politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If you’re not mentally prepared for Corbyn as Prime Minister,
Comments
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Barely, that was close! Tories on course for near wipeout in LondonBobajob_PB said:Putney is a Tory hold.
Better news for the Tories.0 -
Things going back to May a little.0
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she had 10000 majority last timekle4 said:
Barely - should never have been in play.Bobajob_PB said:Putney is a Tory hold.
Better news for the Tories.0 -
It's astonishing they didn't even mention the low unemployment figures. To lose sats when so strongly ahead on the economy.MaxPB said:
Indeed. The Tories gave up the economy way too early and easily.EDW20000 said:Tories concentrating on Corby and the IRA was idiotic.
Who under 30 gives a toss about they IRA?0 -
So the exit poll was wrong for North East Wales - Labour hold Clwyd South and Wrexham, gain Vale of Clwyd. That's a swing of 3 seats from the exit poll predictions.0
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She has the negative midas touchScott_P said:Apparently the Tories will lose every marginal constituency Tezza visited
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The Tories never attacking Labour on the magic money forest was bizarre.
What I never understand was why they didn't just make good on the £350 a million extra a week for the NHS (or a figure close to that).
If they said by 2025 or so i.e. when Brexit concluded, with inflation it wouldn't even be a particularly big jump.
Would have been an easy policy to spin. Could have had Boris and co doing their dance again.0 -
Might save me some money then.AlastairMeeks said:I think the Scottish Conservatives are going to do exceptionally well. Look at the huge rises in vote share in constituencies where they have no interest.
Otherwise I'm sitting on big losses for the night.0 -
My Lib Dem friend in Sheffield Hallam says Clegg's a gonner.
Odd UKIP to Lab swing!0 -
Double digit number of SCON seats? Please!Mortimer said:
Tory Maj might be possible because of Scotland.AlastairMeeks said:I think the Scottish Conservatives are going to do exceptionally well. Look at the huge rises in vote share in constituencies where they have no interest.
Extraordinary.
My flabber is entirely gasted...0 -
I think we are on for 305-310, which is frankly, shocking. Fuck Theresa May. Fucking useless, the party needs to dump her tomorrow morning.0
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Look, world, clearly I was wrong on Brexit and Corbyn has rocked me to my core - can the goddamn UK Union at least be safe now until I die?0
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No majority.Mortimer said:
Tory Maj might be possible because of Scotland.AlastairMeeks said:I think the Scottish Conservatives are going to do exceptionally well. Look at the huge rises in vote share in constituencies where they have no interest.
Extraordinary.
My flabber is entirely gasted...0 -
I'm expecting SNP to get creamed. And hoping.0
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She did not visit them. She went to closed off factories and warehouses.foxinsoxuk said:
She has the negative midas touchScott_P said:Apparently the Tories will lose every marginal constituency Tezza visited
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So, it looks like the LDs lose W&L, Hallam, Richmond Park.
Gain Twickenham, Vauxhall, Bath, Edinburgh West.
Knife-edge in Kingston, Ceredgion.
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Jezza now fav for pm?!0
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Putney became a marginal....0
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What did May offer Council House Tories?
Sweet FA0 -
They wibble.Casino_Royale said:Labour is the perpetually irritating Japanese knotweed of British politics that just won't die.
They wobble.
But they never fall down.0 -
Justine Greening HOLDS Putney for the Tories with a 1554 majority0
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10% seat swing in putney0
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Come back posh boys, all is forgiven.......midwinter said:
No majority.Mortimer said:
Tory Maj might be possible because of Scotland.AlastairMeeks said:I think the Scottish Conservatives are going to do exceptionally well. Look at the huge rises in vote share in constituencies where they have no interest.
Extraordinary.
My flabber is entirely gasted...0 -
Yup, does no-one read the thread headers?Theuniondivvie said:Jezza now fav for pm?!
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No London wipeout after all0
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Praps he has seen the less funny side of trolling his own party in his Russian friend's giveaway newspaper.MaxPB said:
He's not, he's still a Tory. He seemed very glum when I watched him earlier.rottenborough said:
He must be laughing his tits off.TravelJunkie said:George Osborne - Ipswich Milton Keynes reading northampton looking very bad. Globalised connected towns
I think he is the single individual most responsible for where we are now. He's jointly responsible with Cameron, but he is by a country mile the cleverer of the two. He should have got on Cameron's case and sent him back to Europe to get a reform package on which to win brexit.0 -
Really incredible, Corbyn is popular beyond my wildest expectations. 20 years ago I would have been doing cartwheels at this!0
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Labour two more likely gains in Wales: Gower & Cardiff North.
