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  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Wansbeck swing required over 12%
  • ThomasNashe
    ThomasNashe Posts: 5,331

    FULL RECOUNT IN WANSBECK

    #LaveryOut

    35/46 on the MRP !! :open_mouth:

    Is the MRP in @FrancisUrquhart 's spreadsheet the original MRP or the final one? Seems like YouGov s**t the bed with this one.
    If it’s right that this is more about Corbyn than Brexit, we can expect to see differential swing against Corbynistas.
  • Pulpstar said:

    Alliance 1000 ahead on North Down

    Excellent news.
  • wooliedyed
    wooliedyed Posts: 12,808
    Pulpstar said:

    tlg86 said:

    FULL RECOUNT IN WANSBECK

    #LaveryOut

    Oh dear, I'm in big trouble at work...
    Where is Wansbeck
    Geordie land
  • speedy2
    speedy2 Posts: 981

    Just switched on Channel 4. What a state.

    Gentler politics personified.

    Are they in mourning?
    Well the Conservatives have promised to close down the station.
  • ozymandias
    ozymandias Posts: 1,518

    Just switched on Channel 4. What a state.

    Gentler politics personified.

    Are they in mourning?
    Oh they’re positively venomous. In tears. It’s funny. Leftie comedians in outrage.

    Pouring myself a drink and watching. Best fun in ages.
  • Jonathan
    Jonathan Posts: 22,107

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    The SNP is the answer to the idea that it was Brexit alone that caused Labour to lose.

    This is all about Corbyn, Milne and their cult.

    What's the difference between now and 2017? Labour commitment to a second referendum.
    * Corbyn sat on the fence on Brexit at the key moment, tried to triangulate the issue, confused and annoyed everyone and could not lay a finger on the Tories.
    * The total catastrophic mishandling of antisemitism in the party .
    * Much of the 2019 manifesto lacked credibility, whereas the 2017 manifesto borrowed heavily from 1997.
    He didn't sit on the fence. He campaigned (well imo) for Remain in the referendum. According to the Ashcroft poll 64% of Labour supporters voted Remain, compared to 68% of LDs it ain't bad. Especially considering polls under Miliband had 50% of Labour voters in favour of Brexit (at the time Tom Watson was campaigning forvan EU ref let's remember). The data to pin it on Corbyn isn't there, he just tried to get the party to accept the referendum was lost after it was lost.

    Antisemitism scandal was arguably worse in 2017, with Ken and the mural etc. For all the talk, Labour has beefed up it's disciplinary response.

    Some of 2019 was easily ridiculed, sure. But the main thrust, of patching up disintegrating public realm through taxation of the wealthy, public ownership of key utilities etc., the things that Corbyn is keen on and which wouldn't have been there under any other potential leader, are popular.

    It'll never be settled obviously. Brexit is the defining fact of probably the next few decades so there's no use imagining what the Corbyn moment could have been without such a relentless focus on it.
    He was 'neutral' on Brexit. That is a fence fully inserted.

    You really need to wake up. Corbyn was utterly toxic and tone deaf beyond his core vote. He screwed up by inflating a massive bubble and inviting you all to live in it.
    I find this bizarre, having sat on a polling station all day where people kept wanting to talk about Brexit, how they'd already voted for Brexit, etc. Nobody is turning up going 'what we want is PFI and less public ownership'. It isn't an accident that the Tory campaign can be reduced to the word 'Brexit'.

    Imo the real bubble is those who let the shock of 2016 wear off, started seeing a regretful former Brexiteer in every corner, and wanted tongamvle the house on a second referendum.
    This was Corbyn's election. He was leader. He wrote the manifesto. He set strategy. This is his result. He needs to take responsibility, go and take the bubble with him.
  • Foxy
    Foxy Posts: 52,170

    FULL RECOUNT IN WANSBECK

    #LaveryOut

    35/46 on the MRP !! :open_mouth:

    Is the MRP in @FrancisUrquhart 's spreadsheet the original MRP or the final one? Seems like YouGov s**t the bed with this one.
    It is the one with the 28 seat majority.

