I honestly would have had more respect for Labour if they had just gone with UBI as their massive bung to the electorate. At least that in economic theory has some value.
It only really has value if the massive infrastructure around the complex benefits system that UBI could effectively replace is completely dismantled. Without that guarantee, not so much.
Like many Libertarians, I'm in favour of UBI *on this basis*. A system that costs £100.08 to pay a user £100 is obviously better than one that costs £250 or more for every £100 the recipient gets.
Introducing UBI as 'yet another benefit to add to the tangled mess' (which I believe is what the Lab/Green UBI would be) is a completely different kettle of twisted headphones.
These are points I made up thread....and it is why I don't actually support UBI, because politicians will get involved and of course won't clamp down on immigration / elibibility and won't remove all the other benefits because of edge cases that will be worse off.
My point was that if Labour had just said, ok, we are going to be radical, we are going to introduce UBI, rather than all these scattergun bribes and self defeating policies such as rent caps, I would have more respect.
What’s additionally incredible about all these ridiculous Labour policies and bribes is that they are apparently going to deliver a large number of them on a timescale of weeks to months. Without any acknowledgement of the legislative and administrative challenges of what they are proposing. “Abolish universal credit immediately”. To be replaced by... what? “Ban zero hours contracts” - ditto. It goes on....
Re. Bastani: I guess he’s saying that two thirds is less than three quarters (36/48). But then turnout is traditionally higher among retirees so maybe it’s neither here nor there...
I may be offered £2m pa to be Watford manager. If LAB reduce my commute I can consider it 😊
Can you commit to the three months between Managers that Watford would require? Are they operating a YTS scheme for Managers. When the funding runs out they have to let them go.
For £500,000 yes please! And I will forgo a win bonus. Not sure that's a real loss!
Our priority now is not to be playing league 1 2021/2 😠
The Twitter rumour purports to come from a leaked WhatsApp message from a Guardsman. It is almost certainly a hoax and nonsense, And I’m sure we all hope that, but in this day and age that would not shock me as a way for the story to break.
Could you imagine the first act of the new king been to ask Mr Corbyn to form a government?
The country could be quite different quite soon. New head of state, new head of government, Brexit/Lexit, Scots Independence, Irish Unity, Leeds in the Premier League. All seismic.
I honestly would have had more respect for Labour if they had just gone with UBI as their massive bung to the electorate. At least that in economic theory has some value.
It only really has value if the massive infrastructure around the complex benefits system that UBI could effectively replace is completely dismantled. Without that guarantee, not so much.
Like many Libertarians, I'm in favour of UBI *on this basis*. A system that costs £100.08 to pay a user £100 is obviously better than one that costs £250 or more for every £100 the recipient gets.
Introducing UBI as 'yet another benefit to add to the tangled mess' (which I believe is what the Lab/Green UBI would be) is a completely different kettle of twisted headphones.
These are points I made up thread....and it is why I don't actually support UBI, because politicians will get involved and of course won't clamp down on immigration / elibibility and won't remove all the other benefits because of edge cases that will be worse off.
My point was that if Labour had just said, ok, we are going to be radical, we are going to introduce UBI, rather than all these scattergun bribes and self defeating policies such as rent caps, I would have more respect.
What’s additionally incredible about all these ridiculous Labour policies and bribes is that they are apparently going to deliver a large number of them on a timescale of weeks to months. Without any acknowledgement of the legislative and administrative challenges of what they are proposing. “Abolish universal credit immediately”. To be replaced by... what? “Ban zero hours contracts” - ditto. It goes on....
Well many of them aren't even legal...especially not if we are still in the EU.
The last Survation was actually 41/30. Survation reporting Con +2. So looks like they may have rounded the change - eg gone from 40.7 to 42.3 so change is 1.6 which is rounded to 2.
If a party makes a campaign pledge not included in their manifesto are they bound by it? Or is the point that it doesn’t fall within the (name I can’t recall) convention in the House of Lords?
If a party makes a campaign pledge not included in their manifesto are they bound by it? Or is the point that it doesn’t fall within the (name I can’t recall) convention in the House of Lords?
I honestly would have had more respect for Labour if they had just gone with UBI as their massive bung to the electorate. At least that in economic theory has some value.
It only really has value if the massive infrastructure around the complex benefits system that UBI could effectively replace is completely dismantled. Without that guarantee, not so much.
Like many Libertarians, I'm in favour of UBI *on this basis*. A system that costs £100.08 to pay a user £100 is obviously better than one that costs £250 or more for every £100 the recipient gets.
