politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » At GE2017 six times as many CON voters said Brexit was the dec
Comments
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Do you not see this regime of Mrs May`s as the beginning of a brutal dictatorship?Sean_F said:
"The Spanish Civil War"? A war in which a million people were killed, and a brutal dictatorship came to power? Get real..anothernick said:
Your friend was right. Nothing good will come from the referendum. Nothing. It is the biggest act of national self-harm since the Spanish civil war. All of Europe will be diminished economically, socially and politically and the UK will suffer most of all.Nigel_Foremain said:
And what would be an "excellent result" for UK plc.? can someone please tell me? A friend said to me shortly after the referendum result that nothing good will come from it, and that is looking like a pretty good prediction. It is all a pointless farce, unless you are a journalist or a politician, in which case it is a jolly jape, and who cares if lots of people lose their jobs? Price worth paying old bean they might say while privately sipping their vintage Krug.Sean_F said:
Which I've never understood. A backstop which saw the whole UK aligned with the EU would surely be an excellent result for the EU.Pulpstar said:
Didn't Barnier rule this out ?TOPPING said:I think we are reaching some sort of an endgame now (ha haha hahahahaha).
But anyway. It is clear that May is presenting the no Irish Sea border as her totemic fight against the EU.
https://theguardian.com/world/2018/jul/19/theresa-may-i-will-never-accept-eus-ideas-on-irish-brexit-border
https://thetimes.co.uk/article/i-wont-compromise-on-ulster-border-says-may-dsvdrzzhz etc.
As I said late last night, her NI position seems quite coherent. And these headlines are setting up a "victory over Europe" situation.
The backstop document proposed that the whole of the UK would stay in the Customs Union and that there would be no border in the Irish Sea. Her Chequers paper reiterated that and so did Jolyon Maugham's "scoop" quote.
Juncker said that they would examine closely whether the backstop could apply to the whole of the UK and likewise he had been asked again by Chequers.
She is now "challenging" the EU to be flexible. The only way they will do this, IMO, is to accept her plan to allow a common rulebook for the whole of the UK, not just for NI.
This will then be spun as a victory for all concerned.
Does rely on the EU accepting Chequers, extending the alignment to the whole of the UK, that said.0 -
It would be more useful to have a term for those Leavers who aren’t completely cream crackers. It is after all a far smaller group than the frothing loonies who comprise most of the Leave advocates.Alanbrooke said:
we now need a name for Brexit induced insanityPhilip_Thompson said:
Germany chose to invade Poland.anothernick said:
But WW2 was not inflicted by the participants on themselves - in most cases they were forced into it by invasion or threat of invasion. it was, of course, very harmful but most of the participants did not choose out of their own free will to enter the war.Philip_Thompson said:
So Brexit is a bigger act of national self harm than any of WWII?anothernick said:
I said Brexit was the biggest act of national self-harm SINCE the Spanish civil war, which it is.Sean_F said:
"The Spanish Civil War"? A war in which a million people were killed, and a brutal dictatorship came to power?
Get real..
I did not say it was a comparable event to the Spanish Civil War, which it Is not.
Germany chose to invade Russia.
Japan chose to attack America.
All three of those resulted in total disaster for the aggressor ultimately. Millions dead on all sides
But Brexit is worse?
Remonanism - for those who have wanked themselves beyond rationality
Can anyone think of one for ultra leavers ?0 -
Indeed.rkrkrk said:
The key thing is that the views of the voters haven't changed.rottenborough said:
Here's Tony Blair on it all:
https://twitter.com/InstituteGC/status/1020013890950877184
So what happens if Remain loses a second time?
Well we've just trashed the compromise that's been put together - so hard Brexit is the only thing left.
This time, it's clear and unavoidable what Brexit means. Diamond-hard Brexit, with all that entails.
The politicians can't agree on a route to take, because whichever tunnel they look down, they see the light of an oncoming train. All compromises see them slaughtered. Staying in sees them slaughtered. Hard Brexit (which will unavoidably have costs and damages, no matter if you're a Leaver or Remainer) would see them slaughtered - the electorate were assured there wouldn't be these costs (by one side; the other overblew their arguments and have since been discounted).
So all costs and damages will be seen as betrayal. "This wasn't the Brexit we voted for!"
It's the downside of being as ambiguous as possible in the promising and then actually winning.
So a vote will either result in a begrudging "all right then, we'll stay in, but I'm unhappy about it" or will have the voters dip their own hands in the blood and vote for out anyway.
Personally, I think the voters will deny responsibility anyway, even if they do vote on it. For either destination.0 -
Strangely, not.PClipp said:
Do you not see this regime of Mrs May`s as the beginning of a brutal dictatorship?Sean_F said:
"The Spanish Civil War"? A war in which a million people were killed, and a brutal dictatorship came to power? Get real..anothernick said:
Your friend was right. Nothing good will come from the referendum. Nothing. It is the biggest act of national self-harm since the Spanish civil war. All of Europe will be diminished economically, socially and politically and the UK will suffer most of all.Nigel_Foremain said:
And what would be an "excellent result" for UK plc.? can someone please tell me? A friend said to me shortly after the referendum result that nothing good will come from it, and that is looking like a pretty good prediction. It is all a pointless farce, unless you are a journalist or a politician, in which case it is a jolly jape, and who cares if lots of people lose their jobs? Price worth paying old bean they might say while privately sipping their vintage Krug.Sean_F said:
Which I've never understood. A backstop which saw the whole UK aligned with the EU would surely be an excellent result for the EU.Pulpstar said:
Didn't Barnier rule this out ?TOPPING said:I think we are reaching some sort of an endgame now (ha haha hahahahaha).
But anyway. It is clear that May is presenting the no Irish Sea border as her totemic fight against the EU.
https://theguardian.com/world/2018/jul/19/theresa-may-i-will-never-accept-eus-ideas-on-irish-brexit-border
https://thetimes.co.uk/article/i-wont-compromise-on-ulster-border-says-may-dsvdrzzhz etc.
As I said late last night, her NI position seems quite coherent. And these headlines are setting up a "victory over Europe" situation.
The backstop document proposed that the whole of the UK would stay in the Customs Union and that there would be no border in the Irish Sea. Her Chequers paper reiterated that and so did Jolyon Maugham's "scoop" quote.
Juncker said that they would examine closely whether the backstop could apply to the whole of the UK and likewise he had been asked again by Chequers.
She is now "challenging" the EU to be flexible. The only way they will do this, IMO, is to accept her plan to allow a common rulebook for the whole of the UK, not just for NI.
This will then be spun as a victory for all concerned.
Does rely on the EU accepting Chequers, extending the alignment to the whole of the UK, that said.0 -
Yes, I think some of the most vociferous Leavers will become the ones pushing for us to join the Euro. They were dissatisfied with the inherent mediocrity of being half-in, half-out, and will want us to do EU membership properly.HYUFD said:
And if Remain wins do you think Leavers would just lie down and take it? No, they would be cybernats on steroidswilliamglenn said:
The last referendum was a proxy for "Are you happy with the status quo?" The next referendum will be a proxy for "Do you want to hear the word Brexit every day for the next 10 years?"TOPPING said:I think that if there were a second referendum tomorrow then there would be a (perhaps resounding) victory for Leave.
You are not telling me that the workers in Sainsbury's in Grantham will have followed, understood, cared, or been bothered about any of the detail to have emerged since the last time. As far as they know they voted for something and want the govt to get an effing move on.
Those workers in Sainsbury's who voted Remain have followed events with an equal attention to detail and would be irritated that they are being asked to vote again and some might therefore switch their vote.
The fact that some bien pensant dilettante previous Leave journalist or campaigner has seen the light is neither here nor there.0 -
Just watch YouTube of the remain side marches derangement and see when interviewed how bright the remoaners are -it's a laugh I'll give you that.grabcocque said:Brexit Derangement Syndrome
Brexit derangement syndrome is a serious condition that can affect anyone at any time. Somebody you love could be suffering from BRS today.
Some of the symptoms of Brexit Derangement Syndrome include:
Excessive frothing
Having a face made of gammon
Thinking Jacob Rees-Mogg is a "good chap"
General confusion that the world is complex
Anger at foreign people for existing
Talk to your relatives about Brexit Derangement Syndrome today. If you don't, who will?
One Question was asked to a remain marcher - why do you want to stay in the EU and the answer was "Because of the nhs" lol0 -
No - I don't.Tykejohnno said:
You wonder why some posters have strong feelings against you bev.Beverley_C said:
Swivel-eyed loons?Alanbrooke said:
we now need a name for Brexit induced insanity
Remonanism - for those who have wanked themselves beyond rationality
Can anyone think of one for ultra leavers ?
Brexiteers?
Elderly Tory voters?
