politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The data’s clear: The Tories are retaining more of their GE201

Cyclefree said:

AlastairMeeks said:

The Conservative campaign ends as Vote Leave’s campaign ended: with dogwhistling racism:
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/boris-johnson-eu-migrants-immigration-britain-general-election-a9238941.html
It will no doubt be effective. Those Conservative partisans who affect to care about racism when they perceive it elsewhere, take note. If you have any principles, this is your chance to demonstrate them.

Discussed at length on the previous thread. According to some, people who don’t get a British passport despite living here for decades, working, paying taxes, raising families etc, even fighting for this country are “guests”, if they’re lucky “honoured guests” and should not think of this as a stigma.

It that a legal category now .... ?
In some ways that would be an improvement on the current Tory attitude.

AlastairMeeks said:

The Conservative campaign ends as Vote Leave’s campaign ended: with dogwhistling racism:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/boris-johnson-eu-migrants-immigration-britain-general-election-a9238941.html

It will no doubt be effective. Those Conservative partisans who affect to care about racism when they perceive it elsewhere, take note. If you have any principles, this is your chance to demonstrate them.

I think the headline is more of a dog whistle than the speech's contents.

"treat the UK as their own" (the headline) is not the same as "to treat the UK basically as though it’s part of their own country" (the actual quote).

Those non-Conservative partisans who affect to care about accuracy, now have a chance to demonstrate it.


WillS.

PS: Get well soon (I mean from the flu, not intended sarcastically).

Andy_JS said:

PrinceofTaranto said:

Gove in Chesterfield today after a Tory surge in their canvass returns according to their candidate there.I thought all Labour activists had been relocated from Chesterfield as it was considered safe for Labour?.Needs about a ten per cent swing.

YouGov MRP, Chesterfield:

Lab 42%
Con 36%
LD 8%
BRX 9%
Grn 3%
Oth 2%

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ry90s0oDXu6_LhDKNiI6fXaSFJsfMBaAXI6cZ8XhqQ8/edit#gid=0

In 2017 YouGov underestimated the Tories by 8% in Chesterfied

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/18rrY4Yj07ne1QlhFYI0JuEl82dEXn5K4EdChKc8MRMo/edit?usp=sharing

Stocky said:

Labour`s continual focus on the NHS and their insistence that "The Tories have cronically underfunded it for 9 years!" make me wonder: Is this actually true?

Does anyone know whether NHS spending has risen since 2010? (Inflation adjusted.) I suspect that the claim isn`t true.

Yes it has, but the problem is that with demographic change and an increasing range of treatments available (some of which are very expensive), demand rises even faster than spending.

TOPPING said:

AlastairMeeks said:

Ave_it said:

AlastairMeeks said:

The Conservative campaign ends as Vote Leave’s campaign ended: with dogwhistling racism:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/boris-johnson-eu-migrants-immigration-britain-general-election-a9238941.html

It will no doubt be effective. Those Conservative partisans who affect to care about racism when they perceive it elsewhere, take note. If you have any principles, this is your chance to demonstrate them.

Does this mean we will get 52% then?

I’m glad you find demonising people who have lived here for decades hilarious.

Or saying they don't get English irony.

You picks your poison. One of them has to win.

Perhaps. That still doesn’t mean I have to choose either of them. And I reserve the right to spit with contempt in front of anyone who does who then tries to take the moral high ground for their choice.

Andy_JS said:

kle4 said:

CorrectHorseBattery said:

https://twitter.com/electionmapsuk/status/1204083403982802945?s=21

And yet LDs might win back Ceredigion? Seems unlikely on that

PC are slightly down and LDs up a bit, so using uniform swing they would gain Ceredigion.

yes, and to be fair, the last ITV poll in 2017 did not have Plaid winning Ceredigion - Ceredigion dances to its own tune...

Anyway, my eyes are hurting too much from this much screen time.

Cyclefree said:

AlastairMeeks said:

Casino_Royale said:

AlastairMeeks said:

The Conservative campaign ends as Vote Leave’s campaign ended: with dogwhistling racism:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/boris-johnson-eu-migrants-immigration-britain-general-election-a9238941.html

It will no doubt be effective. Those Conservative partisans who affect to care about racism when they perceive it elsewhere, take note. If you have any principles, this is your chance to demonstrate them.

