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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ladbrokes make Michael Gove favourite to succeed Rudd as HomeS

The firm’s prices are here:-
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For now Rudd seems safe, mainly because the opposition are arguing with each other about how racist they are - as opposed to expending their energies on their political opponents the week before the local elections.
A father denied a passport after being unable to prove he is a British citizen has said time is running out to take his family on their first trip abroad.
John Ingram, 39, was born in Germany while his parents were serving in the RAF.
The father of two, living in St Athan, Vale of Glamorgan, said his birth certificate was rejected when he tried to get a passport for a trip to Spain.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-43891723
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/apr/27/britain-home-hostile-environment-damage-spread-beyond-windrush
Does he have one of his parents birth certificates? If his parents were British when he was born he is British by descent anyway.
This surely is a cock up by officials again - there is no question he is entitled to a UK passport as he is A UK citizen at birth by descent.
Still waiting until 39 to apply for a passport seems a bit remiss?
Intriguingly poised race. Will set about writing the pre-race ramble (although I'd guess it'll be a little while).
On-topic: Gove. Hmm. Clever, but he does tend to be divisive which, perhaps, is not what's needed. A soft centrist, such as Hunt, would make more sense.
But I have always thought he would actually make quite a good Home Secretary. He's hard working, intelligent, determined, decisive and ruthless. Some of the things that were problematic at education - his inflexibility, his lack of nuance, his tendency to take all criticism personally, his almost Manichean view of the world - would actually be positive virtues in dealing with the Home Office. Moreover, he's undoubtedly sound on civil liberties in a way May and Rudd and their Labour predecessors were not.
It is sad those last qualities probably rule him out.
Please God, please please not Jacob Rees Mogg (although I think he would have the brains to refuse it - it would wreck the image of the maverick anachronism he's been building with care for eight years).
The only problem is that due to our appalling record keeping and systems we seem to have no idea who is legally here and who is here illegally. And that is the fault of Home Secretaries for decades.
The idea the 'whole' thing (your emphasis) is made up or orchestrated by opponents doesn't stack up to the reality of the leader's own statements on the matter. It defies all logic that a party leader would admit their own party has a problem with anti-semitism if it were not the case, there is no advantage to be gained in pretending to accept that. And that opponents will indeed seek to take advantage of that problem, and whatever dispute over the exact extent of the problem, or whether others have problems (certainly other parties need to be very vigilant of their own affairs) does not make that any less implausible. Jeremy Corbyn admitted to a problem which doesn't exist because...?
Preposterous
What a confused set of rules, inefficient bureaucracy, and hostile environment together create is the likelihood of serious problems for those who have the right to remain as well as those who don’t.
They have been going for three days and so far have reached G - and that's only the ones who are stupid enough to be antisemitic in public using their real names.
An O'Sullivan miscue when in prime position.
https://twitter.com/edballs/status/990250279214960641
It has to be Esther McVey.
The only way I think it would be good for Rudd to go would be for Gove to take her place, for Fox to take Gove's job and for Kwasi to get the International trade role.
https://twitter.com/DavidLammy/status/990232951672770561
Raikkonen (on a contra strategy) at 22 (Betfair) for the win might be value.
Safety car at 1.25 is probably worth a few quid.
Gasly and Hartley both at 7 for points.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-24463873
Raikkonen to win is an interesting bet. My view (lots of retirements) accords with yours, but I was looking more at Not To Be Classified. Going to wait a short while, but at the moment thinking of picking DNFs.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_UK_immigration_control
And then....
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Home_Office_hostile_environment_policy
We are taking a 15 year old friend of my son away in the summer and his family had to get him a passport - he had never had one.
If you can be bothered then I'd suggest that you ask them to add all of the 'Next PM' runners apart from Rudd.
Some vague attention to these markets can't hurt them I'd suggest. Next Labour leader seems to have turned over almost 0.5m
Seems a bit rum to force them to spend circa £80 every ten years to get a passport just so they can a form of photo ID.
If people think immigration is bad, they might think measures to reduce it are tackling illegal immigration, but the distinction is not clear. You reduce immigration by making it illegal. The hostile immigration environment plays a big role in this. The more difficult you make it to be legal, the more illegal immigration you get. It's a reinforcing cycle. The consequences are people who otherwise clearly have the right to be here and are now illegal. Ie Windrush. This is by design.
F1: whilst looking forward to the race, I'm rather ambivalent about what to bet on. Hmm.
Clashed with Mrs May far too many times, when she was given the first opportunity she sacked him from the cabinet and when she was forced to bring him back into the cabinet she gave him one of the lowest ranked cabinet positions.
My money is on Karen Bradley.
https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/politics/uk/uk-politics/next-home-secretary/226781851/
Now THAT's classy!
This was going to be what my morning thread was going to be about.
Make Shadsy's christmas great again
I suspect she wasn't even listed.
Nearly a quarter of British adults have never been on a plane, a new study has revealed.
A fifth (20 per cent) say they have never visited a beach in their life, 25 per cent have never visited a European capital city and 41 per cent say they've never tried foreign food.
One in ten Brits (eight per cent) have stayed in the UK their entire life and never once been abroad while a quarter (22 per cent) have never travelled on an aeroplane.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/travel/travel_news/article-4009336/Nearly-quarter-Brits-never-plane-visited-European-capital.html
Free bacon.
Anyway, written the pre-race ramble. Just need to check it to avoid any arrors.