ERG-ers?
This place is as bad as the rest of the country, massively polarised.
I am a remainer who has remained in the UK and I am fed up watching "patriots" run the country into the ground. I live here. My kids live here. My family and friends live here. I have done my bit and contributed to "the system" and done what I could to make the UK a good place to live. A small bit but every little helps.
Now I sit here and watch ideological nutters stamp on the accelerator and charge for the cliff-edge. There is all sorts of guff about "Short term pain for long term gain" but short-term in the context of national economies often means decades, not months. A whole generation will have to put up with crap because of political laziness and failure to confront the nationalist loons.
So yes, I am thoroughly annoyed, more than a bit jaded and wondering if coming back to PB was a bad mistake.0 -
From a thread by a prominent repentant Leaver (further down he's very good on why the EEA solution proved to be an illusion):AlastairMeeks said:
It would be more useful to have a term for those Leavers who aren’t completely cream crackers. It is after all a far smaller group than the frothing loonies who comprise most of the Leave advocates.Alanbrooke said:
we now need a name for Brexit induced insanityPhilip_Thompson said:
Germany chose to invade Poland.anothernick said:
But WW2 was not inflicted by the participants on themselves - in most cases they were forced into it by invasion or threat of invasion. it was, of course, very harmful but most of the participants did not choose out of their own free will to enter the war.Philip_Thompson said:
So Brexit is a bigger act of national self harm than any of WWII?anothernick said:
I said Brexit was the biggest act of national self-harm SINCE the Spanish civil war, which it is.Sean_F said:
"The Spanish Civil War"? A war in which a million people were killed, and a brutal dictatorship came to power?
Get real..
I did not say it was a comparable event to the Spanish Civil War, which it Is not.
Germany chose to invade Russia.
Japan chose to attack America.
All three of those resulted in total disaster for the aggressor ultimately. Millions dead on all sides
But Brexit is worse?
Remonanism - for those who have wanked themselves beyond rationality
Can anyone think of one for ultra leavers ?
https://twitter.com/rolandmcs/status/1020275210069716997
https://twitter.com/rolandmcs/status/10202752964639662130 -
That seems to be regarding Leave voters with more or less the same contempt you accuse Remainers of doing so...Alanbrooke said:
quiteTOPPING said:I think that if there were a second referendum tomorrow then there would be a (perhaps resounding) victory for Leave.
You are not telling me that the workers in Sainsbury's in Grantham will have followed, understood, cared, or been bothered about any of the detail to have emerged since the last time. As far as they know they voted for something and want the govt to get an effing move on...
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How about "the majority of voters " ?AlastairMeeks said:
It would be more useful to have a term for those Leavers who aren’t completely cream crackers. It is after all a far smaller group than the frothing loonies who comprise most of the Leave advocates.Alanbrooke said:
we now need a name for Brexit induced insanityPhilip_Thompson said:
Germany chose to invade Poland.anothernick said:
But WW2 was not inflicted by the participants on themselves - in most cases they were forced into it by invasion or threat of invasion. it was, of course, very harmful but most of the participants did not choose out of their own free will to enter the war.Philip_Thompson said:
So Brexit is a bigger act of national self harm than any of WWII?anothernick said:
I said Brexit was the biggest act of national self-harm SINCE the Spanish civil war, which it is.Sean_F said:
"The Spanish Civil War"? A war in which a million people were killed, and a brutal dictatorship came to power?
Get real..
I did not say it was a comparable event to the Spanish Civil War, which it Is not.
Germany chose to invade Russia.
Japan chose to attack America.
All three of those resulted in total disaster for the aggressor ultimately. Millions dead on all sides
But Brexit is worse?
Remonanism - for those who have wanked themselves beyond rationality
Can anyone think of one for ultra leavers ?
Most people have accepted we will leave and just don't endlessly bang on about it. It's all about whats important in our life
July Priorities - Brooke Junior Graduation
Sorting him out for work in Paris and Edinburgh
I turned 57 and had a family party weekend
Married 32 years end of the month
July non-priorities - stressing endlessly about Brexit
worry about your house in Essex or the mad paddy you share it with, Brexit is pretty meaningless on the lifeometer0 -
What I can never understand is the pretense that Northern Ireland is 'just like the rest of the UK' when anybody who has visited will attest the opposite.
In what other part of the UK can you legally own a handgun? In what other part are communities segregated by security walls to stop them kicking the sh*t out of each other?
On top of this the DUP has consistently campaigned to have harmonized corporation tax rates with the rest of Ireland, so they're rank hypocrites aswell.
Everybody knows Northern Ireland is different, and should be treated as such. May is just terrified to admit it, and the DUP won't let her.0 -
Strangely, not.Sean_F said:
Do you not see this regime of Mrs May`s as the beginning of a brutal dictatorship?PClipp said:
"The Spanish Civil War"? A war in which a million people were killed, and a brutal dictatorship came to power? Get real..Sean_F said:
Your friend was right. Nothing good will come from the referendum. Nothing. It is the biggest act of national self-harm since the Spanish civil war. All of Europe will be diminished economically, socially and politically and the UK will suffer most of all.anothernick said:
And what would be an "excellent result" for UK plc.? can someone please tell me? A friend said to me shortly after the referendum result that nothing good will come from it, and that is looking like a pretty good prediction. It is all a pointless farce, unless you are a journalist or a politician, in which case it is a jolly jape, and who cares if lots of people lose their jobs? Price worth paying old bean they might say while privately sipping their vintage Krug.Nigel_Foremain said:Which I've never understood. A backstop which saw the whole UK aligned with the EU would surely be an excellent result for the EU.
Well, you wouldn`t. The nationalists thought that Franco`s regime was a good thing too.0 -
Rubbish, if the Euro was a requirement of EU membership for the UK it would have been around 70%+ Leave.williamglenn said:
Yes, I think some of the most vociferous Leavers will become the ones pushing for us to join the Euro. They were dissatisfied with the inherent mediocrity of being half-in, half-out, and will want us to do EU membership properly.HYUFD said:
And if Remain wins do you think Leavers would just lie down and take it? No, they would be cybernats on steroidswilliamglenn said:
The last referendum was a proxy for "Are you happy with the status quo?" The next referendum will be a proxy for "Do you want to hear the word Brexit every day for the next 10 years?"TOPPING said:I think that if there were a second referendum tomorrow then there would be a (perhaps resounding) victory for Leave.
You are not telling me that the workers in Sainsbury's in Grantham will have followed, understood, cared, or been bothered about any of the detail to have emerged since the last time. As far as they know they voted for something and want the govt to get an effing move on.
Those workers in Sainsbury's who voted Remain have followed events with an equal attention to detail and would be irritated that they are being asked to vote again and some might therefore switch their vote.
The fact that some bien pensant dilettante previous Leave journalist or campaigner has seen the light is neither here nor there.
I for one would have voted Leave rather than the Remain vote I eventually cast0 -
Sounds like a fantastic programme of events.Alanbrooke said:
How about "the majority of voters " ?AlastairMeeks said:
It would be more useful to have a term for those Leavers who aren’t completely cream crackers. It is after all a far smaller group than the frothing loonies who comprise most of the Leave advocates.Alanbrooke said:
we now need a name for Brexit induced insanityPhilip_Thompson said:
Germany chose to invade Poland.anothernick said:
But WW2 was not inflicted by the participants on themselves - in most cases they were forced into it by invasion or threat of invasion. it was, of course, very harmful but most of the participants did not choose out of their own free will to enter the war.Philip_Thompson said:
So Brexit is a bigger act of national self harm than any of WWII?anothernick said:
I said Brexit was the biggest act of national self-harm SINCE the Spanish civil war, which it is.Sean_F said:
"The Spanish Civil War"? A war in which a million people were killed, and a brutal dictatorship came to power?
Get real..
I did not say it was a comparable event to the Spanish Civil War, which it Is not.
Germany chose to invade Russia.
Japan chose to attack America.
All three of those resulted in total disaster for the aggressor ultimately. Millions dead on all sides
But Brexit is worse?
Remonanism - for those who have wanked themselves beyond rationality
Can anyone think of one for ultra leavers ?
Most people have accepted we will leave and just don't endlessly bang on about it. It's all about whats important in our life
July Priorities - Brooke Junior Graduation
Sorting him out for work in Paris and Edinburgh
I turned 57 and had a family party weekend
Married 32 years end of the month
July non-priorities - stressing endlessly about Brexit
worry about your house in Essex or the mad paddy you share it with, Brexit is pretty meaningless on the lifeometer
But. As you did this morning, your coming onto a political chatroom website and positioning yourself as being above chatting about politics because everyone else on the political chatroom website is chatting about politics is not your finest characteristic.0 -
Yes, correct.Alanbrooke said:I thought you were on the record for saying you'll vote Jezza ? Non ?
