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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Brexit: Some Inconvenient Facts that the Tories need to face

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  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,365
    alex. said:

    They are pissed off that he keeps parking illegally, in spots reserved for them and they pay for, because he's so rich that he couldn't care less about all the parking tickets he gets.
    It'd be brilliant if he didn't get the tickets because any requests about the car would end up 'restricted'. ;)
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,809
    Tim_B said:

    The parallel between Trump's salacious past in 2016 and Boris Johnson's today is intriguing. In 2016 Trump's history was already well known and was essentially baked in to his support. Revelations during the campaign appeared not to have much effect.

    Likewise, Johnson's history is well known today, and presumably (?) baked in to a greater or lesser extent.

    The BBC keeps quoting people as saying Johnson is not 'fit' to be prime minister, whatever that means. I'm not aware of any honesty or morality levels required to be PM. All you need is electability and that other ability - the ability to get things done.

    It depends on your own standards. If you don't have any you will not be fussed whether or not our Prime Minister does.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    I don't believe it is established in any way at all that money changed hands for the recordings.

    If they weren’t selling it presumably they must have had some other motive?

    A political one possibly?
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,290

    Noone's near enough to hear, are they?
    He has a well-insulated cellar, with gutters in the floor to carry away the blood and smaller bits. The rest are mopped up by blinded servants who are descended from 19th Century family captives, kept in the dark and chained near the cesspit. One word of complaint and they are thrown into the pit, never to return. The few recordings to have made it out are handled under SCP protocols. Escapees do not live long, and autopsies cannot cope with their changed anatomy. Study is therefore difficult.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405
    Charles said:

    It was reported that someone - don’t know if the same neighbour - was leaving anti-Brexit posters that featured Boris on his car. That’s passive-aggressive at best!
    In the Guardian article the neighbours who reported the potential assault said that they were not part of the anti-Johnson campaign among the other neighbours. To be honest most people in inner London hate Johnson, I can't imagine anyone would be happy having him in their midst.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,290
    Charles said:

    If they weren’t selling it presumably they must have had some other motive?

    A political one possibly?
    I know. People doing things for free. Must be political then. What other motives could humans possibly have?
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,035
    alex. said:

    They are pissed off that he keeps parking illegally, in spots reserved for them and they pay for, because he's so rich that he couldn't care less about all the parking tickets he gets.
    Having spent many years living in London I fully understand how that would p*ss off lots of people. It also suggests that he believes that parking regulations are just for the little people.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108
    Charles said:

    It was reported that someone - don’t know if the same neighbour - was leaving anti-Brexit posters that featured Boris on his car. That’s passive-aggressive at best!
    The parking wardens round there need to sharpen up. They could visit morning and evening and hit him for £40 (£80 if not paid promptly, which seems likely in his case) a time. That’s about £20,000 a year, pro-rated to the amount of time his car is there.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    edited June 2019
    HYUFD said:

    You completely omitted the Boris line 'superb' until I mentioned it
    You spun The Sun "After being told he had to sit in the hot seat for less than 10 minutes more he quipped" as "He asked how long left, Dale said 10 minutes" missing the "less than" and "quipped" from The Sun's reporting. Which went to the original point - has Boris lost The Sun? With unfriendly reporting like that...possibly....
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    OllyT said:

    Likewise everyone expressing outrage that Johnson's privacy has been invaded would be saying the exact opposite if the incident had involved Corbyn
    Nope.

    It’s only justified if there’s a Public Interest in the matter.

    Man and girlfriend have fight is a private matter
  • FFS, we are not your research assistants.

    You have as much access to information in the public domain as anyone else.

    No one on pb.com has any private sources of information on the behaviour of all Boris' neighbours. And if they did, I'd be worried .
    Well, we'll know when the Sundays come out if anyone knows.

    I did think Boris gave a stupidly poor answer to Iain Dale's very obvious first question. He should have put it into the third person and said something like. "There was an incident where the police were called to our flat, not by us. This was most unfortunate and neither Carrie ( is it Carrie, shows how much I care ) nor I are able to discuss this matter further."

    To any follow up question he could then have said "It was most unfortunate."
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    Charles said:

    If they weren’t selling it
    If they were selling it, why would they go to the Guardian (do they even pay?)