    I am tempted to load in the first one.
    The first one seems more accurate. Perhaps because that is when postal votes went in.
  • HaroldO said:

    FULL RECOUNT IN WANSBECK

    #LaveryOut

    One of the few people in the HoC I dislike more than Chote.
    He's a crook. Get gone.
  • tyson
    tyson Posts: 6,122
    I'm going to bed....

    To be honest....gulp...not a terrible result. BJ no longer being held to ransom by the loons. And there will be a blood letting in Labour which hopefully will get rid of Corbyn and his acolytes.....
  • NeilVW
    NeilVW Posts: 749

    Ian Lavery in recount !!!

    Who requested it?
  • Northern Ireland Update

    Breaking News!

    Stephen Farry Has Won North Down By 2000 Votes approx.

    Colum Eastwood expected to win Foyle.
  • The left-leaning contributor on BBC is now blaming everything on Corbyn. The Labour Civil War gets underway...

    “Corbynism has been tested to destruction”
  • Murdo Fraser, Con MSP, blaming SCon losses on wrong distribution of votes. They have been putting on votes in the Central Belt where they are largely useless.

    Expect *lots* of SCon second places. This might be the big strategic change from UK GE 2019: it’ll be all SNP vs CON from now on.
  • HaroldO
    HaroldO Posts: 1,185

    Just switched on Channel 4. What a state.

    Gentler politics personified.

    Is it that bad?
  • Foxy
    Foxy Posts: 52,170

    Northern Ireland Update

    Breaking News!

    Stephen Farry Has Won North Down By 2000 Votes approx.

    Colum Eastwood expected to win Foyle.

    Which parties?
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    Pulpstar said:

    tlg86 said:

    FULL RECOUNT IN WANSBECK

    #LaveryOut

    Oh dear, I'm in big trouble at work...
    Where is Wansbeck
    So, a colleague recently moved to London from there. Was very keen on the Lib Dems so I suggested registering in SE London and voting for them as, even if they probably wouldn't win, they might be in range next time. Anyway, that was three weeks ago and it turned out that he dislikes the Tories a lot more than liking the Lib Dems. :|
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,733
    edited December 2019
    Foxy said:

    FULL RECOUNT IN WANSBECK

    #LaveryOut

    35/46 on the MRP !! :open_mouth:

    Is the MRP in @FrancisUrquhart 's spreadsheet the original MRP or the final one? Seems like YouGov s**t the bed with this one.
    It is the one with the 28 seat majority.

    I am tempted to load in the first one.
    The first one seems more accurate. Perhaps because that is when postal votes went in.
    There was a chart in the report that showed a massive dip on the day they did the MRP for the Tories. It probably was photo-gate. I think they lost like 20 seats from the previous day's prediction.
  • ozymandias
    ozymandias Posts: 1,518
    HaroldO said:

    Just switched on Channel 4. What a state.

    Gentler politics personified.

    Is it that bad?
    Well Boris’s dad is on it. Audience screaming. 🤣🤣🤣
  • MyBurningEars
    MyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    edited December 2019

    IanB2 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Turnout is currently running -2.7% against 2017.

    BUT BUT BUT...all those tweets about massive queues...
    It was always blindingly obvious that people prefer to walk to the polling station in daylight.
    And I noted when I popped out last night, its Christmas Party season...It was heaving with people and clearly they will have voted in the morning (if they voted).
    FPT

    Can I be COMPLETELY BLOODY CHEEKY and suggest that when a result gets filled in on the WonderSheet, then the Est Time column gets overwritten by actual time? Or that a spare column gets used as a binary flag, set to 1 when a result come in? Since the est times are well off in some cases, it would be nice to be able to sort the sheet to see the actual declarations at a glance at the top, rather than have to scroll well down to see the ones that came in early.