I am also on record as saying that I wish I had a better option than that. Voting for Jezza is only marginally better than voting for the current shower.0 -
We're discussing the future, HYUFD, not the past.HYUFD said:
Rubbish, if the Euro was a requirement of EU membership for the UK it would have been 70%+ Leave.williamglenn said:
Yes, I think some of the most vociferous Leavers will become the ones pushing for us to join the Euro. They were dissatisfied with the inherent mediocrity of being half-in, half-out, and will want us to do EU membership properly.HYUFD said:
And if Remain wins do you think Leavers would just lie down and take it? No, they would be cybernats on steroidswilliamglenn said:
The last referendum was a proxy for "Are you happy with the status quo?" The next referendum will be a proxy for "Do you want to hear the word Brexit every day for the next 10 years?"TOPPING said:I think that if there were a second referendum tomorrow then there would be a (perhaps resounding) victory for Leave.
You are not telling me that the workers in Sainsbury's in Grantham will have followed, understood, cared, or been bothered about any of the detail to have emerged since the last time. As far as they know they voted for something and want the govt to get an effing move on.
Those workers in Sainsbury's who voted Remain have followed events with an equal attention to detail and would be irritated that they are being asked to vote again and some might therefore switch their vote.
The fact that some bien pensant dilettante previous Leave journalist or campaigner has seen the light is neither here nor there.
I for one would have voted Leave rather than the Remain vote I eventually cast0 -
Oh I’m long since reconciled to the long term decline of Britain taking place as a result of the Brexit vote. It’s a crying shame but I’m not among the ones worst affected by it.Alanbrooke said:
How about "the majority of voters " ?AlastairMeeks said:
It would be more useful to have a term for those Leavers who aren’t completely cream crackers. It is after all a far smaller group than the frothing loonies who comprise most of the Leave advocates.Alanbrooke said:
we now need a name for Brexit induced insanityPhilip_Thompson said:
Germany chose to invade Poland.anothernick said:
But WW2 was not inflicted by the participants on themselves - in most cases they were forced into it by invasion or threat of invasion. it was, of course, very harmful but most of the participants did not choose out of their own free will to enter the war.Philip_Thompson said:
So Brexit is a bigger act of national self harm than any of WWII?anothernick said:
I said Brexit was the biggest act of national self-harm SINCE the Spanish civil war, which it is.Sean_F said:
"The Spanish Civil War"? A war in which a million people were killed, and a brutal dictatorship came to power?
Get real..
I did not say it was a comparable event to the Spanish Civil War, which it Is not.
Germany chose to invade Russia.
Japan chose to attack America.
All three of those resulted in total disaster for the aggressor ultimately. Millions dead on all sides
But Brexit is worse?
Remonanism - for those who have wanked themselves beyond rationality
Can anyone think of one for ultra leavers ?
Most people have accepted we will leave and just don't endlessly bang on about it. It's all about whats important in our life
July Priorities - Brooke Junior Graduation
Sorting him out for work in Paris and Edinburgh
I turned 57 and had a family party weekend
Married 32 years end of the month
July non-priorities - stressing endlessly about Brexit
worry about your house in Essex or the mad paddy you share it with, Brexit is pretty meaningless on the lifeometer0 -
Well, you wouldn`t. The nationalists thought that Franco`s regime was a good thing too.PClipp said:
Strangely, not.Sean_F said:
Do you not see this regime of Mrs May`s as the beginning of a brutal dictatorship?PClipp said:
"The Spanish Civil War"? A war in which a million people were killed, and a brutal dictatorship came to power? Get real..Sean_F said:
Your friend was right. Nothing good will come from the referendum. Nothing. It is the biggest act of national self-harm since the Spanish civil war. All of Europe will be diminished economically, socially and politically and the UK will suffer most of all.anothernick said:
And what would be an "excellent result" for UK plc.? can someone please tell me? A friend said to me shortly after the referendum result that nothing good will come from it, and that is looking like a pretty good prediction. It is all a pointless farce, unless you are a journalist or a politician, in which case it is a jolly jape, and who cares if lots of people lose their jobs? Price worth paying old bean they might say while privately sipping their vintage Krug.Nigel_Foremain said:Which I've never understood. A backstop which saw the whole UK aligned with the EU would surely be an excellent result for the EU.
I can think of a few minor differences between May and Franco:-
1. She hasn't executed thousands of opponents
2. She hasn't banned trade unions
3. She hasn't lead an armed uprising against the government
4. She doesn't run concentration camps.
This site has become bizarre today.
0 -
Outside of London, two generations have had to put up with smug europhiles obsessing about our place in europe.Beverley_C said:
No - I don't.Tykejohnno said:
You wonder why some posters have strong feelings against you bev.Beverley_C said:
Swivel-eyed loons?Alanbrooke said:
we now need a name for Brexit induced insanity
Remonanism - for those who have wanked themselves beyond rationality
Can anyone think of one for ultra leavers ?
Brexiteers?
Elderly Tory voters?
ERG-ers?
This place is as bad as the rest of the country, massively polarised.
I am a remainer who has remained in the UK and I am fed up watching "patriots" run the country into the ground. I live here. My kids live here. My family and friends live here. I have done my bit and contributed to "the system" and done what I could to make the UK a good place to live. A small bit but every little helps.
Now I sit here and watch ideological nutters stamp on the accelerator and charge for the cliff-edge. There is all sorts of guff about "Short term pain for long term gain" but short-term in the context of national economies often means decades, not months. A whole generation will have to put up with crap because of political laziness and failure to confront the nationalist loons.
So yes, I am thoroughly annoyed, more than a bit jaded and wondering if coming back to PB was a bad mistake.
Hence Brexit.
And, to return to an earlier few posts; look at the uptick in Tory vote in e.g. Dorset, in 2017 vs 2015.
I canvassed many voters who switched Tory because of their admiration for actually following through on the referendum vote.
0 -
Well yes and noTOPPING said:
Sounds like a fantastic programme of events.Alanbrooke said:
How about "the majority of voters " ?AlastairMeeks said:
It would be more useful to have a term for those Leavers who aren’t completely cream crackers. It is after all a far smaller group than the frothing loonies who comprise most of the Leave advocates.Alanbrooke said:
we now need a name for Brexit induced insanityPhilip_Thompson said:
Germany chose to invade Poland.anothernick said:
But WW2 was not inflicted by the participants on themselves - in most cases they were forced into it by invasion or threat of invasion. it was, of course, very harmful but most of the participants did not choose out of their own free will to enter the war.Philip_Thompson said:
So Brexit is a bigger act of national self harm than any of WWII?anothernick said:
I said Brexit was the biggest act of national self-harm SINCE the Spanish civil war, which it is.Sean_F said:
"The Spanish Civil War"? A war in which a million people were killed, and a brutal dictatorship came to power?
Get real..
I did not say it was a comparable event to the Spanish Civil War, which it Is not.
Germany chose to invade Russia.
Japan chose to attack America.
All three of those resulted in total disaster for the aggressor ultimately. Millions dead on all sides
But Brexit is worse?
Remonanism - for those who have wanked themselves beyond rationality
Can anyone think of one for ultra leavers ?
Most people have accepted we will leave and just don't endlessly bang on about it. It's all about whats important in our life
July Priorities - Brooke Junior Graduation
Sorting him out for work in Paris and Edinburgh
I turned 57 and had a family party weekend
Married 32 years end of the month
July non-priorities - stressing endlessly about Brexit
worry about your house in Essex or the mad paddy you share it with, Brexit is pretty meaningless on the lifeometer
But. As you did this morning, your coming onto a political chatroom website and positioning yourself as being above chatting about politics because everyone else on the political chatroom website is chatting about politics is not your finest characteristic.
the PB issue is that the ultras have been talking about the same thing for the past 3 years and convincing no one. This is little England writ large.
I ususally make an attempt to post something from Germany or France to add some variety but the usual suspects still cant get over recent history.
I think iI why we have seen long time posters drift off.0 -
Also the cretins talking about the short term pain are all molly coddled millionaires sucking at the public teat, free everything and gold plated pensions, they do not need to worry.Beverley_C said:
No - I don't.Tykejohnno said:
You wonder why some posters have strong feelings against you bev.Beverley_C said:
Swivel-eyed loons?Alanbrooke said:
we now need a name for Brexit induced insanity
Remonanism - for those who have wanked themselves beyond rationality
Can anyone think of one for ultra leavers ?
Brexiteers?
Elderly Tory voters?
ERG-ers?
This place is as bad as the rest of the country, massively polarised.
I am a remainer who has remained in the UK and I am fed up watching "patriots" run the country into the ground. I live here. My kids live here. My family and friends live here. I have done my bit and contributed to "the system" and done what I could to make the UK a good place to live. A small bit but every little helps.