Introducing UBI as 'yet another benefit to add to the tangled mess' (which I believe is what the Lab/Green UBI would be) is a completely different kettle of twisted headphones.
These are points I made up thread....and it is why I don't actually support UBI, because politicians will get involved and of course won't clamp down on immigration / elibibility and won't remove all the other benefits because of edge cases that will be worse off.
My point was that if Labour had just said, ok, we are going to be radical, we are going to introduce UBI, rather than all these scattergun bribes and self defeating policies such as rent caps, I would have more respect.
What’s additionally incredible about all these ridiculous Labour policies and bribes is that they are apparently going to deliver a large number of them on a timescale of weeks to months. Without any acknowledgement of the legislative and administrative challenges of what they are proposing. “Abolish universal credit immediately”. To be replaced by... what? “Ban zero hours contracts” - ditto. It goes on....
Well many of them aren't even legal...especially not if we are still in the EU.
From a quick look, 493 out of the total sample of 2,018 are aged 65+. Which is just under a quarter, ie ratio of pensioners/working age in sample is 1:3. Which is in line with the 12m:36m figures quoted by Bastani. Summary: Opinium's sample looks ok in this respect; Bastani either can't do basic maths or is lying.
Edit: the first few tabs have 350 and 351 out of 1,041 as being 65+. I'm not sure where these figures come from - the front page is clear that the poll is based on a sample of 2,018 people. Updated summary: Opinium might have screwed up their reporting.
No, unsurprisingly it's perfectly fine and Bastani is being a tit. Their method starts with a larger sample but then makes successive cuts based on a large amount of self-reported qualifying questions (Are you registered? Can you vote in a GE?) as well as turnout weighting etc. It means their effective sample at the end is 1041. Because that effective sample is all people both able and likely to vote it by nature includes a larger proportion of old gits.
Using Baxter's tool to adjust for SNP seats, this latest Survation poll produces the following result: Con ......... 339 Lab ......... 229 LibDem .... 13 SNP .......... 46 Plaid .......... 4 Green ........ 1 Brexit ........ 0 N.I. ...........18 Total ..... 650 Con Maj .. 28
The last Survation was actually 41/30. Survation reporting Con +2. So looks like they may have rounded the change - eg gone from 40.7 to 42.3 so change is 1.6 which is rounded to 2.
This one is 42.3 32.9, last was 40.7 29.7.
You want the higher numbers if you're the Tories, they're fighting LD and SNP too
* By recent standards it's a relatively old poll - from Wednesday to Saturday. * Obviously a classic two-party squeeze, but with BXP almost extinct the 4% Green vote could be critical. If they and a few more LDs swing to Labour in key seats... * Remain voters are now heavily switching LD->Lab * Only 7% of all voters say the party leader is one of the most important factors in deciding how to vote * In 70% of Labour voters now think he's the best choice as PM. Corbyn also leads among all 18-34 voters and massively (43-29) in London, but Johnson is 2-1 ahead in most other areas. * Only 29% now think Brexit is the most important issue. However, apart from the NHS, no other issue is attracting much attention either: the climate scores 3%. (Score for Broadband: 0!) * The Tories are leading easily on "best campaign", by 30 to 20. 6% think the LibDems have had the best campaign.
As the Tory campaign is focused entirely on Brexit and Corbyn, and people seem increasingly less less concerned about either, they may have a structural problem in the final stages. But a 9% lead is a 9% lead...
Lib Dems collapse is faster than an England cricket team...all they had to do was offer a second referendum on Boris deal and some sensible tax rises to fund public services.
Does their -4% timeline correlate with when they sent out the Mike Letters? LibDems Cannot Be Serious Here?
The last Survation was actually 41/30. Survation reporting Con +2. So looks like they may have rounded the change - eg gone from 40.7 to 42.3 so change is 1.6 which is rounded to 2.
This one is 42.3 32.9, last was 40.7 29.7.
OK thanks - makes good sense. It's false precision of course but that's a touch better than initially apparent for Con - Con lead 9.4% - down 1.6% from 11.0% the previous week - that's looks reasonably encouraging given only 10 days to go.
Using Baxter's tool to adjust for SNP seats, this latest Survation poll produces the following result: Con ......... 339 Lab ......... 229 LibDem .... 13 SNP .......... 46 Plaid .......... 4 Green ........ 1 Brexit ........ 0 N.I. ...........18 Total ..... 650 Con Maj .. 28
It looks like Labour is nicking votes from the LibDems BIG-TIME! Just how many more can they lose? By Baxter's latest reckoning they are set to make a net gain of just one seat over their pretty miserable haul in 2017. Come back Vince, all is forgiven.
