The first Scottish seat would give: SNP 53 CON 3 LD 1 LAB 1
The exit poll looks correct in Scotland too.
What are the three Scottish Conservative seats?
Presumably it would be the 3 border seats - Dumfries & Galloway, Dumfriesshire Clydesdale etc and Berwick, Roxburgh & Selkirk?
Although the BBC forecaster seems to have only DC&E and BRS as likely Tory holds. All the others down as SNP gains so I don't understand the 3 holds.
Dumfries & G is down as 53/47 toss up in SNP favour so unless they just log toss up seats like that for the incumbent (which surely undermines the exit poll prediction if so)?
What a night to leave my first message. I do solemnly swear to keep my comments focused on analysing what happened...and discourse on what might happen next. To not argue the toss about policies or values. Disillusioned Lab member. A half way competent leader who wasn’t clearly morally compromised would have meant I believe to at least being largest party. I think’normality’ has returned tonight. If your leader has catastrophic personal ratings, if your party is not trusted on the economy, if voters think your opponents are better on tne NHS, then those big poll leads....yeah they are very probably right
BUT BUT BUT...all those tweets about massive queues...
It was always blindingly obvious that people prefer to walk to the polling station in daylight.
And I noted when I popped out last night, its Christmas Party season...It was heaving with people and clearly they will have voted in the morning (if they voted).
FPT
Can I be COMPLETELY BLOODY CHEEKY and suggest that when a result gets filled in on the WonderSheet, then the Est Time column gets overwritten by actual time? Or that a spare column gets used as a binary flag, set to 1 when a result come in? Since the est times are well off in some cases, it would be nice to be able to sort the sheet to see the actual declarations at a glance at the top, rather than have to scroll well down to see the ones that came in early.
(FWIW us users of your sheet can actually sort and filter columns in our view, so setting one column as a flag would work well without requiring, I hope, major changes to your script...)
Love the sheet btw, many thanks for it!
I keep sorting by LD voteshare. The rows with blanks stay at the bottom, still in estimated declaration time order.
Comments
Dumfries & G is down as 53/47 toss up in SNP favour so unless they just log toss up seats like that for the incumbent (which surely undermines the exit poll prediction if so)?
Disillusioned Lab member. A half way competent leader who wasn’t clearly morally compromised would have meant I believe to at least being largest party.
I think’normality’ has returned tonight. If your leader has catastrophic personal ratings, if your party is not trusted on the economy, if voters think your opponents are better on tne NHS, then those big poll leads....yeah they are very probably right
A big thankyou for the spreadsheet, @FrancisUrquhart !