politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New culture secretary Sajid Javid now 33-1 for next CON lea

There’s no doubt that ex-banker, Sajid Javid, is one of the most able CON MPs to be elected at GE2010 but the big surprise is the Cameron has replaced Miller with a man. At one stage this morning you could have got 3/1 against that eventuality.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
I'm delighted that the someone from a Pakistani Muslim background is doing well.
I just hope the party of Phil Woolas behaves themselves.
Can't call him a toff, the son of an immigrant bus driver.
Like to see what the kippers make of it all.
EDIT: Not a pejorative comment, just wondered if he did or it was my hearing
Should be fit for the job.
Political Scrapbook @PSbook Feb 17
From earlier >> Lynton Crosby's plan to ignore those "f***ing Muslims" during Tory election campaign http://politicalscrapbook.net/2014/02/lynton-crosby-still-plans-to-ignore-fing-muslims-during-election/ …
On that basis, 33/1 is a good price but a real gamble.
Fatties will be appalled that their representation in the cabinet is diminished.
A bold master strategy indeed.
He'd make a great Batman villain, The Pickler
Sajid's a clever choice - talented and recognised as such, good backstory, helps with perception issue, etc, etc.
Mihai Scorobete @MihaiScorobete Feb 10
Fury as Pickles says aid abroad stops floods here: Minister claims cash helps in battle against global warming http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2555438/Fury-Pickles-says-aid-abroad-stops-floods-Minister-claims-cash-helps-battle-against-global-warming.html …
A deliberate ploy to wrongfoot Miliband for PMQs or coincidence ?
Who was it wielded Dave's dagger? Possibly Voldemort Lansley before he went on Newsnight?
If I were working in Iraq as a spokesmen for Christians and was asked to sign something saying I thought the Blair/Bush war was wrong I'd have no problem at all with it, especially if it reassured the local muslims we weren't all murdering warmongers
VAT at 20% on newspaper sales; a forensic examination into tax evasion and off-shoring of profits by the proprietors; privatisation of Channel 4 and the BBC; and, press regulation subject to a newly formalised Court of Public Opinion.
Absent that solution, putting George's protegé from the Treasury in charge is the next best thing.
Time to look more closely at the BBC's financials.
We're making plans for Nigel
He looks a bit like Morph/Ray Wilkins!
He doesn't have an American accent, I was wrong there.. just says "udder" for "other" etc
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3aVlEV9IVE
An interesting article on how Toyota are replacing some robots with human workers:
http://www.gizmodo.co.uk/2014/04/suck-it-robots-toyota-is-giving-jobs-back-to-humans/
I can sort of understand why they're doing this, and it will be small scale, but it's interesting nonetheless.
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2014/04/sajid-javid-how-i-became-a-conservative/
(From 2008, by Yasmin Alibhai-Brown)
Almost more depressing is the sight of black and Asian Britons following the wind blowing the Tories to victory. Boris has recruited Afro Caribbean "leaders" who believe in physical chastisement and smart young Asians who deny the existence of racism and want an end to political correctness. The more old-fashioned Uncle Toms and their female equivalents are now expediently making themselves known to the Tories and right-wing think tanks.
http://conservativehome.blogs.com/centreright/2008/06/yasmin-alibhai.html
The maths, though is simple.
I'm willing to bet that 1.5% of UKIP's voting support is from fruitcakes and loonies. I'm sure the same goes for the other parties as well.
When UKIP's support is 3% then nearly half the parties are fruitcakes. When it is 15% then it is only a tenth of their support.
"Why Javid Could End Up At The Top Of The Tory Tree"
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2014/03/why-sajid-javid-could-end-up-at-the-top-of-the-tory-tree/
*chortle*
http://nottspolitics.org/2014/04/09/polling-observatory-35-march-2014-politics-fast-and-slow/
"The Conservatives’ renewed strength in the polls may owe something to a well-received budget from George Osborne, but when we take a longer view it becomes apparent that this latest narrowing is in fact the a continuation of a very gradual trend that has been proceeding, in stop-start fashion, for more than a year."
It's not like some of us haven't noticed this before now.
You may have remembered him better as "The Ultimate Warrior" from WWF/(E). Remember him giving me fun and entertainment when he fought Hulk Hogan at Wrestlemania VI.
One of wrestling's best showmen. RIP.
Ed puttering around and furiously back-firing.
@taxbod: Millibland at PMQs. Like Diana Ross taking a penalty. #pmqs
Farage has one person in particular to thank for kickstarting the kippers off of 5% to where they are now. Step forward Osbrowne and his omnishambles.