From a quick look, 493 out of the total sample of 2,018 are aged 65+. Which is just under a quarter, ie ratio of pensioners/working age in sample is 1:3. Which is in line with the 12m:36m figures quoted by Bastani. Summary: Opinium's sample looks ok in this respect; Bastani either can't do basic maths or is lying.
Edit: the first few tabs have 350 and 351 out of 1,041 as being 65+. I'm not sure where these figures come from - the front page is clear that the poll is based on a sample of 2,018 people. Updated summary: Opinium might have screwed up their reporting.
No, unsurprisingly it's perfectly fine and Bastani is being a tit. Their method starts with a larger sample but then makes successive cuts based on a large amount of self-reported qualifying questions (Are you registered? Can you vote in a GE?) as well as turnout weighting etc. It means their effective sample at the end is 1041. Because that effective sample is all people both able and likely to vote it by nature includes a larger proportion of old gits.
* By recent standards it's a relatively old poll - from Wednesday to Saturday. * Obviously a classic two-party squeeze, but with BXP almost extinct the 4% Green vote could be critical. If they and a few more LDs swing to Labour in key seats... * Remain voters are now heavily switching LD->Lab * Only 7% of all voters say the party leader is one of the most important factors in deciding how to vote * In 70% of Labour voters now think he's the best choice as PM. Corbyn also leads among all 18-34 voters and massively (43-29) in London, but Johnson is 2-1 ahead in most other areas. * Only 29% now think Brexit is the most important issue. However, apart from the NHS, no other issue is attracting much attention either: the climate scores 3%. (Score for Broadband: 0!) * The Tories are leading easily on "best campaign", by 30 to 20. 6% think the LibDems have had the best campaign.
As the Tory campaign is focused entirely on Brexit and Corbyn, and people seem increasingly less less concerned about either, they may have a structural problem in the final stages. But a 9% lead is a 9% lead...
Could still be urban churn, LibDems to Labour - Labour builing up votes where they don't need them - Liverpool, London, Leeds, Manchester, Newcastle.....and (on topic) Sheffield?
* By recent standards it's a relatively old poll - from Wednesday to Saturday. * Obviously a classic two-party squeeze, but with BXP almost extinct the 4% Green vote could be critical. If they and a few more LDs swing to Labour in key seats... * Remain voters are now heavily switching LD->Lab * Only 7% of all voters say the party leader is one of the most important factors in deciding how to vote * In 70% of Labour voters now think he's the best choice as PM. Corbyn also leads among all 18-34 voters and massively (43-29) in London, but Johnson is 2-1 ahead in most other areas. * Only 29% now think Brexit is the most important issue. However, apart from the NHS, no other issue is attracting much attention either: the climate scores 3%. (Score for Broadband: 0!) * The Tories are leading easily on "best campaign", by 30 to 20. 6% think the LibDems have had the best campaign.
As the Tory campaign is focused entirely on Brexit and Corbyn, and people seem increasingly less less concerned about either, they may have a structural problem in the final stages. But a 9% lead is a 9% lead...
73% of Leavers think Boris would be best PM though but only 43% of Remainers think Corbyn would be best PM.
The last Survation was actually 41/30. Survation reporting Con +2. So looks like they may have rounded the change - eg gone from 40.7 to 42.3 so change is 1.6 which is rounded to 2.
This one is 42.3 32.9, last was 40.7 29.7.
OK thanks - makes good sense. It's false precision of course but that's a touch better than initially apparent for Con - Con lead 9.4% - down 1.6% from 11.0% the previous week - that's looks reasonably encouraging given only 10 days to go.
I think the other encouraging aspect for the Tories is the fact that Survation is showing the LibDems down from 15% to 11% , that's 26.7% in just one week and to my thinking that's most improbable, suggesting the poll may an outlier, at least to that extent. Add say 1% to the LibDem figure and deduct this from Labour and the Tory lead increases to 10% which very much corresponds with other recent polling numbers.Well at least that's my theory and I'm sticking to it!
The last Survation was actually 41/30. Survation reporting Con +2. So looks like they may have rounded the change - eg gone from 40.7 to 42.3 so change is 1.6 which is rounded to 2.
This one is 42.3 32.9, last was 40.7 29.7.
