Crickey...They aren't showing it on ITV.

tlg86

How many votes did the Advance candidate get in Esher & Walton?

FrancisUrquhart

AramintaMoonbeamQC said:

Hearing SLab have lost to the suspended SNP candidate in Kirkcaldy.

I remember when they used to weigh Gordo's vote there.

DavidL

Richard_Tyndall said:

Zac gone

No great loss.

Andrew

Gabs3 said:

Presumably there won't be a BXP in five years. We might see.

Apparently they're renaming themselves. Presumably Farrage gets bored, quits, and they die.

AramintaMoonbeamQC

SNP take Stirling.

Brom

Tories 150 votes ahead in Kensington

FrancisUrquhart

I presume Jezza is going to get 80% of the vote....

HYUFD

Islington N declaration Corbyn present

Gabs3

A man taken out of McDonnell's count calling him a terrorist.

MilesPartridge

Sorry what has happened with McDonnell speech?

wooliedyed

Scot cons get 1! Moray held

Ave_it

MORAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

IanB2

East Ham - Labour scraps home

Richard_Tyndall

Moray stays blue

RobD

wooliedyed said:

Scot cons get 1! Moray held

Thank the lord, a Scottish secretary!

TheGreenMachine

Northern Ireland Update.

Foyle : Colum Eastwood (SDLP) will be elected with a considerably​ big majority shortly.

Overall it's a winning night for the Alliance Party and the SDLP.

Bad night for the DUP.

Benpointer

Jonathan said:

HYUFD said:

Richmond Park LD hold

Gain,

He's predicting GE 2024

ydoethur

Bugger. Raab survives.

Andy_JS

Corbyn's vote drops by about 6,000.

Sunil_Prasannan

Jezza holds on (no surprise!)

Brom

Tell you what Cons might just outdo the exit poll

Drutt

A fight, a fight. A real fight. Hayes and Harlington, McDonnell making standard speech, gets called a terrorist, hands thrown, plod breaks it up.

speedy2

Richard_Tyndall said:

Moray stays blue

That's very significant.

KentRising

Andrew said:

Gabs3 said:

Presumably there won't be a BXP in five years. We might see.

Apparently they're renaming themselves. Presumably Farrage gets bored, quits, and they die.

The Reform Party. Farage has already been laying the groundwork in media interviews, saying his next quest is PR.

DavidL

AramintaMoonbeamQC said:

Hearing SLab have lost to the suspended SNP candidate in Kirkcaldy.

I commented on the muppetry of SNP supporters earlier.

HYUFD

Montgomeryshire Con hold

spudgfsh

wooliedyed said:

Scot cons get 1! Moray held

That's the scottish secretary then

IanB2

Islington North - LibDems beat the Tories

rcs1000

MarqueeMark said:

How many seats are the LibDems going to get?

They've lost Eastbourne, Dunbartonshire East and North Norfolk. They will probably lose Edinburgh West and CS&ER.

But the rest of their seats look pretty secure (I'm assuming the exit poll is incorrect re O&S). So it's really a question of how well they do in Remainia plus Sheffield Hallam.

Richmond Park
Finchley & Golders Green
St Albans
Winchester
Cheadle

Their range is probably 11-15 right now.

HYUFD

Moray Con hold, SNP lose

Bob__Sykes

Con hold Moray - great news!

humbugger

Bolton North East goes blue. And so does Barrow.

SandyRentool

Jezza....

Andy_JS

Gedling:

Con 22,718
Lab 22,039
LD 2,279
BRX 1,820
Grn 1,097

IanB2

ITV now predicting SNP56

rcs1000

rcs1000 said:

MarqueeMark said:

How many seats are the LibDems going to get?

They've lost Eastbourne, Dunbartonshire East and North Norfolk. They will probably lose Edinburgh West and CS&ER.

But the rest of their seats look pretty secure (I'm assuming the exit poll is incorrect re O&S). So it's really a question of how well they do in Remainia plus Sheffield Hallam.

Richmond Park
Finchley & Golders Green
St Albans
Winchester
Cheadle

Their range is probably 11-15 right now.

They may well also lose Carshalton, given it's a Leave seat. Still, I think the range right now is 11-15 on about a 11.5-12.0% vote share.

Lots of extra votes, just not in the right places.

Andy_JS

75.9% for John Hayes in South Holland.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000939

Brom

IanB2 said:

ITV now predicting SNP56

Well that won’t happen

Sunil_Prasannan

SNP gain Stirling from Con

RochdalePioneers

I hope Jezbollah announces he will go On and On and On. Or declares victory for Palestine

AramintaMoonbeamQC

The Scottish Tories have won a seat.

numbertwelve

Con gain Barrow and Furness

CarlottaVance

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1205326578206625792?s=20

RobinWiggs

Con gain Delyn! Yes!

Bob__Sykes

spudgfsh said:

wooliedyed said:

Scot cons get 1! Moray held

That's the scottish secretary then

Surely Mundell will hold Dumfriesshire C&E?

And the Roxburgh seat?

FrancisUrquhart

Jezza attacking the media.

Philip_Thompson

IanB2 said:

ITV now predicting SNP56

Con hold Moray and ITV picks that moment to increase SNP seats? Interesting timing.

CarlottaVance

Close run thing:
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1205326457293197314?s=20

numbertwelve

Oh god Jezza going on an anti media rant!

Philip_Thompson

Corbyn a victim of the media . . .

FrancisUrquhart

What a bitter bitter man. Which bit of the public don't want you or your mad policies.

Floater

RochdalePioneers said:

I hope Jezbollah announces he will go On and On and On. Or declares victory for Palestine

"from the river to the sea" - sing it loud and sing it proud Jezbollah

ozymandias

FrancisUrquhart said:

Jezza attacking the media.

Unhinged. Nasty man.

RobinWiggs

Just one seat to go for the clean sweep for blue across North Wales. Alyn and Deeside under a recount. Tense.

Richard_Tyndall

Easington stays red

CarlottaVance

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1205326959024181248?s=20

MikeL

Delyn - Con gain

Floater

Bolton NE = Blue

Pulpstar

Corbyn blames media ffsake

Drutt

Jez blaming the media.

(he means jews)

AramintaMoonbeamQC

Crewe going back to the Tories.

ydoethur

This man is genuinely delusional. You have to feel some pity, but at the same time, wonder how the hell he ever got to be anything more than a parish councillor in Market Drayton.

FrancisUrquhart

ozymandias said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

Jezza attacking the media.

Unhinged. Nasty man.

I genuinely hope that the Labour Party can now remove the cancer of Jezza, McDonnell, Milne etc, and get the likes of Southam Observer types back in control.

numbertwelve

Corbyn ungracious to the last

dr_spyn

https://twitter.com/bbcelection/status/1205325656692809728

Oh what a shame. Ruth George gone.

Pulpstar

Con hold cambs sourh