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/96/UK_opinion_polling_2010-2015.png
Osbrowne's certainly going to be remembered for that if the kippers don't start crashing down towards sub 5% very soon.
Cameron: 8
Parliament: -5
Ed was utterly hopeless, but not as bad as the honourable? members..
Archbishop Morris Dancer
Milliband's "hollier than thou" behavior didn't ring true after so many Labour MP's being put in jail for expense's fiddling...
And Cameron know's he's played this one badly, I think.
Bizarre.
Best EdM comeback in a while at PMQs :"It's my job to fire ministers in his Cabinet?". Even Tory Mps looked uneasy at that one
Paul Waugh @paulwaugh 8m
Cam finally spots trap. Say he's not saying Miller did nothing wrong...
Paul Waugh @paulwaugh 13m
Strong show of support for Sajid Javid, putting him on frontbench just along from Cam for PMQs
Hardly the 'triumph' the Cameroons are pretending but muppet and dunceworthy on both sides all the same.
Thanks for answering my questions, and kudos for doing so. Again, one by one: As I understand it, and please correct me if I'm wrong, this mistake was only "discovered" when she was investigated for the alleged abuse of expenses. So it's not like she independently realised her error and immediately paid it back. She was asked to hand over documents, and realised she was caught, so then admitted to it as she handed the documents in.
I certainly don't think she alone of MPs should have resigned over this sort of thing. I think there should have been mass resignations of MPs after the expense scandal came out. It is my understanding there were missing records from all over the place, including the time she was an MP. Is there some place you can refer me to that the only missing records were when she was in her previous job?
My 99.9% claim is from this line in a Telegraph article: "Between 2005 and 2009, she claimed £90,718, which was only £115 less than the total amount she could have claimed"
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/mps-expenses/10729984/Maria-Miller-to-have-to-repay-thousands-of-pounds-and-apologise-over-expenses-claims.html
I am not criticizing her for the amount claimed. Merely pointing out that someone who is maximising their expense claim to that amount is generally very organised with respect to their finances. It thus seems highly implausible that records would not have been kept.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2012/dec/12/maria-miller-conservatives
This should make clear it was a deliberate strategy to intimidate the press. I have to say, this is making me reconsider my previous support for the Leveson recommendations. As for the "doorstepping", this was the journalist ringing on the door once, when they did not know her grandparents were elderly and sick. I find much of the behaviour of journalists appalling, but this attempt to play the victim over a simple inquiry is laughable. There is no credible evidence of any harassment of her parents or children. Again, this is one of these convictions you have that comes out when people disagree with you. If you can produce facts that contradict some of my claims I will withdraw them. I'm very prepared to be fair and objective to people I oppose politically. In just the last thread I defended Ed Miliband against one of the major charges against him. I've also attacked Nigel Farage recently for views I disagree with. I believe I have a much stronger record of being objective on a case by case basis, rather than always backing up one side, as you do.
Matthew Barrett @MBarrettCH 6m
Awful awful awful awful awful awful awful awful awful from Cameron #pmqs
BONG BONG BONG BONG BONG BONG BONG BONG BONG BONG BONG BONG
Not a great outing from either leader. Neither on strong territory. Tentative from @Ed_Miliband, PM trying to make best of bad job.
"Mr. F, bah. I was quite clear (to him) on my religious perspective, and I've never been a 'social' Christian (I've only attended church when forced to by one school or other).
Archbishop Morris Dancer"
........................................................
Will no one rid us of this turbulent wiffle sticker ?
http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/conlist_a_b.html#Basingstoke
What goes around comes around....
Ed Balls sneakily gave Cameron the finger there when he praised him for running marathon.
Good Christ. No wonder the public get so hugely f**ing pissed off at MPs expenses scandals.
I'd say that PMQs was a 3-0 win to UKIP - and we weren't even there! #LibLabCon
The dressing up, the wiffle stick.
If correct, then huzzah.
I am not sure that this was quite the open goal some described it as. It might have been had there been no resignation this morning but the steam came out at that point and Ed was left with a deflated ball to kick.
Not saying he might not have done that better. Just that it was not as easy as some seemed to have assumed.
*innocent face*
Poor old Harold. Must be trying to be such an obsequious Cameroon today. Little Ed couldn't make it stick, was very funny indeed when he started trying to speak in mockney, but if you think that somehow made Cammie's bluster convincing then you really don't have a clue.