OK thanks - makes good sense. It's false precision of course but that's a touch better than initially apparent for Con - Con lead 9.4% - down 1.6% from 11.0% the previous week - that's looks reasonably encouraging given only 10 days to go.
I think the other encouraging aspect for the Tories is the fact that Survation is showing the LibDems down from 15% to 11% , that's 26.7% in just one week and to my thinking that's most improbable, suggesting the poll may an outlier, at least to that extent. Add say 1% to the LibDem figure and deduct this from Labour and the Tory lead increases to 10% which very much corresponds with other recent polling numbers.Well at least that's my theory and I'm sticking to it!
Trains: Is the daily dose of fagpacket politics from Labour HQ because internal polling is making them desperately flail or because they show one more heave will cause an upset? Almost seems designed to ensure the Lib Dems pick up no seats in South. Odd. Andew Marr: just watched this "grilling" of Boris, the first time I've seen Marr in a couple of years. Would've been better to get Newsround to do the interview, why is he still being given such a prime slot? Such an irritating style. Cummings Social Media Blitz: will this be enough to arrest the Tory poll slide? Have the Reds kept enough financial fire power in their arsenal to combat this late volley? How many ads does firing X hundred staff from central HQ buy you?
People are assuming that 4% Green share will evaporate to Labour come election day.
Hmmm I'm not so sure. The young are *very* concerned about the climate crisis as they see it and they could do surprisingly well in terms of vote share.
In graphical form: All 11 polls with field-work end-dates Monday 25th to Sunday 1st.
Con 42.6% Lab 32.9% LD 13.1% BXP 3.5% SNP 3.5% GRN 3.0% oth 1.6%
Con lead 9.7% (was 13.0% last week)
SNP 3.5% = up 0.5 on UK GE 2017
Which, in Scottish terms, would imply an increase from 36.9% in 2017 to approx 43.1% in 2019. I’d take that!
There is hope yet. But it all depends very heavily on vote distribution, differential turnout, registration or lack thereof of young voters and tactical unwind (primarily SCon back to SLD). Then add in that the Scottish Greens are now standing in many more constituencies compared with 2017.
In those circumstances, Baxter et al have very limited use.
I think Johnson has made a blunder ruling out IndyRef2. It means that strongly Unionist Lib Dem and Labour supporters can safely vote for their 1st preference party, secure in the knowledge that London will block a new plebiscite.
It will only affect the actual result in a handful of seats, but those key results will set the tone. And tone matters.
I wonder when the penny is going to drop? Judging by previous form: never.
In graphical form: All 11 polls with field-work end-dates Monday 25th to Sunday 1st.
Con 42.6% Lab 32.9% LD 13.1% BXP 3.5% SNP 3.5% GRN 3.0% oth 1.6%
Con lead 9.7% (was 13.0% last week)
SNP 3.5% = up 0.5 on UK GE 2017
Which, in Scottish terms, would imply an increase from 36.9% in 2017 to approx 43.1% in 2019. I’d take that!
There is hope yet. But it all depends very heavily on vote distribution, differential turnout, registration or lack thereof of young voters and tactical unwind (primarily SCon back to SLD). Then add in that the Scottish Greens are now standing in many more constituencies compared with 2017.
In those circumstances, Baxter et al have very limited use.
The Labour fare policy is not designed to help them win overall or to even just save Leave seats, it is designed to make sure the Libdens dont replace them as the second party of the south, including London. Why? Because
1) Ofcourse it becomes harder to one day win a majority
2) they dont want to have to do a deal with the libdems to bring in PR. Because if PR was ever introduced in Britain they would be fecked
Labour are already thinking of the next elections.They don't care if Brexit happens or not.
The Labour fare policy is not designed to help them win overall or to even just save Leave seats, it is designed to make sure the Libdens dont replace them as the second party of the south, including London. Why? Because
1) Ofcourse it becomes harder to one day win a majority
2) they dont want to have to do a deal with the libdems to bring in PR. Because if PR was ever introduced in Britain they would be fecked
Labour are already thinking of the next elections.They don't care if Brexit happens or not.
Interesting. So does this mean they've already written off this election do you think? Or is this just a minor secondary front on the battlefield and they still think they can force NOM
In graphical form: All 11 polls with field-work end-dates Monday 25th to Sunday 1st.
Con 42.6% Lab 32.9% LD 13.1% BXP 3.5% SNP 3.5% GRN 3.0% oth 1.6%
Con lead 9.7% (was 13.0% last week)
SNP 3.5% = up 0.5 on UK GE 2017
Which, in Scottish terms, would imply an increase from 36.9% in 2017 to approx 43.1% in 2019. I’d take that!