Why have you been so quiet on this forum this election?

You haven’t posted much.

I’ve been exceptionally busy with work and I’ve now come down with the flu.

Poor you.

I hope you haven’t been advising the Labour Party on how to nationalise all our pensions ..... 😏

Don't - their outriders have floated that as an idea already!!

AlastairMeeks said:

Cyclefree said:

AlastairMeeks said:

The Conservative campaign ends as Vote Leave’s campaign ended: with dogwhistling racism:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/boris-johnson-eu-migrants-immigration-britain-general-election-a9238941.html

It will no doubt be effective. Those Conservative partisans who affect to care about racism when they perceive it elsewhere, take note. If you have any principles, this is your chance to demonstrate them.

Discussed at length on the previous thread. According to some, people who don’t get a British passport despite living here for decades, working, paying taxes, raising families etc, even fighting for this country are “guests”, if they’re lucky “honoured guests” and should not think of this as a stigma.

It would be risible were it not exactly the same posters who supposedly get so agitated by anti-Semitism when they see it in Labour ranks. Still, at least we don’t need to take their claims to any kind of integrity seriously in future.

Sorry you have flu Alastair. I hope you have plenty of rest and recover quickly

I am sure you would have preferred not to be under the weather just now

All the best

Scrapheap_as_was said:

Cyclefree said:

AlastairMeeks said:

Casino_Royale said:

AlastairMeeks said:

The Conservative campaign ends as Vote Leave’s campaign ended: with dogwhistling racism:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/boris-johnson-eu-migrants-immigration-britain-general-election-a9238941.html

It will no doubt be effective. Those Conservative partisans who affect to care about racism when they perceive it elsewhere, take note. If you have any principles, this is your chance to demonstrate them.

Why have you been so quiet on this forum this election?

You haven’t posted much.

I’ve been exceptionally busy with work and I’ve now come down with the flu.

Poor you.

I hope you haven’t been advising the Labour Party on how to nationalise all our pensions ..... 😏

Don't - their outriders have floated that as an idea already!!

Ive touched on that myself:

http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2018/10/09/footing-the-bill-the-challenges-for-freespending-politicians/

Ah, when a Labour canvasser got their arm broken it was all a bit of rough and tumble but when a Tory gets punched it's scum of the earth time.

AlastairMeeks said:

TOPPING said:

AlastairMeeks said:

Ave_it said:

AlastairMeeks said:

The Conservative campaign ends as Vote Leave’s campaign ended: with dogwhistling racism:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/boris-johnson-eu-migrants-immigration-britain-general-election-a9238941.html

It will no doubt be effective. Those Conservative partisans who affect to care about racism when they perceive it elsewhere, take note. If you have any principles, this is your chance to demonstrate them.

Does this mean we will get 52% then?

I’m glad you find demonising people who have lived here for decades hilarious.

Or saying they don't get English irony.

You picks your poison. One of them has to win.

Perhaps. That still doesn’t mean I have to choose either of them. And I reserve the right to spit with contempt in front of anyone who does who then tries to take the moral high ground for their choice.

You have to look for the silver linings in every cloud. If Boris wins I assume that the societal norm will become polygamy. If Jezza wins at least we will have Michael McIntyre replaced by weekly political lectures from Diane Abbott - which will certainly be a lot funnier.

Matt Hancock is horrified.

AlastairMeeks said:

TOPPING said:

AlastairMeeks said:

Ave_it said:

AlastairMeeks said:

The Conservative campaign ends as Vote Leave’s campaign ended: with dogwhistling racism:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/boris-johnson-eu-migrants-immigration-britain-general-election-a9238941.html

It will no doubt be effective. Those Conservative partisans who affect to care about racism when they perceive it elsewhere, take note. If you have any principles, this is your chance to demonstrate them.

Does this mean we will get 52% then?

I’m glad you find demonising people who have lived here for decades hilarious.

Or saying they don't get English irony.

You picks your poison. One of them has to win.

Perhaps. That still doesn’t mean I have to choose either of them. And I reserve the right to spit with contempt in front of anyone who does who then tries to take the moral high ground for their choice.