    I'm sure there's a lot more money elsewhere....
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    edited June 2019
    Charles said:

    Man and girlfriend have fight is a private matter
    Character of potential PM is not a public matter?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108
    Tory members - who have spent years criticising and laughing at Labour members’ loyalty to Corbyn - are now just as blinkered to Johnson’s glaring weaknesses.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422

    Well, we'll know when the Sundays come out if anyone knows.

    I did think Boris gave a stupidly poor answer to Iain Dale's very obvious first question. He should have put it into the third person and said something like. "There was an incident where the police were called to our flat, not by us. This was most unfortunate and neither Carrie ( is it Carrie, shows how much I care ) nor I are able to discuss this matter further."

    To any follow up question he could then have said "It was most unfortunate."
    You'd have thought he'd have something prepared......
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108
    Charles said:

    Nope.

    It’s only justified if there’s a Public Interest in the matter.

    Man and girlfriend have fight is a private matter
    A man and a woman having a “fight” is certainly not a private matter, particularly if the late night altercation can be heard by residents all around.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658

    You'd have thought he'd have something prepared......
    His memory's probably not up to it. He'd screw it up.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    IanB2 said:

    Tory members - who have spent years criticising and laughing at Labour members’ loyalty to Corbyn - are now just as blinkered to Johnson’s glaring weaknesses.

    All of them?
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,268

    All of them?
    Very similar proportion as Labour members and Corbyn.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296
    IanB2 said:

    A man and a woman having a “fight” is certainly not a private matter, particularly if the late night altercation can be heard by residents all around.
    If the man in question is hoping to be PM soon, it is clearly in the public interest.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108
    HYUFD said:

    They are factual surveys of public opinion at the time, you can speculate about what the future may be but that is a different matter
    Except for the ones repeatedly showing that most people don’t want Brexit any more, which you are always very quick to try and discredit.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,043
    edited June 2019
    IanB2 said:

    Tory members - who have spent years criticising and laughing at Labour members’ loyalty to Corbyn - are now just as blinkered to Johnson’s glaring weaknesses.

    To be fair to Corbyn and Labour he says what most Labour members in their hearts believe as does Boris to Tory members.

    We already have a LD party for those for whom bring centrist liberal Remainers is the be all and end all
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,809

    Now you are in the realms of fantasy.

    True. But if we accept that he was then the next proposition of the 'little brain teaser' - that he is harassing them and putting hostile posters on their window - stacks up perfectly well.

    Don't know whose side I'd be on in that case. Is Nigel giving them grief just because they are immigrants? Or is it because they are playing roots reggae 24/7 at bone crunching volume and making his life a misery? These are the questions I would be asking.
  • alex. said:

    HYUFD - If Boris publicly announced that his Brexit plan was to call a general Election do you think that would make him more or less likely to get the support of the Tory membership?

    Whether they are right or wrong, MORE is the answer to your question. It is kind of assumed that might happen. But, there will have to be an agreement with Farage or else Farage will have to be shown to have refused an agreement.

    No Deal has not been voted down yet. VONC ? there will be a lot of abstentions, well over 20 anyway.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,268
    IanB2 said:

    The parking wardens round there need to sharpen up. They could visit morning and evening and hit him for £40 (£80 if not paid promptly, which seems likely in his case) a time. That’s about £20,000 a year, pro-rated to the amount of time his car is there.
    I imagine they will be on the lookout from now on!
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,290

    Character of potential PM is not a public matter?
    Look, it's very simple. Boris is a rich Tory. The party faithful like him, and that's all you need to know. So stop with the impertinent questioning. You'll be expecting a vote next... :)
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,043
    edited June 2019

    You spun The Sun "After being told he had to sit in the hot seat for less than 10 minutes more he quipped" as "He asked how long left, Dale said 10 minutes" missing the "less than" and "quipped" from The Sun's reporting. Which went to the original point - has Boris lost The Sun? With unfriendly reporting like that...possibly....
    Boris has not lost the Sun, I suspect the Sun will be neutral in the leadership race but endorse whoever wins and the Tories provided they deliver Brexit. If not the Sun might even back Farage and the Brexit Party
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,043
    IanB2 said:

    Except for the ones repeatedly showing that most people don’t want Brexit any more, which you are always very quick to try and discredit.
    Which ones? There has been very little change since the referendum in reality
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    viewcode said:

    He has a well-insulated cellar, with gutters in the floor to carry away the blood and smaller bits. The rest are mopped up by blinded servants who are descended from 19th Century family captives, kept in the dark and chained near the cesspit. One word of complaint and they are thrown into the pit, never to return. The few recordings to have made it out are handled under SCP protocols. Escapees do not live long, and autopsies cannot cope with their changed anatomy. Study is therefore difficult.
    How do you know that?
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    viewcode said:

    Look, it's very simple. Boris is a rich Tory. The party faithful like him, and that's all you need to know. So stop with the impertinent questioning. You'll be expecting a vote next... :)
    I know its old fashioned....but some of us would like a competent PM.....which leaves the choice the members may well not vote for....
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    viewcode said:

    I know. People doing things for free. Must be political then. What other motives could humans possibly have?
    It’s the early hours of the morning

    You’ve not had much sleep what with the police wanting to talk to you

    So do you (a) call the Guardian and wait up for them to collect the recording or (b) go to sleep.

    They must have really wanted to select (a). Most normal people will have done (b)

    Why did they choose (a)?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108

    All of them?
    A majority of them, insofar as posts to social media and political discussions are an indication. The ballot will give us the precise numbers.

    The rest are already finding that they aren’t welcome in what the Conservative Party has become. To stick around they will have to follow HY’s trajectory from Remain voter to Farage groupie.
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Charles said:

    Nope.

    It’s only justified if there’s a Public Interest in the matter.

    Man and girlfriend have fight is a private matter
    Sort of. That is an argument why we shouldn't delve further into the matter, but we are entitled to take it into account when assessing Johnson's fitness for office if he lacks the discretion to keep it private in the first place.

    I was probably still having loud shouty arguments involving wine spillage with girlfriends when I was 31, but sure as hell not when I was 55. The incident and the borderlie-eeeeuw age gap tell us something about Johnson.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Character of potential PM is not a public matter?
    Sure. But this doesn’t speak to character. He spilt wine. His girlfriend yelled at him.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    This is all getting silly
    Did Johnson have a row with his girl friend in the early hours of the morning that could be heard by neighbours using language that could raise concern? Yes, it really is irrelevant how or why they recorded it, it happened. There is no dispute about whether it happened. So you now have to make your mind up on whether it is of importance in terms of his qualifications to be PM. I would only say that someone one the verge of achieving his lifetime ambition is stupid enough to end up in this situation is beyond belief.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    IanB2 said:

    A man and a woman having a “fight” is certainly not a private matter, particularly if the late night altercation can be heard by residents all around.
    It’s not a matter of Public Interest
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108
    edited June 2019
    Charles said:

    It’s the early hours of the morning

    You’ve not had much sleep what with the police wanting to talk to you

    So do you (a) call the Guardian and wait up for them to collect the recording or (b) go to sleep.

    They must have really wanted to select (a). Most normal people will have done (b)

    Why did they choose (a)?
    Does it really matter? Plenty of people are dobbed in for crimes by people with a motive. At the end of the day what matters is what transpired, not why it was reported.

    And in this case what matters is not so much the facts of the case - that probably are overblown as per the OP - as the foretaste of a future of gaffes, embarrassments and incident after incident if the Tories’ geriatric membership is foolish enough to elect this Bozo as our PM.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,290
    Charles said:

    How do you know that?
    Guttering doesn't install itself... :)
  • Wulfrun_PhilWulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,780

    I don't believe it is established in any way at all that money changed hands for the recordings.

    OK I amend my point to read "pass on to them" rather than "sell to them". Whether money changed hands it beside the point.

    If they passed it to the Guardian for nothing it is more consistent that there is a political motivation behind this, namely that they disagree with Johnson politically and saw an opportunity to damage him. If on the other hand they sold it to the Guardian it is consistent with them being in it just for the money. Either way, the act of passing the details on to a newspaper known to be hostile to Johnson casts doubt upon their motives, the extent to which their version can be relied upon and whether the incident really warranted their calling the police at all. If they were merely concerned neighbours they would have just called the police and left it at that.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,268
    Charles said:

    Sure. But this doesn’t speak to character. He spilt wine. His girlfriend yelled at him.
    His girlfriend said he "doesnt care for anything because youre spoilt", sounds like a character flaw to me. Most people would have realised he does not care for anything bar himself already but this re-enforces it.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    edited June 2019
    Charles said:

    He spilt wine. His girlfriend yelled at him.
    You're better than this.