    Love the sheet btw, many thanks for it!
    Oh god, errhh, hmmm, I don't know...

    I will see...we are expecting a load of results soon and I need to check things don't blow up.

    Running this live thing is more stressful than waiting for the exit poll !!!!
    Yeah to be fair this might be less useful once there have been more than a handful of seats in!!

    A way you could do this in the sheet without (I presume) needing to change your Python script would be

    U1: "Declaration"
    U2: =if(G2="","Pending","In")
    With U2 selected, double click the handle at the bottom right of the cell to autofill it down column U.

    Viewers can go to column U and click "Sort A-Z"

    Then confirmed results appear at the top of the sheet, with the rest staying in expected declaration order. Works on my copy of your sheet anyway!

    Totally understood if you can't be arsed, you've done more than enough already!
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    tlg86 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    tlg86 said:

    FULL RECOUNT IN WANSBECK

    #LaveryOut

    Oh dear, I'm in big trouble at work...
    Where is Wansbeck
    So, a colleague recently moved to London from there. Was very keen on the Lib Dems so I suggested registering in SE London and voting for them as, even if they probably wouldn't win, they might be in range next time. Anyway, that was three weeks ago and it turned out that he dislikes the Tories a lot more than liking the Lib Dems. :|
    PB Tories will forever be in your debt if the Tories take it by a vote. :p
  • Looks like Lavery's battlebus tour of the North East might not have been that successful.
  • Murdo Fraser, Con MSP, blaming SCon losses on wrong distribution of votes. They have been putting on votes in the Central Belt where they are largely useless.

    Expect *lots* of SCon second places. This might be the big strategic change from UK GE 2019: it’ll be all SNP vs CON from now on.

    Yeah, but will they hold BRS so I don't lose £100?!
  • Foxy
    Foxy Posts: 52,170

    Murdo Fraser, Con MSP, blaming SCon losses on wrong distribution of votes. They have been putting on votes in the Central Belt where they are largely useless.

    Expect *lots* of SCon second places. This might be the big strategic change from UK GE 2019: it’ll be all SNP vs CON from now on.

    Looks like there is only one Unionist party now.
  • Labour concede Bishop Auckland.
  • isam
    isam Posts: 42,205
    edited December 2019

    Might see the return of Ed Miliband.

    Tipped at 200/1 by me.

    #LegendaryModestyKlaxon
    Yes please

    Ed Miliband 350.55 £31.00 £10,836.00

    Although he is 430 now
  • Labour concede Bishop Auckland.

    Yup. Looked good.
  • humbugger said:

    Looks like Lavery's battlebus tour of the North East might not have been that successful.

    Rather depends on your point of view....
  • IanB2
    IanB2 Posts: 52,314
    Rumours of a looming recount for Lavery in Wansbeck
  • Murdo Fraser, Con MSP: SLab vote has collapsed. Some has come to the Conservatives, but a lot has gone to the SNP.”
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    RobD said:

    tlg86 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    tlg86 said:

    FULL RECOUNT IN WANSBECK

    #LaveryOut

    Oh dear, I'm in big trouble at work...
    Where is Wansbeck
    So, a colleague recently moved to London from there. Was very keen on the Lib Dems so I suggested registering in SE London and voting for them as, even if they probably wouldn't win, they might be in range next time. Anyway, that was three weeks ago and it turned out that he dislikes the Tories a lot more than liking the Lib Dems. :|
    PB Tories will forever be in your debt if the Tories take it by a vote. :p
    I mean, I did ask him what he cared about more, but I did also point out that if Wansbeck fell it would be a Tory landslide anyway. What I hadn't anticipated was the Lib Dem collapse in most of London.
  • FULL RECOUNT IN WANSBECK

    #LaveryOut

    35/46 on the MRP !! :open_mouth:

    Is the MRP in @FrancisUrquhart 's spreadsheet the original MRP or the final one? Seems like YouGov s**t the bed with this one.
    It is the one with the 28 seat majority.