There is hope yet. But it all depends very heavily on vote distribution, differential turnout, registration or lack thereof of young voters and tactical unwind (primarily SCon back to SLD). Then add in that the Scottish Greens are now standing in many more constituencies compared with 2017.
In those circumstances, Baxter et al have very limited use.
One thing I notice is that the Conservative+Farage Fan Club aggregate is down by ~2 over the period. Given the collapse of the Lib Dem share that's probably mostly Labour Leavers returning home than more Tory Remainers switching to the Yellows.
Student loan cancellation has to be coming, surely....
I guess that must be being saved for the last weekend now, to maximise the immediacy of its impact in staying in the mind of students.
Well it isn't just current students, it could be attractive for 30 years old struggling to get on the property ladder because a decent chunk of their wages go on the student loan repayments.
Nah, anyone in their 30s is on the older system of £1k or £3k fees. Most of us have paid off our loans. It's the early to mid 20s lot that have been royally fucked.
Even when the fees with £3k, loads of people took the full loan amount which was what ~£4-5k a year? Lots of those people have gone into jobs that don't pay much more than £24k a year and so even 10 years later they still have a decent chunk of a loan.
Possibly, I think the issue for them was that they didn't start repayments until £23k vs £18k for us, that extra £450 per year makes a difference. I think I had mine paid off when I was 27 but I only had £14k worth of loans.
The main issue is interest rates, partially the fact that inflation in the early years of 3k fees was very low, and partially that the rules have changed. My loan accrued zero interest until I graduated and then ~1-2% pa. Now it's 6% pa which, in conjunction with the rise to 9k fees means that a lot of people won't even be paying off the interest each year. Just set the interest rate to be in line with CPI. Would solve a whole lot of problems and cost almost nothing - would mostly just tick down the write-off rate by a few points.
Interest free
Students benefit from university so should pay
The public benefits from university so should encourage and facilitate
Using Baxter's tool to adjust for SNP seats, this latest Survation poll produces the following result: Con ......... 339 Lab ......... 229 LibDem .... 13 SNP .......... 46 Plaid .......... 4 Green ........ 1 Brexit ........ 0 N.I. ...........18 Total ..... 650 Con Maj .. 28
It looks like Labour is nicking votes from the LibDems BIG-TIME! Just how many more can they lose? By Baxter's latest reckoning they are set to make a net gain of just one seat over their pretty miserable haul in 2017. Come back Vince, all is forgiven.
All the signs are that the LibDem vote increase is very geographically focused. Baxter is of no use in modelling that.
Using Baxter's tool to adjust for SNP seats, this latest Survation poll produces the following result: Con ......... 339 Lab ......... 229 LibDem .... 13 SNP .......... 46 Plaid .......... 4 Green ........ 1 Brexit ........ 0 N.I. ...........18 Total ..... 650 Con Maj .. 28
It looks like Labour is nicking votes from the LibDems BIG-TIME! Just how many more can they lose? By Baxter's latest reckoning they are set to make a net gain of just one seat over their pretty miserable haul in 2017. Come back Vince, all is forgiven.
The last Survation was actually 41/30. Survation reporting Con +2. So looks like they may have rounded the change - eg gone from 40.7 to 42.3 so change is 1.6 which is rounded to 2.
This one is 42.3 32.9, last was 40.7 29.7.
OK thanks - makes good sense. It's false precision of course but that's a touch better than initially apparent for Con - Con lead 9.4% - down 1.6% from 11.0% the previous week - that's looks reasonably encouraging given only 10 days to go.
I think the other encouraging aspect for the Tories is the fact that Survation is showing the LibDems down from 15% to 11% , that's 26.7% in just one week and to my thinking that's most improbable, suggesting the poll may an outlier, at least to that extent. Add say 1% to the LibDem figure and deduct this from Labour and the Tory lead increases to 10% which very much corresponds with other recent polling numbers.Well at least that's my theory and I'm sticking to it!
If the LibDem vote is concentrated to a small number of key seats, you’d expect greater sampling error, all other things being equal.
People are assuming that 4% Green share will evaporate to Labour come election day.
Hmmm I'm not so sure. The young are *very* concerned about the climate crisis as they see it and they could do surprisingly well in terms of vote share.
Under PR their vote more than doubles straight away.
