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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » By George! Will BJ flop or will he last a long time?
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » By George! Will BJ flop or will he last a long time?
This is an interesting market from Ladbrokes, the one that caught my attention was Boris Johnson breaking George Canning’s record as the shortest serving Prime Minister.
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https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1168503357620858880
https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1168503362884702208
Unusually quiet.
You can currently lay that at 1.03 on Betfair (roughly 40/1) with plenty of money available.
Leadership interviews - ran away
Leadership debates - ran away
Parliamentary scrutiny - prorogues
Deal with rebels - not talking to them and kick them out
A coward only interested in himself.
While Grieve and Bebb deserve deselection the rest have mainly voted for brexit and it is hypocrisy in the extreme when ERG and Boris voted against.
I support a GE but not that I think Boris will gain a majority but more the HOC needs refreshing without delay
Wonder if Swinson will try and ping into Vince Cable's seat?
However, I got on the Johnson shortest PM at 6-1 which I'm quite happy about it.
I never thought I'd write this, but Jeremy Corbyn is having a very good late summer. He's looking statesmanlike and principled, and he's outsmarted Tony Blair today:
https://twitter.com/SkyNews/status/1168476570174054401?s=20
1. Surely the Rebel Tories who are threatened with de-selection couldn't support a Tory manifesto commitment to exit with No Deal anyway. So does the de-selection really mean much?
2. A GE campaign with the Tories promising to exit with No Deal will be very interesting. Plenty of big employers are going to struggle to keep schtum on the negative effects of No Deal on threir businesses imo.
3. Where's @HUYFD to explain how this all fits into the master plan?
I’m on my mobile so can’t find the link sorry
https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1168506190281793539
In Uxbridge on present polling Boris will increase his majority, remember Hillingdon where Uxbridge lies voted Leave and many 2017 Labour Remainers will vote LD this time splitting the anti Boris vote
Of course anything is possible, and we are likely to have deadlock where a 2nd referendum makes most sense, so perhaps.
It will be a Brexit Deal or No Deal manifesto, not No Deal alone
He has no plan, and is therefore desperate for an extension yet cannot get one without losing face. So he destroys the Conservative party to save himself. A selfish coward.
Is that really what Boris wants?
Standing in an election and agreeing with the manifesto of your party are traditionally two separate questions, as Jeremy Corbyn among others well knows.
Or go for it split the blue vote and have a lucrative career as the brexit prince over the water for another 20 years.
Don't hold your breath.
GE now 1/10 on
Rebel MPs led by Oliver Letwin, Dominic Grieve and Keir Starmer will attempt to rush legislation blocking a no-deal Brexit through Parliament in just a few hours, according to a draft version of their motion leaked to BuzzFeed News.
In a manoeuvre that would be far bolder and more radical than the one that allowed MPs to take control of the order paper in April, the draft motion would give the House of Commons just hours to pass the law and make it difficult for MPs to table considered amendments, either to the motion or to the legislation to block no-deal.
BuzzFeed News understands the rebels have been divided on whether to attempt to pass the motion and legislation in one day on Tuesday, or over two days on Tuesday and Wednesday. A source said some MPs want to get the bill through Parliament over one day in order to hamper government efforts to block the legislation. Another source said it was likely to clear Parliament on Wednesday.
The draft motion, which contains 19 clauses and could change substantially by the time it is tabled, outlines the plan to move a motion at an emergency debate on Tuesday. If passed, it would allow MPs opposed to no-deal to seize control of the House of Commons from the government and then pass legislation in the Commons within hours.
The rebel MPs would then immediately take control of the Commons chamber and advance a piece of legislation that is expected to be entitled the European Union (Withdrawal) (No.6) Bill.
The bill would require Boris Johnson to seek an extension from the EU if he has not agreed a new deal with Brussels by a certain date in October.
This is in line with the last attempt by Labour's Yvette Cooper to mandate former prime minister Theresa May to seek an extension to Article 50 back in April. That Bill was No.5.
The draft motion allows MPs to propose amendments to the bill with pen and paper by submitting them to the clerks sitting at the central table within the chamber, but it will be difficult to make considered amendments to either the motion alongside the emergency debate or the legislation aimed at preventing a no-deal Brexit
BuzzFeed News is told the motion has been drafted in this way because rebels fear that they do not have enough time to prevent Brexiteers from filibustering the legislation in the Lords.
A rebel source said that very few rebels have been involved in the plan to seize the Commons on Tuesday.
Letwin has been working with a close-knit group including the Clerk of Bills in the Commons, Starmer and Dominic Grieve. Letwin and Grieve did not respond to requests for comment.
There’s plenty of other disobliging stuff to call him.
However I don't think it will be enough for Labour to take the seat.
"someone who runs away or abandons his responsibilities or obligations during times of danger, distress, pain, or fear of the unknown; someone whose concern is only for himself"
The drunk driver and our PM both abandon their obligations and responsibilities and their only concern is for themself.
He's not fit to be in the Cabinet, let alone PM.
It is now possible the Tories could win a majority on a third of the vote with the Liberals beating Labour in voteshare to take second place on votes for the first time since pre 1918
Personally I feel the rebels should hold their fire until after the Queens Speech and give the game of brinkmanship with the EU a chance to succeed.
This entirely disingenuous, as the author clearly knows. Dishonest.
Ed Miliband, saviour of the Union.