Now I sit here and watch ideological nutters stamp on the accelerator and charge for the cliff-edge. There is all sorts of guff about "Short term pain for long term gain" but short-term in the context of national economies often means decades, not months. A whole generation will have to put up with crap because of political laziness and failure to confront the nationalist loons.
So yes, I am thoroughly annoyed, more than a bit jaded and wondering if coming back to PB was a bad mistake.0 -
You can't undo the referendum result. But you can't undo the last two years either. The leavers have had a government committed to their preferred policy and senior politicians who believe in leave running the process. And it all looks set to deliver chaos. If it does, I think there'll be fairly few leavers who want to stand up and associate themselves with it.HYUFD said:
And if Remain wins do you think most Leavers would just lie down and take it? No, they would be cybernats on steroidswilliamglenn said:
The last referendum was a proxy for "Are you happy with the status quo?" The next referendum will be a proxy for "Do you want to hear the word Brexit every day for the next 10 years?"TOPPING said:I think that if there were a second referendum tomorrow then there would be a (perhaps resounding) victory for Leave.
You are not telling me that the workers in Sainsbury's in Grantham will have followed, understood, cared, or been bothered about any of the detail to have emerged since the last time. As far as they know they voted for something and want the govt to get an effing move on.
Those workers in Sainsbury's who voted Remain have followed events with an equal attention to detail and would be irritated that they are being asked to vote again and some might therefore switch their vote.
The fact that some bien pensant dilettante previous Leave journalist or campaigner has seen the light is neither here nor there.
0 -
HYUFD thinks the sun does not set on the empire and Victoria is in the seatwilliamglenn said:
We're discussing the future, HYUFD, not the past.HYUFD said:
Rubbish, if the Euro was a requirement of EU membership for the UK it would have been 70%+ Leave.williamglenn said:
Yes, I think some of the most vociferous Leavers will become the ones pushing for us to join the Euro. They were dissatisfied with the inherent mediocrity of being half-in, half-out, and will want us to do EU membership properly.HYUFD said:
And if Remain wins do you think Leavers would just lie down and take it? No, they would be cybernats on steroidswilliamglenn said:
The last referendum was a proxy for "Are you happy with the status quo?" The next referendum will be a proxy for "Do you want to hear the word Brexit every day for the next 10 years?"TOPPING said:I think that if there were a second referendum tomorrow then there would be a (perhaps resounding) victory for Leave.
You are not telling me that the workers in Sainsbury's in Grantham will have followed, understood, cared, or been bothered about any of the detail to have emerged since the last time. As far as they know they voted for something and want the govt to get an effing move on.
Those workers in Sainsbury's who voted Remain have followed events with an equal attention to detail and would be irritated that they are being asked to vote again and some might therefore switch their vote.
The fact that some bien pensant dilettante previous Leave journalist or campaigner has seen the light is neither here nor there.
I for one would have voted Leave rather than the Remain vote I eventually cast0 -
What? I never heard Europhiles obsessing about Europe, quite the contrary - the people who obsessed about it where the Tory Eurosceptic wing and UKIP, all Leavers.Mortimer said:Outside of London, two generations have had to put up with smug europhiles obsessing about our place in europe.
Perhaps if the Europhiles did go on about Europe and some of the progress that it made we might have had no Brexit. Alternatively, if Dave & Co back in 2006 had slung them out of the Tory party we might not even have had a Brexit.0 -
Amazingly, and I can't quite believe I'm saying this, but I actually find Brexit absolutely fascinating and am very happy to discuss it on here.Alanbrooke said:Well yes and no
the PB issue is that the ultras have been talking about the same thing for the past 3 years and convincing no one. This is little England writ large.
I ususally make an attempt to post something from Germany or France to add some variety but the usual suspects still cant get over recent history.
I think iI why we have seen long time posters drift off.
So sue me.0 -
There are only about half a dozen people here who are obsessive about it, and I hope you'll skim over them and focus on the rest of us who are pursuing this and other issues in a reasonably amiable way, as per usual. Hope you'll stay!Beverley_C said:
So yes, I am thoroughly annoyed, more than a bit jaded and wondering if coming back to PB was a bad mistake.0 -
skimming over (people who are obsessive about) Brexit is skimming over the most important political issue of our epoch.NickPalmer said:
There are only about half a dozen people here who are obsessive about it, and I hope you'll skim over them and focus on the rest of us who are pursuing this and other issues in a reasonably amiable way, as per usual. Hope you'll stay!Beverley_C said:
So yes, I am thoroughly annoyed, more than a bit jaded and wondering if coming back to PB was a bad mistake.
I would be very sad if any valued poster leaves (apart from XXXX and XXXXXX and...) but Brexit's the only game in town!0 -
And they will continue to rule it out until they don't.HYUFD said:
Rubbish, Thornberry categorically ruled one out yesterday as has Corbyn as they have insisted they must respect the Leave vote which won most Labour seatsrottenborough said:I think it is a racing certainty that the Labour Party will come out in favour of another referendum, probably very soon, meaning probably this Autumn.
http://chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2018/07/this-theatre-of-absurd-is-making.html
Just as they did with customs union membership.0 -
One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/10200672913613127680 -
'Swivel-eyed loons' is taken by UKIPpers, but I suppose they are a subset of ultra leavers.Beverley_C said:
Swivel-eyed loons?Alanbrooke said:
we now need a name for Brexit induced insanity
Remonanism - for those who have wanked themselves beyond rationality
Can anyone think of one for ultra leavers ?
Brexiteers?
Elderly Tory voters?
ERG-ers?
The others are much too polite.0 -
+ 1NickPalmer said:
There are only about half a dozen people here who are obsessive about it, and I hope you'll skim over them and focus on the rest of us who are pursuing this and other issues in a reasonably amiable way, as per usual. Hope you'll stay!Beverley_C said:
So yes, I am thoroughly annoyed, more than a bit jaded and wondering if coming back to PB was a bad mistake.0 -
Do hope you'll stay Beverley, though I can understand why you might not. I have to hold my nose on occasion, but I've been posting here off and on since 2006, so preserving my now ancient ritual is strangely important to me.Beverley_C said:
Yes, correct.Alanbrooke said:I thought you were on the record for saying you'll vote Jezza ? Non ?
I am also on record as saying that I wish I had a better option than that. Voting for Jezza is only marginally better than voting for the current shower.0 -
Eurosceptics make up a vast majority of the Tory membership. Dave himself, ISTR.Beverley_C said:
What? I never heard Europhiles obsessing about Europe, quite the contrary - the people who obsessed about it where the Tory Eurosceptic wing and UKIP, all Leavers.Mortimer said:Outside of London, two generations have had to put up with smug europhiles obsessing about our place in europe.
Perhaps if the Europhiles did go on about Europe and some of the progress that it made we might have had no Brexit. Alternatively, if Dave & Co back in 2006 had slung them out of the Tory party we might not even have had a Brexit.
Without Eurosceptics, the Tories would have been unlikely to survive. Without Leavers, they wouldn’t have won a majority in 2015.0 -
As @FF43 said, it's the most interesting thing to happen in European politics since the collapse of the Soviet Union. Unfortunately we're right in the middle of it (expat Brexiteers excepted).TOPPING said:
Amazingly, and I can't quite believe I'm saying this, but I actually find Brexit absolutely fascinating and am very happy to discuss it on here.Alanbrooke said:Well yes and no
the PB issue is that the ultras have been talking about the same thing for the past 3 years and convincing no one. This is little England writ large.
I ususally make an attempt to post something from Germany or France to add some variety but the usual suspects still cant get over recent history.
I think iI why we have seen long time posters drift off.
So sue me.0 -
The DUP are who the electorate have gone for in Northern Ireland so we should respect their wishes.AllyPally_Rob said:What I can never understand is the pretense that Northern Ireland is 'just like the rest of the UK' when anybody who has visited will attest the opposite.
In what other part of the UK can you legally own a handgun? In what other part are communities segregated by security walls to stop them kicking the sh*t out of each other?
On top of this the DUP has consistently campaigned to have harmonized corporation tax rates with the rest of Ireland, so they're rank hypocrites aswell.
Everybody knows Northern Ireland is different, and should be treated as such. May is just terrified to admit it, and the DUP won't let her.0 -
Not sure why people are saying that opinions haven't changed - polls suggest that about 5% of voters have Bremorse, which is obviously enough to swing the vote. https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/991714149871816704rkrkrk said:
I think that's exactly what the stability of the polls shows.williamglenn said:
The knowledge of the voters has changed so whatever decision we make next time will be more informed, and we will have to accept the consequences of that decision.rkrkrk said:The key thing is that the views of the voters haven't changed.