It's all relative and few are taking the moral high ground. My position is that I want anyone but Corbyn to be Prime Minister. It is my very bad luck that that means we have an utter, utter tosser as fulfilling that role. But I have made my decision. Not to make a decision I don't think gets us anywhere. Of course there is tactical voting which is perfectly legitimate but apart from a few, of which of course I believe you are one, I think tactical voting is more spoken about and understood than engaged in.

Barnesian said:

Philip_Thompson said:

wills66 said:

Richard_Nabavi said:

In one respect "Oh all the instruments agree". The pollsters are unanimous that Jo Swinson's Liberal Democrats have tanked during the campaign.

Actually no, depending on your definition of "tanked". All the pollsters show the LD vote share declining but those pollsters showing the smaller Tory leads show that decline as being in the 2-3% range.

I wouldn't define 2-3% as "tanked".

WillS.

Interesting phrasing. All the pollsters show it falling, but if you choose to only look at those its fallen the least and then ignore the fall that shows then the Lib Dems have lost less and you wouldn't view that as tanking? Strange cherrypicking.

In September the Lib Dems were consistently polling around 20% ± 2%. They're now consistently around 13% ± 2%. They've lost about 35% of the people who were intending to vote for them - I'd call that tanking.

It's very good news. It means the remain vote is not being split in Con/Lab marginals but going to Labour. It's the reverse in Con/LD marginals but there are far fewer of them, hence the reduction in LD national vote.

Some of the Remain vote is going to Labour, about half the Remain vote. Not all of it. Not much evidence of the reverse in Con/LD marginals. Especially when the LDs were seeking to call seats with over 10k votes to overhaul .

AlastairMeeks said:

A

isam said:

AlastairMeeks said:

BluerBlue said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1204077828846870530

https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1204081849183678465

Labour are utter, utter scum.

No comment on Boris Johnson’s dog whistling racism?

You don't still think he said "People of Colour" do you?!

No, he’s moved on to telling people who’ve lived here for decades that this is not their home.

He never said that.

I'm guessing Gower, Delyn, Alyn & Deeside and Bridgend are the 4 extra Tory seats they would take compared to the MRP 2 weeks ago. The latter 3 are outside the Tories top 50 Lab targets on UNS.

NorthernPowerhouse said:

Stocky said:

Labour`s continual focus on the NHS and their insistence that "The Tories have cronically underfunded it for 9 years!" make me wonder: Is this actually true?

Does anyone know whether NHS spending has risen since 2010? (Inflation adjusted.) I suspect that the claim isn`t true.

Its increased by 23%

Inflation in NHS risen by 37% over same period as measured by the HCSA (the official Health cost measure)

Betfair not convinced by the Welsh poll, still well out from earlier today.

AlastairMeeks said:

A

isam said:

AlastairMeeks said:

BluerBlue said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1204077828846870530

https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1204081849183678465

Labour are utter, utter scum.

No comment on Boris Johnson’s dog whistling racism?

You don't still think he said "People of Colour" do you?!

No, he’s moved on to telling people who’ve lived here for decades that this is not their home.

Reads to me as if he is saying that people are able to move from an EU country to here as if it is their own country, not that people who have been here decades shouldn't think of it that way.

"He told Sky News that “over the last couple of decades or more... we’ve seen quite a large numbers of people coming in from the whole of the EU […] able to treat the UK basically as though it’s part of their own country."

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/boris-johnson-eu-migrants-immigration-britain-general-election-a9238941.html

FrancisUrquhart said:

Betfair not convinced by the Welsh poll, still well out from earlier today.

Just punters having a mini-wobble

Nigelb said:

Cyclefree said:

AlastairMeeks said:

The Conservative campaign ends as Vote Leave’s campaign ended: with dogwhistling racism:
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/boris-johnson-eu-migrants-immigration-britain-general-election-a9238941.html
It will no doubt be effective. Those Conservative partisans who affect to care about racism when they perceive it elsewhere, take note. If you have any principles, this is your chance to demonstrate them.

Discussed at length on the previous thread. According to some, people who don’t get a British passport despite living here for decades, working, paying taxes, raising families etc, even fighting for this country are “guests”, if they’re lucky “honoured guests” and should not think of this as a stigma.