Comments
Our priority now is not to be playing league 1 2021/2 😠
https://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/Final-GMB-GE2017-IV-Tables-260517TOCH-1c0d0h9.pdf
LOL
Con 42.6%
Lab 32.9%
LD 13.1%
BXP 3.5%
SNP 3.5%
GRN 3.0%
oth 1.6%
Con lead 9.7% (was 13.0% last week)
https://twitter.com/Sunil_P2/status/1201298365235023876
7% by end of next week....4% by GE....
Brake has an.amazing ability to.hang on against the run of play.
Con ......... 339
Lab ......... 229
LibDem .... 13
SNP .......... 46
Plaid .......... 4
Green ........ 1
Brexit ........ 0
N.I. ...........18
Total ..... 650
Con Maj .. 28
https://www.survation.com/new-westminster-voting-intention-survation-on-behalf-of-good-morning-britain/
with a link to the full tables.
Key points that I picked out:
* By recent standards it's a relatively old poll - from Wednesday to Saturday.
* Obviously a classic two-party squeeze, but with BXP almost extinct the 4% Green vote could be critical. If they and a few more LDs swing to Labour in key seats...
* Remain voters are now heavily switching LD->Lab
* Only 7% of all voters say the party leader is one of the most important factors in deciding how to vote
* In 70% of Labour voters now think he's the best choice as PM. Corbyn also leads among all 18-34 voters and massively (43-29) in London, but Johnson is 2-1 ahead in most other areas.
* Only 29% now think Brexit is the most important issue. However, apart from the NHS, no other issue is attracting much attention either: the climate scores 3%. (Score for Broadband: 0!)
* The Tories are leading easily on "best campaign", by 30 to 20. 6% think the LibDems have had the best campaign.
As the Tory campaign is focused entirely on Brexit and Corbyn, and people seem increasingly less less concerned about either, they may have a structural problem in the final stages. But a 9% lead is a 9% lead...
Who did they survey? CCHQ?
LibDems Cannot Be Serious Here?
It's false precision of course but that's a touch better than initially apparent for Con - Con lead 9.4% - down 1.6% from 11.0% the previous week - that's looks reasonably encouraging given only 10 days to go.
We get Ross Kemp on Thursday in Chessy.
When he comes in Lab. Club going to get Mrs BJO to tell him to "get out of my club"
Remainers now split 49% Labour, 21% LD, 14% Tory, 4% Green.
https://www.survation.com/new-westminster-voting-intention-survation-on-behalf-of-good-morning-britain/
Men Con 47.3% Lab 28.6% (Con lead by 18.7%)
Women Con 38.2% Lab 38.3% (Lab lead by 0.1%)
In 2017 Con led Men by 6% (45-39) and women were split at 43% each.
I still think they end up on a max of 10%
Greens wont get 4% either imo
Is there a further MRP this week based on 9%??
Tory lead of 20 methinks
Andew Marr: just watched this "grilling" of Boris, the first time I've seen Marr in a couple of years. Would've been better to get Newsround to do the interview, why is he still being given such a prime slot? Such an irritating style.
Cummings Social Media Blitz: will this be enough to arrest the Tory poll slide? Have the Reds kept enough financial fire power in their arsenal to combat this late volley? How many ads does firing X hundred staff from central HQ buy you?
Hmmm I'm not so sure. The young are *very* concerned about the climate crisis as they see it and they could do surprisingly well in terms of vote share.
Which, in Scottish terms, would imply an increase from 36.9% in 2017 to approx 43.1% in 2019. I’d take that!
There is hope yet. But it all depends very heavily on vote distribution, differential turnout, registration or lack thereof of young voters and tactical unwind (primarily SCon back to SLD). Then add in that the Scottish Greens are now standing in many more constituencies compared with 2017.
In those circumstances, Baxter et al have very limited use.
It will only affect the actual result in a handful of seats, but those key results will set the tone. And tone matters.
I wonder when the penny is going to drop? Judging by previous form: never.
1) Ofcourse it becomes harder to one day win a majority
2) they dont want to have to do a deal with the libdems to bring in PR. Because if PR was ever introduced in Britain they would be fecked
Labour are already thinking of the next elections.They don't care if Brexit happens or not.
Tis just a rough guide. Not rocket science.
Students benefit from university so should pay
The public benefits from university so should encourage and facilitate
That’s an above inflation increase
I didn’t put a blank line between this line and “design” and it comes out fine
But if you do what any right thinking person does and use paragraphs it comes out funky
I cannot for the life of me understand any of these PB Tories who think he is fit for the job.
"But Corbyn" is not a reason.