So what happens if Remain loses a second time?
Well we've just trashed the compromise that's been put together - so hard Brexit is the only thing left.
I don't think you can read into the stability of the polls that people's minds haven't changed. It's really striking how excerpts of the 2016 debates already seem like they come from another era.
I don't think the knowledge of voters has increased very much either.
The fundamental problem I see is that Leave voters were warned of bad consequences and they chose to ignore those warnings, or they think the upsides will be worth it.
Until the decision is tested, and we have actual experience of how it will go, why would you change your mind on the basis of another batch of warnings?0 -
If Blair & Brown had installed some immigration controls in 2004 as other EU countries did then that would certainly have reduced the leave vote.Beverley_C said:
What? I never heard Europhiles obsessing about Europe, quite the contrary - the people who obsessed about it where the Tory Eurosceptic wing and UKIP, all Leavers.Mortimer said:Outside of London, two generations have had to put up with smug europhiles obsessing about our place in europe.
Perhaps if the Europhiles did go on about Europe and some of the progress that it made we might have had no Brexit. Alternatively, if Dave & Co back in 2006 had slung them out of the Tory party we might not even have had a Brexit.0 -
not at all Mr T, you clearly do . But for those of us who dont find it so, we pop in and out in the hope theres something different on the menu occasionally and drift off when it's the same fare as yesterday.TOPPING said:
Amazingly, and I can't quite believe I'm saying this, but I actually find Brexit absolutely fascinating and am very happy to discuss it on here.Alanbrooke said:Well yes and no
the PB issue is that the ultras have been talking about the same thing for the past 3 years and convincing no one. This is little England writ large.
I ususally make an attempt to post something from Germany or France to add some variety but the usual suspects still cant get over recent history.
I think iI why we have seen long time posters drift off.
So sue me.
suum cuique0 -
So what do you think the EU companies that supply Honda at Swindon are going to do?Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/10200672913613127680 -
Just as the heads of government for EU nations aren't directly negotiating with Britain, they have Barnier as their go between, we should do the same until the Irish issue is resolved.
May should appoint Arlene Foster to negotiate on the UK's behalf until the backstop issue is resolved. Get Barnier and Foster to hammer out a deal they can both live with and then we can review it and move on.0 -
But, almost identical to the eve of poll numbers. Still, Remain might well scrape a win, with a second referendum, but I doubt if that would put the issue to bed.Dadge said:
Not sure why people are saying that opinions haven't changed - polls suggest that about 5% of voters have Bremorse, which is obviously enough to swing the vote. https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/991714149871816704rkrkrk said:
I think that's exactly what the stability of the polls shows.williamglenn said:
The knowledge of the voters has changed so whatever decision we make next time will be more informed, and we will have to accept the consequences of that decision.rkrkrk said:The key thing is that the views of the voters haven't changed.
So what happens if Remain loses a second time?
Well we've just trashed the compromise that's been put together - so hard Brexit is the only thing left.
I don't think you can read into the stability of the polls that people's minds haven't changed. It's really striking how excerpts of the 2016 debates already seem like they come from another era.
I don't think the knowledge of voters has increased very much either.
The fundamental problem I see is that Leave voters were warned of bad consequences and they chose to ignore those warnings, or they think the upsides will be worth it.
Until the decision is tested, and we have actual experience of how it will go, why would you change your mind on the basis of another batch of warnings?0 -
An excellent analysis - and one that shows why membership of the SM is so overrated. (1) is a one off measure, and everyone who wants to sell in the World goes through this. (2) introduces some friction but having got your goods certified you know they will get clearance and we also know that the average time it takes to gain customs clearance is less than an hour. Business can adapt to this. (3) is an administrative matter inconvenience but again is a one time step - set up the importer and the it is done. And (4) is a benefit of a FTA over membership of the SM.ralphmalph said:
1) As I said with a free trade agreement you need to take for example a car to an EU member country agency and get the approval paperwork so the car can be sold in the EU with the EU compliant badge. With membership you get approval at your national regulator.
2) with an FTA your goods are still subject to regulatory checks at the border for stuff like packaging, labelling, 1400w motors, class of bananas, etc. With membership no checks at all for compliance.
3) With and FTA you have to have an importer for your products. Car maker A with subsidiary in the EU places order on FTA country for car, imports with paperwork of compliance, sells to end customer in EU. Memberships means end customer can place order directly on manufacturer.
4) FTA regs are agreed as equivalent. FTA country reg z is deemed equivalent to EU reg Z. This is for product, H&S and environmental. Member must follow all EU regs.
Those are the main ones.
The SM facilitates trade - nobody disputes this. But really, the benefits are incremental and not game changing. And this is shown in the evidence, that the creation of the SM did not increase growth rates in the EU and that there is no correlation between the export growth to the EU and SM membership.0 -
their suppliers store them already in their factoriesScott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/1020067291361312768
Robert Harris should stick to writing pulp fiction
0 -
Haha that's about right. I like to think most on here have got a similarly upbeat list of things going on in their real lives as @AlanBrooke (I know I have). But I come on PB for a bit of fun, the chance to debate, argue and yes at times trade insults with people of a different persuasion.TOPPING said:
Sounds like a fantastic programme of events.Alanbrooke said:
How about "the majority of voters " ?AlastairMeeks said:
It would be more useful to have a term for those Leavers who aren’t completely cream crackers. It is after all a far smaller group than the frothing loonies who comprise most of the Leave advocates.Alanbrooke said:
we now need a name for Brexit induced insanityPhilip_Thompson said:
Germany chose to invade Poland.anothernick said:
But WW2 was not inflicted by the participants on themselves - in most cases they were forced into it by invasion or threat of invasion. it was, of course, very harmful but most of the participants did not choose out of their own free will to enter the war.Philip_Thompson said:
So Brexit is a bigger act of national self harm than any of WWII?anothernick said:
I said Brexit was the biggest act of national self-harm SINCE the Spanish civil war, which it is.Sean_F said:
Get real..
I did not say it was a comparable event to the Spanish Civil War, which it Is not.
Germany chose to invade Russia.
Japan chose to attack America.
All three of those resulted in total disaster for the aggressor ultimately. Millions dead on all sides
But Brexit is worse?
Remonanism - for those who have wanked themselves beyond rationality
Can anyone think of one for ultra leavers ?
Most people have accepted we will leave and just don't endlessly bang on about it. It's all about whats important in our life
July Priorities - Brooke Junior Graduation
Sorting him out for work in Paris and Edinburgh
I turned 57 and had a family party weekend
Married 32 years end of the month
July non-priorities - stressing endlessly about Brexit
worry about your house in Essex or the mad paddy you share it with, Brexit is pretty meaningless on the lifeometer
But. As you did this morning, your coming onto a political chatroom website and positioning yourself as being above chatting about politics because everyone else on the political chatroom website is chatting about politics is not your finest characteristic.
I can't see too much harm in it - so long as we all appreciate we will make not a blind bit of difference to the eventual outcome.0 -
Reasonable amiable way ? So she can do the insulting and have no comeback ,very fair of you Nick.NickPalmer said:
There are only about half a dozen people here who are obsessive about it, and I hope you'll skim over them and focus on the rest of us who are pursuing this and other issues in a reasonably amiable way, as per usual. Hope you'll stay!Beverley_C said:
So yes, I am thoroughly annoyed, more than a bit jaded and wondering if coming back to PB was a bad mistake.
If she wants to run away every time someone questions her post then this site isn't for her.0 -
And if Miliband hadn't been so adamanat about us not having a vote on the matter, they also wouldn' have won a majority, I'd suggest.....Mortimer said:
Eurosceptics make up a vast majority of the Tory membership. Dave himself, ISTR.Beverley_C said:
What? I never heard Europhiles obsessing about Europe, quite the contrary - the people who obsessed about it where the Tory Eurosceptic wing and UKIP, all Leavers.Mortimer said:Outside of London, two generations have had to put up with smug europhiles obsessing about our place in europe.
Perhaps if the Europhiles did go on about Europe and some of the progress that it made we might have had no Brexit. Alternatively, if Dave & Co back in 2006 had slung them out of the Tory party we might not even have had a Brexit.
Without Eurosceptics, the Tories would have been unlikely to survive. Without Leavers, they wouldn’t have won a majority in 2015.0 -
Nissan produce 3 times the cars that Honda do so have you asked yourself the basic question "Why does Nissan not already have the 3rd Largest warehouse on earth?"Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/10200672913613127680 -
Welcome back Beverley, good to see you here again.Beverley_C said:
Do what many Leavers seem to do - leave. There is Australia, Dubai, LA, France, Italy ....rkrkrk said:
The key thing is that the views of the voters haven't changed.rottenborough said:
Here's Tony Blair on it all:
twitter.com/InstituteGC/status/1020013890950877184
So what happens if Remain loses a second time?