    She also is alleged to have said "“get off me” and “get out of my flat”.

    In a reasonable person that might raise concerns for her safety and explain the actions her neighbours took., wrt the Police, if not the press.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,454
    This has always been a majority Tory site. If HYUFD has to be a one man barricade for Boris it looks like things aren't going swimmingly
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422

    If they passed it to the Guardian for nothing it is more consistent that there is a political motivation behind this, namely that they disagree with Johnson politically and saw an opportunity to damage him. If on the other hand they sold it to the Guardian it is consistent with them being in it just for the money. Either way, the act of passing the details on to a newspaper known to be hostile to Johnson casts doubt upon their motives
    Neither way they can win, in your analysis.

    How about if they'd sold it to The Sun?

    Would that make it ok?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,247
    Charles said:

    It’s not a matter of Public Interest
    It is when in 4 weeks the protagonist expects to move to 10 Downing St!

    If it was Jo Bloggs, then it is not.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,335
    Roger said:

    This has always been a majority Tory site. If HYUFD has to be a one man barricade for Boris it looks like things aren't going swimmingly

    Unfair, Charles is behind the lines in the Chateau making supportive noises.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    HYUFD said:

    Once any party gets over 20% it is almost guaranteed at least 50 MPs even with no campaigning at all and even under FPTP.

    With all parties less than 30% the Brexit Party would get significantly more than that
    That certainly was not true of the Alliance parties in the elections of 1983 & 1987 when they polled 26% and 23% respectively. Nor did it happen in February 1974 when the Liberals polled almost 20% despite failing to contest a hundred seats.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,809
    IanB2 said:

    Tory members - who have spent years criticising and laughing at Labour members’ loyalty to Corbyn - are now just as blinkered to Johnson’s glaring weaknesses.

    MPs as well in this case. I think they are more culpable than the members. They know him.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    Quick straw poll -

    I'm sure

    i) we've all had rows with our partners and

    ii) we've all had nosey neighbours.

    How many times have we had the Police called as a result?


    Perhaps I'm dull - but - zero.
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    I'm perhaps turning into a young fogey without the young bit, but the more I think about it the more I think this sort of stuff is acceptable in first year undergraduates, and rock stars, and in no one else, and that it feeds a lot of stuff that I vaguely thought about Johnson anyway.
  • blueblueblueblue Posts: 875

    Quick straw poll -

    I'm sure

    i) we've all had rows with our partners and

    ii) we've all had nosey neighbours.

    How many times have we had the Police called as a result?


    Perhaps I'm dull - but - zero.

    How many times have you been on the cusp of becoming PM with both your person and major policy platform bitterly opposed by 80%+ of your neighbours?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,809
    Charles said:

    It’s the early hours of the morning

    You’ve not had much sleep what with the police wanting to talk to you

    So do you (a) call the Guardian and wait up for them to collect the recording or (b) go to sleep.

    They must have really wanted to select (a). Most normal people will have done (b)

    Why did they choose (a)?

    To damage the political prospects of Boris Johnson.

    Perfectly honourable so long as the information is true and gleaned legally.

    Noble even.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    Ishmael_Z said:

    I'm perhaps turning into a young fogey without the young bit, but the more I think about it the more I think this sort of stuff is acceptable in first year undergraduates, and rock stars, and in no one else, and that it feeds a lot of stuff that I vaguely thought about Johnson anyway.

    I've lived in a range of accommodation over the years - from Student to twenty-somethngs and there have been the odd altercation.....but in my later years, none involving 55 year olds.....
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,518
    edited June 2019
    HYUFD said:

    Once any party gets over 20% it is almost guaranteed at least 50 MPs even with no campaigning at all and even under FPTP.