It that a legal category now .... ?
In some ways that would be an improvement on the current Tory attitude.

We’ll probably end up with some ghastly guest-arbeiter category run (if that’s the word) by the Home Office and the return of the “Aliens” channel at Dover.

Just looking at this photo...is that not a bed to the right of the child?

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7773113/Labour-activist-PUNCHES-Matt-Hancocks-adviser-Leeds-hospital.html

Philip_Thompson said:

Barnesian said:

Philip_Thompson said:

wills66 said:

Richard_Nabavi said:

In one respect "Oh all the instruments agree". The pollsters are unanimous that Jo Swinson's Liberal Democrats have tanked during the campaign.

Actually no, depending on your definition of "tanked". All the pollsters show the LD vote share declining but those pollsters showing the smaller Tory leads show that decline as being in the 2-3% range.

I wouldn't define 2-3% as "tanked".

WillS.

Interesting phrasing. All the pollsters show it falling, but if you choose to only look at those its fallen the least and then ignore the fall that shows then the Lib Dems have lost less and you wouldn't view that as tanking? Strange cherrypicking.

In September the Lib Dems were consistently polling around 20% ± 2%. They're now consistently around 13% ± 2%. They've lost about 35% of the people who were intending to vote for them - I'd call that tanking.

It's very good news. It means the remain vote is not being split in Con/Lab marginals but going to Labour. It's the reverse in Con/LD marginals but there are far fewer of them, hence the reduction in LD national vote.

Some of the Remain vote is going to Labour, about half the Remain vote. Not all of it. Not much evidence of the reverse in Con/LD marginals. Especially when the LDs were seeking to call seats with over 10k votes to overhaul .

Look at the constituency polls in Esher, Finchley, Guildford, Wimbledon.

Stocky said:

Labour`s continual focus on the NHS and their insistence that "The Tories have cronically underfunded it for 9 years!" make me wonder: Is this actually true?

Does anyone know whether NHS spending has risen since 2010? (Inflation adjusted.) I suspect that the claim isn`t true.

Off topic to your point but I am continually surprised that labour keep banging on about the Torys and the NHS, yet they must know that the largest users of the NHS vote en mass for the Torys. You would have thought that somebody in Labour with half a brain would try a new NHS message, like one that resonated with voters they need to win over.

speedy2 said:

And the welsh poll explains why Labour think they have lost Bridgend.
And why Corbyn is campaigning in wales so much in the past few days.

I am surprised that WPB seem to think Labour will hold Ynys Môn. That’s one I’m expecting to go green even if Labour go above 50% nationally.

A word of caution about BR too - it would be entirely in keeping for them to return a newly elected MP with a much increased majority.

Bottom line is, we should remember UNS is of limited use in Wales because it’s both diverse and extremely parochial.

Nobidexx said:

Richard_Nabavi said:

If I'm remembering correctly, didn't the previous Welsh barometer show an unexpected shift towards Labour? That would suggest simply that that was a slight outlier, and the position has returned towards how it has been for some weeks.

I don't think so. Labour's lead at the time was fairly consistent with the tory lead in the national polls (about 10%). If this result is consistent with national polls I think we can expect a national lead around 12-13%.

I was sort-of right. The previous (November) one is here:

https://blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/electionsinwales/2019/11/25/the-november-welsh-political-barometer-poll-2/

It had a Labour lead of 6 points, with Lab 9 points since October and the Tories up 4. That means the Labour lead in the last three has been 1, 6, and now 3 points (albeit superimposed on a squeeze of the BXP in particular).

There was no punch and Laura K is now just a mouthpiece for no 10 .

She now just repeats anything she’s told before confirming the story is true .

nico67 said:

There was no punch and Laura K is now just a mouthpiece for no 10 .

She now just repeats anything she’s told before confirming the story is true .

Other journalists reported it and that there was an arrest. Perhaps they are all wrong. Could be.

Re the Welsh poll: Wales has flattered to deceive before. There was much talk of the Tories winning the majority of seats in 2010 after Labour had collapsed in the EU elections the previous year.

FrancisUrquhart said:

Stocky said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

Betfair not convinced by the Welsh poll, still well out from earlier today.