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https://twitter.com/GeneralBoles/status/872977138370129921
Exactly. Labourites are spineless cowards who don't give a shit who, or how, wins so long as they have a bright red rosette.0 -
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Gone before cornflakesMaxPB said:I think we are on for 305-310, which is frankly, shocking. Fuck Theresa May. Fucking useless, the party needs to dump her tomorrow morning.
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I honestly think I might have been the first on here to suggest promising that £350M by letting inflation do the job, right after the referendum. It looked like a no-brainer to me.FrancisUrquhart said:The Tories never attacking Labour on the magic money forest was bizarre.
What I never understand was why they didn't just make good on the £350 a million extra a week for the NHS (or a figure close to that).
If they said by 2025 or so i.e. when Brexit concluded, with inflation it wouldn't even be a particularly big jump.
Would have been an easy policy to spin. Could have had Boris and co doing their dance again.
Instead we get the stupid Social Care policy out of the blue.0 -
Yep. May actually got herself into a position where she was promising to keep the WFA for Scotland and letting her own voters in England have it snatched off them!MaxPB said:
Yes, it's all down to Theresa trying to steal people's houses.GIN1138 said:
That's all because of this dementia tax, WFA stuff, not Brexit (Northampton strongly voted for Brexit for example)TravelJunkie said:George Osborne - Ipswich Milton Keynes reading northampton looking very bad. Globalised connected towns
The anger this provoked in the Shires was unbelievable.
And then there's the Dementia tax...0 -
Come on guys. We are a very long way indeed from Corbyn PM. The maths just aren't there for Labour.0
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So, who's the next Tory leader? Boris? Wonder what would have happened if Gove hadn't knifed him?0
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YouGov London didn't pick this up.0
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+1Casino_Royale said:https://twitter.com/GeneralBoles/status/872977138370129921
Exactly. Labourites are spineless cowards who don't give a shit who, or how, wins so long as they have a bright red rosette.
Same with the Brexiters, of course.
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I wonder if Alastair Meeks had it right a few weeks ago. Tory manifesto should have been Brexit plus £350 million per week for the NHS, and not much else.0
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He is heartbroken that in his view the Conservatives abandoned the center by trying to court leavers and kippers. It has completely undone the work Cameron and Osborne did to make the Tories credible again.MaxPB said:
He's not, he's still a Tory. He seemed very glum when I watched him earlier.rottenborough said:
He must be laughing his tits off.TravelJunkie said:George Osborne - Ipswich Milton Keynes reading northampton looking very bad. Globalised connected towns
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Oops, soz!TheScreamingEagles said:
Yup, does no-one read the thread headers?Theuniondivvie said:Jezza now fav for pm?!
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Tories without Bullingdon Club = ruin0
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Tory Cllr told me the other day The national Tories had no idea what the fuck they were doing.0
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Warwickshire N!!!!!0
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Substantial swing to the Tories in Warwickshire North.0
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Tim Farron does not sound confident...0
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After 45 seats:
Lab +8.0
Con +6.8
Not as bad for Con as it feels.0 -
That is a decent swing to the Tories in North Warwickshire?0
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Decent result in North Warwickshire.0
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Con hold Hertsmere0
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Is it the wider results, or is he himself in trouble?TheWhiteRabbit said:Tim Farron does not sound confident...
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Labour not doing well in West midlands0
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Our campaign completely failed to drag Labour into the same Hard Brexit box as us. Labour became an easy choice for remain voters and even soft Brexit UKIP/Tory Leavers voters.TheScreamingEagles said:My Lib Dem friend in Sheffield Hallam says Clegg's a gonner.
Odd UKIP to Lab swing!
The campaign was just horrible.0 -
It's ok, it is a hectic night.Theuniondivvie said:
Oops, soz!TheScreamingEagles said:
Yup, does no-one read the thread headers?Theuniondivvie said:Jezza now fav for pm?!
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Angus time!0
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Easy, don't get personal mate.JosiasJessop said:
The problem is you track record is of supporting every possible outcome simultaneously. You are a Schrodinger's Car poster.SeanT said:
Eh? I fully admit I am absurdly bipolar but I've been clear from the start that I wanted Soft Brexit, and abhorred Hard Brexit, and I entirely lost confidence in Theresa May when she announced her Manifesto, as I said on here (and PB-ers will attest)JosiasJessop said:
I bet you can show me loads of posts in your diarrhetic output that shows that?SeanT said:Well we can now all agree that the dreadful Theresa May is gone. And, with her, hopefully, Hard Brexit.
Hang on, you post every possible view nightly.
If you want your political comments to be taken seriously you should take this to heart.