    With all parties less than 30% the Brexit Party would get significantly more than that
    The history of the Liberal party in its various previous forms would rather disagree with you even with intensive campaigning. Not sure where you go that idea from. When your vote is spread evenly the situation is hopeless. Once of course you break a much higher figure you then win everything, such is the nonsense of FPTP if you have an even spread of support against parties who don't.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108

    Quick straw poll -

    I'm sure

    i) we've all had rows with our partners and

    ii) we've all had nosey neighbours.

    How many times have we had the Police called as a result?


    Perhaps I'm dull - but - zero.

    That does depend on the intensity of the altercation. I live half way up a hill above a main road, and a couple of years ago I was awoken at about 1 am by a very intense altercation coming from one of the houses along the road below. I could clearly hear shouting and screaming from both a man and a woman, and I clearly heard the woman scream comments such as “get off me” and “leave me alone”. I was lying in bed thinking about calling the Police, when the Police actually turned up, presumably called by another neighbour. I was quite sure this was the right thing to have done - and would like to think that given another five minutes of hearing similar stuff I would have done so myself.
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    edited June 2019
    alex. said:
    I would have said his statement was completely hypocritical.

    "I would ask that you leave private citizens alone and focus instead on those who have chosen to run for power within the public eye."

    He seems to think people who run for power have no right to any private life -- unlike in his words, "private citizens", who must be protected.

    Is Carrie not a private citizen?

    "As per the wee bar code and the serial number under your right armpit you are now built and owned by the state and you’re under the spotlight You know what you are? You’re a fucking human dart-board. And Eric fucking Bristow’s on the oche throwing a million darts made of human shit right at you.”

    Really, god knows why anyone wants to be a politician. And politicians of other parties actually collude in the darts-throwing, knowing their turn will come in time to be the dartboard covered in human shit.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    blueblue said:

    How many times have you been on the cusp of becoming PM with both your person and major policy platform bitterly opposed by 80%+ of your neighbours?
    How many times have you had your neighbours concerned for your safety?
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,079
    Latest EMA:
    Con 21.7%. Lab 25.0%, LD 18.1%, Brex 22.2% Grn 7.0%

    Lab just in the lead. The shares are at a tipping point under FPTP.

    Con 107
    Lab 248
    LD 65
    Brex 158
    Grn 1
    PC 2
    SNP 51
    NI 18

    Lab 78 short of an overall majority. Need LD and SNP support.
    Con + Brex is 265 seats.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108
    kinabalu said:

    MPs as well in this case. I think they are more culpable than the members. They know him.
    Yes, the big difference between Corbyn’s Labour and the Bozo-child’s Tories is that in the former case at least the (majority of) MPs never acclaimed him as their appropriate leader.
  • blueblueblueblue Posts: 875
    Barnesian said:

    Latest EMA:
    Con 21.7%. Lab 25.0%, LD 18.1%, Brex 22.2% Grn 7.0%

    Lab just in the lead. The shares are at a tipping point under FPTP.

    Con 107
    Lab 248
    LD 65
    Brex 158
    Grn 1
    PC 2
    SNP 51
    NI 18

    Lab 78 short of an overall majority. Need LD and SNP support.
    Con + Brex is 265 seats.

    Terrible to have Labour be the largest party by such a big margin, but apart from that, not unbearable - no Brexit, and no Venezuela.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108
    kjh said:

    The history of the Liberal party in its various previous forms would rather disagree with you even with intensive campaigning. Not sure where you go that idea from. When your vote is spread evenly the situation is hopeless. Once of course you break a much higher figure you then win everything, such is the nonsense of FPTP if you have an even spread of support against parties who don't.
    As a country we’d be a lot better off with a system that rewarded, rather than penalised, parties that can draw their support evenly across different geographies and communities.
  • FenmanFenman Posts: 1,047

    You're better than this.

    She also is alleged to have said "“get off me” and “get out of my flat”.

    In a reasonable person that might raise concerns for her safety and explain the actions her neighbours took., wrt the Police, if not the press.
    It's worth noting that in France it is an offence not to notify the police if you have reasonable grounds to believe an offence is or has been committed.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    kinabalu said:

    To damage the political prospects of Boris Johnson.

    Perfectly honourable so long as the information is true and gleaned legally.

