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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The General Election – identifying the top bell weather seats

Thanks to AndyJS for once again creating a very interesting and useful spreadsheet. He mentioned this on the previous the previous thread and I thought it deserved to be highlighted even more.
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Funny, but I never had you marked down as a swinger but you can't always judge a book by the cover.
Atb
PtP (possibly first again.....)
Do I win the race to be first pedant, and point out that a bellwether is a sheep not a climatic condition?
Bedford it is. Shall we have a PB competition on the result in Bedford?
The only one I can see getting through is a change of date to 9th.
If either passes, the government are saying it is impossible to organize by 12th December. Adding EU citizens is another 3 million voters.
He should have gone by sea. Slower, for sure, but I am sure he would have been able to afford a Cunard internet package.
https://twitter.com/BarrySheerman/status/1189146672640811008
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fpsh9APpxls
Let's do this!
Frenchman Jerome Garces to referee England's Rugby World Cup final against South Africa despite his controversial role in Wales' semi-final exit... with Nigel Owens out injured
The Macron of rugby refs.
https://twitter.com/LordAshcroft/status/1189171951002148865
The last time they swept away their political class they landed with years of Berlusconi. And thereafter various coalitions of nutty extremists. Hardly encouraging.
Though everything is subordinate to the overriding principle of electing more Lib Dem MPs.
In theory, Corbyn should be shellacked.
But...
Punishment of abuses in connection with the grant of honours.
(1)If any person accepts or obtains or agrees to accept or attempts to obtain from any person, for himself or for any other person, or for any purpose, any gift, money or valuable consideration as an inducement or reward for procuring or assisting or endeavouring to procure the grant of a dignity or title of honour to any person, or otherwise in connection with such a grant, he shall be guilty of a misdemeanour.
(2)If any person gives, or agrees or proposes to give, or offers to any person any gift, money or valuable consideration as an inducement or reward for procuring or assisting or endeavouring to procure the grant of a dignity or title of honour to any person, or otherwise in connection with such a grant, he shall be guilty of a misdemeanour
(3)Any person guilty of a misdemeanour under this Act shall be liable on conviction on indictment to imprisonment for a term not exceeding two years or to a fine not exceeding five hundred pounds, or to both such imprisonment and such fine, or on summary conviction to imprisonment for a term not exceeding three months or to a fine not exceeding fifty pounds, or to both such imprisonment and such fine, and where the person convicted (whether on indictment or summarily) received any such gift, money, or consideration as aforesaid which is capable of forfeiture, he shall in addition to any other punishment be liable to forfeit the same to His Majesty.
http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/Geo5/15-16/72/section/1
https://twitter.com/PeoplesMomentum/status/1189167720899764224
That secret NHS drugs negotiation with the US Government that Channel 4 dispatches has started to unearth (if it is as advertised) looks potentially very damaging.
https://twitter.com/PeoplesMomentum/status/1189167720899764224
Quite like the hashtag
#DitchJohnson
If Johnson is to be stopped the under 40's will be absolutely key.
https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/1189174100884897793
Reverse ferret.
Panic has set in.
Defeating the programme motion would only mean the government comes back tomorrow with a different one, which MPs could amend more easily (to enfranchise more people / to gerrymander the electorate, depending on your viewpoint). The election is happening regardless of the route there.
Please don't go
We love you so
And we want you to know
...
Please don't go (Bercow)
Hilarious if after trying 4 or 5 times to get a GE Boris lost though.