    I am tempted to load in the first one.

    The problem for YouGov is they did the MRP at the height of "photo-gate" and it showed a massive drop in Tory %. But we saw by the time GE, that polling showed no dip in Tory %. If they had taken the MRP 2 days before they would have had a much bigger majority for the Tories.
    I would just like to say how much I enjoyed your gifs during your hourly breakdowns but the feeling is good now.

    Do you have any happy ones ?
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312

    The left-leaning contributor on BBC is now blaming everything on Corbyn. The Labour Civil War gets underway...

    “Corbynism has been tested to destruction”
    appeals to few not the many.
  • Might see the return of Ed Miliband.

    The Miliband Awakens
    The Last Miliband
    The Rise of Miliband
  • ozymandias
    ozymandias Posts: 1,518
    So.

    How many interviews is A Neil going to get in the next 5 years with the government then?

    Career over?
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609

    FULL RECOUNT IN WANSBECK

    #LaveryOut

    35/46 on the MRP !! :open_mouth:

    Is the MRP in @FrancisUrquhart 's spreadsheet the original MRP or the final one? Seems like YouGov s**t the bed with this one.
    It is the one with the 28 seat majority.

    I am tempted to load in the first one.

    The problem for YouGov is they did the MRP at the height of "photo-gate" and it showed a massive drop in Tory %. But we saw by the time GE, that polling showed no dip in Tory %. If they had taken the MRP 2 days before they would have had a much bigger majority for the Tories.
    I would just like to say how much I enjoyed your gifs during your hourly breakdowns but the feeling is good now.

    Do you have any happy ones ?
    Did you see his last zen one? Very appropriate. :D
  • The remainers trying to throw Corbyn under the bus already.
  • Drutt
    Drutt Posts: 1,125
    In five years' time, Labour have to fight those Midland and Northern leave-y seats *without BXP to split the eurosceptic vote*
  • Black_Rook
    Black_Rook Posts: 8,905
    Getting tired, going to bed for a few hours.

    Ideally I would like to see some more Tory gains, to see whether or not the swing to the Tories lines up with the exit poll. The victory may not be as dramatic as currently projected (although we must also factor in the possibility that the SCons aren't as badly beaten as the scanty Scottish data suggests.) Anyway, whether I'm awake or asleep things will be the same in the morning, and I have work tomorrow!
  • tyson
    tyson Posts: 6,122

    The remainers trying to throw Corbyn under the bus already.

    Both need to be thrown under the bus
  • I remember that something like 80% of recounts are usually to do with candidates trying to save their deposit.
  • HaroldO
    HaroldO Posts: 1,185

    HaroldO said:

    Just switched on Channel 4. What a state.

    Gentler politics personified.

    Is it that bad?
    Well Boris’s dad is on it. Audience screaming. 🤣🤣🤣
    I have to be up at half six...but I need to see this.
  • What's the working definition of "landslide"? If this ends up like the exit poll is it a "landslide" victory?
  • FULL RECOUNT IN WANSBECK

    #LaveryOut

    35/46 on the MRP !! :open_mouth:

    Is the MRP in @FrancisUrquhart 's spreadsheet the original MRP or the final one? Seems like YouGov s**t the bed with this one.
    If it’s right that this is more about Corbyn than Brexit, we can expect to see differential swing against Corbynistas.
    56% of Wansbeck voters voted Leave in 2016... we'll see swings broadly correlated with the 2016 vote imo, not which faction a candidate is from. Only the very geeky like you'll find on this site know or care.


  • MarqueeMark
    MarqueeMark Posts: 55,459
    Wansbeck is target 143 for the Tories......
  • Foxy said:

    Northern Ireland Update

    Breaking News!

    Stephen Farry Has Won North Down By 2000 Votes approx.

    Colum Eastwood expected to win Foyle.

    Which parties?
    Stephen Farry is from the Alliance Party.