(Waves from Dubai)
0 -
Soooo...the sovereign UK decides that car components that comply with EU standards will get automatic customs clearance at the border.Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/1020067291361312768
What was the problem again?0 -
Football pitches are two-dimensional.Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/10200672913613127680 -
That's a bit harsh. Fatherland, Archangel, The Ghost and Munich, for example, are a cut above pulp fiction.Alanbrooke said:
their suppliers store them already in their factoriesScott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/1020067291361312768
Robert Harris should stick to writing pulp fiction0 -
That's one question, but even as a Spitfire-polishing Brexiteer, the logical answer is for Honda to move its manufacturing out of the UK. I wish I could recall where I saw the analysis (possibly the IFS, I'll dig around), but the regional breakdown of a WTO-based Brexit still forecast healthy long term trend growth (to 2030) of the economy overall, but it was a somewhat different economy in sectoral terms; London and the South East were predicted to do very well out of Brexit, but auto manufacturing? No.currystar said:
So what do you think the EU companies that supply Honda at Swindon are going to do?Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/10200672913613127680 -
Supply Suzuki in Esztergom, Hungary?currystar said:
So what do you think the EU companies that supply Honda at Swindon are going to do?Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/10200672913613127680 -
It's like trying to explain fire to a goldfishralphmalph said:
Nissan produce 3 times the cars that Honda do so have you asked yourself the basic question "Why does Nissan not already have the 3rd Largest warehouse on earth?"Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/10200672913613127680 -
Don't let common sense and logic get in the way of a good whine.archer101au said:
Soooo...the sovereign UK decides that car components that comply with EU standards will get automatic customs clearance at the border.Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/1020067291361312768
What was the problem again?0 -
Nevermind, they can all get jobs in call centres to service the booming Indian consumer market.John_M said:That's one question, but even as a Spitfire-polishing Brexiteer, the logical answer is for Honda to move its manufacturing out of the UK.
0 -
Brexit has sent you all insane.0
-
The logical answer is that Honda will utilise more mobile warehouses, sometimes called lorries.John_M said:
That's one question, but even as a Spitfire-polishing Brexiteer, the logical answer is for Honda to move its manufacturing out of the UK. I wish I could recall where I saw the analysis (possibly the IFS, I'll dig around), but the regional breakdown of a WTO-based Brexit still forecast healthy long term trend growth (to 2030) of the economy overall, but it was a somewhat different economy in sectoral terms; London and the South East were predicted to do very well out of Brexit, but auto manufacturing? No.currystar said:
So what do you think the EU companies that supply Honda at Swindon are going to do?Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/10200672913613127680 -
5 years ago how may people predicted that the UK economy would be in the position that it is now. Good old Danny Blanchflower was predicting that we would have 5 million plus unemployed. The vast majority of economic predictions are totally wrong.John_M said:
That's one question, but even as a Spitfire-polishing Brexiteer, the logical answer is for Honda to move its manufacturing out of the UK. I wish I could recall where I saw the analysis (possibly the IFS, I'll dig around), but the regional breakdown of a WTO-based Brexit still forecast healthy long term trend growth (to 2030) of the economy overall, but it was a somewhat different economy in sectoral terms; London and the South East were predicted to do very well out of Brexit, but auto manufacturing? No.currystar said:
So what do you think the EU companies that supply Honda at Swindon are going to do?Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/10200672913613127680 -
OK, so Scotland gets to stay in the EU. Fair.Philip_Thompson said:
The DUP are who the electorate have gone for in Northern Ireland so we should respect their wishes.AllyPally_Rob said:What I can never understand is the pretense that Northern Ireland is 'just like the rest of the UK' when anybody who has visited will attest the opposite.
In what other part of the UK can you legally own a handgun? In what other part are communities segregated by security walls to stop them kicking the sh*t out of each other?
On top of this the DUP has consistently campaigned to have harmonized corporation tax rates with the rest of Ireland, so they're rank hypocrites aswell.
Everybody knows Northern Ireland is different, and should be treated as such. May is just terrified to admit it, and the DUP won't let her.0 -
Checking shipments to see if they contain car components complying with EU standards? Having to accept product defined by standards we have no control over in a vassaly kind of way?archer101au said:
Soooo...the sovereign UK decides that car components that comply with EU standards will get automatic customs clearance at the border.Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/1020067291361312768
What was the problem again?0 -
And London.Freggles said:
OK, so Scotland gets to stay in the EU. Fair.Philip_Thompson said:
The DUP are who the electorate have gone for in Northern Ireland so we should respect their wishes.AllyPally_Rob said:What I can never understand is the pretense that Northern Ireland is 'just like the rest of the UK' when anybody who has visited will attest the opposite.
In what other part of the UK can you legally own a handgun? In what other part are communities segregated by security walls to stop them kicking the sh*t out of each other?
On top of this the DUP has consistently campaigned to have harmonized corporation tax rates with the rest of Ireland, so they're rank hypocrites aswell.
Everybody knows Northern Ireland is different, and should be treated as such. May is just terrified to admit it, and the DUP won't let her.0 -
Though we shouldn't respect the NI voters' wishes in the EU referendum?Philip_Thompson said:
The DUP are who the electorate have gone for in Northern Ireland so we should respect their wishes.AllyPally_Rob said:What I can never understand is the pretense that Northern Ireland is 'just like the rest of the UK' when anybody who has visited will attest the opposite.
In what other part of the UK can you legally own a handgun? In what other part are communities segregated by security walls to stop them kicking the sh*t out of each other?
On top of this the DUP has consistently campaigned to have harmonized corporation tax rates with the rest of Ireland, so they're rank hypocrites aswell.
Everybody knows Northern Ireland is different, and should be treated as such. May is just terrified to admit it, and the DUP won't let her.
0 -
+1twistedfirestopper3 said:Brexit has sent you all insane.
0 -
And NI (based on the EU Ref)grabcocque said:
And London.Freggles said:
OK, so Scotland gets to stay in the EU. Fair.Philip_Thompson said:
The DUP are who the electorate have gone for in Northern Ireland so we should respect their wishes.AllyPally_Rob said:What I can never understand is the pretense that Northern Ireland is 'just like the rest of the UK' when anybody who has visited will attest the opposite.
In what other part of the UK can you legally own a handgun? In what other part are communities segregated by security walls to stop them kicking the sh*t out of each other?
On top of this the DUP has consistently campaigned to have harmonized corporation tax rates with the rest of Ireland, so they're rank hypocrites aswell.
Everybody knows Northern Ireland is different, and should be treated as such. May is just terrified to admit it, and the DUP won't let her.
London excepted, I predict that's where we will be in 20 years time.0 -
We don’t have to check them if we don’t want to. We don’t at the moment.Polruan said:
Checking shipments to see if they contain car components complying with EU standards? Having to accept product defined by standards we have no control over in a vassaly kind of way?archer101au said:
Soooo...the sovereign UK decides that car components that comply with EU standards will get automatic customs clearance at the border.Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/1020067291361312768
What was the problem again?
Choosing to accept a standard and having one imposed are rather different things....0 -
the correct response is to localise production to suppliers. That way you cut lead times, add supply chain flexibility and respect the environment.John_M said:
That's one question, but even as a Spitfire-polishing Brexiteer, the logical answer is for Honda to move its manufacturing out of the UK. I wish I could recall where I saw the analysis (possibly the IFS, I'll dig around), but the regional breakdown of a WTO-based Brexit still forecast healthy long term trend growth (to 2030) of the economy overall, but it was a somewhat different economy in sectoral terms; London and the South East were predicted to do very well out of Brexit, but auto manufacturing? No.currystar said:
So what do you think the EU companies that supply Honda at Swindon are going to do?Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/1020067291361312768
0 -
Nationalists get to remain in the EU, Loyalists leave.Benpointer said:
Though we shouldn't respect the NI voters' wishes in the EU referendum?Philip_Thompson said:
The DUP are who the electorate have gone for in Northern Ireland so we should respect their wishes.AllyPally_Rob said:What I can never understand is the pretense that Northern Ireland is 'just like the rest of the UK' when anybody who has visited will attest the opposite.
In what other part of the UK can you legally own a handgun? In what other part are communities segregated by security walls to stop them kicking the sh*t out of each other?
On top of this the DUP has consistently campaigned to have harmonized corporation tax rates with the rest of Ireland, so they're rank hypocrites aswell.
Everybody knows Northern Ireland is different, and should be treated as such. May is just terrified to admit it, and the DUP won't let her.
London, Scotland, Manchester remains. Everywhere else in England leaves.
Wales leaves, except for Cardiff.