In fact, the same applies to your so-called sad sex-life, you lonely, hopeless soul.
No need.0 -
ANd so another thread for the PB Annals of posters not believing the Exit Poll0
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BBC saying he is in trouble - who to, the Cons?Chameleon said:
Is it the wider results, or is he himself in trouble?TheWhiteRabbit said:Tim Farron does not sound confident...
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Tory manifesto didn't really resemble the 2015 one yet people were happy enough to vote for them even while disparaging it.Casino_Royale said:https://twitter.com/GeneralBoles/status/872977138370129921
Exactly. Labourites are spineless cowards who don't give a shit who, or how, wins so long as they have a bright red rosette.0 -
KLAXON
Con gain Angus0 -
Angus:
Con 18,148
SNP 15,503
Tory gain.0 -
I wonder if Leadsom could get her revenge for being sidelined by May after handing her the leadership on a plate.LucyJones said:So, who's the next Tory leader? Boris? Wonder what would have happened if Gove hadn't knifed him?
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A plurality of voters backed some new grammars in polls, this was a vote against austerity and against hard Brexit in Remain areas, this was not a vote against having a few more grammarsJonathanD said:Well done Greening. At least now you can tell May to get lost with her grammar school nonsense
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Gordon Brown's decision not to run for the polls and have snap election for "a personal mandate" looks like the greatest tactical decision of political history after this.MaxPB said:I think we are on for 305-310, which is frankly, shocking. Fuck Theresa May. Fucking useless, the party needs to dump her tomorrow morning.
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Con gain Angus0
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I warned them.not_on_fire said:ANd so another thread for the PB Annals of posters not believing the Exit Poll
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CON GAIN ANGUS. MOTHERFUCKING YES0
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Tory gain snp. Massive swing.0
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ANGUS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!0
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Angus - taken from SNP by Con.0
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Tories gain ANGUS!0
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ANGUS!!! Ruth rules.0
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BOOM! Angus, 16-10
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I like Justine and didn't want her to lose her seat.JonathanD said:Well done Greening. At least now you can tell May to get lost with her grammar school nonsense
Congratulations to her for hanging on.0 -
Richard_Nabavi said:
What on earth are sane Labour supporters going to do if Corbyn does become PM?
Rejoice!Richard_Nabavi said:What on earth are sane Labour supporters going to do if Corbyn does become PM?
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Interesting. They're suggesting that the young having been screwed over Brexit are now rebeling.
Huge vote against Justine Greening. Grammar schools I suspect.0 -
Not going to be a good night for SNP either0
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This is all the fault of Brexiters. It was totally avoidable.MaxPB said:
Our campaign completely failed to drag Labour into the same Hard Brexit box as us. Labour became an easy choice for remain voters and even soft Brexit UKIP/Tory Leavers voters.TheScreamingEagles said:My Lib Dem friend in Sheffield Hallam says Clegg's a gonner.
Odd UKIP to Lab swing!
The campaign was just horrible.
Still, at least you're away from it all, eh?0 -
You said it wouldn't get to this point in the first place (as did I), soI think I'll go with what I see of the trend- Wales is underperforming for Con on the exit poll, safe seats are being turned into marginals in England, and while they'll hold some, they're losing a whole bunch more, and too many for SCON to make up for. Lab have allies in the SNP and LDs (or at least willing to deal), Con have no one to deal with but SUP.Jason said:Come on guys. We are a very long way indeed from Corbyn PM. The maths just aren't there for Labour.
Thus, Corbyn PM - May won't be able to pass a budget.0 -
Hopefilly.KentRising said:
BBC saying he is in trouble - who to, the Cons?Chameleon said:
Is it the wider results, or is he himself in trouble?TheWhiteRabbit said:Tim Farron does not sound confident...
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First rule of vote club, believe the exit poll0
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A heads up on that this time yesterday would have been valuable...GIN1138 said:
Yep. May actually got herself into a position where she was promising to keep the WFA for Scotland and letting her own voters in England have it snatched off them!MaxPB said:
Yes, it's all down to Theresa trying to steal people's houses.GIN1138 said:
That's all because of this dementia tax, WFA stuff, not Brexit (Northampton strongly voted for Brexit for example)TravelJunkie said:George Osborne - Ipswich Milton Keynes reading northampton looking very bad. Globalised connected towns
The anger this provoked in the Shires was unbelievable.
And then there's the Dementia tax...
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Ruth is a saint0
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Angus - thank god. Ruth for PM. Seriously0
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https://twitter.com/BeckyMurphyEDP/status/872976366337183744
tories up, majority down in south norfolk0