    Colum Eastwood is the leader of the SDLP​.
  • Jonathan
    Jonathan Posts: 22,107

    The remainers trying to throw Corbyn under the bus already.

    Corbyn threw himself and the party under the bus.
  • FULL RECOUNT IN WANSBECK

    #LaveryOut

    35/46 on the MRP !! :open_mouth:

    Is the MRP in @FrancisUrquhart 's spreadsheet the original MRP or the final one? Seems like YouGov s**t the bed with this one.
    It is the one with the 28 seat majority.

    I am tempted to load in the first one.

    The problem for YouGov is they did the MRP at the height of "photo-gate" and it showed a massive drop in Tory %. But we saw by the time GE, that polling showed no dip in Tory %. If they had taken the MRP 2 days before they would have had a much bigger majority for the Tories.
    I would just like to say how much I enjoyed your gifs during your hourly breakdowns but the feeling is good now.

    Do you have any happy ones ?

  • NeilVW said:

    Ian Lavery in recount !!!

    Who requested it?
    Not sure
  • What's the working definition of "landslide"? If this ends up like the exit poll is it a "landslide" victory?

    100 plus sized majority
  • Redcar gone to the Tories.
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    Will any pundit tonight talk about the West-East divide?
  • Ian lavery is good at getting redundancy pay offs if the opportunity arises
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    edited December 2019
  • Curtice advises that some results are showing slightly smaller Lab to Con swings than the exit poll suggested so the Tory majority may be smaller than 86.
  • Foxy said:

    Murdo Fraser, Con MSP, blaming SCon losses on wrong distribution of votes. They have been putting on votes in the Central Belt where they are largely useless.

    Expect *lots* of SCon second places. This might be the big strategic change from UK GE 2019: it’ll be all SNP vs CON from now on.

    Looks like there is only one Unionist party now.
    Correct. And it’s the wrong one! Only Labour could have saved the Union, and they are well and truly stuffed.

  • Lansmann on ITV is just losing Labour even more votes !!!! Some rich southern bloke basically telling those that didn't vote Labour they were wrong.

    I think its a bit late for it to make a difference, and in five years no one will remember.
  • El_Capitano
    El_Capitano Posts: 4,251
    tlg86 said:

    RobD said:

    tlg86 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    tlg86 said:

    FULL RECOUNT IN WANSBECK

    #LaveryOut

    Oh dear, I'm in big trouble at work...
    Where is Wansbeck
    So, a colleague recently moved to London from there. Was very keen on the Lib Dems so I suggested registering in SE London and voting for them as, even if they probably wouldn't win, they might be in range next time. Anyway, that was three weeks ago and it turned out that he dislikes the Tories a lot more than liking the Lib Dems. :|
    PB Tories will forever be in your debt if the Tories take it by a vote. :p
    I mean, I did ask him what he cared about more, but I did also point out that if Wansbeck fell it would be a Tory landslide anyway. What I hadn't anticipated was the Lib Dem collapse in most of London.
    Do you have numbers on the latter?
  • Redcar gone to the Tories.

    Wow,. That was target 136 on their list.
  • Foxy
    Foxy Posts: 52,170

    Foxy said:

    Northern Ireland Update

    Breaking News!

    Stephen Farry Has Won North Down By 2000 Votes approx.

    Colum Eastwood expected to win Foyle.

    Which parties?
    Stephen Farry is from the Alliance Party.

    Colum Eastwood is the leader of the SDLP​.
    Thanks!

    Nice to see Mps from both of these.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609

    Redcar gone to the Tories.

    9,500 majority overturned.
  • llef
    llef Posts: 301

    llef said:

    hooray - i think ben lake is a good mp for ceredigion
    It looks as though you were right!