EU leavers will be tagged with Max Fac GPS ankle bracelets wherever they go in England to make administering this process simple.0 -
Let me get this straight. They take in 33,333 cubic metres of parts every day. The size of a large (40-foot) shipping container is 67 cubic metres. That means they receive 500 containers of parts every day, or one every 3 minutes. If every container takes 15 minutes to unload, how many unloading bays do they need?Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/1020067291361312768
Show your working.0 -
Also the DUP’s power in this situation derives from their absolute number of seats in the Westminster Parliament, not their relative number of seats in NI. There’s no justification for the position that we should treat the DUP as representing the views of NI simply because May’s electoral failure puts them in a position to extract concessions from the government.Benpointer said:
Though we shouldn't respect the NI voters' wishes in the EU referendum?Philip_Thompson said:
The DUP are who the electorate have gone for in Northern Ireland so we should respect their wishes.AllyPally_Rob said:What I can never understand is the pretense that Northern Ireland is 'just like the rest of the UK' when anybody who has visited will attest the opposite.
In what other part of the UK can you legally own a handgun? In what other part are communities segregated by security walls to stop them kicking the sh*t out of each other?
On top of this the DUP has consistently campaigned to have harmonized corporation tax rates with the rest of Ireland, so they're rank hypocrites aswell.
Everybody knows Northern Ireland is different, and should be treated as such. May is just terrified to admit it, and the DUP won't let her.0 -
... which would get to join the queues at the borders.ralphmalph said:
The logical answer is that Honda will utilise more mobile warehouses, sometimes called lorries.John_M said:
That's one question, but even as a Spitfire-polishing Brexiteer, the logical answer is for Honda to move its manufacturing out of the UK. I wish I could recall where I saw the analysis (possibly the IFS, I'll dig around), but the regional breakdown of a WTO-based Brexit still forecast healthy long term trend growth (to 2030) of the economy overall, but it was a somewhat different economy in sectoral terms; London and the South East were predicted to do very well out of Brexit, but auto manufacturing? No.currystar said:
So what do you think the EU companies that supply Honda at Swindon are going to do?Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/10200672913613127680 -
It's hard to make a snap judgment on polite, diplomatic, accented English/translated French, but it sounds rather like Barnier has marked TMay's homework "4/10 - try harder" and sent her away to have another go?
(Although I note he started with some welcomes for stuff like limited ECJ jurisdiction etc etc)0 -
Better still, just let individuals choose. For the record I'd like to keep my EU citizenship.grabcocque said:
Nationalists get to remain in the EU, Loyalists leave.Benpointer said:
Though we shouldn't respect the NI voters' wishes in the EU referendum?Philip_Thompson said:
The DUP are who the electorate have gone for in Northern Ireland so we should respect their wishes.AllyPally_Rob said:What I can never understand is the pretense that Northern Ireland is 'just like the rest of the UK' when anybody who has visited will attest the opposite.
In what other part of the UK can you legally own a handgun? In what other part are communities segregated by security walls to stop them kicking the sh*t out of each other?
On top of this the DUP has consistently campaigned to have harmonized corporation tax rates with the rest of Ireland, so they're rank hypocrites aswell.
Everybody knows Northern Ireland is different, and should be treated as such. May is just terrified to admit it, and the DUP won't let her.
London, Scotland, Manchester remains. Everywhere else in England leaves.
Wales leaves, except for Cardiff.
EU leavers will be tagged with Max Fac GPS ankle bracelets wherever they go in England to make administering this process simple.0 -
5. By the time the 6th truck arrives the 1st will have been unloaded and a bay will be vacant.Dadge said:
Let me get this straight. They take in 33,333 cubic metres of parts every day. The size of a large (40-foot) shipping container is 67 cubic metres. That means they receive 500 containers of parts every day, or one every 3 minutes. If every container takes 15 minutes to unload, how many unloading bays do they need?Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/1020067291361312768
Show your working.0 -
If the EU's strategy is to run down the clock, I think this is what you'd expect him say.Harris_Tweed said:It's hard to make a snap judgment on polite, diplomatic, accented English/translated French, but it sounds rather like Barnier has marked TMay's homework "4/10 - try harder" and sent her away to have another go?
0 -
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I’m not sure that the assumption you make about some posters’ starting state is accurate.twistedfirestopper3 said:Brexit has sent you all insane.
0 -
Polruan said:
5. By the time the 6th truck arrives the 1st will have been unloaded and a bay will be vacant.Dadge said:
Let me get this straight. They take in 33,333 cubic metres of parts every day. The size of a large (40-foot) shipping container is 67 cubic metres. That means they receive 500 containers of parts every day, or one every 3 minutes. If every container takes 15 minutes to unload, how many unloading bays do they need?Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/1020067291361312768
Show your working.
0 -
I think that's pretty margin of error stuff, given that the polls were showing a remain lead before the referendum. When it gets to 60/65/70% for Remain/Rejoin, then it's time for a second referendum.Dadge said:
Not sure why people are saying that opinions haven't changed - polls suggest that about 5% of voters have Bremorse, which is obviously enough to swing the vote. https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/991714149871816704rkrkrk said:
I think that's exactly what the stability of the polls shows.williamglenn said:
The knowledge of the voters has changed so whatever decision we make next time will be more informed, and we will have to accept the consequences of that decision.rkrkrk said:The key thing is that the views of the voters haven't changed.
So what happens if Remain loses a second time?
Well we've just trashed the compromise that's been put together - so hard Brexit is the only thing left.
I don't think you can read into the stability of the polls that people's minds haven't changed. It's really striking how excerpts of the 2016 debates already seem like they come from another era.
I don't think the knowledge of voters has increased very much either.
The fundamental problem I see is that Leave voters were warned of bad consequences and they chose to ignore those warnings, or they think the upsides will be worth it.
Until the decision is tested, and we have actual experience of how it will go, why would you change your mind on the basis of another batch of warnings?0 -
Brexit is the fertile manure for the green shoots of our insanity.Polruan said:
I’m not sure that the assumption you make about some posters’ starting state is accurate.twistedfirestopper3 said:Brexit has sent you all insane.
0 -
We don’t have standards imposed at the moment. We choose to participate in a union where we play a role in the setting of standards applied by all of the members. Accepting imports unchecked would be the same situation only without having a role in setting standards.archer101au said:
We don’t have to check them if we don’t want to. We don’t at the moment.Polruan said:
Checking shipments to see if they contain car components complying with EU standards? Having to accept product defined by standards we have no control over in a vassaly kind of way?archer101au said:
Soooo...the sovereign UK decides that car components that comply with EU standards will get automatic customs clearance at the border.Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/1020067291361312768
What was the problem again?
Choosing to accept a standard and having one imposed are rather different things....0 -
For those interested, this is the FT article that Robert Harris’s tweet is based on:
https://www.ft.com/content/8f46b0d4-77b6-11e8-8e67-1e1a0846c4750 -
10 bays would provide enough redundancy I think.Polruan said:
5. By the time the 6th truck arrives the 1st will have been unloaded and a bay will be vacant.Dadge said:
Let me get this straight. They take in 33,333 cubic metres of parts every day. The size of a large (40-foot) shipping container is 67 cubic metres. That means they receive 500 containers of parts every day, or one every 3 minutes. If every container takes 15 minutes to unload, how many unloading bays do they need?Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/1020067291361312768
Show your working.0 -
Breathtaking: https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-44890199
There really is no beginning to Andrea Leadsom's intellect.0 -
Mmm, but those brackets you inserted are relevant. Of course we should discuss Brexit, but skim over the sort of personal bile which infects a small minority. I've been posting here for almost as long as anyone, and it's always been tedious to read that poster Xywqft thinks psoter Ycwfght is a loon/traitor/idiot etc. - who cares what these unknown people think of each other?TOPPING said:
skimming over (people who are obsessive about) Brexit is skimming over the most important political issue of our epoch.NickPalmer said:
There are only about half a dozen people here who are obsessive about it, and I hope you'll skim over them and focus on the rest of us who are pursuing this and other issues in a reasonably amiable way, as per usual. Hope you'll stay!Beverley_C said:
So yes, I am thoroughly annoyed, more than a bit jaded and wondering if coming back to PB was a bad mistake.
I would be very sad if any valued poster leaves (apart from XXXX and XXXXXX and...) but Brexit's the only game in town!
I'm less bothered if they vent about well-known figures - at least we know who they're talking about, and it does actually matter what May, Corbyn etc. are actually like. But more nuanced comment is always welcome.0 -
What happens if the EU suddenly changes a standard in a way we don't find acceptable? Would the barriers have to go up overnight or would we just lump it?Polruan said:
We don’t have standards imposed at the moment. We choose to participate in a union where we play a role in the setting of standards applied by all of the members. Accepting imports unchecked would be the same situation only without having a role in setting standards.archer101au said:
We don’t have to check them if we don’t want to. We don’t at the moment.Polruan said:
Checking shipments to see if they contain car components complying with EU standards? Having to accept product defined by standards we have no control over in a vassaly kind of way?archer101au said:
Soooo...the sovereign UK decides that car components that comply with EU standards will get automatic customs clearance at the border.Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/1020067291361312768
What was the problem again?