Just punters having a mini-wobble

Where as me, I never have a wobble....

That ICM poll is worrying, though, Francis. Aren't they the gold standard?

llef said:

Andy_JS said:

kle4 said:

CorrectHorseBattery said:

https://twitter.com/electionmapsuk/status/1204083403982802945?s=21

And yet LDs might win back Ceredigion? Seems unlikely on that

PC are slightly down and LDs up a bit, so using uniform swing they would gain Ceredigion.

yes, and to be fair, the last ITV poll in 2017 did not have Plaid winning Ceredigion - Ceredigion dances to its own tune...

Ladbrokes are offering 5/4 on both LDs and Plaid.

Jason said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

Stocky said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

Betfair not convinced by the Welsh poll, still well out from earlier today.

Just punters having a mini-wobble

Where as me, I never have a wobble....

That ICM poll is worrying, though, Francis. Aren't they the gold standard?

Back in the day they were, not recently. But still.

The last ITV welsh opinion poll before the 2017 election had UKIP on 5%.
They actually polled 2%, and it seems that this missing 3% transferred to Labour.

The ITV welsh opinion poll released today has BREXIT on 5%....I wonder if history will repeat itself...

Stark_Dawning said:

Re the Welsh poll: Wales has flattered to deceive before. There was much talk of the Tories winning the majority of seats in 2010 after Labour had collapsed in the EU elections the previous year.

I think when Wales goes, it will go suddenly.

And as with Scotland, I think it will never go back. Labour increasingly looks and sounds like a party of elderly Londoners and angry metropolitan teenagers. That isn’t something to appeal outside quite specific areas of England.

But hopefully Labour will elect somebody vaguely sane as their next leader and I will be proved wrong.

Big_G_NorthWales said:

nico67 said:

There was no punch and Laura K is now just a mouthpiece for no 10 .

She now just repeats anything she’s told before confirming the story is true .

Can you provide evidence of that

It’s on video . There was no punch , the Tories put out a lie which they fed to Laura K and she did her duty as a Tory shill.

Johnson won't care but it's pretty ugly out there ...

https://news.sky.com/story/teenage-burnley-fc-fan-investigated-over-racist-gesture-at-tottenham-hotspur-stadium-11882447

'Flat Cap Fred' is basically a small step from Alf Garnett.

We all know it.

(Not that Corbyn's much better. The antisemitism is disgraceful.)

FrancisUrquhart said:

Jason said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

Stocky said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

Betfair not convinced by the Welsh poll, still well out from earlier today.

Just punters having a mini-wobble

Where as me, I never have a wobble....

That ICM poll is worrying, though, Francis. Aren't they the gold standard?

Back in the day they were, not recently. But still.

Lol reversal going on here, you're trying to reassure ME.

Barnesian said:

Philip_Thompson said:

Barnesian said:

Philip_Thompson said:

wills66 said:

Richard_Nabavi said:

In one respect "Oh all the instruments agree". The pollsters are unanimous that Jo Swinson's Liberal Democrats have tanked during the campaign.

Actually no, depending on your definition of "tanked". All the pollsters show the LD vote share declining but those pollsters showing the smaller Tory leads show that decline as being in the 2-3% range.

I wouldn't define 2-3% as "tanked".

WillS.

Interesting phrasing. All the pollsters show it falling, but if you choose to only look at those its fallen the least and then ignore the fall that shows then the Lib Dems have lost less and you wouldn't view that as tanking? Strange cherrypicking.

In September the Lib Dems were consistently polling around 20% ± 2%. They're now consistently around 13% ± 2%. They've lost about 35% of the people who were intending to vote for them - I'd call that tanking.

It's very good news. It means the remain vote is not being split in Con/Lab marginals but going to Labour. It's the reverse in Con/LD marginals but there are far fewer of them, hence the reduction in LD national vote.

Some of the Remain vote is going to Labour, about half the Remain vote. Not all of it. Not much evidence of the reverse in Con/LD marginals. Especially when the LDs were seeking to call seats with over 10k votes to overhaul .

Look at the constituency polls in Esher, Finchley, Guildford, Wimbledon.