    The LibDems have slipped to 4th in Ceredigion, with the Tories second.
    if so, that could be good for Plaid in 2024, as (some) labour and libdems vote plaid to stop the tories.
  • First Scottish declaration imminent: Rutherglen. (SLab defence)
  • RobD said:

    FULL RECOUNT IN WANSBECK

    #LaveryOut

    35/46 on the MRP !! :open_mouth:

    Is the MRP in @FrancisUrquhart 's spreadsheet the original MRP or the final one? Seems like YouGov s**t the bed with this one.
    It is the one with the 28 seat majority.

    I am tempted to load in the first one.

    The problem for YouGov is they did the MRP at the height of "photo-gate" and it showed a massive drop in Tory %. But we saw by the time GE, that polling showed no dip in Tory %. If they had taken the MRP 2 days before they would have had a much bigger majority for the Tories.
    I would just like to say how much I enjoyed your gifs during your hourly breakdowns but the feeling is good now.

    Do you have any happy ones ?
    Did you see his last zen one? Very appropriate. :D
    No
  • Artist
    Artist Posts: 1,893
    First test of Midlands in Nuneaton.
  • Nuneaton up!
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,813

    The remainers trying to throw Corbyn under the bus already.

    Blame game is Corbyn Vs Remain
  • Isn't Owen jones on the telly by now usually?
  • tlg86
    tlg86 Posts: 26,950
    LOL! at Nuneaton.
  • Drutt said:

    In five years' time, Labour have to fight those Midland and Northern leave-y seats *without BXP to split the eurosceptic vote*

    Yes and no. Could be another Farage vehicle aimed at that vote.
  • Jonathan
    Jonathan Posts: 22,107
    Pulpstar said:

    The remainers trying to throw Corbyn under the bus already.

    Blame game is Corbyn Vs Remain
    SNP success blows Remain argument out of the water.
  • FULL RECOUNT IN WANSBECK

    #LaveryOut

    35/46 on the MRP !! :open_mouth:

    Is the MRP in @FrancisUrquhart 's spreadsheet the original MRP or the final one? Seems like YouGov s**t the bed with this one.
    It is the one with the 28 seat majority.

    I am tempted to load in the first one.

    The problem for YouGov is they did the MRP at the height of "photo-gate" and it showed a massive drop in Tory %. But we saw by the time GE, that polling showed no dip in Tory %. If they had taken the MRP 2 days before they would have had a much bigger majority for the Tories.
    I would just like to say how much I enjoyed your gifs during your hourly breakdowns but the feeling is good now.

    Do you have any happy ones ?

    Top marks - thank you
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    Nuneaton poor result for LAB 8% swing????
  • WhisperingOracle
    WhisperingOracle Posts: 10,470
    edited December 2019
    Boris Johnson is now going to have a plethora of seats representing ex-industrial and deprived constituencies. Unless he can offer these new places concrete things fairly quickly, his new populist coalition won't last.
  • wooliedyed
    wooliedyed Posts: 12,808
    Labour conceding Redcar!
  • Looks like the Alliance have taken North Down.
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Nuneaton Swing 9.4%
  • Ave_it
    Ave_it Posts: 2,411
    LOL +9.4% Nuneaton looking dodgy for LAB in Coventry
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    MikeL said:

    Nuneaton Swing 9.4%

    Not too bad.
  • tyson
    tyson Posts: 6,122
    This is a victory for Johnson more than anything....
  • Floater
    Floater Posts: 14,207
    Ave_it said:

    Nuneaton poor result for LAB 8% swing????

    Look at that swing - they are utterly fucked and rightly so
  • The third book in the Tim Shipman trilogy is going to be a belter.

    Has Cummings blogged yet?

    There has been a lot of shade thrown at Cummings.

    His 30,000 word response is going to be bottle-of-wine hilarious.
  • RobD said:

    Redcar gone to the Tories.

    9,500 majority overturned.
    Wow. One bet iIve won!
  • IanB2
    IanB2 Posts: 52,314
    The BBC is looking slow once again
  • Andrew
    Andrew Posts: 2,900

    Redcar gone to the Tories.