Choosing to accept a standard and having one imposed are rather different things....0 -
Isn't that the eu's strategy, to say their deal is final and not budge one inch?grabcocque said:Breathtaking: https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-44890199
There really is no beginning to Andrea Leadsom's intellect.0 -
As somebody who was once upon a time one of the site's most hated commentators, I'm impressed you can take it all in such good humour.NickPalmer said:
I'm less bothered if they vent about well-known figures - at least we know who they're talking about, and it does actually matter what Mat, Corbyn etc. are actually like. But more nuanced comment is always welcome.
I guess being an MP teaches you that it's all water off a duck's back.0 -
There’s been a substantial swing. But we don’t know what the real baseline is.rkrkrk said:
I think that's pretty margin of error stuff, given that the polls were showing a remain lead before the referendum. When it gets to 60/65/70% for Remain/Rejoin, then it's time for a second referendum.Dadge said:
Not sure why people are saying that opinions haven't changed - polls suggest that about 5% of voters have Bremorse, which is obviously enough to swing the vote. https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/991714149871816704rkrkrk said:
I think that's exactly what the stability of the polls shows.williamglenn said:
The knowledge of the voters has changed so whatever decision we make next time will be more informed, and we will have to accept the consequences of that decision.rkrkrk said:The key thing is that the views of the voters haven't changed.
So what happens if Remain loses a second time?
Well we've just trashed the compromise that's been put together - so hard Brexit is the only thing left.
I don't think you can read into the stability of the polls that people's minds haven't changed. It's really striking how excerpts of the 2016 debates already seem like they come from another era.
I don't think the knowledge of voters has increased very much either.
The fundamental problem I see is that Leave voters were warned of bad consequences and they chose to ignore those warnings, or they think the upsides will be worth it.
Until the decision is tested, and we have actual experience of how it will go, why would you change your mind on the basis of another batch of warnings?
Like you I’d set the marker for Remain in the 60s before a referendum might be more than a pipe dream of unhappy Remainers.0 -
Changes like that are rarely made so fast.Stark_Dawning said:
What happens if the EU suddenly changes a standard in a way we don't find acceptable? Would the barriers have to go up overnight or would we just lump it?Polruan said:
We don’t have standards imposed at the moment. We choose to participate in a union where we play a role in the setting of standards applied by all of the members. Accepting imports unchecked would be the same situation only without having a role in setting standards.archer101au said:
We don’t have to check them if we don’t want to. We don’t at the moment.Polruan said:
Checking shipments to see if they contain car components complying with EU standards? Having to accept product defined by standards we have no control over in a vassaly kind of way?archer101au said:
Soooo...the sovereign UK decides that car components that comply with EU standards will get automatic customs clearance at the border.Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/1020067291361312768
What was the problem again?
Choosing to accept a standard and having one imposed are rather different things....0 -
To be fair GO's original deficit proposals were to have cut much harder than he eventually did such that we were in surplus by 2014-15. Maybe he listened to Blanchflower?currystar said:0 -
If the polls move that far we would hardly need a second referendum.rkrkrk said:
I think that's pretty margin of error stuff, given that the polls were showing a remain lead before the referendum. When it gets to 60/65/70% for Remain/Rejoin, then it's time for a second referendum.Dadge said:
Not sure why people are saying that opinions haven't changed - polls suggest that about 5% of voters have Bremorse, which is obviously enough to swing the vote. https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/991714149871816704rkrkrk said:
I think that's exactly what the stability of the polls shows.williamglenn said:
The knowledge of the voters has changed so whatever decision we make next time will be more informed, and we will have to accept the consequences of that decision.rkrkrk said:The key thing is that the views of the voters haven't changed.
So what happens if Remain loses a second time?
Well we've just trashed the compromise that's been put together - so hard Brexit is the only thing left.
I don't think you can read into the stability of the polls that people's minds haven't changed. It's really striking how excerpts of the 2016 debates already seem like they come from another era.
I don't think the knowledge of voters has increased very much either.
The fundamental problem I see is that Leave voters were warned of bad consequences and they chose to ignore those warnings, or they think the upsides will be worth it.
Until the decision is tested, and we have actual experience of how it will go, why would you change your mind on the basis of another batch of warnings?0 -
I mean, the EU are good at negotiating. They're not gonna make an offer with little chance of being accepted. Hence the impasse.RobD said:
Isn't that the eu's strategy, to say their deal is final and not budge one inch?
0 -
So public borrowing is at its lowest figure since 2007 and we have full employment. I think the premise of lower public spending creates unemployment is flawed.Benpointer said:
To be fair GO's original deficit proposals were to have cut much harder than he eventually did such that we were in surplus by 2014-15. Maybe he listened to Blanchflower?currystar said:0 -
Weren't they roughly similar to Darling's plans though?Benpointer said:
To be fair GO's original deficit proposals were to have cut much harder than he eventually did such that we were in surplus by 2014-15. Maybe he listened to Blanchflower?currystar said:0 -
He listened to Ed Balls, who was laughing at Osborne because he was going to take all the pain of sorting out the finances, be kicked out by the voters and Balls would have loads of money to open the spending taps again.Benpointer said:
To be fair GO's original deficit proposals were to have cut much harder than he eventually did such that we were in surplus by 2014-15. Maybe he listened to Blanchflower?currystar said:
Osborne decided that to be elected a second time meant fixing the economy must take twice as long so there would be no money for Eddy to splurge.0 -
I'm not sure that's true. See their proposal for annexing a part of the UK.grabcocque said:
I mean, the EU are good at negotiating. They're not gonna make an offer with little chance of being accepted. Hence the impasse.RobD said:
Isn't that the eu's strategy, to say their deal is final and not budge one inch?0 -
We can change a standard if it is our best interests. We can change a standard and allow a long period for this to take effect. We can even agree to accept two or more standards if it suits us. That is what being sovereign is all about.RobD said:
Changes like that are rarely made so fast.Stark_Dawning said:
What happens if the EU suddenly changes a standard in a way we don't find acceptable? Would the barriers have to go up overnight or would we just lump it?Polruan said:
We don’t have standards imposed at the moment. We choose to participate in a union where we play a role in the setting of standards applied by all of the members. Accepting imports unchecked would be the same situation only without having a role in setting standards.archer101au said:
We don’t have to check them if we don’t want to. We don’t at the moment.Polruan said:
Checking shipments to see if they contain car components complying with EU standards? Having to accept product defined by standards we have no control over in a vassaly kind of way?archer101au said:
Soooo...the sovereign UK decides that car components that comply with EU standards will get automatic customs clearance at the border.Scott_P said:One for our manufacturing "experts"...
https://twitter.com/Robert___Harris/status/1020067291361312768
What was the problem again?
Choosing to accept a standard and having one imposed are rather different things....
The point is that there will be no delays to inbound supply chains if we decide that we don’t want any delays.0 -
But it was accepted. May accepted it last December. I'm sure the fact that May has welched on one of the few things that has been agreed will definitely not go unnoticed.RobD said:
I'm not sure that's true. See their proposal for annexing a part of the UK.grabcocque said:
I mean, the EU are good at negotiating. They're not gonna make an offer with little chance of being accepted. Hence the impasse.RobD said:
Isn't that the eu's strategy, to say their deal is final and not budge one inch?0 -
So you want the remain side to be the modern Nazi's,those people liked marking out a certain group.grabcocque said:
Nationalists get to remain in the EU, Loyalists leave.Benpointer said:
Though we shouldn't respect the NI voters' wishes in the EU referendum?Philip_Thompson said:
The DUP are who the electorate have gone for in Northern Ireland so we should respect their wishes.AllyPally_Rob said:What I can never understand is the pretense that Northern Ireland is 'just like the rest of the UK' when anybody who has visited will attest the opposite.
In what other part of the UK can you legally own a handgun? In what other part are communities segregated by security walls to stop them kicking the sh*t out of each other?
On top of this the DUP has consistently campaigned to have harmonized corporation tax rates with the rest of Ireland, so they're rank hypocrites aswell.
Everybody knows Northern Ireland is different, and should be treated as such. May is just terrified to admit it, and the DUP won't let her.
London, Scotland, Manchester remains. Everywhere else in England leaves.
Wales leaves, except for Cardiff.
EU leavers will be tagged with Max Fac GPS ankle bracelets wherever they go in England to make administering this process simple.0