    Noble even.
    Quite agree why do people rush to his defense based on issues of privacy and political bias? It happened, there is no dispute, now make your own mind up nobody is asking for anything more.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,290

    ..."As per the wee bar code and the serial number under your right armpit you are now built and owned by the state and you’re under the spotlight You know what you are? You’re a fucking human dart-board. And Eric fucking Bristow’s on the oche throwing a million darts made of human shit right at you.” ...

    https://www.imdb.com/title/tt1534321/characters/nm0134922

  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    Fenman said:



    It's worth noting that in France it is an offence not to notify the police if you have reasonable grounds to believe an offence is or has been committed.

    And once the police have confirmed no offence was committed, is it compulsory to let the Guardian know ?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,247

    I've lived in a range of accommodation over the years - from Student to twenty-somethngs and there have been the odd altercation.....but in my later years, none involving 55 year olds.....
    I have seen plenty at that age and older with physical injuries from domestic violence conflicts.

    I am not sure that last nights incident adds much to what we know of Boris. Who didn't know that he is a spoilt brat who cares little for other people, and has a history of failed relationships?
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201
    edited June 2019
    Telegraph have a Comres poll of Tory Councillors.

    61% Boris 39% Hunt,
    83% no deal brexit if no better deal than WA by Oct 31st.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,247
    Barnesian said:

    Latest EMA:
    Con 21.7%. Lab 25.0%, LD 18.1%, Brex 22.2% Grn 7.0%

    Lab just in the lead. The shares are at a tipping point under FPTP.

    Con 107
    Lab 248
    LD 65
    Brex 158
    Grn 1
    PC 2
    SNP 51
    NI 18

    Lab 78 short of an overall majority. Need LD and SNP support.
    Con + Brex is 265 seats.

    EMA? is that a polling meta analysis?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108
    blueblue said:

    Terrible to have Labour be the largest party by such a big margin, but apart from that, not unbearable - no Brexit, and no Venezuela.
    And it would be an election night worth staying up for.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483

    Telegraph have a Comres poll of Tory Councillors.

    61% Boris 39% Hunt,
    83% no deal brexit if no better deal than WA by Oct 31st.

    Please can we have videoed session of a group of Tory councilors explaining how no-deal works and what the implications are without falling back on the programmed mantra of WTO and GATT 24?
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    NEW THREAD
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,728

    And once the police have confirmed no offence was committed, is it compulsory to let the Guardian know ?
    No - but neither is it forbidden.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,728
    kinabalu said:

    To damage the political prospects of Boris Johnson.

    Perfectly honourable so long as the information is true and gleaned legally.

    Noble even.
    Or to get their story out before the professional spinners started on them.
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    Nigelb said:

    No - but neither is it forbidden.
    But the sanctimonious Tom Bell says "I would ask that you leave private citizens alone and focus instead on those who have chosen to run for power within the public eye."

    Is Carrie not a private citizen?
  • PaulMPaulM Posts: 613

    Well, we'll know when the Sundays come out if anyone knows.

    I did think Boris gave a stupidly poor answer to Iain Dale's very obvious first question. He should have put it into the third person and said something like. "There was an incident where the police were called to our flat, not by us. This was most unfortunate and neither Carrie ( is it Carrie, shows how much I care ) nor I are able to discuss this matter further."

    To any follow up question he could then have said "It was most unfortunate."
    I know he's expected to be a cad but to refer to his current live in lover on TV as " Carrie ( is it Carrie, shows how much I care ) " would seem a bit rum :)

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,043
    Roger said:

    This has always been a majority Tory site. If HYUFD has to be a one man barricade for Boris it looks like things aren't going swimmingly

    Utter rubbish this is a Remainer dominated site
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108
    edited June 2019
    HYUFD said:

    Utter rubbish this is a Remainer dominated site
    Only because it is mostly frequented by educated politically interested people.

    We have a fair dollop of leavers, but a fair few of them seem to have left the country already.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    alex. said:

    "Once clear that no one was harmed, I contacted the Guardian, as I felt it was of important public interest."

    Ok. LOL.

  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    You're better than this.

    She also is alleged to have said "“get off me” and “get out of my flat”.

    In a reasonable person that might raise concerns for her safety and explain the actions her neighbours took., wrt the Police, if not the press.
    I have no problem with the police

    My argument is that there is no public interest in the Guardian publishing the story

    That’s all
This discussion has been closed.