    A mere 10k majority. Bloody hell.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    IanB2 said:

    The BBC is looking slow once again

    Yeah, what was the point of that news summary??
  • I think the Kiwi Shitsters rate is probably going to go up 10x.
  • Floater
    Floater Posts: 14,207

    Isn't Owen jones on the telly by now usually?

    Please, please make it so
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,813
    Jonathan said:

    Pulpstar said:

    The remainers trying to throw Corbyn under the bus already.

    Blame game is Corbyn Vs Remain
    SNP success blows Remain argument out of the water.
    Not really, Scotland has another referendum coming
  • HaroldO
    HaroldO Posts: 1,185
    So many stand ups on Channel 4, I have no idea why.
  • Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    The SNP is the answer to the idea that it was Brexit alone that caused Labour to lose.

    This is all about Corbyn, Milne and their cult.

    What's the difference between now and 2017? Labour commitment to a second referendum.
    * Corbyn sat on the fence on Brexit at the key moment, tried to triangulate the issue, confused and annoyed everyone and could not lay a finger on the Tories.
    * The total catastrophic mishandling of antisemitism in the party .
    * Much of the 2019 manifesto lacked credibility, whereas the 2017 manifesto borrowed heavily from 1997.
    He didn't sit on the fence. He campaigned (well imo) for Remain in the referendum. According to the Ashcroft poll 64% of Labour supporters voted Remain, compared to 68% of LDs it ain't bad. Especially considering polls under Miliband had 50% of Labour voters in favour of Brexit (at the time Tom Watson was campaigning forvan EU ref let's remember). The data to pin it on Corbyn isn't there, he just tried to get the party to accept the referendum was lost after

    SNIP FOR SPACEt.
    He was 'neutral' on Brexit. That is a fence fully inserted.

    You really need to wake up. Corbyn was utterly toxic and tone deaf beyond his core vote. He screwed up by inflating a massive bubble and inviting you all to live in it.
    I find this bizarre, having sat on a polling station all day where people kept wanting to talk about Brexit, how they'd already voted for Brexit, etc. Nobody is turning up going 'what we want is PFI and less public ownership'. It isn't an accident that the Tory campaign can be reduced to the word 'Brexit'.

    Imo the real bubble is those who let the shock of 2016 wear off, started seeing a regretful former Brexiteer in every corner, and wanted tongamvle the house on a second referendum.
    This was Corbyn's election. He was leader. He wrote the manifesto. He set strategy. This is his result. He needs to take responsibility, go and take the bubble with him.
    2017 and 2019 were Corbyn's elections. The big difference between them being, as I said, a commitment to a second referendum. The prospect of having to go through another referendum is a put off for all but those few who have never got over 2016.
  • Well this election has certainly changed me.
    I never watch the BBC but the thought of bercow has forced me over
  • MarqueeMark
    MarqueeMark Posts: 55,459

    Nuneaton up!

    Swing 9.4%
  • Northern Ireland Update

    Breaking News!

    Stephen Farry Has Won North Down By 2000 Votes approx.

    Colum Eastwood expected to win Foyle.

    That Foyle result is important: it increases by one the number of MPs needed for a majority
  • Bob__Sykes
    Bob__Sykes Posts: 1,179

    RobD said:

    Wow, how far down the list are the Tories going?!

    Jeremy Vine's infographic suggested that Walsall South was the safest Labour seat that would fall tonight, based on the exit poll.
    Disappointingly he did call Bury South for Labour hold - contrary to both iterations of the MRP. But what I expected.

    Bury N staying Labour too.
  • IanB2 said:

    The BBC is looking slow once again

    Thank god...I might explode otherwise trying to keep up :-)
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    RobD said:

    IanB2 said:

    The BBC is looking slow once again

    Yeah, what was the point of that news summary??
    Huw Edwards loo break.
  • NeilVW
    NeilVW Posts: 749
    9.4% swing in Nuneaton!
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,813
    Bucket head Vs Binface
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