Indeed, they don't match your model at all. We see the LDs going up as forecast but not by enough to take the seats.

nico67 said:

Big_G_NorthWales said:

nico67 said:

There was no punch and Laura K is now just a mouthpiece for no 10 .

She now just repeats anything she’s told before confirming the story is true .

Can you provide evidence of that

It’s on video . There was no punch , the Tories put out a lie which they fed to Laura K and she did her duty as a Tory shill.

Interesting. Post a link.

nico67 said:

Big_G_NorthWales said:

nico67 said:

There was no punch and Laura K is now just a mouthpiece for no 10 .

She now just repeats anything she’s told before confirming the story is true .

Can you provide evidence of that

It’s on video . There was no punch , the Tories put out a lie which they fed to Laura K and she did her duty as a Tory shill.

Good video for the Tories to put out there though, showing a bunch of emotional job-shy socialists making a tit of themselves.

nico67 said:

Big_G_NorthWales said:

nico67 said:

There was no punch and Laura K is now just a mouthpiece for no 10 .

She now just repeats anything she’s told before confirming the story is true .

Can you provide evidence of that

It’s on video . There was no punch , the Tories put out a lie which they fed to Laura K and she did her duty as a Tory shill.

The 100 protestors turned out to be three or four. The punch turned out to be a small collission because the adviser was not looking where he was going. Someone on the Tory side has spun that into a braying mob committing a full-scale assault - and the broadcast media bought it lock, stock and barrel!!
https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/1204091610843226112

Laura K is now doing a u turn but won’t apologize for her misinformation.

Clearly she realized her puppet masters at no 10 needed a deflection so gave them one .

BannedinnParis said:

Stage 1 is "there was no punch".

No - Stage 1 is Momentum Thugs punches the Health Secretaries Asst.

@bbclaurak is a disgrace Oborne spot on about her being the minister for Tory Propaganda

When is Boris apologising to the 4 year old and his parents Stage 6.

Votes for 4 yr olds I reckon!!

SouthamObserver said:

nico67 said:

Big_G_NorthWales said:

nico67 said:

There was no punch and Laura K is now just a mouthpiece for no 10 .

She now just repeats anything she’s told before confirming the story is true .

Can you provide evidence of that

It’s on video . There was no punch , the Tories put out a lie which they fed to Laura K and she did her duty as a Tory shill.

The 100 protestors turned out to be three or four. The punch turned out to be a small collission because the adviser was not looking where he was going. Someone on the Tory side has spun that into a braying mob committing a full-scale assault - and the broadcast media bought it lock, stock and barrel!!
https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/1204091610843226112

Media not having a good election. We had people of talent, now this.

Electoral calculus has Labour holding Wrexham, Vale of Clywd but losing Bridgend... does not seem right

nico67 said:

There was no punch and Laura K is now just a mouthpiece for no 10 .

She now just repeats anything she’s told before confirming the story is true .

Do you really believe in all these conspiracy theories?

BluerBlue said:

nico67 said:

There was no punch and Laura K is now just a mouthpiece for no 10 .

She now just repeats anything she’s told before confirming the story is true .

As opposed to the twats working for ITV who think pushing a phone in the Prime Minister's face is how to do their job.

Never seen any reporters do that to Corbyn, have you?

I've seen interviewers ask Corbyn questions for which he is not prepared, if that is what you mean.

Reverse-ferreting the punch might explain why the Mail report someone linked to below seemed a bit garbled, if it was being rewritten as they tried to make sense of what happened.

FrancisUrquhart said:

SouthamObserver said:

nico67 said:

Big_G_NorthWales said:

nico67 said:

There was no punch and Laura K is now just a mouthpiece for no 10 .

She now just repeats anything she’s told before confirming the story is true .

Can you provide evidence of that

It’s on video . There was no punch , the Tories put out a lie which they fed to Laura K and she did her duty as a Tory shill.

The 100 protestors turned out to be three or four. The punch turned out to be a small collission because the adviser was not looking where he was going. Someone on the Tory side has spun that into a braying mob committing a full-scale assault - and the broadcast media bought it lock, stock and barrel!!
https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/1204091610843226112

Media not having a good election. We had people of talent, now this.

Was the wonderful double meaning of that post deliberate?